$GLD, $XAU, $USD Gold markets broken down significantly last week, marking well below the $1500 mark, a very negative sign, but when you look at the weekly chart, you can see a bullish flag. But, this market needs to save itself quickly or it will be serious technical trouble. The $1450 mark will continue to keep […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $GLD, $VXX Investing in this market successfully requires the creation of an investing strategy that outperforms the broader market. Consider, Factor Investing, it is not new, dating to the mid-1970’s, and has been boosted over the past few years from the acceptance of ETFs. Now, there is over $900-B invested in […]
$DIA, $XAU, $XAG At week’s end we find the Dow Jones with a bearish, picture-perfect head and shoulders technical formation. The left shoulder goes back to last April, the head in early July and the right shoulder at the close of the week. So, is the market a sell as September 2019 comes to a […]
$MSCI FLASH: Fund Manager Who Beat 98% of Peers Says Stay Calm and Buy Stocks Trade war? Yes. Global slowdown? Yes. Volatile market? Yes. The Big Q: Does that mean investors should cash out and run? The Big A: Not this top-performing fund manager, she is staying put. Joanna Kwok, who co-manages the JPMorgan Asia […]
$XAU $GLD The gold price market technicals and fundamentals are aligned in here. The precious Yellow metal is up about 17% YTD, and that is up nearly 28% from this time last year. With prices back at $1,513 oz, some investors and market watchers are back to looking for Northside marks at $1,800 – 2,000 […]
$BTC, $BTCUSD, $FB FLASH: Bitcoin (BTC) was on life support 6 months ago, with prices at about 20% of their record highs, disappointing the world of cryptocurrency enthusiasts who had grown use to extreme moves North and South in the virtual currency. Then last week’s Asia Blockchain Summit in Taipei highlighted how volatility is back, […]
$BTCUSD, $FB, $JPM, $V, $UBER Bitcoin (BTC) jumped Friday, and is set to mark the best Quarterly rally since the height of Y 2017’s cryptocurrency bubble with another push higher following a week of extreme price volatility. Bitcoin, the largest cryptocurrency, rose $1,408, or 13%, to $12,094 in New York trading, and it has has […]
$BTC,$BTCUSD Bitcoin’s (BTC) rise was meteoric this week and its decline has been just as swift. The speculation frenzy over Bitcoin pushed its price to nearly $14,000 Wednesday, its highest mark since January 2018. Bitcoin, the largest digital asset reversed after a prominent cryptocurrency exchange reported an outage Wednesday. The retreat accelerated Thursday and put […]
$BTC, $BTCUSD, $FB Bitcoin (BTC) prices and related cryptocurrencies and stocks ran up again Wednesday, continuing a strong rebound that has intensified with last week’s Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) announcement that it is entering the crypto space. Prices have surged roughly 40% since Friday, with the digital currency now flashing signs of a possible ‘climax‘ run. The last time […]
Indexica, a leader in the NLP alternative data space, announced that their predictive indexing intelligence engine has been able to find leading signals in news patterns related to Trump. While it’s clear that Trump’s tweets and actions move markets within seconds, what hasn’t been clear until now is whether the broader conversation stemming from him […]
$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD, $GOLD, $NEM, $VXX FLASH: Gold is finally seeing some bullish momentum as trade ructions escalate, fueling the biggest rally among the top miners in seven months. President Trump’s plan to impose a 5% tariff on all Mexican goods over illegal immigration rattled financial markets, boosting the haven appeal of the precious […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Stocks advanced for 3rd day running, driving S&P 500 back above its 50-Day MA, a Key technical mark. Nobel Prize-winning economist Robert Shiller warns that the US-China trade war is not over from disrupting financial markets just because stocks rallied after diving earlier in the week. “I think […]
$BTCUSD Tuesday, Bitcoin (BTCUSD) hit its highest mark in 10 months, raising hopes among cryptocurrency fans of greater mainstream acceptance, but others urged investor caution. Bitcoin, which lost 75% of its value in Y 2018, has soared by 24% since Friday and more than 2X’d in price so far this year. Currently Bitcoin is trading […]
$XAU, $GLD, $USD President Trump’s plans to nominate Stephen Moore and Herman Cain to the Fed board, and that move points back to The Gold Standard, a policy option once advocated by both men and President Trump himself. The Big Q: What is the case for returning to The Gold Standard? The Big A: Is […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The ‘easy money’ is coming off of Q-4 Sell-off January produced returns worthy of an entire year. Russell 2000 +11.7% YTD NAS Comp +10.0% YTD S&P 500 +8.0% YTD DJIA +7.6% YTD So, if you were in cash at year end, got the buy signal on 26 December then […]
