Fed Fueling a Recession, Chairman Powell On The Way Out

Fed Fueling a Recession, Chairman Powell On The Way Out

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX President Trump will not renominate Jerome Powell for another term as Fed Chairman if re-elected. “That will lead to very different monetary policy, so the Fed is not fully independent of politics,” former Fed VC Fischer, an Hussein Obama appointee, said Sunday at a talk in Israel. By criticizing […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XAU, $GLD, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Last week we saw Wall Street stocks consolidate on light volume and the Fed signaled ‘Got Gold’ Mr. Market started seriously pricing in the possibility of interest rate cuts. To be fair, the signal came from the Top of the economic politburo that matters that being […]

President Trump on Fed Chairman Powell, “I disagree with him ‘entirely'”

President Trump on Fed Chairman Powell, “I disagree with him ‘entirely

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Friday, President Trump sharply criticized Fed Chairman Powell in an interview aired Friday, blaming him for raising interest rates and damaging the US economy. “He is my pick, and I disagree with him entirely,” he said in an interview with ABC News that was filmed in the back of a […]

Energy Stocks Fuel Stock Market Rally, as Oil Tankers are Attacked, US Blames Iran

Energy Stocks Fuel Stock Market Rally, as Oil Tankers are Attacked, US Blames Iran

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USO, $OIL, $VXX FLASH: Crude Oil prices rose after 2 Crude Oil tankers were attacked off the coast of Iran, the US blamed Iran for the attack fueling energy stocks to lead the advance. Crude Oil tankers came under attack Thursday near the strategic Strait of Hormuz, with 1 of […]

US Stocks “Paused to Refresh”, Gold Finished Higher

US Stocks “Paused to Refresh”, Gold Finished Higher

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USD, $XAU, $GLD, $VXX Total CPI increased 0.1%, as expected, as did core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices. The monthly changes left the Y-Y readings at 1.8% and 2.0%, respectively, versus 2.0% and 2.1% for the 12 months ending in April. The Key takeaway from the report is […]

Rate Cut Looms, Wall Street Rallies

Rate Cut Looms, Wall Street Rallies

$DIA,$SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The technology sector was the biggest boost to the S&P with a 3.3% advance, led by gains in Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) Wall Street’s 3 major indexes rallied Tuesday to clock their biggest one-day gains in five months after Fed Chairman Powell left the door open for a […]

Trade, Other Risks, Signal Rate Cut May Be “Warranted Soon”

Trade, Other Risks, Signal Rate Cut May Be “Warranted Soon”

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Growing expectations for the Fed to cut rates to address slower growth and muted inflation; 2-yr yield drops 12 bpts to 1.83% . St. Louis Fed President James Bullard (FOMC Voter) said that slower economic growth could be sharper-than-expected due to the trade uncertainty. Mr. Bullard added that […]

Cash is King, Retail Investors Nervous Ahead of Summer

Cash is King, Retail Investors Nervous Ahead of Summer

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Cash is King for investors heading into Summer Increasing a cash buffer is typical during times of economic and geopolitical uncertainty. But data from global wealth managers show that stashing cash has continued at unusually high rates even as global stocks have rallied this year on conflicting signals […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: World stock markets were subdued as the US and UK exchanges were shuttered for national holidays. DJIA futures rose Monday night, along with S&P 500 futures and NAS futures. President Trump said Monday that Beijing “would like to make a deal,” but “we’re not ready” for a China trade […]

There are Lots of Growth Stocks in President Trump’s America First Policy

There are Lots of Growth Stocks in President Trump’s America First Policy

$DIA, $SOX, $QQQ, $SPY, $RUTX, $VXX The US Financial Markets are Closed Monday to Celebrate Memorial Day Note: The US economy is so diverse that there are always areas that are insulated from whatever you may be concerned about. The US-China trade dispute has driven dividend-rich sectors like utilities higher, but investors do not need […]

