No One Went Away in May, Rally to Continue

No One Went Away in May, Rally to Continue

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX It is the end of May and the S&P 500 cracked and broke through the Key overhead resistance at 3,000 and held, this after a month of sideways trading and consolidation. Now Summer is here an my prediction should make investors feel safer after this unpopular rally drove prices higher […]

US Pending Home Sales Off in April

US Pending Home Sales Off in April

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX April had a record decline in Americans signing contracts to buy homes, a reflection of the broader shutdown of economic activity in response to the C-19 coronavirus chaos outbreak. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) said Thursday that pending home sales index dove 21.8% from the prior month to a level of […]

Americans Like to Shop for Groceries in a Store, Not Online

Americans Like to Shop for Groceries in a Store, Not Online

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Online grocery sales have risen 200% YTD, according to Earnest Research, part of a broader boom in home cooking now that thousands of restaurants are closed. The $840-B grocery industry has been one of the few bright spots during this medical emergency that has hammered the economy. Walmart Inc.(NYSE:WMT), Amazon.com Inc.(NASDAQ:AMZN) and startup […]

“Fast Economic Recovery in Sight”

“Fast Economic Recovery in Sight”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Jamie Dimon sees “pretty good odds” of a fast economic recovery starting in Q-3 thanks to the US government’s stimulus programs and the strength of the consumer going into the Medical Malpractice chaos. “You could see a fairly rapid recovery,” the JPMorgan Chase & Co. CEO said Tuesday at a […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, What the Bulls are Telling Us

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, What the Bulls are Telling Us

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last Week’s Action The large-cap indexes were lower Thursday, and flat Friday. On the week though the S&P 500 (+3.2%), DJIA (+3.3%), and NAS Comp (+3.4%) rose 3%+, and the small-cap Russell 2000 climbed 7.8%. The Bulls are in charge. Technical Analysis S&P 500 broke higher Wednesday, opened lower Thursday and […]

Goodbye to High-yield Savings Accounts

Goodbye to High-yield Savings Accounts

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX For years, the high-yield saving products were a success for both consumers and financial institutions alike. After getting almost Zero interest from big US banks, individuals who parked their excess cash with the likes of Ally Financial Inc., Barclays Plc, Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s consumer bank, Marcus, or HSBC Holdings Plc’s HSBC Direct […]

Mutual Fund Giants Unfazed by “Rich Guys” Warning on Stocks

Mutual Fund Giants Unfazed by “Rich Guys” Warning on Stocks

$DIA $SPY $QQQ Some Wall Street heavyweights who President Trump dubbed ‘rich guys’ last week may sound alarmed about stocks, but some of the world’s biggest investors are holding on or boosting their holdings. Money managers and strategists at Capital Group, Franklin Templeton and BlackRock Inc., which together oversee about $8.8-T, say stocks remain attractive […]

President Trump and Republican Leaders, ‘Reopen Our Economy Prefered Over More Stimulus’

President Trump and Republican Leaders, ‘Reopen Our Economy Prefered Over More Stimulus’

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday, President Trump and Republican congressional leaders are counting on state lockdowns lifting to propel an economic rebound that will ease pressure for another round of stimulus. “There is only one way out of this dilemma: America has to grow again, to open up again and I am pleased that […]

US Stock Indexes Gap Up and Hold, Futures Following On

US Stock Indexes Gap Up and Hold, Futures Following On

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Monday, US stock index futures edge higher Monday evening following a sharp rally in the broad market. Markets were bolstered after Fed Chairman Powell said Sunday night that he saw a path, toward an economic recovery from the C-19 coronavirus chaos in 2-H of Y 2020 and emphasized that he […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Fed’s Fast Actions

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Fed’s Fast Actions

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last Week’s Close Friday May options expired, and the market show us that the leaders were going to make good moves. The futures are telling us that Monday trades will be higher after last week’s action. This story helped: Friday mid-session it was the reported that the Fed purchased $305-M […]

“Shutdowns are causing mass economic strife, spurring unemployment, spikes in domestic violence and other dire consequences”

“Shutdowns are causing mass economic strife, spurring unemployment, spikes in domestic violence and other dire consequences”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie (R) called for businesses across the country to reopen with safety measures Friday, saying that the C-19 coronavirus chaos cannot control when parts of the country open. He wrote in a commentary that additional lives will be lost “as a result of reopening our […]

New York Stock Exchange to Reopen after Memorial Day

New York Stock Exchange to Reopen after Memorial Day

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $ICE The President of the New York Stock Exchange Stacey Cunningham announced after the closing bell Thursday the NYSE is going to reopen the trading floor the day after Memorial Day. “We will reopen our trading floor to a subset of floor brokers the day after Memorial Day,”  Ms. Cunningham wrote […]

President Trump, “‘Rich Guys’ Talking Down Stocks to Make a Profit”

President Trump, “‘Rich Guys’ Talking Down Stocks to Make a Profit”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX President Trump urged investors to be wary of “rich guys” using their platform to comment negatively about stocks, when they tend to profit from betting against the market. The market has been trading laterly for the last 4.5 wks after coming off its best month in a generation, as optimism about […]

President Trump, “I strongly believe in negative interest rates, and Powell has improved.”

