Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Coronavirus Broke Globalism

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Coronavirus Broke Globalism

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Just In: Southeast Asian stock markets inched higher Monday, tracking global equities that gained due to a slowdown in coronavirus-related deaths and new infections Last Week’s US Stock Market View Technical Analysis: The action in the major US stock indexes over the past few sessions was almost identical as large-cap […]

The Coronavirus ‘curve’ Data is Off and Dangerous

The Coronavirus ‘curve’ Data is Off and Dangerous

The current coronavirus “curve” is not and cannot be accurate since it does not include suspected cases of the illness before late February. It is unclear why scientists have not yet produced any models that attempt to calculate the virus’ presence here until testing was available. A big increase in symptoms very similar to coronavirus occurred a […]

Rebooting the Global Economy in the Post-Coronavirus Crisis

Rebooting the Global Economy in the Post-Coronavirus Crisis

$V, $MA, $SQ, $PYPL, $JPM, $C As important as the management of the ongoing health crisis is, getting economies up and running again as we emerge from lockdowns will help mitigate the long-term impact on people’s livelihoods is bigger. Payments operators can help business activity to resume in the shortest term while they realign their […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, World Vs Coronavirus

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, World Vs Coronavirus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $JPM Just in: JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) says the stock market rout has probably past its worst now. Again, there is something really different about the COVIS-19 coronavirus and the world’s reaction to it, the reaction is unprecedented, and scary. The past 4 wks have seen huge responses not only from central […]

President Trump’s Fed has Brought the Global Financial System Back from the Edge

President Trump’s Fed has Brought the Global Financial System Back from the Edge

$ICE $USD $BAC $WFC This week Fed Chairman Powell set out to offer a explanation for the complicated steps he is taking to relieve dire stresses in the global financial system. “Many places in the capital markets, which support borrowing by households and businesses. I am talking about mortgages and car loans and things like […]

Beyond the Virus: Refocusing on Essential Industries and Businesses

Beyond the Virus: Refocusing on Essential Industries and Businesses

Now the world now a very sharp understanding of what a Black Swan event is. Yes, we are seeing a global health crisis, and those of us who are looking are seeing the coming restructuring of the global economic order. The Key is how investors navigating to what is coming next. The Big Q: What […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Financial World Vs the Coronavirus

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Financial World Vs the Coronavirus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX There is something very different about the coronavirus and the world’s reaction to it. That reaction is unprecedented, and unnerving. The past 4 wks have seen huge responses from central banks which were confident in the global economic outlook and in no hurry to move on rates. Since then we […]

The Outsourcing of Jobs, What it has Meant to America and Americans

The Outsourcing of Jobs, What it has Meant to America and Americans

Make American, Hire American, Buy American The Big Q: What has the decline in American manufacturing meant for the average American? The Big A: 1. America eventually became poorer, and saw downgrade of its standard of living. As progressively more manufacturers moved abroad, the flow of money out of the country exceeded the benefits of […]

Schumer Already Trying to Tack On ‘Bad Ideas’ to the GOP’s American Family First Aid Legislation

Schumer Already Trying to Tack On ‘Bad Ideas’ to the GOP’s American Family First Aid Legislation

The Democrats’ are proposing the same student loan forgiveness pitch failed Presidential candidate Elizabeth Warren made on the campaign trail. College student loan forgiveness is a ‘bad idea’ because the prevailing attitudes among dead beat students and many of their parents that since the government is owed the money, there will be a way out […]

The 1st Test of Our Economic Strength is a Man Made Virus

The 1st Test of Our Economic Strength is a Man Made Virus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX This health emergency was dismissed at 1st as a fleeting risk to the US economy has turned into a full test of whether 20 yrs of planning, regulation and research has left the financial system resilient to a major shock and the Fed able to mount a rescue. Preparations for an […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, The Bulls Vs The Bears

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, The Bulls Vs The Bears

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX The Bulls Vs The Bears Note: “Big Bear markets end in despair and hopelessness, which many current Bulls will discover at considerable cost to themselves” — Mark Lundeen Be very wary of any advance from here, as it may prove to be what we once called a Dead-Cat Bounce.  A Dead-Cat […]

