The Trump Effect: US Economy is Strong $DIA The strong US economy continues under President Donald Trump. A string of reports Thursday showed the labor market is getting stronger, consumers are increasingly optimistic and manufacturers are expanding, adding to signs that GDP (gross domestic product) remains on track for a solid performance in Q-3 Filings […]
The Trump Effect: Atlanta Fed Keeps GDP Forecast at 4.4% $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wednesday, the S&P 500 finished with a gainer of 0.1%, driven by financial shares, which rallied on another rise in interest rates. The blue-chip DJIA outperformed, adding 0.6%, the NAS Comp lagged, closing lower by 0.1%, and the small-cap Russell […]
Fed Moving to Avert a Recession Due to Falling Unemployment Fed officials tout 10 yrs of falling unemployment as among their major victories in fighting the economic crisis of Y’s 2007 to 2009. Now they are starting to worry they have been too successful. When unemployment falls as low as it is currently, Boston Fed […]
Hurricane Florence Will Distort Economic Data, Expect Little Harm $HD, $LOW The coming economic impact of Hurricane Florence is unlikely to be large but will likely muddle US data for months, judging from past experience. Last year, Hurricanes Harvey and Irma constrained activity in Q-3 of Y 2017 and sparked rebuilding later in the year […]
President Trump’s Tariffs Policy is Working $F, $GM President Donald Trump’s trade and tariff strategy, risky as it may seem is working. He is a master negotiator is hammering out agreements, 1st with the Europeans, next Mexico, both are better deals for American firms and workers. His threat of tariffs is leading to lower tariffs. […]
Atlanta Fed Lifts Q-3 GDP Prediction to 4.7% $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The next GDPNow update is Wednesday, 5 September. The US economy is growing at a 4.7% annualized rate in Q-3, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow forecast model showed on Tuesday, following the latest data on construction spending and factory activity. This is now […]
MAGA Effect:Household Income Spikes US median household income is at all-time highs US median household income has risen more than 4% since President Donald Trump took office on the overall strong economic growth and robust optimism. Inflation-adjusted median household incomes in July hit $62,450, according to the latest release from Sentier Research. “That’s the highest level […]
Atlanta Fed’s Q-3 GDP Estimate at 4.1% The US economy is expanding at a 4.1% annualized rate in Q-3, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s latest GDPNow forecast model showed, following the release of the advanced economic indicators from the US Census earlier this week. This was slower than the 4.6% GDP growth pace calculated by the […]
US Economy Grows Most in 4 Years US economic growth has come in stronger than initially estimated in Q-2, posting its best performance in nearly 4 years, as businesses boosted spending on software and imports declined. Gross domestic product (GDP) increased at a 4.2% annualized rate, the US Commerce Department said Wednesday in its 2nd […]
US Stock Market Indexes Finished Flat to Little Changed $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Tuesday, the S&P 500 closed at a new record high for the 3rd session running. It was a range-bound trading day, with the S&P 500 keeping between -0.1% and +0.2%, and 7 of the 11 sectors finished in the Red. The […]
The Trump Tax Cut Driving Strong Business Investment Shipments of core capital goods rose 0.9% last month after an upwardly revised 0.9% gainer in June. US economy is growing at a 4.6% annualized rate in the third quarter following the government’s data on new-home sales and costs, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow forecast model showed […]
Atlanta Fed Lifts GDP Growth Estimate to 4.6% The Trump Effect Expands The US economy is growing at a 4.6% annualized rate in Q-3 following the government’s data on new-home sales and costs, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow forecast model showed Friday. Friday’s Atlanta Fed estimate is higher than the last estimate of 4.3% on 16 August. […]
Last week Senator Pauline Hanson introduced her Plebiscite (Future Migration level) Bill 2018 to the Senate. The Bill proposes to give voters a say on whether Australia’s immigration levels are too high by casting a vote at the next general election. “For years the people of Australia have had immigration and population levels dictated to […]
Statement by Philip Lowe, Governor: Monetary Policy Decision At its meeting today, the Board decided to leave the cash rate unchanged at 1.50 per cent. The global economic expansion is continuing. A number of advanced economies are growing at an above-trend rate and unemployment rates are low. Growth in China has slowed a little, with […]
