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US Real Estate Report

A record high 21% year-over-year growth rate in the median home-sale price hit $348,500, according to a new report from Redfin (redfin.com), the technology-powered real estate brokerage. One contributing factor to the large rate of growth is that more high-end homes are being sold now than a year ago. Asking prices reached an all-time high of $360,975.

Below are other key housing market takeaways for more than 400 U.S. metro areas during the 4-week period ending May 2 (unless otherwise noted).

Note that at this time last year, pandemic stay-at-home orders halted homebuying and selling, which makes year-over-year comparisons unreliable for select housing metrics. As such, Redfin has broken this report into two sections: metrics that are OK to compare to the same period in 2020, and metrics for which it makes more sense to compare to the same period in 2019.

Metrics to compare to 2020:

  • A record low of just 19 days on market for homes that sold during the period, down 16 days from the same period in 2020.
  • A record high of 48% of homes sold for more than their list price, up 20 percentage points from the same period a year earlier.
  • A record high 101.4% average sale-to-list price ratio, which measures how close homes are selling to their asking prices, up 2.7 percentage points year over year. This means that the average home sold for 1.4% more than its asking price.
  • A record high 58% of homes that went under contract had an accepted offer within the first two weeks on the market.
  • A record high 45% of homes that went under contract had an accepted offer within one week of hitting the market.

Metrics to compare to 2019:

  • Pending home sales were up 23% from the same period in 2019.
  • New listings of homes for sale were down 8% from the same period in 2019. Compared to the four-week period ending April 4, new listings were up 9%, slightly larger than the 7% increase during the same period in 2019. Although new listings are still in short supply, they are following a typical seasonal pattern and showing slightly more growth than in 2019.
  • Active listings (the number of homes listed for sale at any point during the period) fell 48% from the same period in 2019.

Mortgage purchase applications decreased 3% week over week (seasonally adjusted). For the week ending April 29, 30-year mortgage rates decreased slightly to 2.96%.

“Right now we are seeing a substantial increase in home prices, which could be a precursor to more widespread inflation throughout the economy,” said Redfin Chief Economist Daryl Fairweather. “Lumber prices are surging, which has driven up prices of new homes and indirectly drives up prices of existing homes. As states lift their pandemic restrictions, we will likely see more shortages and price increases on everything from gasoline to hotel stays and food. These price increases will likely be short-lived, but could cut into homebuyers’ budgets and ease competition enough for the housing market to become more balanced. A more balanced market could encourage more move-up homeowners to finally sell, because they won’t be so fearful about being able to find and compete for a home to buy.”

To view the full report, including charts and methodology, please visit: https://www.redfin.com/news/housing-market-update-home-prices-up-21-pct/

S. Jack Heffernan Ph.Dhttps://www.knightsbridgelaw.com
S. Jack Heffernan Ph.D. Economist at Knightsbridge holds a Ph.D. in Economics and brings with him over 25 years of trading experience in Asia and hands on experience in Venture Capital, he has been involved in several start ups that have seen market capitalization over $500m and 1 that reach a peak market cap of $15b. He has managed and overseen start ups in Crypto, Mining, Shipping, Technology and Financial Services.

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