The 3 Stages of Bull and Bear Markets

The 3 Stages of Bull and Bear Markets

$DIA $XAU $USO What a wild week; I am overwhelmed!  In my articles I usually find a narrative theme in which to insert my graphics But this week the only theme that comes to mind is what an awful week it was, just awful.  Come to think of it, that’s actually a pretty good theme […]

Unprecedented Stresses in US Financial Markets Has Investor Sidelining Trillions in Cash

Unprecedented Stresses in US Financial Markets Has Investor Sidelining Trillions in Cash

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USD $JPY $VXX Friday, Ultra Long-term US T-Bond futures moved about 1.3 pts a day on average in January, were down more than 7 pts on the day and off 36 pts from Monday’s high. Italian sovereign debt had imploded. An index of costs to insure corporate debt with credit-default swaps […]

People are Asking, “What is going on in this Stock Market?”

People are Asking, “What is going on in this Stock Market?”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX The Big Q: What is going on in this Stock Market? The Big A: A confluence of confusion aka lots of unknowns. I have been in the stock market since Y 1981, and like everyone else I know in this game, have not see this kind of action ever. What we […]

If You are Worried About Your Portfolio – Slow and Steady Always Wins

If You are Worried About Your Portfolio – Slow and Steady Always Wins

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $GLD Monday, the DJIA saw its worst decliner since Y 2008 in response to news of COVID-19 and the Saudi/Russia Crude Oil price war, and the ride the stock market/s have taken in the last 2 wks has left lot of investors with stomach aches. If you have a 401(k) […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last week Late Friday, the stock market put up a fight, on the close it was the worst week for equities since late Y 2008, as the S&P 500 (-0.8%) gave back 11.5% since the prior Friday, recording its 7th day running of losses, falling to its lowest level since […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Technical Analysis at the weekended 21 February  NAS Comp: It sold to the 10-Day EMA and then rebounded and filled the gap from Wednesday. It is still using the 10-day EMA as it trends higher. S&P 500: It tapped at the 20-Day EMA on the low, rebounded to a modest […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last Friday’s Action Stocks recovered but struggled late in the day as the Fed, after a big repurchase operation in the am, said it will reduce the amount of the repos. The overnight repo saw $45.85-B in demand pasting the Fed’s offer. The 2-wk repo saw $59.02-B Vs the $30-B […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX DJIA futures are little changed Sunday night, along with S&P 500 futures and NAS Comp futures. The stock market rally showed surprising strength last week, but it is not unprecedented.  The stock market rally’s instant recovery from the coronavirus sell-off was surprising. Normally, when the stock market sells off fast, […]

The Social Contract in the 21st Century

The Social Contract in the 21st Century

McKinsey Global Institute February 2020 Report Subject: Economic outcomes and the relationship between individuals and institutions have shifted for workers, consumers, and savers in advanced economies. Life has changed substantially for individuals in advanced economies in the 1st 2 decades of the 21st Century as a result of trends including disruptions in technology, globalization, the economic […]

The Loneliness Epidemic

The Loneliness Epidemic

According to the most recent statistics, loneliness is at “epidemic” levels in the US, with 46% of adults saying they sometimes or always feel lonely Historically, mankind survived because we banded together and worked as a group. Our very survival often depended on being part of a tribe. When feeling disconnected from community, anxiety and […]

Gold Price Seen at $2,000 Near Term

Gold Price Seen at $2,000 Near Term

$XAU $GLD $SPY $SPX The S&P 500 posted a record high Wednesday at +37.10, or 1.1% at 3334.69 The reverse side of market optimism was the correction of safe-havens such as JPY and Gold. The JPY declined against the Buck, lead USDJPY to its highs in a 1. wks near 109.50, showing a rebound from the 200-Day SMA. Gold dropped […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX We are deep in earnings season. Stay tuned daily. What happened last week Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) struggled as caught a bid and rallied The DJIA and the S&P 400 tested the 50-Day MA, but the NAS Comp and S&P 500 did not, but rebounded.Q-4 GDP came in at 2.1% the slowest […]

