$XAU $GLD August Gold gaped higher early Thursday, then faded finishing at, + $5.05 higher +0.4 % at $1427.85 oz Not a surprise because because of the resistance in here, so, it is going to take something special to power this market higher. Gold looks to be consolidating to build up enough pressure to finally break […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XAU, $GLD, $VXX Billionaire Investment Guru, Ray Dalio thinks the current era of low interest rates and QE may be coming to an end, and his answer to a new market paradigm that could see escalating conflict between capitalists and socialists is simple, Buy Gold. “I believe that it would be […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The gauge of equities finished flat to unchanged Tuesday, as US Treasury yields moved higher on a stronger-than-anticipated report on US retail sales raised the possibility the Fed might adopt a less Dovish stance. The S&P 500 lost 0.3% Tuesday, led lower by shares of energy and technology companies, while […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The longest Bull market in history has relied on low interest rates, and weakness in jobs. So, if everyone else is worried about stocks, capitalize on the fear and make a a lot of money as the market climes the wall of worry, fear is your friend, and you saw […]
Wednesday, Fed Chairman Powell signaled that the Fed is likely to cut interest rates late this month for the 1st time in a decade in light of a weakening global economy and rising trade tensions. Delivering the central bank’s semiannual report to Congress, Chairman Powell said that since Fed officials met last month, “uncertainties around […]
We have just learned that the Fed is debating the risks and benefits of letting the US economy run “a little hotter,” balancing the good it could do for workers against the possibility it could end in a recession, Atlanta Federal Reserve bank president Raphael Bostic said Tuesday. “We do think about this in terms […]
President Trump wants the Fed to lower interest rates at a time when he may be sizing up his 2 latest picks for Fed governor as successors to Chairman Powell. If the Fed “knew what it was doing” it would cut rates, President Trump told reporters before he boarded Air Force One back to DC […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: More than anything else, the longest Bull market in history has relied on low interest rates, and weakness in jobs. So, if everyone else is worried about stocks, capitalize on the fear and make a a lot of money as the market climes the wall of worry, fear is your friend, […]
$XAU, $GLD, $USD, $EUR Shayne and I see gold testing to $1384ish and then setting up to drive North, potentially topping $1,500 oz, as interest rates head lower, central banks extend purchases, and uncertainty surrounding geopolitics and cryptocurrencies fans demand. Gold on the COMEX finished -1.4% to $1400.95 oz. “I love gold,” said Mark Mobius, […]
Friday, President Trump reaffirmed his view that a Fed interest rate cut would help the US economy grow more quickly, and said Fed does not know what they are doing. Growth “would be like a rocket ship” if the Fed eased, President Trump told reporters at the White House Friday as he prepared to travel to […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Tuesday, a Fed policymaker expressed skepticism that an interest rate cut is the right move until there are more signs the economy is moving to a truly weaker path. “I prefer to gather more information before considering a change in our monetary policy stance,” Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester said in […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XAU, $GLD, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Last week we saw Wall Street stocks and Gold rally finishing a super June as the market climbed a wall of worries. The stock market has rallied significantly over the past 6 months. The Big Q: Is this Bull Run sustainable? The stock market has rallied […]
$XAU, $GLD, $USD FLASH: The Fed is likely to have made at least 2 rate cuts by then So, we see a window of opportunity for gold to rally before inflation subsides in 2-H of Y 2020. Gold extended its rally, marking the biggest monthly advance since the UK voted to leave the EU in […]
$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD,$USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Down, USD Up, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Notes: Investors and Traders await the meeting between Presidents Trump and Xi later this week for signs of a de-escalation in the trade dispute. The 2 world leaders will meet at the G-20 Summit in Japan. Just in from […]
$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD,$USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Down, USD Up, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Down “The Stars look to be aligning for the Gold market, Gold could rise as high as $1,500 by the end of the year”– PE The Big Q: Why the Melt Up? The Big A: If gold remains above previous […]
$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD, $BTC, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Up, USD Down, Crude Oil Off, Stocks Down “The Stars look to be aligning for the Gold market, Gold could rise as high as $1,500 by the end of the year”– PE The Big Q: Why? The Big A: If gold remains above previous highs […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XAU, $GLD, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Last week we saw Wall Street stocks and Gold rally hard finishing solid on Quad Witching on the Fed’s Dovish policy position declared Wednesday afternoon. We are in the 2nd longest Bull Market in history that began precisely at 1:00p ET on 9 March 2009, and according […]
