“Proper US-China Trade Deal More Important Than Timing”

“Proper US-China Trade Deal More Important Than Timing”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The Commerce Secretary said the world’s 2 largest economies still needed to work out details about China’s purchases of farm products, some structural issues and an enforcement mechanism in order to ink an interim trade agreement that President Trump hoped to complete last month. President Trump, speaking in Europe Tuesday, […]

Data on Your Spending Habits a Gold Mine for Big Banks

Data on Your Spending Habits a Gold Mine for Big Banks

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX There are powerful new players watching what you buy so it can tailor product offerings for you, they are the banks behind your credit or debit card. The banks want to turn data they already have on your spending habits into extra revenue by identifying likely customers for retailers. Banks […]

US Consumer Spending on the Rise

US Consumer Spending on the Rise

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Americans increased their spending in October at the fastest rate in 3 months even though income growth was essentially flat, its weakest showing in 13 months. The Commerce Department said Wednesday that consumer spending rose 0.3% last month, the best gainer since a 0.5% rise in July. An inflation gauge that is […]

DJIA Marks 100th Record Close Under President Trump

DJIA Marks 100th Record Close Under President Trump

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Tuesday, US stocks edged higher, and all 3 major Wall Street indexes marked record levels, as upbeat comments by President Trump on trade talks eclipsed some softer-than-anticipated economic data, as the DJIA posted its 100th record close since Trump took office. President Trump said the United States and China were […]

Wall Street Marks Fresh Record Highs on Optimistic Trade Resolution

Wall Street Marks Fresh Record Highs on Optimistic Trade Resolution

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wall Street’s 3 major averages kicked off the trading week by closing at records Monday as signs pointed to progress between the United States and China on a trade truce, while a round of merger deals also helped buoy investor sentiment. President Donald Trump applauded the achievement. “Another new Stock […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XAU, $GLD, $VXX Conditions setting up for the Santa Claus Rally A year after the US stock market plunged on the Fed’s acts, many investors believe conditions are set for a rally to finish off Y 2019. A more accommodative Fed compared with a year ago is an important argument for […]

Facts Do Not Square With Sensational Headlines…Tune Out the Noise

Facts Do Not Square With Sensational Headlines…Tune Out the Noise

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Billionaire Ray Dalio said his macro hedge fund firm Bridgewater Associates does not have a net bet that the stock market will fall. A Wall Street Journal article published earlier Friday is “wrong,” Mr. Dalio wrote in a LinkedIn post. “I want to make clear that we don’t have any such […]

Manufacturing, Labor Market Data Signal Slowing Economy

Manufacturing, Labor Market Data Signal Slowing Economy

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Initial claims for the week ending 16 November were unchanged at 227,000 (consensus 216,000). Continuing claims for the week ending 9 November were up 3,000 to 1.695-M. The Key takeaway from the report is that initial claims have been more elevated than usual in recent weeks, suggesting perhaps that they have […]

Target (NYSE:TGT) at Record Highs on Sales Beat, Raised Forecast

Target (NYSE:TGT) at Record Highs on Sales Beat, Raised Forecast

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $TGT, $VXX Target Corp. (NYSE:TGT) reached a record high after raising its F-Y (full-year) outlook again on strong sales and profitability, providing a safe haven after several retailers unnerved investors. The stock, the best performer in the S&P 500 Index Wednesday, had already soared 68% this year through Tuesday. Target raised […]

Markets Wrap with Tech Lifting NAS to Record

Markets Wrap with Tech Lifting NAS to Record

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 declined 0.1% Tuesday in a mixed session. The retail industry was under pressure following disappointing quarterly results and guidance from Home Depot (HD 225.86, -12.99, -5.4%) and Kohl’s (KSS 47.02, -11.38, -19.5%) The NAS Comp climbed to a fresh record on the back of gains in mega cap tech companies even as the […]

100 Yr of Data Says: ‘Buy this Bull Market’

100 Yr of Data Says: ‘Buy this Bull Market’

$SPY The great Fidelity Investments money manager Peter Lynch once said; “More money has been lost by investors trying to anticipate corrections, than has been lost in corrections themselves.” The bottom line is this: 100-years’ worth of data is screaming at us to buy stocks. The widespread pessimism is telling us it’s a great time to buy stocks, […]