China Struggling to Grasp President Trump’s End Game

China Struggling to Grasp President Trump’s End Game

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Note: The Mins from the May FOMC meeting showed that policymakers are comfortable with the current fed funds rate range while “a number of participants” saw a moderation in risk and uncertainties surrounding their outlooks for the year. The Key takeaway is that the stock market has a reasonable […]

Managed Money Holding Long Bets on the Leadership

Managed Money Holding Long Bets on the Leadership

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Managed money’s lack of conviction in the Y 2019 stock rally has become notorious, but managers retained faith in the Leadership. Hedge funds kept equity exposures light in this year’s advance, the relative size of their biggest Long positions remained “extremely elevated,” according to the latest research from […]

US Not Likely to Suffer Big Damage From China Trade Dispute

US Not Likely to Suffer Big Damage From China Trade Dispute

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Major averages traded lower on trade uncertainty, Several US companies suspend business operations with China’s Huawei Technologies, Semiconductor stocks underperform, drag the S&P 500 information technology sector and Nasdaq lower Trade tensions with China need to linger for an extended period to cause real damage to the United […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Some analysts think there may not be enough leadership to move the market higher now. Savvy money is playing quality to the Northside. At the same time there are good Southside setups that we are watching carefully for the break South Southside action delivers fast gainers, but what falls […]

US Economy Continues to Expand

US Economy Continues to Expand

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: This economic expansion is set to become longest in US history, according to the latest leading-indicators data. The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the US increased 0.2% in April to 112.1, following a 0.3% increase in March, and a 0.2% increase in February. “The US LEI rose […]

This Market Overreacts to “Trade War Theater”

This Market Overreacts to “Trade War Theater”

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Stocks advanced for 3rd day running, driving S&P 500 back above its 50-Day MA, a Key technical mark. Nobel Prize-winning economist Robert Shiller warns that the US-China trade war is not over from disrupting financial markets just because stocks rallied after diving earlier in the week. “I think […]

Record Number of Funds Buying Insurance Against Stocks Fall

Record Number of Funds Buying Insurance Against Stocks Fall

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $BAC, FLASH: Global investors’ equity allocations fell 6% in May and 34 % of fund managers have taken out protection against sharp stock market declines in coming months, Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s (NYSE:BAC) latest monthly survey found Tuesday. The proportion of investors preparing for equity falls is the highest […]

US Stocks Sold Off Monday to De-risk Global Growth Concerns

US Stocks Sold Off Monday to De-risk Global Growth Concerns

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US stocks sold off Monday, as trade tensions escalated after China retaliated with a tariff rate hike on US imports. The 2.4% drop in the S&P 500 in a broad-based effort to de-risk amid global growth concerns.  Stocks sold off as US-China trade tensions escalated, China increased its tariff rate […]

President Trump Has an Really Good “Alternative” to the China Trade Deal

President Trump Has an Really Good “Alternative” to the China Trade Deal

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wall Street declines for 4th day running, finished near session highs President Trump firm on tariffs, driving concerns about the trade dispute with China The S&P 500 held its 50-Day MA at 2860 on the close The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), Wall Street’s ‘fear factor’ closed well off session highs […]

US-China Trade Talks “Have Not Broken Down”

US-China Trade Talks “Have Not Broken Down”

$SPY UPDATE: China and the United States have agreed to hold more trade talks in Beijing, Vice Premier Liu He said, as President Trump ordered his trade chief to begin the process of imposing tariffs on all remaining imports from China. Mr. Liu voiced a measured optimism on reaching a deal, but said there were […]

Investors Rotate to Cyclical Stocks to Extend this Bull Market

Investors Rotate to Cyclical Stocks to Extend this Bull Market

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: This Bull market has more room to Run, retail investors still on the sidelines. As investors bet on strong returns in cyclical sectors, they are also confident that US stocks at large will continue their historic Bull run. That run could be extended, we believe, as investors who remain […]

