No One Went Away in May, Rally to Continue

No One Went Away in May, Rally to Continue

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX It is the end of May and the S&P 500 cracked and broke through the Key overhead resistance at 3,000 and held, this after a month of sideways trading and consolidation. Now Summer is here an my prediction should make investors feel safer after this unpopular rally drove prices higher […]

US Pending Home Sales Off in April

US Pending Home Sales Off in April

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX April had a record decline in Americans signing contracts to buy homes, a reflection of the broader shutdown of economic activity in response to the C-19 coronavirus chaos outbreak. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) said Thursday that pending home sales index dove 21.8% from the prior month to a level of […]

After This Instant Recovery Nearly 70% of Managed Money is Still Bearish

After This Instant Recovery Nearly 70% of Managed Money is Still Bearish

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX The love-hate relationship many investors had with US stocks during the 11 yr Bull market is reemerging, as stock steadily climb the Wall of Worry in the face of economic devastation and uncertainty. The benchmark S&P 500 index has risen 34% from its 23 March lows and the NAS Comp is […]

Americans Like to Shop for Groceries in a Store, Not Online

Americans Like to Shop for Groceries in a Store, Not Online

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Online grocery sales have risen 200% YTD, according to Earnest Research, part of a broader boom in home cooking now that thousands of restaurants are closed. The $840-B grocery industry has been one of the few bright spots during this medical emergency that has hammered the economy. Walmart Inc.(NYSE:WMT), Amazon.com Inc.(NASDAQ:AMZN) and startup […]

“Fast Economic Recovery in Sight”

“Fast Economic Recovery in Sight”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Jamie Dimon sees “pretty good odds” of a fast economic recovery starting in Q-3 thanks to the US government’s stimulus programs and the strength of the consumer going into the Medical Malpractice chaos. “You could see a fairly rapid recovery,” the JPMorgan Chase & Co. CEO said Tuesday at a […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, What the Bulls are Telling Us

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, What the Bulls are Telling Us

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last Week’s Action The large-cap indexes were lower Thursday, and flat Friday. On the week though the S&P 500 (+3.2%), DJIA (+3.3%), and NAS Comp (+3.4%) rose 3%+, and the small-cap Russell 2000 climbed 7.8%. The Bulls are in charge. Technical Analysis S&P 500 broke higher Wednesday, opened lower Thursday and […]

Almost 50% of Fund Managers are Overweight the Healthcare Sector

Almost 50% of Fund Managers are Overweight the Healthcare Sector

$GILD $PFE $INO $MRNA $JNJ $GSK $SPY Investors are diversifying bets in the healthcare sector, as the rush to develop treatments for C-19 coronavirus has driven up prices for some Big Pharma stocks. Now at least 48% of fund managers are overweight healthcare stocks, a BofA survey showed, and the S&P 500 healthcare sector is […]

Americans Leaving Their Homes, and Hitting the Road

Americans Leaving Their Homes, and Hitting the Road

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Americans locked at homes for 9 wks are anxious to participate in a C-19 coronavirus experiment that begins this Memorial Day weekend, with all 50 States open at least in part. People are filling resorts, casting aside masks at the mall and eating out. That freedom will boost an economy […]

Investors Imagine Negative US Interest Rates

Investors Imagine Negative US Interest Rates

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX Negative interest rates in the US were once taboo. The C-19 coronavirus chaos changed that, and has forced investors to give serious thought to the implications of such a drastic policy shift. Rate options, which gauge monetary policy expectations, Monday implied a 23% probability that the Key federal funds rate will […]

Goodbye to High-yield Savings Accounts

Goodbye to High-yield Savings Accounts

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX For years, the high-yield saving products were a success for both consumers and financial institutions alike. After getting almost Zero interest from big US banks, individuals who parked their excess cash with the likes of Ally Financial Inc., Barclays Plc, Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s consumer bank, Marcus, or HSBC Holdings Plc’s HSBC Direct […]

Mutual Fund Giants Unfazed by “Rich Guys” Warning on Stocks

Mutual Fund Giants Unfazed by “Rich Guys” Warning on Stocks

$DIA $SPY $QQQ Some Wall Street heavyweights who President Trump dubbed ‘rich guys’ last week may sound alarmed about stocks, but some of the world’s biggest investors are holding on or boosting their holdings. Money managers and strategists at Capital Group, Franklin Templeton and BlackRock Inc., which together oversee about $8.8-T, say stocks remain attractive […]

President Trump and Republican Leaders, ‘Reopen Our Economy Prefered Over More Stimulus’

President Trump and Republican Leaders, ‘Reopen Our Economy Prefered Over More Stimulus’

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday, President Trump and Republican congressional leaders are counting on state lockdowns lifting to propel an economic rebound that will ease pressure for another round of stimulus. “There is only one way out of this dilemma: America has to grow again, to open up again and I am pleased that […]