President Trump, “I strongly believe in negative interest rates, and Powell has improved.”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Wednesday, President Trump said he strongly believes the Fed should have negative interest rates, but gave a modicum of approval to Fed Chairman Powell who said earlier in the day the FOMC would not lower rates beyond Zero. President Trump said Mr. Powell, who he frequently criticizes, has improved in […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Taking the Long Term Outlook +

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Taking the Long Term Outlook +

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The DJIA is up about 30% from its 23 March low at 18.591.93, the S&P 500 SPX is up about the same per cent from its low at 2,237.40, and the NAS Comp has climbed by 32.5% from its lows of 6,850.67. My work shows the US market will continue rising well […]

President Trump, “No Rush for More Aid/Relief”

President Trump, “No Rush for More Aid/Relief”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Friday, President Trump said that he is in no hurry for Congress to pass more C-19 coronavirus related stimulus measures to help the economy. “We are in no rush,” President Trump said while meeting with House Republicans who spent an hour taking turns complimenting and congratulating the President for his […]

Big Tech Leads the Market’s Recovery, NASDAQ Turns Positive

Big Tech Leads the Market’s Recovery, NASDAQ Turns Positive

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Big Tech stocks turn higher on the year and an ETF that tracks the biggest among them has grew to a $100-B market value. None of the economic damage wrought by the C-19 coronavirus chaos has kept investors from investing in companies that stand out for their strong balance sheets […]

Seeing Signs of the World’s Economies Rebounding From the C-19 virus Chaos, Things are Stable, Time to Grow

Seeing Signs of the World’s Economies Rebounding From the C-19 virus Chaos, Things are Stable, Time to Grow

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Savvy economists say there is evidence the world economy has begun to recover from the C-19 coronavirus chaos, and the Draconian restrictions placed on businesses and consumers. “Economic activity has probably bottomed now,” said the chief economist at Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) in a note to clients Monday. “Lockdowns and social […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Taking the Long Term Outlook

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Taking the Long Term Outlook

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $UTX $VXX Last week’s action President Trump is now Laser focused on Opening Up America The S&P 500 hit the 78% Fibo retracement of the selloff. After a good 3rd leg, the market is ready for a test, how deep a test is the Big Q. We are watching the leaders to […]

On the 1st Day in May, Investors Took Some Profits

On the 1st Day in May, Investors Took Some Profits

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Friday, all 11 S&P 500 sectors opened and closed in the Red. The energy (-6.0%) and consumer discretionary (-4.6%) sectors took the biggest hits, and the consumer staples sector (-1.2%) declined the least.   Investors had to contend with President Trump threatening new tariffs on China for its handling of the […]

On the Last Day of April Investors Took Some Profits

On the Last Day of April Investors Took Some Profits

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $USD $GLD $VXX Thursday, the market opened in the Red as some profit-taking into April’s month-end happened.  The market has been climbing that wall of worry the last few sessions improving the charts in all 3 major US stock market indexes, and thus turning all Key technical indicators Very Bullish. […]

US Stock Market is saying, “America is a victim of malpractice by medical advisors”

US Stock Market is saying, “America is a victim of malpractice by medical advisors”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX President Trump will travel to Arizona next week, his 1st trip since 28 March as the coronavirus chaos ramped up in the United States. “I think I’m going to Arizona next week, and we look forward to that,” he told reporters Wednesday during a Q&A session with industry leaders on reopening the […]

More Evidence that the ‘Worst is Over’ in the Stock Market and the Coronavirus

More Evidence that the ‘Worst is Over’ in the Stock Market and the Coronavirus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Big Q: Is the worst behind the stock market after a coronavirus-induced selloff? The Big A: We do not know for sure as officials attempt to restart economies from a self-imposed period of hibernation to curb the spread of the virus, but a chart pairing the infections of the […]

Stock Market Volatility Has Calmed in Here, Small, Midcaps Outperform

Stock Market Volatility Has Calmed in Here, Small, Midcaps Outperform

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $IWM  Small-caps, mid-caps, and most cyclical sectors outperformed the day. Market volatility has calmed since the extremes of mid-March, and recent moves may augur well for stocks. The Cboe Volatility Index, or VIX, closed below its 2nd-month future Monday for the 1st time since 21 February, going back to a […]

President Trump and GOP Lawmakers’ Powerful Efforts Will Restore the Economy Relatively Fast…

President Trump and GOP Lawmakers’  Powerful Efforts Will Restore the Economy Relatively Fast…