The Atlanta Fed Lifts Q-3 GDP Growth View to 5% The US economy is growing at a 5.0% annualized rate in Q-3 following the latest data on construction spending and manufacturing activity, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s most-recent GDPNow forecast model showed. That is faster than the 4.7% pace calculated by the regional Fed’s forecast program […]
President Trump’s Policies Restore Economic Prosperity After about 19 months in the Oval Office, US President Donald Trump’s economic policies have begun to return the US to real economic prosperity. The U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) announced that in Q-2 of this year GDP grew at a 4.1% annual rate. It has been 13 years since […]
President Trump’s Tax Cut, Deregulation Have ‘Accelerated Growth’ $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Monday JPMorgan Chase & Co. Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon said Monday that President Donald Trump’s tax cuts, along with some of his other efforts, have helped out the U.S. economy. “Presidents get a lot of credit [and] a lot of blame […]
President Trump Hails the “Amazing” 4.1% Q-2 Economic Growth Rate “the President’s policies are working,and not just on the top line, but in the details” Friday from the White House, US President Donald Trump hailed the “amazing” 4.1% Q-2 GDP rate, as the fastest pace since Y 2014, as proof that “we’ve accomplished an economic […]
US Economy Not Harmed by President Trump’s International Trade Dust-ups Shayne and I expect China to align with the US’s sloution, as it cannot afford not to. Saturday, US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said that the overall US economy has not been harmed by the trade battles set off by President Donald Trump’s get-tough policies, […]
US Industrial Production Driving Economy US industrial production increased in June, boosted by a sharp rebound in manufacturing and further gains in mining output, the latest sign of robust economic growth in Q-2. But, a strong USD and shortage of workers pose a risk to production, with factory surveys suggesting some strain in the supply […]
Atlanta Fed: “US Economy Growing at 4.5% Annualized Rate” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Monday, the Atlanta Fed announced that the US economy is growing at a 4.5% annualized rate in Q-2 following the latest data on strong retail-sales data, the GDPNow forecast model showed. The latest estimate on GDP growth is faster than the […]
President Trump’s Stimulus to Boost US Economy for ‘at Least’ 3 Years $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Thursday, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said he believes the US economy remains in a “good place,” with recent government tax and spending programs likely to boost GDP (gross domestic product) for perhaps 3 years. “I think the […]
Australia: Will Rates Burst the Real Estate Bubble Banks in Australia are gearing up for slight increases in interest rates, but in an overly inflated market this may well mean disaster for many and a correction in prices across the country. The smaller lenders are already moving rates higher but so far the big 4 […]
Atlanta Fed Lifts Q-2 GDP View to 4.1% The US economy is growing at a 4.1% annualized rate in Q-2 following the latest data on consumer spending, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow forecast model showed Monday. The latest estimate on gross domestic product growth was slower than the 3.7 percent pace estimated Friday, the Atlanta Fed said. […]
US Economy: Big Q-2 GDP Numbers are Expected $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Thursday, investors will receive the 3rd estimate for Q-2 GDP +the weekly Initial Claims report. US Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin says he’s expecting a “big Q-2 GDP number.” Secretary Mnuchin said on TV Wednesday, that the US economy is strong due to President […]
US Consumer Expectations are Still Running High $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX About 2/3rds of Americans see the US economy as Good to Great. Monday night President Trump’s top trade adviser Peter Navarro said the White House is not planning to restrict foreign investment as part of its trade actions against China or any other country. […]
The US Economy is Rolling Along on Truck Tires Real GDP may be starting to do so at a faster speed now, exceeding the so-called 2% “stall speed,” which was the so-called “New Normal” from mid-2010 through Q-1 of Y 2018 Consider the following: A Supercharged Quarter: Friday, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow model boosted the Q2-2018 real […]
Living in the Trump Era of Optimism, Prosperity and Strong Economic Growth $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ Just in case you missed this at the weekend, and remember Optimism leads to Power! Friday’s blockbuster NFPs (jobs) data capped a long string of recent strong economic reports which has led to much brighter forecasts for American growth under […]