$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD, $BTC, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Up, USD Down, Crude Oil Firm, Stocks Up Notes: Investors are awaiting an expected meeting between Presidents Trump and Xi later this week for any signs of a de-escalation in a trade dispute. The 2 world leaders will meet on the sidelines of the G-20 […]
FLASH: The pattern set up for Gold looks good, and the Smart Money is betting on a break out in here, as all of our Key indicators have turned Very Bullish. Gold futures rose to a multi-year high Friday, boosted by expectations of a rate cut by the Fed at its next meeting in late […]
$SPY, $USD President Trump’s Tweets have not fully convinced the Fed to cut interest rates, but the stock and bond markets likely can and will. The Fed did not make a cut at its meeting last week, but it hinted strongly that one may be coming soon. Afterward, the stock market soared to new highs and the […]
$XAU, $GLD, $USD FLASH: There has been a dramatic change in the sentiment of Gold Bugs Bold prices have risen this month, passing $1,400 oz for the 1st time since Y 2013. There have been good reasons to be Bullish the precious Yellow metal. Everything from Dovish central banks, technical indicators, negative-yielding bonds are all working […]
$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD, $BTC, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Spiked, USD Down, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Notes: The Fed Wednesday signaled interest rate cuts beginning as early as July, saying it is ready to battle growing global and domestic economic risks as it took stock of rising trade tensions and growing concerns about […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: This Bull Market in stock is the longest on record. The S&P 500 Index marked a record closing high Thursday, buoyed by Wall Street’s expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates as soon as July to keep the US-China trade dispute from stalling economic growth. The Fed left […]
$SDIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ The S&P 500 (SPY) approached record highs Wednesday after the Fed signaled potential interest cuts later this year, reassuring Wall Street investors worried that the US-China trade war could stall economic growth. Saying it “will act as appropriate to sustain” economic expansion, the Fed signaled rate cuts of half a percentage […]
$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD, $BTC, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Spiked, USD Down, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Notes: The Fed Wednesday signaled interest rate cuts beginning as early as July, saying it is ready to battle growing global and domestic economic risks as it took stock of rising trade tensions and growing concerns about […]
$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD, $BTC, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Off, USD Up, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Notes: President Trump said Tuesday he will have an extended meeting with Chinese President Xi at the G-20. The world’s 2 largest economies are in the middle of a costly trade dispute that has pressured financial markets […]
Tuesday, Wite House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said President Trump is not considering any changes to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s status following a report that the White House had explored the possibility of demoting him. Mr. Kudlow spoke to reporters at the White House ahead of the FOMC’s meeting this week that comes on the […]
$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD, $BTC, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Up, USD Flat, Crude Oil Down, Stocks Off Notes: The New York Fed said Monday that its gauge of business growth in New York state posted a record fall this month to its weakest level in more than 2.5 years, suggesting an abrupt contraction in […]
$GS, $CME Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) economists said they are skeptical of “insurance” US interest rate decreases from the Fed to forestall possible slowing in US economic growth due to global trade tensions. A surprise escalation in trade tensions between Washington and Beijing since May, together with low inflation, have spurred bets among traders the Fed […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX President Trump will not renominate Jerome Powell for another term as Fed Chairman if re-elected. “That will lead to very different monetary policy, so the Fed is not fully independent of politics,” former Fed VC Fischer, an Hussein Obama appointee, said Sunday at a talk in Israel. By criticizing […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XAU, $GLD, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Last week we saw Wall Street stocks consolidate on light volume and the Fed signaled ‘Got Gold’ Mr. Market started seriously pricing in the possibility of interest rate cuts. To be fair, the signal came from the Top of the economic politburo that matters that being […]
$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD, $BTC, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Subdued, USD Up, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Firm Notes: A Reuters poll showed a growing number of economists expect the Fed policymakers to cut interest rates this year, although the majority still see it holding steady. In Asia Gold: Gold prices subdued Monday after retreating from […]
