Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Still Eyes 112 Resistance

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Still Eyes 112 Resistance

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Still Eyes 112 Resistance The Japanese Yen has yet to surrender a key short-term psychological resistance point to the US Dollar, but it may do so very soon. USD/JPY remains well within the uptrend channel which has bounded trade for much of this year. However, the JPY112.00 level has capped the market. The pair […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Down, USD Up, Crude Oil Down, Stocks Up Notes: The Fed Wednesday is expected to hold interest rates steady, shave the number of hikes projected for the rest of the year to 1-2 or none, and release long-awaited details of a plan to end the monthly reduction of its massive balance sheet. […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) bias remains neutral

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) bias remains neutral

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) bias remains neutral Consolidation from 112.13 is still in progress and intraday bias remains neutral first. As long as 110.35 support hold, near term outlook remains bullish. On the upside, break of 112.13 will resume the rally from 104.69 to 114.54 resistance next. However, firm break of 110.35 should confirm near […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Up, USD Off, Crude Oil Off, Stocks Steady Notes: UK PM May’s BREXIT plans were thrown into further turmoil on Monday when the speaker of Parliament ruled that she could not put her divorce deal to a new vote unless it was re-submitted in fundamentally different form. She has just 2 days […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) moving towards the top of the bullish channel

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) moving towards the top of the bullish channel

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) moving towards the top of the bullish channel The USD/JPY bullish break could see price move towards the top of the bullish channel and the Fibonacci targets of wave 5 vs 1+3. This breakout could be part of an impulsive third wave (purple) whereas a bearish breakout could indicate a pauze […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Off, USD Off, Crude Oil Off, Stocks Up Notes: Data Friday showed US manufacturing output fell for a 2nd month running in February and factory activity in New York state hit near a 2 low this month, further evidence of a sharp slowdown in economic growth early in Q-1. In Asia Gold: Spot […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) bias remains neutral this week for some more consolidation

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) bias remains neutral this week for some more consolidation

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) bias remains neutral this week for some more consolidation USD/JPY rebounded further last week but was held below 112.13 resistance. Initial bias remains neutral this week for some more consolidation. But still, as long as 110.35 support hold, near term outlook remains bullish. On the upside, break of 112.13 will resume […]

How Far South is China’s Rapid Growth Slowdown Headed?

How Far South is China’s Rapid Growth Slowdown Headed?

The growing mystery of where China’s rapid slowdown is headed may become the biggest risk on the horizon. The world economy. Recession Watch: The global economy’s in its weakest shape since the financial crisis 10 years ago. China got more affirming evidence of its Big slowdown, with industrial output and retail sales softening and a […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Up, USD Off, Crude Oil Firm, Stocks Up Notes: The Bank of Japan’s kept interest rates unchanged Chinese Vice Premier Liu He spoke by telephone with US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer, with the 2 sides making further substantive progress on trade talks, China’s official Xinhua news […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) increased demand for risk

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) increased demand for risk

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) increased demand for risk The Dollar/Yen is trading higher on Thursday, reversing yesterday’s weakness. Increased demand for risk is helping to dampen the Japanese Yen’s appeal as a safe-haven asset and rising U.S. Treasury yields are making the U.S. Dollar a more attractive investment. The move are being fueled by positive […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Steady , USD Off, Crude Oil Higher, Stocks Flat Notes: The United States aims to cut Iran’s Crude exports by about 20% to below 1-M BPD from May by requiring importing countries to reduce purchases to avoid US sanctions, 2 sources familiar with the matter told Reuters. Both sources said they were […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Renewed Demand for Safe-Haven Protection

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Renewed Demand for Safe-Haven Protection

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Renewed Demand for Safe-Haven Protection Safe-haven buying is helping to drive the Dollar/Yen lower on Wednesday. Treasury yields are down, making the dollar a less-attractive investment and stocks are under pressure, sending investors into the safety of the Japanese Yen. The catalyst behind the early weakness in the Forex pair is […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) 112.00 still eludes bulls to the upside

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) 112.00 still eludes bulls to the upside

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) 112.00 still eludes bulls to the upside The Japanese Yen has managed to fend off challenges from Dollar bulls since late February with the psychological 112.00 level remaining out of reach for USD/JPY. The pair did manage to poke above that point on an intraday basis on February 28 and again on March […]