Fed Keeps Rates Unchanged, Investors Bet Rate Cut Coming

Fed Keeps Rates Unchanged, Investors Bet Rate Cut Coming

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Global equities declined Wednesday, capping a 3-day winning streak after the Fed held rates steady as expected, but comments from Fed Chairman Powell cast doubt on whether the central bank’s next move would be a rate cut, as expected. The Fed left its Key interest rate unchanged Wednesday and […]

“Sell in May, Go Away” Hang on Not This Year

“Sell in May, Go Away” Hang on Not This Year

$SPY FLASH: Go Away, Miss the Play The S&P 500 is +17% YTD (4 months), and investors could be forgiven for thinking about taking profits ahead of the usual Summer doldrums. Not so fast, say analysts at Societe Generale. “In our view, 2019 will be different,” Societe Generale strategists including the firm’s head of global […]

Investors ‘Buying the Dips’ as Money Rotates Out of the FAANGs

Investors ‘Buying the Dips’ as Money Rotates Out of the FAANGs

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $AAPL, $GOOG The S&P 500 increased 0.1% Tuesday after being down as much as 0.6% following a Key revenue miss from Alphabet (GOOG). Investors bought the intra-day dip to help the benchmark index set a new closing high and it closed the month with a gainer of 3.9%. The DJIA […]

Weak Inflation May Lead Fed to Cut Interest Rates

Weak Inflation May Lead Fed to Cut Interest Rates

$USD, $SPY, $QQQ, $DIA FLASH: Slowing inflation may lead the Fed to cut interest rates, White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said in a TV interview Monday. “The Fed is independent, but they have been themselves talking about coming and lowering their inflation target, which might mean a lower interest rate adjustment on their own […]

Positive Consumer Data Driving the Market

Positive Consumer Data Driving the Market

$SPY, $QQQ, $DIA US consumer spending surged 0.9% in March, the biggest gainer in about 10 years, as inflation pressures remain non-existent. The March gain was the biggest monthly increase since August 2009, the Commerce Department reported Monday. That is a big improvement after 3 months of lackluster readings in this Key segment of the economy. Consumer […]

President Trump Lauds GDP Growth, Inflation “Very Low”

President Trump Lauds GDP Growth, Inflation “Very Low”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Real GDP increased at an annual rate of 3.2% (consensus 1.9%), according to the advance estimate for Q-1 GDP, a blockbuster number. President Trump is Supercharging the US Economy! President Donald Trump’s re-election hinges on supercharging the US economy, and data showing faster than expected growth provided him a […]

Stock Market Marks Record Highs, Dems Talk Impeachment, the Dumbest Thing I Have Ever Heard!

Stock Market Marks Record Highs, Dems Talk Impeachment, the Dumbest Thing I Have Ever Heard!

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX Tuesday after the close, President Trump hammered the reality of the stock market and our economy in the face of Democrats talking about wanting to impeach him in a Tuesday evening Tweet. A short time after the S&P 500 and NAS Comp indexes closed at record highs, President Trump posted this: […]

Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) on Big Gains Driving Market Due North

Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) on Big Gains Driving Market Due North

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: S&P 500 and NAS Comp marked all-time closing highs The S&P 500 index closed at a record high, surpassing the highs it set last September and recouping all the ground it lost in the Fed engineered attempt to push it into a Bear market late last year. The NAS […]

US Stocks Finish Flat to Unchanged on Light “Earth Day’ Volume

US Stocks Finish Flat to Unchanged on Light “Earth Day’ Volume

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: S&P 500 held the 2900 mark at the close President Trump commemorated Earth Day with a message that included nods to “historic economic and job growth,” but made no mention of climate change. “Environmental protection and economic prosperity go hand in hand,” President Trump said in a statement issued […]

Corporate Earnings Beating Expectations Again This Season

Corporate Earnings Beating Expectations Again This Season

$SPY Corporate earnings results of this reporting season are beating expectations by a wide margin, suggesting that the S&P 500 (SPY) will avoid a “profit recession” this year because predicted economic bad news has failed to materialize. That is a reversal of the outlook from a few months ago, when the Y 2019 profit outlook […]

Film Look: Judy Dench Stars in ‘Red Joan’

Film Look: Judy Dench Stars in ‘Red Joan’

$LGF, $AEMC By Michael Selsman, CEO Archer Entertainment Media (AEMC) Judi Dench is back in the world of espionage, and her latest film role is way adrift from James Bond’s unflappable MI6 Spy Boss, M. In “Red Joan,” Ms. Dench plays an elderly British woman whose quiet suburban life is upended when police come knocking, […]

US Economy Booming!

