Fed Policy Remains Firmly in Economic Rescue Mode, Bulls Continue to Run

Fed Policy Remains Firmly in Economic Rescue Mode, Bulls Continue to Run

#inflation #Fed $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Inflation numbers this yr may cause headaches for families concerned about food, gas bills and a return to 1970’s-style price spikes“–Paul Ebeling Headline inflation fell from May to June last yr, then spiked in the following months as the recovery began. That will mean higher inflation numbers this […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet  $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $SOX $VXX “Both Big and Small Cap Bulls are still running” — Paul Ebeling Last weeks action The shortened trading wk featured renewed strength in the Mega-caps, which drove the outperformance of the NAS Comp (+4.2%) and lifted the S&P 500 (+1.9%), DJIA (+0.6%), and the Russell 2000 (+2.2%), each benchmark index market new record […]

Risk-taking Spiked Following the Last Round of Virus Relief Checks, It Will Again

Risk-taking Spiked Following the Last Round of Virus Relief Checks, It Will Again

#risk #stocks #relief #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “We have no doubt that some of the nearly $2-T in virus aid/relief/stimulus Mr. Biden is seeking from Congress will end up being spent stocks“– Paul Ebeling The data show that risk-taking spiked following the last round of China Virus aid/relief checks. Mr. Biden’s economic-recovery plan […]

Some Investors Believe “High Times” are Back in Vogue

Some Investors Believe “High Times” are Back in Vogue

#investors #cannabis #marajuana #Democrates #HighTimes $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Now, with Democrats in control, investors are ‘High on Cannabis‘”– Paul Ebeling Georgia’s 5 January election results, that flipped the Senate to Democratic control, have stoked the embers under the cannabis industry. Prior, the market for legal US product was forecast to more than 2X, […]

US Stocks Driving Due North, as Professional Investors Hedge Bets

US Stocks Driving Due North, as Professional Investors Hedge Bets

#stocks $SPY $QQQ $DIA $RUTX $VXX $VIX US stock prices have driven to record highs, and VIX contracts are telling us that the professional investors are buying insurance against market volatility that could erupt at any time as the valuations are stretched a bit now. The hedging can be seen in futures on the CBOE […]

Thursday’s Economic Data Signals a Growing Economy

Thursday’s Economic Data Signals a Growing Economy

#economic #growth #housing #emplyment #mega-cap #stocks $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Thursday’s action drew support from a better-than-expected housing starts and building permits report for December. The NAS Comp (+0.6%) and S&P 500 (+0.03%) finished at fresh record highs Thursday on the strength in several Mega-caps Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) 136.87, +4.84, or +3.7% was the most influential mover […]

Inflation Looms: Gold, Copper Spike, USD Falls, Big-caps Boom

Inflation Looms: Gold, Copper Spike, USD Falls, Big-caps Boom

#inflation #gold #silver #USD $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $XAU $GLD $XAG $CU $USD $DXY Thursday, Gold and Copper spiked as USD weakened on signs that interests rates will remain at all time lows, boosting inflation expectation ahead. The Dollar Spot index extended declines for a 3rd day running Wednesday, supporting prices of commodities priced in […]

Yellen, “Spend Big Now, Pay Later”

Yellen, “Spend Big Now, Pay Later”

#Yellen #spend $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX ‘Schoolmarm’ Janet Yellen, Mr. Biden’s nominee for Treasury Secretary, urged lawmakers Tuesday to “act big” on the next virus aid/relief/stimulus package, saying that the benefits outweigh the costs of a higher federal debt burden. Ms. Yellen said she wants to help Americans endure the final months of the […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet  $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $SOX $VXX “The Bulls are still running, despite the political scenario” — Paul Ebeling Last Week’s Action The Small-cap Bulls are running and driving those stocks due North on the notion of a Biden admin $1.9-T aid/relief/stimulus package and Johnson & Johnson’s (NYSE:JNJ) new vaccine. Our technical indicators, sentiment and fundamental internals are beginning to look […]

The Walls are Cracking Around Mr. Biden’s Economy

The Walls are Cracking Around Mr. Biden’s Economy

#Biden #economy #retail #sales #consumer #confidence #spending #aid $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “This past Holiday season, consumers stayed home and gauged the prospects of a Biden economy, retail sales sank on the cracks!”— Paul Ebeling US retail sales declined at the close of the Holiday shopping season, wrapping up a difficult year for the […]

The Fed Let the World Know it is Not Exiting its Easy Money Policy

The Fed Let the World Know it is Not Exiting its Easy Money Policy

#Fed #money $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Thursday, Fed Chairman Powell said “now is not the time” to be discussing an exit from ultra-easy monetary policy and promised to give plenty of notice before it begins to debate scaling back its huge bond-buying campaign. “We know we need to be very careful in communicating about […]