US Stock Indexes Gap Up and Hold, Futures Following On

US Stock Indexes Gap Up and Hold, Futures Following On

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Monday, US stock index futures edge higher Monday evening following a sharp rally in the broad market. Markets were bolstered after Fed Chairman Powell said Sunday night that he saw a path, toward an economic recovery from the C-19 coronavirus chaos in 2-H of Y 2020 and emphasized that he […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Fed’s Fast Actions

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Fed’s Fast Actions

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last Week’s Close Friday May options expired, and the market show us that the leaders were going to make good moves. The futures are telling us that Monday trades will be higher after last week’s action. This story helped: Friday mid-session it was the reported that the Fed purchased $305-M […]

“Shutdowns are causing mass economic strife, spurring unemployment, spikes in domestic violence and other dire consequences”

“Shutdowns are causing mass economic strife, spurring unemployment, spikes in domestic violence and other dire consequences”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie (R) called for businesses across the country to reopen with safety measures Friday, saying that the C-19 coronavirus chaos cannot control when parts of the country open. He wrote in a commentary that additional lives will be lost “as a result of reopening our […]

New York Stock Exchange to Reopen after Memorial Day

New York Stock Exchange to Reopen after Memorial Day

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $ICE The President of the New York Stock Exchange Stacey Cunningham announced after the closing bell Thursday the NYSE is going to reopen the trading floor the day after Memorial Day. “We will reopen our trading floor to a subset of floor brokers the day after Memorial Day,”  Ms. Cunningham wrote […]

President Trump, “‘Rich Guys’ Talking Down Stocks to Make a Profit”

President Trump, “‘Rich Guys’ Talking Down Stocks to Make a Profit”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX President Trump urged investors to be wary of “rich guys” using their platform to comment negatively about stocks, when they tend to profit from betting against the market. The market has been trading laterly for the last 4.5 wks after coming off its best month in a generation, as optimism about […]

President Trump, “I strongly believe in negative interest rates, and Powell has improved.”

President Trump, “I strongly believe in negative interest rates, and Powell has improved.”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Wednesday, President Trump said he strongly believes the Fed should have negative interest rates, but gave a modicum of approval to Fed Chairman Powell who said earlier in the day the FOMC would not lower rates beyond Zero. President Trump said Mr. Powell, who he frequently criticizes, has improved in […]

Elon Musk ‘the Champ’ for Businesses Defying Draconian Shutdown Orders

Elon Musk ‘the Champ’ for Businesses Defying Draconian Shutdown Orders

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $TSLA $VXX Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) CEO Elon Musk, with 34-M Twitter followers, has openly defied an order from the Alameda County Health Department to conduct only minimum operations at the company’s EV plant in Fremont, California, that normally employs 10,000 people. On Twitter he made derisive comments about the county’s Top health […]

Fed Poll: Americans See Stocks Higher, Consumer Spending Lower

Fed Poll: Americans See Stocks Higher, Consumer Spending Lower

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX US households expect the stock market to go higher in the next 12 months, as their own finances slide, according to a Federal Reserve Bank of New York poll. Americans saw better than 50-50 odds of higher stock prices over the next yr for the 1st time since data collection […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Taking the Long Term Outlook +

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Taking the Long Term Outlook +

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The DJIA is up about 30% from its 23 March low at 18.591.93, the S&P 500 SPX is up about the same per cent from its low at 2,237.40, and the NAS Comp has climbed by 32.5% from its lows of 6,850.67. My work shows the US market will continue rising well […]

President Trump, “No Rush for More Aid/Relief”

President Trump, “No Rush for More Aid/Relief”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Friday, President Trump said that he is in no hurry for Congress to pass more C-19 coronavirus related stimulus measures to help the economy. “We are in no rush,” President Trump said while meeting with House Republicans who spent an hour taking turns complimenting and congratulating the President for his […]

Big Tech Leads the Market’s Recovery, NASDAQ Turns Positive

Big Tech Leads the Market’s Recovery, NASDAQ Turns Positive

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Big Tech stocks turn higher on the year and an ETF that tracks the biggest among them has grew to a $100-B market value. None of the economic damage wrought by the C-19 coronavirus chaos has kept investors from investing in companies that stand out for their strong balance sheets […]

President Trump’s Policies Will Bring Economic Prosperity Back to America

President Trump’s Policies Will Bring Economic Prosperity Back to America

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX In Y 2016, the US economy was continuing its 8 year stagnation. The 2008-2009 Great Recession was over, but the expansion never happened, as the slow recovery was, well slow! Donald J. Trump was elected President and things changed. He brought economic prosperity to America. The Big Q: Can he […]

President Trump Polls Better on Economy and Virus

President Trump Polls Better on Economy and Virus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX President Trump’s popular support eroded that of the presumptive Democratic Presidential nominee, Joe Biden as he is struggling for visibility with voters during the C-19 coronavirus chaos, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released Tuesday. The opinion poll conducted Monday and Tuesday found 43% of registered voters said they would support […]