$SPY, $SPX The FOMC meeting next week is shaping up as pivotal for Wall Street, with stocks primed for a selloff should the Fed fail to take an even more Dovish tilt after policymakers raised expectations for a rate cut in recent weeks. The benchmark S&P 500 has rallied more than 5% so far this […]
$XAU, $GLD, $USD Mr. Market started seriously pricing in the possibility of interest rate cuts. To be fair, the signal came from the Top of the economic politburo that matters that being the Federal Reserve. Speaking at an event at the Chicago Fed last Tuesday, Chairman Jerome Powell hinted that the Fed would likely cut […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Friday, President Trump sharply criticized Fed Chairman Powell in an interview aired Friday, blaming him for raising interest rates and damaging the US economy. “He is my pick, and I disagree with him entirely,” he said in an interview with ABC News that was filmed in the back of a […]
$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Up, USD Flat, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Off Notes: China will release May industrial production along with retail sales and investment numbers at 0700 GMT, analysts expect any improvement from April’s downbeat readings will be mostly marginal. Economists polled by Reuters expect industrial production in China […]
$RACE Ferrari (NYSE:RACE) is celebrating its 90th anni in racing with a special exhibition at the Ferrari Museum in Maranello, Italy opened on 5 June and will be welcoming visitors until May 2020. The Ferrari you are likely most familiar with celebrated its 70th anniversary back in Y 2017, but the Scuderia Ferrari racing outfit actually predates […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USD, $XAU, $GLD, $VXX Total CPI increased 0.1%, as expected, as did core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices. The monthly changes left the Y-Y readings at 1.8% and 2.0%, respectively, versus 2.0% and 2.1% for the 12 months ending in April. The Key takeaway from the report is […]
$RACE Ferrari (NYSE:RACE) shares hit all-time highs at $155.54 for a 6th session running. And all of our technical indicators suggests more Northside is ahead for the iconic Italian luxury supercar builder. The data shows that there have been 7X’s in the stock’s history when it was trading near its 52-wk high and the indicators […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow predicts the US economy will maintain 3% pace without a China trade deal. “The US economy is very strong, I think we are in pretty good shape and I think we’ll maintain a 3% growth pace this year,” said Mr. Kudlow, who […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, Investors heavily exposed to US stocks just had their best week YTD. But the rebound has raised several questions related to market behavior, policy and economics. How they are answered will prove consequential not only for market prospects but for the global economy. And, notwithstanding the lack of decisive answers at this stage, […]
US consumers’ inflation expectations deteriorated to their weakest levels since late Y 2017 in May, while their views on jobs and family finances grew less certain, according to a Federal Reserve Bank of New York survey published Monday. The weakening in inflation expectations may factor into Fed policymakers’ decision whether to lower interest rates in […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Last week we saw the best market week YTD This is another important week on Wall Street, after last week of released negativity, we will see how much power is left. The pattern suggest a roll over in here, but the Fed could/can/will change that. Expect Fed speakers to […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: US stocks rallied for a 4th day running after weak NFPs data added to bets the Fed will cut rates. US Treasury yields and the USD fell. The S&P 500 Index had its best week since November 2018 on speculation the Fed will move to shore up the […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US household wealth marked a record in Q-1 as the stock market rallied, supporting consumers after Fed interest-rate hikes and trade dispute shocked investors late last year. Net worth for households and non-profit groups increased by $4.69-T, or 4.5%, to $108.6-T after a 3.7% drop in the prior frame, Federal […]
$GLD, $XAU, $USD The world’s biggest bullion-backed ETF (exchange-traded fund) is getting focus. Holdings in SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) surged by the most in almost 3 years as the US-China trade dispute, signs of a slowdown, and speculation the Fed will cut rates combined to drive demand. Assets in the SPDR ETF jumped 16.44 tonnes, […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Friday saw S&P 500 and NAS break. Already Bearish in the rollovers, Friday they gapped below the 200-Day SMA. Broke the neckline in the head and shoulders Wednesday, held the 200-Day SMA that session and Thursday, ready to bounce. Then the next bad news and the 200-Day SMA […]
FLASH: US inflation was much weaker in Q-1 than thought on a sharp slowdown in domestic demand, which cast doubts on the Fed’s view that the benign price pressures were largely because of temporary factors. The weak inflation pulse reported by the US Commerce Department Thursday pressures the Fed to cut interest rates, especially as the […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The S&P 500 reclaimed its 200-Day MA (2776) after falling below the Key technical mark during the day and bouncing Wednesday US stocks declined Wednesday, with the S&P 500 and NAS Comp closing just above Key support marks, as worries that a lengthy US-China trade war would crimp […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: World stock markets were subdued as the US and UK exchanges were shuttered for national holidays. DJIA futures rose Monday night, along with S&P 500 futures and NAS futures. President Trump said Monday that Beijing “would like to make a deal,” but “we’re not ready” for a China trade […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Note: The Mins from the May FOMC meeting showed that policymakers are comfortable with the current fed funds rate range while “a number of participants” saw a moderation in risk and uncertainties surrounding their outlooks for the year. The Key takeaway is that the stock market has a reasonable […]
