Brexit-facing UK economy shrinks but set to avoid recession

Brexit-facing UK economy shrinks but set to avoid recession

Britain’s Brexit-facing economy shrank in August, official data showed Thursday, but analysts say a better-than-expected July is expected to help it avoid recession. Gross domestic product — the combined value of all goods and services produced in the economy — slid 0.1 percent in August from July, the Office for National Statistics said in a […]

Trade Key Global Growth Risk, Recession Unlikely

Trade Key Global Growth Risk, Recession Unlikely

Incoming ECB President Christine Lagarde said the global economy is likely to dodge an outright contraction, though the trade tensions remain the Key threat to the growth outlook. “It is not in the baseline to have a recession,” Ms. Lagarde said in a TV interview Tuesday. “That said, it’s mediocre growth, it’s at risk because of essentially […]

Majority of Business Leaders Say President Trump Will Win in 2020

Majority of Business Leaders Say President Trump Will Win in 2020

More than 67% of North American CFOs (chief financial officers) surveyed by CNBC say President Trump will be re-elected in Y 2020. About a 25% believe former Vice President Joe Biden will win. This is the 1st time the CNBC Global CFO Council survey has asked executives about the upcoming elections. The survey also showed that a majority […]

American Voters See President Trump Has Taken Charge of the Economy, Having Effectively Sidelined the Fed

American Voters See President Trump Has Taken Charge of the Economy, Having Effectively Sidelined the Fed

Attention: Now what really matters is just what the President does and is going to do. President Trump blames the Fed for a slowing US economy, some blame it on him. A survey conducted with YouGov showed 28% of American adults believe the President in general is most responsible for the economy. That surpasses the […]

Fed Chairman Powell Does Not See Recession: Mission “Sustain Expansion”

Fed Chairman Powell Does Not See Recession: Mission “Sustain Expansion”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The stock market finished mixed Friday; the S&P 500 (+0.1%) and DJIA (+0.3%) closed just above unchanged, while the NAS Comp (-0.2%) and Russell 2000 (-0.4%) closed slightly lower. On Friday, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said the most likely outlook for the US and world economy is continued moderate growth, […]

US Services Sector Says Economy Weathering Trade Dispute

US Services Sector Says Economy Weathering Trade Dispute

US services sector activity accelerated in August and private employers boosted hiring, suggesting the economy continued to grow at a moderate pace despite trade tensions which have stoked financial market fears of a recession. The upbeat reports Thursday took some of the sting from data this week that showed the manufacturing sector contracted for the […]

Betting Started: President Trump Will Forge China Trade Deal

Betting Started: President Trump Will Forge China Trade Deal

$AUD, $WON, $JPY, $USO, $BAC OK, the US -China not being not having a date-certain schedule for the September trade talks yet, now is a good time for you too to start thinking about betting on a trade deal, as it has begun. “I am still reasonably optimistic,” David Woo, head of global rates and foreign […]

Contrarian Indicators Signaling “It is time to buy stocks”

Contrarian Indicators Signaling “It is time to buy stocks”

$SPY, $XAU, $BAC, $JPL, $USB All US financial markets are closed Monday, in observance of Labor Day. It may have taken $204-B of equity outflows this year, but the BofAML Bull & Bear Indicator is finally flagging a contrarian “buy signal,” its 1st since 3 January. Bank of America Merrill Lynch (NYSE:BAC) is Bullish on […]

Wall Street Shares Dipped Tuesday, Gold Rallies on Recession Fear

Wall Street Shares Dipped Tuesday, Gold Rallies on Recession Fear

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wall Street dipped Tuesday, weighed down by financial stocks as a deepening of the Treasury yield curve inversion raised recession worries again, and uncertainty over the progress in trade negotiations between the United States and China. A deepening of the inversion in the yield curve between the 2-year and 10-year […]

Gold, Silver Up, USD Down, Safe-Haven the Focus

Gold, Silver Up, USD Down, Safe-Haven the Focus

$GLD, $SLV, $USD, $XAU, $XAG Gold rose more than 1% Tuesday as fears of a possible recession gripped investors following disappointing US economic data, while silver marked $18 for the 1st time in nearly 2 years. Spot gold was up 1% at $1,540.57 oz at 1:41p EDT (1741 GMT), US gold futures for December settled […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Recession Special Report Bank of America’s (NYSE:BAC) CEO has just 1 reason why he does not see a recession looming. Mr. Moynihan says the “US consumer continues to spend and that will keep the US economy in good shape.” “But what is going to make that happen is the underling […]