Global Economy Hits Weakest Patch Since Financial Crisis

Global Economy Hits Weakest Patch Since Financial Crisis

The global economy’s softened throughout Y 2018 has left the pace of expansion the weakest since the global financial crisis a decade ago. A new GDP tracker puts world growth at 2.1% on a Q-Q annualized basis, down from about 4% in the middle of last year. While there is a chance that the economy […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) could see a bounce

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) could see a bounce

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) could see a bounce The US dollar fell hard against the Japanese yen initially during the trading session on Friday after the ¥111.50 level gave away. Beyond that, we had a jobs number that was horrific, in the sense that only 20,000 jobs were added last month, as opposed to the expected […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) BoJ in Focus

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) BoJ in Focus

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) BoJ in Focus BSI larger manufacturing conditions figures for the 1st quarter are due out on Monday. The data is unlikely to have an impact on the Yen, which will continue to be driven by market risk sentiment. The markets will need to consider the BoJ’s monetary policy decision on Friday. The […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) should remain very calm

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) should remain very calm

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) should remain very calm The US dollar has done very little against the Japanese yen during trading on Thursday, as we continue to bounce around between the ¥112 level on the top, and the ¥111.50 level on the bottom. Looking at this chart, it’s obvious that we are simply waiting for some type […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) resistance near the ¥112 level

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) resistance near the ¥112 level

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) resistance near the ¥112 level The US dollar has rallied again during the trading session on Tuesday, slamming into the ¥112 level. This is a crucial level on the chart, and as a result if we can break above here on a daily close, perhaps clearing it by 25 pips or so, […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) investors waiting to see what the jobs number is going to be

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) investors waiting to see what the jobs number is going to be

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) investors waiting to see what the jobs number is going to be The US dollar is running into a significant amount of resistance at the ¥112 level, basically where we started the major selloff from. At this point, the market continues to go back and forth at this area, and quite frankly […]

Economic Tell: Swiss Watch Exports + 6.3% in Y 2018

Economic Tell: Swiss Watch Exports + 6.3% in Y 2018

FLASH: Asia accounted for over 50% of that turnover According to The Federation of the Swiss Watch Industry FH, Swiss watch exports in Y 2018 grew 6.3% Y-Y to CHF 21.2-B. Although the value of exports was up, the total number of watches exported declined by 2.3% to 23.7-M items there were 570,000 fewer timepieces […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Strong Appetite for Risk

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Strong Appetite for Risk

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Strong Appetite for Risk The Dollar/Yen posted a strong gain last week on the back of a sharp rise in U.S. Treasury yields. This widened the spread between U.S. Government bond yields and Japanese Government bond yields, making the U.S. Dollar a more attractive investment. After posting a mostly sideways trade […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Appetite for Risk Could Trigger Surge Over 112.335

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Appetite for Risk Could Trigger Surge Over 112.335

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Appetite for Risk Could Trigger Surge Over 112.335 The Dollar/Yen rose to its highest level since December 20 last week as demand for higher risk assets jumped amid a more upbeat outlook on some of the major economies of the world and the prospect of a trade deal between the United […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) pressing major resistance

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) pressing major resistance

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) pressing major resistance The US dollar has initially pulled back during the trading session on Thursday but has turned around to break above the ¥111 level slightly. There is a massive amount of resistance above, and I think that should be something that you pay attention to. The ¥111.50 level is a […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) investors eye Japanese manufacturing, retail sales

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) investors eye Japanese manufacturing, retail sales

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) investors eye Japanese manufacturing, retail sales USD/JPY has recorded slight gains on Wednesday. In the North American session, the pair is trading at 110.85, up 0.25% on the day. On the release front, U.S. data was mixed. Factory orders were up 0.1%, well off the forecast of 1.5%. Pending Home Sales […]

Global Economy May Have Bottomed Out

Global Economy May Have Bottomed Out

$GS, $USD, $USO, $OIL FLASH: On the global markets, some green shoots are emerging. The global economy may have already bottomed out, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Chief Economist in a note Tuesday. While growth remains soft, Goldman’s current activity indicator in February is slightly above the downwardly-revised December and January numbers. Some green […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Lack of Clarity Over Trade Deal

