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Live Trading News > Blog > Travel > China > Spring Festival China Travel Demand to Surge $TCOM $CTRP $HTHT
China

Spring Festival China Travel Demand to Surge $TCOM $CTRP $HTHT

Shayne Heffernan Ph.D.
Last updated: February 4, 2024 8:38 pm
Shayne Heffernan Ph.D.
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China Anticipates Robust Travel Rebound During Spring Festival

In a positive sign of recovery, China is poised to witness a substantial surge in both inbound and outbound trips during the upcoming Spring Festival holiday, aiming to reach pre-pandemic levels seen in 2019, according to a statement from the National Immigration Administration (NIA) on Sunday.

Company Information:

  1. Trip.com Group Limited (TCOM) – Travel Aggregator – 28,563 – group.trip.com
  2. Ctrip.com International, Ltd. (ADR) (CTRP) – Online Travel Agency – 3,950 – trip.com
  3. Huazhu Group Limited (HTHT) – Hotels & Lodging – 8,054 – huazhu.com
  4. Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited (ATOUR) – Hospitality & Lifestyle – 264 – atour.com
  5. China Lodging Group Limited (HTHT) – Budget Hotels – 2,222 – huazhu.com
  6. Spring Airlines Co., Ltd. (SPRING) – Airline – 3,252 – springairlines.com

Projections indicate a remarkable increase, with an estimated daily average of 1.8 million inbound and outbound passenger trips on the Chinese mainland during the holiday period from February 10 to 17. This marks a significant upswing, approximately 3.3 times higher than the previous year, showcasing the nation’s resilience and restored confidence in travel.

The NIA further predicts that the peak of passenger flow at major international airport ports will occur between February 8 and 11, as well as February 16 and 17. Simultaneously, land ports adjacent to Hong Kong and Macao are expected to experience a surge from February 11 to 15.

image 19

To ensure smooth entries and exits during the festive season, border inspection agencies have received directives to enhance the monitoring of passenger flows. Relevant information will be disseminated promptly for travelers’ reference. In a commitment to efficiency, sufficient personnel have been deployed to ensure Chinese citizens pass through customs queues in no more than 30 minutes.

Additionally, border inspection agencies are collaborating with relevant units and local departments to manage traveler diversion, extend customs clearance hours, and provide traffic support during peak hours. The positive developments in travel are not only encouraging for the nation but also hold significance for various sectors, including US-listed Chinese travel companies.

This optimistic outlook for the Spring Festival signifies a potential rebound in the travel industry and boosts confidence in China’s ongoing recovery efforts. As travel restrictions ease and confidence rebuilds, this surge in travel during the holiday period reflects the resilience and adaptability of China’s travel sector.

image 20

Spring Festival in China and Its Booming Travel Rush

Every year, a unique phenomenon takes place in China. Millions upon millions of people embark on a journey, not for leisure or adventure, but to return home. This is the “Chunyun,” or Spring Festival travel rush, a defining hallmark of China’s most important holiday.

Spring Festival, also known as Lunar New Year, is a week-long celebration marking the beginning of a new year on the lunisolar calendar. It’s a time for families to reunite, honor ancestors, and celebrate fresh beginnings. But its cultural significance extends beyond homes, spilling into an unparalleled travel movement.

The Magnitude of the Migration:

Imagine: over 3 billion passenger trips taking place within a 40-day timeframe. That’s the estimated number of journeys expected during the 2024 Spring Festival season, according to China’s Ministry of Transport. To put this in perspective, it’s more than the entire population of the United States traveling twice within a month.

This mass movement puts immense pressure on transportation infrastructure. From high-speed trains and airplanes to buses and even bicycles, every mode of transport carries the weight of homecoming dreams. Train tickets vanish minutes after release, airports bustle with activity, and highways transform into arteries of returning citizens.

Why is Spring Festival Travel So Important?

For many Chinese people, Spring Festival is the only time they can return home due to demanding work schedules and long distances. It’s a sacred opportunity to reconnect with loved ones, particularly elderly parents who often live in rural areas.

Economic Impact:

This mass movement isn’t just a cultural phenomenon; it has a significant economic impact. Travel spending surges, boosting tourism, transportation, and retail sectors. Businesses prepare months in advance for the influx of customers, stocking shelves and offering special promotions.

Challenges and Future Trends:

The sheer volume of travelers inevitably brings challenges. Transportation systems experience strain, and ticket prices fluctuate. Yet, China’s infrastructure continues to develop, aiming to improve travel experiences and manage the growing demand.

Looking ahead, technology will play a key role in streamlining the Spring Festival travel rush. Online ticketing platforms, mobile apps, and smart transportation systems are being implemented to manage passenger flow and make journeys smoother.

Understanding the Significance:

Witnessing the Spring Festival travel rush offers a glimpse into the heart of Chinese culture. It’s a display of dedication to family, tradition, and the enduring importance of home. As China evolves, so too will this unique phenomenon, adapting to the changing needs of its people and shaping the future of travel in the world’s most populous nation.

Shayne Heffernan

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By Shayne Heffernan Ph.D.
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Shayne Heffernan Ph.D. Economist at Knightsbridge holds a Ph.D. in Economics and brings with him over 40 years of trading experience in Asia and hands on experience in Venture Capital, he has been involved in several start ups that have seen market capitalization over $500m and 1 that reach a peak market cap of $15b. He has managed and overseen start ups in Crypto, Mining, Shipping, Technology and Financial Services.
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