President Trump: “Fed Could Fuel ‘Record-Setting’ Economy With Rate Cuts”

President Trump: “Fed Could Fuel ‘Record-Setting’ Economy With Rate Cuts”

$USD Thursday, President Trump said U economic growth could be record-setting if the Fed would lower interest rates further, as econ reports Thursday painted a mixed picture of the nation’s economy. “The Economy is doing really well. The Federal Reserve can easily make it Record Setting,” President Trump said on Tweeted. The government Thursday said initial claims […]

The ‘Inverted Yield Curb’ Explained

The ‘Inverted Yield Curb’ Explained

Traders and investors have been asking what is the “inverted yield curve”, this unusual bond market phenom came on briefly last week for the 1st time in over 12 years and shook Wall Street with talk that an economic downturn was imminent. Following a tweet from President Trump referencing the “CRAZY INVERTED YIELD CURVE!”, the […]

White House Believes Trade War Won’t Lead US Into Recession

White House Believes Trade War Won’t Lead US Into Recession

White House officials pushed back yesterday against concerns that economic growth may be faltering, saying they saw little risk of recession despite a volatile week on global bond markets, and insisting their trade war with China was doing no damage to the United States. ‘There is no recession in sight, White House economic adviser Larry […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH and Saying it Again: Stocks overreacted to the FOMC’s rate decision in the minds of investors, WH advisor calling for an emergency meeting of the committee to cut rates further. President Trump plays the tariff card to pressure Fed Chairman Powell, The market has become susceptible to every China headline, nothing new. […]

Stocks Rallied in Broad-based Advance

Stocks Rallied in Broad-based Advance

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX This week’s trade has been headlined by the yield-curve inversion theory, where the yield of shorter-dated debt rises above its longer-term counterpart. On Wednesday, the yield 10-yr T-Note rate briefly fell below the 2-year T-Note a condition that has sometimes been a recession indicator. The degree to which investors have crowded […]

Gold Headed to $2,300 oz, Stocks Seen Much Higher Too

Gold Headed to $2,300 oz, Stocks Seen Much Higher Too

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $XAU, $GLD The US stock market finished mixed Thursday, as investors weighed the resiliency of the US consumer Vs growth concerns. The S&P 500 (+0.3%) and DJIA(+0.4%) finished higher, while the NAS Comp (-0.1%) and Russell 2000 (-0.4%) finished lower. The overall uncertainty from the US-China trade dispute is high […]

Tame Producer Inflation Supports Case for Another Fed Rate Cut in September

Tame Producer Inflation Supports Case for Another Fed Rate Cut in September

US producer prices increased moderately in July, lifted by a rebound in the cost of energy products, while underlying producer inflation retreated, which could allow the Fed to cut interest rates again next month. The benign inflation report from the Labor Department on Friday could boost expectations for a half-percentage-point cut at the Fed’s 17-18 Sept. policy […]

President Trump, “Fed Behind Market Turmoil, Not Trade War”

President Trump, “Fed Behind Market Turmoil, Not Trade War”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wednesday, President Trump targeted Fed policy as the reason for this recent market turmoil. In raising interest rates 4X last year “the Federal Reserve acted far too quickly, and now is very, very late,” in reversing itself and cutting borrowing costs, President Trump tweeted. “Too bad, so much to gain on […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Stocks overreacted to the FOMC’s rate decision in the minds of investors, WH advisor calling for an emergency meeting of the committee to cut rates further. President Trump plays the tariff card to pressure Fed Chairman Powell, . The market has become susceptible to every China headline, nothing new. […]

Savvy Money is Betting Both Sides of the US-China Trade Dispute

Savvy Money is Betting Both Sides of the US-China Trade Dispute

$SPY, $SPX Hedge-fund billionaire Ray Dalio advised savvy investors to bet on “both horses in the race” amid rising trade tensions between the US and China. He argued that investors still have a historic opportunity to buy into China as it opens up its markets to foreign investments. “Would you have not wanted to invest with […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Last week the market was in consolidation mode and tested the 50-Day MA’s and bounced and… Employment report showed solid jobs growth in July Major averages found buying support at 50-Day MAs INDUSTRY WATCH Strong: Real Estate, Utilities, Consumer Staples Weak: Information Technology, Energy, Materials The CBOE Volatility Index has […]