Seeing Signs of the World’s Economies Rebounding From the C-19 virus Chaos, Things are Stable, Time to Grow

Seeing Signs of the World’s Economies Rebounding From the C-19 virus Chaos, Things are Stable, Time to Grow

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Savvy economists say there is evidence the world economy has begun to recover from the C-19 coronavirus chaos, and the Draconian restrictions placed on businesses and consumers. “Economic activity has probably bottomed now,” said the chief economist at Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) in a note to clients Monday. “Lockdowns and social […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Taking the Long Term Outlook

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Taking the Long Term Outlook

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $UTX $VXX Last week’s action President Trump is now Laser focused on Opening Up America The S&P 500 hit the 78% Fibo retracement of the selloff. After a good 3rd leg, the market is ready for a test, how deep a test is the Big Q. We are watching the leaders to […]

On the 1st Day in May, Investors Took Some Profits

On the 1st Day in May, Investors Took Some Profits

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Friday, all 11 S&P 500 sectors opened and closed in the Red. The energy (-6.0%) and consumer discretionary (-4.6%) sectors took the biggest hits, and the consumer staples sector (-1.2%) declined the least.   Investors had to contend with President Trump threatening new tariffs on China for its handling of the […]

Mid-Term Technical Indicators Do Not Suggest ‘Sell in May…’

Mid-Term Technical Indicators Do Not Suggest ‘Sell in May…’

$DIA $SPY $QQQ We are seeing investors transitioning away from fear surrounding the coronavirus, and are focused on stocks and fundamentals. “The thing that’s gone on the most over the last couple of weeks is … this transition into a ‘more normalized ways of looking at the market,’”chief investment strategist at BMO Capital Markets said […]

On the Last Day of April Investors Took Some Profits

On the Last Day of April Investors Took Some Profits

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $USD $GLD $VXX Thursday, the market opened in the Red as some profit-taking into April’s month-end happened.  The market has been climbing that wall of worry the last few sessions improving the charts in all 3 major US stock market indexes, and thus turning all Key technical indicators Very Bullish. […]

US Stock Market is saying, “America is a victim of malpractice by medical advisors”

US Stock Market is saying, “America is a victim of malpractice by medical advisors”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX President Trump will travel to Arizona next week, his 1st trip since 28 March as the coronavirus chaos ramped up in the United States. “I think I’m going to Arizona next week, and we look forward to that,” he told reporters Wednesday during a Q&A session with industry leaders on reopening the […]

More Evidence that the ‘Worst is Over’ in the Stock Market and the Coronavirus

More Evidence that the ‘Worst is Over’ in the Stock Market and the Coronavirus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Big Q: Is the worst behind the stock market after a coronavirus-induced selloff? The Big A: We do not know for sure as officials attempt to restart economies from a self-imposed period of hibernation to curb the spread of the virus, but a chart pairing the infections of the […]

Stock Market Volatility Has Calmed in Here, Small, Midcaps Outperform

Stock Market Volatility Has Calmed in Here, Small, Midcaps Outperform

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $IWM  Small-caps, mid-caps, and most cyclical sectors outperformed the day. Market volatility has calmed since the extremes of mid-March, and recent moves may augur well for stocks. The Cboe Volatility Index, or VIX, closed below its 2nd-month future Monday for the 1st time since 21 February, going back to a […]

President Trump and GOP Lawmakers’ Powerful Efforts Will Restore the Economy Relatively Fast…

President Trump and GOP Lawmakers’  Powerful Efforts Will Restore the Economy Relatively Fast…

…The China Virus chaos took its shot at destroying the world’s Top economy quickly and failed. $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $PEP $SBUX $GOOGL $CAT $LUV GOP policymakers’ powerful aggressive response to supporting the virus-stricken US economy has also helped support stocks. Investors are looked past Q-1 corporate earnings results, with the coronavirus chaos now […]

Today’s US Stock Market says “the Worst is behind us now”

Today’s US Stock Market says “the Worst is behind us now”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The stock market is blocking bad news now and is saying the “worst is behind us“ It is the Key rationalization for the expansion, expansion to the point where the S&P 500 is trading today at a higher P/E multiple based on forward 12-month earnings 19.7X than it was trading […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Bulls in Running Mood as President Trump is Now Laser Focused on Opening Up America

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Bulls in Running Mood as President Trump is Now Laser Focused on Opening Up America

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $VXX Investors are pinning their hopes for the reopening of the US economy on the potential for wider availability of testing for COVID-19 cases and on drug trials for treatments of the disease. We have been letting doctors, who have shown the same propensity for predicting this virus as weathermen […]

US Stocks End the Week on a Positive Note

US Stocks End the Week on a Positive Note

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $AAPL $MSFT Friday, the S&P 500 finished +1.4% on Friday, wrapping up a negative week on a positive note with buyers coming into the close as sellers faded. All 11 S&P 500 sector indexes finished in the Green, with IT leading at + 2.1% and materials rallied 1.5%. The tech […]

This is what matters to investors, “Open the Economy Now!”

