The World is Set for a Strong Economic Recovery

The World is Set for a Strong Economic Recovery

#economic #recovery #VirusCasedemic #Japan #machine #tools $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Japan’s exports accelerated in January, led by a rise in Chinese demand, and manufacturers’ sentiment turned positive for the 1st time since Y 2019 signaling a recovery from last year’s VirusCasedemic deep dive. Core machinery orders, a Key leading indicator of capital spending, rose […]

The Bulls Paused to Refresh, Fears of a Large Market Bubble are Overblown

The Bulls Paused to Refresh, Fears of a Large Market Bubble are Overblown

#Bulls #bubble $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX As global shares are hanging at record highs, and we believe that this stock market is not an overblown bubble, but there are some little sector bubbles where the risk lies. With MSCI’s All Country World index, which tracks stocks across 49 countries is where the fears are […]

The Fed Let the World Know it is Not Exiting its Easy Money Policy

The Fed Let the World Know it is Not Exiting its Easy Money Policy

#Fed #money $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Thursday, Fed Chairman Powell said “now is not the time” to be discussing an exit from ultra-easy monetary policy and promised to give plenty of notice before it begins to debate scaling back its huge bond-buying campaign. “We know we need to be very careful in communicating about […]

DJIA, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 Ran to All-time Highs Despite Chaos on Capitol Hill

DJIA, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 Ran to All-time Highs Despite Chaos on Capitol Hill

#CaptolHill #Antifa #chaos #Congress #PresidentTrump $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The DJIA, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 (+4.0%) finished higher, soaring to all-time highs Wednesday, as investors ignored the Antifa led chaos on Capitol Hill. The FOMC minutes noted continued support for the economy Former FBI agent on the ground at the Capitol just texted […]

Gold Bulls are Running North on Sinking US Dollar

Gold Bulls are Running North on Sinking US Dollar

#Gold #Bulls #USD $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $XAU $GLD “Plus, the S&P 500, DJIA, NAS Comp and Russell 2000 index all closed at their highest marks ever as The Trump Rally extended. “— Paul Ebeling Gold rose to a 1-month high after the Fed’s reiterated its commitment to supporting the economy and optimism grew […]

Fed Officials Painting a Brighter Picture for 2021

Fed Officials Painting a Brighter Picture for 2021

#Fed #growth #employment #money #economy #stocks $bonds #consumer #spending $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Fed sees 4.2% growth, and full employment in the New Year“– Paul Ebeling The Fed said Wednesday that it will keep buying government bonds until the economy makes “substantial” progress. Thus reassuring financial markets and keeping long-term borrowing rates low indefinitely. […]

The Trump Rally Extends on Solid Policies and Strong Support

The Trump Rally Extends on Solid Policies and Strong Support

#PresidentTrump #Rally #Policies #Support $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The market is not buyin Biden, the market is always right“– Paul Ebeling Reviewing Wednesday’s economic data:Industrial production increased 0.4% M-M in November. The capacity utilization rate jumped to 73.3% The Key takeaway from the report was the strong growth seen in the production of motor vehicles […]

Small Cap Stocks Rising on Recovery from Virus Chaos

Small Cap Stocks Rising on Recovery from Virus Chaos

#SmallCaps #stocks #recovery #COVID #vaccine #economy $RUTS #RUT “Small cap stocks outperformed in November for their best monthly performance on record, and will remain market leaders as they will benefit from the post-chaos economic recovery” — Paul Ebeling The Russell 2000 and S&P 600 indexes of small cap stocks are up more than 19% MTD, […]

Wall Street Knows the Fed Has its Back

Wall Street Knows the Fed Has its Back

#Fed #WallStreet #liquidity #money $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The Fed is absolutely supportive, Chairman Powell stresses it has got the market’s back, they are there” — Paul Ebeling Given the choice between a broad package of economic aid/relief/stimulus and targeted Fed liquidity support, Wall Street prefers liquidity, due to its benefits for asset prices. […]