Investors Must Avoid Undue Reactions to Virus Story

Investors Must Avoid Undue Reactions to Virus Story

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX I herewith urge all investors to avoid making hasty decisions after China announced a rise in cases of a deadly new virus that the media says threatens to crimp global economic growth. Stocks markets pulled back worldwide Monday on the supposition that investors are worried about the potential economic impact of […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Market Summary: This long Bull Run still looks look strong, and here is why: Stocks bypassed a soft open Thursday and gapped North. Small and mid-caps joined the large-caps in achieving strong breaks higher. The economic data showed renewed promise. Options expiration Friday came and went. A long weekend came […]

Gold Market Pulls Back

Gold Market Pulls Back

$XAU, $GLD Gold markets initially pulled back during the trading session Monday but turned around to recover some. It is currently hanging around the 1550 mark, an area that had seen a gap higher previously. The markets are trying to feel out whether or not there is a “risk on” or “risk off” flavor to everything. […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Y 2020 extended Y 2019 action as the big tech names led and the smaller-caps lagged. While the S&P 500’s valuation chart may be giving some investors flashbacks to the Y 2018 market meltdown, the Bulls are resolute. Corporate earnings are expected to fall for a 2nd Q running, as […]

Gold Prices Set Up to Pull Back

Gold Prices Set Up to Pull Back

$XAU $GLD Gold markets had a volatile week, breaking above the 1600 mark fell rto form a Shooting Star. The pattern was at the recent highs, so, it is likely that the market is ready to pull back from here. By breaking below the bottom of the weekly candlestick, it is likely that the longer-term trade […]

See Stronger Economy, Higher Growth in This Election Year…Headed “Back to the 3% Growth Zone”

See Stronger Economy, Higher Growth in This Election Year…Headed “Back to the 3% Growth Zone”

$SPY White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow believes the US economy will continue to grow at a robust pace as the Y 2020 election season proceeds. “This continuing Bull market run indicates a lot of investor, consumer and business confidence, in my judgment,” Mr. Kudlow said. Early in Fridays session, the DJIA broke above 29,000 for […]

Gold & Silver: Not a Top, but a Mid-Cycle Correction

Gold & Silver: Not a Top, but a Mid-Cycle Correction

$XAU, $GLD, $XAG, $SLV, $USD Gold’s entered a gentle climb North after marking the 12 November lows. It was not until the Thursday before Christmas when prices verified a cyclical breakout. The initial breakout surge is slowing as the precious Yellow metal enters a mid-cycle correction. Key support is between 1520 – 1540. Once completed, […]

2020: USA, No Recession, Steady Economy, Low Inflation

2020: USA, No Recession, Steady Economy, Low Inflation

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX US stocks will continue to rise this year on very little chance of a recession, and low inflation driving steady economic growth, with real GDP growing around 2.0%, and inflation remains below 2.0%. That is our outlook for Y 2020. We do not see a recession in this year’s US […]

Gold: Would Not Chase it in Here

Gold: Would Not Chase it in Here

$XAU $GLD $USD Do not be surprised if gold moves to consolidate its gains or correct after this jump in prices, a big downturn is not likely on the cards if that happens. Gold’s latest rally comes on back of last week’s US airstrike near Baghdad’s airport that killed General Qassem Soleimani, 1 of Iran’s Top military […]

2020: What to Watch For in Commodities

2020: What to Watch For in Commodities

$DIA $SPY $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $SOY, $CORN, $XAU, $CU, $USO This is our 1st What to Watch in the commodities sector, it is an overview of what to expect. The picture mixed, complex picture that emerges. The list covers oil, gold, copper, iron ore, pork and more. The year’s 1st full week of trading could […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, as it Goes Back to Work in 2020

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, as it Goes Back to Work in 2020

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $APPL $VXX The Y 2020 started off with a Y 2019 flavor as the big names led and the smaller-caps lagged. Chinese stimulus got some credit for the gains, but there is no doubt that new money was put to work as the volume rose to solid marks. Buyers want stocks, […]

2020: ‘Ford v Ferrari’ Would Be Christian Bale’s 5th Oscar

2020: ‘Ford v Ferrari’ Would Be Christian Bale’s 5th Oscar

$RACE, $DIS Christian Bale has earned 4 Oscar nominations and 1 win in the last 10 yrs, and his performance as real-life racer Ken Miles in ‘Ford v Ferrari‘ is looking more and more like a ‘statuette‘ for a Best Actor this year. History has proved it is perilous to underestimate him, especially when he’s playing a […]

2020: The Dow Laggards, Risk or Opportunity?