…The China Virus chaos took its shot at destroying the world’s Top economy quickly and failed. $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $PEP $SBUX $GOOGL $CAT $LUV GOP policymakers’ powerful aggressive response to supporting the virus-stricken US economy has also helped support stocks. Investors are looked past Q-1 corporate earnings results, with the coronavirus chaos now […]

Today’s US Stock Market says “the Worst is behind us now”

Today’s US Stock Market says “the Worst is behind us now”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The stock market is blocking bad news now and is saying the “worst is behind us“ It is the Key rationalization for the expansion, expansion to the point where the S&P 500 is trading today at a higher P/E multiple based on forward 12-month earnings 19.7X than it was trading […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Bulls in Running Mood as President Trump is Now Laser Focused on Opening Up America

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Bulls in Running Mood as President Trump is Now Laser Focused on Opening Up America

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $VXX Investors are pinning their hopes for the reopening of the US economy on the potential for wider availability of testing for COVID-19 cases and on drug trials for treatments of the disease. We have been letting doctors, who have shown the same propensity for predicting this virus as weathermen […]

This is what matters to investors, “Open the Economy Now!”

This is what matters to investors, “Open the Economy Now!”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX More than 90% of our country “is not in harm’s way, the virus lockdown flat-out fraud on a massive scale,” said David Stockman, President Ronald Reagan’s former Director of Office of Management and Budget China Virus trading will go down in history for its high velocity. We have witnessed the […]

Surviving & Thriving, Chaos Investing for Retail Participants

Surviving & Thriving, Chaos Investing for Retail Participants

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Black Swans in financial markets are extreme rare events. And how you survive and thrive when 1 happens is Key. With that in mind let’s look at some Black Swan mitigation strategies, as follows: In Nassim Taleb’s “Black Swan” (required reading) he suggests that he is constantly taking small losses […]

The Maximum Fear has Passed, Money Managers Looking for Risk-on Exposure

The Maximum Fear has Passed, Money Managers Looking for Risk-on Exposure

Shayne and I expect to see an increase in risk-on exposures as money managers are now positioning for a slowing rate of coronavirus contagion growth. Despite the buying by some aggressively Bullish hedge funds, macro hedge funds, which place bets on macroeconomic trends using index, currency and interest rate strategies, are still sellers. So, now […]

Crude Oil Volatility Signals Major ‘Rebalancing’

Crude Oil Volatility Signals Major ‘Rebalancing’

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $OIL $VXX The lack of demand in the world Crude Oil market has set it up to be forced into a necessary rebalancing over the coming weeks as rapidly filling storage leads to significant production cuts and higher prices. See price volatility continuing high in the weeks ahead, as retail […]

Really Cheap Gasoline and No Place to Go

Really Cheap Gasoline and No Place to Go

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $UGA $VXX This Crude Oil market is seeing declines despite OPEC +’s recent major deal to cut output as oversupply in light of the fight against coronavirus that has halted most of the global demand for Crude Oil. Monday, global Crude Oil prices fell to marks not seen since Y […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Bulls in a Running Mood as President Trump Beats the Virus

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Bulls in a Running Mood as President Trump Beats the Virus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Coronavirus Chaos Continues Stock indexes moved up continue the up trend pattern Economic data are generationally bad. Stocks continue to set up Bullish patterns. After hours reports of Gilead Sciences’s (NASDAQ:GILD) drug provide promise. Boeing (NYSE:BA) also promised to restart Seattle production. Friday gapped higher on options expiry, finishing […]

The US Stock Market Believes President Trump is Doing Well Against Virus

The US Stock Market Believes President Trump is Doing Well Against Virus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Saturday, President Trump said that the stock market’s 5 week blazing rally shows that traders and now investors like his Administration’s response to the coronavirus chaos has been a success. The Market is the Test. “The market is smart. The market is actually brilliant,” President Trump said at a White […]

“May is the ‘Transition’ Month, the Economy Will Resume”

“May is the ‘Transition’ Month, the Economy Will Resume”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Friday, the White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow that May will be a “transition month” for the United States while it recovers from the effects of the coronavirus pandemic, but he “firmly” believes the economy will improve from its sudden closures.  “We will get to the other side and we […]

US Companies Hammered by the Governments Coronavirus Lockdown Orders

US Companies Hammered by the Governments Coronavirus Lockdown Orders

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX US companies have been hammered by the fallout from the novel coronavirus outbreak as economic activity “contracted sharply and abruptly across all regions,” according to the Fed’s Beige Book released Wednesday. The Fed’s latest check of businesses around the country was completed during March when the US went from worrying about […]

This Bull Market Vs the Coronavirus Externality

This Bull Market Vs the Coronavirus Externality

$DIA $SPY $QQQ Many people saw the recent market selloff as the start of a Bear market, from the beginning I argued it was an external effect in this long Bull market. So, whether 23-24 March marked The bottom or A bottom is irrelevant I believe. The broad Question is whether the long-term factors that […]