President Trump Will Continue to Defend the US Economy (Video)

President Trump Will Continue to Defend the US Economy (Video)

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 (+0.1%), DJIA (+0.1%), and NAS Comp (+0.1%) eked out incremental gains to close at record highs Monday. The Russell 2000 (-0.3%) closed in negative territory.  Before President Trump, China has intended to take over the world. White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow proclaimed that President Trump will […]

Impeachment Probe Does Not Bother President Trump or the Stock Market

Impeachment Probe Does Not Bother President Trump or the Stock Market

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX S&P 500, DJIA closed at record highs, again! Public impeachment hearings in Congress about President Trump’s attempts to pressure Ukraine to have scant influence on markets, some analysts said Wednesday. These hearings will be the height of drama inside the beltway, but our sense is that the market impact will […]

President Trump Talks Economy and Trade, Market Responds Positively

President Trump Talks Economy and Trade, Market Responds Positively

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RTUX, $VXX The benchmark S&P 500 stock index posted a slim gainer Tuesday as President Trump said the United States is close to signing an initial trade deal with China and lauded the economy. The S&P 500 and NAS marked all-time highs during trading but stocks ended off session highs with investors […]

Mutual Funds Vs ETFs

Mutual Funds Vs ETFs

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ An Overview Mutual funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have a lot in common. Both types of funds consist of a mix of many different assets and represent a common way for investors to diversify. There are Key differences in the way they are managed. ETFs can be traded like stocks, while mutual […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Risk is on, sidelined money coming back in and the market is posting record highs almost on a daily basis. The earnings news is providing its share of trading catalysts, but the macro news is mattering more as a market driver because the macro connection with the employment report, earnings […]

S&P 500 Marks 5th Week of Gains, as Wall Street Hits New Records

S&P 500 Marks 5th Week of Gains, as Wall Street Hits New Records

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Friday, the 3 major US stock market indexes posted record closing highs and the S&P 500 registered a 5th straight week of gainers as investors brushed aside worries over the progress of US-China trade talks and as Walt Disney shares rose. The Cboe volatility index .VIX posted its lowest closing […]

Americans Buy ‘Made in the USA’, Stocks Surge

Americans Buy ‘Made in the USA’, Stocks Surge

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The DJIA and S&P 500 notched record closing highs again Thursday, as President Trump continues to cheer as the market continues to charge higher into record territory. “Stock Markets (all three) hit another ALL TIME & HISTORIC HIGH yesterday! You are sooo lucky to have me as your President (just kidding!). […]

The US Stock Market Finished Flat to Little Changed

The US Stock Market Finished Flat to Little Changed

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The stock market closed flat to little changed Wednesday, marking the 2nd straight day for the Bull’s pause to refresh near record highs. The S&P 500 (+0.1%), DJIA (unch), and NAS Comp (-0.3%) closed within 0.3% of their flat lines, the Russell 2000 (-0.6%) lagged. Wednesday, the DJIA -0.07 at 27492.60, NAS Comp -24.05 at 8410.63, S&P 500 […]

“Low interest rates and budget deficit spending will be a boon for the market”

“Low interest rates and budget deficit spending will be a boon for the market”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX “Efforts to stimulate global economies are boosting equities in a way I have never seen before.”– Paul Tudor Jones Mr. Jones also said Tuesday that next year’s Presidential election “will be more meaningful than any in my lifetime.” Governments and central bankers from Japan to the US are taking steps […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Risk is on, sidelined money coming back in. The earnings news is providing its share of trading catalysts, but the macro news is mattering more as a market driver because the macro connection with the employment report is that it suggests future earnings news may be better than expected. The […]

US Bull Market Heating Up Again, as YTD Gainer Hits 22%

US Bull Market Heating Up Again, as YTD Gainer Hits 22%

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX NAS Comp +26.4% YTD S&P 500 +22.3% YTD Russell 2000 +17.9% YTD DJIA +17.2% YTD This Bull may be old but it is not tired. A Bull market that traces its lineage to the depths of the financial crisis has marked its 4th straight weekly gainer and pushing its gain […]

“Trade War Naysayers Must Apologize”