Facebook and Twitter Stock Hammered in Wake of Trump Ban

Facebook and Twitter Stock Hammered in Wake of Trump Ban

#Facebook #Twitter #PresidentTrump $FB $TWTR $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “After banning President Trump from their social media platforms, Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) and Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) have seen their combined market value plummet by $51.2-B over the last 2 trading sessions” — Paul Ebeling Following the Capitol last wks chaos, Facebook and Twitter indefinitely banned Trump’s accounts, […]

The Biden ‘Tax Plan’ Aimed to Undo President Trump’s Strong Economic Recovery

The Biden ‘Tax Plan’ Aimed to Undo President Trump’s Strong Economic Recovery

#tax #Biden #PresidentTrump #markets #Americans $DIA $QQQ $SPY $RUTX $VXX Experts are telling us that Joe Biden’s plan to raise the corporate tax rate will undo most of President Trump’s economy boosting efforts as it will send some American companies offshore, keep others overseas, hobble domestic companies and drive up the unemployment rate, thus damaging […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet  $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $SOX $VXX “The Bulls are still running, despite the chaos” — Paul Ebeling Last Week’s Action Stocks ran higher, and the NAS Comp and PHLX Semiconductor Sector (SOX) led the run North The financial market is ignoring any and all bad news and is focused on more stimulus in Y 2021. With some caveats, […]

Tuesday “The January Effect” Kicked In

Tuesday “The January Effect” Kicked In

#JanuaryEffect #stocks $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX People are asking the Big Q: What Is The January Effect? The Big A: The January Effect is a seasonal increase in stock prices during the month of January. It is attributed to an increase in buying, which follows the drop in price that usually happens in late December […]

US Stock Market Looked Past December NFPs in Another Record Setting Close

US Stock Market Looked Past December NFPs in Another Record Setting Close

#stocks #record #highs #NFPs #Fed #stimulus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Fed Vice Chairman Clarida does not expect to begin tapering its asset purchases this year“– Paul Ebeling Stocks marked all-time highs on Democrats promise of trillions more of aid/relief/stimulus to further revive the world’s largest economy. The S&P 500 marked its 4th day running […]

DJIA, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 Ran to All-time Highs Despite Chaos on Capitol Hill

DJIA, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 Ran to All-time Highs Despite Chaos on Capitol Hill

#CaptolHill #Antifa #chaos #Congress #PresidentTrump $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The DJIA, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 (+4.0%) finished higher, soaring to all-time highs Wednesday, as investors ignored the Antifa led chaos on Capitol Hill. The FOMC minutes noted continued support for the economy Former FBI agent on the ground at the Capitol just texted […]

Fed’s Monetary Policy will Remain Accommodative for “quite some time”

Fed’s Monetary Policy will Remain Accommodative for “quite some time”

#Fed #monetary #policy #accommodative $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX  US economic growth could surge later this year if most Americans are vaccinated against The China Virus, but the gains would unlikely be enough for The Trump Fed to pull back its support, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester said Monday. Even if the vaccines help people […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Santa Claus Rally to Extend

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Santa Claus Rally to Extend

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #SantaClaus #Rally $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $SOX $VXX “The Bulls will drive the Santa Claus Rally in to the New Year” — Paul Ebeling Last Week’s Action Again the US economic data came in strong, the benchmark indexes finished on the highs. The small-cap stocks led Wednesday, cloud software, some chips and some online […]

“The American Economy has been Supercharged”

“The American Economy has been Supercharged”

#PresidentTrump #economy “The American economy has been supercharged, but it needs to eradicate The China Virus and fully reopen”— Paul Ebeling “What we need to do is get the government out of the way. And get this medical emergency chaos behind us. Not raise taxes and regulations, not shut down our oil and gas industries. […]

“This Bull market does not look overbought…”

“This Bull market does not look overbought…”

#Investors #BullMarket #earnings #rally $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “This Bull market does not look overbought in here” — Paul Ebeling Analyst and investors see several parts of this market, including financials, leisure & hospitality stocks and energy with strong rally potential into Y 2021. Investors looking for a continued rally are optimistic of a […]

S&P 500 Marked a Record Closing High Finishing the Year with a 16.3% Gainer

S&P 500 Marked a Record Closing High Finishing the Year with a 16.3% Gainer

#SP500 #stocks #record #highs #jobs #jobless #claims $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “There will be no stock reports Friday, 1 January as markets will be closed for the New Year Holiday. Happy New Year!” — Paul Ebeling US claims for unemployment benefits fell to a 1-month low. Initial jobless claims in regular state programs declined […]

Wall Street Looks South for Florida Life and Tax Benefits

Wall Street Looks South for Florida Life and Tax Benefits

#WallStreet #Florida $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Wall Street banks know that they do not need to be in Midtown Manhattan to do business, and employees like that“– Paul Ebeling Lots of Wall Street executives, bankers and fund managers are abandoning New York for Florida, embracing the Sunshine State over Metro New York as the […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Santa Claus Rally is On

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Santa Claus Rally is On

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #SantaClausRally #Bullish #COVID #Vaccine $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The Bulls Christmas Market is a happy one” — Paul Ebeling Now: The Bulls are in celebration mode this Monday morning with the major US stock indexes trading at: DJIA +199.60 at 30399.41, NAS Comp +76.91 at 12881.65, S&P 500+24.33 at 3727.39. That is what Bull markets do when Santa Claus leads the […]

