Low Home Mortgage Rates Continue to Boost US’ Economic Recovery

Low Home Mortgage Rates Continue to Boost US’ Economic Recovery

#home #mortgages #loans #economy #Fed #interestrates #buyers $DIA $QQQ $SPY $XAU $GLD $USO $USD US Mortgages rates marked another record low, boosting the $35-T housing market, a very bright spot for the economy. The average for a 30-yr fixed loan fell to 2.88%, the lowest in nearly 50 yrs of record keeping by Freddie Mac. It was […]

Residential Housing Market is Worth $35-T, America’s Biggest Industry

Residential Housing Market is Worth $35-T, America’s Biggest Industry

#housing $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $ITB $VXX Last month, US new home sales spiked 55%, their biggest gainer since Y 2005. The number of Americans looking to refinance their mortgages spiked 111%. And Quicken Loans (Private), the America’s largest mortgage broker just posted its best Quarter in its 35-yr history. In 1-H of Y 2020, Quicken […]

Congress Told Small Business Owners are Facing Financial Ruin

Congress Told Small Business Owners are Facing Financial Ruin

#Congress #retailers #restaurants #consultants #manufactures #financial #ruin #PPP #SBA #loans #NYSE $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “From retailers and restaurants to consulting and manufacturers, small-business owners are facing a future of potential financial ruin that will make the nation’s current economic downturn last years longer than it must,” the America’s corporate leaders said in their […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#WallStreet #PaulEbeling #BigTech #earnings #NFPs #employment #interest #Bulls #money #FAANG $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $DIS Last Week’s Action US Stocks Finished Friday and July on High Notes. The tech stocks held the line kept the NAS Comp, SOX and NAS 100 in the Green. The big names in the NAS drove earnings . The […]

US Stocks Finished Friday and July on High Notes

US Stocks Finished Friday and July on High Notes

#stocks #bigtech #revenue #earnings #virus #ecommerce #spending #investors #GDP #NYSE $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Stocks closed Friday and July on high notes, with the Bulls still in charge. The NAS Comp outperforming after of better than expected corporate earnings results from big tech firms like Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) and Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL), which both marked record […]

The Tech Bulls are In Charge Despite the C-19 Coronavirus Chaos

The Tech Bulls are In Charge Despite the C-19 Coronavirus Chaos

#Bulls #stocks #market #C19coronavirus #technology $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Power Rally in US tech companies is about to intensify after earnings from the biggest providers of I-net services and Smartphones blew past Quarterly earnings estimates. ETFs tracking the NAS 100 rose about 1.8% following results from Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ:AMZN), Facebook Inc. (NASDAQ:FB), Alphabet […]

Weakening US Dollar Driving Gold to New Record Prices

Weakening US Dollar Driving Gold to New Record Prices

#dollar #gold $USD $DXY $XAU $GLD $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $GS Savvy participants are going “all-in” on gold, Goldman Sachs is going “all-in” on gold, that is happening by the currant Southside pressure on the Buck. With more Southside expected in US real interest rates we here at HeffX-LTN are reiterating our Long gold […]

President Trump: “401(k) Investors Who Followed My Advice Doing Phenomenally Well”

President Trump: “401(k) Investors Who Followed My Advice Doing Phenomenally Well”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday, President Trump said 401(k) investors who “stayed with me” are doing great. In his latest use of 401(k)s as a campaign message, President Trump said Americans who “stayed with me” when the coronavirus hit are “doing phenomenally well.” The President said that Americans who sold stocks in March lost […]

Tuesday’s World Markets Outlook: Asia-Pacific + Wall Street Recap

Tuesday’s World Markets Outlook: Asia-Pacific + Wall Street Recap

#AsiaPacific #stock #markets #rally #dollar #gold #WallStreet #C19coronavirus #USChina #Fed #FOMC #Congress #yen #safehaven $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $XAU $GLD $USD #JPY Asian stock markets advance after Wall Street rally, gold extends, USD falls The price of gold rose 38.80 to 1,969.80oz Tuesday, up 2% to another record high. It is unusual for the price […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The cynics obsess over negatives, as the market is focused on positives and the S&P 500 is closing in on a record high. Last week’s action The Market Needs a Stimulus Agreement and Will Get It President Trump’s Treasury Secretary Mnuchin announced a coming aid/relief/stimulus agreement. Expecting more […]

Gold is +25% YTD Outdistancing Stocks, Gold Bugs Rejoice!

Gold is +25% YTD Outdistancing Stocks, Gold Bugs Rejoice!

