$BA United States’ GDP growth would have climbed closer to 4% if the effects of Federal Reserve rate hikes had not held on, President Trump said in a TV interview from the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, Wednesday. “That was a big blip that should not have taken place,” President Trump told CNBC’s Joe Kernen. […]
$LEN, $TOL, $KBH A revitalized US housing market will help keep the economy moving along despite a potential threat posed by a derailment in corporate spending. Home construction outlays, which account for almost 4% of GDP increased for a 5th month running in November, marking a welcome departure from a yearlong slowdown. Buyers, their confidence […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Y 2020 extended Y 2019 action as the big tech names led and the smaller-caps lagged. While the S&P 500’s valuation chart may be giving some investors flashbacks to the Y 2018 market meltdown, the Bulls are resolute. Corporate earnings are expected to fall for a 2nd Q running, as […]
$SPY White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow believes the US economy will continue to grow at a robust pace as the Y 2020 election season proceeds. “This continuing Bull market run indicates a lot of investor, consumer and business confidence, in my judgment,” Mr. Kudlow said. Early in Fridays session, the DJIA broke above 29,000 for […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX US stocks will continue to rise this year on very little chance of a recession, and low inflation driving steady economic growth, with real GDP growing around 2.0%, and inflation remains below 2.0%. That is our outlook for Y 2020. We do not see a recession in this year’s US […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX By almost every measure the US economy did well in Y 2019 though growth was slower than Y 2018. For next year, contrary to the consensus view from most economists, economic growth will accelerate. And growth could increase even more after Y 2020. President Trump has set the stage for […]
$XAU, $GLD, $USD Gold prices broke out Tuesday during this holiday shorted session pushing through the December highs despite a stronger USD and unchanged US yields. There was very little data to drive prices following Monday’s US Durable goods orders which was weaker than expected and a downgrade in projected US GDP by the Atlanta […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX For the 1st time ever, the US economy started and ended an entire decade without a recession, the longest expansion in our history, researchers say. The National Bureau of Economic Research found, as of December, the economy has expanded for a record 126 consecutive months. “It is unusual that this […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The Atlanta Federal Reserve lifted its GDP estimate for Q-4 back above 2% in the wake of recent strong economic data on housing and factories. The Atlanta Fed GDP Now boosted its Q-4 GDP growth estimate to a 2.3% rate from a 2% pace Friday. The regional arm of the central […]
$SPY, $RUTX, $USD Last Christmas, the longest Bull market in our lifetime came within points of dying as the Fed raised interest rates. Some pundits say that every 3 years or so something pushes the Bull market to the brink of extinction, before a last-minute escape, that there is a record of support that underpins […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $GS We agree with Goldie, the US stock market is going higher. The MSM is backing away from its predictions of a recession. As now a Top Wall Street firm has aligned with our work and forecasting that there will not be a recession in Y 2020 Goldman Sachs aka […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Americans increased their spending in October at the fastest rate in 3 months even though income growth was essentially flat, its weakest showing in 13 months. The Commerce Department said Wednesday that consumer spending rose 0.3% last month, the best gainer since a 0.5% rise in July. An inflation gauge that is […]
A bump in US exports helped shrink America’s yawning trade deficit in July while imports from China continued to fall amid the two nations’ trade war, government data showed Wednesday. The relatively steady deficit comes as hopes dim for a near-term resolution to the US-China conflict, which has begun to rattle the American economy. Economists […]
$DIA, #SPY,, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wall Street posted mixed results on Friday on month end re-balancing ahead of a holiday weekend in which a fresh round of US tariffs on Chinese imports were set for levy. The DJIA .DJI rose 37.4 pts, or 0.14%, to 26,399.65, the S&P 500 .SPX gained 1.45 pts, or 0.05%, to 2,926.03 and the […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US stocks finished on the highs Wednesday in a broad-based advance. The S&P 500 increased 0.7%, overcoming a negative start that was attributed to declining Treasury yields and finished near session highs. The DJIA increased 1.0%, the NAS Comp increased 0.4%, and the Russell 2000 finished +1.2%. Wednesday’s session did […]