‘Santa Claus Rally’ Will Drive Stocks Higher into the New Year

‘Santa Claus Rally’ Will Drive Stocks Higher into the New Year

#SantaClaus #Rally #stocks $DJIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Santa Claus Rally phenom was discovered in 1972 by Yale Hirsch, creator of the Stock Trader’s Almanac. A 7-day trading frame known as the “Santa Claus Rally” took hold of Wall Street Thursday and could drive the stock market higher into year-end. Based on historical data, the […]

Gold Up On Weakening USD as President Trump Threatens Veto of Aid/Relief/Stimulus Bill

Gold Up On Weakening USD as President Trump Threatens Veto of Aid/Relief/Stimulus Bill

#Gold #Dollar #aid/relief/stimulus #PresidentTrump #veto $DIA $SPY $QQQ, RUTX $VXX $XAU $GLD $USD Gold prices ticked higher Wednesday as weakness in USD offset worries about the aid/relief/ stimulus bill after President Trump threatened to veto the over porked legislation. Spot gold rose 0.3% at 1,865.01oz by 0333 GMT, while US gold futures held steady at […]

Big Professional Players Bolster Bitcoin’s Bullish Outlook

Big Professional Players Bolster Bitcoin’s Bullish Outlook

#crypto #currency #bullish #bitcoin #ethereum $BTC $ETH $DIA $SPY $QQQ $VXX “The crypto space has a few big players, but is mostly crowded with retail-traders and investors.” — Paul Ebeling YTD investor cash inflows into cryptocurrency funds and products hit $5.6-B up 600% from Y 2019, according to the latest data. The inflows plus the […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #TrumpRally #Bullish #COVIDVaccine #Options $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “There is still no indication this Bull market is about to roll over on negative sentiment” — Paul Ebeling Last Week’s Action Stocks opened well and closed well, but the PHLX Semiconductor Sector (SOX) is lagging notably and the big NAS Comp stocks could not […]

Investing: Equities Vs Real Estate and Visa Versa

Investing: Equities Vs Real Estate and Visa Versa

#Investing #stocks #RealEstate $SPY $SPX The choice between equities (stocks) and Real Estate is a common Question faced by investors seeking to build long-term wealth. The Big Q: Will they be more successful by putting their money in Real Estate or Stocks? The Big A: The assumption that the choice is 1 or the other […]

US Big Banks are Strong, Dividends and Buybacks to Resume, Stock Indexes Rebalanced on Quad Witching

US Big Banks are Strong,  Dividends and Buybacks to Resume, Stock Indexes Rebalanced on Quad Witching

#banks #dividends #buybacks $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX “Quarterly rebalancing of S&P 500, annual reconstitution of the NAS Comp 100, Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) inclusion into the S&P 500 after the close, quadruple-witching options expired“– Paul Ebeling  The big US banks have enough capital to withstand over $600-B in losses from a short, sharp economic slump, as well as a moderate […]

Gold Bulls are Running North on Sinking US Dollar

Gold Bulls are Running North on Sinking US Dollar

#Gold #Bulls #USD $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $XAU $GLD “Plus, the S&P 500, DJIA, NAS Comp and Russell 2000 index all closed at their highest marks ever as The Trump Rally extended. “— Paul Ebeling Gold rose to a 1-month high after the Fed’s reiterated its commitment to supporting the economy and optimism grew […]

Fed Officials Painting a Brighter Picture for 2021

Fed Officials Painting a Brighter Picture for 2021

#Fed #growth #employment #money #economy #stocks $bonds #consumer #spending $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Fed sees 4.2% growth, and full employment in the New Year“– Paul Ebeling The Fed said Wednesday that it will keep buying government bonds until the economy makes “substantial” progress. Thus reassuring financial markets and keeping long-term borrowing rates low indefinitely. […]

The Trump Rally Extends on Solid Policies and Strong Support

The Trump Rally Extends on Solid Policies and Strong Support

#PresidentTrump #Rally #Policies #Support $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The market is not buyin Biden, the market is always right“– Paul Ebeling Reviewing Wednesday’s economic data:Industrial production increased 0.4% M-M in November. The capacity utilization rate jumped to 73.3% The Key takeaway from the report was the strong growth seen in the production of motor vehicles […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, The Trump Rally Continues

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, The Trump Rally Continues

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #TrumpRally #Bullish #COVIDVaccine #Options $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “There is no indication this Bull market is about to roll over on negative sentiment” — Paul Ebeling Last Week’s Action Consolidation and rotation continue, overall the wk was flat. Stocks rebound and some strong leaders run, big names lag. The Russell 2000 (RUT) […]