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Lack of Clarity Over Trade Deal

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Lack of Clarity Over Trade Deal The Dollar/Yen is trading lower on Tuesday in reaction to a drop in U.S. Treasury yields and lower demand for risky assets. This comes just one day after the Forex pair jumped to its highest level since December 27 on the back of higher Treasury […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) focus is on inflation data

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) focus is on inflation data

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) focus is on inflation data USD/JPY has posted slight gains on Monday. In the North American session, the pair is trading at 111.10, up 0.38% on the day. It’s a light day for fundamentals, with no key events out of the United States. In Japan, the focus is on inflation data. […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Higher, USD Steady, Crude Oil Lower, Stocks Higher Notes: US and China have a deal in the works. President Trump pushes deadline and sets up Summit with President Xi  at Mar a Lago. President Trump on the way to Hanoi for 2nd NKorean Summit with Chairman Kim. In Asia Gold: Gold prices rose Monday as USD fell Vs the RMB Yuan after President Trump said he would delay an increase […]

Focus this week for Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) traders should be on U.S. Treasury yields

Focus this week for Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) traders should be on U.S. Treasury yields

Focus this week for Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) traders should be on U.S. Treasury yields Last week’s mostly sideways trade in the USD/JPY sent a message to me that investors weren’t worried about risk or the direction of interest rates. The muted reaction to the mixed-to-potentially bearish U.S. economic data further confirmed my assessment. However, […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) significant resistance

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) significant resistance

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) significant resistance The US dollar rallied a bit against the Japanese yen, but it seems as if we are still struggling at the 200 day EMA, and of course the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. The ¥111 level is significant resistance in and of itself, and as you can see to the left there […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Higher, USD Steady, Crude Oil Higher, Stocks Higher Notes: Trade talks dominate headlines with a new round of negotiations between the US and China have a deal in the works meeting continue in Washington. Sentiment also got a lift after the Fed Wednesday affirmed it would be “patient” on further interest rate rises. In Asia Gold: Gold […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) sits at 110.80 levels but the 111.00 handle still proves to be elusive

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) sits at 110.80 levels but the 111.00 handle still proves to be elusive

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) sits at 110.80 levels but the 111.00 handle still proves to be elusive The pair continues to find support from around 110.50 and buyers broke back above the 100-hour MA (red line) in earlier trading to establish a more near-term bullish bias. The break comes after yet more disappointing data from […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Higher, USD Lower, Crude Oil Higher, Stocks Higher Notes: Trade talks dominate headlines with a new round of negotiations between the US and China expected in Washington Tuesday, and follow-up sessions at a higher level this week. Minutes of the Fed’s last policy meeting are due Wednesday and should provide more guidance on the likelihood or […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) expected to post a trade surplus after recording six successive deficits

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) expected to post a trade surplus after recording six successive deficits

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) expected to post a trade surplus after recording six successive deficits USD/JPY continues to show little movement this week. In Tuesday’s North American session, the pair is trading at 110.63, up 0.03% on the day. On the release front, there are no major events out of the United States. Japan is […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Japanese PPI disappointed with a gain of 0.6%

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Japanese PPI disappointed with a gain of 0.6%

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Japanese PPI disappointed with a gain of 0.6% USD/JPY has gained ground in the Wednesday session. In the North American session, the pair is trading at 110.76, up 0.25% on the day. On the release front, Japanese PPI disappointed with a gain of 0.6% in January, shy of the estimate of […]

Ferrari (NYSE:RACE) the Automotive Aristocrat

Ferrari (NYSE:RACE) the Automotive Aristocrat

$RACE FLASH: Ferrari is the Aristocrat of of world’s automotive sector and the world’s strongest brand. Ferrari (NYSE:RACE) is an iconic Italian luxury Supercar manufacturer which produces the Ferrari branded car. It is a limited production in demand car and instantly recognizable world wide. In Y 2018 only 9,251 Ferraris were shipped. The group’s high […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) pushes higher again

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) pushes higher again

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) pushes higher again The USD/JPY recovery goes on here, with the price moving back above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) for the first time since mid-December. Further gains target ¥111.52. Last week saw the price stabilise around ¥109.80, and then break higher. A pullback towards ¥110.00 might provide another buying opportunity. Overall, […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Little Guidance from Global Equity Markets