2020: The Dow Laggards, Risk or Opportunity?

$BA, $IBM, $MMM, $CVX, $XOM Boeing Co. (NYSE:BA) was a disappointment after the 2 deadly 737 Max crashes grounded the entire fleet of that aircraft to where the problems are still not solved. Boeing even finally capitulated and sent its CEO Dennis Muilenburg away. With global geopolitics still hot, and with a weapons and defense race as […]

2020: Apple’s Leadership Cannot Be Ignored

2020: Apple’s Leadership Cannot Be Ignored

$AAPL Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) led the DJIA with a 86% gainer in Y 2019, and the most optimistic analyst right now is still seeing 20% upside potential for Apple in Y 2020. The Big Q: Can the next iPhone release create that super-cycle of upgrades that analysts have been calling for? The Big A: Adding […]

The Financial Markets in Year of the Rat 2020

The Financial Markets in Year of the Rat 2020

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XRT, $IWM Our New Year is here and we are just a few weeks away from the Chinese New Year, so not too early to share some of my favorite Chinese Astrologer’s thoughts on the coming Year of the Rat, he is famous for his predictions, but not perfect. The background: […]

The Collector’s Car Market 2019

The Collector’s Car Market 2019

After several discussions with experts in the vintage, classic and special interest collector sector, we learned that buyers are not feeling the need to rush into the market as it has cooled. Today’s buyers are said to be people interested in cars for what they actually are, rather than cars representing another alternative investment asset […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$SPY $SPX, $DIA, $QQQ, $RUTX I am saying this again: “All the stress, worries and concerns about trade disputes, geopolitics and a slowing and overly indebted global economy, Y 2019 may be the best year investors have ever had, the numbers are staggering.” And just because sentiment is so very positive does not mean a […]

Heroism,What it Takes, What it Can Lead To, Clint Eastwood Lays it Out in ‘Richard Jewell’

Heroism,What it Takes, What it Can Lead To, Clint Eastwood Lays it Out in ‘Richard Jewell’

Heroism, what it sometimes takes, what it can lead to has been a longstanding interest of Clint Eastwood’s, from his onscreen vigilante icons to his behind-the-camera explorations of real figures in ‘Flags of our Fathers’, ‘American Sniper’ and ‘Sully’. ‘Richard Jewell’ is Director Eastwood’s is his 38th film and his deep dive into the subject […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$SPY $SPX, $XAU, $USO, $USO For all the stress, worries and concerns about trade disputes, geopolitics and a slowing and overly indebted global economy, Y 2019 may be the best year investors have ever had. The numbers are staggering Global stocks have piled on more than $10-T, bonds have been on fire, Crude Oil has […]

Ferrari (NYSE:RACE) Deserves and Receives a Luxury Valuation

Ferrari (NYSE:RACE) Deserves and Receives a Luxury Valuation

$RACE Ferrari (NYSE:RACE) has climbed 64.9% YTD thanks to EPS and revenue beats, in the 9 months of Y 2019, net revenue rose 10.3%, while EBIT increased 10.5% boosted by Monza SP1 and SP2. The company deserves a premium valuation because of its brand value, high margins, and consistent sales growth going forward. Since January […]

History Suggests Wall Street Need Not Worry About President Trump’s Impeachment

History Suggests Wall Street Need Not Worry About President Trump’s Impeachment

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wednesday, President Trump appeared on the cusp of becoming only the 3rd US President to be impeached, history suggests investors need not worry, even though it adds uncertainty on Wall Street. Strong partisan divisions were on display as members of the House of Representatives engaged in a debate ahead of historic […]