US productivity increased at a healthy pace in Q-2, a trend that could lead to higher wages if it continues. The Labor Department said Thursday that productivity — or output per hour worked rose 2.3% in the April-June Quarter, down from 3.5% in Q-1 of the year. The Q-1 gainer was the best in 4 […]
When the US government formally asked NATO partner Germany to join in freedom-of-navigation patrols in the Strait of Hormuz, where Iranian gunboats have seized other nations’ ships, detonated mines, and flouted international law, it did so with an inducement. Tamara Sternberg-Greller, the spokesman for the US embassy in Berlin, remarked: “Members of the German government […]
$USD, $EUR, $JPY, $CNY International Monetary Fund (IMF) said Wednesday the USD is overvalued by 6% to 12%, based on near-term economic fundamentals, while the EUR, the JPY, and China’s RMB Yuan were seen as broadly in line with fundamentals. The IMF has been at odds with President Trump over his use of tariffs to […]
US retail sales increased more than expected in June, pointing to strong consumer spending. The Key takeaway from the report is that it was a solid report overall The report from the Commerce Department on Tuesday did not change market expectations that the FOMC will cut interest rates this month for the 1 st time in a […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The US stock market began the week higher. The S&P 500 gained 0.8% after being up 1.0% at the start while the tech-heavy NAS Comp rose 1.1% after starting the session with a 1.7% gainer. The US and China agreed Saturday to resume trade talks and President Trump also […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow predicts the US economy will maintain 3% pace without a China trade deal. “The US economy is very strong, I think we are in pretty good shape and I think we’ll maintain a 3% growth pace this year,” said Mr. Kudlow, who […]
The US Treasury has just added Sing., Malaysia and Vietnam to a watch-list for currency (money) manipulation, putting their Fx (foreign-exchange) policies under scrutiny. Sing. (Singapore) made the list because of its large current account surplus and net foreign currency purchases of at least $17-B in Y 2018, equivalent to 4.6% of GDP, according to […]
FLASH: White House economic advisor Larry Kudlow says the Fed should still cut interest rates despite strong economic growth in Q-1. The government said GDP, expanded by 3.2% in Q-1 of this year, which the veteran financial guru and former Ronald Reagan adviser called “a blow out number.” “The inflation rate continues to slip lower […]
FLASH: White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett said the “blockbuster” 3.2% economic growth in Q-1 is “absolutely” sustainable. The Trump Administration has already been forecasting 3.2% economic growth for Y 2019. “Maybe we would revise it up,” he said in a TV interview.. “The number was 3/10ths lower because of the government shutdown and … […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Real GDP increased at an annual rate of 3.2% (consensus 1.9%), according to the advance estimate for Q-1 GDP, a blockbuster number. President Trump is Supercharging the US Economy! President Donald Trump’s re-election hinges on supercharging the US economy, and data showing faster than expected growth provided him a […]
Reports of the demise of the US economy have proved unfounded as Q-1 activity showed strength. The US economy expanded at a 3.2% annual pace in the first three months of 2019, the government said Friday. The gain was well above forecasts. Economists polled had forecast a 2.3% increase in GDP. The economy grew at a […]
$XAU, $GLD, $USD President Trump’s plans to nominate Stephen Moore and Herman Cain to the Fed board, and that move points back to The Gold Standard, a policy option once advocated by both men and President Trump himself. The Big Q: What is the case for returning to The Gold Standard? The Big A: Is […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: S&P 500 Breaks Above 2800, and President Trump Grounds Boeing’s 737 Max 8 Aircraft S&P 500 broke above the 2800 mark, and all 11 sectors finished in the Green Weakening USD was an area of support for the broader market and the earnings prospects for multinational companies President Trump […]