US Economy Booming!

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The Trump Administration’s tax law is fueling economic growth Monday, White House National Economic Council Director Larry Kudlow that while many people are complaining about having to write bigger checks to meet their annual Tax Day obligation, policies that were put into effect under President Trump mean improved prosperity. […]

President Trump, “Stocks (DJIA) Should Be 5,000-10,000 Pts Higher”

President Trump, “Stocks (DJIA) Should Be 5,000-10,000 Pts Higher”

$DIA Sunday, President Trump said that actions by the Fed have hobbled economic growth and stock market gains by perhaps 30%, and that it should begin pumping money into the economy as it did during the Y’s 2007-2009 recession. President Trump’s latest hammering Twitter attack Vs the Fed came as European Central Bank head Mario […]

“Fed May Not Hike Interest Rates Again…”

“Fed May Not Hike Interest Rates Again…”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RURX, $VXX FLASH: Wall Street finished flat to little changed in front of earnings season The stock market finished little changed Thursday in a tight-ranged trading session. The S&P 500 finished fractionally higher, as RSI from financial and industrial stocks helped mitigate losses from shares of healthcare companies in front of earnings […]

“I Think Spying Did Occur on 2016 Trump Campaign”

“I Think Spying Did Occur on 2016 Trump Campaign”

FLASH: Wednesday, USAG William Barr said that he believes “spying did occur” on Donald Trump’s Presidential campaign, suggesting the origins of the Russia investigation may have been mishandled and aligning himself with the President on the matter. AG Barr, appearing before a Senate panel, did not say what “spying” had taken place. He later said […]

Fed Mins ‘Dovish’, No Interest Rate Increases This Year and Into 2020

Fed Mins ‘Dovish’, No Interest Rate Increases This Year and Into 2020

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The majority of Fed officials last month believed that economic conditions would likely warrant keeping its Dovish monetary policy unchanged for the rest of this year. Several officials said their view could shift in either direction based on incoming data, according to minutes of the meeting released Wednesday. Weaker growth […]

S&P 500 Up for 7 Day’s Running Seeing 2900 Next

S&P 500 Up for 7 Day’s Running Seeing 2900 Next

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The S&P 500 gained 0.5% Friday in a broad-based advance that was supported by a Goldilocks Employment Situation Report for March. The benchmark index advanced for the 7th session running, increasits its weekly gainer to 2.1%, and closed within 10 points of the 2900 level. The US labor market […]

President Trump, “I Will Only Accept ‘Great’ China Trade Deal”

President Trump, “I Will Only Accept ‘Great’ China Trade Deal”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: S&P 500 advances for 6th session running, closing on the high for the year There is positive sentiment on Wall Street about a trade deal in anticipation of President Trump’s meeting with Chinese Vice Premier Liu He after the close. There was also some speculation that President Trump could […]

Rally Extends, Chip Index Marks Record Highs

Rally Extends, Chip Index Marks Record Highs

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Semiconductor stocks outperformed following some positive industry indications, Chip Index at record highs US- China trade talks resumed in Washington and the Financial Times reported a final trade deal is nearly done, enforcement a working issue Positive non-manufacturing PMI data out of China and Europe US stocks finished higher Wednesday, […]

The S&P 500 Roars into April, No Foolin!

The S&P 500 Roars into April, No Foolin!