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Little Guidance from Global Equity Markets

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Little Guidance from Global Equity Markets The major equity indexes in Asia are trading mixed on Monday with investors watching out for developments on the U.S.-China trade situation. Negotiators are set to go back to the table later after taking the week off due to the Lunar New Year holidays. Last […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

3$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold EasedUSD CautiousCrude Oil DownStocks Off In Asia Notes: Messrs. Mnuchin and Lighthizer open another round of trade talks in Beijing this week to push for a deal to protect American intellectual property and avert a 2 March increase in US tariffs on Chinese goods. Gold: Gold prices eased Monday as uncertainties around US-China trade tensions […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) bias remains neutral this week

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) bias remains neutral this week

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) bias remains neutral this week USD/JPY edged higher to 110.16 last week but turned sideway since then. Initial bias remains neutral this week first. On the upside, break of 110.16 will extend the rebound from 104.69. But we’d expect strong resistance from 61.8% retracement of 114.54 to 104.69 at 110.77 to […]

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA adopted a neutral bias on the outlook for Australia’s cash rate

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA adopted a neutral bias on the outlook for Australia’s cash rate

Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA adopted a neutral bias on the outlook for Australia’s cash rate The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) delivered a sledgehammer to the Australian dollar on Wednesday, leaving it on track to log its largest percentage decline in over two years. The damage can be seen in the scoreboard below as […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Renewed Fears Over Trade Talks

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Renewed Fears Over Trade Talks

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Renewed Fears Over Trade Talks The Dollar/Yen is trading lower on Wednesday as safe-haven buying drew investors into the Japanese Yen. Although some market participants are calling President Trump’s State of the Union address a “dud”, Dollar/Yen traders seem to be leaning to the negative side. Trump didn’t say much to […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Back to 110.00 as Recovery Sets in

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Back to 110.00 as Recovery Sets in

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Back to 110.00 as Recovery Sets in Similar to the British Pound above, USD/JPY started the year with fireworks that have seemingly taken a back seat over the past four weeks. Prices in USD/JPY have recovered from the earlier-year ‘flash crash,’ and prices have run back-up to a key zone of resistance that runs from […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Chinese New Year holidays a prevalent distraction for a good part of the week

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Chinese New Year holidays a prevalent distraction for a good part of the week

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Chinese New Year holidays a prevalent distraction for a good part of the week As noted in our Asia week ahead, a relatively quiet week sets ahead compared to the barrage of events we saw in the previous one. Alongside the thinned market on the back of the Chinese New Year holidays, […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold OffUSD FirmCrude Oil UpStocks Steady In Asia Note: China closed all week for the Lunar New Year Gold: Gold prices slipped Monday as risk aversion waned amid some signs of progress in US-China trade talks, while a firm USD kept bullion under pressure. Spot gold was down 0.4% at $1,313.01 oz by 0552 GMT US […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Investors remain somewhat cautious

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Investors remain somewhat cautious

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Investors remain somewhat cautious Investors remain somewhat cautious, which has kept the safe-haven yen subdued. The markets have digested that the Fed will likely ease up on monetary policy in 2019, which weighed on the greenback in January. The global trade war continues and investors are waiting to see if tensions […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) takes a turn lower

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) takes a turn lower

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) takes a turn lower The dollar’s drop yesterday further reinforces the impression that the USD/JPY is headed lower. The price is oversold on an intraday basis, but any rebound may well provide a lower high in due course and a new selling opportunity. The ¥109.20 and then ¥109.60 levels are areas of possible […]

The Fed and the trade negotiations could impact the Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X)

The Fed and the trade negotiations could impact the Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X)

The Fed and the trade negotiations could impact the Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) The Dollar/Yen is trading lower on Wednesday in a limited trading range ahead of the start of the crucial trade talks between the U.S. and China, and the latest monetary policy decisions from the U.S. Federal Reserve. Both events could trigger a […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) risk-off offers fresh lift to JPY bulls

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) risk-off offers fresh lift to JPY bulls

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) risk-off offers fresh lift to JPY bulls USD/JPY trades 0.06% lower on the day at 109.26 at 0500 GMT, bias lower.  The pair is extending weakness as the safe-haven Japanese yen remains in demand amid risk-off.  USD bulls remian on the side lines ahead of the Fed’s two-day policy meeting and […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) at risk of fresh downward move