The global economy’s softened throughout Y 2018 has left the pace of expansion the weakest since the global financial crisis a decade ago. A new GDP tracker puts world growth at 2.1% on a Q-Q annualized basis, down from about 4% in the middle of last year. While there is a chance that the economy […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FlASH: Our works shows that this Bull market is still intact Over the past 10 years long haul investors have been handsomely. The Big Q: Is there more? The S&P 500, the U.S. market’s benchmark index, has gained about 310% since bottoming out at 676.53 points in 9 March 2009 […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Job creation and wage growth are still important things to watch for in the monthly NFP report for February that will be released Friday. The other partial indicators already suggest that the labor market will remain solid. The focus now will be on the labor-force participation rate because the […]
Australia’s central bank stuck to its upbeat view of the economy after it held rates at record lows in a widely expected move Tuesday, a day before GDP data is likely to show domestic momentum almost stalled last Quarter. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) ended a 30th meeting running with rates at 1.50% and […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: March is shaping up as pivotal for the world economy. The coming weeks are set to offer clarity on a US-China trade deal, Britain’s fate within the EU and any signs that China’s economy is turning around. Also, President Trump is mulling a report that may lead him to […]
$GS, $USD, $USO, $OIL FLASH: On the global markets, some green shoots are emerging. The global economy may have already bottomed out, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Chief Economist in a note Tuesday. While growth remains soft, Goldman’s current activity indicator in February is slightly above the downwardly-revised December and January numbers. Some green […]
The US economy will grow at a solid though slower pace in Y 2019 and the Fed will remain “patient” in deciding whether to further raise interest rates, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said Tuesday. Chairman Powell reaffirmed the policy shift made by the Fed last month, telling a Senate Banking Committee hearing that “crosscurrents and […]
FLASH: US Growth Estimates Raised US wholesale inventories increased by the most in more than 5 years in December. The surge in wholesale stocks reported by the Commerce Department on Monday, however, implied inventories were less of a drag on economic growth in Q-4 than previously thought. As result, economists boosted their Q-4 GDP growth estimates by […]
Friday, the Fed said, that The Trump Administration will fall “a little under” its target of 3% annual GDP for Y 2018, the report offers an economic scorecard of sorts for the 1st full year of President Trump’s term. Growth for the year was “solid,” the Fed report said, as GDP “rose a little bit under 3% for the […]
The National Retail Federation, the nation’s largest retail trade group, forecasts that retail sales should grow between 3.8 and 4.4% to more than $3.8-T this year as shoppers remain in the mood to spend in a strong US economy and job market. The forecast, released Tuesday, is in line with the 4.6% gain the group preliminarily estimated […]
The US economy is strong and growing despite billions of dollars in losses during the recent partial government shutdown, said Grover Norquist, President of Americans for Tax Reform Tuesday while discussing a Congressional Budget Office report that $11-B was lost, with $3-B deemed a complete loss. “The Key thing is the economy continues today to grow and […]
$BAC US real estate brokers are trying to figure out why sales of existing homes dove in December. US home sales fell to their lowest mark in 3 years in December and house price increases slowed sharply, suggesting a further loss of momentum in the housing market. The weak report from the National Association of Realtors […]
China will step up fiscal spending this year to support its economy, focusing on further cuts in taxes and fees for small firms, finance ministry officials said Wednesday. Mounting US trade tariff pressure on the world’s 2nd-biggest economy pushed growth last year to its lowest since Y 1990 even as Beijing stepped up stimulus measures […]
$SPY, $GLD Surprise, after all of the ‘bunk’ you have heard since early October, do not be shocked that there will be no additional Fed rate hikes, a 20% S&P 500 rally and no recession.. Byron Wein defines “surprise” as an event that the average investor would only assign a 33% chance of taking place […]
US consumer spending gathered momentum in November as households bought furniture, electronics and a range of other goods, which could further allay fears of a significant slowdown in the economy. The upbeat data from the Commerce Department on Friday bolstered expectations that the Fed will raise interest rates at its 18-19 December policy meeting, despite moderating inflation […]
White House economic adviser Kevin Hassett predicts that US economic growth will defy expectations again in Y 2019 because of a business investment boom and President Donald Trump’s trade strategy. “We’re definitely going to be at 3 or above 3 for next year as well,” Mr. Hassett said on TV Wednesday The Council of Economic Advisers […]