“Trade War Naysayers Must Apologize”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX S&P 500 sets new intraday and closing records DJIA +132.66 at 27090.72, NAS Comp +82.87 at 8325.99, S&P 500 +16.87 at 3039.42 Volume: Trade on the NYSE came at 777-M/shares exchanged The S&P 500 set new record highs Monday, increasing 0.6% as trade sentiment remained upbeat and investors reacted positively to corporate news. The NAS Comp (+1.0%) and […]

Paul Ebeling’s DC Commentary: “Investors Ignoring Trump Impeachment ‘Noise'”

Paul Ebeling’s DC Commentary: “Investors Ignoring Trump Impeachment ‘Noise

$USD, $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The US Dem House’s impeachment focus is not even a distraction to the financial market, as nothing will or can come of it, as in the world of geopolitics something big happened at the weekend. Sunday, President Trump announced that Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, the leader of the so-called Islamic […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street (Risk On Update)

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street (Risk On Update)

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX About 20% of S&P 500 members reported earnings this week, and on balance they have beaten expectations. That has persuaded investors US companies are weathering the trade storm and reminded them slowing global growth is not the same as no global growth, or Risk On! Stay tuned… The Big Qs: […]

The Weekly Wrap Up

The Weekly Wrap Up

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Week in Review: Cyclical sectors lead S&P 500 back to record levels in earnings-driven advance The S&P 500 advanced for the 3rd week running, rising 1.2% and nearly setting new record highs as investors remained pleased with earnings reports.  The DJIA rose 0.7%, the NAS Comp rose 1.9%, and the […]

Asia: Gold, Crude Oil, Stocks, Commodities and Currency Pairs

Asia: Gold, Crude Oil, Stocks, Commodities and Currency Pairs

$XAU, $GLD, $USD, $USO, $OIL FLASH: Gold Steady, USD Up, Crude Oil Flat, Stocks Off Headlines Asia shares slip on BREXIT snag Crude Oil prices fell after data showed US stocks rose more than expected last week. Gold holds steady, as technical buying gives support Gold: Gold prices were largely unchanged Wednesday, as investors awaited more clarity on […]

China Keeps Open Door Policy to FDI Despite Trade Dispute

China Keeps Open Door Policy to FDI Despite Trade Dispute

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 lost 0.4% Tuesday in a newsy session. Company-specific news contributed to outsized stock moves, but overall gainers in broader market had been nominal until a hiccup on the BREXIT issue dragged the major indices into the Red. The benchmark index closed at session lows below the 3000 […]

US Q-3 Earnings, Here They Come

US Q-3 Earnings, Here They Come

$SPY, $SPX, $SPLRCT, $USD, $EUR, US companies are preparing to report Q-3 earnings following a few months grappling with a US-China trade conflict undermining the business environment and an overall economy that has been showing signs of slowing. Among S&P 500 (SPX) earnings for the July-September frame look set to mark the weakest performance in […]

President Trump has China “Where He Wants Them on Trade” + Closing Market Summary

President Trump has China “Where He Wants Them on Trade” + Closing Market Summary

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Stock market guru, Jim Cramer said President Trump has the upper hand in the China trade distpute because tariffs are hurting the Chinese economy way more than the US economy. “Hate him or like him, he has them where he wants them,”  Mr. Cramer said on TV Friday. “I always […]

Signs Point to Weak NFPs Report, We Wait, We See…

Signs Point to Weak NFPs Report, We Wait, We See…

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US stocks recover from oversold condition, soft data boosts rate-cut expectations. The recent ADP job numbers suggest that employers are either having difficulty filling positions, are hiring fewer people due to weaker demand, or both. The lowest manufacturing jobs gauge since Y 2016. Slower private hiring. A sharp drop in […]

US Stocks Decline for a 2nd Day Running, EU Tariffs Loom

US Stocks Decline for a 2nd Day Running, EU Tariffs Loom

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $ESDAY, $VXX Wednesday’s US economic data included the ADP Employment Change report for September and the weekly MBA Mortgage Applications Index. The takeaways are as follows: Private-sector payrolls were estimated to have increased by 135,000 in September (consensus 150-K) while the prior month’s print was revised down to 157-K from 195,000. Private-sector […]