#gold #stocks #money #investors #goldbugs #centralbanks #inflation #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $XAU $GLD #VXX Gold is up 25% this year and traded above 1,897oz, just shy the Y 2011 record high at 1,921. Global stocks measured by the MSCI World index, have recovered almost all of the losses they suffered on the instant recession sell-off brought on […]

S&P 500 Turns Positive, Investors Focus on Shutdown Odds

S&P 500 Turns Positive, Investors Focus on Shutdown Odds

#Investors #ignore #C19coronavirus #shutdown #economy #earnings #recovery #PresidentTrump $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Deep in investor minds is the Big Q: What are the chances of another lockdown The Big A: Slim to None, as The Trump Administration has no appetite for shutting down the nation again. Instead, President Trump is looking for ways to […]

Savvy Investors Stick With Stocks, Adding Some Gold

Savvy Investors Stick With Stocks, Adding Some Gold

#investors #stocks #earnings #bonds #gold #Fed $SPY $GLD $XAU The S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) is selling for 28X earnings. That is above the 25-yr MA of 25 but implies an equivalent interest rate of 3.6%. The 10-yr Treasury yield is less than 0.7%, and the Fed is committed to keeping rates low. Stocks outperform bonds by a wide margin […]

Wall Street Firms Consider Moving Jobs Out of New York City

Wall Street Firms Consider Moving Jobs Out of New York City

#WallStreet #NYC #jobs #economy #technology $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Wall Street gained ground Monday and rising technology shares drove the NAS Comp to another record closing high. Q-2 earnings: 48 companies in the S&P 500 have posted results, with 77.1% of those beating consensus, according to Refinitiv data. In aggregate, analysts now expect S&P […]

US Stocks Finished at Session Highs Wednesday

US Stocks Finished at Session Highs Wednesday

#DJIA #stocks #NYSE $DIA $QQQ $SPY $USO $USD $XAU $GLD Wednesday, the DJIA finished the day above 27,000 after Pfizer (NYSE:PFE) announced that it had struck a deal with the US government for the C-19 coronavirus vaccine it is developing with BioNTech SE. The NAS Comp finished the day up 0.2%, the DJIA gained 0.6%, and the S&P 500 rose 0.6%. Market breadth was good: More than […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, It is Never too Late to Start Investing

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, It is Never too Late to Start Investing

#Bulls #PresidentTrump #investors #participants #stocks #bonds #Vshaped #recovery #rally #C19coronavirus #CDC #ThePeople #WallStreet #PaulEbeling $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last weeks action Stocks were quiet going into Friday’s options expiry, after getting good news regarding vaccines Wednesday. The economic data was good, but jobless claims were off. The Governor of Texas said he is considering […]

US Should Consider Forgiving All Small Business PPP Loans

US Should Consider Forgiving All Small Business PPP Loans

#Tresaury #PPP #loans #SmallBusiness #forgive #C19coronavirus #NYSE $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The federal government should weigh forgiving all “small” loans provided under the Paycheck Protection Program during the C-19 coronavirus chaos, US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said. “We should consider forgiving all small loans, but would need fraud protection,” Secretary Mnuchin told the House […]

US 30-yr Fixed Rate Mortgage Rate Dives to 50-yr Lows

US 30-yr Fixed Rate Mortgage Rate Dives to 50-yr Lows

#mortgage #homebuilding #retail #sales #Fed #QE #bonds #market #stimulus #economy $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $SPSIHO The S&P 500 Homebuilding Index (SPSIHO), which includes Lennar Corp.(NYSE:LEN), DR Horton Inc.(NYSE:DHI), and PulteGroup Inc.(NYSE:PHM), gained 2.4% Thursday. The index is up nearly 9% YTD, compared with a 0.05% decline in the broad S&P 500 overall. US 30-year […]

US Economic Activity Increases Despite Uncertainty

US Economic Activity Increases Despite Uncertainty

#Fed #economy #businesses #BeigeBook #C19Coronavirus #growth $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX US businesses saw an uptick in activity into the beginning of July as states eased restrictions to contain the novel coronavirus chaos, a Fed report showed Wednesday, but remained uncertain about the economic outlook going forward. The picture illustrated in the Fed’s latest snapshot of […]

S&P 500 Shines Despite the C-19 Coronavirus Overhang

S&P 500 Shines Despite the C-19 Coronavirus Overhang

#SP500 #C19Coronavirus #stocks #cash #winners #economy $SPY $SPX $RUTX The big-cap US stocks may not be biggest winners when the virus is under control. US stocks, as measured by the benchmark S&P 500 index are strong even with the increase C-19 coronavirus cases, as the index contains nearly all of the world’s very largest listed […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Bulls are Still in Charge

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Bulls are Still in Charge

#Bulls #PresidentTrump #investors #participants #stocks #bonds #Vshaped #recovery #rally #C19coronavirus #CDC #ThePeople #WallStreet #PaulEbeling $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $BLK $GS $MS #TROW $VXX What happened last week NASDAQ Leaders Lead the Bulls North NAS Comp leaders are in control, even if they are extended on this leg a bit.And lots of other stocks are setting […]

NYC, the Financial Capital of the World, Has Gotten Scary Under De Blasio

NYC, the Financial Capital of the World, Has Gotten Scary Under De Blasio

#NYC #NewYorkCity #DeBlasio #BLM #scary #PresidentTrump #Haley #NYSE #C19coronavirus #riots #protests #police $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “I will not have open borders, we will not abolish the police, and we will not slash the budgets for our military, and we will not allow our country to be swamped with deadly drugs.” — President Donald […]

“Woke is Broke”, NASDAQ Marks Another Record High

“Woke is Broke”, NASDAQ Marks Another Record High

#woke #broke #joke #NASDAQ #NYSE #Bullish #PresidentTrump #OldWhiteGuy #JoeBiden #DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX #VXX Experts are saying the NAS Comp will fall, just not now! Democrats are attacking President Trump on social injustice issues that have simmered for decades, and then went ahead and picked “the Old White Guy who has been in Washington for […]

