Global Food Prices on the Rise Stoking Inflation

Global Food Prices on the Rise Stoking Inflation

#food #commodities #inflation $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The global food-price rally that is stoking inflation and hitting consumers around the world shows little sign of slowing in here“– Paul Ebeling Even with grain prices paused on good crop prospects, a United Nations gauge of global food costs rose for a 10th month running in […]

The Fall in the Value of the USD Will Not Bring an Economic Slowdown in the US

The Fall in the Value of the USD Will Not Bring an Economic Slowdown in the US

#economy #dollar #growth $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $USD “The concepts of free enterprise, rugged individualism and entrepreneurship are not incompatible with safety nets and/or the lift up slackers and the disadvantaged among us, that is for government welfare and philanthropic charities” — Paul Ebeling In Asia Thursday, the USD is near 2-wk + lows […]

The USD’s Sensitivity to US Economic News, What is It?

The USD’s Sensitivity to US Economic News, What is It?

#dollar #cryptocurrencies #bitcoin $USD $DXY $EUR $BTC $DIA $QQQ $SPY $RUTX $VXX Tuesday, the .DXY marked at its lowest mark in 2 wks, slipping further in early Asian trading following a 0.4% decliner Monday. The turn comes after it marked a 5-month high on Wednesday of last week. The JPY continued to recover from a […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, “The Bulls are in Charge”

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, “The Bulls are in Charge”

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet  $DIA $SPY $QQQ $SOX $RUTX $VXX  “The Bulls are in charge” — Paul Ebeling Monday’s S&P 500 futures Vs fair value: +23.30. NAS Comp futures Vs fair value: +56.50. What happened last week The S&P 500 (+1.2%) set intraday and closing record highs Thursday, Topping the 4000 mark for the 1st time, in a broad-based advance. The NAS Comp (+1.8%) […]

Mr. Biden to Begin Laying Out Plans for Fixing the US’ Aging Infrastructure

Mr. Biden to Begin Laying Out Plans for Fixing the US’ Aging Infrastructure

#Biden #infrastructure #plan $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Mr. Biden’s proposals will go through the Congressional machine, and actual investments proposed may be very different“– Paul Ebeling His remarks will be closely watched by companies, investors, local governments and voters as an indication of where billions of federal dollars may flow in the yrs to […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet  $DIA $SPY $QQQ $SOX $RUTX $VXX $USO $V “The Bull trend is still North on the rotation” — Paul Ebeling Reviewing the month’s sector performances shows every S&P 500 sector positive in March, including utilities (+9.4%), industrials (+8.8%), materials (+8.6%), and consumer staples (+8.3%) up more than 8.0%, representing a mix of cyclical and defensive-oriented leadership. The IT sector (+1.6%) […]

Senate Democrats Attacking President Trump’s Key Pro-business Regulation

Senate Democrats Attacking President Trump’s Key Pro-business Regulation

#shareholder #voting #rights #Trump $DIA $SPY $QQQ #RUTX #VXX “Last September the SEC raised the stock ownership threshold at which investors can force a shareholder vote on specific issues” — Paul Ebeling Friday, Senate Democrats introduced a resolution to rescind the rule they say curbs shareholder voting rights, their 2nd move aimed at unraveling business […]

The Masked Biden ‘Schoolmarm’ Janet Yellen Playing Along with The Biden Tax Bite

The Masked Biden ‘Schoolmarm’ Janet Yellen Playing Along with The Biden Tax Bite

#Biden #Yellen #tax $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Any new tax bites will face tough go in Congress, where Democrats hold a thin margin in the House and are evenly split with Republicans in the Senate” — Paul Ebeling Mr. Biden’s administration is planning hiking the US corporate tax rate, Treasury Secretary Yellen said Tuesday, […]

Mr. Biden’s Tax Hike Pitch is Pulling the Wool Over Americans’ Eyes

Mr. Biden’s Tax Hike Pitch is Pulling the Wool Over Americans’ Eyes

#economy #tax #Biden #Trump $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The economy is in a strong recovery from the VirusCasedemic shutdown, and now Mr. Biden plans to put a dampener on a Hot economy with huge tax hikes” — Paul Ebeling “You have to go back to the ’70’s to remember when tax rates would be […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, New Money is Being ‘Shoveled’ into Stocks

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, New Money is Being ‘Shoveled’ into Stocks

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet  $DIA $SPY $QQQ $SOX $RUTX $VXX “The Bull trend is still North on the rotation” — Paul Ebeling My work still shows the benchmark US stock market indexes are Bullish with a Very Bullish bias in here as investors reduced their hedging exposure and are shoveling huge amounts of money into equity funds.  What happened last week Last Friday […]

Investing in the Financial Markets in the ‘Era of Inflation’

Investing in the Financial Markets in the ‘Era of Inflation’

#inflation #stock #bonds #commocities #markets $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The Fed’s plan to let inflation run Hot will change the way the market functions and how to invest in it” — Paul Ebeling The Feds plan to let inflation run Hot could shake up decades-long regimes in markets and the economy. As higher inflation […]