$SPY Our work shows that calls for this Bull Market’s end are premature if not uncalled for. We here at HeffX-LTN believe that stocks will break out to all-time highs this year. The case for a continuing Bull Market is based on a chart pointing to negative market sentiment. At the end of Y 2018 our […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The world enters Y 2019 with some uncertainty about the prospects for global growth. The US is the bright spot and 1 of the most powerful job creators and drivers of international trade. If The Trump Administration and the new Congress are able to work together, there are areas where […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX Savvy investors are not worried about Southside risk in here. Investment guru Leon Cooperman said he is finding “tremendous value” in many stocks right now amid the market plunge. The Omega Advisors founder said he does not really see any signs of a lasting Bear market and urged savvy investors to buy “their […]
The Fed’s Policy of Perpetual Bull Market $DIA, $GLD, $SLV In this longest Bull market on record, do you see what I see in the Bear’s Eye View chart below? The Dow Jones’ last BEV Zero (last all-time high) was on October 3rd; and for the first time since October 3rd the Dow Jones broke down […]
Volatile Markets are Opportunities for Savvy Participants $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Some investors get scared when the stock market falls, but there is always the other side of that action. When selling happens, stocks are on sale. The recent Southside action can provide opportunities that investors have not seen for a while. The Key […]
Options Traders Setup for More Volatile Market Action $VXX, $CBOE, $SPY For the 2nd time this year, volatility has come back into the markets, and traders in the stock options market are betting ongoing market gyrations are not about to let up any time soon. People are betting action could come from either direction. This […]
Bitcoin (BTC) Falls, Bringing Down the Entire Cryptocurrency Market $BTCUSD For months, the price of Bitcoin has been hanging around the mid-6,000’s mark. But now, the most popular cryptocurrency has plummeted by 12% over the last day, hitting a value just above 5,500. The total market capitalization for Bitcoin now stands at $96-B, the 1st […]
Bitcoin’s Volatility Lowest in Nearly 2 Years $BTCUSD Bitcoin (BTC) is experiencing 1 of its worst annual price performances of its 10-year-old life, perhaps becoming more stable in the process. Volatility of the largest cryptocurrency has fallen to its lowest for nearly 2 years, with price swings falling lower than increasingly edgy US stocks for […]
A 2019 Bear Market Event May Trigger a DJIA Move to 40,000 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $MTAFF, $GLGDF, $RGLD, $FNV,$WPM You may recall in January 2016, the DJIA was trading at the 16,000 mark, when Yves Lamoureux, President of macroeconomic research firm Lamoureux & Co., said DIA would top 25,000 within 3-4 years. It did not take […]
“US is the Hottest Economy in World” US economic strength is built upon very real, solid fundamentals. National Economic Council Director Larry Kudlow said the American economy is beating the rest of its global rivals despite the stock market’s volatility. “We are the hottest economy in the world right now. We’re crushing it,” he said […]
Swiss Bankers Raise $104-M to Establish Crypto Financial Services Company $BTC, $ETH Seba Crypto AG, a Swiss financial services company run by ex-UBS Group AG bankers, said it raised money as it seeks to become 1 of the world’s 1st regulated banks to let consumers trade paper (fiat) money into cryptocurrency. The Zug HQ’d company […]
Bitcoin (BTC) Vs US Dollar (USD) $BTCUSD Trading in Bitcoin (BTC) and other digital coins continues to be very volatile, as the cryptocurrency market ramps up once again, running past the 6,000 mark: Bitcoin is the #1 cryptocurrency. Bitcoin remains highly correlated with the other digital coins, known aptly as the altcoins. When bitcoin rises, these […]
Dubai Getting Ahead of “the Cryptocurrency Game” $BTC, $ETH, $CME, $CBOT The Big Qs are: How seriously should we take the rise of cryptocurrency? Is it a serious rival to traditional currency? Should businesses consider using cryptocurrency? What do they need to do to implement it? Is enough being done to educate individuals and businesses […]
This Market Could Be Saying ‘Buy in May’ $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX An “upside-down” market may bode well for U.S. stocks, according to JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM). Established patterns look to be off in here, as bonds and equities move in tandem, stock prices climb along with volatility, shares fall despite strong earnings, and money flowed out […]