Economist and author Art Laffer, the architect behind the Reagan tax cuts that ushered in an era of economic prosperity for a generation, said the Federal Reserve should read market signs of falling bond yields and lower short-term interest rates and slash short-term interest rates. The bond market is signaling an increasing likelihood of the […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Some analysts think there may not be enough leadership to move the market higher now. Savvy money is playing quality to the Northside. At the same time there are good Southside setups that we are watching carefully for the break South Southside action delivers fast gainers, but what falls […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: US-China Trade News is now Old News, and No Deal makes No Difference, the Fed is the Key to stock action, buy the dips. Watching the Fed, and without a trade deal the fear of a slowdown will keep the Fed patience mode. The President and the Wall Street […]
By Jim Collins The Big Q: Will they or won’t they? The “they” in the Q is the Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee FOMC), led by Chairman Jerome Powell. The action is obviously a cut in the fed funds target rate. Chairman Powell, much like his predecessors Janet Yellen and Ben Bernanke, is fond […]
$USD, $SPY, $QQQ, $DIA FLASH: Slowing inflation may lead the Fed to cut interest rates, White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said in a TV interview Monday. “The Fed is independent, but they have been themselves talking about coming and lowering their inflation target, which might mean a lower interest rate adjustment on their own […]
$SPY, $QQQ, $DIA, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The S&P 500 and NAS Comp marked new closing, and intra-day records Monday on a modest advance. Leadership came from the S&P 500 financials and communication services sectors in front of busy news and earnings week Analysts now expect earnings of S&P 500 companies to have fallen just 0.2% […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Larry Kudlow said Thursday on TV: “I think the Fed is moving toward rate cuts. That is my view. It is true in the open market, the funds rate has traded a bit high, but I think they are moving toward rate cuts.” Note: Slowing global growth has not […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: US inflation is falling again, and this time Fed officials may feel compelled to respond. After a gauge of price pressures central bankers watch closely finally rose above their 2% target last Summer marking the 1st time North of it since 2012 it moderated to 1.8% in January, and […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: S&P 500 and NAS Comp marked all-time closing highs The S&P 500 index closed at a record high, surpassing the highs it set last September and recouping all the ground it lost in the Fed engineered attempt to push it into a Bear market late last year. The NAS […]
Source: Thompson Reuters US home sales fell more than expected in March as rising demand stoked by declining mortgage rates and slowing house price inflation continued to be frustrated by a lack of properties, especially in the lower-priced segment of the market. The report from the National Association of Realtors (NAR) on Monday could temper expectations of […]
Sentiment among US home-builders climbed to a 6-month high in April, another indication that the housing market is gathering momentum during the Key Spring season. The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index rose 1 point to 63, matching the median estimate in Bloomberg’s survey of economists, on improvements in present sales and buyer traffic, […]
$XAU, $GLD, $USD President Trump’s plans to nominate Stephen Moore and Herman Cain to the Fed board, and that move points back to The Gold Standard, a policy option once advocated by both men and President Trump himself. The Big Q: What is the case for returning to The Gold Standard? The Big A: Is […]
$GLD, $XAU, $USD FLASH: Gold could 2X overnight, especially if President Trump uses it as a weapon in his battle Vs the Fed. The Fed controls the Buck, the Buck is the world’s trading currency, and so the Fed controls the world. A stronger USD hurts the world’s growth prospects. It also hurts President Trump’s […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RURX, $VXX FLASH: Wall Street finished flat to little changed in front of earnings season The stock market finished little changed Thursday in a tight-ranged trading session. The S&P 500 finished fractionally higher, as RSI from financial and industrial stocks helped mitigate losses from shares of healthcare companies in front of earnings […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The S&P 500 gained 0.5% Friday in a broad-based advance that was supported by a Goldilocks Employment Situation Report for March. The benchmark index advanced for the 7th session running, increasits its weekly gainer to 2.1%, and closed within 10 points of the 2900 level. The US labor market […]