This is what matters to investors, “Open the Economy Now!”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX More than 90% of our country “is not in harm’s way, the virus lockdown flat-out fraud on a massive scale,” said David Stockman, President Ronald Reagan’s former Director of Office of Management and Budget China Virus trading will go down in history for its high velocity. We have witnessed the […]

Surviving & Thriving, Chaos Investing for Retail Participants

Surviving & Thriving, Chaos Investing for Retail Participants

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Black Swans in financial markets are extreme rare events. And how you survive and thrive when 1 happens is Key. With that in mind let’s look at some Black Swan mitigation strategies, as follows: In Nassim Taleb’s “Black Swan” (required reading) he suggests that he is constantly taking small losses […]

The Maximum Fear has Passed, Money Managers Looking for Risk-on Exposure

The Maximum Fear has Passed, Money Managers Looking for Risk-on Exposure

Shayne and I expect to see an increase in risk-on exposures as money managers are now positioning for a slowing rate of coronavirus contagion growth. Despite the buying by some aggressively Bullish hedge funds, macro hedge funds, which place bets on macroeconomic trends using index, currency and interest rate strategies, are still sellers. So, now […]

Crude Oil Volatility Signals Major ‘Rebalancing’

Crude Oil Volatility Signals Major ‘Rebalancing’

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $OIL $VXX The lack of demand in the world Crude Oil market has set it up to be forced into a necessary rebalancing over the coming weeks as rapidly filling storage leads to significant production cuts and higher prices. See price volatility continuing high in the weeks ahead, as retail […]

Really Cheap Gasoline and No Place to Go

Really Cheap Gasoline and No Place to Go

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $UGA $VXX This Crude Oil market is seeing declines despite OPEC +’s recent major deal to cut output as oversupply in light of the fight against coronavirus that has halted most of the global demand for Crude Oil. Monday, global Crude Oil prices fell to marks not seen since Y […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Bulls in a Running Mood as President Trump Beats the Virus

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Bulls in a Running Mood as President Trump Beats the Virus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Coronavirus Chaos Continues Stock indexes moved up continue the up trend pattern Economic data are generationally bad. Stocks continue to set up Bullish patterns. After hours reports of Gilead Sciences’s (NASDAQ:GILD) drug provide promise. Boeing (NYSE:BA) also promised to restart Seattle production. Friday gapped higher on options expiry, finishing […]

The US Stock Market Believes President Trump is Doing Well Against Virus

The US Stock Market Believes President Trump is Doing Well Against Virus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Saturday, President Trump said that the stock market’s 5 week blazing rally shows that traders and now investors like his Administration’s response to the coronavirus chaos has been a success. The Market is the Test. “The market is smart. The market is actually brilliant,” President Trump said at a White […]

“May is the ‘Transition’ Month, the Economy Will Resume”

“May is the ‘Transition’ Month, the Economy Will Resume”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Friday, the White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow that May will be a “transition month” for the United States while it recovers from the effects of the coronavirus pandemic, but he “firmly” believes the economy will improve from its sudden closures.  “We will get to the other side and we […]

Millions Unemployed, Homebuilding Collapses in Virus Chaos, Did We Really Need This?

Millions Unemployed, Homebuilding Collapses in Virus Chaos, Did We Really Need This?

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX To date a record 22-M Americans have filed for unemployment benefits over the past month, with millions more filing claims last week, thus wiping out all the job gains since the Great Recession and underscoring the toll on the economy from extraordinary measures to control the COVID-19 coronavirus outbreak. The […]

Gold Will Rise in This Economic Atmosphere, Government Bonds Should be Disposed

Gold Will Rise in This Economic Atmosphere, Government Bonds Should be Disposed

$GLD, $XAU, $SPY, $USD Bridgewater Associates’ Ray Dalio, founder of the world’s largest hedge fund, said investors would be “crazy” to hold government bonds now because of money printing by central banks to rescue the global economy. “This period, like the 1930-45 period, is a period in which I think you’d be pretty crazy to […]

US Companies Hammered by the Governments Coronavirus Lockdown Orders

US Companies Hammered by the Governments Coronavirus Lockdown Orders

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX US companies have been hammered by the fallout from the novel coronavirus outbreak as economic activity “contracted sharply and abruptly across all regions,” according to the Fed’s Beige Book released Wednesday. The Fed’s latest check of businesses around the country was completed during March when the US went from worrying about […]