Goldman Sachs’ (NYSE:GS) Beats ‘The Street’ $GS Tuesday, Goldman Sachs Group Inc (NYSE:GS) beat Wall Street’s expectations for Quarterly profit driven by a rise in trading revenue and higher fees from debt and equity underwriting. The leading Wall Street bank’s trading revenue jumped 30% from a year earlier when it reported a 2% fall, hurt […]
Investors Rotating Leadership form QE ‘Winners’ to QE ‘Losers’ $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Analysts are expecting investors will shift their holdings as the realization sinks in that the Fed is committed to raising interest rates until a major event compels the central bank to reverse course. That means investments that had strong gains during a […]
Big Tech Changes Coming Fast Big technolgy has been dominating the news and is a major driver of US stock markets. The sector’s narrative has changed with amazement at the power of disruptive innovation to change not just what we do but how we do it now and the consequences. This, of course has raised […]
Traders Like Volatility, Investors Like Strong Earnings $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Stock investors are hoping a strong earnings season to restore the optimism that characterized equity markets last year. Traders are happy given the surge in volatility this year Analysts predict strong results results ahead with Q-1 S&P 500 profit growth on track to be […]
Bitcoin Trading is Ranged in Here $BTCUSD,$ETHUSD, $CME, $CBOE Bitcoin was the lone winner Wednesday, ending its recent skid. The #1 digital currency bitcoin BTCUSD, -2.56% spent the last 24 hours trading on either side of $8,000 and last traded at: 7,675.1748,-213.79, or -2.71% as of of 5:45a BST, the market is open. Despite coming off a string of […]
Jack Dorsey, “Bitcoin Will Be the World’s Single Currency” $BTCUSD , $TWTR, $SQ Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) and Square (NYSE:SQ) CEO Jack Dorsey recently had very positive remarks about Bitcoin. He predicted the future of finance, suggesting that the “father of cryptocurrencies” is likely to become the world’s only currency within the next 10 years. Mr. Dorsey declared: […]
Savvy Traders Laud the Return of Market Volatility $VXX, $DIA After last week’s action, some market participants await a return to the calm, but that may not be in their longer-term interest to revert to the very unusual market conditions that we had before. What they should be looking for new is a market that […]
Arcane Financial Products That Track VIX Questioned $CBOE, $VXX, $CS, $NMR Wall Street’s most widely followed ‘fear gauge’ of future stock market volatility is being manipulated, causing billions of dollars in losses a year to unwary investors, a law firm representing an “anonymous whistleblower” alleged in a letter to US financial regulators and released Monday. […]
Economic Gains Come with President Trump’s Infrastructure Plan US President Donald Trump’s multi-billion dollar infrastructure plan helps give state and local governments control while streamlining the permit process. “The way it will work, the $200-B dollars in federal dollars won’t be granted until state and local governments come forward with private investment to match it,” White […]
Insight into the Stock Markets’ ‘Quick’ Correction $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX As US stock markets conclude 1 of the worst weeks point-wise in history, below is a list of the Key things to know about the quick 9 day corrective action, as follows: It was driven by technicals, not fundamentals. The ongoing market correction does […]
Technically the Stock Market’s Volatility Looks Short Term $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX US equities reclaimed some losses for the week Friday in another volatile trading session. The S&P 500 gained 1.5% The DJIA gained 1.4% The NAS Comp gained 1.4% The Russell 2000 gained 1.0%. The S&P 500 covered a wide range of about 105 […]
Retail Investors Undeterred by Volatile US Stock Market $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Financial advisers across the US say that the volatility in the US stock market has not yet curtailed the appetite by small participants to put money in the stock market. Approximately 52% of Americans own stocks either directly or through a mutual fund, […]
Fed: US Stock Market Outlook Unchanged in Growing Economy $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Fed officials played down recent volatility in global stock markets, sounding as resolved to push ahead with gradual increases in interest rates as before the pullback. “Having a bump like this has virtually no consequence in my view of the economic outlook,” […]
Stock Market Participants Who Bet on Volatility ‘Hammered’ $VXX For a very long time volatility in the stock market had remained at 30 year lows, as stocks rose to new all-time highs since the day after the 2016 Presidential election without a pullback (3-5%) or a correction (9-11%). That is the longest stretch in market […]