US Needed Tough Leader, Now it Has 1, the Market Confirms It…

US Needed Tough Leader, Now it Has 1, the Market Confirms It…

#President Trump #leader #tough #C19coronavirus #policies #market #WhiteHouse $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “US Needs Very Tough Leader, Not Empathy and Love” — Dick Morris America needs a “very tough leader” in these times of violent race protests and the outbreak of the C-19 coronavirus, former presidential adviser and campaign consultant Dick Morris said in […]

President Trump Says: US in a “Good Place”, Rebukes Dr. Doom Fauci on His C-19 Coronavirus Comments

President Trump Says: US in a “Good Place”, Rebukes Dr. Doom Fauci on His C-19 Coronavirus Comments

#PresidentTrump, #C19Coronavirus, #US #China #economy, #WhiteHouse, #NYSE $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday, President Trump publicly criticized Dr. Anthony ‘Doom’ Fauci for his comments on the C-19 coronavirus chaos, and said the US is in a “good place” despite a rise in virus cases. “Well, I think we are in a good place. I disagree […]

World Stock Markets Running Due North, China Will Stimulate

World Stock Markets Running Due North, China Will Stimulate

#WallStreet #trend #bullish #ISM #C19coronavirus #FakeNews #stocks #markets $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The S&P 500 rose 1.6% Monday in a Bullish start to the week, but it was the NAS Comp (+2.2%) and DJIA (+1.8%) that gained the advantage on the day. The NAS closed at another record high, the Russell 2000 underperformed the […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street,

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street,

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #money #trading #investing #vaccine #coronavirus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $PFE $VXX Last Week’s Action Pfizer Inc.’s (NYSE:PFE) announcement regarding a C-19 coronavirus vaccine boosted sentiment Stocks start Q-3 higher, leaders continue to lead. The Institute for Supply Management (ISM) signals strong expansion. FOMC mins show that the Fed plans to buy bonds for […]

We Just Saw a Record 100 Day Rally in the S&P 500, the Trump Policies are Working

We Just Saw a Record 100 Day Rally in the S&P 500, the Trump Policies are Working

#SP500 #rally #record #Bull #Trump $SPY $SPX $DIA $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The S&P 500 just marked a 100-Day run, 1 for the record books. Since bottoming on 23 March, the S&P 500 rallied 40%,that has not happened in 90 yrs, and the Bull has further to run. The S&P 500 had previously recorded only 5 […]

Independence Day Observed Friday for US Markets

Independence Day Observed Friday for US Markets

#IndependenceDay #US #stock #markets #DJIA #NFPs #jobs #investors #PresidentTrump #economy #WhiteHouse #PPP #vaccine #C19coronavirus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Stocks rose Thursday and gained on the week, as investors cheered the resiliency of a US economy that created nearly 5-M jobs in June and the number for May revised to nearly 3-M. President Trump said June’s better-than-expected […]

S&P 500 Marks Best Quarter Since 1998 with 20% Gainer, DJIA Good Too, NAS Comp Fares Better!

S&P 500 Marks Best Quarter Since 1998 with 20% Gainer, DJIA Good Too, NAS Comp Fares Better!

#SP500 #stimulus #economy #Trump #Bulls $SPY $SPX $DIA #QQQ The S&P 500 rallied Tuesday to finish higher and biggest its biggest Quarterly percentage gainer in more than 20 yrs as improving economic data boosted investor beliefs that the aid/relief/stimulus backed rebound for the US economy was is happening. Coming off a Bear dive of 20% […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Americans Holding a Huge ‘Pile of Cash’

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Americans Holding a Huge ‘Pile of Cash’

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX #Paul Ebeling #Wall Street #recovery #cash #technicals #patterns #Fed #Bulls Last Week’s Action The indexes are in consolidation mode, and the leaders are leading pulling back and testing their moves, the trend is up and the Bulls are still in charge. Financials received bids ahead of the release of the […]

Baked in Q-2 Earnings are Off, the Stock Market Will Continue North

Baked in Q-2 Earnings are Off, the Stock Market Will Continue North

$SPY The S&P 500 is cheaper than many think, meaning more profitable. The stock market is cheaper and profitability is better than the pundits would have us believe. The deep dive baked into Q-2 consensus earnings understates the real core earnings of many US companies. Here I show where there is Northside in the overall […]

US Seeing a ‘Big V-shaped’ Economic Rebound Ahead

US Seeing a ‘Big V-shaped’ Economic Rebound Ahead

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The US the economy has started to benefit from a V-shaped recovery Markets are benefiting from both liquidity and optimism that the C-19 coronavirus chaos will fade away or be contained. But, it take some time before we come all the way up and get back to Y 2019 marks. […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Inflation Alert

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Inflation Alert

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last Week’s Action Stock indexes are consolidating, the economic data impresses, as headlines focus on new China Virus cases in the wake of massive new testing. Last Friday was Quad Witching expiration, and we saw leaders continue to lead. Perhaps other sectors will now start to contribute to the uptrend. […]