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) at risk of fresh downward move

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) at risk of fresh downward move The USD/JPY has traded in a tight range over the past week, moving from ¥109.20 to ¥110.00. A break above ¥110.00 would target the 200-day SMA at ¥111.14, while a push below ¥109.00 suggests that the pair has topped out and will resume the downward move in […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold SteadyUSD FlatCrude Oil UpStocks Rise In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. Washington Thursday signaled it could impose sanctions on Venezuela’s Crude Oil exports as Caracas descends further into political and economic chaos. The US-China trade discussions will provide insight into how talks are […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) stuck below ¥110

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) stuck below ¥110

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) stuck below ¥110 As with equities, USD/JPY has struggled to make much upward progress so far this week. Rallies to ¥110.00 continue to hold back progress, but dips to ¥109.20 and ¥109.40 have found buyers. The current uptrend remains in place until the price breaks back below ¥109.00. Overall, the bias in prices […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold SteadyUSD FlatCrude Oil DownStocks Rise In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. China reported its lowest annual economic growth since Y 1990 and must stimulate, but its retail markets are expanding widely. China makes up 19% of the world’s economy, the slowdown this year […]

Dip in Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) uptrend provides bulls with an opening

Dip in Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) uptrend provides bulls with an opening

Dip in Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) uptrend provides bulls with an opening As with equities, USD/JPY’s bounce has stalled over the past couple of sessions, but the uptrend is still in place. The pullback from Friday highs has been met with buying so far this morning, with the price finding support around ¥109.35. If a higher […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) investors eye BoJ statement

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) investors eye BoJ statement

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) investors eye BoJ statement USD/JPY is quiet at the start of the week. In Monday’s North American session, the pair is trading at 109.67, down 0.09% on the day. In economic news, U.S banks are closed for a holiday. With no U.S or Japanese events on the schedule, traders can expect […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Increased Risk Appetite

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Increased Risk Appetite

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Increased Risk Appetite The Dollar/Yen rose last week on the back of higher Treasury yields and increased appetite for risky assets. Traders were reacting to optimism over progress in U.S-China trade talks. The catalysts behind the rising Treasury yields were reports that the two economic powerhouses were considering offering concessions to […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) pulls back from overnight high

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) pulls back from overnight high

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) pulls back from overnight high Since yesterday’s high, the USD/JPY price has pulled back, but the uptrend from the lows of last Thursday remains intact. Even a dip to ¥108.50 would still be a possible buying opportunity, and for now the price is holding above ¥108.70. A fresh move higher, reinforced by the […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) still very much in the consolidation phase

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) still very much in the consolidation phase

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) still very much in the consolidation phase The US dollar has gone sideways overall against the Japanese yen, showing a bit of resiliency. However, the ¥108 level underneath is massive support, so I think it is going to continue to be able to hold the market up a little bit. However, if […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) determined by investor appetite for risk

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) determined by investor appetite for risk

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) determined by investor appetite for risk The Dollar/Yen is being pressured on Monday from lower demand for risky assets. U.S. stock market weakness is driving some investors into the safe-haven Japanese Yen. The catalysts behind the weakness are weaker-than-expected trade data from China and concerns over the U.S. government shutdown. Investors […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) moving in a fairly narrow side corridor

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) moving in a fairly narrow side corridor

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) moving in a fairly narrow side corridor After the “New Year storm,” caused by the lack of liquidity, the Japanese currency is complete calm, moving in a fairly narrow side corridor within 107.75-109.10. The pair met the end of the week in the same place where it started , near the […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) turning bearish after decline

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) turning bearish after decline

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) turning bearish after decline USD/JPY has rolled over and eaten into the gains made earlier in the week. Having faltered at ¥109.00, we now need to watch to see if the current move higher off the ¥107.80 level fails to recover ¥109.00. If it does bounce and then turn lower, we have […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Higher USD Lower Crude Oil Down Stocks Higher sans Japan In Asia Gold: Gold prices rose Thursday as expectations that the Fed will pause its rate tightening cycle this year. Spot gold was up 0.2% at $1,295.84 oz as of 0556 GMT, hanging near Friday’s at $1,298.42, a mark last seen in mid-June 2018. US gold futures gained […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) seems likely that the overall market focus will remain to the downside