This Bull Market Vs the Coronavirus Externality

This Bull Market Vs the Coronavirus Externality

$DIA $SPY $QQQ Many people saw the recent market selloff as the start of a Bear market, from the beginning I argued it was an external effect in this long Bull market. So, whether 23-24 March marked The bottom or A bottom is irrelevant I believe. The broad Question is whether the long-term factors that […]

Global Money Managers Sitting on Huge ‘Cash Piles’

Global Money Managers Sitting on Huge ‘Cash Piles’

$SPY $SPX $USD $BAC Stocks may be recovering from their March lows, but investor pessimism over the health crisis’ economic damage is at very high marks with cash positions the highest since the 9/11 terrorist attacks, according to a Bank of America Corp. survey. Fund managers have shunned risk, with equity allocations the lowest since […]

Investor Sentiment is Turning Positive

Investor Sentiment is Turning Positive

$SPY $SPX The markets move from speculators to investors. There is budding optimistic investor sentiment as numerous countries have taken steps to lessen lockdown restrictions and many of the most gravely impacted countries see the flattening of their infection curves and allow non-essential workers to go back to work Now, we are seeing more and […]

America is Ready to Go Back to Work!

America is Ready to Go Back to Work!

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX President Trump is planning “very important announcements” in the next day or 2 about reopening the US economy and is considering a “rolling” re-entry in certain parts of the country, White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said Tuesday.  “I do not want to front-run his views, I don’t want to […]

Despite a Whole Lot of Awful Happenings, the US is Still Very Strong

Despite a Whole Lot of Awful Happenings, the US is Still Very Strong

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Despite millions of jobless claims, despite most of the country being sequestered at home, despite a falling in GDP, and despite the scare and fear brought on by the coronavirus the major US market stock indexes have recovered 50% of their losses in just the last 2 wks. At the […]

Secretary Mnuchin Assembled 100 Business Leaders for Special Reopening Task Force

Secretary Mnuchin Assembled 100 Business Leaders for Special Reopening Task Force

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Monday, Treasury Secretary Mnuchin said he and his team have selected 100 business leaders to join a Special Task Force dedicated to re-opening the economy after the coronavirus crisis passes. The task force will work with medical advisers to develop a timeline for re-opening the economy, with 1 May as a […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, This Bull Market Vs Coronavirus

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, This Bull Market Vs Coronavirus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Just In: Goldman Says US Stocks Have Likely Bottomed Unprecedented policy support and a flattening viral curve have “dramatically” cut risks, the bank said early Monday in a note. Despite the COVID-19 coronavirus, ‘new’ Bull market can run Last week was a shortened week, here is how it played US […]

S&P 500 Marks Best Weekly Gainer Since 1974 on President Trump’s ‘Big Bang’ Fed Lending Program

S&P 500 Marks Best Weekly Gainer Since 1974 on President Trump’s ‘Big Bang’ Fed Lending Program

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The US stock market will be closed Friday for Good Friday. Thursday, Wall Street closed out its best week in 45 yrs on after the Trump Fed launched its ‘Big Bang’ effort to support the economy through the coronavirus crisis. The S&P 500 index posted it best weekly gainer since […]

Today’s Action Confirms Buy Signal for Stocks

Today’s Action Confirms Buy Signal for Stocks

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin went on national TV Wednesday morning to assure markets that the federal government’s stimulus package is being rolled out smoothly amid the economic distress caused by measures to slow the spread of the coronavirus. The US stock market rallied Wednesday, confirming the technical buy signals seen […]

Big Bets are Being Placed on a Strong April Rally

Big Bets are Being Placed on a Strong April Rally

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX We see lots of Sell-side research and analysis (taking a contrarian POV) daily, and over the years certain equity strategists have made some very good calls. On 19 March in the midst of what was some of the most brutal, high-velocity machine selling ever, Barry Bannister and his team at […]

Major Indexes Crack the Key Resistance and Fade to Flat

Major Indexes Crack the Key Resistance and Fade to Flat

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday, the major US stock indexes finished flat to unchanged after cracking Key overhead resistances. Stocks gapped up at the open after markets across Asia and Europe had good action overnight. The sharply higher start was attributed to optimism about a potential plateau in coronavirus cases, but the Key indices […]

“Slowing US Virus Cases to Put Floor Under Stocks, Sunlight Ahead”

“Slowing US Virus Cases to Put Floor Under Stocks, Sunlight Ahead”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The DJIA rallied 7.7% to start the trading week. Sentiment was boosted by encouraging signs that the COVID-19 outbreak may be improving. The DJIA (+7.7%) and Russell 2000 (+8.2%) set the pace, followed by the NAS Comp (+7.3%) and S&P 500 (+7.0%). The positive bias was formed overnight in the […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Coronavirus Broke Globalism

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Coronavirus Broke Globalism

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Just In: Southeast Asian stock markets inched higher Monday, tracking global equities that gained due to a slowdown in coronavirus-related deaths and new infections Last Week’s US Stock Market View Technical Analysis: The action in the major US stock indexes over the past few sessions was almost identical as large-cap […]