US in V-shaped Economic Recovery, Financial Markets Ignore Social Issues

US in V-shaped Economic Recovery, Financial Markets Ignore Social Issues

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX “The financial market is a reflection of the world it operates in, the essential meaning of the wisdom of money in action, expressed through buying and selling companies’ shares, it is always right.” Economist John Maynard Keynes likened the stock market to a beauty contest in which competitors try to pick […]

More Government Support Needed to Bolster US Economy, It is Coming

More Government Support Needed to Bolster US Economy, It is Coming

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The continuing uncertainty brought on by the C-19 coronavirus chaos may hamper the US economic rebound from instant recession, and more fiscal and monetary support will likely be needed, Boston Federal Reserve President Eric Rosengren said Friday. Mr. Rosengren repeated his view that the US unemployment rate will likely be […]

US Mortgage Rates Drop to Record Low 3.13% for 30-Yr Home Loans

US Mortgage Rates Drop to Record Low 3.13% for 30-Yr Home Loans

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX US mortgage rates fell to a record low for the 4th time since the C-19 coronavirus chaos began disturbing financial markets earlier this year. The average for a 30-yr fixed-rate home loan was 3.13%, down from 3.21% last week and a low point in almost 50 yrs of data-keeping by […]

Marty Zweig: “Don’t fight the Fed and Don’t fight the Tape”

Marty Zweig:  “Don’t fight the Fed and Don’t fight the Tape”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX From Marty’s advice I minted my own that I have closed nearly every weekly Redroadmaster Report for the past 22 yrs: “Always take what the market gives.” Often followed by: “Tune out the Noise!“ What that means Don’t fight the Fed means that you cannot fight a Fed boss who intends […]

US Housing Market Will Be a Leader in Economic Recovery Plus…

US Housing Market Will Be a Leader in Economic Recovery Plus…

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX … recently released figures indicate that retail sales in May increased by 17.7%, and that is the biggest monthly gainer ever. This number re-enforces the forecast that a V shaped recovery from the instant recession has begun. This means that as construction reopens we seeing the positives. Housing starts rose […]

Like March 2009, My Work Shows Big Northside Ahead for US Stocks

Like March 2009, My Work Shows Big Northside Ahead for US Stocks

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX I expect stocks to consolidate in an uptrend the Bull run off the 23 March lows then rally into the end of the year. I have been tracking the Y’s 2009-2020 action since the March C-19 coronavirus chaos, and it looks uniquely the same. If I am right, we will […]

This Bull Recovery Run Signals Buy Stocks

This Bull Recovery Run Signals Buy Stocks

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX This stock market rally has more to run and investors are under-pricing the scale of the world’s C-19 coronavirus chaos recovery “While the last four months have been exceptional, we think that this cycle has been, and will be, more ‘normal’ than appreciated,” said Morgan Stanley’s chief cross-asset strategist in […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Optimism is Key

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Optimism is Key

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $SOX $VXX Optimistic US Stock Market Will Survive Racial and C-19 Coronavirus Chaos| Last week’s action  Stocks continue testing, as indexes that marked new highs have given them up. The charts of the PHLX Semiconductor Sector (SOX), the S&P 500 and others show reversals, suggesting there may be more testing (selling) […]

You Can Deal with Any Stock Market FOMO You May Still Have, Knowledge is Power…

You Can Deal with Any Stock Market FOMO You May Still Have, Knowledge is Power…

$SPY $SPX $DIA $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Here is how the stock market trades after 5.0%+ selloffs like we saw last Thursday The S&P 500 fell 5.9% last Thursday, marking its worst 1-day decliner since 16 March and its 5th fall of at least 5% in the past 3 months. It was the worst decline since […]

Psychologically the Fear of Missing Out is Driving the US Stock Market

Psychologically the Fear of Missing Out is Driving the US Stock Market

$SPY $SPX Last Thursday, Wall Street professionals showed retail investors who bet that stocks would continue their uninterrupted drive North, that they are incharge. Yes, there are lots of investors who missed out on Wall Street’s recovery since the 23 March lows and may take advantage of the midweek selloff to enter. That suggest some […]

When There are Too Many Bulls the Market Reverses Every Time

When There are Too Many Bulls the Market Reverses Every Time

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX DJIA +477.37 at 25605.56, NAS Comp +96.08 at 9588.83, S&P 500 +39.21 at 3041.18 Friday, the S&P 500 gained 1.3% to reclaim some of Thursday’s 7% day’s decline, it was up 2.9% early in the session. The DJIA (+1.9%), NAS Comp (+1.0%), and Russell 2000 (+2.3%) also bounced.   Media explanations, like the risk of a 2nd wave of […]

President Trump Hammers Powell, “Fed is Often Wrong”

President Trump Hammers Powell, “Fed is Often Wrong”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $BA $VXX President Trump says the US economy will be back and better than ever next year. Thursday, President Trump hammered the Fed after Fed Chairman Powell offered a grim outlook on the US economy, saying there is a “long road” ahead. “I see the numbers also, and do MUCH better […]

Fed Chairman Powell, “Near-Zero Rates Through 2022, GDP to Hit 5% Next Year”

