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Saudi Aramco is a Buy


Energy giant Saudi Aramco said it has struck a 12.4-billion-dollar deal to sell a minority stake in a newly formed oil pipeline business to a consortium led by US-based EIG Global Energy Partners.

The deal comes as Aramco — the kingdom’s cash cow — seeks to monetise its once-untouchable assets to generate revenue for the Saudi government as it accelerates efforts to diversify the oil-reliant economy.

“Upon closing, Aramco will receive upfront proceeds of around $12.4 billion, further strengthening its balance sheet through one of the largest energy infrastructure deals globally,” the company said in a statement late Friday.

“As part of the transaction, a newly-formed Aramco subsidiary, Aramco Oil Pipelines Company, will lease usage rights in Aramco’s stabilised crude oil pipelines network for a 25-year period.”

The EIG-led consortium will hold a 49 percent stake in the subsidiary, Aramco said, adding that it will retain “full ownership and operational control”.

Aramco did not say which other companies were part of the consortium.

In the statement, Aramco chief executive Amin Nasser hailed the deal as a “landmark transaction” that would help “maximise returns for our shareholders”.

The announcement comes after Aramco posted consecutive falls in profits since it began disclosing earnings in 2019, piling pressure on government finances as Riyadh pursues multi-billion dollar projects to diversify the economy.

Last month, Aramco posted a 44.4 percent slump in 2020 net profit due to lower crude prices.

Saudi Arabia, the world’s biggest crude exporter, was hammered last year by low prices as the coronavirus pandemic weighed on global demand, prompting sharp cuts in production.

Even so, Aramco said it stuck to its commitment of paying shareholders dividends worth $75 billion in 2020 — an amount that exceeds the declared profit and available cash flow.

Dividend payments from Aramco help the Saudi government, the company’s biggest shareholder, manage its ballooning budget deficit.

– Saudi ‘crown jewel’ –

Long seen as the kingdom’s “crown jewel”, Aramco and its assets were once tightly under government control and considered off-limits to outside investment.

But with the rise of de facto ruler Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, who is pushing to implement his “Vision 2030” reform programme, the kingdom has shown readiness to cede some control.

Aramco sold a sliver of its shares on the Saudi bourse in December 2019, generating $29.4 billion in the world’s biggest initial public offering.

In January, Prince Mohammed said the kingdom would sell more Aramco shares in the coming years.

He said future share offerings would be a key way to boost the Public Investment Fund, the kingdom’s sovereign wealth fund which is the main engine of its diversification efforts.

In a major new diversification push late last month, Saudi Arabia announced plans to pump investments worth $3.2 trillion into the national economy by 2030, roping in the kingdom’s biggest companies including Aramco.

Under a programme name “Shareek”, or partner, Aramco and other top Saudi companies will lead the investment drive by contributing five trillion riyals ($1.3 trillion) over the next decade, Prince Mohammed said.

In a briefing to reporters, he added that the companies, many of them listed, had agreed to lower their dividends and redirect the money into the domestic economy in exchange for incentives such as subsidies.

In the statement announcing the deal with the EIG-led group, Nasser said Aramco was “capitalising on new opportunities that also align strategically with the recently-launched Shareek programme”.

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S. Jack Heffernan Ph.D. Economist at Knightsbridge holds a Ph.D. in Economics and brings with him over 25 years of trading experience in Asia and hands on experience in Venture Capital, he has been involved in several start ups that have seen market capitalization over $500m and 1 that reach a peak market cap of $15b. He has managed and overseen start ups in Crypto, Mining, Shipping, Technology and Financial Services.