ECB Vs Fed in ‘Undeclared’ Currency War…Tensions Rising

ECB Vs Fed in ‘Undeclared’ Currency War…Tensions Rising

FLASH: Fed policy makers reportedly are being forced to cut interest rates because of the European Central Bank’s much-lower policy rate. If losing demand to Europe weakens US growth and threatens to push inflation too low, US rates also must also fall. “The ECB’s policy rate, at minus 0.4%, is already nearly 3 percentage points […]

Gold is ‘The Defense’ Vs Falling USD and Recession

Gold is ‘The Defense’ Vs Falling USD and Recession

$GLD, $GDX, $XAU, $USD FLASH: Gold is in Vogue while this new fresh wave of monetary easing blows a bubble in risk assets, aka “always take what the market gives” Note: On 26 July, the European Central Bank (ECB) made an announcement that could have an impact of future gold prices. According to Reuters, European […]

Investment Thoughts, No Recession in Sight

Investment Thoughts, No Recession in Sight

Investment thoughts FLASH: President Trump continues to hammer the Fed, and the market smells the cheap money coming. Pundits are calling for the Fed to stick to its mandate and ignore the usual election cycle games. A broadside about the ineffective trade policies and the damage that is doing to growth, employment and price stability […]

Fed’s Balance Sheet is in the Trillions, Rate Cut Signals No Further Shrinking

Fed’s Balance Sheet is in the Trillions, Rate Cut Signals No Further Shrinking

The Fed is widely expected to reduce interest rates late this month. That probably means its campaign to shrink its balance sheet is over, leaving the central bank with trillions of dollars more than before the Y 2008 financial crisis. Beginning a decade ago in a bid to fight the Great Recession, the Fed by […]

Fed Fueling a Recession, Chairman Powell On The Way Out

Fed Fueling a Recession, Chairman Powell On The Way Out

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX President Trump will not renominate Jerome Powell for another term as Fed Chairman if re-elected. “That will lead to very different monetary policy, so the Fed is not fully independent of politics,” former Fed VC Fischer, an Hussein Obama appointee, said Sunday at a talk in Israel. By criticizing […]

Fed Saying, “Got Gold”

Fed Saying, “Got Gold”

$XAU, $GLD, $USD Mr. Market started seriously pricing in the possibility of interest rate cuts. To be fair, the signal came from the Top of the economic politburo that matters that being the Federal Reserve. Speaking at an event at the Chicago Fed last Tuesday, Chairman Jerome Powell hinted that the Fed would likely cut […]

If you were paying close attention last week you Keyed on This…

If you were paying close attention last week you Keyed on This…

$EURUSD FLASH: Last week, Fed Chairman Powell said, “…we will act as appropriate to sustain the expansion.” With those few words Chairman Powell took the strength out of the argument for a recession because the Fed is very powerful. And with the stock market rallying, President Trump threatening more tariffs on China, stocks are just […]

The US Economy in Longest Expansion Ever.

The US Economy in Longest Expansion Ever.

This month, the US economy has been growing for 10 years running, tying the record for the longest expansion ever. Many people, including journalists and policy makers, see this as a great achievement. “I see nothing to celebrate. On the contrary, I think they are measuring success the wrong way”, says Narayana Kocherlakota He says, […]

Americans’ View of Job Market Hits New Highs

Americans’ View of Job Market Hits New Highs

FLASH: Americans’ confidence in the job market in May hit the highest level in Gallup’s records, which date back to Y 2001. A recent Gallup poll found the following: Overall views of the economy remain positive. Over 7 in 10 Americans feel positively about the US job market. Employment optimism among workforce is highest since 2000. […]

Fed Must Cut Interest Rates Despite Strong 3.2% GDP Growth

Fed Must Cut Interest Rates Despite Strong 3.2% GDP Growth

FLASH: White House economic advisor Larry Kudlow says the Fed should still cut interest rates despite strong economic growth in Q-1. The government said GDP, expanded by 3.2% in Q-1 of this year, which the veteran financial guru and former Ronald Reagan adviser called “a blow out number.” “The inflation rate continues to slip lower […]

Shayne Heffernan on the Recession 2020

Shayne Heffernan on the Recession 2020

Shayne Heffernan on the Recession 2020 There has been much speculation recently in the press about the impending global crash and the inevitable fallout it will cause. The author analyses some of the reasons being given from some of the most well known economists around the world and has some more bad news for us […]

The S&P 500 Roars into April, No Foolin!