American Consumers are Borrowing More Americans increased their borrowing by $11.6-B in March as a big increase in the category that covers auto and student loans offset the largest monthly drop in credit card borrowing in more than five years. The Federal Reserve says the March increase in total debt was below the $13.6-B increase in February […]
The US Stock Market Remains in Consolidation Mode $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX, $USO The Bull has paused to refresh Fundamentals are Strong Interest rates are low Some pundits are saying that the world markets entered Y 2018 speculating that the most synchronized global economic expansion in a decade was going to get to Hot, but […]
Strong Economic Development Seen in the USA $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ US stocks were up and down last week, seeming driven by shifting headlines on US-China trade tensions. When in fact the market is consolidating the huge gainer since Donald Trump was elected US President. Now, is very important to distinguish between tariffs that we already […]
US Economy Strong in Q-4 Consumer spending on goods also saw its biggest Quarterly bounce in more than 11 years after an upward revision to 7.8% growth. The US economy grew significantly faster at the end of Y 2017 than previously reported, with revised data showing stronger consumer spending and business investment, the government reported […]
Donald Trump 3.0, a ‘Great President’ Fourteen months into the current administration, CNN anchor Erin Burnett felt compelled to make a startling admission, Donald Trump may go down “as a Great president.” She added, “And there’s no way around that. That is the reality here.” Ms. Burnett’s assessment was referring to President Trump’s ability to […]
Investors ‘Animal Spirit’ Elevated on President Trump’s Leadership $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX It has been 14 months since the election victory of President Donald Trump on 8 November 2016. The surprising upset of Hillary R. Clinton awakened Americans “animal spirits” on the economy and risk on investments, they are still aroused. The hard data that […]
Seeing US GDP for Q-4 Being Revised Upward US economic growth for Q-4 Y 2017 is likely to be revised upward after data Thursday indicated more spending on services than previously estimated by the government. The Commerce Department’s quarterly services survey, or QSS, added to December data on construction spending and manufacturers inventories in suggesting that gross […]
‘Like it or Not,’ President Trump’s Tax Cuts to Boost Economic Growth $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Ken Langone, the founder of Home Depot (NYSE:HD) says whether or not you are a supporter of President Donald Trump, his landmark tax-cut strategy will ultimately truly help “Make America Great Again” on every financial and economic level. “It’s […]
Economic Gains Come with President Trump’s Infrastructure Plan US President Donald Trump’s multi-billion dollar infrastructure plan helps give state and local governments control while streamlining the permit process. “The way it will work, the $200-B dollars in federal dollars won’t be granted until state and local governments come forward with private investment to match it,” White […]
Atlanta Fed: ‘The Trump Economy’ on Track to Grow 5.4% in Q-1 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The US economy is setting a torrid pace in Q-1 of Y 2018, putting it on track to mark its best Quarter since late Y 2009, a forecast model from the Atlanta Federal Reserve showed Thursday. GDP (gross domestic […]
The Trump Economy has Traction, is Gaining Momentum Last week’s Q-4 GDP report showed a gainer of 2.6% (SAAR), following gains of 3.2% and 3.1% the prior 2 Quarters, which was the 1st time in 3 years that GDP posted 2 consecutive Quarters of 3.0%+ growth. Note: Nothing close to that ever happened in the […]
US GDP Posted Solid Growth in Q-4 The US economy grew at a solid rate of 2.6% in Q-4 of last year, helped by the fastest consumer spending since the Spring of Y 2016 and a big rebound in home construction. The Q-4 advance in US GDP (gross domestic product, the country’s total output of […]
China’s Economy +6.9% in 2017, Beats Forecasts China’s economy finished Y 2017 on strong with a better-than-expected growth rate and improved structure, official data showed Thursday. The world’s 2nd largest economy expanded 6.9% Y-Y in Y 2017, higher than the 6.7% growth registered in Y 2016, data from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) showed. […]
The Numbers That Support The Trump Stock Rally $SPY, $AMZN, $FB, $GOOGL, $MSFT Pundits and talking heads are suggesting worries of a ‘Blow Off” Top to the record-high stock market because equities are overpriced. But a close look finds that the market’s current value is not extreme. After a series of record-breaking closes for US stocks […]