Global Money Managers Sitting on Huge ‘Cash Piles’

Global Money Managers Sitting on Huge ‘Cash Piles’

$SPY $SPX $USD $BAC Stocks may be recovering from their March lows, but investor pessimism over the health crisis’ economic damage is at very high marks with cash positions the highest since the 9/11 terrorist attacks, according to a Bank of America Corp. survey. Fund managers have shunned risk, with equity allocations the lowest since […]

Investor Sentiment is Turning Positive

Investor Sentiment is Turning Positive

$SPY $SPX The markets move from speculators to investors. There is budding optimistic investor sentiment as numerous countries have taken steps to lessen lockdown restrictions and many of the most gravely impacted countries see the flattening of their infection curves and allow non-essential workers to go back to work Now, we are seeing more and […]

America is Ready to Go Back to Work!

America is Ready to Go Back to Work!

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX President Trump is planning “very important announcements” in the next day or 2 about reopening the US economy and is considering a “rolling” re-entry in certain parts of the country, White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said Tuesday.  “I do not want to front-run his views, I don’t want to […]

Despite a Whole Lot of Awful Happenings, the US is Still Very Strong

Despite a Whole Lot of Awful Happenings, the US is Still Very Strong

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Despite millions of jobless claims, despite most of the country being sequestered at home, despite a falling in GDP, and despite the scare and fear brought on by the coronavirus the major US market stock indexes have recovered 50% of their losses in just the last 2 wks. At the […]

Secretary Mnuchin Assembled 100 Business Leaders for Special Reopening Task Force

Secretary Mnuchin Assembled 100 Business Leaders for Special Reopening Task Force

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Monday, Treasury Secretary Mnuchin said he and his team have selected 100 business leaders to join a Special Task Force dedicated to re-opening the economy after the coronavirus crisis passes. The task force will work with medical advisers to develop a timeline for re-opening the economy, with 1 May as a […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, This Bull Market Vs Coronavirus

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, This Bull Market Vs Coronavirus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Just In: Goldman Says US Stocks Have Likely Bottomed Unprecedented policy support and a flattening viral curve have “dramatically” cut risks, the bank said early Monday in a note. Despite the COVID-19 coronavirus, ‘new’ Bull market can run Last week was a shortened week, here is how it played US […]

S&P 500 Marks Best Weekly Gainer Since 1974 on President Trump’s ‘Big Bang’ Fed Lending Program

S&P 500 Marks Best Weekly Gainer Since 1974 on President Trump’s ‘Big Bang’ Fed Lending Program

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The US stock market will be closed Friday for Good Friday. Thursday, Wall Street closed out its best week in 45 yrs on after the Trump Fed launched its ‘Big Bang’ effort to support the economy through the coronavirus crisis. The S&P 500 index posted it best weekly gainer since […]

Today’s Action Confirms Buy Signal for Stocks

Today’s Action Confirms Buy Signal for Stocks

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin went on national TV Wednesday morning to assure markets that the federal government’s stimulus package is being rolled out smoothly amid the economic distress caused by measures to slow the spread of the coronavirus. The US stock market rallied Wednesday, confirming the technical buy signals seen […]

Big Bets are Being Placed on a Strong April Rally

Big Bets are Being Placed on a Strong April Rally

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX We see lots of Sell-side research and analysis (taking a contrarian POV) daily, and over the years certain equity strategists have made some very good calls. On 19 March in the midst of what was some of the most brutal, high-velocity machine selling ever, Barry Bannister and his team at […]

Major Indexes Crack the Key Resistance and Fade to Flat

Major Indexes Crack the Key Resistance and Fade to Flat

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday, the major US stock indexes finished flat to unchanged after cracking Key overhead resistances. Stocks gapped up at the open after markets across Asia and Europe had good action overnight. The sharply higher start was attributed to optimism about a potential plateau in coronavirus cases, but the Key indices […]

“Slowing US Virus Cases to Put Floor Under Stocks, Sunlight Ahead”

“Slowing US Virus Cases to Put Floor Under Stocks, Sunlight Ahead”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The DJIA rallied 7.7% to start the trading week. Sentiment was boosted by encouraging signs that the COVID-19 outbreak may be improving. The DJIA (+7.7%) and Russell 2000 (+8.2%) set the pace, followed by the NAS Comp (+7.3%) and S&P 500 (+7.0%). The positive bias was formed overnight in the […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Coronavirus Broke Globalism

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Coronavirus Broke Globalism

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Just In: Southeast Asian stock markets inched higher Monday, tracking global equities that gained due to a slowdown in coronavirus-related deaths and new infections Last Week’s US Stock Market View Technical Analysis: The action in the major US stock indexes over the past few sessions was almost identical as large-cap […]