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The S&P 500 gaped open after better than expected China’s Manufacturing PMI (actual 50.5; expected 49.5; prior 49.2) and Non-Manufacturing PMI (actual 54.8; expected 54.5; prior 54.3) reinforced the idea that global economic activity is rebounding. The upbeat tone drove a rally in stocks with high-beta groups like the […]

US Economy Looks ‘Very Good’ in Here, Stocks Break Out on Volume

US Economy Looks ‘Very Good’ in Here, Stocks Break Out on Volume

$DIA, $SPY,$QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: S&P 500 marks its Best Quarter since 2009 Friday the US stock market liked what it heard: The US and China held “constructive” trade talks in Beijing this week, according to Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and the White House. Trade talks will continue next week in Washington with China’s Vice […]

China Trade Talks, Earnings Optimism Driving US Stocks

China Trade Talks, Earnings Optimism Driving US Stocks

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: A US trade delegation, which included USTR Robert Lighthizer and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, arrived in Beijing for a two-day meeting on Thursday. Reuters reported Wednesday evening that Chinese negotiators made “unprecedented” proposals on a range of issues including forced technology transfers. Despite the progress, the market continues to wait […]

Bond Yields Stabilize, Stocks Back in ‘Rally’ Mode

Bond Yields Stabilize, Stocks Back in ‘Rally’ Mode

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Infrastructure, healthcare and defense stocks stand to rally in the wake of President Trump being cleared by Special Counsel Robert Mueller of conspiring with Russia in the 2016 US Presidential election. Financial analysts are saying such stocks could run North as President Trump shifts his focus back to policy-making, […]

Key US Treasury Yields Lowest Since December 2017

Key US Treasury Yields Lowest Since December 2017

$DIA, $QQQ, $SPY, RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields fell to their lowest levels since December 2017 Monday as investors evaluated last week’s Dovish pivot by the Fed. Last Wednesday the FOMC stunned investors by abandoning projections for any interest rate hikes this year and saying it would halt the steady decline of […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Up, USD Flat, Crude Oil Down, Stocks Down Notes: A US trade delegation headed by Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin will visit China on 28-29 March which will be followed by a trip by Chinese Vice Premier Liu He to Washington in early April. Concerns about a potential US […]

Jobless Claims Down, Mid-Atlantic Factory Activity Up

Jobless Claims Down, Mid-Atlantic Factory Activity Up

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $AAPL, $MU, $VXX FLASH: The S&P 500 closed at its highest mark this year. The S&P 500 gained 1.1% Thursday, bolstered by the notion of a Dovish Fed and persistently low US Treasury yields. Leadership from the S&P 500 information technology sector (+2.5%), driven by gains in Apple and Micron also […]

Fed Slowly Making Economy Vulnerable

Fed Slowly Making Economy Vulnerable

$SPY, $USD FLASH: The Fed’s policy reversal is beginning to stoke systemic vulnerabilities in the economy. A surprise move by the central bank to forecast no change to interest rates for the remainder of this year will increase excesses in corporate America, which is already highly leveraged, and expose the economy to a higher chance […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Up, USD Dowu, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Notes: The Fed held interest rates steady, shave the number of hikes projected for the rest of the year at none and release details of a plan to end the monthly reduction of its massive balance sheet in September. US Crude Oil stockpiles last […]

‘Golden Cross’ Triggers DJIA

‘Golden Cross’ Triggers DJIA

$DIA FLASH: The DJIA triggered a technical signal Tuesday that many participants believe could mean more gains for stocks, the pattern is known as the ‘golden cross‘. The chart pattern comes about when a short-term moving average moves above a longer-term moving average. Moving averages are popular trend indicators used by technical analysts. In the […]

S&P 500 Flat to Little Changed Ahead of FOMC’s Policy Decision

S&P 500 Flat to Little Changed Ahead of FOMC’s Policy Decision

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The latest fund manager survey from Bank of America showed the allocation to equities is at its lowest since September 2016 indicating that managed money missed the 2019 rally and will have to play catch up soon. The S&P 500 advanced 0.7% Tuesday, on Dovish expectations ahead of the […]

