Tuesday’s World Markets Outlook: Asia-Pacific + Wall Street Recap

Tuesday’s World Markets Outlook: Asia-Pacific + Wall Street Recap

#AsiaPacific #stock #markets #rally #dollar #gold #WallStreet #C19coronavirus #USChina #Fed #FOMC #Congress #yen #safehaven $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $XAU $GLD $USD #JPY Asian stock markets advance after Wall Street rally, gold extends, USD falls The price of gold rose 38.80 to 1,969.80oz Tuesday, up 2% to another record high. It is unusual for the price […]

Gold Bugs Should Prepare for ‘All Evils’

Gold Bugs Should Prepare for ‘All Evils’

$XAU $GLD $USD The Latin phrase Premeditatio Malorum tells us to prepare for all evils, and that means to prepare investment portfolios for all risks. It may take more time than most expect for the world economy to recover from the psychological and financial impacts of The China Virus chaos. But what that chaos proved was that […]

Let’s Measure the USD in Here

Let’s Measure the USD in Here

$.DXY $USO $GLD $XAU A Key measure of USD is the ICE US Dollar Index .DXY, -0.12%, and it has been weakening over the past 30 days, down 3.9%, but is up a bit YTD, rising 0.1%, according to FactSet data. The index measures USD Vs a basket of 6 peer currencies, including the EURUSD, +0.03%, the GBPUSD, 0.29% and USDJPY, +0.06%. A weaker USD has […]

.DXY (DX) Futures Technical Analysis, Investors Bet on Dovish Fed

.DXY (DX) Futures Technical Analysis, Investors Bet on Dovish Fed

$DX $.DXY $USD $JPY $EUR $GBP $CAD Tuesday, the USD reversed late in the session and is now trading lower against a basket of major currencies. The selling pressure is being led by a strong upward surge in the Euro. The Canadian Dollar is also making a comeback along with the British Pound. The Japanese Yen has been strong all session […]

Gold’s Rally Tightens the Physical Market

Gold’s Rally Tightens the Physical Market

$XAU $GLD $XAG $SLV $PLAT $USD $JPY $MTA Gold prices spiked up Monday, extending a 3-session rally Monday gold futures for delivery on the COMEX exchange were up nearly 3% or +47.60 at 1693.30 just shy of the intra-day high at 1695.90. That was the highest mark in 2 wks, in a rally driven by […]

Unprecedented Stresses in US Financial Markets Has Investor Sidelining Trillions in Cash

Unprecedented Stresses in US Financial Markets Has Investor Sidelining Trillions in Cash

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USD $JPY $VXX Friday, Ultra Long-term US T-Bond futures moved about 1.3 pts a day on average in January, were down more than 7 pts on the day and off 36 pts from Monday’s high. Italian sovereign debt had imploded. An index of costs to insure corporate debt with credit-default swaps […]

Crude Oil Prices Have Collapsed, More Southside Ahead

Crude Oil Prices Have Collapsed, More Southside Ahead

$OIL $USO $GLD $SPY $XAU $JPY Crude Oil markets tumbled more than 30% after the disintegration of the OPEC+ alliance triggered an all-out price-war between Saudi Arabia and Russia. Brent Crude Oil futures suffered the 2nd-largest drop on record in the opening secs of trading in Asia, behind only the dive during the Gulf War […]

Gold Price Seen at $2,000 Near Term

Gold Price Seen at $2,000 Near Term

$XAU $GLD $SPY $SPX The S&P 500 posted a record high Wednesday at +37.10, or 1.1% at 3334.69 The reverse side of market optimism was the correction of safe-havens such as JPY and Gold. The JPY declined against the Buck, lead USDJPY to its highs in a 1. wks near 109.50, showing a rebound from the 200-Day SMA. Gold dropped […]

Investors Must Avoid Undue Reactions to Virus Story

Investors Must Avoid Undue Reactions to Virus Story

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX I herewith urge all investors to avoid making hasty decisions after China announced a rise in cases of a deadly new virus that the media says threatens to crimp global economic growth. Stocks markets pulled back worldwide Monday on the supposition that investors are worried about the potential economic impact of […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Am seeing earnings revival boosting stock rally in Y 2020 But 1st, this is what happened last week: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has held steady and is not going to raise rates in Y 2020. Chairman Powell is also open to bond purchases. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) […]