Investors Looking at a Wide Range of Indicators for Market Direction

Investors Looking at a Wide Range of Indicators for Market Direction

$VXX $DIA $SPY $QQQ Investors are studying a wide range of technical indicators, from infection counts to more traditional indicators, for clues on the direction the markets will take in coming weeks as the pandemic caused by the novel coronavirus continues to spread. Some point to signs that the worst of the waterfall sell-off that […]

Market Commentators Turning Bullish, the Futures are Open Reflecting this Optimism

Market Commentators Turning Bullish, the Futures are Open Reflecting this Optimism

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $MS $EV Commentators from Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) to Eaton Vance (NYSE:EV) are encouraged by a combination of unprecedented government and central bank stimulus efforts, declining volatility and the Key: Signs that the coronavirus pandemic is peaking in parts of Europe. “There is light at the end of the tunnel but it’s still […]

Crude Oil Responds to President Trump’s Efforts to Stabilize the World Market

Crude Oil Responds to President Trump’s Efforts to Stabilize the World Market

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $OIL $VXX Friday afternoon, President Trump met with Big Oil company executives at the White House to discuss this Oil price decline threatening their businesses, brought on by the coronavirus outbreak and a Saudi-Russia price war. “We will work this out and we will get our energy business back,” President Trump […]

Gold, the Safe-haven Investment Alternative

Gold, the Safe-haven Investment Alternative

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $GLD $XAU $USD Gold Dealers Report Big Shortages of Small Bars and Coins Gold has been and is the traditional safe-haven of choice for investors looking to protect themselves against stock market dives. When Bear markets come on, gold often performs very well. Gold is off a bit this Spring, […]

The People Who ‘Hate’ President Trump Have Turned the Virus National Emergency into a Political ‘Football’

The People Who ‘Hate’ President Trump Have Turned the Virus National Emergency into a Political ‘Football’

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Just In: House Dems are said to be putting together a “9/11-style commission” where they will be investigating President Trump’s response to the coronavirus. This is shocking considering America is focused on beating the deadly disease and they cant get investigations out of their minds. The people who hate Donald […]

The Coronavirus Will Change America

The Coronavirus Will Change America

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX America is at War President Trump is commanding and the nation’s governors, mayors and industry leaders are acting in concert to mobilization efforts for the major conflict. As with all major Wars, this will change how Americans think, engage with the world, and behave. Since WWII, Western leaders have embraced globalization, governed by rules for equitable competition, […]

US Stocks Up, Crude Oil Down

US Stocks Up, Crude Oil Down

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $OIL $USO $VXX DJIA Jumps 700 as Crude Oil Falls Below $20 to 18-Yr Lows US stocks rose Monday as investors look for shares that have become cheap and can withstand the impact to the economy from efforts to stem the spread of the coronavirus. The S&P healthcare sector jumped 4.67% on the […]

DJIA Marks Best Weekly Gainer Since 1938

DJIA Marks Best Weekly Gainer Since 1938

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Friday, investors took some profits after the American Aid bill was passed and sent to President Trump for signing. By the end of the session, the DJIA was off 4.1%, S&P 500 and NAS 3.8 shed 3.4% and 3.8% respectively. The strong gains made on the week drove the DJIA […]

“My work shows that the ‘machine’ selling over the past 4 wks to Monday has peaked”

“My work shows that the ‘machine’ selling over the past 4 wks to Monday has peaked”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $BLK $CS $JPM Stocks extended their rally after the Senate and Fed took unprecedented measures to protect the US economy from the coronavirus shock, with Black Rock (NYSE:BLK), Credit Swiss (NYSE:CS) and other big Wall Street banks said Thursday night that the major US stock market indexes marked at an inflection […]

US Virus Aid Bill is Wartime Funding

US Virus Aid Bill is Wartime Funding

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Stocks rose for 2nd day running with stimulus in sight. Wall Street trimmed strong gains late in the session after reports raised doubts about how quickly the bill might pass, but the S&P 500 and DJIA still ended up more than 1% and 2%, respectively Wednesday, Senator Shelley Moore Capito […]

President Trump Vows Federal Aid Until Economy Recovers From Coronavirus Attack

President Trump Vows Federal Aid Until Economy Recovers From Coronavirus Attack

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Once we get the economy back, it is gonna all come back to us very quickly.” Friday, President Trump vowed to keep pushing for more federal spending until the economy recovers from the coronavirus outbreak, and said Americans can expect “much more” than $1,000 checks from the government. At a […]

Investors Optimistic, Small Caps Post Large Gains

Investors Optimistic, Small Caps Post Large Gains

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Thursday the S&P 500 advanced 0.5% in a session that saw it fall as much as 3.3% early and gain as much as 2.9% in the afternoon. The DJIA rose 1.0%, while the NAS Comp (+2.3%) and Russell 2000 (+6.8%) were the big movers today on strong gains in technology […]