Expect Fed to Signal No Rate Hikes Anytime Soon

Expect Fed to Signal No Rate Hikes Anytime Soon

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Cyclical sectors outperformed, follow-through buying interest came in on no new catalysts. Boeing (NYSE:BA) and Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) extend losses on familiar story lines Patience is the FOMC’s focus now, signaling that it went too far last year with its 4 rate hikes, so no interest rate hikes likely soon. […]

Really Good US-China Trade Deal Will See Stocks Soar

Really Good US-China Trade Deal Will See Stocks Soar

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: President Trump said the US will probably know, 1 way or another, in “the next 3 or 4 weeks” about a possible trade deal with China, as S&P 500 marked a fresh closing high Friday. “If that gets done, it will be something that people will be talking about […]

US Stocks ‘Paused to Refresh’

US Stocks ‘Paused to Refresh’

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX INDUSTRY WATCH Strong: Financials, Information Technology Weak: Materials, Communication Services, Industrials Highlights: Relative strength in the S&P 500 financial and information technology sectors Shares of Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) continue to outperform following positive analyst coverage Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) is under criminal investigation for some of its data deals General Electric (NYSE:GE) issues FY 2019 earnings warning; CEO offers […]

Stocks Climb, Atlanta Fed Raises US GDP Forecast

Stocks Climb, Atlanta Fed Raises US GDP Forecast

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: S&P 500 Breaks Above 2800, and President Trump Grounds Boeing’s 737 Max 8 Aircraft S&P 500 broke above the 2800 mark, and all 11 sectors finished in the Green Weakening USD was an area of support for the broader market and the earnings prospects for multinational companies President Trump […]

Tuesday the Broad Market Extends the Gains Off Friday’s Recovery

Tuesday the Broad Market Extends the Gains Off Friday’s Recovery

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Small businesses see bright future ahead Most S&P 500 sectors finish with gains Softening Consumer Price Index for February reinforced notion Fed will be patient US Treasury yields even lower Optimism among small companies in the US improved in February, snapping a 5-month losing streak that was the longest […]

Fed Responsible for Q-1 Slowdown, Stifling Trump Economy

Fed Responsible for Q-1 Slowdown, Stifling Trump Economy

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Fed stifling The Trump Economy The anti-Trump media is pointing to the economic slowdown, but economist Stephen Moore puts the blame on the Fed’s economist policy during our blockbuster Trump economy. “I’m a little worried about the economy slowing down a little bit, but we still have a blockbuster […]

SEC to Review Stock Trading Rules, Potential Shakeup Ahead

SEC to Review Stock Trading Rules, Potential Shakeup Ahead

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Major averages recouped most of their losses and close near session highs The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is launching a review of the main set of rules governing stock trading, opening the door to the biggest potential changes in 15 yrs the head of the agency said Friday. […]

Key Tell: Watch Labor Participation Rate in US Jobs

Key Tell: Watch Labor Participation Rate in US Jobs

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Job creation and wage growth are still important things to watch for in the monthly NFP report for February that will be released Friday. The other partial indicators already suggest that the labor market will remain solid. The focus now will be on the labor-force participation rate because the […]

Fed Engineered Market Correction Stripped Nearly $4-T from American’s Household Wealth

Fed Engineered Market Correction Stripped Nearly $4-T from American’s Household Wealth

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: This Bull Market is about to have its 10th Birthday! US household wealth fell 3.5% into the close of Y 2018 on the back of a Fed engineered stock market correction in Q-4 that threatened to weaken a near 10 year recovery. In its Quarterly Flow of Funds report, the […]

Few Reasons to End Fed’s ‘patient’ Stance on Rates

Few Reasons to End Fed’s ‘patient’ Stance on Rates

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Next Fed rate hike several FMOC meetings ahead With inflation muted, but other risks to the US economy on the rise, the Fed’s patience on policy is nowhere close to running out, with 1 previously Kawkish central banker Tuesday signaling he could wait until at least June before touching […]