Fed Chairman Powell, “Near-Zero Rates Through 2022, GDP to Hit 5% Next Year”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Wednesday, the Trump Fed signaled it will provide years of extraordinary support for an economy clawing back from the C-19 coronavirus chaos. Th FOMC projects a 6.5% decline in GDP this yr and a 9.3% unemployment rate at yr’s end. In the 1st economic projections of the virus quarter, US central […]

Options Players Placing Bets Stocks Keep Rising

Options Players Placing Bets Stocks Keep Rising

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Traders established fresh Bullish positions last week by buying 35.6-M new Call options on stocks, up from a high of 28.7-M in February, when speculative activity was rampant. Options traders make big bets on rising prices. This kind of activity could lead to negative returns in the S&P 500 and […]

This Market’s Q-1 Downdraft Created Massive Opportunities for Savvy Investors

This Market’s Q-1 Downdraft Created Massive Opportunities for Savvy Investors

$SPY $SPX $DIA $QQQ $RUTX $USO $VXX This V-shaped recovery in stocks illustrates how markets strong this market and how fast it recovered from the medical malpractice recession. For those of us that understood this it set up opportunities for massive gainers over a short frame. It also underlines the need to be nimble, pay […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $IRJ $XLF $VXX Bulls believe in this recovery, drive Bears back, as the market rallies with each sign of economic recovery. Recall the Bears growled alarms about putting faith in the Fed and chasing shares whose valuations swelled to a 20-yr high. Last Week’s Action Friday’s NFPs jobs report says the resilience reflects not […]

The Stock Market is about Money, It has “No Conscience”

The Stock Market is about Money, It has “No Conscience”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Wall Street stocks extend rally despite the terrorist rioting sweeping the nation. “At the end of the day, the market has no conscience. Investors are simply trying to make money, and that is why they are crowding into the stay-at-home economy stocks,” Jim Cramer said Tuesday, adding people still pick […]

Market Bulls Resist Selling Pressure in the Midsts of Chaos

Market Bulls Resist Selling Pressure in the Midsts of Chaos

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Monday, we saw more of the same resistance to selling pressure, as the Bulls remain in charge. Notably, President Trump made a short but strong statement from the Rose Garden about stopping the nationwide rioting buy invoking the Insurrection Act. The major indices posted modest gains, as the market remained […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX What Happened Last Month The US stock market maintained a Bullish trajectory throughout May which saw many indices, sectors, and stocks retracing back above their March and April resistance zones.  Broad-based gains lift S&P 500 back above its 200-Day MA, and Bullish with a Very Bullish bias across the board. […]

No One Went Away in May, Rally to Continue

No One Went Away in May, Rally to Continue

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX It is the end of May and the S&P 500 cracked and broke through the Key overhead resistance at 3,000 and held, this after a month of sideways trading and consolidation. Now Summer is here an my prediction should make investors feel safer after this unpopular rally drove prices higher […]

US Pending Home Sales Off in April

US Pending Home Sales Off in April

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX April had a record decline in Americans signing contracts to buy homes, a reflection of the broader shutdown of economic activity in response to the C-19 coronavirus chaos outbreak. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) said Thursday that pending home sales index dove 21.8% from the prior month to a level of […]

Americans Like to Shop for Groceries in a Store, Not Online

Americans Like to Shop for Groceries in a Store, Not Online

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Online grocery sales have risen 200% YTD, according to Earnest Research, part of a broader boom in home cooking now that thousands of restaurants are closed. The $840-B grocery industry has been one of the few bright spots during this medical emergency that has hammered the economy. Walmart Inc.(NYSE:WMT), Amazon.com Inc.(NASDAQ:AMZN) and startup […]

“Fast Economic Recovery in Sight”

“Fast Economic Recovery in Sight”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Jamie Dimon sees “pretty good odds” of a fast economic recovery starting in Q-3 thanks to the US government’s stimulus programs and the strength of the consumer going into the Medical Malpractice chaos. “You could see a fairly rapid recovery,” the JPMorgan Chase & Co. CEO said Tuesday at a […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, What the Bulls are Telling Us

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, What the Bulls are Telling Us

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last Week’s Action The large-cap indexes were lower Thursday, and flat Friday. On the week though the S&P 500 (+3.2%), DJIA (+3.3%), and NAS Comp (+3.4%) rose 3%+, and the small-cap Russell 2000 climbed 7.8%. The Bulls are in charge. Technical Analysis S&P 500 broke higher Wednesday, opened lower Thursday and […]

Goodbye to High-yield Savings Accounts

Goodbye to High-yield Savings Accounts

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX For years, the high-yield saving products were a success for both consumers and financial institutions alike. After getting almost Zero interest from big US banks, individuals who parked their excess cash with the likes of Ally Financial Inc., Barclays Plc, Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s consumer bank, Marcus, or HSBC Holdings Plc’s HSBC Direct […]

Mutual Fund Giants Unfazed by “Rich Guys” Warning on Stocks

Mutual Fund Giants Unfazed by “Rich Guys” Warning on Stocks

$DIA $SPY $QQQ Some Wall Street heavyweights who President Trump dubbed ‘rich guys’ last week may sound alarmed about stocks, but some of the world’s biggest investors are holding on or boosting their holdings. Money managers and strategists at Capital Group, Franklin Templeton and BlackRock Inc., which together oversee about $8.8-T, say stocks remain attractive […]