Outlook for Gold and Silver in 2020

Outlook for Gold and Silver in 2020

$XAU, $GLD, $USD, $XAG, $SLV Now it is the time of year to predict where gold prices will go in Y 2020. The forecasts’ are worth paying attention to because the experts use a number of factors, ranging from central bank policy to geopolitics to cycle analysis, to make their calls. There is something for […]

President Trump Could Delist Chinese Companies From US Markets

President Trump Could Delist Chinese Companies From US Markets

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Friday, US financial markets suffered a trade-related happening on concern The Trump Administration may move to limit US investment in China, a move sure to raise tensions. The S&P 500 turned lower after it was reported that officials are discussing ways to restrict portfolio flows into the world’s 2nd-largest economy. […]

Betting Started: President Trump Will Forge China Trade Deal

Betting Started: President Trump Will Forge China Trade Deal

$AUD, $WON, $JPY, $USO, $BAC OK, the US -China not being not having a date-certain schedule for the September trade talks yet, now is a good time for you too to start thinking about betting on a trade deal, as it has begun. “I am still reasonably optimistic,” David Woo, head of global rates and foreign […]

Mark Zuckerberg Takes a Shot at the Fed’s Relevance

Mark Zuckerberg Takes a Shot at the Fed’s Relevance

$FB, $USO, $XAU, $XAG, $USD, $JPY, $EUR President Trump gives his voice to increasingly public impatience with what we analysts call macro-economics. The Fed targets 2% inflation as a compromise between accomplishing strong growth and stable prices. Since the Y 2008 financial crisis, whether unemployment was 10% or less than 4%, no matter how high or low […]

IMF: USD Overvalued

IMF: USD Overvalued

$USD, $EUR, $JPY, $CNY International Monetary Fund (IMF) said Wednesday the USD is overvalued by 6% to 12%, based on near-term economic fundamentals, while the EUR, the JPY, and China’s RMB Yuan were seen as broadly in line with fundamentals. The IMF has been at odds with President Trump over his use of tariffs to […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Steady, USD Up, Crude Oil Off, Stocks Flat (May Day Holiday) Notes: Investors await US employment figures due later today, which is forecast to show 185,000 net new jobs were added in April and the unemployment rate steady at 3.8% Reflecting investor sentiment in gold, holdings of SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Off, USD Up, Crude Oil Off, Stocks Flat (May Day Holiday) Note: USD consolidated in Asia Thursday after recovering from a brief spill overnight when markets were whipsawed by mixed messages on policy from the Fed. There was little immediate reaction to a report the United States and China were nearing a trade […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Off, USD Down, Crude Oil Off, Stocks Flat (May Day Holiday) Note: China and the United States began their latest talks in Beijing on Wednesday aimed at ending a bitter trade dispute, after US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said he had a “nice” working dinner the night before with China Vice Premier […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Up, USD Down, Crude Oil Down, Stocks Down Note: The quiet start to the week in global equity markets comes ahead of a 2-day meeting of the policy-setting FOMC. The committee is set to release its latest statement at 2:00p EDT (1800 GMT) Wednesday. We have now turned from sentiment where this […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Steady, USD Up, Crude Oil Off, Stocks Up Note: We have now turned from sentiment where this stock rally was 1 where professionals did not take part in, to a fast paced entry where hedge funds and investors are chasing markets they have been betting against. While the strong US GDP data […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Up, USD Up, Crude Oil Off, Stocks Down Notes: China, the world’s biggest buyer of Iranian oil, this week formally complained to the United States over its unilateral Iran sanctions. Crude Oil output in the United States, which turned into the world’s Top producer last year, last week edged back to its […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Higher, USD Up, Crude Oil Mixed, Stocks Down Notes: Crude Oil output in the United States, which turned into the world’s Top producer last year, last week edged back to its record high at 12.2-M BPD, while net imports rose 900,000 BPD, EIA data showed. German business morale deteriorated in April, bucking […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Lower, USD Up, Crude Oil Down, Stocks Down Notes: The International Energy Agency (IEA), a watchdog for Crude Oil consuming countries, said in a statement Tuesday that markets are “adequately supplied” and that “global spare production capacity remains at comfortable levels.” US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo announced “that as of May 2, […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Lower, USD Up, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Higher Notes: US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo announced “that as of May 2, the State Department will no longer grant sanctions waivers to any country that is currently importing Iranian Crude or condensate.” US Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin told reporters trade negotiations between the […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Up, USD Down, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Down Notes: Following the Good Friday holiday, markets in Britain, Germany and France will remain closed for Easter Monday, while those in the United States will reopen. Brent and US Crude futures surged to 6-month highs on reports that US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo […]