Fed Says Economy Will Be Stronger, We Say Massive Inflation is Coming

Fed Says Economy Will Be Stronger, We Say Massive Inflation is Coming

#Fed #economy #inflation $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Friday, Fed Chairman Powell said, “The US would pull out of the crisis stronger and better, as we have done so often before.” Adding this: “Recovery is far from complete, and the Fed will continue to provide the economy with the support that it needs for as […]

Investors are Optimistic About Stocks: S&P 500 Marks Highs, VIX Marks Lows

Investors are Optimistic About Stocks: S&P 500 Marks Highs, VIX Marks Lows

#SP500 #VIX #investors #stocks #volatility $SPY $SPX $VXX $VIX The Cboe Volatility Index, known as Wall Street’s “fear gauge,” slipped to a fresh low Tuesday, as US stocks soared to new highs on expectations that fiscal stimulus and signs of progress in a countrywide vaccination drive will drive a broader economic rebound. The VIX was […]

Mr. Biden Believes that US Companies Have Too Much Money

Mr. Biden Believes that US Companies Have Too Much Money

#companies #money #Biden #FOMC $DIA $SPY $RUTX $QQQ $VXX “Biden’s new tax proposal is about the Democrats’ social agenda, not revenue“–Representative Mike Turner (R-OH) Mr. Biden is planning the 1st major tax hike since Y 1993, a boost that could include an increase in the corporate tax rate and the individual rate for individuals earning […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet  $DIA $SPY $QQQ $SOX $RUTX $VXX “The Bull trend is still North on the rotation, consolidation and testing” — Paul Ebeling My work shows the benchmark US stock market indexes are now Bullish with a Very Bullish bias in here. As the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) dropped 16.1% to 20.69, as investors reduced their hedging exposure amid the Bullish […]

US Stocks Extend Gainers for 5th Day Running

US Stocks Extend Gainers for 5th Day Running

#stocks #rally $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Monday the S&P 500 rose 25.60 pts to 3,368.94. The DJIA gained 174.82 pts, or 0.5%, to 32,953.46. Both indexes hit all-time highs, besting records set Friday. The tech-heavy NAS Comp added 139.84 pts, or 1.1%, at 13,459.71, while the Russell 2000 index of smaller cap companies rose […]

S&P 500 Closes at Record High 1 Yr after Pricing in the Instant Recession

S&P 500 Closes at Record High 1 Yr after Pricing in the Instant Recession

#SP500 #sentment #interest $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Friday, the preliminary University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (MSI) for March increased to 83.0 from the final reading of 76.8 for February. The March reading is the highest since August 2020. The Key takeaway from the report is that the improvement was driven by gains across […]

The S&P 500 and Russell 2000 Indexes Differ, Here is How

The S&P 500 and Russell 2000 Indexes Differ, Here is How

#SP500 #Russell2000 $RUT $RUTX The Summary The Russell 2000 index is a stock market index comprised of 2,000 small-capitalization companies. The S&P 500 index is an equity index comprised of 500 large-capitalization companies. Both indexes are market-cap weighted, with the S&P 500 used as a large-cap benchmark and the Russell 2000 as a small-cap proxy. […]

Broad Rally: S&P 500 Marked a Record Led by Tech and ConsDiscretionary Stocks

Broad Rally: S&P 500 Marked a Record Led by Tech and ConsDiscretionary Stocks

#Rally #SP500 #jobs #JOLTS $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Market sentiment getting a boost from all of the good economic news and FOMO in here” — Paul Ebeling Reviewing Thursday’s US economic data: Initial jobless claims for the wk ending 6 March decreased by 42,000 to 712,000, which is the lowest level of claims since […]

Mr. Biden’s Aid/Relief/Stimulus Bill Will Have Negative Impact on the Economy

Mr. Biden’s Aid/Relief/Stimulus Bill Will Have Negative Impact on the Economy

#economy #aid #relief #stimulus #Biden #tax #cut #money $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “A tax cut would benefit Americans more than stimulus checks Vs printing more money” — Paul Ebeling The Democrat-led House passed the $1.9-T American Rescue Plan Wednesday on a slim majority, 220-211, setting Mr. Biden up for a signing Friday after his 1st prime-time […]

DJIA Advances into Record Territory, NAS Comp Corrects

DJIA Advances into Record Territory, NAS Comp Corrects

#DJIA #NASComp #CDC $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The go out and do not stay home stocks are now leading the market as the nation reopens” — Paul Ebeling The CDC announced that fully-vaccinated Americans can gather with other vaccinated people indoors without wearing a mask or social distancing. Tech shares sold Monday pushing the […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet  $DIA $SPY $QQQ $SOX $RUTX $VXX “The Bull trend is still North on the rotation, consolidation and testing” — Paul Ebeling My work has the benchmark US stock market indexes Neutral with a Bullish bias in here. Russell 2000 +11.0% YTD DJIA +2.9% YTD S&P 500 +2.3% YTD NAS Comp +0.3% YTD What happened last week Again, all major […]