Investors Looking at a Wide Range of Indicators for Market Direction

Investors Looking at a Wide Range of Indicators for Market Direction

$VXX $DIA $SPY $QQQ Investors are studying a wide range of technical indicators, from infection counts to more traditional indicators, for clues on the direction the markets will take in coming weeks as the pandemic caused by the novel coronavirus continues to spread. Some point to signs that the worst of the waterfall sell-off that […]

Market Commentators Turning Bullish, the Futures are Open Reflecting this Optimism

Market Commentators Turning Bullish, the Futures are Open Reflecting this Optimism

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $MS $EV Commentators from Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) to Eaton Vance (NYSE:EV) are encouraged by a combination of unprecedented government and central bank stimulus efforts, declining volatility and the Key: Signs that the coronavirus pandemic is peaking in parts of Europe. “There is light at the end of the tunnel but it’s still […]

Crude Oil Responds to President Trump’s Efforts to Stabilize the World Market

Crude Oil Responds to President Trump’s Efforts to Stabilize the World Market

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $OIL $VXX Friday afternoon, President Trump met with Big Oil company executives at the White House to discuss this Oil price decline threatening their businesses, brought on by the coronavirus outbreak and a Saudi-Russia price war. “We will work this out and we will get our energy business back,” President Trump […]

Gold, the Safe-haven Investment Alternative

Gold, the Safe-haven Investment Alternative

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $GLD $XAU $USD Gold Dealers Report Big Shortages of Small Bars and Coins Gold has been and is the traditional safe-haven of choice for investors looking to protect themselves against stock market dives. When Bear markets come on, gold often performs very well. Gold is off a bit this Spring, […]

The People Who ‘Hate’ President Trump Have Turned the Virus National Emergency into a Political ‘Football’

The People Who ‘Hate’ President Trump Have Turned the Virus National Emergency into a Political ‘Football’

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Just In: House Dems are said to be putting together a “9/11-style commission” where they will be investigating President Trump’s response to the coronavirus. This is shocking considering America is focused on beating the deadly disease and they cant get investigations out of their minds. The people who hate Donald […]

The Coronavirus Will Change America

The Coronavirus Will Change America

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX America is at War President Trump is commanding and the nation’s governors, mayors and industry leaders are acting in concert to mobilization efforts for the major conflict. As with all major Wars, this will change how Americans think, engage with the world, and behave. Since WWII, Western leaders have embraced globalization, governed by rules for equitable competition, […]

Stock Market’s ‘Virus War’ Rout is Probably Past Its Worst

Stock Market’s ‘Virus War’ Rout is Probably Past Its Worst

$JPM $SPY Over the weekend, strategists at JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) concluded that most risk assets including stocks and credit have marked their low points in this Virus War frame that has gripped economies around the world. Conditions that JPMorgan had set for market stabilization and revival have largely been met, with recession-like pricing, […]

US Stocks Up, Crude Oil Down

US Stocks Up, Crude Oil Down

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $OIL $USO $VXX DJIA Jumps 700 as Crude Oil Falls Below $20 to 18-Yr Lows US stocks rose Monday as investors look for shares that have become cheap and can withstand the impact to the economy from efforts to stem the spread of the coronavirus. The S&P healthcare sector jumped 4.67% on the […]

DJIA Marks Best Weekly Gainer Since 1938

DJIA Marks Best Weekly Gainer Since 1938

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Friday, investors took some profits after the American Aid bill was passed and sent to President Trump for signing. By the end of the session, the DJIA was off 4.1%, S&P 500 and NAS 3.8 shed 3.4% and 3.8% respectively. The strong gains made on the week drove the DJIA […]

“My work shows that the ‘machine’ selling over the past 4 wks to Monday has peaked”

“My work shows that the ‘machine’ selling over the past 4 wks to Monday has peaked”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $BLK $CS $JPM Stocks extended their rally after the Senate and Fed took unprecedented measures to protect the US economy from the coronavirus shock, with Black Rock (NYSE:BLK), Credit Swiss (NYSE:CS) and other big Wall Street banks said Thursday night that the major US stock market indexes marked at an inflection […]

US Virus Aid Bill is Wartime Funding

US Virus Aid Bill is Wartime Funding

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Stocks rose for 2nd day running with stimulus in sight. Wall Street trimmed strong gains late in the session after reports raised doubts about how quickly the bill might pass, but the S&P 500 and DJIA still ended up more than 1% and 2%, respectively Wednesday, Senator Shelley Moore Capito […]

President Trump Meets with Wall Street Investors on Reopening Economy

President Trump Meets with Wall Street Investors on Reopening Economy

$DIA, $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday morning, President Trump spoke to several billionaire hedge fund and private equity managers about reopening the US economy that over the past 4 wks ground to a halt due to the coronavirus outbreak. President Trump is re-evaluating whether or not to call for people to return to work as […]