US Stocks Advanced for 3rd Quarter Running

US Stocks Advanced for 3rd Quarter Running

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USD, $USO, $GLD, $XAU, $VXX US stocks advanced for the 3rd Quarter running, as investors weighed the latest turns in the trade dispute between the world’s 2 largest economies. The USD rose and Treasuries moved higher. Tech drove the rise after The Trump Administration partially refuted a report it would target […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $GLD, $VXX Investing in this market successfully requires the creation of an investing strategy that outperforms the broader market. Consider, Factor Investing, it is not new, dating to the mid-1970’s, and has been boosted over the past few years from the acceptance of ETFs. Now, there is over $900-B invested in […]

President Trump Could Delist Chinese Companies From US Markets

President Trump Could Delist Chinese Companies From US Markets

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Friday, US financial markets suffered a trade-related happening on concern The Trump Administration may move to limit US investment in China, a move sure to raise tensions. The S&P 500 turned lower after it was reported that officials are discussing ways to restrict portfolio flows into the world’s 2nd-largest economy. […]

Understanding This Market Into the Q’s End

Understanding This Market Into the Q’s End

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX At the close: DJIA -142.22 at 26807.77, NAS Comp -118.84 at 7993.62, S&P 500 -25.18 at 2966.64 US stocks fell Tuesday, as investors shunned risk following a decline in consumer confidence, and a hard-lined speech from President Trump. The S&P 500 (-0.8%) and DJIA (-0.5%) declined less than 1%, while the NAS Composite (-1.5%) and Russell […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $GLD, $VXX SPECIAL REPORT: The Future of this Rally, what is Next? Thee DJIA futures are up a bit Sunday night, along with S&P 500 futures and NAS Comp futures. This stock market rally has stood negative headlines, but is not yet making a final push to record highs. Arguably, this […]

President Trump Has “Muscled” the Stock Market Away from the Fed

President Trump Has “Muscled” the Stock Market Away from the Fed

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USD, $VXX This week the Fed cut interest rates for the 2nd time since the Great Recession, and found its hands full with another event with potentially catastrophic implications for the economy. In short, liquidity in the repo markets, a critical cog in the financial system machine seized Tuesday. In response, […]

President Trump Hammers Fed’s Powell, “No Guts, No Sense, No Vision!”

President Trump Hammers Fed’s Powell, “No Guts, No Sense, No Vision!”

$DIA, $QQQ, $SPY, RUTX, $VXX President Trump Tweeted: “Fed, Powell ‘Fail Again’”After FOMC Rate Cut The Fed cut interest rates for the 2nd time since July, and it was not enough for President Trump. President Trump assailed policy makers just mins after their decision Wednesday to cut the benchmark interest rate by 25 bts. “Jay […]

Wall Street Nears Record Highs Ahead of FOMC Policy Announcement

Wall Street Nears Record Highs Ahead of FOMC Policy Announcement

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $$USO, $XAU, $GLD, $VXX S&P 500 closed higher in front of FOMC interest rate decision Wednesday 9 of the 11 S&P 500 sectors finished higher, led by the real estate (+1.4%), utilities (+0.9%), and materials (+0.7%) sectors. The energy (-1.5%) and industrials (-0.04%) sectors were the sectors to finish in the […]

What Will the Attack on Saudi Crude Oil Facilities Mean for Consumers?

What Will the Attack on Saudi Crude Oil Facilities Mean for Consumers?

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $OIL, $USO, $VXX Wall Street closed lower, Crude Oil prices spiked after attack in Saudi Arabia The attack knocked about 5.7-M BPD out of production, leading to the biggest 1-day gainer in WTI Crude Oil ($62.88/bbl, +$8.00, +14.6%) since Y 2008. Saudi Arabia expected to restore about 33% of lost production […]

The Market is Asking, “How low can the Fed go”?

The Market is Asking, “How low can the Fed go”?

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX With US-China trade tensions having roiled financial markets, investors are counting on support for stocks coming from a Fed willing to keep cutting interest rates to help the US economy avoid a severe downturn. A 1/4th pt rate reduction is expected when the FOMC issues its next policy statement this […]

Wall Street Finished Higher on Trade, ECB Stimulus for the 7th Session Running

Wall Street Finished Higher on Trade, ECB Stimulus for the 7th Session Running

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $SOY, $VXX US stocks extend rally on trade developments, ECB stimulus measures Tech gains led the S&P 500 and the NAS Comp higher, while financials gave the biggest boost to the blue-chip DJIA, which closed up for the 7th session running, its longest winning streak since May. Stocks rose worldwide as […]