Selling Widespread, Losses Were Pared into the Close

Selling Widespread, Losses Were Pared into the Close

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX, $USO, $XAU, $USD, $VXX Despite the coordinated stimulus packages announced by central banks and the massive stimulus plans laid out by Washington, confidence was lacking due to the growing outbreak of COVID-19 and the continued shutdown of the economy. Shortly before the close, the Senate passed the House bill that provides […]

“Stocks Will Surge from ‘Pent-Up Demand’ After Coronavirus Outbreak Ends”

“Stocks Will Surge from ‘Pent-Up Demand’ After Coronavirus Outbreak Ends”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin told Jim Cramer Monday that “there will be a huge amount of pent-up demand” for stocks when the threat of the coronavirus is contained. “There will be a huge amount of pent-up demand when this is done. And it will be done,” he said. “Look for companies that […]

The 1st Test of Our Economic Strength is a Man Made Virus

The 1st Test of Our Economic Strength is a Man Made Virus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX This health emergency was dismissed at 1st as a fleeting risk to the US economy has turned into a full test of whether 20 yrs of planning, regulation and research has left the financial system resilient to a major shock and the Fed able to mount a rescue. Preparations for an […]

Unprecedented Stresses in US Financial Markets Has Investor Sidelining Trillions in Cash

Unprecedented Stresses in US Financial Markets Has Investor Sidelining Trillions in Cash

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USD $JPY $VXX Friday, Ultra Long-term US T-Bond futures moved about 1.3 pts a day on average in January, were down more than 7 pts on the day and off 36 pts from Monday’s high. Italian sovereign debt had imploded. An index of costs to insure corporate debt with credit-default swaps […]

People are Asking, “What is going on in this Stock Market?”

People are Asking, “What is going on in this Stock Market?”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX The Big Q: What is going on in this Stock Market? The Big A: A confluence of confusion aka lots of unknowns. I have been in the stock market since Y 1981, and like everyone else I know in this game, have not see this kind of action ever. What we […]

US Stocks Spike 9%+ on President Trump’s Plan to Bring the Country Together to Fight the Virus

US Stocks Spike 9%+ on President Trump’s Plan to Bring the Country Together to Fight the Virus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX US stocks spiked 9%+ as President Trump joined reassured investors that he is stepping up efforts to protect the economy from the coronavirus fallout. All 3 major US stock market indexes rose 9%+, as President Trump declared a national emergency to help combat the virus and said the private sector […]

Stock Buying Opportunities in Here are a Once in a Lifetime…”Market will Bounce Back Big”

Stock Buying Opportunities in Here are a Once in a Lifetime…”Market will Bounce Back Big”

$SPY $USO Investment wizard Warren Buffett described Monday’s market plunge as a “1-2 Punch” of coronavirus and falling Crude Oil prices that it took him all his life to experience. “If you stick around long enough, you will see everything in markets,” Mr Buffett said Thursday. “And it may have taken me to 89 yrs of […]

If You are Worried About Your Portfolio – Slow and Steady Always Wins

If You are Worried About Your Portfolio – Slow and Steady Always Wins

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $GLD Monday, the DJIA saw its worst decliner since Y 2008 in response to news of COVID-19 and the Saudi/Russia Crude Oil price war, and the ride the stock market/s have taken in the last 2 wks has left lot of investors with stomach aches. If you have a 401(k) […]

US Stock Bulls Up and Running

US Stock Bulls Up and Running

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday, Wall Street’s Bulls came back to life rising from the edge of Bear market confirmation as bargain-hunters and notions of government stimulus calmed investors’ fears surrounding the coronavirus and prospects of a recession. All 3 major US stock market indexes spiked nearly 5% the day after they suffered their […]

The Collapse in Crude Oil Prices Adds to the Market’s Uncertainty, Equities Dive in Concert

The Collapse in Crude Oil Prices Adds to the Market’s Uncertainty, Equities Dive in Concert

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $VXX WTI Crude Oil settled off 10.23 (-24.8%) to 31.09 bbl for its worst decliner since Y 1991. The last time Crude Oil traded at this mark was in Y 2016. Last Tuesday, the world’s Top financial officials pledged to use “all appropriate policy tools” to protect their economies from […]

Atlanta Fed Raises GDP Estimate to 3.1% + The World Markets and Commodities Wrap

Atlanta Fed Raises GDP Estimate to 3.1% + The World Markets and Commodities Wrap

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $XAU, $XAG, $CU, $OIL, $USO, $VXX FLASH: The S&P 500 staged a 70-pt rally during the final hr of trade, which led to a significant improvement in final sector standings, though all 11 sectors finished in the Red. The US economy is likely growing at a 3.1% annualized rate in Q-1, […]

Market Strategists say: “Drop Cautious Stance, Buy Dip in Stocks”

Market Strategists say: “Drop Cautious Stance, Buy Dip in Stocks”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Investors should ‘buy the dip’ in stocks because government and central bank policies will counter the economic blow of the spreading coronavirus, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) strategists who had previously told clients to trim risky bets. The outbreak and its economic implications are “the main source of […]