Bitcoin Fell to $9,500 On Regulatory Concerns $BTCUSD, $CBOE Wednesday, Bitcoin fell to $9,500, that is 1/2 its value from its peak price, on investors fears regulators could clamp down on the cryptocurrency. Currently, Bitcoin is trading at: 11,159.9951, -95.00, or -0.84%, as of 9:45p GMT, the market is open. The price of Bitcoin, the world’s biggest […]
Bitcoin: Professional Traders Up Net Shorts At Year’s End $BTCUSD, $CME, $CBOE, $FB Trading in Bitcoin is volatile, while .DXY takes a beating In November, Bitcoin fell almost 30% in 4 days from $7,888 to $5,555. In September, it fell 40% from $4,979 to $2,972. And ETF specialist asset manager focused on technology, said in his newsletter […]
Bitcoin: Professional Traders Up Net Shorts At Year’s End $BTCUSD, $CME, $CBOE Trading in Bitcoin is volatile. In November, Bitcoin fell almost 30% in 4 days from $7,888 to $5,555. In September, it fell 40% from $4,979 to $2,972. And ETF specialist asset manager focused on technology, said in his newsletter that investors had displayed […]
Forex Morning Briefing: Bitcoin $BTCUSD $CME, $CBOE Commentary: Most currencies to go quiet until after 1 January 2018. PE Last week, Bitcoin dropped from nearly $20,000 to a low of below $12,000. The sell-off was unexpected to some, leading civilian participants to call it Armageddon. On Christmas Eve, it started to rise and then fall again, it […]
Forex Morning Briefing: Bitcoin $BTCUSD, $CME, $CBOE Bitcoin, the Big Q: How High Can it Go, How Low Can it Go? Bitcoin, after running hard to tap at $20,000, the crypto currency has cascaded ever since the CME aka the Merc, (NASDAQ:CME) started offering Bitcoin futures at the start of last week. From its high […]
Bear Market Volatility, 200 Day Count in this Bull Market $DIA, $VXX, $GLD Anything I say this week may appear foolish this Friday. Unless something big happens, this is my last article for 2017. I plan to submit my next for the weekend of January 13-14. I do not expect my readers will be missing […]
Red Hot Bitcoin 24/7 Market Exposes Soft ‘Underbelly’ $BTCUSD ,$CBOE, $CME Bitcoin price: 16,674.0449, -495.961, or -2.89%, as of 5:55a GMT, Market Open. Tuesday, Bitcoin raced to another record high, as 1 of the biggest providers of digital currency wallets, Coinbase, crashed under the weight of traffic, leaving many of its more than 10-M customers unable […]
Bitcoin On Wall Street, Opens Strong $BTCUSD, $CBOE , $CME $GBTUSD Just 4 hours after its debut on Cboe Global Markets Inc.’s (NASDAQ:CBOE) Bitcoin futures, the contracts spiked more than 20% and triggered 2 trading halts designed to cool volatility. Dealers said initial volumes exceeded expectations, while traffic on Cboe’s website was so strong that […]
Bitcoin Futures Trading Enters ‘Mainstream’ Finance $BTCUSD, $CME, $CBOE Currently Bitcoin is trading at: 15,879.9951, +1,810.98, or +12.87% Trading in Bitcoin futures opens Sunday evening in Chicago, as the 1st major US exchange offers a product pegged to the wildly fluctuating cryptocurrency. The currency has risen more than 1,000% this year, and about 80% in the past […]
Bitcoin: Buyers Return to Market After Deep Dive Monday $BTCUSD Investing and trading in Bitcoin is not for novices or the feint of heart. Bitcoin halted a 2-day correction as speculators saw a 29% dive from its record high as an excessive response to a technology upgrade being cancelled. The cryptocurrency is currently trading $6,758.9351, […]
Playing the VIX, a Fast Way to Loose Money $VXX, $SPY Warning: Betting against stock-market volatility is a recipe for investment disaster. Trading the benchmark S&P 500 (NYSEArca:SPY) Index and evaluating stocks on an individual basis, and not trying to outsmart the CBOE Volatility Index aka VIX, (NYSEARCA:VXX) a measure of expected stock volatility, aka […]
Bitcoin, The Big Picture $BTCUSD finished at $4410.98 Wednesday. The price of Bitcoin rose Wednesday, following a brief dip below the $4,000 mark, in an apparent run at another record high. On 1 August Bitcoin Cash ,Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash successfully launched. The Big Picture A simple cryptocurrency transaction looks like this, as follows: John wants to send […]
A Study in Bear Markets Years 1900 to 2017 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $GLD, $SLV Last week was not all Wine & Roses, this week is better Last Monday closed with the DJIA at a new all-time high, but it was downhill for the rest of the week. And the week the NYSE began producing more […]
The DJIA Has Been Moving from 1 New All-time High to Another $DIA, $GLD, $VXX The last article I sent out was on the weekend of July 15, and since then the DJIA has seen 10 new all-time highs. In fact, since July 11 the Dow Jones Industrial Average has increased from 21,409.07 to 22,092.81 […]