Goldie’s Simple Answer to Clients: “Buy US Stocks 1st”

Goldie’s Simple Answer to Clients: “Buy US Stocks 1st”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX S&P 500 finishes higher as value stocks outperform Goldman Sach’s Private Wealth Management team has a simple firm message for its wealthy clients: stick with US equities. “As we have gone through various crises, we have still told clients to stay invested and not get out of US equities, it’s […]

US Consumer Inflation Expectations Mark New Low

US Consumer Inflation Expectations Mark New Low

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Monday, the S&P 500 closed unchanged, as energy, financials outperformed US consumers’ inflation expectations declined in August and workers grew more pessimistic about their job situation, data from the New York Federal Reserve showed Monday, supporting the case for further interest rate cuts. The New York Fed’s monthly survey of consumer […]

Fed Chairman Powell Does Not See Recession: Mission “Sustain Expansion”

Fed Chairman Powell Does Not See Recession: Mission “Sustain Expansion”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The stock market finished mixed Friday; the S&P 500 (+0.1%) and DJIA (+0.3%) closed just above unchanged, while the NAS Comp (-0.2%) and Russell 2000 (-0.4%) closed slightly lower. On Friday, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said the most likely outlook for the US and world economy is continued moderate growth, […]

Wall Street Bulls Are Back in Rally Mode

Wall Street Bulls Are Back in Rally Mode

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Thursday, US stocks spiked on expectations of a de-escalation in trade tensions after Washington and Beijing agreed to hold high-level talks in early October, while at the same time strong US economic data eased fears of a domestic slowdown. The ADP National Employment Report, considered a precursor to the Labor […]

US-China Agree to Hold Trade Talks in October, Stock Futures Spike

US-China Agree to Hold Trade Talks in October, Stock Futures Spike

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ China and the United States agreed to hold high-level trade talks in early October in Washington, China’s commerce ministry said Thursday. The announcement followed a call earlier in the day between China’s Vice Premier Liu He and US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and U Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, the Ministry of Commerce […]

Wall Street Liked China Data, Hong Kong and BREXIT News

Wall Street Liked China Data, Hong Kong and BREXIT News

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wall Street’s Key stock indexes bounced Wednesday, after robust economic data from China, easing tensions in Hong Kong and British lawmakers’ approval of a law to delay BREXIT provided some optimism to investors worried about global growth. The Fed’s September Beige Book described overall economic activity as expanding at a […]

Corporate Executives Are Buying Stocks…Are You?

Corporate Executives Are Buying Stocks…Are You?

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX When stock markets declined in August, 1 group of investors showed unshakable confidence, Company insiders. So much that the buy-to-sell ratio of corporate executives in Europe reached its highest mark since December, according to data compiled by 2iQ Research. Such spike in the ratio, 3.3 in August is usually seen […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $VXX FlASH: Global Market Uncertainty Means Precious Metals Will Continue To Rise This level of uncertainty in the global markets will prompt a massive move in the precious metals markets as traders and investors continue to put money into precious metals as a means to hedge against fear […]

Wall Street Finished Mixed with a Bullish Bias Ahead of this Long Weekend

Wall Street Finished Mixed with a Bullish Bias Ahead of this Long Weekend

$DIA, #SPY,, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wall Street posted mixed results on Friday on month end re-balancing ahead of a holiday weekend in which a fresh round of US tariffs on Chinese imports were set for levy. The DJIA .DJI rose 37.4 pts, or 0.14%, to 26,399.65, the S&P 500 .SPX gained 1.45 pts, or 0.05%, to 2,926.03 and the […]

DJIA +258 pts on No Market Moving News

DJIA +258 pts on No Market Moving News

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US stocks finished on the highs Wednesday in a broad-based advance. The S&P 500 increased 0.7%, overcoming a negative start that was attributed to declining Treasury yields and finished near session highs.  The DJIA increased 1.0%, the NAS Comp increased 0.4%, and the Russell 2000 finished +1.2%.  Wednesday’s session did […]

Wall Street Shares Dipped Tuesday, Gold Rallies on Recession Fear

Wall Street Shares Dipped Tuesday, Gold Rallies on Recession Fear

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wall Street dipped Tuesday, weighed down by financial stocks as a deepening of the Treasury yield curve inversion raised recession worries again, and uncertainty over the progress in trade negotiations between the United States and China. A deepening of the inversion in the yield curve between the 2-year and 10-year […]