The Fed’s Latest Report on US Household Wealth Has it at All Time Highs

The Fed’s Latest Report on US Household Wealth Has it at All Time Highs

#Americans #household #wealth #RealEstate #cash #Fed #PresidentTrump $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VVX The wealth of US households marked $123.5-T in September as rising stock market and home values and an accumulating of cash defied expectations of a virus-related crash in household finances, according to new data from the Fed Thursday. The Fed’s latest report on US […]

The Outperformance of the Russell 2000 Deserves Immediate Attention

The Outperformance of the Russell 2000 Deserves Immediate Attention

#Russell2000 $RUTX $RUT $SPY $SPX $DIA $QQQ $CU $XAU $VXX “Tuesday, the Russell 2000 (+1.4%) closed at a record high on encouraging vaccine news and the coming Trump Administration’s aid/relief/stimulus package.“– Paul Ebeling Inflation will likely rise above 2% in Y 2021 and range from 2.25% to 2.4%. The consensus is that inflation may temporarily […]

US Stocks Finished Mixed Monday in a “Pause to Refresh” Session

US Stocks Finished Mixed Monday in a “Pause to Refresh” Session

#stocks $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The NAS Comp closed at record high in mixed session: DJIA -148.47 to 30069.73, NAS Comp +55.71 at 12519.86, S&P 500 -7.16 to 3691.97 Volume: Trade on the NYSE came in at 927-M/shares exchanged. The S&P 500 declined 0.2% Monday to ease back from record territory, while the NAS Comp (+0.5%) closed at a new record high […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Investors Extending ‘The Trump Rally’

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Investors Extending ‘The Trump Rally’

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #TrumpRally $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX The Director of National Intelligence John Ratcliffe said Sunday it is yet to be decided if there will be a Biden Administration.  He said issues outlined by President Trump’s legal team, headed by Rudy Giuliani must be heard in court. Joe Biden is a candidate not the president-elect. […]

US Stock Market Extends Bull Run into Record Territory

US Stock Market Extends Bull Run into Record Territory

#stocks #record #highs #NFPs #Fed #economy #PresidentTrump $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The rotation that began in September is under way now will continue well into Y 2021. So, focus on value, small-caps, and emerging markets”— Paul Ebeling US stocks marked record highs Friday, the major benchmark indices reached closing record highs, with the S&P […]

Stocks and Gold are in an Up Trend: ‘The Trend is Your Friend’

Stocks and Gold are in an Up Trend: ‘The Trend is Your Friend’

#gold #stocks #BullMarket #Fed #economy #recovery #stimulus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $XAU $GLD $USD $VXX The DJIA is trading at record highs, having broke the 30,000 resistance mark last wk for the 1st time ever. The stock market’s epidemic chaos is over, and investors look forward to continued growth down the line. Now, at the […]

Candidate Biden’s Economic Advisors are Wrong About the Nation’s Public Debt and the Deficit

Candidate Biden’s Economic Advisors are Wrong About the Nation’s Public Debt and the Deficit

#economy #debt #deficit #GDP #government #spending $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX #VXX The economists who are advising Presidential candidate Joe Biden recently met virtually at the Brookings Institute to discuss the impact of annual government budget deficits and the total public debt. They concluded that in the short term, the deficit and the debt really do not […]

Small Cap Stocks Rising on Recovery from Virus Chaos

Small Cap Stocks Rising on Recovery from Virus Chaos

#SmallCaps #stocks #recovery #COVID #vaccine #economy $RUTS #RUT “Small cap stocks outperformed in November for their best monthly performance on record, and will remain market leaders as they will benefit from the post-chaos economic recovery” — Paul Ebeling The Russell 2000 and S&P 600 indexes of small cap stocks are up more than 19% MTD, […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Investors Look Past the COVID Chaos

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Investors Look Past the COVID Chaos

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #Investors #COVID #chaos #stocks $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “November will close as 1 of the best months for stocks in history” — Paul Ebeling What happened last week S&P 500 and NAS Comp finished in record territory last Friday with theDJIA +37.90 at 29910.31, NAS Comp +111.44 at 12205.76, S&P 500 +8.70 at 3638.37 The S&P 500 (+0.2%) and NAS […]

Trumpism Reigns Supreme in America Despite Election Controversy

Trumpism Reigns Supreme in America Despite Election Controversy

#DonaldTrump #America #Republicans #Democrats #SupremeCourt #UN #WHO #NATO “Donald Trump’s record is very impressive he effected a Key reversal in national thinking“–Paul Ebeling Much that was said and believed about Donald Trump before he came down the escalator in June of Y 2015 is no longer said or believed by the majority of Americans. He […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Stocks Set to Make November the Best Month in 20 yrs

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Stocks Set to Make November the Best Month in 20 yrs

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #Commentary #Stocks $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “November is shaping up as 1 of the best months for stocks in history” — Paul Ebeling What happened last week The economics came in good. Jobless claims rose to 742,000, the 1st rise in 6 wks, continuing claims fell to 6.372-M. The Philly Fed beat at 26.4 […]

Investors and Traders Look Past the Chaos, Buy $53-B in in Stocks in November

Investors and Traders Look Past the Chaos, Buy $53-B in in Stocks in November

#investors #stocks #cash #chaos #ETFs #COVID $DIA $SPY $QQQ “November is shaping up as 1 of the best months for stocks in history” — Paul Ebeling You might have surmised that rising coronavirus cases and turmoil atop the government would breed at least the beginnings of caution among traders and investors. Not so. In what […]

SoCal Residential Real Estate: “What ‘pandemic'”?