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) seems likely that the overall market focus will remain to the downside

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) seems likely that the overall market focus will remain to the downside USD/JPY has still failed to recapture the levels seen before it occurred. Unless and until Dollar bulls can make good at least that loss, then it seems likely that the overall market focus will remain to the downside. Last […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) edges higher after recent slump

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) edges higher after recent slump

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) edges higher after recent slump After last week’s sudden drop, USD/JPY has been pushing slowly higher. Trendline support from the lows of 3 January has underpinned this move. A reversal back below ¥108.00 would mark a resumption of the downward move. On the upside, the next target is ¥109.60, then ¥109.85 and ¥110.00. […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) nice selling opportunity in the next few days

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) nice selling opportunity in the next few days

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) nice selling opportunity in the next few days The Japanese yen is of course a safety currency, and with the US/China trade war issues out there it makes sense that the Japanese yen could be attractive to some traders. I think that the first couple of months of 2019 will continue […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) rally could pick up steam

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) rally could pick up steam

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) rally could pick up steam The USD/JPY rally could pick up steam this week if it gets help from rising Treasury yields and increased appetite for risk. Powell was dovish in delivering his message that the Fed will be flexible with all of its monetary policy tools, including the important balance […]

Asia 2019: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia 2019: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Up USD Off Crude Oil Up Stocks Higher Notes: Selling pressure on US stocks fading, positive sentiment recovering. The Big Q: Will stock markets can sustain their recovery at the start of the New Year? In Asia Gold: Gold on pace to end the year on a high note after rallying almost 5% in the past month […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) 2019 Outlook 125

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) 2019 Outlook 125

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) 2019 Outlook Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards. The projected upper bound is: 129.61. The projected lower bound is: 100.81. The projected closing price is: 110.21. Candlesticks A big black candle occurred. This is bearish, as prices closed significantly lower than they opened. If the candle appears when prices are […]

In Asia: Gold Up, USD Off, Stocks Up + Commodities

In Asia: Gold Up, USD Off, Stocks Up + Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Up USD Off Crude Oil Choppy Stocks Higher Notes: Selling pressure on US equities is beginning to fade, but the VIX is still around 29 with investor risk sentiment still recovering. The CBOE Volatility Index rose mid-week to 36, its highest mark since early February. It has since pulled back to 29, still above a recent […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) eased below the 111 mark

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) eased below the 111 mark

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) eased below the 111 mark Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards. By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 112.17. The projected upper bound is: 112.15. The projected lower bound is: 109.61. The projected closing price is: 110.88. Candlesticks A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) continues to strengthen as short-sellers begin to pare positions

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) continues to strengthen as short-sellers begin to pare positions

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) continues to strengthen as short-sellers begin to pare positions The Dollar/Yen is posting a slight recovery early Wednesday, following a combined steep sell-off the first two sessions of the week. The price action indicates a slight divergence from the major U.S. stock indexes, which could be a sign of a possible […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) hits fresh lows

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) hits fresh lows

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) hits fresh lows USD/JPY has broken below the ¥112.20 support area, and while a rebound from intraday oversold levels is possible, it looks like this will be another selling opportunity. Downside targets now lie at ¥111.40 and then the 200-day SMA at ¥110.87. Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards. The projected […]

In Asia: Gold Steady, USD Down, Stocks Off + Commodities

In Asia: Gold Steady, USD Down, Stocks Off + Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices Steady USD Down Crude Oil Off Asian Stocks Off  Notes: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) announce its interest rate stance Wednesday, the market sold off. In Asia Gold: Gold prices steadied on Thursday, after shedding half a percent in the previous session as the Fed delivered a less-dovish outlook on monetary tightening than many wanted and had […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) hits trendline support

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) hits trendline support

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) hits trendline support USD/JPY has declined off the back of the 76.4% retracement, with a head and shoulders ultimately driving a decline in the pair towards the ¥112.23 swing low. That has also seen the descending trendline come into play, raising the possibility of a rebound from here. Much of it will […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) finds support ahead of 112

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) finds support ahead of 112