President Trump Notes Positive Movement in China Trade Dispute, Market Responds

President Trump Notes Positive Movement in China Trade Dispute, Market Responds

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wall Street began this week on higher note following President Trump’s trade comments Monday, President Trump scaled back a US-China trade dispute declared that the 2 sides will begin serious negotiations soon. President Trump said his trade negotiators had received 2 “very good calls” from China Sunday. “I think we’re […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Recession Special Report Bank of America’s (NYSE:BAC) CEO has just 1 reason why he does not see a recession looming. Mr. Moynihan says the “US consumer continues to spend and that will keep the US economy in good shape.” “But what is going to make that happen is the underling […]

President Trump Ups the Stakes in the China Trade Dispute

President Trump Ups the Stakes in the China Trade Dispute

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Just In: President Trump says $250-B of Chinese goods now under 25% tariff will be subject to 30% tariff starting on 1 October, expect more… “I will be responding to China’s Tariffs this afternoon. This is a GREAT opportunity for the United States,” President Trump Tweeted Friday Wall Street turned […]

A Divided FOMC Walking ‘The Trump Tightrope’

A Divided FOMC Walking ‘The Trump Tightrope’

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 increased 0.8% on Wednesday in a broad-based advance. Upbeat results and reassuring guidance from Target and Lowe’s reinforced the notion that the US consumer is in good shape, while investors parsed the FOMC mins from the July meeting.  The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 0.9%, the Nasdaq Composite increased 0.9%, […]

The Huge Managed Money Has More Faith in Stocks Than Bonds

The Huge Managed Money Has More Faith in Stocks Than Bonds

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) investment management unit oversees about $1.7-T. and while it is still waiting for better entry levels to buy the dip, it continues to favor equities and credit over government bonds in a rejection of growing fears of an imminent recession. Goldie expects the Fed to lower rates […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH and Saying it Again: Stocks overreacted to the FOMC’s rate decision in the minds of investors, WH advisor calling for an emergency meeting of the committee to cut rates further. President Trump plays the tariff card to pressure Fed Chairman Powell, The market has become susceptible to every China headline, nothing new. […]

Stocks Rallied in Broad-based Advance

Stocks Rallied in Broad-based Advance

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX This week’s trade has been headlined by the yield-curve inversion theory, where the yield of shorter-dated debt rises above its longer-term counterpart. On Wednesday, the yield 10-yr T-Note rate briefly fell below the 2-year T-Note a condition that has sometimes been a recession indicator. The degree to which investors have crowded […]

Gold Headed to $2,300 oz, Stocks Seen Much Higher Too

Gold Headed to $2,300 oz, Stocks Seen Much Higher Too

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $XAU, $GLD The US stock market finished mixed Thursday, as investors weighed the resiliency of the US consumer Vs growth concerns. The S&P 500 (+0.3%) and DJIA(+0.4%) finished higher, while the NAS Comp (-0.1%) and Russell 2000 (-0.4%) finished lower. The overall uncertainty from the US-China trade dispute is high […]

President Trump, “Fed Behind Market Turmoil, Not Trade War”

President Trump, “Fed Behind Market Turmoil, Not Trade War”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wednesday, President Trump targeted Fed policy as the reason for this recent market turmoil. In raising interest rates 4X last year “the Federal Reserve acted far too quickly, and now is very, very late,” in reversing itself and cutting borrowing costs, President Trump tweeted. “Too bad, so much to gain on […]

President Trump Drops Some Tariffs on Chinese Goods, Stocks Rally

President Trump Drops Some Tariffs on Chinese Goods, Stocks Rally

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US stocks rallied Tuesday after the White House announced that it will delay the 10% tariff rate for some items imported from China until 15 December. President Trump told reporters he wanted to delay the tariffs so consumers would not be hurt during the Christmas shopping season and said he […]

US Economic Growth Short of President Trump’s Goals

US Economic Growth Short of President Trump’s Goals

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX President Trump blames the Fed for putting the US economy at risk while data shows an economy in “reasonably good” shape, as the Chairman of the central bank recently said. But,”reasonably good” is not what President Trump promised to deliver during his Y 2016 campaign, and at this point he […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Stocks overreacted to the FOMC’s rate decision in the minds of investors, WH advisor calling for an emergency meeting of the committee to cut rates further. President Trump plays the tariff card to pressure Fed Chairman Powell, . The market has become susceptible to every China headline, nothing new. […]