SoCal Residential Real Estate: “What ‘pandemic

#RealEstate #California #Market #COVID $Z $NFLX $SPX $SPY $QQQ “People have no apprehension about buying into this market” — Paul Ebeling Zillow (NYSE:Z) anticipates Y 2021 will be the best year for home sales since Y 2006. When it comes to LA real estate, “Sunset” sells even 9 months after the virus caused instant recession. […]

US Households More Upbeat About Their Finances

US Households More Upbeat About Their Finances

#consumer #sentiment #virus #vaccine $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX A gauge of sentiment among US consumers advanced for a 3rd wk running matching the highest mark since April as households grew more upbeat about their finances, the economy and the buying climate. The Consumer Comfort Index rose 1.8 pts to 49.8 last wk, matching a […]

Trust in This Recovery, Key Indicators Flashing Green

Trust in This Recovery, Key Indicators Flashing Green

#recovery #trust #risk $DIA $SPY #QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Keep the Faith, Trust this Recovery”– Paul Ebeling This V-shaped economic recovery, coming Covid vaccines and continued Trump Fed policy support offer continuing favorable environment for stocks and credit into next year and further. In our outlook for Y 2021 investors overweight stocks and corporate bonds against […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Stocks Soaring on Positive Vaccine News from Moderna

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Stocks Soaring on Positive Vaccine News from Moderna

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #COVID #vaccine #Moderna $MRNA $DIA $QQQ $SPY $RUTX $VXX The Dow Jones Industrial Average is soaring after Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA) announced that its COVID vaccine has a 94%+ efficacy rate, and President Trump refuses to concede, there is no President-elect. Sunday, President Trump announced that it will do whatever it takes to make America […]

China Tech Investors Sell Off Seeing Worst-Case Scenarios

China Tech Investors Sell Off Seeing Worst-Case Scenarios

#China #Technology #investors #SellOff $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX China has cast doubt on the future of its biggest internet companies and ignited a $290-B equity selloff. Investors are now gaming out how bad it might get for Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., Tencent Holdings Ltd. and other Chinese internet giants as Xi Jinping’s government prepares […]

The COVID Vaccine Breakthrough News Brought in $2-Trillion in Trade

The COVID Vaccine Breakthrough News Brought in $2-Trillion in Trade

#COVID #vaccine #trade #stocks #bonds $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $PFE $JPY $VXX “Turnover was about 3X the 30-day average daily volumes in cash and very active in the futures space“– Paul Ebeling News of a breakthrough in the race to find a COVID vaccine triggered 1 of the heaviest trading days since the height of […]

US Stocks Face “Recipe for Disaster” Under Biden…”This is Not the Time to Change America’s Leader”

US Stocks Face “Recipe for Disaster” Under Biden…”This is Not the Time to Change America’s Leader”

#stocks #disaster #Biden $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Good News: Investors rotated out of growth stocks and into value/cyclical/small-cap stocks marking all time highs. The Bad News Standing against the cause of Joe Biden in stock markets is a whole lot of trouble: the coronavirus, its attendant hardships, and high corporate valuations. Add to […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Stocks Soaring on Positive Vaccine News from Pfizer

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Stocks Soaring on Positive Vaccine News from Pfizer

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #COVID #vaccine #Pfizer $PFE $DIA $QQQ $SPY $RUTX $VXX The Dow Jones Industrial Average is soaring after Pfizer (NYSE:PFE) announced that its COVID-19 vaccine has a 90% efficacy rate, and President Trump refuses to concede, there is no President-elect. Thursday, the Trump Fed announced that it will do whatever it takes to bolster […]

Wall Street Knows the Fed Has its Back

Wall Street Knows the Fed Has its Back

#Fed #WallStreet #liquidity #money $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The Fed is absolutely supportive, Chairman Powell stresses it has got the market’s back, they are there” — Paul Ebeling Given the choice between a broad package of economic aid/relief/stimulus and targeted Fed liquidity support, Wall Street prefers liquidity, due to its benefits for asset prices. […]

Fed Stays the “Whatever it Takes” Course

Fed Stays the “Whatever it Takes” Course

#Fed #interestrates #stimulus #economy #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Fed kept its dovish monetary policy intact Thursday and pledged again to do whatever it takes in coming months to sustain a US economic recovery threatened by a spreading virus chaos. The policy statement released after the US central bank’s latest two-day meeting did not mention […]