President Trump and Republican Leaders, ‘Reopen Our Economy Prefered Over More Stimulus’

President Trump and Republican Leaders, ‘Reopen Our Economy Prefered Over More Stimulus’

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday, President Trump and Republican congressional leaders are counting on state lockdowns lifting to propel an economic rebound that will ease pressure for another round of stimulus. “There is only one way out of this dilemma: America has to grow again, to open up again and I am pleased that […]

US Stock Indexes Gap Up and Hold, Futures Following On

US Stock Indexes Gap Up and Hold, Futures Following On

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Monday, US stock index futures edge higher Monday evening following a sharp rally in the broad market. Markets were bolstered after Fed Chairman Powell said Sunday night that he saw a path, toward an economic recovery from the C-19 coronavirus chaos in 2-H of Y 2020 and emphasized that he […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Fed’s Fast Actions

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Fed’s Fast Actions

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last Week’s Close Friday May options expired, and the market show us that the leaders were going to make good moves. The futures are telling us that Monday trades will be higher after last week’s action. This story helped: Friday mid-session it was the reported that the Fed purchased $305-M […]

“Shutdowns are causing mass economic strife, spurring unemployment, spikes in domestic violence and other dire consequences”

“Shutdowns are causing mass economic strife, spurring unemployment, spikes in domestic violence and other dire consequences”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie (R) called for businesses across the country to reopen with safety measures Friday, saying that the C-19 coronavirus chaos cannot control when parts of the country open. He wrote in a commentary that additional lives will be lost “as a result of reopening our […]

New York Stock Exchange to Reopen after Memorial Day

New York Stock Exchange to Reopen after Memorial Day

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $ICE The President of the New York Stock Exchange Stacey Cunningham announced after the closing bell Thursday the NYSE is going to reopen the trading floor the day after Memorial Day. “We will reopen our trading floor to a subset of floor brokers the day after Memorial Day,”  Ms. Cunningham wrote […]

President Trump, “‘Rich Guys’ Talking Down Stocks to Make a Profit”

President Trump, “‘Rich Guys’ Talking Down Stocks to Make a Profit”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX President Trump urged investors to be wary of “rich guys” using their platform to comment negatively about stocks, when they tend to profit from betting against the market. The market has been trading laterly for the last 4.5 wks after coming off its best month in a generation, as optimism about […]

President Trump, “I strongly believe in negative interest rates, and Powell has improved.”

President Trump, “I strongly believe in negative interest rates, and Powell has improved.”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Wednesday, President Trump said he strongly believes the Fed should have negative interest rates, but gave a modicum of approval to Fed Chairman Powell who said earlier in the day the FOMC would not lower rates beyond Zero. President Trump said Mr. Powell, who he frequently criticizes, has improved in […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Taking the Long Term Outlook +

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Taking the Long Term Outlook +

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The DJIA is up about 30% from its 23 March low at 18.591.93, the S&P 500 SPX is up about the same per cent from its low at 2,237.40, and the NAS Comp has climbed by 32.5% from its lows of 6,850.67. My work shows the US market will continue rising well […]

President Trump, “No Rush for More Aid/Relief”

President Trump, “No Rush for More Aid/Relief”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Friday, President Trump said that he is in no hurry for Congress to pass more C-19 coronavirus related stimulus measures to help the economy. “We are in no rush,” President Trump said while meeting with House Republicans who spent an hour taking turns complimenting and congratulating the President for his […]

Big Tech Leads the Market’s Recovery, NASDAQ Turns Positive

Big Tech Leads the Market’s Recovery, NASDAQ Turns Positive

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Big Tech stocks turn higher on the year and an ETF that tracks the biggest among them has grew to a $100-B market value. None of the economic damage wrought by the C-19 coronavirus chaos has kept investors from investing in companies that stand out for their strong balance sheets […]

Seeing Signs of the World’s Economies Rebounding From the C-19 virus Chaos, Things are Stable, Time to Grow

Seeing Signs of the World’s Economies Rebounding From the C-19 virus Chaos, Things are Stable, Time to Grow

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Savvy economists say there is evidence the world economy has begun to recover from the C-19 coronavirus chaos, and the Draconian restrictions placed on businesses and consumers. “Economic activity has probably bottomed now,” said the chief economist at Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) in a note to clients Monday. “Lockdowns and social […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Taking the Long Term Outlook

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Taking the Long Term Outlook

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $UTX $VXX Last week’s action President Trump is now Laser focused on Opening Up America The S&P 500 hit the 78% Fibo retracement of the selloff. After a good 3rd leg, the market is ready for a test, how deep a test is the Big Q. We are watching the leaders to […]

On the 1st Day in May, Investors Took Some Profits

On the 1st Day in May, Investors Took Some Profits

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Friday, all 11 S&P 500 sectors opened and closed in the Red. The energy (-6.0%) and consumer discretionary (-4.6%) sectors took the biggest hits, and the consumer staples sector (-1.2%) declined the least.   Investors had to contend with President Trump threatening new tariffs on China for its handling of the […]