$SPY FLASH: Earnings season just 2 weeks away US stocks ended the final trading day of Q-1 on a strong note Friday and the S&P 500 posted its best quarterly gainer since Y 2009, boosted by optimism over the latest round of trade talks between the US and China. A Chinese delegation led by Vice […]
$DIA, $SPY,$QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: S&P 500 marks its Best Quarter since 2009 Friday the US stock market liked what it heard: The US and China held “constructive” trade talks in Beijing this week, according to Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and the White House. Trade talks will continue next week in Washington with China’s Vice […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The just released data of the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau show that the US monthly international trade deficit decreased in January 2019 from $59.9% in December (revised) to $51.1-B as expected, as imports decreased and exports increased. The goods deficit decreased $8.2-B in January […]
Club for Growth founder and former-Trump campaign adviser Stephen Moore says his harsh criticism of the Fed for raising interest rates was ‘spot-on’. In an in interview Monday with The Wall Street Journal, Mr. Moore, President Trump’s pick for a Federal Reserve Board seat, said the central banks’ recent policy pivot proves he was right. Mr. Moore had […]
$GLD, $USD, $EUR, $GBP, $CNY What we have been seeing over the past few years is that confidence in government is fading and the price of Gold is rising. Some current examples The UK House of Commons voted 413-202 last week to delay Britain’s exit from the EU. Despite resounding defeats, Prime Minister Theresa May […]
$SPY, $USD FLASH: The Fed’s policy reversal is beginning to stoke systemic vulnerabilities in the economy. A surprise move by the central bank to forecast no change to interest rates for the remainder of this year will increase excesses in corporate America, which is already highly leveraged, and expose the economy to a higher chance […]
FLASH: No matter what the Fed Fund’s rate is they cannon make people borrow. The Big Q: What happened with Wednesday’s Fed announcement? The Big A: The Fed followed the market again. The chart below: the red line is the Federal Funds rate, the yellow line is the rate on the 3-month US T-Bill and […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The latest fund manager survey from Bank of America showed the allocation to equities is at its lowest since September 2016 indicating that managed money missed the 2019 rally and will have to play catch up soon. The S&P 500 advanced 0.7% Tuesday, on Dovish expectations ahead of the […]
$USD White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow rejects criticism that the US economy is only growing because of a “sugar high” from The Trump Administration’s tax reform. He predicted that President Trump’s “pro-growth policies on taxes and regulation” will continue to stoke growth far into the future. Some economists contended that the economy is losing […]
The growing mystery of where China’s rapid slowdown is headed may become the biggest risk on the horizon. The world economy. Recession Watch: The global economy’s in its weakest shape since the financial crisis 10 years ago. China got more affirming evidence of its Big slowdown, with industrial output and retail sales softening and a […]
US mortgage home applications to buy and to refinanc increased last week as most borrowing costs fell in step with US bond yields tied to worries about slowing economic growth, data from the Mortgage Bankers Association showed on Wednesday. The Washington-based industry group’s seasonally adjusted index on mortgage activity rose 2.3% to 384.0 in the week […]
The global economy’s softened throughout Y 2018 has left the pace of expansion the weakest since the global financial crisis a decade ago. A new GDP tracker puts world growth at 2.1% on a Q-Q annualized basis, down from about 4% in the middle of last year. While there is a chance that the economy […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: This Bull Market is about to have its 10th Birthday! US household wealth fell 3.5% into the close of Y 2018 on the back of a Fed engineered stock market correction in Q-4 that threatened to weaken a near 10 year recovery. In its Quarterly Flow of Funds report, the […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Next Fed rate hike several FMOC meetings ahead With inflation muted, but other risks to the US economy on the rise, the Fed’s patience on policy is nowhere close to running out, with 1 previously Kawkish central banker Tuesday signaling he could wait until at least June before touching […]
When the Fed’s FOMC policymakers met last month and put it 3-year rate-hike campaign on hold and backed ending a yearlong push to shrink their $4-T balance sheet, that was draining the liquidity out of the system and shrinking the wealth of American house holds by the trillions of dollars, they cited increased risks to […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: FOMC Mins as expected; Fed will maintain patience in rate hikes and stop reducing assets on its balance sheet later this year. The Takeaway The FOMC Minutes said the central bank is going to be patient in raising rates and is likely to stop reducing the assets on its […]
FLASH: This a Special Report, looking ahead at this leg of the longest Bull run in market history The US Stock Market: The Bulls Vs The Bears Russell 2000 +16.4% YTD NAS Comp +12.6% YTD DJIA +11.0% YTD S&P 500 +10.7% YTD US stocks rallied late last week into options expiration, even as some analysts felt like they should […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Trump Policy Traction, FOMC Minutes Due Wednesday Tuesday, New York Fed President John Williams said he is comfortable with the level US interest rates are at now, and sees no need to raise them again unless growth or inflation shift to an unexpectedly higher gear. In an interview with […]