The Trump Tax Cuts Still Driving Economic Growth Friday, White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said that The Trump Administration tax cuts of Y 2017 are still working to boost the economy and fuel economic growth. “I think the tax cuts are working. I think nominal GDP is much higher than people expected,” Mr. Kudlow […]
Growth in the US Economy Remains Strong The Fed is expected to raise interest rates again next month and 3X next year The probability of a US recession in the next 2 years, while low, moved up to a median 35% from 30% in the latest monthly Reuters survey of economists taken between 13-19 November. […]
US Industrial Production Moving Higher $USO, $UGA, $USD US industry expanded in October, with manufacturing growth offsetting declines in mining and utility production. Industrial production ticked up 0.1%, the 5th straight monthly gainer, following a 0.2% advance in September and a 0.8% advance in August, the Fed reported Friday. The Fed said that recent hurricanes lowered […]
Halloween Market Week: Tricks or Treats? $SPY, $AAPL, $FB This is Halloween week and we have more earnings as 1,000+companies will report their Q-3 results and update their forward outlooks. We also have a full slate of economic data, some of which will influence the 2nd edition of the September Quarter’s GDP reading while others […]
Trump Economy Driving Robust GDP to 3.5% in Q-3 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The US economy grew at a robust annual rate of 3.5% in the July-September Quarter as the strongest rise i consumer spending in nearly 4 years helped offset a sharp drag from trade. The Commerce Department said Friday that Q-3 GDP, the […]
China’s Q-3 GDP Growth Lowest Since the ‘Great Recession’ An official survey confirmed that manufacturers were coming under stress. At this week’s end, global investors and policy makers will likely be given a cold hard reminder of the costs of the US-China trade dispute, with a Reuters poll predicting that China’s Q-3 growth will slow […]
US Economy Expanding at 4% Growth Rate $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Monday the latest data showed that the US economy is expanding at a 4% annualized rate in Q-3, that according to the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow forecast model following the release of the latest data on retail sales. The GDPNow model estimate for real […]
US Economic Data Strong, Atlanta Fed Raises GDP View to 4.2% $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USO, $VXX US stocks retreated Wednesday in a healthy Bull market pullback The US economy is expanding at a 4.2% annualized rate in Q-3, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow forecast model showed on Wednesday, following the release of the latest data […]
Buybacks to Top Use of S&P 500 Companies’ Cash in 2019 $GS, $SPY S&P 500 companies will increase cash spending by 13% to $3-T in Y 2019, with buybacks again expected to represent their largest use of cash, according to Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS). Of the estimated cash spending in Y 2019, S&P 500 companies will […]
The Trump Effect: Americans Working, Higher Wages, Booming Manufacturing The Trump Effect has Made America Great Again, and Is Keeping America Great! The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits fell to a near 49-year low last week, pointing to sustained labor market strength, which continues to underpin economic growth. The labor market, which is […]
Atlanta Fed’s Fresh GDP Growth Estimate at 4.1% The US economy is growing at a 4.1% annualized rate in Q-3 following the government’s construction-spending report and other recent economic data, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow forecast model showed Tuesday. The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in Q-3 of Y 2018 is 4.1% on October […]
Crude Oil at $100 bbl and the World’s Economy: Who Wins, Who Loses $OIL, $USO, $UGA Crude Oil prices are now begetting forecasts of a return to $100 bbl for the 1st time since Y 2014, creating both winners and losers in the world economy. Exporters of Black Gold would enjoy bumper returns, giving a […]
US Economic Growth: Consumer Spending Up, Inflation Moderate US consumer spending saw a steady increase in August, supporting expectations of solid economic growth in Q-3, while a measure of underlying inflation remained at the Fed’s 2 percent target for a 4th month running. Friday, economists said the report from the US Commerce Department should allay […]
The Trump Effect: US Economy is Strong $DIA The strong US economy continues under President Donald Trump. A string of reports Thursday showed the labor market is getting stronger, consumers are increasingly optimistic and manufacturers are expanding, adding to signs that GDP (gross domestic product) remains on track for a solid performance in Q-3 Filings […]