Monsanto’s (NYSE:MON) Herbicide Dicamba Destroying Gardens and Orchards $MON As the US growing season entered its peak this Summer, farmers began posting startling pictures on social media of fields of beans, peach orchards and vegetable gardens withering away. The photographs served as early warnings of a crisis that has damaged millions of acres of farmland. […]
Hong Kong is the World’s Top Stock Market $HSI, $TCEHY, $PNGAY, $AAPL, $FB Among the world’s biggest stock markets, there have not been any better investments YTD than Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index But under the surface of that 25% rise, gains are getting more concentrated, and that means for some shares, volatility is on […]
Stocks at All-time Highs, VIX Index Falls to 23-Year Lows $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The Trump Rally Extends Strong earnings boosted US stocks on Tuesday, driving the S&P 500 to a record high while also sending a popular options-based gauge of expected price volatility down to a more than 23-year low. The CBOE Volatility Index […]
Not Being Invested in Low Volatility Market ‘Can Be Costly’ $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Goldman Sachs in a Note to clients: “Not being invested in a low volatility market “can be costly””. Many market strategists worry the low levels of volatility reflect market complacency, but Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) equity strategist explained that the low volatility […]
The World Markets are Not Afraid of Anything NKorea Does If North Korea’s multiple missile launches are worrying anyone, it does not seem to be investors in Asian stocks. Even though the Kim Jong Un regime carried out its ninth ballistic missile test early Monday morning, with the projectile landing 200 miles off the coast […]
Market Volatility in Precious Metals $DIA, $GLD, $SLV Since its last all-time high seen on March 1st, the Dow has yet to break lower than -3.5% from it, or make a new all-time high. It has been a boring market. Something in me wants to see some excitement on Wall Street and Wednesday I got […]
DJIA Saw Resistance, Traded to the Bottom of Trading Range $DJIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The DJIA traded down 372.82 pts, Treasuries rallied the most since Brexit and volatility spiked up, as the indexes back off of all time highs profit taking. Many pundits are declaring political aspects to this pullback, however, I have been expecting it […]
The 1st Quarter was Good for Stocks $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Q-1 of this year good for stocks as the S&P 500 climbed just over 5.5% during the frame. Mapping the move of the S&P 500 and the other major stock market indices over the last Q, we see that March was a different month […]
Crude Oil Prices Falling, Traders Worry About Global Supply Glut $USO, $OIL, $BHI Crude Oil prices fell Monday in part by renewed concerns about the global supply glut after a meeting of the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) producers failed to impress traders and investors. May WTI Crude Oil fell 0.44, or 0.9%, to […]
The “Trump Trade” is Still in the Market $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX It has been difficult for analysts to differentiate “Trump Rally Trades” from those stemming from reflation, and solid global economic indicators that suggest some basis for bond yields and stock values above the lows of Y 2016. The USD, sometimes a bellwether for […]
Wall Street Finally Saw the Expected “Dip” in The Trump Rally $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Wall Street dipped Tuesday as investors took some profits after the record Trump Rally run, and maybe some nervousness ahead of the Key healthcare vote Thursday The S&P 500 and DJIA put in their worst 1-day performances since before Donald […]
Investors Tune Out “Noise” Focus on Economic Growth $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX So far during The Trump Era, the global markets are showing a low level of volatility, that despite the chaos and uncertainty that analysts warned his Presidential win would bring. Notably, the global economy’s growth is at its most steady and predictable for […]
Crude Oil (USO, OIL) Breaks Key Support, Heading ‘Due South” $USO, $OIL Crude Oil’s clear break through Key support at 50 bbl has set the options market On Fire. A record number of options contracts, the equivalent to more than 800-M bbl of Crude Oil changed hands Thursday, according to the exchange data. The tally includes […]
The Volatility (VIX) Index and What it Means to Investors $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX, $GLD The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX) usually moves opposite to the stock market, meaning when stocks are up, the VIX is down, and vice versa. But lately, even though the S&P 500 is on the rise, the VIX […]