This is a Strong Start for The Trump Economy Beginning last Spring, US GDP has averaged about 3%, that is much stronger than either during the Bush (43) or Hussein Obama (45) Presidencies. This Winter, consumers are likely to pull back some and pay off credit-card balances accumulated during the holiday shopping season. Then, with […]
Trump Effect Driving GDP Not Seen for 13 Years The Trump Economy is doing something not seen since Y 2005 by sustaining economic growth at a 3% or better pace for 3 Quarters running. Economists have raised Q-4 growth estimates to 3%+ after strong December retail sales and robust revisions to prior months. The Big […]
America is Thriving, as The ‘Trump Effect’ Gains Traction $GS, $MCO Companies across the USA are enjoying a major boost from The Trump Administration’s tax reform package, which is expected to translate into job creation and higher wages, according to a new report. Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (NYSE:GS) economist Jan Hatzius, predicts GDP growth and […]
President Donald ‘Santa’ Trump Delivering Strong Economic Data There looks to be no end to the strong data. Revised Q-3 GDP, December Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, November Leading Indicators, October Home Prices and Weekly Jobless Claims GDP: 3.2% (down 0.1 percentage point) Phila. Fed: +3.5 points LEI: +0.4% Home Prices (Over-Year) +6.6% Jobless Claims: +20,000 […]
President Trump’s Tax Reform Will Boost GDP, Wages and Add 340,000 Jobs The final GOP tax bill set for a House vote Tuesday, reportedly will boost GDP (gross domestic product) by 1.7%, lift wages by 1.5%, and add 340,000 full-time jobs to the US economy. The Tax Foundation analyzed the details of the final bill […]
President Trump’s Tax Cuts Promote Growth, Reduce Deficit $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Market Notes Stocks rose to new all-time highs with technology and energy shares pacing the advance as The Trump Rally extends The CBOE launched Bitcoin (BTCUSD)futures trading Sunday evening. The 1-month futures contract was trading at around $18,600 at the stock market’s closing bell. […]
US Wage Gains Stalled Despite Robust Jobs Market, Strong Economy $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The US Jobs Market is “Red Hot” The ADP estimate of November private sector job gains was solid. The increases were across the board as most industries and all sizes of businesses added workers solidly. The 40,000 increase in manufacturing payrolls […]
President Donald Trump Starts Official State Visit to China US President Donald Trump arrived in Beijing Wednesday afternoon, starting his state visit to China. The 3-day trip is Trump’s 1st visit to the country since he assumed the Presidency on 20 January. He is the 1st head of state to visit China since the landmark […]
Atlanta Fed Sees US GDP at 3.3% in Q-4 The U.S. economy is on track to grow at a 3.3% annualized pace in Q-4 based on the latest data on US NFPs and business inventories, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow forecast model showed Friday. The latest estimate for Q-4 GDP (gross domestic product) growth was […]
‘Trump Economy’ Running Strong 3% GDP Despite Hurricanes The US economy maintained a strong pace of growth in Q-3, as an increase in inventory investment and a smaller trade deficit offset a hurricane-related slowdown in consumer spending and a decline in construction. US GDP increased at a 3.0% annual rate in the July-September frame after […]
China Expects to Achieve Annual Economic Growth Target China’s economy is expected to attain or surpass the government’s annual growth target of around 6.5% this year, a chief economic planner said Saturday. “The growth target of around 6.5% is expected to be fulfilled successfully, and it is possible to achieve even better results,” said He […]
Focus China: What to Expect During the Next 5 Years The eyes of the world turn to China as the Communist Party of China (CPC) hold its 19th National Congress, where the CPC unveil new leadership and set the course for national development for the next 5 years and beyond. Shayne and I believe that […]
“If Hillary Would Have Won, Markets Would Have Gone Down” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX DJIA finishes at a fresh record high, as The Trump Rally extends. US President Donald Trump takes a well-deserved victory lap as the stock market has soared since his election victory over Hillary Clinton, as our stock market is at all-time highs […]
Strong Business Spending Driving the US Economy New orders for US-made goods rose in August and orders for core capital goods were stronger than previously reported, suggesting strong business spending to offset some of the economic drag of Hurricanes Harvey and Irma. Factory goods orders in August increased 1.2% as demand for a range of […]
The Hussein Obama Era of Economic Surrender Is Over $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Stocks ended the Week, and the Quarter, on a high note, driving the S&P 500 (+0.4%) higher for the 4th session running to record highs, as The Trump Rally extends. US GDP Revised Up to 3.1% in Q-2, exceeding economists expectations Friday, […]