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) finds support ahead of 112 Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways The projected upper bound is: 113.71. The projected lower bound is: 111.47. The projected closing price is: 112.59. Candlesticks A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened). During the past 10 bars, there have been 5 […]

In Asia: Gold Up, USD Down, Stocks Cautious + Commodities

In Asia: Gold Up, USD Down, Stocks Cautious + Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices Up USD Down Crude Oil Off Asian Stocks Cautious  Notes: We do not believe OPEC cuts will work this time around with Qatar going out and Iran refusing to cut, and there is a Big Q is when Russia will go to its agreed production level. US shale oil production will continue to increase. So, […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) increased demand for risky assets

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) increased demand for risky assets

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) increased demand for risky assets The Dollar/Yen finished higher last with support coming from increased demand for risky assets and expectations of a Fed rate hike this week. The Forex pair did give up some of its gains late in the week as investors flocked into the safe-haven Japanese Yen. Last […]

In Asia: Gold Flat, USD Firm, Stocks Cautious + Commodities

In Asia: Gold Flat, USD Firm, Stocks Cautious + Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices Flat to Little Changed USD Mixed/Firm Crude Oil Steady Asian Stocks Cautious  Notes: We do not believe OPEC cuts will work this time around with Qatar going out and Iran refusing to cut, and there is a Big Q mark when Russia will go to its agreed production level. And US production will go on […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) upside capped by fears of a global economic slowdown

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) upside capped by fears of a global economic slowdown

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) upside capped by fears of a global economic slowdown The Dollar/Yen closed lower on Friday as extreme weakness in the global equity markets encouraged investors to seek shelter in the safe-haven Japanese Yen. Sellers hit the equity markets hard early in the session following the release of weaker-than-expected retail sales and […]

In Asia: Gold Steady, USD Mixed/Firm, Stocks Falling + Commodities

In Asia: Gold Steady, USD Mixed/Firm, Stocks Falling + Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices Steady USD Mixed/Firm Crude Oil Off Asian Stocks Falling In Asia Notes: China feeling the pain, the nation’s November retail sales grew at the weakest pace since Y 2003 and industrial output rose the least in nearly 3 years as domestic demand softened further, underlining rising risks to the economy as Beijing now works to quickly […]

Confidence in Japan Stops Falling

Confidence in Japan Stops Falling

Confidence among Japan’s biggest manufacturers was unchanged this quarter after slipping for three consecutive surveys, central bank data showed on Friday. The Bank of Japan’s Tankan report — a quarterly survey of about 10,000 companies — showed a reading of 19 among major manufacturers in its December survey. The reading was unchanged from the previous […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) maintains upward momentum

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) maintains upward momentum

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) maintains upward momentum The bounce off the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) is intact, and with a positive crossover looming on the daily moving average convergence divergence (MACD) the bulls could see further upside from here for USD/JPY. Trendline resistance comes in around ¥113.89, with a break higher from here ending the […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) tumbles from key trendline resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) tumbles from key trendline resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) tumbles from key trendline resistance EUR/USD managed to fall sharply yesterday, amid a burgeoning fiscal crisis in France. Interestingly, we saw the price respect the descending trendline that seemed to be negated on Friday. This has taken us into trendline and horizontal support, with the price currently consolidating marginally above the notable $1.1305 […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) remains confined to a broad trading range

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) remains confined to a broad trading range

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) remains confined to a broad trading range The Japanese Yen has been in a broad trading range against the US Dollar since late October and it looks as though it will be worth playing for some time yet. The range base comes in at 112.34 which is just about exactly where the first, 23.6% Fibonacci […]

Shanghai: SSE Composite Index (.SSEC) China agreed to reduce tariffs on U.S. autos

Shanghai: SSE Composite Index (.SSEC) China agreed to reduce tariffs on U.S. autos

Shanghai: SSE Composite Index (.SSEC) China agreed to reduce tariffs on U.S. autos Japan’s benchmark Nikkei 225 added 1.7 percent in early trading to 21,501.95. Australia’s S&P/ASX 200 edged up 0.8 percent to 5,618.70. South Korea’s Kospi was up nearly 1.0 percent at 2,073.20. Hong Kong’s Hang Seng added 1.5 percent to 26,166.63, while the […]