On the Last Day of April Investors Took Some Profits

On the Last Day of April Investors Took Some Profits

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $USD $GLD $VXX Thursday, the market opened in the Red as some profit-taking into April’s month-end happened.  The market has been climbing that wall of worry the last few sessions improving the charts in all 3 major US stock market indexes, and thus turning all Key technical indicators Very Bullish. […]

US Stock Market is saying, “America is a victim of malpractice by medical advisors”

US Stock Market is saying, “America is a victim of malpractice by medical advisors”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX President Trump will travel to Arizona next week, his 1st trip since 28 March as the coronavirus chaos ramped up in the United States. “I think I’m going to Arizona next week, and we look forward to that,” he told reporters Wednesday during a Q&A session with industry leaders on reopening the […]

More Evidence that the ‘Worst is Over’ in the Stock Market and the Coronavirus

More Evidence that the ‘Worst is Over’ in the Stock Market and the Coronavirus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Big Q: Is the worst behind the stock market after a coronavirus-induced selloff? The Big A: We do not know for sure as officials attempt to restart economies from a self-imposed period of hibernation to curb the spread of the virus, but a chart pairing the infections of the […]

Stock Market Volatility Has Calmed in Here, Small, Midcaps Outperform

Stock Market Volatility Has Calmed in Here, Small, Midcaps Outperform

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $IWM  Small-caps, mid-caps, and most cyclical sectors outperformed the day. Market volatility has calmed since the extremes of mid-March, and recent moves may augur well for stocks. The Cboe Volatility Index, or VIX, closed below its 2nd-month future Monday for the 1st time since 21 February, going back to a […]

President Trump and GOP Lawmakers’ Powerful Efforts Will Restore the Economy Relatively Fast…

President Trump and GOP Lawmakers’  Powerful Efforts Will Restore the Economy Relatively Fast…

…The China Virus chaos took its shot at destroying the world’s Top economy quickly and failed. $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $PEP $SBUX $GOOGL $CAT $LUV GOP policymakers’ powerful aggressive response to supporting the virus-stricken US economy has also helped support stocks. Investors are looked past Q-1 corporate earnings results, with the coronavirus chaos now […]

Today’s US Stock Market says “the Worst is behind us now”

Today’s US Stock Market says “the Worst is behind us now”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The stock market is blocking bad news now and is saying the “worst is behind us“ It is the Key rationalization for the expansion, expansion to the point where the S&P 500 is trading today at a higher P/E multiple based on forward 12-month earnings 19.7X than it was trading […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Bulls in Running Mood as President Trump is Now Laser Focused on Opening Up America

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Bulls in Running Mood as President Trump is Now Laser Focused on Opening Up America

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $VXX Investors are pinning their hopes for the reopening of the US economy on the potential for wider availability of testing for COVID-19 cases and on drug trials for treatments of the disease. We have been letting doctors, who have shown the same propensity for predicting this virus as weathermen […]

This is what matters to investors, “Open the Economy Now!”

This is what matters to investors, “Open the Economy Now!”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX More than 90% of our country “is not in harm’s way, the virus lockdown flat-out fraud on a massive scale,” said David Stockman, President Ronald Reagan’s former Director of Office of Management and Budget China Virus trading will go down in history for its high velocity. We have witnessed the […]

Surviving & Thriving, Chaos Investing for Retail Participants

Surviving & Thriving, Chaos Investing for Retail Participants

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Black Swans in financial markets are extreme rare events. And how you survive and thrive when 1 happens is Key. With that in mind let’s look at some Black Swan mitigation strategies, as follows: In Nassim Taleb’s “Black Swan” (required reading) he suggests that he is constantly taking small losses […]

The Maximum Fear has Passed, Money Managers Looking for Risk-on Exposure

The Maximum Fear has Passed, Money Managers Looking for Risk-on Exposure

Shayne and I expect to see an increase in risk-on exposures as money managers are now positioning for a slowing rate of coronavirus contagion growth. Despite the buying by some aggressively Bullish hedge funds, macro hedge funds, which place bets on macroeconomic trends using index, currency and interest rate strategies, are still sellers. So, now […]

Crude Oil Volatility Signals Major ‘Rebalancing’

Crude Oil Volatility Signals Major ‘Rebalancing’

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $OIL $VXX The lack of demand in the world Crude Oil market has set it up to be forced into a necessary rebalancing over the coming weeks as rapidly filling storage leads to significant production cuts and higher prices. See price volatility continuing high in the weeks ahead, as retail […]

Really Cheap Gasoline and No Place to Go

Really Cheap Gasoline and No Place to Go

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $UGA $VXX This Crude Oil market is seeing declines despite OPEC +’s recent major deal to cut output as oversupply in light of the fight against coronavirus that has halted most of the global demand for Crude Oil. Monday, global Crude Oil prices fell to marks not seen since Y […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Bulls in a Running Mood as President Trump Beats the Virus