The Trump Effect: Atlanta Fed Keeps GDP Forecast at 4.4% $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wednesday, the S&P 500 finished with a gainer of 0.1%, driven by financial shares, which rallied on another rise in interest rates. The blue-chip DJIA outperformed, adding 0.6%, the NAS Comp lagged, closing lower by 0.1%, and the small-cap Russell […]
Fed Moving to Avert a Recession Due to Falling Unemployment Fed officials tout 10 yrs of falling unemployment as among their major victories in fighting the economic crisis of Y’s 2007 to 2009. Now they are starting to worry they have been too successful. When unemployment falls as low as it is currently, Boston Fed […]
Hurricane Florence Will Distort Economic Data, Expect Little Harm $HD, $LOW The coming economic impact of Hurricane Florence is unlikely to be large but will likely muddle US data for months, judging from past experience. Last year, Hurricanes Harvey and Irma constrained activity in Q-3 of Y 2017 and sparked rebuilding later in the year […]
President Trump’s Tariffs Policy is Working $F, $GM President Donald Trump’s trade and tariff strategy, risky as it may seem is working. He is a master negotiator is hammering out agreements, 1st with the Europeans, next Mexico, both are better deals for American firms and workers. His threat of tariffs is leading to lower tariffs. […]
Atlanta Fed Lifts Q-3 GDP Prediction to 4.7% $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The next GDPNow update is Wednesday, 5 September. The US economy is growing at a 4.7% annualized rate in Q-3, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow forecast model showed on Tuesday, following the latest data on construction spending and factory activity. This is now […]
MAGA Effect:Household Income Spikes US median household income is at all-time highs US median household income has risen more than 4% since President Donald Trump took office on the overall strong economic growth and robust optimism. Inflation-adjusted median household incomes in July hit $62,450, according to the latest release from Sentier Research. “That’s the highest level […]
Atlanta Fed’s Q-3 GDP Estimate at 4.1% The US economy is expanding at a 4.1% annualized rate in Q-3, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s latest GDPNow forecast model showed, following the release of the advanced economic indicators from the US Census earlier this week. This was slower than the 4.6% GDP growth pace calculated by the […]
US Economy Grows Most in 4 Years US economic growth has come in stronger than initially estimated in Q-2, posting its best performance in nearly 4 years, as businesses boosted spending on software and imports declined. Gross domestic product (GDP) increased at a 4.2% annualized rate, the US Commerce Department said Wednesday in its 2nd […]
US Stock Market Indexes Finished Flat to Little Changed $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Tuesday, the S&P 500 closed at a new record high for the 3rd session running. It was a range-bound trading day, with the S&P 500 keeping between -0.1% and +0.2%, and 7 of the 11 sectors finished in the Red. The […]
The Trump Tax Cut Driving Strong Business Investment Shipments of core capital goods rose 0.9% last month after an upwardly revised 0.9% gainer in June. US economy is growing at a 4.6% annualized rate in the third quarter following the government’s data on new-home sales and costs, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow forecast model showed […]
Atlanta Fed Lifts GDP Growth Estimate to 4.6% The Trump Effect Expands The US economy is growing at a 4.6% annualized rate in Q-3 following the government’s data on new-home sales and costs, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow forecast model showed Friday. Friday’s Atlanta Fed estimate is higher than the last estimate of 4.3% on 16 August. […]
Last week Senator Pauline Hanson introduced her Plebiscite (Future Migration level) Bill 2018 to the Senate. The Bill proposes to give voters a say on whether Australia’s immigration levels are too high by casting a vote at the next general election. “For years the people of Australia have had immigration and population levels dictated to […]
Statement by Philip Lowe, Governor: Monetary Policy Decision At its meeting today, the Board decided to leave the cash rate unchanged at 1.50 per cent. The global economic expansion is continuing. A number of advanced economies are growing at an above-trend rate and unemployment rates are low. Growth in China has slowed a little, with […]
The Atlanta Fed Lifts Q-3 GDP Growth View to 5% The US economy is growing at a 5.0% annualized rate in Q-3 following the latest data on construction spending and manufacturing activity, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s most-recent GDPNow forecast model showed. That is faster than the 4.7% pace calculated by the regional Fed’s forecast program […]