The Law of Attraction and Manifestation Lies in the Age of Information

The Law of Attraction and Manifestation Lies in the Age of Information

For instance, a speaker on innovation, humans and the future said, “The future does not arrive. It’s created.” In short, we, humans, create the future, it just does not happen. So, if one wants to bring positive experiences into life, the focus must be on positive thoughts. Conversely, thinking negative thoughts will bring negative experiences. […]

Seeing This Bull Market Extending into 2020, Not ‘Melting-up’

Seeing This Bull Market Extending into 2020, Not ‘Melting-up’

$SPY, $DIA, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $BAC, $UBS, Analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, described this Bull market as “primed for Q-1 2020 risk asset melt-up,” with the Fed and the ECB still providing ample support to portions of the market and economy that have shown some signs of softness aka printing money. UBS Global […]

Gold Prices on Pace to Mark Biggest Annual Gainer in 9 Yrs

Gold Prices on Pace to Mark Biggest Annual Gainer in 9 Yrs

$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $XAG, $USD Gold prices look to end the year more than 15% higher, on track to post their biggest annual gainer in 9 years. “Gold has seen considerable safe haven buying from investors concerned over low and negative yields in the bond market and fearing a possible downturn in equities,” said the […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Am seeing earnings revival boosting stock rally in Y 2020 But 1st, this is what happened last week: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has held steady and is not going to raise rates in Y 2020. Chairman Powell is also open to bond purchases. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) […]

A Case for the Extension of This Bull Market

A Case for the Extension of This Bull Market

$SPY, $RUTX, $USD Last Christmas, the longest Bull market in our lifetime came within points of dying as the Fed raised interest rates. Some pundits say that every 3 years or so something pushes the Bull market to the brink of extinction, before a last-minute escape, that there is a record of support that underpins […]

Buy a New Ferrari to Drive, Buy the Stock as an Investment

Buy a New Ferrari to Drive, Buy the Stock as an Investment

$RACE The Big Q: Want a Ferrari but cannot afford a Supercar? The Big A: There is another way to own a piece of the legendary Italian marque, buy the stock, it is up 65% YTD. A Ferrari (NYSE:RACE) fan could spend $215,000 on the Portofino, the company’s newest convertible sports car and entry level model, or […]

The Street’s Key Stock Analysts Research Report

$ADI, $BBY, $DKS, $LOW, $TGT Daily HeffX-LTN reviews dozens of  the Street’s Key analysts research reports to ID new trading and investing ideas for HeffX-LTN readers. Some reports cover stocks to buy, and others cover stocks to sell or avoid. Below is a list of The Street’s Key analysts outlook for Key issues for Monday, as follows: Analog Devices, Inc. (NASDAQ:ADI) was up 1.7% at 114.89 […]

Ferrari (NYSE:RACE), a ‘Failed’ IPO…

Ferrari (NYSE:RACE), a ‘Failed’ IPO…

$RACE Ferrari (NYSE:RACE) is not used to losing. Its $250,000+ sports cars are the epitome of luxury, style, and exclusivity. When you see one cruising down the street, most people can’t help but stop and stare. Ferrari started as a racing company. Founder Enzo Ferrari handcrafted finely tuned speed machines whose sole purpose was to […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XAU, $GLD, $VXX Conditions setting up for the Santa Claus Rally A year after the US stock market plunged on the Fed’s acts, many investors believe conditions are set for a rally to finish off Y 2019. A more accommodative Fed compared with a year ago is an important argument for […]

Only 31 Shopping Days Left Until Christmas

Only 31 Shopping Days Left Until Christmas

$HD, $TGT, $WMT, $AAPL, $M, $KSS, $AMZN Discounts on retailer merchandise have already begun, a week from Black Friday. Walmart is offering discounts on Apple’s iPhone and smartwatch. Several retailers have cut TV prices by more than 20%. While the discounts may draw shoppers, they compress the margins of some of America’s largest retailers. Several […]