The sentiment among US homebuilders rose in February for a 2nd month runnning exceeded all forecasts, as lower mortgage rates and a strong labor market help stabilize demand. The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index rose to 62 from 58 amid broad improvement on gauges of sales, expectations and buyer traffic, data released Tuesday […]
$GLD, $GOLD, $USD, $GDX, $GS FLASH: The savvy observers see Golden opps in the precious Yellow metal and its miners. Last September in this column we suggested it was time for investors to add gold to their portfolios. And that data shows that since that time, gold has gained nearly 10%. Gold marked to a […]
The Fed’s interest rate increase in December tipped monetary policy into a restrictive setting that may be pushing the economy farther from one of the Fed’s Key goals, James Bullard, President of the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, said last week. Mr. Bullard, in remarks to reporters after an appearance at St. Cloud State University […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX President Trump will enjoy the backdrop of a solid economy as he delivers his 2nd State of the Union address Tuesday evening. The President will point to the latest signs of US economic strength: Friday’s jobs report showed that employers added the most jobs in January in nearly a year. […]
The Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis’ President James Bullard applauded the shift away from its policy of raising interest rates, saying that should help to ensure a solid US economy for the next 2 years. “I think it set us up for a very good couple of years here,” Mr. Bullard said in a TV […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s 1st post-meeting press conference of Y 2019 left market expectations for a rate hike this year an Big Q, and raised the chances of a cut in Y 2020. The Fed’s tone Wednesday cast doubt on the prospects of interest rates heading higher at […]
US treasury traders are bracing for heightened volatility next week as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ushers in a new era of press conferences after every meeting, while the US and China meet again for trade talks. The FOMC is expected to keep interest rates unchanged following the 9 hikes since Y 2015. But investors see […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold SteadyUSD FlatCrude Oil DownStocks Rise In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. China reported its lowest annual economic growth since Y 1990 and must stimulate, but its retail markets are expanding widely. China makes up 19% of the world’s economy, the slowdown this year […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold SteadyUSD FlatCrude Oil UpStocks Off In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. China reported its lowest annual economic growth since Y 1990 and must stimulate. Gold: Gold prices stood firm Wednesday on higher demand for safe-haven assets over concerns of slowing global economy and […]
$BAC, $C, $JPM, $WFC,$FITB, $BKX, $SPY We do expect US bank shares to continue to outperform after better-than-expected Q-4 earnings and outlooks and their cheap stock prices finally broke a losing streak, thus leading the next leg of this historic Bull Market. The gains will be driven by management teams reiterating their ability to drive […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold OffUSD FlatCrude Oil DownStocks Off In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. China’s state planner Tuesday warned that the downward pressure on the economy will affect China’s job market as falling factory orders point to a further drop in activity in coming months and […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Up USD Soft Crude Oil Higher Stocks Up In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. UK PM May will return to Parliament Monday to set out how she plans to try to break the BREXIT deadlock after her deal was rejected by […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Steady USD Firm Crude Oil Higher Stocks Up In Asia Notes: A report Thursday saying that Washington was considering lifting some or all tariffs imposed on Chinese imports buoyed financial markets, including Crude Oil. The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. Gold: Spot gold was set for its 5th straight […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Steady USD Firm Crude Oil Lower Stocks Mixed In Asia Notes: Spot gold is about to exit a Neutral range of $1,285-$1,299, and either rise to $1,311 or drop towards $1,268. The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. Gold: Gold has gained for 5 weeks running, but prices have been […]
The US financial markets have had the time conger the very strong US jobs report, as well as signs of progress in the China-US trade talks. But, despite the positive news, investors and traders believe the Fed will stop hiking interest rates this year and will cut them in both Ys 2020 and 2021. The difference […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Up USD Lower Crude Oil Steady Stocks Steady including Japan In Asia Notes: On the earnings front, US banks: Goldman Sachs (GS) will be in focus Wednesday Expectations are low with profits for US companies forecast to rise 6.4%, down from an 1 October estimate of 10.2% and a big fall from 2018’s tax cut-fueled gainer of more […]