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Bulls in a Running Mood as President Trump Beats the Virus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Coronavirus Chaos Continues Stock indexes moved up continue the up trend pattern Economic data are generationally bad. Stocks continue to set up Bullish patterns. After hours reports of Gilead Sciences’s (NASDAQ:GILD) drug provide promise. Boeing (NYSE:BA) also promised to restart Seattle production. Friday gapped higher on options expiry, finishing […]

The US Stock Market Believes President Trump is Doing Well Against Virus

The US Stock Market Believes President Trump is Doing Well Against Virus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Saturday, President Trump said that the stock market’s 5 week blazing rally shows that traders and now investors like his Administration’s response to the coronavirus chaos has been a success. The Market is the Test. “The market is smart. The market is actually brilliant,” President Trump said at a White […]

“May is the ‘Transition’ Month, the Economy Will Resume”

“May is the ‘Transition’ Month, the Economy Will Resume”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Friday, the White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow that May will be a “transition month” for the United States while it recovers from the effects of the coronavirus pandemic, but he “firmly” believes the economy will improve from its sudden closures.  “We will get to the other side and we […]

US Companies Hammered by the Governments Coronavirus Lockdown Orders

US Companies Hammered by the Governments Coronavirus Lockdown Orders

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX US companies have been hammered by the fallout from the novel coronavirus outbreak as economic activity “contracted sharply and abruptly across all regions,” according to the Fed’s Beige Book released Wednesday. The Fed’s latest check of businesses around the country was completed during March when the US went from worrying about […]

This Bull Market Vs the Coronavirus Externality

This Bull Market Vs the Coronavirus Externality

$DIA $SPY $QQQ Many people saw the recent market selloff as the start of a Bear market, from the beginning I argued it was an external effect in this long Bull market. So, whether 23-24 March marked The bottom or A bottom is irrelevant I believe. The broad Question is whether the long-term factors that […]

Global Money Managers Sitting on Huge ‘Cash Piles’

Global Money Managers Sitting on Huge ‘Cash Piles’

$SPY $SPX $USD $BAC Stocks may be recovering from their March lows, but investor pessimism over the health crisis’ economic damage is at very high marks with cash positions the highest since the 9/11 terrorist attacks, according to a Bank of America Corp. survey. Fund managers have shunned risk, with equity allocations the lowest since […]

Investor Sentiment is Turning Positive

Investor Sentiment is Turning Positive

$SPY $SPX The markets move from speculators to investors. There is budding optimistic investor sentiment as numerous countries have taken steps to lessen lockdown restrictions and many of the most gravely impacted countries see the flattening of their infection curves and allow non-essential workers to go back to work Now, we are seeing more and […]

America is Ready to Go Back to Work!

America is Ready to Go Back to Work!

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX President Trump is planning “very important announcements” in the next day or 2 about reopening the US economy and is considering a “rolling” re-entry in certain parts of the country, White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said Tuesday.  “I do not want to front-run his views, I don’t want to […]

Despite a Whole Lot of Awful Happenings, the US is Still Very Strong

Despite a Whole Lot of Awful Happenings, the US is Still Very Strong

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Despite millions of jobless claims, despite most of the country being sequestered at home, despite a falling in GDP, and despite the scare and fear brought on by the coronavirus the major US market stock indexes have recovered 50% of their losses in just the last 2 wks. At the […]

Secretary Mnuchin Assembled 100 Business Leaders for Special Reopening Task Force

Secretary Mnuchin Assembled 100 Business Leaders for Special Reopening Task Force

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Monday, Treasury Secretary Mnuchin said he and his team have selected 100 business leaders to join a Special Task Force dedicated to re-opening the economy after the coronavirus crisis passes. The task force will work with medical advisers to develop a timeline for re-opening the economy, with 1 May as a […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, This Bull Market Vs Coronavirus

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, This Bull Market Vs Coronavirus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Just In: Goldman Says US Stocks Have Likely Bottomed Unprecedented policy support and a flattening viral curve have “dramatically” cut risks, the bank said early Monday in a note. Despite the COVID-19 coronavirus, ‘new’ Bull market can run Last week was a shortened week, here is how it played US […]

S&P 500 Marks Best Weekly Gainer Since 1974 on President Trump’s ‘Big Bang’ Fed Lending Program

S&P 500 Marks Best Weekly Gainer Since 1974 on President Trump’s ‘Big Bang’ Fed Lending Program

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The US stock market will be closed Friday for Good Friday. Thursday, Wall Street closed out its best week in 45 yrs on after the Trump Fed launched its ‘Big Bang’ effort to support the economy through the coronavirus crisis. The S&P 500 index posted it best weekly gainer since […]

Today’s Action Confirms Buy Signal for Stocks

Today’s Action Confirms Buy Signal for Stocks

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin went on national TV Wednesday morning to assure markets that the federal government’s stimulus package is being rolled out smoothly amid the economic distress caused by measures to slow the spread of the coronavirus. The US stock market rallied Wednesday, confirming the technical buy signals seen […]

Big Bets are Being Placed on a Strong April Rally

Big Bets are Being Placed on a Strong April Rally

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX We see lots of Sell-side research and analysis (taking a contrarian POV) daily, and over the years certain equity strategists have made some very good calls. On 19 March in the midst of what was some of the most brutal, high-velocity machine selling ever, Barry Bannister and his team at […]