The S&P 500 Roars into April, No Foolin!

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The S&P 500 gaped open after better than expected China’s Manufacturing PMI (actual 50.5; expected 49.5; prior 49.2) and Non-Manufacturing PMI (actual 54.8; expected 54.5; prior 54.3) reinforced the idea that global economic activity is rebounding. The upbeat tone drove a rally in stocks with high-beta groups like the […]

How Far South is China’s Rapid Growth Slowdown Headed?

How Far South is China’s Rapid Growth Slowdown Headed?

The growing mystery of where China’s rapid slowdown is headed may become the biggest risk on the horizon. The world economy. Recession Watch: The global economy’s in its weakest shape since the financial crisis 10 years ago. China got more affirming evidence of its Big slowdown, with industrial output and retail sales softening and a […]

Global Economy Hits Weakest Patch Since Financial Crisis

Global Economy Hits Weakest Patch Since Financial Crisis

The global economy’s softened throughout Y 2018 has left the pace of expansion the weakest since the global financial crisis a decade ago. A new GDP tracker puts world growth at 2.1% on a Q-Q annualized basis, down from about 4% in the middle of last year. While there is a chance that the economy […]

Fear of Recession Looms in China

Fear of Recession Looms in China

FLASH: President Trump’s tariffs slows China growth engine China’s exports fell the most in 3 years in February, while imports fell for a 3rd month running, pointing to a further slowdown in the economy and a trade recession despite a PBoC”s support measures. The shockingly weak readings from the world’s largest trading nation added to […]

Dimon Cautious, JPMorgan Positions for a Recession

Dimon Cautious, JPMorgan Positions for a Recession

$JMP, $GS, $USD FLASH: Jamie and ‘Goldie’ have different outlooks JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) CEO Jamie Dimon does not agree with economic doomsayers. The boss of the largest US bank acknowledged a growing number of potential obstacles to the economy that carried his firm to record profits last year. That caution was reflected in JPMorgan Chase & […]

The Bulls Are In Charge of the US Stock Market

The Bulls Are In Charge of the US Stock Market

FLASH: This a Special Report, looking ahead at this leg of the longest Bull run in market history The US Stock Market: The Bulls Vs The Bears Russell 2000 +16.4% YTD NAS Comp +12.6% YTD DJIA +11.0% YTD S&P 500 +10.7% YTD US stocks rallied late last week into options expiration, even as some analysts felt like they should […]

Fed says, “Economy in Good Place”

Fed says, “Economy in Good Place”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Fed officials are getting their stories aligned on the US economy. Cleveland’s Loretta Mester says it’s in a “very good spot.” Or a “pretty good place,” as Kansas City’s Esther George has it, faithfully echoing Chairman Jerome Powell’s “the economy is good.” Their remarks, made Tuesday and Wednesday, aim […]

There is No Indication of a Recession Coming to the US, Economy is Strong, Growth is Steady

There is No Indication of a  Recession Coming to the US, Economy is Strong, Growth is  Steady

Tune out the Noise! There has been a slowdown in the United States’ economy when it comes to Europe and China, but overall, the economy remains “quite strong,” and there are no indications of a looming recession, US Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin said Tuesday. “We still see tremendous investment in capital and human investments,” Mr. […]

Market Hears Powell’s Comments, Rally Extends

Market Hears Powell’s Comments, Rally Extends

$DIA, $SPY. $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX No recession in sight, No rate hikes ahead. Thursday, Federal Chairman Jerome Powell said the US central bank has the ability to be patient on policy given inflation is stable, allowing it to assesses whether the US economy will slow this year as some in financial markets worry.initial comments boosted […]

Slower Growth Does Not Signal a Recession

Slower Growth Does Not Signal a Recession

The US economy is doing great, there is no recession in sight Mohamed El-Erian argues that just because US economic growth appears to have eased that does not mean there is a recession ahead. “This concept that a slowdown in the U.S. means recession or means a financial crisis — that’s just wrong,” El-Erian, chief economic […]