Commentary: Dragging down China with Turmoil in Hong Kong is an Illusion

Commentary: Dragging down China with Turmoil in Hong Kong is an Illusion

Despite Beijing’s strong and repeated opposition, the US Senate last Tuesday passed the so-called Hong Kong Human Rights and Democracy Act of 2019. By passing the bill, the Senate has not only shown indifference to the chaotic situation on the ground and the need to end violence and restore order, but also tried to embolden […]

Ferrari’s (NYSE:RACE) Financial Power Unit Set Up to Run Strong into Year’s End

Ferrari’s (NYSE:RACE) Financial Power Unit Set Up to Run Strong into Year’s End

$RACE HQ’d in Maranello, Italy, founded in Y 1947, Ferrari (NYSE:RACE), designs, engineers, produces and sells luxury high performance sports cars and lots more. In addition to its racing and vehicle manufacturing operations, Ferrari licenses its brand to various producers and retailers of luxury and lifestyle goods and has recently tied-up with Giorgio Armani to revamp and […]

Gold Price Outlook: Gold Set Up for a Holiday Rally

Gold Price Outlook: Gold Set Up for a Holiday Rally

$XAU, $GLD The recent sell-off in gold has triggered massive gold demand from India. Recall that India had been dormant since June, when the Government increased the import duty by 25% on imported kilo bars. But the lower price of world gold, combined with India’s peak seasonal gold buying period has unleashed India’s gold importation […]

There is a Gold Rush on, Here are Our Plays…

There is a Gold Rush on, Here are Our Plays…

$XAU, $SLV, $GOLD, $NEM, $AGGFF, $FNV, $RGLD, $PAAS The smart money has already started and gold prices are up, breaking through 6 year highs. Gold miners are having an incredible year. And if a crash comes, getting gold into your portfolio is absolutely Key With all that in mind, here are five companies gold investors should […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XAU, $GLD, $VXX Gold futures finished a volatile week higher, but the precious metal/investment/safe-haven asset, continues to look vulnerable to the Southside in the wake of positive news over US-China trade relations late in the week. Last week’s price action did not reveal any surprises. Shorts-covered after the previous week’s steep […]

Commentary: BRICS Summit, China Hopes to Usher in ‘Golden Decade’ for Cooperation

Commentary: BRICS Summit, China Hopes to Usher in ‘Golden Decade’ for Cooperation

The 11th BRICS Summit taking place in Brazil on 13-14 November mission is to to usher in a 2nd “Golden Decade” for more fruitful cooperation of the emerging-market group. The past 10 years since its first summit in Russia are suitably dubbed a “Golden Decade” for BRICS, which was originally made up of Brazil, Russia, […]

Gold Bounced Finishing in the Green

Gold Bounced Finishing in the Green

$XAU, $GLD, $USD Gold prices bounced off session lows and closed in the Green Tuesday, despite a stronger USD. Yields remain edged lower. German data is showing some small signs of improvement. President Trump in a speech before the Economic Club of New York on Tuesday to hammered the Fed, saying that although the stock […]

Gold ETFs Seeing Support After Correction

Gold ETFs Seeing Support After Correction

$GLD, $XAU, $XAG, $USD, $UGLD, $NUGT, $NEM, $GOLD Ongoing trade tensions between the US and China, along with geopolitical tension in the Middle East, have underpinned gold prices throughout most of Y 2019. Plus, a weakening USD this year brought about by 3 Fed interest rate cuts has helped support the precious Yellow metal, as the two assets […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Risk is on, sidelined money coming back in and the market is posting record highs almost on a daily basis. The earnings news is providing its share of trading catalysts, but the macro news is mattering more as a market driver because the macro connection with the employment report, earnings […]

Ferrari’s (NYSE:RACE) Plan: Build its Luxury Brand

Ferrari’s (NYSE:RACE) Plan: Build its Luxury Brand

$RACE Since taking over as CEO Louis Camilleri has largely shunned the spotlight, shunning the media and commenting publicly about the business only during Quarterly conference calls and once at the presentation of its new 5 year industrial plan. Being a tobacco executive offered relevant lessons for running Ferrari, Mr. Camilleri said in his 1st […]