US Stocks Trading Way Up in Positive Territory, the Bulls are in Charge

US Stocks Trading Way Up in Positive Territory, the Bulls are in Charge

#stocks #FAANGs #Energy #Big Tech #Cannabis #election $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The NAS, Dow and S&P 500 have been and are trading way up in positive territory in the Presidential election chaos” — Paul Ebeling The US Presidential election results are still indecisive as of this writing. Overall, the NAS Comp, DJIA and S&P […]

Wall Street Closed 2% Higher on Expectation of Trump Victory

Wall Street Closed 2% Higher on Expectation of Trump Victory

#Wall Street $PresidentTrump #Victory #rally $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “President Trump claims victory, hints at Supreme Court action, in White House speech“– Paul Ebeling US stocks closed sharply higher Tuesday as Americans voted in the most Presidential election ever and investors bet it would be decided without a prolonged process, leading to a Fassst deal […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street; Big Week, Election and Earnings

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street; Big Week, Election and Earnings

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #economy #election #growth #Bulls #Bears #money #earnings $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The likelihood of a Trump victory has not been factored in to stock prices“– Paul Ebeling Last week’s action Stocks to consolidate last week the big move off of the 24 September lows, tested and reversed Thursday, tested again, and rallied on […]

US Economy: An Across the Board Boom

US Economy: An Across the Board Boom

#economy #boom #jobs #PresidentTrump $SPY White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow says the nation is undergoing “an across the board boom” that means more jobs, particularly because “inventories are at rock bottom.” In an interview last Thursday Mr. Kudlow said he is not confident there would be a virus stimulus package anytime soon. “There is basically an […]

The Economy is the #1 Issue Voters are Weighing Now

The Economy is the #1 Issue Voters are Weighing Now

#PresidentTrump #VPPence #voters #economy $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The US economy did not recover on its own!”– Paul Ebeling Voters say the economy is the most important issue they are weighing during this Presidential election. The data from the Commerce Department showed that the economy grew by an annualized rate of 33.1% in Q-3, […]

There is No White House Strategy that Includes a Lockdown

There is No White House Strategy that Includes a Lockdown

#PresidentTrump #WhiteHouse #economy #lockdown #virus #business $DIA, SPY, QQQ, RUTX, $VXX “President Trump’s plan is that America is open for business” — Paul Ebeling Thursday, the US Commerce Department reported the the economy grew at Record 33.1% Rate in Q-3 White House chief of staff Mark Meadows said Thursday that President Trump will not institute […]

President Trump’s Economy Plan a “Clear Contrast” Vs Joe Biden’s

President Trump’s Economy Plan a “Clear Contrast” Vs Joe Biden’s

#PresidentTrump #economy #recovery #taxcuts #strongathome #strongabroad $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX There is a “clear contrast” between President Trump’s economic goals if he’s elected to a 2nd term in office and those that Democratic nominee Joe Biden has planned, National Economic Council Director Larry Kudlow said. “We have published that plan in 1 of the […]

A Trump Victory Will Drive the S&P 500 North by 13%

A Trump Victory Will Drive the S&P 500 North by 13%

#PresidentTrump #Victory #stocks $SPY $JPM “An election victory for President Trump is the best-case scenario for the stock market, according to JPMorgan“– Paul Ebeling An “orderly Trump win” will propel the benchmark S&P 500 index higher by 13% to approximately 3,900, wrote a team of JPMorgan strategists in a note Tuesday. Under that scenario, the strategists believe deep […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Big Earning’s Week Ahead

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Big Earning’s Week Ahead

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #economy #growth #Bulls #Bears #money #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last week’s action Stocks were consolidating the big move off of the 24 September lows on low to moderate volume. Technical analysis The NAS Comp, S&P 500, DJIA indexes finished lower on the wk. This current consolidation is 8 sessions in the making […]

The History of the S&P 500 Post a Presidential Election

The History of the S&P 500 Post a Presidential Election

#SP500 #election #PredisentTrump #JoeBiden #Republican #Democrat $SPY $SPX “There can be no doubt the S&P 500 has done very well since the 2016 election, President Trump’s policies have brought investors returns not seen since FDR, Harry Truman and Dwight Eisenhower.“–Paul Ebeling Donald Trump does not sound like a Washington DC politician because he is not […]

The Fed: 39 US States Saw Their Economies Strengthen in September

The Fed: 39 US States Saw Their Economies Strengthen in September

#Fed #states #economises $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX In September the output strengthened in 39 US states up from August with some of the best gainers concentrated in northeastern territories including Massachusetts, New York, and New Jersey, a Fed proxy showed. Readings weakened in 8 states, with the steepest fall in tourism-dependent Hawaii, and remained […]

Fed’s Evans Sees Less Economic Drag from the Continuing C-19 Wave

Fed’s Evans Sees Less Economic Drag from the Continuing C-19 Wave

#Fed #COVID19 #economy $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The continuing rise in COVID-19 infections in the United States due to the intense testing may not dent the nation’s economy much, Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Charles Evans said Tuesday, adding that he remains “reasonably optimistic” US unemployment will fall to 5.5% by the end of […]