Robot Traders Need Clarity, They Cannot Keep Up With President Trump

Robot Traders Need Clarity, They Cannot Keep Up With President Trump

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: “Machines are only as smart as their human programmers” Hedge fund investors learned that the hard way last year when data-crunching computers that invest $220-B based on historical price trends did worse than most human managers. The losses were so bad that investors pulled billions of dollars out of […]

US Stocks Setting Up for a Big Move North

US Stocks Setting Up for a Big Move North

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: US stocks finished flat on high volume We expect that US stocks will continue to move North new highs despite an earnings slowdown, that according to the patterns that are set/setting up now. HeffX-LTN is going contrarian Vs the Bears who are warning investors that the earnings slowdown will […]

Sidelined Investors ‘Shovel’ $965-M into Stock Funds on Market Rally

Sidelined Investors ‘Shovel’  $965-M into Stock Funds on Market Rally

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Sidelined investors join this Bull market rally, as retail stocks outperform following earnings reports from Lowe’s ($LOW), Best Buy ($BBY), and TJX ($TJX) Investors came back into US stock funds during the week ended 20 February. It has been the best start to a year for the S&P 500 since Y 1987, breaking a 5-week […]

Sidelined Investors Joining This Rally

Sidelined Investors Joining This Rally

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX FLASH: The Pain Trade is Higher! Professional investors who have missed this global stock rally this year, are still worry about getting on the bandwagon too late Money managers are strategies including derivatives, defensive and/or dividend stocks are being touted as a way out. Fund manager have pulled over $30-B from […]

Stocks Finished Flat on Fed’s ‘Patience’ Confirmation

Stocks Finished Flat on Fed’s ‘Patience’ Confirmation

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: US stock markets pause on Powell’s testimony to Congress Markets opened lower and were cautious as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell testified before the Congress Tuesday. The Fed’s U-turn that took expectations for rate hikes this year to Zero has led to a drop in real borrowing costs and a […]

US Housing Starts Fell to 2-Yr Lows in December

US Housing Starts Fell to 2-Yr Lows in December

$SPY, $USD US homebuilding fell to a more than 2-year lows in December as construction of both single and multi-family housing declined, the latest indication that the economy lost momentum in the fourth quarter. Other details of the report from the Commerce Department on Tuesday were also downbeat and suggested that the housing market could remain sluggish […]

Stocks Gain on Hopes of China Trade Dispute Resolution

Stocks Gain on Hopes of China Trade Dispute Resolution

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 advanced as much as 0.8% Monday after President Trump said he will extend the 1 March trade deadline, as negotiations with China have progressed favorably.  The benchmark index retreated throughout the session as it tapped up against some mild overhead resistance, but finishing higher by 0.1% above […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX As earnings season comes to a close investors look down the line. No trade deal announced yet, but President Trump and Top Chinese negotiators in Washington concurred there will likely be 1 and the 1 March deadline for the tariff hike was pushed Sunday, the Chinese FM returns to Beijing […]

Time to Buy Risk as US-China Trade Dispute Resolves

Time to Buy Risk as US-China Trade Dispute Resolves

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $GLD, $SLV, $USO, $SOY FLASH: It is absolutely the time to buy risk. Saturday, positive developments in trade talks between the world’s 2 largest economies should boost riskier assets, as extended US-China negotiations are ‘positive’ for risk assets. They will lead to a weaker USD, supporting Crude Oil prices and Gold […]

Americans’ Economic Approval at 18-Yr Highs

Americans’ Economic Approval at 18-Yr Highs

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: 9 of the 11 S&P 500 sectors finished higher with information technology (+1.3%), communication services (+1.1%), and healthcare (+0.9%) leading the advance. On the other hand, the financials (-0.2%) and consumer staples (-0.3%) sectors finished in the Red. Today, Americans’ views of the US economy and optimism about its […]

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