Americans Should Expect Higher Service Sector Prices post-VirusCasedemic

Americans Should Expect Higher Service Sector Prices post-VirusCasedemic

#economy #prices #service #VirusCasedemic $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX America’s economy is not going back to normal post-VirusCasedemic, as economists predict higher prices and fewer options when it comes to dining out or going to see a film at the cinema. The entertainment and service industries were among some of the hardest hit sectors by […]

Gold Marks 1st Gainer in 6 Sessions, Stocks Dip

Gold Marks 1st Gainer in 6 Sessions, Stocks Dip

#gold #stocks $XAU $GLD $USD $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Gold futures finished up Tuesday after 5-session of declines that pushed the precious Yellow metal’s prices to their lowest marks in 8+months. Gold futures settled +10.60 (+0.6%) at 1,733.60oz aided in part by a weaker USD and lower bond yields. US major stock indexes finished […]

Fed Chairman Powell to Congress: “We do not see any inflation”

Fed Chairman Powell to Congress: “We do not see any inflation”

#inflation #stocks #bonds #commodities #stimulus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Americans do not need aid/relief/stimulus and handouts, they need an open economy and jobs” — Paul Ebeling “The best thing Joe Biden could do right now is stop spending, stop borrowing, stop regulating, and let the economy get better on its own,” economist Steven Moore […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet  $DIA $SPY $QQQ $SOX $RUTX $VXX “The Bull trend is still North, after last week consolidation, the new money will flow in” — Paul Ebeling What happened last week All major US stock market indexes consolidated and tested, as the DJIA catches up. And the news was overall good. The technicals S&P 500 like the PHLX Semiconductor Sector […]

Saudi Arabia, as a Nation Dismisses Mr. Biden’s Intel as ‘Fake’

Saudi Arabia, as a Nation Dismisses Mr. Biden’s Intel as ‘Fake’

#SaudiArabia #Biden #intel $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Mr. Biden’s administration will soon realize that the complex issues of the region will not find a solution, except through a new and exceptional agreement with its partners in the region that holds Iran accountable. Saudi Arabia, 1 of America’s closest Arab allies officially dismissed what it […]

Senate Parliamentarian: Democrats Cannot Include $15/hr Minimum Wage in COVID Relief Bill

Senate Parliamentarian: Democrats Cannot Include $15/hr Minimum Wage in COVID Relief Bill

#Senate #COVID #relief $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX #VXX This decision reinforces reconciliation cannot be used as a vehicle to pass major legislative change by either party on a simple majority vote. In a blow to Democrats, the Senate parliamentarian ruled the chamber cannot include Mr. Biden’s proposed $15/hr minimum wage his $1.9-T VirusCasedemic idea he […]

The Coming Inflation May Be Worse Than the Late 1970’s

The Coming Inflation May Be Worse Than the Late 1970’s

#Fed #inflation $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Printing money is necessary in a crisis just as long as it is temporary”– Paul Ebeling In Y 2020, Congress and President Trump borrowed to spend about $3.3-T to lift family incomes, boost unemployment benefits, and support businesses, but most new Treasuries were not bought up by private investors. […]

The Financial Markets Like ‘Cheap Money’

The Financial Markets Like ‘Cheap Money’

#markets #money $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The bond markets steadied, the USD fell and stocks edged ahead Wednesday as central banks from Washington to Wellington vowed to keep monetary policy loose for a long time, giving investors enough confidence to seek out riskier assets.  Fed Chairman Powell told Congress Tuesday the economy remained “a […]

Post-BREXIT Britain Plans Fintech ‘Big Bang’

Post-BREXIT Britain Plans Fintech ‘Big Bang’

#BREXIT #UK #Fintech $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX UK Chancellor Rishi Sunak plans to introduce new visas for financial technology workers in next month’s budget, part of a package of proposals in a report aimed at boosting the industry in the country. The fast-track visa program is designed to lure global talent to Britain’s fintech […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet  $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The Bull trend is still North, the money continues to flow in” — Paul Ebeling What happened last week All major US stock market indexes consolidated and held. The DJIA is catching up and it recovered more than 200 pts off of its lows. Looking at some important groups, and taking the indexes […]

Lots of Stock Opportunities in the Coming Inflation Environment

Lots of Stock Opportunities in the Coming Inflation Environment

#inflation #stocks #bonds #investors #traders $SPY $QQQ $DIA “Pricing power is set to become a alpha generator due to the wide variance in how companies cope with it“– Paul Ebeling Inflation is bad news for bond investors, as it pares the value of future returns. For stock investors and traders, inflation is not that bad […]

The World is Set for a Strong Economic Recovery

The World is Set for a Strong Economic Recovery

#economic #recovery #VirusCasedemic #Japan #machine #tools $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Japan’s exports accelerated in January, led by a rise in Chinese demand, and manufacturers’ sentiment turned positive for the 1st time since Y 2019 signaling a recovery from last year’s VirusCasedemic deep dive. Core machinery orders, a Key leading indicator of capital spending, rose […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet  $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The Bull trend is North, the money is flowing in record amounts” — Paul Ebeling What happened last week The US benchmark indexes: the S&P 500, DJIA and the NAS Comp, all all posted doji’s for the 3rd day running and edged up. They are working to consolidate laterally, hold the gains and […]