Investor Focus this Week: Geopolitical Events + Big Bank Earnings

Investor Focus this Week: Geopolitical  Events + Big Bank Earnings

$BAC, $C, $JPM, $MS, $WFC, $USD, $GBP, $JPY The Fed As the US yield curve is deciding whether to invert/not Invert, investors seek reassurance that we are in a era of non-inflationary growth, and focus on monthly price gauges this week. Wednesday, the US Labor Department is expected to report that its March Consumer Price […]

Gold Firms, Investors Move into Safe-haven Assets

Gold Firms, Investors Move into Safe-haven Assets

$GLD.$USD, $JPY FLASH: Last week gold posted its 3rd consecutive weekly gainer and rose 1%, the most since the week ending 1 February. The fundamentals Spot gold up 0.1% at $1,314.21 oz as of 0128 GMT. US gold futures up 0.2% at $1,314.40 oz. Investors sold shares Monday moving to the safety of bonds, while […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) falls sharply

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) falls sharply

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) falls sharply The USD/JPY pair has been hit by heavy selling, having been unable to move above ¥114.00 over the past month. The next area of support is around ¥112.30, the late November lows. Below this is the October low around ¥111.65. Any break higher requires a daily close above trendline resistance from […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) expected to trade sideways for now

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) expected to trade sideways for now

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) expected to trade sideways for now We expected USD to “edge lower” since last Thursday (29 Nov, spot at 113.55) but it traded in a quiet manner and closed at about the same level on Thursday (113.47) and Friday (113.46). The mild downward momentum has eased and USD is still likely […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) may continue to consolidate

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) may continue to consolidate

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) may continue to consolidate  USD/JPY marks another failed attempt to test the 2018-high (114.55)as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell tames speculation for an extended hiking-cycle,and the dollar-yen exchange rate may continue to consolidate ahead of the next interest rate decision on December 19 as it preserves the range for November. The reaction […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) gives back gains

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) gives back gains

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) gives back gains After falling sharply, USD/JPY may try to rebound, but it will need to recover ¥113.60 otherwise a more bearish view begins to emerge. Below ¥113.20 the price heads towards ¥112.40. Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways. The projected upper bound is: 114.56. The projected lower bound is: 112.30. The […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) under selling pressure and drops to 113.70

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) under selling pressure and drops to 113.70

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) under selling pressure and drops to 113.70 The pair has now faded the earlier spike to multi-day highs in the 113.90 area and it has returned to the 113.70 region, turning negative for the day. The now bearish performance in spot follows the drop in yields of the key US 10-year […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) rally revives

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) rally revives

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) rally revives The dollar continues to find its feet, with a sustained pickup in USD/JPY over the past week. Gains yesterday stalled at ¥113.64, but above here the ¥114.00 area comes into view, followed by the peak from October at ¥114.50. Dips towards ¥113.00 would still be potential buying opportunities. Overall, the bias […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) inflation indicators next

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) inflation indicators next

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) inflation indicators next The Japanese yen has ticked higher in the Monday session. In North American trade, USD/JPY is trading at 113.46, up 0.45% on the day. On the release front, Japanese Flash Manufacturing PMI dipped to 51.8, shy of the estimate of 53.0. This marked a 4-month low. Later in […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) mixed performance expected

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) mixed performance expected

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) mixed performance expected The Dollar/Yen put in a mixed performance last week before closing higher. The price action was a little skewed last week due to thin trading conditions because of bank holidays in the United States and Japan. The Forex pair started the week under pressure as investors continued to […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) bears take charge