If You Can Manage the Risk, the Coronavirus Has Presented Opportunity in this Market

If You Can Manage the Risk, the Coronavirus Has Presented Opportunity in this Market

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Economist Mohamed El-Erian sees opportunities for investors who can manage risk during this coronavirus induced stock market dive. “Those people who entered this defensively and have a massive appetite for volatility, there is starting to be real pockets of value,” Mr. El-Erian told reporters.   “For most investors, I think you […]

President Trump Vows Federal Aid Until Economy Recovers From Coronavirus Attack

President Trump Vows Federal Aid Until Economy Recovers From Coronavirus Attack

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Once we get the economy back, it is gonna all come back to us very quickly.” Friday, President Trump vowed to keep pushing for more federal spending until the economy recovers from the coronavirus outbreak, and said Americans can expect “much more” than $1,000 checks from the government. At a […]

Investors Optimistic, Small Caps Post Large Gains

Investors Optimistic, Small Caps Post Large Gains

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Thursday the S&P 500 advanced 0.5% in a session that saw it fall as much as 3.3% early and gain as much as 2.9% in the afternoon. The DJIA rose 1.0%, while the NAS Comp (+2.3%) and Russell 2000 (+6.8%) were the big movers today on strong gains in technology […]

Selling Widespread, Losses Were Pared into the Close

Selling Widespread, Losses Were Pared into the Close

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX, $USO, $XAU, $USD, $VXX Despite the coordinated stimulus packages announced by central banks and the massive stimulus plans laid out by Washington, confidence was lacking due to the growing outbreak of COVID-19 and the continued shutdown of the economy. Shortly before the close, the Senate passed the House bill that provides […]

President Trump’s Stimulus Plans Boost Investor Confidence

President Trump’s Stimulus Plans Boost Investor Confidence

$SPY, $DIA, $OIL Over the past month, equity markets and financial assets broadly, have been attempting to price in the dual shock of a pandemic and the sudden collapse in Crude Oil prices Volatility stemming from the outbreak has seen the DJIA move up or down by 1000 pts or more for 7 days running, […]

“Stocks Will Surge from ‘Pent-Up Demand’ After Coronavirus Outbreak Ends”

“Stocks Will Surge from ‘Pent-Up Demand’ After Coronavirus Outbreak Ends”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin told Jim Cramer Monday that “there will be a huge amount of pent-up demand” for stocks when the threat of the coronavirus is contained. “There will be a huge amount of pent-up demand when this is done. And it will be done,” he said. “Look for companies that […]

The 1st Test of Our Economic Strength is a Man Made Virus

The 1st Test of Our Economic Strength is a Man Made Virus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX This health emergency was dismissed at 1st as a fleeting risk to the US economy has turned into a full test of whether 20 yrs of planning, regulation and research has left the financial system resilient to a major shock and the Fed able to mount a rescue. Preparations for an […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, The Bulls Vs The Bears

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, The Bulls Vs The Bears

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX The Bulls Vs The Bears Note: “Big Bear markets end in despair and hopelessness, which many current Bulls will discover at considerable cost to themselves” — Mark Lundeen Be very wary of any advance from here, as it may prove to be what we once called a Dead-Cat Bounce.  A Dead-Cat […]

The Message from Goldman Sacks on the Impact of this Election Year Virus

The Message from Goldman Sacks on the Impact of this Election Year Virus

$GS $SPY $OIL $USO The Goldman Sachs investor call Sunday. The Key economic take aways are: 50% of Americans will contract the virus (150-M people) as it is very communicable.  This is on a par with Rhinovirus aka the common cold, of which there are about 200 strains and which the majority of Americans will […]

Unprecedented Stresses in US Financial Markets Has Investor Sidelining Trillions in Cash

Unprecedented Stresses in US Financial Markets Has Investor Sidelining Trillions in Cash

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USD $JPY $VXX Friday, Ultra Long-term US T-Bond futures moved about 1.3 pts a day on average in January, were down more than 7 pts on the day and off 36 pts from Monday’s high. Italian sovereign debt had imploded. An index of costs to insure corporate debt with credit-default swaps […]

People are Asking, “What is going on in this Stock Market?”