Stanley Druckenmiller Changed His Mind About Gold $GLD, $DIA After the US Presidential election, billionaire hedge fund manager Stanley Druckenmiller made headlines by announcing that he had sold all of his Gold on 8 November. Yes, sold all of his Gold on Donald Trump’s election as President. He said that the way he saw the […]
All US Major Stock Market Indexes Finished at All Time Highs $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX All major US stock market indexes rose to record highs as the Trump Rally extends, as there is optimism that Donald Trump is going to put the US on an economic fast track The S&P 500 Index, the DJIA, the […]
Post Election Bond Sell Off Continues, USD Surges $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Commentary: The US Dollar (.DXY) Index is up 0.26% to 100.48 today as the probability for a vote to hike rates at the 13-14 December FOMC meeting moved to a near certainty. Higher policy rates at the Fed should encourage capital to flow into […]
Major US Investment Banks Prepared for Election Volatility $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The major US investment banks, including Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS), JPMorgan Chase & Co.(NYSE:JPM) and Goldman Sachs Group Inc.(NYSE:GS), are bracing for potential confusion and disorder on financial markets in the wake of Tuesday’s US Presidential election. Bank preparations ahead of the US election […]
Key Stock, Crude, Gold and Silver Markets Briefing $DIA, $DAX, $GLD, $SLV, $OIL, $USO, $CU Commentary: Only Shanghai is trading in the Green amongst the other indices and looks to rise near term. But majorly other indices look Bearish with supports just a few sessions away from current levels. There could be an increase in […]
Key DJIA, Crude, Gold and Silver Markets Briefing $DIA, $DAX, $GLD, $SLV, $OIL, $USO, $CU Commentary: Almost all stocks are now trading in the Red. We may have seek confirmation of a break below interim supports Wednesday to become Bearish near term. the Fed ended its 2-day meeting Wednesday, the rate remained the same as […]
Investor Movement Index (IMX) for September 2016 Major US stock indices approached or achieved all-time peaks last month and retail traders did not hide out, raising their stock exposure to 2-year highs in September. For the 2nd-straight month and the 5th month in the last 6, retail traders tracked by TD Ameritrade were net buyers […]
The British ‘Bookies’ are seeing the Brexit Phenomenon The pattern of bets in the US Presidential Election looks similar to what happened before Britain voted to leave the EU. Donald Trump’s odds are currently 5/2 and Hillary Clinton’s odds are 2/5, according to a compilation of various gambling sites done by Oddschecker.com. That means a […]
US Stock Market Action Signals A Trump Victory $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The US stock market has a good track record calling presidential races. Today, it is sending information that counts against Democrat Hillary Clinton. The performance of the S&P 500 Index has signaled the outcome of every Presidential election since Y 1984. A gain […]
Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX This is the last full week before the US election on November 8th. It is also NFPs Report week. The GDP at 2.9% is bunk, now expect a jobs report stuffed with some minimum wage jobs and more people looking for full-time jobs but being […]
Key Stock, Crude, Gold and Silver Markets Briefing $DIA, $DAX, $GLD, $SLV, $OIL, $USO, $CU Commentary: Globally stocks shows some weakness near term. PE DJIA at 18199.33, +0.17% looks for a correction towards 18000 in the coming sessions. A clear break above 18200-18300, if seen would be surprising in here, and could signal medium term […]
Key Stock, Crude, Gold and Silver Markets Briefing $DIA, $DAX, $GLD, $SLV, $OIL, $USO, $CU Commentary: News has brought in some volatility in the stock indices. Mariano Rajoy, Prime Minister of Spain is set to form a new government, after the main opposition party, the Socialists, voted Sunday not to block his re-election, ending the 10-month […]
Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Monday, the major US major stock indexes finished at: DJIA +88.55 at 18329.04, NAS Comp +36.27 at 5328.67, S&P 500 +9.92 at 2163.66 Volume: Trade was light on Columbus Day with about 666-M/shares exchanged on the NYSE Russell 2000 +10.1% YTD NAS Comp +6.4% YTD S&P 500 +5.9% […]
Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX This is a Big data week, starting with the ISM Monday, Factory Orders Wednesday, and the September NFPs, employment report Friday. The day to day Wall Street volatility continues with the NYSE indexes struggling in Bearish patterns while SOX, NAS Comp and RUTX holding. The […]