Gold Up, USD Down, Stocks Down + Commodities

Gold Up, USD Down, Stocks Down + Commodities

Gold Up, USD Down, Stocks Down + Commodities $GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices Up USD Down Crude Oil Fell Asian Stocks Down In Asia Gold: Gold is higher Thursday as growing risk aversion weighed on USD Spot gold up 0.2% at $1,239.86 oz as of 0429 GMT US gold futures up 0.2% at $1,244.9 oz. Note: Technicals; Spot gold may test resistance at $1,245 oz Markets are […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) falls sharply

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) falls sharply

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) falls sharply The USD/JPY pair has been hit by heavy selling, having been unable to move above ¥114.00 over the past month. The next area of support is around ¥112.30, the late November lows. Below this is the October low around ¥111.65. Any break higher requires a daily close above trendline resistance from […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) expected to trade sideways for now

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) expected to trade sideways for now

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) expected to trade sideways for now We expected USD to “edge lower” since last Thursday (29 Nov, spot at 113.55) but it traded in a quiet manner and closed at about the same level on Thursday (113.47) and Friday (113.46). The mild downward momentum has eased and USD is still likely […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) may continue to consolidate

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) may continue to consolidate

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) may continue to consolidate  USD/JPY marks another failed attempt to test the 2018-high (114.55)as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell tames speculation for an extended hiking-cycle,and the dollar-yen exchange rate may continue to consolidate ahead of the next interest rate decision on December 19 as it preserves the range for November. The reaction […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) gives back gains

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) gives back gains

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) gives back gains After falling sharply, USD/JPY may try to rebound, but it will need to recover ¥113.60 otherwise a more bearish view begins to emerge. Below ¥113.20 the price heads towards ¥112.40. Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways. The projected upper bound is: 114.56. The projected lower bound is: 112.30. The […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) under selling pressure and drops to 113.70

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) under selling pressure and drops to 113.70

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) under selling pressure and drops to 113.70 The pair has now faded the earlier spike to multi-day highs in the 113.90 area and it has returned to the 113.70 region, turning negative for the day. The now bearish performance in spot follows the drop in yields of the key US 10-year […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) rally revives

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) rally revives

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) rally revives The dollar continues to find its feet, with a sustained pickup in USD/JPY over the past week. Gains yesterday stalled at ¥113.64, but above here the ¥114.00 area comes into view, followed by the peak from October at ¥114.50. Dips towards ¥113.00 would still be potential buying opportunities. Overall, the bias […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) inflation indicators next

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) inflation indicators next

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) inflation indicators next The Japanese yen has ticked higher in the Monday session. In North American trade, USD/JPY is trading at 113.46, up 0.45% on the day. On the release front, Japanese Flash Manufacturing PMI dipped to 51.8, shy of the estimate of 53.0. This marked a 4-month low. Later in […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) mixed performance expected

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) mixed performance expected

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) mixed performance expected The Dollar/Yen put in a mixed performance last week before closing higher. The price action was a little skewed last week due to thin trading conditions because of bank holidays in the United States and Japan. The Forex pair started the week under pressure as investors continued to […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) bears take charge

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) bears take charge

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) bears take charge USD/JPY has continued to decline, and a small rally towards ¥112.60 has been met with fresh selling. Unless the price recovers the ¥113.40 level, then any rally looks to be a selling opportunity. The next levels to watch on the downside include ¥111.82 and then ¥111.38. Overall, the bias […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) resistance at 113.10

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) resistance at 113.10

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) resistance at 113.10 The Japanese yen has posted slight losses in the Monday session. In North American trade, USD/JPY is trading at 112.48, down 0.32% on the day. On the release front, Japan’s trade surplus rose to JPY 0.30 trillion, lower than the estimate of JPY 0.48 trillion. There are no […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) falters again

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) falters again

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) falters again USD/JPY continues to weaken, and we look for further declines towards the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at ¥112.76. Rallies have been sold into over the past few days, but a rebound above ¥113.64 would be bullish in the near term. Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways. By the […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) falters again

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) falters again

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) falters again USD/JPY continues to weaken, and we look for further declines towards the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at ¥112.76. Rallies have been sold into over the past few days, but a rebound above ¥113.64 would be bullish in the near term. Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways. By the […]

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