Commentary: Merkel Needs President Trump to End the Trade Dispute

Commentary: Merkel Needs President Trump to End the Trade Dispute

$VLKAY, $BMWYY, $DDAIF The German economy is at the cusp of recession Now 30 yrs after the fall of the Berlin Wall, and 29 years after Germany was reunified into 1 country, Europe’s strongest economy is facing significant headwinds that risk spilling over into the rest of the EU and the world The closely watched […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Risk is on, sidelined money coming back in. The earnings news is providing its share of trading catalysts, but the macro news is mattering more as a market driver because the macro connection with the employment report is that it suggests future earnings news may be better than expected. The […]

Gold, the Odds Favor 1 More Decline to Test

Gold, the Odds Favor 1 More Decline to Test

$XAU, $GLD Friday’s October employment report saw 128,000 jobs Vs the expected 75,000. The August numbers were revised upward significantly to 219,000 from 168,000, and September jumped from 136,000 to 180,000. The report should have sent gold prices South, but perhaps the weaker than expected ISM manufacturing numbers are keeping gold up. And the probabilities […]

Ferrari (NYSE:RACE) a Lesson in Practicality

Ferrari (NYSE:RACE) a Lesson in Practicality

$RACE This is a lesson grounded in practicality using ROE to better understand Ferrari (NYSE:RACE). Ferrari has a ROE of 61%, based on the last 12 months, meaning that for every $1 worth of shareholders’ equity, it generated 61c in profit. Return on Equity = Net Profit ÷ Shareholders’ Equity For Ferrari: 61% = €837-M […]

Ferrari (NYSE:RACE) Reports Next Week, Expect Earnings Growth

Ferrari (NYSE:RACE) Reports Next Week, Expect Earnings Growth

$RACE Ferrari (NYSE:RACE) is expected to deliver a Y-Y increase in earnings on higher revenues when it reports results for the Quarter ended September 2019. The stock may move higher if these Key numbers top expectations in the upcoming earnings report, which is expected to be released on 4 November, if they miss, the stock […]

Paul Ebeling’s China Business Commentary

Paul Ebeling’s China Business Commentary

Expect China to push for lasting business environment improvement nation and worldwide on the coming resolution of the US trade dispute. More efforts should be made to promote a continuous improvement in China’s business environment nationwide, an official said Monday. Improving the business environment is an important guarantee for further opening up to the outside […]

Paul Ebeling’s DC Commentary: “Investors Ignoring Trump Impeachment ‘Noise'”

Paul Ebeling’s DC Commentary: “Investors Ignoring Trump Impeachment ‘Noise

$USD, $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The US Dem House’s impeachment focus is not even a distraction to the financial market, as nothing will or can come of it, as in the world of geopolitics something big happened at the weekend. Sunday, President Trump announced that Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, the leader of the so-called Islamic […]

Gold Behaves More as a Currency Than a Commodity

Gold Behaves More as a Currency Than a Commodity

$XAU $GLD Gold is often included into commodities, as gold is a metal. And just like other raw materials, it is used in the production of manufactured goods. But gold is much more than that. According to the recent report published by World Gold Council (WGC) there are 6 features which differentiate gold from other […]

The ‘Pot Party’ is Over, As it All Comes Down to Supply and Demand

The ‘Pot Party’ is Over, As it All Comes Down to Supply and Demand

$CGC, $ACB, $AAPL, This chart shows how pot inventories are growing and growing just like certain crop inventories did in the 1930’s: In just a year after Canada’s historic marijuana legalization, producers built up a massive surplus of the drug. In fact, just 4% of it produced in Canada in July has been sold. The […]

Media’s Efforts to Impeach President Trump Exposed

Media’s Efforts to Impeach President Trump Exposed

Monday, Christopher Ruddy declared that the House impeachment probe against President Trump is a political “media effort to get the President without any evidence of a crime” that is backed by flawed polling and despite other surveys showing strong support for the President. “This has been a plan and a strategy for the Democrats from […]