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) bears take charge

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) bears take charge USD/JPY has continued to decline, and a small rally towards ¥112.60 has been met with fresh selling. Unless the price recovers the ¥113.40 level, then any rally looks to be a selling opportunity. The next levels to watch on the downside include ¥111.82 and then ¥111.38. Overall, the bias […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) resistance at 113.10

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) resistance at 113.10

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) resistance at 113.10 The Japanese yen has posted slight losses in the Monday session. In North American trade, USD/JPY is trading at 112.48, down 0.32% on the day. On the release front, Japan’s trade surplus rose to JPY 0.30 trillion, lower than the estimate of JPY 0.48 trillion. There are no […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) falters again

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) falters again

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) falters again USD/JPY continues to weaken, and we look for further declines towards the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at ¥112.76. Rallies have been sold into over the past few days, but a rebound above ¥113.64 would be bullish in the near term. Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways. By the […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) falters again

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) falters again

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) falters again USD/JPY continues to weaken, and we look for further declines towards the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at ¥112.76. Rallies have been sold into over the past few days, but a rebound above ¥113.64 would be bullish in the near term. Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways. By the […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) preparing for a breakout

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) preparing for a breakout

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) preparing for a breakout Amid the recent pressure on U.S. stocks, traditional safe-haven assets have not performed well. Weakness in the Japanese yen, Swiss franc, and gold have highlighted the limited interest in fleeing from U.S. equities. However, this dynamic may be ready to shift. A reversal of today’s early rallies […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) keeps on rallying

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) keeps on rallying

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) keeps on rallying The ascent of USD/JPY continues, consolidating above ¥114.00 and on course to target the ¥114.50 area seen at the beginning of October. Dips have been firmly bought over the past few days, so we would need to see a move below ¥113.00 to suggest some near-term weakness. Overall, the bias […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Bank of Japan is widely expected to press on with its ultra-loose monetary policy

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Bank of Japan is widely expected to press on with its ultra-loose monetary policy

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Bank of Japan is widely expected to press on with its ultra-loose monetary policy The Dollar/Yen rose last week as buyers returned to the stock market, dampening the attraction of the Japanese Yen as a safe-haven asset. However, the biggest influence on the Forex pair was the diverging monetary policies of […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) gains continue

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) gains continue

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) gains continue The uptrend from the lows of last week continues, with the price of the USD/JPY clocking up a higher high in the process on the hourly chart. The next target is now ¥114.50, the highs from early October. Dips towards ¥113.00 may well find buyers. Overall, the bias in prices is: […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) sharp retreat

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) sharp retreat

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) sharp retreat Intraday bias in USD/JPY is turned neutral with today’s sharp retreat. On the upside, above 113.81 will extend the rebound from 113.37 to 114.54 resistance. We’d be cautious on strong resistance from there to limit upside to bring another fall. On the downside, break of 112.56 minor support will […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) challenges recent resistance

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) challenges recent resistance

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) challenges recent resistance The 31 October high at ¥113.38 for USD/JPY is still acting as resistance, with an attempt to move above this level today defeated. Above this, ¥113.64 and then ¥114.50 are potential targets. Due to ¥112.56 being defended by buyers last week, a move below this is required to […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) first support at 112.60

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) first support at 112.60

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) first support at 112.60 The USD/JPY extends its sideways movement into the NA session and struggles to determine its next short-term direction as investors stay on the sidelines ahead of Tuesday’s critical midterm elections in the U.S. As of writing, the pair was virtually unchanged on the day at 113.18. The […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Bank of Japan maintained its monetary policy

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Bank of Japan maintained its monetary policy

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Bank of Japan maintained its monetary policy The Japanese yen has posted slight gains in the Wednesday session, after recording losses in the past two sessions. In North American trade, USD/JPY is trading at 113.15, up 0.06% on the day. On the release front, the Bank of Japan maintained its monetary […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) strides higher

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) strides higher

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) strides higher USD/JPY has recovered from weakness at the end of last week, and moved above the post-March rising trendline once more. Further gains above ¥113.00, which acted as resistance in mid-October, would target ¥113.64 and then ¥114.50. Price action at the end of last week suggests that there is support around […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) BOJ decision next

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) BOJ decision next

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) BOJ decision next The Japanese yen has posted considerable losses in the Monday session, erasing Friday’s gains. In North American trade, USD/JPY is trading at 112.40, up 0.45% on the day. On the release front, Japanese retail sales posted a strong gain of 2.1%, matching the forecast. In the U.S, the […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Stock sell-off, mixed data