Extreme Volatility and Market Breadth Seen in Coming Days $DIA, $GLD, $SLV There was some excitement Tuesday, as the Dow Jones was down 1.41% and the NYSE saw a day of extreme breadth. But the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) recovered from its early week losses, and ended the week higher than last Friday’s close. The […]
Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) Heffx Trading Outlook Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards. Short term: Prices are stalling. Intermediate term: Prices are trending. Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the upside. The projected upper bound is: 59.59. The projected lower bound is: 55.58. The projected closing price is: 57.59. Candlesticks A black body occurred […]
Sirius XM (NASDAQ:SIRI) Bearish Outlook Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards. Short term: Prices are stalling. Intermediate term: Prices are ranging. The projected upper bound is: 4.36. The projected lower bound is: 4.04. The projected closing price is: 4.20. Candlesticks During the past 10 bars, there have been 5 white candles and 3 black […]
Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) in an Upward Trend Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards. Short term: Prices are moving. Intermediate term: Prices are trending. Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the upside. By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 14.39. The projected upper bound is: 16.24. The projected lower […]
The $50-B Gold Industry Deal Spree Is Extending $GLD, $ABX, $NEM The $50-B Gold industry deal spree is extending into its 3rd year, even as the rising bullion price makes sealing transactions and valuing mines more difficult. Gold has regained its “shine” as investors seek havens from volatile markets and weak interest rates. While the […]
EURUSD HEFFX Expects Parity in 2017 Official figures show that economic growth across the 19-country eurozone halved in the second quarter of the year, a development that is probably more likely due to the fading boost from a lower oil prices and weaker euro than to concerns in the run-up to the British vote on […]
Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The military coup in Turkey initially saw some volatility in the major stock market futures, but recovered and now are flat with a Bullish bias as I write the report. Asia marked seem to be taking in in stride after a mild test. The central […]
The Rush to Gold and What it Means $GLD, $SLV Econominst Nasser Saidi PhD discusses the fluctuating fortunes of Gold and what the future is for the precious Yellow metal Gold prices had been on the decline since rallying strongly after the financial crisis and peaking above the 1,800-mark in Y 2012. But after touching […]
Silver, the “Devil’s” Metal Shining Brightly $SLV, $GLD Silver and Gold are both money and a commodity, and during times of market uncertainty, like we have been seeing since the beginning of this year risk off investors first rush to Gold as a hedge against the value of their fiat (paper) currency. And also since Gold is […]
Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX There will be some give back to start this week after such a strong move to close out the post-Brexit as the market is very overbought, but the momentum indicators are strong, new highs for S&P 500 and DJIA may happen early, the move has backing. […]
Bitcoin ‘Mining” Outlook Uncertain Simpley put, all Bitcoin transactions are recorded on a blockchain, a public, decentralized, permissionless ledger. The transactions are recorded in bundles, called “blocks,” by “miners” who receive a small reward in kind for mining. The process creates new Bitcoins. Miners currently earn 25 Bitcoins per block that is 16.175. The beginning […]
Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The beginning of Q-3 starts Tuesday and with the Fed, BOE and ECB stating they will stand by the markets, we may presume that the major Wall Street indices will continue North though perhaps after a pause to refresh given velocity the move South and the V […]
Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX This week Wall Street participants will come to terms, and working through the Brexit result. Friday close was not the bottom, likely the beginning of the long awaited correction. There are some huge positions that will be unwound early this week and those have to move through […]
Wednesday’s Technical Outlook for DJIA (.DJI) $DIA, $DJI Wall Street gained for a 2nd day running Tuesday, with the attention focused in the upcoming UK vote over its EU membership. Gains were moderated after Monday’s sharp advances, and the DJIA rose 24 pts, or 0.14%, to finish at 17,829.73. The S&P 500 rose 5 pts, […]
Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The DJIA looking like it is waiting to see with a Bearish bias. Big names broke lower then bounced Friday but still finished in the Red. DJIA -57.94 at 17675.16, NAS Comp -44.58 at 4800.34, S&P 500 -6.77 at 2071.22 Wall Street ended a volatile week Friday on a […]