“US is the Only Economy That is Really Growing”

“US is the Only Economy That is Really Growing”

White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow says that the US is the only global economy that is growing. The financial guru and agrees with recent research that predicts that such economic strength will easily carry President Trump into a 2nd White House term. “We are the only economy that is really, really growing,” Mr. Kudlow […]

Saturated Fat (cholesterol) Theory of Heart Disease Began With Ancel Keys

Saturated Fat (cholesterol) Theory of Heart Disease Began With Ancel Keys

According to the “Heart of the Matter,” American physiologist Ancel Benjamin Keys can be credited with originating and cementing the saturated fat/cholesterol theory of heart disease. In the 1950’s, Keys produced research that showed perfect correlations between cardiovascular disease and the dietary consumption of fat in several prominent Western countries. But, there was a problem […]

Alien Hunters May Have Found Exotic Material on UFOs

Alien Hunters May Have Found Exotic Material on UFOs

An organization of alien hunters, led by former Blink-182 singer and guitarist Tom DeLonge, claims to have found “exotic material” that is evidence of UFOs. The group, To the Stars Academy of Arts & Science Inc., was co-founded by DeLonge and Christopher Mellon, a former Defense Department official, in Y 2017 to research extraterrestrials. Earlier […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $GLD, $VXX Investing in this market successfully requires the creation of an investing strategy that outperforms the broader market. Consider, Factor Investing, it is not new, dating to the mid-1970’s, and has been boosted over the past few years from the acceptance of ETFs. Now, there is over $900-B invested in […]

Make No Mistake, Fake Meat Is Junk Food, Health is Not Driving the ‘Meat Makeover’

Make No Mistake, Fake Meat Is Junk Food, Health is Not Driving the ‘Meat Makeover’

$BYND Ultra-processed foods typically have 5 or more ingredients, many of which are not commonly found in home kitchens. This describes the Impossible Burger and Beyond Burger, including fake blood processed from genetically engineered yeast to mimic the taste and texture of real beef. The junk food industry has a new product they are offering […]

Understanding This Market Into the Q’s End

Understanding This Market Into the Q’s End

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX At the close: DJIA -142.22 at 26807.77, NAS Comp -118.84 at 7993.62, S&P 500 -25.18 at 2966.64 US stocks fell Tuesday, as investors shunned risk following a decline in consumer confidence, and a hard-lined speech from President Trump. The S&P 500 (-0.8%) and DJIA (-0.5%) declined less than 1%, while the NAS Composite (-1.5%) and Russell […]

Asia: Gold, Crude Oil, Stocks, Commodities and Currency Pairs

Asia: Gold, Crude Oil, Stocks, Commodities and Currency Pairs

FLASH: Gold Lower, USD Up, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Off Headlines Crude Oil gains more than 1% on Saudi supply doubt China, Hong Kong stocks fall on US-China trade deal uncertainty Gold prices edge lower, as Palladium marks record high Gold: Gold prices lowed Monday, as equities gained after the US Trade Representative described last week’s US-China […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $GLD, $VXX SPECIAL REPORT: The Future of this Rally, what is Next? Thee DJIA futures are up a bit Sunday night, along with S&P 500 futures and NAS Comp futures. This stock market rally has stood negative headlines, but is not yet making a final push to record highs. Arguably, this […]

The Dow & Gold, Both on Hold

The Dow & Gold, Both on Hold

$DIA, $XAU, $XAG At week’s end we find the Dow Jones with a bearish, picture-perfect head and shoulders technical formation.  The left shoulder goes back to last April, the head in early July and the right shoulder at the close of the week.  So, is the market a sell as September 2019 comes to a […]

Special Report: The Future of Asia (Parts 2/3)

Special Report: The Future of Asia (Parts 2/3)

Asia is diverse and complementary, and Asia-for-Asia industrial supply-chain networks are emerging. Asia is a highly diverse region, there is no single Asia but many. We identified 4 distinct groups of economies based on scale, economic development, interactions with one another, and connectedness to the world. Each of these “4 Asia’s” has characteristics that complement […]

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