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Stock sell-off, mixed data

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Stock sell-off, mixed data Global stock markets dropped sharply and set the tone for currencies as well. A mix of concerns about the Fed’s rate hikes, Trump’s tariffs, a slowdown in emerging markets, Brexit, and Italy’s stand-off with the EU all weighed. Towards the end of the week, unimpressive earning by […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) 111.80 would suggest further USD weakness

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) 111.80 would suggest further USD weakness

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) 111.80 would suggest further USD weakness We held the same view since last Thursday (18 Oct, spot at 112.65) wherein “USD has moved into a consolidation phase” and is expected to trade sideways within a 111.80/113.30 range. The price action since then is line with our expectation as USD traded sideways […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) currently mixed

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) currently mixed

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) currently mixed The Japanese yen is currently mixed. While the yen is steady against the US dollar and Australian dollar, the currency is strengthening against the euro and the British pound. Yesterday, the yen strengthened against the US dollar following renewed volatility in US equity markets. Trading volumes in yen futures […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Japanese policymakers are keeping a close eye on the strained relations between China and the U.S

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Japanese policymakers are keeping a close eye on the strained relations between China and the U.S

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Japanese policymakers are keeping a close eye on the strained relations between China and the U.S The Japanese yen has edged lower in the Monday session. In North American trade, USD/JPY is trading at 112.68 up 0.12% on the day. On the release front, Japanese All Industries Activity improved 0.5%, up from […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) buyers still in control

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) buyers still in control

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) buyers still in control USD/JPY’s bounce off the lows from the beginning of the week remains intact, and a fresh drop yesterday brought out the buyers. Above ¥112.75 the price targets ¥113.64 and then ¥114.49. A close below ¥111.62 is needed to negate rising trendline support and suggest a more bearish […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) renewed selling pressure

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) renewed selling pressure

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) renewed selling pressure The USD/JPY pair came under a renewed selling pressure in the early NA session as the weakening market sentiment allowed the JPY to gather strength as a safe-haven. After dropping to a fresh daily low at 112.06, the pair recovered slightly and was last seen trading at 112.12, […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) follows the rules

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) follows the rules

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) follows the rules USD/JPY could be executing a classic bounce off a rising trendline, finding support around ¥111.60, where the trendline from the March lows comes into play. We have yet to see a new higher high intraday however, so a move above ¥112.50 is needed to suggest bullish momentum has […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) global risk sentiment is deteriorating

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) global risk sentiment is deteriorating

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) global risk sentiment is deteriorating The Japanese yen is currently strengthening against all major currencies. The yen is currently the strongest against the British pound. Last week, the yen moved up sharply against the US dollar. Notably, week-over-week trading volumes in yen futures were up sharply relative to the previous week […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Stock correction or change of course?

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Stock correction or change of course?

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Stock correction or change of course? The Japanese yen returned to its role as a safe-haven currency. The sell-off in stocks sent money flowing into the yen. The correction seen late in the week helped the pair recover as well. US data did not help the greenback: Core CPI got stuck at […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) follows equities lower

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) follows equities lower

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) follows equities lower USD/JPY is one area where forex markets have seen similar drama to equity markets. The retracement has been swift and may well continue, with the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at ¥111.82 one possible area of support, and then rising trendline support from the March lows at around ¥111.65. […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) rising global bond yields

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) rising global bond yields

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) rising global bond yields The Japanese yen is currently weakening against all major currencies. The yen is the weakest against the British pound today. Yesterday, the yen ended the day slightly lower against the US dollar. Notably, trading volumes in Japanese yen futures accelerated relative to the previous session and compared […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) takes on trendline resistance

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) takes on trendline resistance

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) takes on trendline resistance Downtrend resistance at ¥113.50 will come into play if the bounce seen so far today for USD/JPY gathers momentum. If it breaks higher, then ¥113.64 and then ¥114.50 are the next targets to watch. Further declines below ¥112.80 will open the way to ¥112.15 and then rising trendline support […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) recording considerable losses

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) recording considerable losses