US Economic Growth Revised Up to 3.1% in Q-2, Stocks Close at Record Highs $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Wall Street edged higher Thursday, as the S&P 500 marked a record high, while investors show confidence that President Donald Trump will make progress on his tax reform plan. US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said President Trump’s […]
Xi Sailing BRICS’ Ship on Epic Voyage $GS, $CNY, $LNGVY, $BABA In stormy waters it is common for fishermen in Southeast China to set out to sea in groups. Each boat has its own Captain, but they will discuss fishing strategies when they return from a voyage. Over cans of beer, they argue but soon […]
US Economic Growth Revised to 3%, Stronger Household Spending The pace of growth is in line with The Trump Administration’s long-term goal of 3% as the President’s policies kick in. US Q-2 growth was revised upward to the fastest pace in 2 years on stronger household spending and a bigger gain in business investment, putting […]
The Japanese economy has been showing convincing signs of strength throughout the month of August. Despite softer than expected imports, Japan still managed to beat Q2 GDP expectations. Economic indicators like the PMIalso signal growth. However, despite the strong GDP outlook, Japan’s inflation rate remains dismally below the Bank of Japan’s targets, leaving the possibility of […]
The 3 Hurdles to 3% Economic Growth in the US President Trump’s 2018 budget assumes uninterrupted increases in the pace of economic growth during each of the next three years before real GDP growth levels out at 3% for every year thereafter. Our own forecast is less sanguine, as are those of the Congressional Budget […]
Progressive Democrats Trying to Destroy US President Trump Mr. President, Drain the Swamp! President Trump has miraculously turned the economy around; Q-2 GDP, Trump’s 1st full Quarter in the Oval Office was far ahead of anything produced by Mr. Obama. Corporate profits are soaring; job growth is phenomenal; the stock market is at all-time highs; […]
Bank of England says Brexit and the uncertainty around it has already hit people’s incomes and is weighing down the economy. Households have cut back on spending and businesses on investment, slowing the economy’s growth. It comes as the Bank downgraded its forecasts for the British economy this year, just days after EU statistics indicated the eurozone […]
Weakening USD is Positive for Gold & Silver $GLD, $USD, $SLV The US Dollar (.DXY) Index has been moving lower, retreating 9% in 5 months, from 102 in March to its current 93.39. Not surprisingly, Gold has risen almost 10% in USD terms during this frame. Earlier this year many participant expected USD to continue its […]
Economy Malaysian authorities have arrested over 3,300 undocumented workers and 84 employers in the country’s latest crackdown Activists are concerned about possible abuses of workers’ rights, while labor shortages continue to plague business owners Malaysia had 5% growth for Q2 given the strong trade for May 2017 which has exceeded forecasts, growing by 31.5% to […]
A Look Inside Australia’s Economy Highlights: GDP of AUD$1.62 trillion as of 2015 In 2012, it was the 12th largest national economy by nominal GDP and the 19th-largest measured by PPP-adjusted GDP, about 1.7% of the world economy The Australian Securities Exchange in Sydney is the largest stock exchange in Australia and in the South […]
The purchasing power of major trade partners and production restructuring to keep up with demand are having larger effects on exports than the baht’s movement. Also concerns that the baht’s persistent strength will stall the recovery of exports, which account for more than two-thirds of Thailand’s GDP. The baht has been among the best-performing currencies […]
The Japanese Yen was steady against the US Dollar Monday, despite a survey of big manufacturers which found them more cheerful than they’ve been for more than three years and seemed to underscore the Bank of Japan’s relative economic optimism. The official ‘tankan’ survey for this year’s second quarter showed large manufacturers’ sentiment at 17, its […]
The Data is Out, America Is Now a ‘2nd Tier’ Country Some 17 others outperform the US by a wide margin when it comes to well-being, that in part thanks to former President Barack Hussein Obama America leads the world with access to higher education. But, when it comes to health, environmental protection, and fighting discrimination, it […]
Atlanta Fed Raises Q-2 GDP Growth View to 3.2% The US economy is growing at a 3.2% annualized pace in Q-2 of Y 2017 based on data on May retail sales and consumer prices, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s most recent GDP Now forecast model showed. The latest Q-2 GDP (gross domestic product) estimate was stronger […]