US Homebuilder Confidence Hits Record High on Low Rates

US Homebuilder Confidence Hits Record High on Low Rates

#Homebuilder #confidence #lowrates $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX US homebuilder confidence advanced in October to an all-time high as record-low interest rates continued to fuel sales and the demand outlook. A gauge of builder sentiment climbed to 85, the highest in records back to Y 1985, from 83 a month earlier, according to the National Association […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Counting Down to the Election

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Counting Down to the Election

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #economy #growth #Bulls #Bears #money #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Americans are Happy, they are doing ‘The Trump’”— Paul Ebeling Last week’s action US stocks opened Thursday with a gap to near support.to bounce stocks back upside testing rebound we will be able see if the leaders will break higher, they did setting […]

In This Market ‘The 60-40’ Portfolio Does Not Work

In This Market ‘The 60-40’ Portfolio Does Not Work

#PresidentTrump #market #safehavens #risk #volatility #Fed #economy #portfolio $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $VIX “When financial assets move pari parsu, portfolio diversification becomes hard to achieve“– Paul Ebeling Since the advent of QE in Y 2008 safe-haven assets have become not much of a safe-haven. During that frame, we have seen unprecedented market moves with […]

The Bulls have Faith in President Trump and the American Consumer

The Bulls have  Faith in President Trump and the American Consumer

#PresidentTrump #Bulls #Consumer $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX Bulls are convinced President Trump, the American consumer and the stock market are going to hold up fine, as politicians appear increasingly likely, approve another round of fiscal stimulus before next month’s elections. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) said Sunday that few differences remained with President Trump’s administration […]

Surprise! Much of the Stimulus Money Went into Savings Accounts, Yet the Consumer Keep Spending

Surprise! Much of the Stimulus Money Went into Savings Accounts, Yet the Consumer Keep Spending

#consumer #stimulus #retail #spending #Fed #PresidentTrump $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Surprise, consumers saved 36% of their stimulus checks and kept on spending.” –Paul Ebeling As emergency aid/relief/stimulus programs for American consumers expired The People kept spending. Friday’s September retail sales report confirmed it. The government data told us that consumers put much of their stimulus money away and have recently […]

Stimulus: President Trump Will Go $1.8-T+

Stimulus: President Trump Will Go $1.8-T+

#PresidentTrump #Stimulus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “We’re not holding it up, she’s holding it up,” President Trump said in a TV interview Thursday. “She wants to wait until after the election. She thinks it hurts the Republicans.” It hurts Democrats. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin said Thursday that Nancy Pelosi’s “all or nothing approach does not […]

The Majority of Americans Feel Better Off than 4 Yrs Ago

The Majority of Americans Feel Better Off than 4 Yrs Ago

#Americans #BetterOff #TrumpPolicies $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Gallup recently released a poll where it asked Americans how they feel about their circumstances today as opposed to 4 yrs ago. Thus, proving the Trump Policies work. And even with The China Act of War Virus, the resulting instant recession and the ongoing division surrounding the upcoming elections, […]

What Wall Street is Saying: Big-caps Vs Small-caps

What Wall Street is Saying: Big-caps Vs Small-caps

#WallStreet #stocks $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $GS $MS “Large-cap stocks still look to be better positioned for Q-4 than Small-cap stocks”– Paul Ebeling A promising October for Small-cap stocks hit bump Monday as a powerful rally in tech giants left everyone else behind. For investors seeking advice on whether now is the time to rotate asset […]

About $15-T is Sidelined that Will Flowback into Stocks and Commodities

About $15-T is Sidelined that Will Flowback into Stocks and Commodities

#stocks #big-caps #small-caps #commodities #buy $SPY $RUTX $BLK $MS $GS BlackRock (NYSE:BRK) Chairman/CEO Larry Fink predicts that the stock market can continue to move higher, so do Shayne and I. Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) likes Small-Cap rotation, and Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) likes Big-Caps, we like a carefully chosen mix. “I believe we still have more to […]

The American Dream is No Longer Homeownership it is Innovative Business

The American Dream is No Longer Homeownership it is Innovative Business

#AmericanDream #Business #Innovation #Entrepreneurs $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “New, disruptive technologies are unlocking new innovative companies to grow at speeds not seen before, the American Dream is alive, it is not greed, it is innovation.” — Paul Ebeling The US Census Bureau has revealed that the number of people starting their own business just surged […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Counting Down to the Election

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Counting Down to the Election

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #economy #growth #Bulls #Bears #money #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The success of The Trump Economy, and it is strong, is the stock market’s driver”— Paul Ebeling Last week’s action The Black Swan has flown away, President Trump is Covid immune and back in full swing. Last Friday, not much was scheduled, but […]

The Market is Saying, “Be not afraid, economic stimulus is coming”

The Market is Saying, “Be not afraid, economic stimulus is coming”

#market #stimlus #PresidentTrump #Fed $DIA $DJIA $SPY $SPX $QQQ $RUTX $USD $DXY “Investors should be preparing for inflation, not this recovering economy.“– Paul Ebeling The US and the been through a profound economic shock with the China ‘Act of War’ virus, but everything every policy-making body in the US is doing is inflationary it is […]