Stocks: Path of Least Resistance is North

Stocks: Path of Least Resistance is North

#stocks #trend #sentiment $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX NAS Comp closed at record high and the DJIA marked a record high intraday in mixed session “On 31 December 2020 S&P 500 earnings for Q-4 were projected to decline 9.2% Y-Y. That estimate did not come true“– Paul Ebeling  The blended earnings growth rate, which takes […]

Economic Growth in This Post-Casedemic Pre-Inflation Scenario

Economic Growth in This Post-Casedemic Pre-Inflation Scenario

#casedemic #inflation #economy #growth $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The future is coming, be prepared is the marching song” –Paul Ebeling Since 23 March 2020 we have seen enthusiasm among investors regarding the return to prosperity in a post-casedemic pre-inflation world. Despite the slow rollout of the non-vaccine vaccines to the general population, the market […]

America’s Big Businesses are Hiring

America’s Big Businesses are Hiring

#jobs #JOLTS $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX JOLTS (job openings) rose in December, led by increases in business services and retail trade, signaling that companies are looking to add workers as the nation starts getting vaccinated against the coronavirus. The number of available positions increased to 6.65-M during the month the Labor Department’s Job Openings […]

Record Highs All Around in the US, Small Caps Leading

Record Highs All Around in the US, Small Caps Leading

#stocks #record #highs #buy $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Monday, traders and investors pushed ‘buy’ again and each of the US benchmark stock market indexes set intraday and closing record highs“– Paul Ebeling The S&P 500 advanced 0.7% for its 6th straight gainer and passing the 3900 mark for the 1st time. The NAS Comp […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet  $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The Bulls are confident and their money is flowing” — Paul Ebeling Last weeks action opened February with a big bang as investors bought the dip and and drove the market indexes to new record highs. The stock market rebounded swiftly from the last wk in January’s decliner, with the S&P 500 finishing […]

Mr. Biden’s $1.9-T ‘American Rescue Idea’ is Classic Washington Pork

Mr. Biden’s $1.9-T ‘American Rescue Idea’ is Classic Washington Pork

#WallStreet #stocks #record #highs #WashingtonDC #aid/relief/stimulus #pork #Biden $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Wall Street Bulls closed out a winning wk as the S&P 500 marked its 5th gainer running, and its biggest wkly extension since November 2020“– Paul Ebeling Republican lawmakers decry Mr. Biden’s $1.9-T American Rescue Plan as classic Washington Pork. Both Republican […]

America’s Economy is Resilient and Amazing, it Needs No Wasteful Stimulus

America’s Economy is Resilient and Amazing, it Needs No Wasteful Stimulus

#US #Economy #Stimulus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “What we are hearing from the MSM that the US economy is in dire straits is simply not true“– Paul Ebeling The American economy is amazingly resilient and does not need aid/relief/stimulus bailouts despite blue state and big city lockdowns. What it needs is to eradicate the […]

The 2 Sides are Far Apart on More Aid/Relief/Stimulus

The 2 Sides are Far Apart on More Aid/Relief/Stimulus

#aid/relief/stimulus #Fed #Treasury #Biden #Democrats #Republicans $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Wednesday, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans upped his support for Mr. Biden’s $1.9-T economic aid/relief/stimulus idea, saying he would rather risk a package that is too big than a smaller package that would mean a slower path to recovery. “If it is too much, […]

Mr. Biden is Determined to Raise Taxes on Corporations

Mr. Biden is Determined to Raise Taxes on Corporations

#taxes #corporations #antibusiness #antiinvestor #money #Fed #stock #Biden $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Cheap money from the Fed allows new and established companies to grow without the burden of high interest. This money benefit’s stock prices” — Paul Ebeling Mr. Biden’s administration is likely to raise taxes on corporations. And that is bad for workers and […]

Global Markets Rally, Gold and Silver Follow

Global Markets Rally, Gold and Silver Follow

#markets #rally #Gold #Silver $DIA $RUTX $SPY $QQQ $VXX $XAU $XAG $GLD $SLV Global shares rebounded from last weeks pull back and silver prices spiked Monday driving the Devil’s metal to 8-yr highs. MSCI’s benchmark for global stock markets rose 1.47% to finish at 652.35 Monday. Silver mining stocks rose and precious metals dealers saw […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet  $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The Bullish trend is still up in here, and new money is flowing” — Paul Ebeling Last weeks action closed the month of January. Stocks rebound, but did not finish on the Northside. Sentiment indicators are extended some. The benchmark indexes pulled back but their support held. Friday’s action to close the month […]

The Market is Saying: Mr. Biden’s Aid/Relief/Stimulus Package is Just an Idea

The Market is Saying: Mr. Biden’s Aid/Relief/Stimulus Package is Just an Idea

#Aid/Relief/Stimulus, #idea, #Biden $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX, $VXX, $GME “The SEC said Friday that it is evaluating the extreme price volatility of certain stocks’ trading prices warning that such volatility can expose investors to rapid and severe losses and undermine market confidence“–Paul Ebeling Friday, the S&P 500 tested to it 50-D MA, as it fell […]