Looking Ahead: Seeing No Rate Hikes, No Recession, 20%+ Rally Ahead

Looking Ahead: Seeing No Rate Hikes, No Recession, 20%+ Rally Ahead

$SPY, $GLD Surprise, after all of the ‘bunk’ you have heard since early October, do not be shocked that there will be no additional Fed rate hikes, a 20% S&P 500 rally and no recession.. Byron Wein defines “surprise” as an event that the average investor would only assign a 33% chance of taking place […]

No Recession in 2019, Volatility to Continue

No Recession in 2019, Volatility to Continue

2019 Will Bring Volatility, But No Recession, UBS Said in its year end report The year will bring increased volatility but no recession, UBS predicts in its “2019 Year Ahead” outlook report. Because of that, investors should stay invested and look for opportunities that the uncertain market will provide, the financial firm advised. On balance, […]

Markets Rebound, Growth Fears Overblown

Markets Rebound, Growth Fears Overblown

Wall Street strategists work to calm equity investors, saying their worries over the economy are overdone. $SPY, $JPM, $GS JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM) argues that the risk of an economic recession is “overpriced” with the latest stock sell-off. Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) says, the decline in US stocks has opened up a rare divergence between the market’s performance […]

US Household Wealth +$2-Trillion in Q-3  Driven by Stocks and Real Estate

US Household Wealth +$2-Trillion in Q-3  Driven by Stocks and Real Estate

US Household Wealth +$2-Trillion in Q-3 Driven by Stocks and Real Estate $SPY The  stock market rally since 8 November 2016 drove US household net worth to a record high of $109-T in Q-3 The Fed said Thursday that the value of Americans’ stock and mutual fund holdings soared $1.2T. Home values rose $200-B. Other […]

Best Time Since President Trump’s Election to Buy Stocks

Best Time Since President Trump’s Election to Buy Stocks

Best Time Since President Trump’s Election to Buy Stocks $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ,$RUTX, $VXX Savvy investors, sidelined and sitting on cash are setting up to come back into this market The sell-off that started in October is a healthy correction in this Bull market and investors should continue to tune out the Noise. The beaten down […]

As Market Corrects, Huge Opportunities Come to Light

As Market Corrects, Huge Opportunities Come to Light

As Market Corrects, Huge Opportunities Come to Light $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX This Bull market correction is/will yield huge opportunities for savvy and patient participants. If you have to put money to work in the market now, we suggest you go into the defensive names in healthcare, consumer staples and utilities In tech 1 will […]

No US Recession in Sight, Talk is ‘Nonsense’

No US Recession in Sight, Talk is ‘Nonsense’

No US Recession in Sight, Talk is ‘Nonsense’ $SPY Rejecting economic speculation the correcting stock market is signaling an oncoming recession, White House chief economic adviser Larry Kudlow called the talk “nonsense” and added “recession is so far in the distance I cannot see it.” “I am reading some of the weirdest stuff about how […]

Growth in the US Economy Remains Strong

Growth in the US Economy Remains Strong

Growth in the US Economy Remains Strong The Fed is expected to raise interest rates again next month and 3X next year The probability of a US recession in the next 2 years, while low, moved up to a median 35% from 30% in the latest monthly Reuters survey of economists taken between 13-19 November. […]

Fed’s Current Monetary Policy Raise the Risks of Recession

Fed’s Current Monetary Policy Raise the Risks of Recession

Fed’s Current Monetary Policy Raise the Risks of Recession President Trump has criticized recent Fed rate increases, arguing that they threatened economic growth. The Fed’s current monetary policy path would raise the risks of recession in an economy where recent, unexpectedly strong growth may start to taper anyway, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said […]

Fed Hawks Want to Chill Roaring US Economy

Fed Hawks Want to Chill Roaring US Economy

Fed Hawks Want to Chill Roaring US Economy Despite sharp criticism from President Donald Trump for raising interest rates, Fed policymakers remain generally united on the need to raise borrowing costs further, according to minutes from their most recent policy meeting. Every policymaker backed the Fed’s September rate increase, according to the minutes of the Sept. […]