People are Asking, “What is going on in this Stock Market?”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX The Big Q: What is going on in this Stock Market? The Big A: A confluence of confusion aka lots of unknowns. I have been in the stock market since Y 1981, and like everyone else I know in this game, have not see this kind of action ever. What we […]

US Stocks Spike 9%+ on President Trump’s Plan to Bring the Country Together to Fight the Virus

US Stocks Spike 9%+ on President Trump’s Plan to Bring the Country Together to Fight the Virus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX US stocks spiked 9%+ as President Trump joined reassured investors that he is stepping up efforts to protect the economy from the coronavirus fallout. All 3 major US stock market indexes rose 9%+, as President Trump declared a national emergency to help combat the virus and said the private sector […]

Stock Buying Opportunities in Here are a Once in a Lifetime…”Market will Bounce Back Big”

Stock Buying Opportunities in Here are a Once in a Lifetime…”Market will Bounce Back Big”

$SPY $USO Investment wizard Warren Buffett described Monday’s market plunge as a “1-2 Punch” of coronavirus and falling Crude Oil prices that it took him all his life to experience. “If you stick around long enough, you will see everything in markets,” Mr Buffett said Thursday. “And it may have taken me to 89 yrs of […]

If You are Worried About Your Portfolio – Slow and Steady Always Wins

If You are Worried About Your Portfolio – Slow and Steady Always Wins

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $GLD Monday, the DJIA saw its worst decliner since Y 2008 in response to news of COVID-19 and the Saudi/Russia Crude Oil price war, and the ride the stock market/s have taken in the last 2 wks has left lot of investors with stomach aches. If you have a 401(k) […]

Time to Step Back, Focus on Investing Not Day to Day Speculation, Do Not Sell American Markets Short

Time to Step Back, Focus on Investing Not Day to Day Speculation, Do Not Sell American Markets Short

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Investing like a savvy investor during a Bear market often yields better returns, but it means avoiding emotional-driven decisions. The benchmark that Wall Street uses to determine a Bear market is when the stock market takes a 20 – 22% decline. But following the strategies of millionaires or successful hedge funds […]

US Stock Bulls Up and Running

US Stock Bulls Up and Running

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday, Wall Street’s Bulls came back to life rising from the edge of Bear market confirmation as bargain-hunters and notions of government stimulus calmed investors’ fears surrounding the coronavirus and prospects of a recession. All 3 major US stock market indexes spiked nearly 5% the day after they suffered their […]

The Collapse in Crude Oil Prices Adds to the Market’s Uncertainty, Equities Dive in Concert

The Collapse in Crude Oil Prices Adds to the Market’s Uncertainty, Equities Dive in Concert

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $VXX WTI Crude Oil settled off 10.23 (-24.8%) to 31.09 bbl for its worst decliner since Y 1991. The last time Crude Oil traded at this mark was in Y 2016. Last Tuesday, the world’s Top financial officials pledged to use “all appropriate policy tools” to protect their economies from […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $GLD $XAU $USO $VXX Wow, what a week it was, it really was! Technical Analysis: The move Thursday was not encouraging for a continued relief move, much less anything else. The Big Qs: Was it the end of the relief move? Would the jobs report help spring the move higher, given that […]

Gold Breaks Above 1,700 on Safe-haven Demand

Gold Breaks Above 1,700 on Safe-haven Demand

$GLD $XAU $USO $OIL $SPY $USD Gold broke above 1,700 oz on a into safe- havens intensified, with the upswing driven by turmoil in the Crude Oil market, the spread of the coronavirus, sinking equities, and expectations of easier monetary policy. The precious Yellow metal hit its highest mark since Y 2012 as Brent collapsed, […]

Crude Oil Prices Have Collapsed, More Southside Ahead

Crude Oil Prices Have Collapsed, More Southside Ahead

$OIL $USO $GLD $SPY $XAU $JPY Crude Oil markets tumbled more than 30% after the disintegration of the OPEC+ alliance triggered an all-out price-war between Saudi Arabia and Russia. Brent Crude Oil futures suffered the 2nd-largest drop on record in the opening secs of trading in Asia, behind only the dive during the Gulf War […]

Navigating Extreme Stock Market Volatility

Navigating Extreme Stock Market Volatility

$DIA, $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Forget that the major US stock indices posted a gainer last week. All that most investors will remember is a wild week that took their portfolios on a harrowing roller coaster ride. These market fluctuations are not 1 month, 1 week, but 1 day moves The weekend’s news about the […]

Atlanta Fed Raises GDP Estimate to 3.1% + The World Markets and Commodities Wrap

Atlanta Fed Raises GDP Estimate to 3.1% + The World Markets and Commodities Wrap

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $XAU, $XAG, $CU, $OIL, $USO, $VXX FLASH: The S&P 500 staged a 70-pt rally during the final hr of trade, which led to a significant improvement in final sector standings, though all 11 sectors finished in the Red. The US economy is likely growing at a 3.1% annualized rate in Q-1, […]

Market Strategists say: “Drop Cautious Stance, Buy Dip in Stocks”

Market Strategists say: “Drop Cautious Stance, Buy Dip in Stocks”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Investors should ‘buy the dip’ in stocks because government and central bank policies will counter the economic blow of the spreading coronavirus, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) strategists who had previously told clients to trim risky bets. The outbreak and its economic implications are “the main source of […]

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