Retail Investors ‘Squeezing’ Institutional Short Sellers

Retail Investors ‘Squeezing’ Institutional Short Sellers

#short #sellers $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $GME “‘Squeezing’ short sellers once a game for professionals, is now controlled by brigades of retail investors worldwide“– Paul Ebeling The Gamma Short is played like this: Usually a ‘whale’ buys a large number of out-of-the-money call options in a single name with a high short interest. The option […]

Mr. Biden is Set Out to Transplant American Capitalism with Communism

Mr. Biden is Set Out to Transplant American Capitalism with Communism

#Capitalism #Republic #Marxist #Socialists #Progressive #Communism #Democrats #Biden #Utopia $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Mr. Biden’s solution to the false claims of man-made global warming is aimed to destroy Capitalism and reconstruct the US economy into a Marxist Socialist system, aka Communism. Not likely, because in America the free market dictates who succeeds and who […]

The Bulls Paused to Refresh, Fears of a Large Market Bubble are Overblown

The Bulls Paused to Refresh, Fears of a Large Market Bubble are Overblown

#Bulls #bubble $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX As global shares are hanging at record highs, and we believe that this stock market is not an overblown bubble, but there are some little sector bubbles where the risk lies. With MSCI’s All Country World index, which tracks stocks across 49 countries is where the fears are […]

Fed Policy Remains Firmly in Economic Rescue Mode, Bulls Continue to Run

Fed Policy Remains Firmly in Economic Rescue Mode, Bulls Continue to Run

#inflation #Fed $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Inflation numbers this yr may cause headaches for families concerned about food, gas bills and a return to 1970’s-style price spikes“–Paul Ebeling Headline inflation fell from May to June last yr, then spiked in the following months as the recovery began. That will mean higher inflation numbers this […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet  $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $SOX $VXX “Both Big and Small Cap Bulls are still running” — Paul Ebeling Last weeks action The shortened trading wk featured renewed strength in the Mega-caps, which drove the outperformance of the NAS Comp (+4.2%) and lifted the S&P 500 (+1.9%), DJIA (+0.6%), and the Russell 2000 (+2.2%), each benchmark index market new record […]

Risk-taking Spiked Following the Last Round of Virus Relief Checks, It Will Again

Risk-taking Spiked Following the Last Round of Virus Relief Checks, It Will Again

#risk #stocks #relief #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “We have no doubt that some of the nearly $2-T in virus aid/relief/stimulus Mr. Biden is seeking from Congress will end up being spent stocks“– Paul Ebeling The data show that risk-taking spiked following the last round of China Virus aid/relief checks. Mr. Biden’s economic-recovery plan […]

Some Investors Believe “High Times” are Back in Vogue

Some Investors Believe “High Times” are Back in Vogue

#investors #cannabis #marajuana #Democrates #HighTimes $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Now, with Democrats in control, investors are ‘High on Cannabis‘”– Paul Ebeling Georgia’s 5 January election results, that flipped the Senate to Democratic control, have stoked the embers under the cannabis industry. Prior, the market for legal US product was forecast to more than 2X, […]

US Stocks Driving Due North, as Professional Investors Hedge Bets

US Stocks Driving Due North, as Professional Investors Hedge Bets

#stocks $SPY $QQQ $DIA $RUTX $VXX $VIX US stock prices have driven to record highs, and VIX contracts are telling us that the professional investors are buying insurance against market volatility that could erupt at any time as the valuations are stretched a bit now. The hedging can be seen in futures on the CBOE […]

Thursday’s Economic Data Signals a Growing Economy

Thursday’s Economic Data Signals a Growing Economy

#economic #growth #housing #emplyment #mega-cap #stocks $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Thursday’s action drew support from a better-than-expected housing starts and building permits report for December. The NAS Comp (+0.6%) and S&P 500 (+0.03%) finished at fresh record highs Thursday on the strength in several Mega-caps Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) 136.87, +4.84, or +3.7% was the most influential mover […]

Inflation Looms: Gold, Copper Spike, USD Falls, Big-caps Boom

Inflation Looms: Gold, Copper Spike, USD Falls, Big-caps Boom

#inflation #gold #silver #USD $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $XAU $GLD $XAG $CU $USD $DXY Thursday, Gold and Copper spiked as USD weakened on signs that interests rates will remain at all time lows, boosting inflation expectation ahead. The Dollar Spot index extended declines for a 3rd day running Wednesday, supporting prices of commodities priced in […]

Yellen, “Spend Big Now, Pay Later”

Yellen, “Spend Big Now, Pay Later”