US Financial Market ‘Flushing’ Out Excesses Ahead of Santa Claus Rally

US Financial Market ‘Flushing’ Out Excesses Ahead of Santa Claus Rally

US Financial Market ‘Flushing’ Out Excesses Ahead of Santa Claus Rally $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Investor Fear Can Only Mean Stocks Will Surge Even Higher The CBOE Volatility Index spiked to 25.57, its highest mark since February. Byron Wien predicts that the stock market will rally after the midterm elections The next recession is 3 or […]

Strong US Sales to Ease Profit Concern into 2019

Strong US Sales to Ease Profit Concern into 2019

Strong US Sales to Ease Profit Concern into 2019 $SPY A healthy outlook for US revenue growth will assuage stock investors concerned about the effect on corporate profits from tax cuts wearing off next year. S&P 500 (NYSEArca:SPY) revenue growth, which hit 9.5% in Q-2, its fastest pace since Y 2011, is estimated at 8.2% […]

The US Economy, ‘Nothing Succeeds Like Success’

The US Economy, ‘Nothing Succeeds Like Success’

The US Economy, ‘Nothing Succeeds Like Success’ White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said Wednesday that “there’s no recession in sight” for the American economy and that President Donald Trump “is on the right track” with his economic agenda. “There’s no recession in sight,” Mr. Kudlow said. “The American economy is in very good shape,” […]

Global Recession Concerns Fade 

Global Recession Concerns Fade 

Global Recession Concerns Fade Concerns for a world economic slump have faded among CEOs, who are now focused on hiring and retaining top employees, an annual survey found. Global CEOs polled by the Conference Board, a New York-based researcher, ranked a global recession as their 19th concern out of 28 choices, down from being the […]

Saudi Aramco May Scrap IPO, Going with Private Investors

Saudi Aramco May Scrap IPO, Going with Private Investors

 Saudi Aramco May Scrap IPO, Going with Private Investors $OIL Saudi Aramco is considering the sale of a stake to a Chinese investor as plans for its highly-anticipated international public offering are pushed beyond its Y 2018 target, sources familiar with the matter said Friday. The IPO (initial public offering) is expected to be the […]

Most Americans Worse Off Than Before Great Recession

Most Americans Worse Off Than Before Great Recession

Most Americans Worse Off Than Before Great Recession Newly released income and wealth data from the Federal Reserve Board’s triennial Survey of Consumer Finances show that America’s richest families enjoyed gains in income and net worth over the last decade. The Big Q: Not part of the Top 10%? The Big A: Then your income probably fell. […]

A Falling Stock Market, A Easing USD That Brings Us Back to Gold

A Falling Stock Market, A Easing USD That Brings Us Back to Gold

A Falling Stock Market, A Easing USD: That Brings Us Back to Gold $GLD, $SLV, $ABX, $GG, $EXCFF, $WPM As the USD falls from the Fed’s continuation of loose money policies, it will lift up Gold prices to unprecedented highs. Plus, recessions are a great environment for Gold During the last 2 recessions, Gold prices […]

Irresponsible Economists make Wildly Exaggerated Calls for Global Recession

Irresponsible Economists make Wildly Exaggerated Calls for Global Recession

Irresponsible Economists make Wildly Exaggerated Calls for Global Recession The US is decisively in a growth rate cycle upturn, which began last year just after the Presidential  election. Very savvy BCA Research Chief Economist Martin Barnes and ECRI Co-founder Lakshman Achuthan provided an outlook of the US economy that surely contradicts the consensus sentiment of […]

President Trump Can Revive the Economy that Socialist Obama Killed

President Trump Can Revive the Economy that Socialist Obama Killed

President Trump Can Revive the Economy that Socialist Obama Killed $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Thursday, Sam Zell said President Donald Trump has an “extraordinary opportunity” to revive an economy that died under 8 years of regulatory oppression under Barack Hussein Obama. “I think we’ve had 8 years of kind of an anti-business administration with very […]

Australia’s Resource Rich Economy Avoids Recession

Australia’s Resource Rich Economy Avoids Recession

Australia’s Resource Rich Economy Avoids Recessio Australia’s resource-rich economy avoided recession by posting strong growth in Q-4, helped by surging commodity prices. GDP grew by 1.1% in Q-4 from the 3rd, and by 2.4% from a year earlier, Q-3 GDP was not revised from an initially reported fall of 0.5%. Economists had expected 0.8% growth […]