President Trump’s Policies Restore Economic Prosperity After about 19 months in the Oval Office, US President Donald Trump’s economic policies have begun to return the US to real economic prosperity. The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) announced that in Q-2 of this year GDP grew at a 4.1% annual rate. It has been 13 years since […]
President Trump’s Tax Cut, Deregulation Have ‘Accelerated Growth’ $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Monday JPMorgan Chase & Co. Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon said Monday that President Donald Trump’s tax cuts, along with some of his other efforts, have helped out the U.S. economy. “Presidents get a lot of credit [and] a lot of blame […]
President Trump Hails the “Amazing” 4.1% Q-2 Economic Growth Rate “the President’s policies are working,and not just on the top line, but in the details” Friday from the White House, US President Donald Trump hailed the “amazing” 4.1% Q-2 GDP rate, as the fastest pace since Y 2014, as proof that “we’ve accomplished an economic […]
US Economy Not Harmed by President Trump’s International Trade Dust-ups Shayne and I expect China to align with the US’s sloution, as it cannot afford not to. Saturday, US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said that the overall US economy has not been harmed by the trade battles set off by President Donald Trump’s get-tough policies, […]
US Industrial Production Driving Economy US industrial production increased in June, boosted by a sharp rebound in manufacturing and further gains in mining output, the latest sign of robust economic growth in Q-2. But, a strong USD and shortage of workers pose a risk to production, with factory surveys suggesting some strain in the supply […]
Atlanta Fed: “US Economy Growing at 4.5% Annualized Rate” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Monday, the Atlanta Fed announced that the US economy is growing at a 4.5% annualized rate in Q-2 following the latest data on strong retail-sales data, the GDPNow forecast model showed. The latest estimate on GDP growth is faster than the […]
President Trump’s Stimulus to Boost US Economy for ‘at Least’ 3 Years $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Thursday, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said he believes the US economy remains in a “good place,” with recent government tax and spending programs likely to boost GDP (gross domestic product) for perhaps 3 years. “I think the […]
Australia: Will Rates Burst the Real Estate Bubble Banks in Australia are gearing up for slight increases in interest rates, but in an overly inflated market this may well mean disaster for many and a correction in prices across the country. The smaller lenders are already moving rates higher but so far the big 4 […]
Atlanta Fed Lifts Q-2 GDP View to 4.1% The US economy is growing at a 4.1% annualized rate in Q-2 following the latest data on consumer spending, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow forecast model showed Monday. The latest estimate on gross domestic product growth was slower than the 3.7 percent pace estimated Friday, the Atlanta Fed said. […]
US Economy: Big Q-2 GDP Numbers are Expected $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Thursday, investors will receive the 3rd estimate for Q-2 GDP +the weekly Initial Claims report. US Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin says he’s expecting a “big Q-2 GDP number.” Secretary Mnuchin said on TV Wednesday, that the US economy is strong due to President […]
US Consumer Expectations are Still Running High $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX About 2/3rds of Americans see the US economy as Good to Great. Monday night President Trump’s top trade adviser Peter Navarro said the White House is not planning to restrict foreign investment as part of its trade actions against China or any other country. […]
The US Economy is Rolling Along on Truck Tires Real GDP may be starting to do so at a faster speed now, exceeding the so-called 2% “stall speed,” which was the so-called “New Normal” from mid-2010 through Q-1 of Y 2018 Consider the following: A Supercharged Quarter: Friday, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model boosted the Q2-2018 real […]
Living in the Trump Era of Optimism, Prosperity and Strong Economic Growth $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ Just in case you missed this at the weekend, and remember Optimism leads to Power! Friday’s blockbuster NFPs (jobs) data capped a long string of recent strong economic reports which has led to much brighter forecasts for American growth under […]
American Consumers are Borrowing More Americans increased their borrowing by $11.6-B in March as a big increase in the category that covers auto and student loans offset the largest monthly drop in credit card borrowing in more than five years. The Federal Reserve says the March increase in total debt was below the $13.6-B increase in February […]