#Yellen #spend $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX ‘Schoolmarm’ Janet Yellen, Mr. Biden’s nominee for Treasury Secretary, urged lawmakers Tuesday to “act big” on the next virus aid/relief/stimulus package, saying that the benefits outweigh the costs of a higher federal debt burden. Ms. Yellen said she wants to help Americans endure the final months of the […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet  $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $SOX $VXX “The Bulls are still running, despite the political scenario” — Paul Ebeling Last Week’s Action The Small-cap Bulls are running and driving those stocks due North on the notion of a Biden admin $1.9-T aid/relief/stimulus package and Johnson & Johnson’s (NYSE:JNJ) new vaccine. Our technical indicators, sentiment and fundamental internals are beginning to look […]

The Walls are Cracking Around Mr. Biden’s Economy

The Walls are Cracking Around Mr. Biden’s Economy

#Biden #economy #retail #sales #consumer #confidence #spending #aid $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “This past Holiday season, consumers stayed home and gauged the prospects of a Biden economy, retail sales sank on the cracks!”— Paul Ebeling US retail sales declined at the close of the Holiday shopping season, wrapping up a difficult year for the […]

The Fed Let the World Know it is Not Exiting its Easy Money Policy

The Fed Let the World Know it is Not Exiting its Easy Money Policy

#Fed #money $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Thursday, Fed Chairman Powell said “now is not the time” to be discussing an exit from ultra-easy monetary policy and promised to give plenty of notice before it begins to debate scaling back its huge bond-buying campaign. “We know we need to be very careful in communicating about […]

Facebook and Twitter Stock Hammered in Wake of Trump Ban

Facebook and Twitter Stock Hammered in Wake of Trump Ban

#Facebook #Twitter #PresidentTrump $FB $TWTR $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “After banning President Trump from their social media platforms, Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) and Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) have seen their combined market value plummet by $51.2-B over the last 2 trading sessions” — Paul Ebeling Following the Capitol last wks chaos, Facebook and Twitter indefinitely banned Trump’s accounts, […]

The Biden ‘Tax Plan’ Aimed to Undo President Trump’s Strong Economic Recovery

The Biden ‘Tax Plan’ Aimed to Undo President Trump’s Strong Economic Recovery

#tax #Biden #PresidentTrump #markets #Americans $DIA $QQQ $SPY $RUTX $VXX Experts are telling us that Joe Biden’s plan to raise the corporate tax rate will undo most of President Trump’s economy boosting efforts as it will send some American companies offshore, keep others overseas, hobble domestic companies and drive up the unemployment rate, thus damaging […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet  $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $SOX $VXX “The Bulls are still running, despite the chaos” — Paul Ebeling Last Week’s Action Stocks ran higher, and the NAS Comp and PHLX Semiconductor Sector (SOX) led the run North The financial market is ignoring any and all bad news and is focused on more stimulus in Y 2021. With some caveats, […]

Tuesday “The January Effect” Kicked In

Tuesday “The January Effect” Kicked In

#JanuaryEffect #stocks $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX People are asking the Big Q: What Is The January Effect? The Big A: The January Effect is a seasonal increase in stock prices during the month of January. It is attributed to an increase in buying, which follows the drop in price that usually happens in late December […]

US Stock Market Looked Past December NFPs in Another Record Setting Close

US Stock Market Looked Past December NFPs in Another Record Setting Close

#stocks #record #highs #NFPs #Fed #stimulus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Fed Vice Chairman Clarida does not expect to begin tapering its asset purchases this year“– Paul Ebeling Stocks marked all-time highs on Democrats promise of trillions more of aid/relief/stimulus to further revive the world’s largest economy. The S&P 500 marked its 4th day running […]

DJIA, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 Ran to All-time Highs Despite Chaos on Capitol Hill

DJIA, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 Ran to All-time Highs Despite Chaos on Capitol Hill

#CaptolHill #Antifa #chaos #Congress #PresidentTrump $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The DJIA, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 (+4.0%) finished higher, soaring to all-time highs Wednesday, as investors ignored the Antifa led chaos on Capitol Hill. The FOMC minutes noted continued support for the economy Former FBI agent on the ground at the Capitol just texted […]

Fed’s Monetary Policy will Remain Accommodative for “quite some time”

Fed’s Monetary Policy will Remain Accommodative for “quite some time”

#Fed #monetary #policy #accommodative $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX  US economic growth could surge later this year if most Americans are vaccinated against The China Virus, but the gains would unlikely be enough for The Trump Fed to pull back its support, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester said Monday. Even if the vaccines help people […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Santa Claus Rally to Extend

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Santa Claus Rally to Extend

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #SantaClaus #Rally $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $SOX $VXX “The Bulls will drive the Santa Claus Rally in to the New Year” — Paul Ebeling Last Week’s Action Again the US economic data came in strong, the benchmark indexes finished on the highs. The small-cap stocks led Wednesday, cloud software, some chips and some online […]

“The American Economy has been Supercharged”

“The American Economy has been Supercharged”

#PresidentTrump #economy “The American economy has been supercharged, but it needs to eradicate The China Virus and fully reopen”— Paul Ebeling “What we need to do is get the government out of the way. And get this medical emergency chaos behind us. Not raise taxes and regulations, not shut down our oil and gas industries. […]