Employee Owned Companies Pass the “Recession Test”

Employee Owned Companies Pass the “Recession Test”

Employee Owned Companies Pass the “Recession Test” Employee stock ownership of companies has been promoted in the US since the country’s founding. After the Revolutionary War, Treasury Secretary Alexander Hamilton fostered the resurgence of the Codfish industry by providing financial subsidies, but only for ships that had written profit-sharing agreements with their crews. This program, […]

Why Buy This Bull Market or Not Buy It

Why Buy This Bull Market or Not Buy It

Why Buy This Bull Market or Not Buy It $SPY Below are some of the reasons given as to why investors should “Buy” this Bull Market, as follows: 1. Investor Confidence Is Soaring There is little doubt that since the election both investor and consumer confidence has soared. In fact, confidence (soft data) has become […]

Obama’s Jobs Legacy: Near-Record 94.6-M Americans Not in Workforce

Obama’s Jobs Legacy: Near-Record 94.6-M Americans Not in Workforce

Obama’s Jobs Legacy: Near-Record 94.6-M Americans Not in Workforce A near record high of 94,609,000 Americans are not in the labor force, 425,000 more than last month’s 94,184,000, and the 2nd highest number on record. When US President Barack Hussein Obama took office in January 2009, 80,529,000 Americans were not in the labor force, and […]

FBI’s Announcement on Hillary Clinton Investigation Knocks Stocks off Highs

FBI’s Announcement on Hillary Clinton Investigation Knocks Stocks off Highs

FBI’s Announcement on Hillary Clinton Investigation Knocks Stocks off Highs $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The US economy grew at a 2.9% in Q-3, the strongest pace in 2 years, as businesses began restocking their shelves at a faster pace. The Q-3 US GDP (gross domestic product), the broadest measure of economic health, was 2X the […]

Business Spending Dives, Durable Goods Orders Fall, Recession Looms

Business Spending Dives, Durable Goods Orders Fall, Recession Looms

Business Spending Dives, Durable Goods Orders Fall, Recession Looms $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Orders for big-ticket manufactured goods dipped in September as a Key category that tracks business investment fell by the largest amount in 7 months. Orders for durable goods edged down 0.1% in September after gains of 0.3% in August and 3.6% in […]

The Anemic Recovery from Great Recession Surprise Economists

The Anemic Recovery from Great Recession Surprise Economists

The Anemic Recovery from Great Recession Surprise Economists $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Friday, the Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen said that the slow recovery from the Great Recession has surprised economists, confounding long-held beliefs about growth and inflation. Speaking to an economic conference at the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston,  Ms. Yellen did not address […]

Recession Indicator Triggered on Unemployment Up Tick

Recession Indicator Triggered on Unemployment Up Tick

Recession Indicator Triggered on Unemployment Up Tick $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX September’s jobs report contained a sign that investors should be on alert for Recession in the US, and that means a stock market correction 1 of the Top 3 necessary Recession indicators is when the unemployment rate breaches its 12-Month MA. September NFPs (non-farm […]

Fed Official Cautions Colleagues on Raising Interest Rates

Fed Official Cautions Colleagues on Raising Interest Rates

Fed Official Cautions Colleagues on Raising Interest Rates $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Federal Reserve Bank of New York President William Dudley suggested the central bank should be cautious in raising interest rates, given limits on its ability to respond to a recession with borrowing costs close to Zero meaning out of tools. Noting concerns from […]

Alan Greenspan’s Credibility is an Accident that is still Happening

Alan Greenspan’s Credibility is an Accident that is still Happening

Alan Greenspan’s Credibility is an Accident that is still Happening $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX In a article last week, the former Fed Chairman is quoted to be worried about the “crazies.” For some unknown reason, former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan’s, 90 anni, opinions are still taken seriously. No one person has done more to […]

The US Fed has Not Delivered on the Economy

The US Fed has Not Delivered on the Economy

The US Fed has Not Delivered on the Economy The US Fed is stuck to actions devised by Ben S. Bernanke that have not worked to restore strong economic growth since the Great Recession The US central bank’s adherence to the idea that unemployment and weak demand can be cured with policies that encourage consumers, businesses and governments […]