The US Stock Market Remains in Consolidation Mode $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX, $USO The Bull has paused to refresh Fundamentals are Strong Interest rates are low Some pundits are saying that the world markets entered Y 2018 speculating that the most synchronized global economic expansion in a decade was going to get to Hot, but […]
Strong Economic Development Seen in the USA $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ US stocks were up and down last week, seeming driven by shifting headlines on US-China trade tensions. When in fact the market is consolidating the huge gainer since Donald Trump was elected US President. Now, is very important to distinguish between tariffs that we already […]
US Economy Strong in Q-4 Consumer spending on goods also saw its biggest Quarterly bounce in more than 11 years after an upward revision to 7.8% growth. The US economy grew significantly faster at the end of Y 2017 than previously reported, with revised data showing stronger consumer spending and business investment, the government reported […]
Donald Trump 3.0, a ‘Great President’ Fourteen months into the current administration, CNN anchor Erin Burnett felt compelled to make a startling admission, Donald Trump may go down “as a Great president.” She added, “And there’s no way around that. That is the reality here.” Ms. Burnett’s assessment was referring to President Trump’s ability to […]
Investors ‘Animal Spirit’ Elevated on President Trump’s Leadership $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX It has been 14 months since the election victory of President Donald Trump on 8 November 2016. The surprising upset of Hillary R. Clinton awakened Americans “animal spirits” on the economy and risk on investments, they are still aroused. The hard data that […]
Seeing US GDP for Q-4 Being Revised Upward US economic growth for Q-4 Y 2017 is likely to be revised upward after data Thursday indicated more spending on services than previously estimated by the government. The Commerce Department’s quarterly services survey, or QSS, added to December data on construction spending and manufacturers inventories in suggesting that gross […]
‘Like it or Not,’ President Trump’s Tax Cuts to Boost Economic Growth $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Ken Langone, the founder of Home Depot (NYSE:HD) says whether or not you are a supporter of President Donald Trump, his landmark tax-cut strategy will ultimately truly help “Make America Great Again” on every financial and economic level. “It’s […]
Economic Gains Come with President Trump’s Infrastructure Plan US President Donald Trump’s multi-billion dollar infrastructure plan helps give state and local governments control while streamlining the permit process. “The way it will work, the $200-B dollars in federal dollars won’t be granted until state and local governments come forward with private investment to match it,” White […]
Atlanta Fed: ‘The Trump Economy’ on Track to Grow 5.4% in Q-1 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The US economy is setting a torrid pace in Q-1 of Y 2018, putting it on track to mark its best Quarter since late Y 2009, a forecast model from the Atlanta Federal Reserve showed Thursday. GDP (gross domestic […]
The Trump Economy has Traction, is Gaining Momentum Last week’s Q-4 GDP report showed a gainer of 2.6% (SAAR), following gains of 3.2% and 3.1% the prior 2 Quarters, which was the 1st time in 3 years that GDP posted 2 consecutive Quarters of 3.0%+ growth. Note: Nothing close to that ever happened in the […]
US GDP Posted Solid Growth in Q-4 The US economy grew at a solid rate of 2.6% in Q-4 of last year, helped by the fastest consumer spending since the Spring of Y 2016 and a big rebound in home construction. The Q-4 advance in US GDP (gross domestic product, the country’s total output of […]
China’s Economy +6.9% in 2017, Beats Forecasts China’s economy finished Y 2017 on strong with a better-than-expected growth rate and improved structure, official data showed Thursday. The world’s 2nd largest economy expanded 6.9% Y-Y in Y 2017, higher than the 6.7% growth registered in Y 2016, data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed. […]
The Numbers That Support The Trump Stock Rally $SPY, $AMZN, $FB, $GOOGL, $MSFT Pundits and talking heads are suggesting worries of a ‘Blow Off” Top to the record-high stock market because equities are overpriced. But a close look finds that the market’s current value is not extreme. After a series of record-breaking closes for US stocks […]
This is a Strong Start for The Trump Economy Beginning last Spring, US GDP has averaged about 3%, that is much stronger than either during the Bush (43) or Hussein Obama (45) Presidencies. This Winter, consumers are likely to pull back some and pay off credit-card balances accumulated during the holiday shopping season. Then, with […]