“This Bull market does not look overbought…”

“This Bull market does not look overbought…”

#Investors #BullMarket #earnings #rally $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “This Bull market does not look overbought in here” — Paul Ebeling Analyst and investors see several parts of this market, including financials, leisure & hospitality stocks and energy with strong rally potential into Y 2021. Investors looking for a continued rally are optimistic of a […]

S&P 500 Marked a Record Closing High Finishing the Year with a 16.3% Gainer

S&P 500 Marked a Record Closing High Finishing the Year with a 16.3% Gainer

#SP500 #stocks #record #highs #jobs #jobless #claims $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “There will be no stock reports Friday, 1 January as markets will be closed for the New Year Holiday. Happy New Year!” — Paul Ebeling US claims for unemployment benefits fell to a 1-month low. Initial jobless claims in regular state programs declined […]

Wall Street Looks South for Florida Life and Tax Benefits

Wall Street Looks South for Florida Life and Tax Benefits

#WallStreet #Florida $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Wall Street banks know that they do not need to be in Midtown Manhattan to do business, and employees like that“– Paul Ebeling Lots of Wall Street executives, bankers and fund managers are abandoning New York for Florida, embracing the Sunshine State over Metro New York as the […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Santa Claus Rally is On

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Santa Claus Rally is On

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #SantaClausRally #Bullish #COVID #Vaccine $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The Bulls Christmas Market is a happy one” — Paul Ebeling Now: The Bulls are in celebration mode this Monday morning with the major US stock indexes trading at: DJIA +199.60 at 30399.41, NAS Comp +76.91 at 12881.65, S&P 500+24.33 at 3727.39. That is what Bull markets do when Santa Claus leads the […]

‘Santa Claus Rally’ Will Drive Stocks Higher into the New Year

‘Santa Claus Rally’ Will Drive Stocks Higher into the New Year

#SantaClaus #Rally #stocks $DJIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Santa Claus Rally phenom was discovered in 1972 by Yale Hirsch, creator of the Stock Trader’s Almanac. A 7-day trading frame known as the “Santa Claus Rally” took hold of Wall Street Thursday and could drive the stock market higher into year-end. Based on historical data, the […]

Gold Up On Weakening USD as President Trump Threatens Veto of Aid/Relief/Stimulus Bill

Gold Up On Weakening USD as President Trump Threatens Veto of Aid/Relief/Stimulus Bill

#Gold #Dollar #aid/relief/stimulus #PresidentTrump #veto $DIA $SPY $QQQ, RUTX $VXX $XAU $GLD $USD Gold prices ticked higher Wednesday as weakness in USD offset worries about the aid/relief/ stimulus bill after President Trump threatened to veto the over porked legislation. Spot gold rose 0.3% at 1,865.01oz by 0333 GMT, while US gold futures held steady at […]

Big Professional Players Bolster Bitcoin’s Bullish Outlook

Big Professional Players Bolster Bitcoin’s Bullish Outlook

#crypto #currency #bullish #bitcoin #ethereum $BTC $ETH $DIA $SPY $QQQ $VXX “The crypto space has a few big players, but is mostly crowded with retail-traders and investors.” — Paul Ebeling YTD investor cash inflows into cryptocurrency funds and products hit $5.6-B up 600% from Y 2019, according to the latest data. The inflows plus the […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #TrumpRally #Bullish #COVIDVaccine #Options $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “There is still no indication this Bull market is about to roll over on negative sentiment” — Paul Ebeling Last Week’s Action Stocks opened well and closed well, but the PHLX Semiconductor Sector (SOX) is lagging notably and the big NAS Comp stocks could not […]

Investing: Equities Vs Real Estate and Visa Versa

Investing: Equities Vs Real Estate and Visa Versa

#Investing #stocks #RealEstate $SPY $SPX The choice between equities (stocks) and Real Estate is a common Question faced by investors seeking to build long-term wealth. The Big Q: Will they be more successful by putting their money in Real Estate or Stocks? The Big A: The assumption that the choice is 1 or the other […]

US Big Banks are Strong, Dividends and Buybacks to Resume, Stock Indexes Rebalanced on Quad Witching

US Big Banks are Strong,  Dividends and Buybacks to Resume, Stock Indexes Rebalanced on Quad Witching

#banks #dividends #buybacks $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX “Quarterly rebalancing of S&P 500, annual reconstitution of the NAS Comp 100, Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) inclusion into the S&P 500 after the close, quadruple-witching options expired“– Paul Ebeling  The big US banks have enough capital to withstand over $600-B in losses from a short, sharp economic slump, as well as a moderate […]

Gold Bulls are Running North on Sinking US Dollar

Gold Bulls are Running North on Sinking US Dollar

#Gold #Bulls #USD $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $XAU $GLD “Plus, the S&P 500, DJIA, NAS Comp and Russell 2000 index all closed at their highest marks ever as The Trump Rally extended. “— Paul Ebeling Gold rose to a 1-month high after the Fed’s reiterated its commitment to supporting the economy and optimism grew […]