Companies and Executives are Buying Their Own Stocks in Here

Companies and Executives are Buying Their Own Stocks in Here

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Follow the insiders in this market Company executives see their own businesses daily, and through their actions are telling us that fears about the hit to economic growth because of COVID-19 are overdone. With that in mind, they are stepping up buying their own companies’ shares, and in all the […]

Fed’s Powell: “Economy Is Fine but Fed Ready to Act as Needed”

Fed’s Powell: “Economy Is Fine but Fed Ready to Act as Needed”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Friday, Fed Chairman Powell said he will “act as appropriate” to support the economy in the face of risks posed by the coronavirus outbreak, though he said the economy remains in solid condition. “The fundamentals of the US economy remain strong,” Chairman Powell said in a statement released amid an ongoing […]

Market Looks Like it is Trading with a Recession in Mind, Though the Economy is Strong

Market Looks Like it is Trading with a Recession in Mind, Though the Economy is Strong

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The US economy grew moderately in Q-4, the government confirmed, and may be facing a rocky road in early Y 2020 on the notion that coronavirus will hobble it, and bring on a recession. The economy grew by an unrevised 2.3% in Y 2019, the slowest annual growth in 3 […]

Communist Bernie Sanders and the “Dark Side of Momentum Investing”

Communist Bernie Sanders and the “Dark Side of Momentum Investing”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX FLASH: President Trump: “Coronavirus Risk in America Remains ‘Very Low’” Bond King, Jeffrey Gundlach blames Presidential hopeful Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT) for the market recent volatility. “If this stock market reversal is due exclusively to the virus, then why is United Healthcare down far more than SPX? Why is healthcare […]

“Fed Will Not Make Panic Move and Cut Rates Over Virus”

“Fed Will Not Make Panic Move and Cut Rates Over Virus”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX FLASH: Conservative radio host Rush Limbaugh said the coronavirus is being weaponized to bring down President Trump. US economy will be able to ride out any disruption from the global spread of coronavirus, plus not anticipating the Fed to cut interest rates to blunt the virus’ economic impact, that according […]

DJIA Dove 1,000 Pts as Investors Sought Safe-havens in Light of Rise in Virus Cases

DJIA Dove 1,000 Pts as Investors Sought Safe-havens in Light of Rise in Virus Cases

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $MCSI $XAU $VXX Monday, Wall Street’s 3 major stock market indexes fell as investors moved to safe-havens after a rise in coronavirus cases outside China caused worries about the global economic impact of a potential pandemic. Note: WHO removed pandemic from the virus’ and downgraded to emergency Sunday. Wall Street’s 3 […]

“Deficit Not a Concern if Market Does Not React”

“Deficit Not a Concern if Market Does Not React”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The growing national deficit is a ‘legitimate issue’, but our main focus now is in creating jobs,” White House trade adviser Peter Navarro said Friday.  “Until the bond market starts reacting negatively to that and we start seeing inflation, the deficit is not going to be a concern,” Mr, Navarro […]

US Economy Roars Because President Trump Shredded Hussein Obama Stagnation Policies

US Economy Roars Because President Trump Shredded  Hussein Obama Stagnation Policies

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX FLASH: The notion that Mr. Hussein Obama is responsible for today’s good economy is Bunk!. The US robust economy is the best it has been in more than 10 years, it is due entirely to President Trump’s policies which include shedding the former president’s policies. Fact: Had Mr. Hussein Obama […]

S&P 500 & NAS Comp Mark Fresh Record Highs

S&P 500 & NAS Comp Mark Fresh Record Highs

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX DJIA +115.84 at 29347.94, NAS Comp +84.44 at 9817.21, S&P 500+15.86 at 3386.15 Wednesday, the S&P 500 (+0.5%) and NAS Comp (+0.9%) closed at fresh record highs, as investors remained optimistic about the global economic outlook despite the coronavirus. The DJIA increased 0.4%, and the RUTX increased 0.5%.  Stocks held gains following the release of minutes from the FOMC’s […]

Huge Cash Pile on Sidelines Set to Buy US Treasuries on Any Price Dip

Huge Cash Pile on Sidelines Set to Buy US Treasuries on Any Price Dip

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Money managers overseeing trillions of dollars are putting money into US government debt like never before, in a wave that is gaining strength as the spreading coronavirus casts doubt on the global growth outlook. Evidence of the demand can be found across the fixed-income universe. Pensions, which have been ramping […]

President Trump Seeks 10% Middle-Class Tax Cut

President Trump Seeks 10% Middle-Class Tax Cut

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The US financial markets will be closed Monday for Washington’s Birthday. President Trump is pushing to unveil his administration’s “Tax Cuts 2.0” plan, which calls for cuts for the middle class, by September, 2 months before the 2020 Presidential election, National Economic Council Director Larry Kudlow has confirmed.  “We’d love […]