“Seeing a less grim view of the virus chaos on the US Economy”

“Seeing a less grim view of the virus chaos on the US Economy”

#PresidentTrump #FOMC #US #economy #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $GS “Seeing a less grim view of the virus chaos on the US Economy.”–Paul Ebeling The US’ economic wounds from the China virus chaos is much less severe than initially feared, we along with Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s (NYSE:GS) economics team offer optimistic takes on […]

President Trump Ends COVID Aid/Relief/Stimulus Negotiations with House Democrats Until After the Election

President Trump Ends COVID Aid/Relief/Stimulus Negotiations with House Democrats Until After the Election

#PresidentTrump #Fed #aid #relief #stimulus #covid #Democrats #election $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday, President Trump instructed aides to stop negotiating on another round of COVID-19 relief until after the election. He Tweeted that House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) was “not negotiating in good faith” and said he asked Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell focus before the election into confirming his Supreme Court nominee, Amy […]

Treasury Secretary Mnuchin Continue Aid/Relief/Stimulus Negotiations with Speaker Pelosi, Stocks Spike North

Treasury Secretary Mnuchin Continue Aid/Relief/Stimulus Negotiations with Speaker Pelosi, Stocks Spike North

#aid #relief #stimulus #negotiations $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “President Trump is committed to getting the deal done“– Paul Ebeling President Donald Trump was discharged from the Presidential unit at Walter Reed medical center Monday evening, 3 nights after he was admitted Friday to the military hospital for coronavirus treatment. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and House Speaker […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#WallStreet #PaulEbeling #BigTech #economy #growth #Bulls #Bears #money #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Growth is the tone“– Paul Ebeling Last Week’s Action saw a Black Swan President Trump was infected by the C-19 coronavirus, and hospitalized at Walter Reed, the market sold off over night and recovered by 50% late in the session, and […]

Economics are Pressuring Congress to Agree to an Aid/Relief/Stimulus Bill Now

Economics are Pressuring Congress to Agree to an Aid/Relief/Stimulus Bill Now

#aid #relief #stimulus #Congress #PresidentTrump #virus $SPY $AAL $DAL “Speaker Pelosi’s comments on a possible shift in the talks prompted US stocks to pare losses. After falling as much as 1.2% earlier Friday, the S&P 500 Index’s decline was cut almost in half after she spoke.” — Paul Ebeling House Speaker Nancy Pelosi expressed optimism […]

The Reality of Covid-19 has Hit Home, Conspiracy Theories Must Stop

The Reality of Covid-19 has Hit Home, Conspiracy Theories Must Stop

#PresidentTrump #Covid-19 #financialmarkets #volatility #conspiracy $DIA $QQQ $SPY $RUTX “President Trump and the First Lady are infected with the China virus, America is praying for their speedy recovery. And President Trump contracting the coronavirus is ‘short-term noise’ that jolts asset prices, but there is nothing which should change the market dynamic seen in past election […]

October, the Stock Market’s History

October, the Stock Market’s History

#stock #market #October #history #SP500 $SPY $SPX $DIA $QQQ $RUTX September was the 1st losing month for Wall Street since a recovery rally began in on 23 March. Market history suggests that September, historically the worst performing month of the year for US stocks, could be followed by the indexes outperforming in October, that rank […]

FYI: Traditionally the S&P 500 has Fallen the Day after the 1st Debate, This Time it was Different

FYI: Traditionally the S&P 500 has Fallen the Day after the 1st Debate, This Time it was Different

#StockMarket #PresidentTrump #JoeBiden #PresidentialDebate $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Financial markets care more about policies than politics, President Trump’s policies are working,”–Paul Ebeling Presidential debates do not change the course of history. Till today they have never been a major market mover, this time it was different. Wednesday, the major US stock market indexes finished at: DJIA +329.04 at […]

FYI: How Markets Perform after the 1st Presidential Debate

FYI: How Markets Perform after the 1st Presidential Debate

#StockMarket #PresidentTrump #JoeBiden #PresidentialDebate $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Financial markets care more about policies than politics, President Trump’s policies are working,”–Paul Ebeling Presidential debates do not change the course of history. They have not ever been a major market mover either. The Big Q: Could this debate between President Trump and Democratic challenger Joe […]

President Trump will Give the US 4 More Years of Economic Growth

President Trump will Give the US 4 More Years of Economic Growth

#PresidentTrump #economic #growth $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “We the People hold the Key to saving America from going to a place from which it will never return”— Paul Ebeling There are a lot of things going on in the financial markets, and there are a lot of reasons why markets are very active, but […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, October Looms

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, October Looms

#WallStreet #PaulEbeling #BigTech #economy #growth #Bulls #Bears #money #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last Week in Review Despite the seesaw action in the long term it is constructive. Volatility is flat, and the P/C ratio recently hit 1.0 on an Northside session. Those are positive divergences. Technical Analysis NAS Comp: Thursday, the index tested to […]

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