The Japanese yen slid after some disappointing GDP data. The yen was down by about 0.3% around 110.22 per US dollar around 8 a.m. ET after climbing as high as 109.44 in early action. It retraced some of its losses, trading down by 0.2% at 110.02 per dollar at 8:52 a.m. ET. The final reading showed that Japan’s GDP rose by […]
Gold (NYSEArca:GLD) Spikes on Heavy Volume $GLD, $GDX, $KGC, $SLW, $ABX, $EXCFF, $NEM, $GG Tuesday, the return of the safe haven buyer and a weaker USD combined to lift the precious Yellow metal to its highest mark since the election of Donald Trump on 8 November. Gold futures in New York for delivery in August, […]
NATO Countries Paying Up after President Trump’s Public Scolding President Donald Trump Saturday tweeted that NATO member states have “agreed to step up payments considerably” and that “money is beginning to pour in” after his speech on Thursday scolding the nations’ leaders in Brussels. Follow Donald J. Trump ✔@realDonaldTrump Many NATO countries have agreed to […]
Trump Economy Runs, Atlanta Fed Raises GDP Growth View at 4.1% The US economy is forecast to expand at a 4.1% annualized pace in the Q-2 following the release of April figures on housing starts and industrial output, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDP Now forecast model showed Tuesday. Domestic factory production increased 1.0% last month […]
US Durable Goods Data Indicates Increased Business Spending $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX New orders for Key US-made capital goods rose less than expected in March, but a 2nd straight monthly increase in shipments suggested business investment accelerated in Q-1 behind a recovering energy sector. While other data relieved Thursday showed a bigger-than-expected increase in 1st-time […]
China’s GDP Comes in Better than Expected at 6.9% Y-Y $JPM In the latest sign of economic stabilization, China reported better-than-expected growth for Q-1 of Y 2017. The world’s 2nd-largest economy saw its GDP (gross domestic product) rise 6.9% Y-Y to hit US$ 2.63-T in Q-1, up from 6.8% growth in the prior Quarter, according […]
President Trump’s ‘Make America Great Again’ Economic Growth Potential $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The Big Q: Has been a decline in the potential growth of the economy that may defy both the animal spirits unleashed by Donald Trump’s election as well as his “Make America Great Again” aka MAGA, fiscal policies, assuming they get fully […]
The 1st Quarter was Good for Stocks $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Q-1 of this year good for stocks as the S&P 500 climbed just over 5.5% during the frame. Mapping the move of the S&P 500 and the other major stock market indices over the last Q, we see that March was a different month […]
Inflation in US Means Higher Interest Rates Speakers from the Fed are talking of up to 3 more Fed rate hikes this year. It is clear that Fed tightening is warranted by the steady rise in US inflation and the debate is more about the degree of tightening and the mechanism of tightening that is […]
Trumpism: New York Fed Raises Q-1 & Q-2 GDP Outlook to 3.19% $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The New York Fed Friday raised its estimates for US economic growth in the 1st and 2nd Quarter from a week ago following the latest data on inventories, trade and jobs US GDP (gross domestic product) is on track […]
Australia’s Resource Rich Economy Avoids Recessio Australia’s resource-rich economy avoided recession by posting strong growth in Q-4, helped by surging commodity prices. GDP grew by 1.1% in Q-4 from the 3rd, and by 2.4% from a year earlier, Q-3 GDP was not revised from an initially reported fall of 0.5%. Economists had expected 0.8% growth […]
US President Donald Trump’s Economic Plan to Spur GDP $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Economic experts now believe that the Trump White House estimates of economic growth of 3 to 3.5% are actually “too conservative” and the economy is poised to expand much faster than that. “With Reagan, we put up 4% growth rates coming out […]
Gold is the Safest Investment in a Volatile Political Atmosphere $GLD Savvy asset managers predicts that the only safe investment in a volatile political and economic atmosphere is Gold. “Gold is one of the few things you should own,” a UK hedge fund manager said Wednesday. Adding, “…hat there are very few, if any, safe […]
US Small-Business Optimism Highest in 10 Years $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX US President Donald Trump’s vow to slash business regulations drove small-business optimism in January to the highest marks in more than 10 years. Monday, we saw the executive order that was just signed on slashing the regulations that have been choking small businesses, and […]
Predictions for 2017, The Dawning ‘Age of Trumpism’ The entire world is about to change, we are living a Key reversal in the Pattern There is a wave of anti-socialist, anti PC, anti-diversity, anti-entitlement, anti-establishment of the past 70 years is washing across the world now. On 16 June 2015 I wrote in this column […]