Fed Officials Painting a Brighter Picture for 2021

Fed Officials Painting a Brighter Picture for 2021

#Fed #growth #employment #money #economy #stocks $bonds #consumer #spending $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Fed sees 4.2% growth, and full employment in the New Year“– Paul Ebeling The Fed said Wednesday that it will keep buying government bonds until the economy makes “substantial” progress. Thus reassuring financial markets and keeping long-term borrowing rates low indefinitely. […]

The Trump Rally Extends on Solid Policies and Strong Support

The Trump Rally Extends on Solid Policies and Strong Support

#PresidentTrump #Rally #Policies #Support $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The market is not buyin Biden, the market is always right“– Paul Ebeling Reviewing Wednesday’s economic data:Industrial production increased 0.4% M-M in November. The capacity utilization rate jumped to 73.3% The Key takeaway from the report was the strong growth seen in the production of motor vehicles […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, The Trump Rally Continues

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, The Trump Rally Continues

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #TrumpRally #Bullish #COVIDVaccine #Options $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “There is no indication this Bull market is about to roll over on negative sentiment” — Paul Ebeling Last Week’s Action Consolidation and rotation continue, overall the wk was flat. Stocks rebound and some strong leaders run, big names lag. The Russell 2000 (RUT) […]

The Fed’s Latest Report on US Household Wealth Has it at All Time Highs

The Fed’s Latest Report on US Household Wealth Has it at All Time Highs

#Americans #household #wealth #RealEstate #cash #Fed #PresidentTrump $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VVX The wealth of US households marked $123.5-T in September as rising stock market and home values and an accumulating of cash defied expectations of a virus-related crash in household finances, according to new data from the Fed Thursday. The Fed’s latest report on US […]

The Outperformance of the Russell 2000 Deserves Immediate Attention

The Outperformance of the Russell 2000 Deserves Immediate Attention

#Russell2000 $RUTX $RUT $SPY $SPX $DIA $QQQ $CU $XAU $VXX “Tuesday, the Russell 2000 (+1.4%) closed at a record high on encouraging vaccine news and the coming Trump Administration’s aid/relief/stimulus package.“– Paul Ebeling Inflation will likely rise above 2% in Y 2021 and range from 2.25% to 2.4%. The consensus is that inflation may temporarily […]

US Stocks Finished Mixed Monday in a “Pause to Refresh” Session

US Stocks Finished Mixed Monday in a “Pause to Refresh” Session

#stocks $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The NAS Comp closed at record high in mixed session: DJIA -148.47 to 30069.73, NAS Comp +55.71 at 12519.86, S&P 500 -7.16 to 3691.97 Volume: Trade on the NYSE came in at 927-M/shares exchanged. The S&P 500 declined 0.2% Monday to ease back from record territory, while the NAS Comp (+0.5%) closed at a new record high […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Investors Extending ‘The Trump Rally’

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Investors Extending ‘The Trump Rally’

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #TrumpRally $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX The Director of National Intelligence John Ratcliffe said Sunday it is yet to be decided if there will be a Biden Administration.  He said issues outlined by President Trump’s legal team, headed by Rudy Giuliani must be heard in court. Joe Biden is a candidate not the president-elect. […]

Stocks and Gold are in an Up Trend: ‘The Trend is Your Friend’

Stocks and Gold are in an Up Trend: ‘The Trend is Your Friend’

#gold #stocks #BullMarket #Fed #economy #recovery #stimulus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $XAU $GLD $USD $VXX The DJIA is trading at record highs, having broke the 30,000 resistance mark last wk for the 1st time ever. The stock market’s epidemic chaos is over, and investors look forward to continued growth down the line. Now, at the […]

Candidate Biden’s Economic Advisors are Wrong About the Nation’s Public Debt and the Deficit

Candidate Biden’s Economic Advisors are Wrong About the Nation’s Public Debt and the Deficit

#economy #debt #deficit #GDP #government #spending $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX #VXX The economists who are advising Presidential candidate Joe Biden recently met virtually at the Brookings Institute to discuss the impact of annual government budget deficits and the total public debt. They concluded that in the short term, the deficit and the debt really do not […]

Small Cap Stocks Rising on Recovery from Virus Chaos

Small Cap Stocks Rising on Recovery from Virus Chaos

#SmallCaps #stocks #recovery #COVID #vaccine #economy $RUTS #RUT “Small cap stocks outperformed in November for their best monthly performance on record, and will remain market leaders as they will benefit from the post-chaos economic recovery” — Paul Ebeling The Russell 2000 and S&P 600 indexes of small cap stocks are up more than 19% MTD, […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Investors Look Past the COVID Chaos

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Investors Look Past the COVID Chaos

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #Investors #COVID #chaos #stocks $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “November will close as 1 of the best months for stocks in history” — Paul Ebeling What happened last week S&P 500 and NAS Comp finished in record territory last Friday with theDJIA +37.90 at 29910.31, NAS Comp +111.44 at 12205.76, S&P 500 +8.70 at 3638.37 The S&P 500 (+0.2%) and NAS […]

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