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China USD Holdings Drift

China’s foreign exchange reserves shrank to 3.17 trillion U.S. dollars at the end of March from 3.205 trillion dollars at the end of February, official data showed Wednesday.

The amount fell 1.09 percent from the end of February, according to the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE).

In March, China’s forex market functioned stably, with the supply and demand of foreign exchange basically in balance, said SAFE spokesperson Wang Chunying.

The scale of China’s foreign exchange reserves has remained over 3.1 trillion dollars for 11 consecutive months, said Wen Bin, a chief analyst at China Minsheng Bank, adding that although the scale dropped at the end of March, it is still relatively high compared with readings in recent years, he said.

Affected by factors such as the COVID-19 pandemic, the development of COVID-19 vaccines and expectations of major countries’ fiscal and monetary policies, the dollar index saw an increase, while the bond prices of major countries fell last month, Wang added.

The spokesperson attributed the decline in forex reserves to the combined effects of currency translation and changes in asset prices.

It is normal for the size of foreign exchange reserves to fluctuate with the change of valuation, Wen said.

Wang expects the scale of China’s forex reserves to remain generally stable, despite uncertainties in the international financial market and global economic recovery amid virus-induced risks.

Wen also noted that China’s forex reserves will remain stable in the future, supported by the continuous recovery of China’s economy and the increase in international demand.

The country’s economic boom will help increase the attraction of RMB assets, while the global economic recovery will contribute to the stability of exports and promote the balance of international payments, Wen said.

S. Jack Heffernan Ph.Dhttps://www.knightsbridgelaw.com
S. Jack Heffernan Ph.D. Economist at Knightsbridge holds a Ph.D. in Economics and brings with him over 25 years of trading experience in Asia and hands on experience in Venture Capital, he has been involved in several start ups that have seen market capitalization over $500m and 1 that reach a peak market cap of $15b. He has managed and overseen start ups in Crypto, Mining, Shipping, Technology and Financial Services.

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