China’s GDP Hits Government Target in 2016 China’s economy grew 6.7% Y-Y in Y 2016, the slowest pace of growth in 26 years, but well within the government’s target range, official data showed Friday. Growth in Q-4 came in at 6.8%, accelerating from the 6.7% in Q-3, according to National Bureau of Statistics data (NBS). […]
US Stocks Could Rise 12% This Year as Economic Growth Gathers Momentum $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX US stocks could rise 12% this year as economic growth gathers momentum, bolstering demand for risk assets, while pushing US Treasury prices lower, according to Byron Wien VP of Blackstone Group (NYSE:BX) The Vice President of multi-asset investing at […]
Renewed Optimism Seen For Chinese Economy In March of this year Chinese leaders detailed the nation’s 13th 5-year plan running from 2016 – 2020 which doubles-down on a long-stated commitment to “double 2010 GDP by 2020”. The 2020 GDP goal would require annual growth rates of 6.5% to go from a nominal $10-T last year […]
US Economy Has “Hardly Grown” at All in Last 5 Years $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX US economic growth has essentially stalled in the last 5 years under President Barack Hussein Obama. “A necessary condition for economic growth is that output per hour grows at a rate probably close to 2 percent. We’re now under 0.5%, […]
The Great Recession Is Over, and America is Running on Empty A Gallup study of US growth and productivity finds there has been NO economic recovery. “The Great Recession may be over, but America is running on empty,” writes Jim Clifton, Chairman/CEO at Gallup. The US Council on Competitiveness asked Gallup to conduct, pro bono, […]
US Consumer Confidence Spikes to Highest Mark in Decade $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX US consumer confidence rebounded this month to the highest mark in more than 9 years. The Conference Board said Tuesday that its consumer confidence index registered 107.1 in November, up from 100.8 last month and highest since July 2007. Americans’ assessment of […]
Financial Markets Love Donald Trump, as Obama Fades to Black $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The stock market’s rise to record highs after Donald Trump’s Presidential victory shows that investors are optimistic that the economy will improve as President Barack Hussein Obama leaves office. “His promise to cut both corporate taxes and red tape will translate […]
The Trump Rally Can Extend Into 2017 $SPY It is looking likely that President Elect Donald Trump will preside over a continuing US expansion that could take its place as the longest among American business cycles, there are industry experts that predict that by the time Donald Trump takes office in January, the S&P 500 […]
It is Time to Be Optimistic Again $SPY Donald Trump’s plans for the economy will boost deficits, interest rates and growth but also will create opportunities for ordinary investors, it is time for Americans to be optimistic again. Both Trump and Hillary Clinton promised sorely needed additional spending on roads and public structures, schools, railway […]
Yellen, “Fed could raise US interest rates relatively soon.” The Fed could raise US interest rates “relatively soon,” Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen said Thursday as data showing a surge in housing starts and uptick in inflation underscored her upbeat assessment of where the country stands. In Ms. Yellen’s 1st remarks since the election of Donald […]
FBI’s Announcement on Hillary Clinton Investigation Knocks Stocks off Highs $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The US economy grew at a 2.9% in Q-3, the strongest pace in 2 years, as businesses began restocking their shelves at a faster pace. The Q-3 US GDP (gross domestic product), the broadest measure of economic health, was 2X the […]
No Need for China to Fake Steady GDP Growth China’s economy has achieved steady growth of 6.7% for 3 Quarters running, leading many analysts to suspect that there has been some data smoothing. However, the reality is that the government simply has no incentive or necessity to whitewash the real economic picture. It’s routine for […]
Recession Looms, Bond Bulls Charge Ahead $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Bond investing has been hugely profitable with central banks like the Fed, ECB, BOE and BOJ driving debt values higher for as long as anyone can remember. And Bond Bulls can expect even more gains ahead as governments desperately try to stimulate economic growth with […]
Atlanta Fed Raises US Q-3 GDP Growth View to 2.0% $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The US economy is on track to grow at a 2.0% annualized pace in the third quarter following the latest data on government expenditures, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDP Now forecast model showed on Wednesday. Its latest Q-3 GDP estimate was […]