Wall Street Bulls ‘Paused to Refresh’

Wall Street Bulls ‘Paused to Refresh’

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX DJIA -128.11 at 29423.22, NAS Comp -13.99 at 9711.99, S&P 500 -5.51 at 3373.94 The stock market paused Thursday following a strong 8 day run, closing off session lows. The S&P 500 lost 0.2%, the DJIA lost 0.4%, and the NAS Comp lost 0.1%. The Russell 2000 lead at + 0.3%.  The S&P 500 + 4.8% in February, […]

Fed Chairman Powell, “There is no reason why the expansion cannot continue”

Fed Chairman Powell,  “There is no reason why the expansion cannot continue”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday, the Fed Chairman Powell told Congress that the US economy is in a good place. With risks like trade policy uncertainty receding and global growth stabilizing, “we find the US economy in a very good place, performing well,” Chairman Powell told the House of Representatives Financial Services Committee. The US economic expansion, now […]

“Blowout” Jobs Growth Reflects Very Strong Economy

“Blowout” Jobs Growth Reflects Very Strong Economy

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Friday, White House adviser Larry Kudlow said the “blowout” jobs report was just the cherry on top of a very strong economic start to this New Year. Manufacturing, job growth and the stock market all boosted the economy in January, he said. “I think we’re in very strong territory right […]

Wall Street Indexes Climb to New Highs for 4th Day Running

Wall Street Indexes Climb to New Highs for 4th Day Running

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Thursday, US stocks gained for a 4th session running, and Wall Street’s major indexes hit record highs as concerns faded over the economic fallout from the coronavirus outbreak in China. China said it would pare by 50% additional tariffs levied against some US goods, seen as a move to boost confidence […]

“Smooth Sailing” on Blockbuster Economy

“Smooth Sailing” on Blockbuster Economy

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX S&P 500 and NAS Comp finish on new highs, virus concerns fade. Stephen Moore, the Heritage Foundation’s chief economist, said Wednesday that there is nothing negative to say about the US economy. The US economy has hit record-highs across the board, Mr. Moore told Wednesday’s “National Report.” “You got the lowest unemployment […]

President Trump to Focus SOTU on Economic Achievements

President Trump to Focus SOTU on Economic Achievements

$DIA $SPY $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Tuesday, President Trump will focus much of his State of the Union address on the administration’s economic achievements. “The President is very proud,” National Economic Council Director Larry Kudlow said Tuesday.  “I think his policies, such as tax cuts, business deregulation across the board, opening up the energy sector to […]

Investors Must Avoid Undue Reactions to Virus Story

Investors Must Avoid Undue Reactions to Virus Story

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX I herewith urge all investors to avoid making hasty decisions after China announced a rise in cases of a deadly new virus that the media says threatens to crimp global economic growth. Stocks markets pulled back worldwide Monday on the supposition that investors are worried about the potential economic impact of […]

Goldie Says Stocks Can Go Higher

Goldie Says Stocks Can Go Higher

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Some on Wall Street see a sharp reversal hitting this year’s stock market rally now that fast-money quants have ramped up their speculative bets. But the real money has the potential to come in and lead even if these systematic players slow down. Tepid inflows into mutual funds and exchange-traded […]

President Trump Planning a “Very Big” Tax Cut for Middle Class

President Trump Planning a “Very Big” Tax Cut for Middle Class

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Donald Trump speaks during the Global Chief Executive Officers dinner at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland A “very big” tax cut for middle-class Americans will be announced over the next 90 days, President Donald Trump said in an interview Wednesday.  “We will make that permanent for the middle […]

2020 Davos:”Cash Is Trash,” Investors Should Put Money in Stocks

2020 Davos:”Cash Is Trash,” Investors Should Put Money in Stocks

$SPY, $SPX Investment Wizard Ray Dalio urges all investors to dump cash for a diversified portfolio, explaining that they should not miss out on the strength of this long running Bull market. “Cash is trash,” Mr. Dalio said on TV. “Get out of cash. There’s still a lot of money in cash (on the sidelines),” he said. […]

2020: US Economic Growth to Top 3% This Year

2020: US Economic Growth to Top 3% This Year

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Tuesday, White House Top economic advisor Larry Kudlow predicts that economic growth will surpass at least 3% this year. “I am looking for faster growth: I think we’re going to get 3% this year,” Mr. Kudlow said on TV. “The trade deals will help, the Fed changed policy — that was very, […]

2020: Wall Street Extends Rally Ahead of a Long Holiday Weekend

2020: Wall Street Extends Rally Ahead of a Long Holiday Weekend

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX As a reminder, the market will be closed on Monday for Martin Luther King Jr. Day. Friday: Overall, it was a relatively subdued session that had the potential for even more gainers, as housing starts rose to their highest level in 13 years in December, China’s industrial production rose more […]