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) recording considerable losses USD/JPY has recorded considerable losses on Monday, after losing ground in the past two sessions. In North American trade, the pair is trading at 113.15, down 0.50% on the day. There are no U.S releases due to a holiday. Later in the day, Japan releases Current Account, which […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) inflation remains well below the Bank of Japan target of close to 2%

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) inflation remains well below the Bank of Japan target of close to 2%

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) inflation remains well below the Bank of Japan target of close to 2% In Japan, inflation remains well below the Bank of Japan target of close to 2%, and the business sector has lowered its expectations regarding inflation. According to a BoJ survey, companies are projecting inflation at 0.8%, down from […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) continues upwards

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) continues upwards

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) continues upwards After yesterday’s small move lower we have seen a recovery for USD/JPY, holding the ¥113.64 level. A fresh push above ¥114.00 targets ¥114.50, which had been significant resistance throughout 2017. A deeper pullback below ¥113.64 would target rising trendline support from the March lows, around ¥112.00. Overall, the bias in […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) bullish pattern underway

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) bullish pattern underway

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) bullish pattern underway Bank of America Merrill Lynch discusses USD/JPY technical outlook and flags a bullish pattern underway with a scope of 118.80 on a clear break of 114.45. “The weekly chart of USD/JPY has broken two thresholds of technical significance. Price action last week closed above the 200wk SMA for the […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Close to Resistance

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Close to Resistance

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Close to Resistance If the NKY and US 10 y yields continue to track higher, there is no reason the markets shouldn’t take out 114 this week. However, counter to my original thoughts that the USDJPY was an under-owned position, the latest CFTC data is painting a decidedly different picture as […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) suggest a double top has been created

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) suggest a double top has been created

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) suggest a double top has been created The ¥113.00 level continues to act as strong resistance for USD/JPY, and further declines may suggest a double top has been created. A decline may aim for the March rising trendline, targeting ¥111.00. Above ¥113.00, the price will head towards the December 2017 peak at […]

Mt Gox Trustee Sold $230-M in Bitcoin, Bitcoin Cash Since March

Mt Gox Trustee Sold $230-M in Bitcoin, Bitcoin Cash Since March

Mt Gox Trustee Sold $230-M in Bitcoin, Bitcoin Cash Since March $BTC, $BTH, $USD, $JPY The trustee for the now-defunct Japanese cryptocurrency exchange Mt. Gox has revealed new details about the pace of cryptocurrency sales as part of the firm’s bankruptcy and rehabilitation process. Attorney Nobuaki Kobayashi explained in a 25 September notice on the […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) falls but remain above daily lows

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) falls but remain above daily lows

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) falls but remain above daily lows USD/JPY fells but remain above daily lows. The USD/JPY was hovering slightly below 113.00 before the release of the Fed’s decision and it dropped modestly afterwards. It bottomed at 112.76 and it was holding near the lows with a negative tone amid a slide of […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) surge continues unabated

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) surge continues unabated

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) surge continues unabated Since the beginning of the month the intraday dips in USD/JPY have been steadily bought, so we would need to see a move below ¥112.40 to break this run of higher lows. From here a deeper retracement towards the post-March rising trendline, down towards ¥111.30, could see fresh buying pressure […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) traders brush off US-China tensions

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) traders brush off US-China tensions

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) traders brush off US-China tensions he Japanese yen is currently weakening against all major currencies except the Australian dollar and the Canadian dollar. Last week, the yen continued to weaken against the US dollar. Trading volumes in Japanese yen futures decelerated week-over-week, albeit to a fairly small degree. Today’s USD/JPY trading […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) looking set to retrace once more

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) looking set to retrace once more

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) looking set to retrace once more USD/JPY managed to rally from trendline support perfectly yesterday, with the pair pushing through the top end of the Bollinger band. However, with the price shifting back below the upper band, we can draw similarities with the previous occasions that we broke higher within this channel. The […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) pulls back into trendline support

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) pulls back into trendline support

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) pulls back into trendline support USD/JPY has dropped into trendline support overnight, with the recent channel looking to come back into play. Looking at the stochastic oscillator, we can also see an area of trendline support coming into view too. With that in mind, there is a good chance we will see […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) rally picks up steam