President Trump: “US, China Still Talking on Trade, but Not Ready for Deal”

President Trump: “US, China Still Talking on Trade, but Not Ready for Deal”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The US stock market wrapped up a volatile week on a lower note, with the S&P 500 down 0.7% Friday. Every time in the past year that President Trump weighed in on the trade dispute the market reacted negatively then responded positively, and the rally extended, I do not expect […]

President Trump Demands Strong Rate Cut, Market Turns a Solid Green, Wall Street Loves ‘Cheap Money’

President Trump Demands Strong Rate Cut, Market Turns a Solid Green, Wall Street Loves ‘Cheap Money’

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USD, $VXX The US stock market finished solidly in the Green Thursday, as trade anxiety subsided and investors embraced a risk-on mindset. The S&P 500 advanced 1.9%, which extended its 2-day bounce to 112 pts, or 4.0%, from its session low Wednesday.  Thursday, President Trump again expressed dissatisfaction with USD’s strength, […]

Savvy Money is Betting Both Sides of the US-China Trade Dispute

Savvy Money is Betting Both Sides of the US-China Trade Dispute

$SPY, $SPX Hedge-fund billionaire Ray Dalio advised savvy investors to bet on “both horses in the race” amid rising trade tensions between the US and China. He argued that investors still have a historic opportunity to buy into China as it opens up its markets to foreign investments. “Would you have not wanted to invest with […]

US Stock Market Stages Key Reversal, Treasury Yields Stabilize

US Stock Market Stages Key Reversal, Treasury Yields Stabilize

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX President Trump said Wednesday the Fed must cut rates “bigger and faster” for the United States to be competitive against other countries. “Our problem is a Federal Reserve that is too proud to admit their mistake of acting too fast and tightening too much (and that I was right!). They […]

The Fed is Under Pressure to Ease Further

The Fed is Under Pressure to Ease Further

$SPY Last week, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell cut U.S. interest rates calling the move an insurance policy against the effects of “simmering” trade tensions, may need to buy more coverage after the United States late Monday designated China a currency manipulator. The move by US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin starts a formal process to address […]

Investment Strategy: Buy US Stocks on the Dip

Investment Strategy: Buy US Stocks on the Dip

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FlASH: The implied likelihood for a 50-bpts rate cut at the September FOMC meeting climbed to 23.5% Vs 1.5%. Friday, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Expectations for the Fed to step up its easing efforts amid increased risks to the economic outlook expounded the flight-to-safety in gold and US […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Last week the market was in consolidation mode and tested the 50-Day MA’s and bounced and… Employment report showed solid jobs growth in July Major averages found buying support at 50-Day MAs INDUSTRY WATCH Strong: Real Estate, Utilities, Consumer Staples Weak: Information Technology, Energy, Materials The CBOE Volatility Index has […]

Fed Rate Cut is a Step in the Right Direction

Fed Rate Cut is a Step in the Right Direction

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Employment report showed solid jobs growth in July Major averages found buying support at 50-Day MAs INDUSTRY WATCH Strong: Real Estate, Utilities, Consumer Staples Weak: Information Technology, Energy, Materials The CBOE Volatility Index has come down from prior levels. Currently, the VIX is up 0.7 pts, or 4.4%, to 18.61. […]

President Trump to Inflict Economic Pain on China Until a Suitable Trade Deal is Made

President Trump to Inflict Economic Pain on China Until a Suitable Trade Deal is Made

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Thursday, President Trump said he may raise US tariffs on Chinese goods beyond 25% if trade negotiations with Beijing remain stalled. President Trump told reporters that the new 10% tariff he announced Thursday for $300-B in Chinese imports beginning 1 September will be imposed for a short term and could […]

Fed Cuts Rates, Signals It “May” Not Need to Do More

Fed Cuts Rates, Signals It “May” Not Need to Do More

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The FOMC cut interest rates as widely expected Wednesday, but Chairman Powell said he did not view the move as the start of a lengthy series of rate cuts. Fed Chairman Powell cited global weakness, trade tensions and a desire to boost too-low inflation in explaining the central bank’s decision […]

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