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) rally picks up steam

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) rally picks up steam A rising trendline from the March lows continues to offer support for USD/JPY, and the close above the resistance zone around ¥112.00 suggests a push to the July highs at ¥113.00. Retracements towards ¥111.00 and the post-March trendline will continue to be buying opportunities, with a close below […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) watching politics

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) watching politics

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) watching politics The on-going Bank of Japan (BoJ) meeting finds the conclusion due 19 September with markets widely expecting the BoJ to hold steady, an assumption likely to remain status quo for a long time to come. The true focus for the week, however, would be with trade tensions instead amid […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Fewer concerns but also a potential change of policy by the BOJ

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Fewer concerns but also a potential change of policy by the BOJ

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) Fewer concerns but also a potential change of policy by the BOJ The deadline came and went and the US did not impose new tariffs on China. On one hand, Trump threatened to add additional ones. On the other hand, Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin initiated talks with China. Does he have […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) rebounds sharply and extends daily gains

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) rebounds sharply and extends daily gains

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) rebounds sharply and extends daily gains The USD/JPY pair dropped immediately after the release of a lower-than-expected US CPI reading. It fell to 111.35 and then rebounded sharply, breaking on top of 111.60. The greenback also climbed above intraday August highs and reached 111.90, the highest since August 1. As of writing was […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) vulnerable to a correction towards 110.77

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) vulnerable to a correction towards 110.77

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) vulnerable to a correction towards 110.77 USD/JPY rebounded on chatter of US-China talks but that’s all been given back now and more. The pair is down 50 pips on the day to 111.14 after a quick 10 pip drop in the past few minutes as stops below the earlier session low […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) rallies sharply

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) rallies sharply

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) rallies sharply More dollar strength is in evidence for USD/JPY, but a close above ¥112.00 is still needed to suggest a real breakout has occurred. This would then target ¥113.00 and higher. A bearish view requires a move back below ¥110.40. Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways. By the way, prices […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) fails to recover ¥112.00

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) fails to recover ¥112.00

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) fails to recover ¥112.00 While we did see a recovery on Friday, USD/JPY has yet to move above the important ¥112.00 area. Only such a move will create a more bullish impression. Further losses would bring the ¥110.50 support area into view, and then down to ¥109.80. Overall, the bias in prices is: […]

Forex Major Pairs Morning Briefing

Forex Major Pairs Morning Briefing

Forex Major Pairs Morning Briefing $DXY, $EUR, $GBP, $JPY, $AUD Commentary: Again, we are at important marks in most currencies. There is the chance that the current USD’s strength could see a correction/reversal early this month on not. Key support near 95 on the US Dollar (.DXY) Index could lead to USD strength again, the support is holding.PE Notes: The USD strengthened a […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) still on the up

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) still on the up

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) still on the up USD/JPY has been pushing steadily higher over the past few days, although a close above ¥111.80 still eludes it. Above this, ¥112.20 and then ¥113.00 come into view. A close below ¥110.70 would be needed to suggest more near-term weakness. Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways. By […]

Forex Major Pairs Morning Briefing

Forex Major Pairs Morning Briefing

Forex Major Pairs Morning Briefing $DXY, $EUR, $GBP, $JPY, $AUD Commentary: Again, we are at important marks in most currencies. There is the chance that the current USD’s strength could see a correction/reversal early this month on not. Key support near 95 on the US Dollar (.DXY) Index could lead to USD strength again, the support is holding.PE Notes: The USD strengthened a […]

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) EM stress yet to spark haven buying

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) EM stress yet to spark haven buying

Japanese Yen: USD/JPY (JPY=X) EM stress yet to spark haven buying While it is impossible to ignore the fact that South Africa is now technically in recession, and Turkey and Argentina are facing currency stress, so far US stock markets have proven to be relatively immune to any contagion. Analysts at Maybank believe that eventually, […]

Forex Major Pairs Morning Briefing

Forex Major Pairs Morning Briefing

Forex Major Pairs Morning Briefing $DXY, $EUR, $GBP, $JPY, $AUD Commentary: Again, we are at important marks in most currencies. There is the chance that the current USD’s strength could see a correction/reversal early this month. Supports are holding.PE Notes: After a quiet Monday due to holidays in USA, the USD strengthened a bit Vs the Euro and Sterling from Tuesday’s session.It […]

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