Fed Stays the “Whatever it Takes” Course

Fed Stays the “Whatever it Takes” Course

#Fed #interestrates #stimulus #economy #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Fed kept its dovish monetary policy intact Thursday and pledged again to do whatever it takes in coming months to sustain a US economic recovery threatened by a spreading virus chaos. The policy statement released after the US central bank’s latest two-day meeting did not mention […]

President Trump and the Fed are Aligned for a Fast Recovery

President Trump and the Fed are Aligned for a Fast Recovery

#PresidentTrump #Fed #FOMC #GDP #economy #recovery “This positive turn in the economy is even more remarkable because it happened without the additional stimulus the mins show Fed officials expected in July.” — Paul Ebeling Last month Fed policy makers agreed that the economy was recovering from the China virus chaos recession much faster than they […]

“Seeing a less grim view of the virus chaos on the US Economy”

“Seeing a less grim view of the virus chaos on the US Economy”

#PresidentTrump #FOMC #US #economy #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $GS “Seeing a less grim view of the virus chaos on the US Economy.”–Paul Ebeling The US’ economic wounds from the China virus chaos is much less severe than initially feared, we along with Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s (NYSE:GS) economics team offer optimistic takes on […]

Gold’s Price Action Ahead of FOMC Meeting

Gold’s Price Action Ahead of FOMC Meeting

#gold #FOMC #price $XAU $GLD $USD The gold futures contract gained 0.66% Monday, as it continued to fluctuate following the recent advance. Recently gold was retracing a rally from around 1,800 to 7 August record high of 2,089.20 in reaction to USD advance, among other factors. Then gold has bounced off the support level marked by mid-August […]

President Trump Ends COVID Aid/Relief/Stimulus Negotiations with House Democrats Until After the Election

President Trump Ends COVID Aid/Relief/Stimulus Negotiations with House Democrats Until After the Election

#PresidentTrump #Fed #aid #relief #stimulus #covid #Democrats #election $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday, President Trump instructed aides to stop negotiating on another round of COVID-19 relief until after the election. He Tweeted that House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) was “not negotiating in good faith” and said he asked Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell focus before the election into confirming his Supreme Court nominee, Amy […]

Gold and Silver Break Lower Out of Pennant Patterns

Gold and Silver Break Lower Out of Pennant Patterns

#gold #silver $XAU $XAG $GLD $SLV $USD $DXY Gold fell over 3% Monday, sliding to its lowest mark in more than a month, as uncertainty over more US fiscal stimulus pressured the precious metals complex along with a stronger USD. Silver dove 9.4% to 24.25 as of 11:17a EDT, its lowest level in over a […]

The Fed Capped the Momentum in the Mega Tech Rally

The Fed Capped the Momentum in the Mega Tech Rally

#Fed #FOMC #QE #MegaTech #rally $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Mega tech’s market-leading days are numbered thanks to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. The NAS 100 sank as much as 2.8% Thursday, pushed down by a fall in the mega cap tech stocks that have powered this rally. The decline came after FOMC policy makers pledged […]

The China Virus Will Take a ‘Smaller Bite’ Out of the US Economy Than Expected

The China Virus Will Take a ‘Smaller Bite’ Out of the US Economy Than Expected

#Fed #PresidentTrump #economic #recovery #jobs #growth The Fed boosted its view of the American economy’s recovery from the China virus crisis Wednesday, projecting the chaos will take a smaller bite from the economy this year with 3 yrs of steady growth to follow. In new economic projections released along with the FOMC’s latest policy statement, […]

US Stocks Finished Higher Tuesday, Fed Seen Sticking with its Supportive Policy

US Stocks Finished Higher Tuesday, Fed Seen Sticking with its Supportive Policy

#stocks #Fed #FOMC #policy #rally $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The NAS Comp outperformed the other 2 major indexes, while the S&P 500 technology index gained 1%, extending its recovery from the pullback earlier this month that paused this Wall Street rally. Investors are optimistic as the FOMC began its 1st policy meeting since Chairman Powell […]

Jobs Report Good, Getting Better, Low Interest Rates to Stay for a Long Time, Do Not Fear September in a Presidential Election Year with the Incumbent Running

Jobs Report Good, Getting Better, Low Interest Rates to Stay for a Long Time, Do Not Fear September in a Presidential Election Year with the Incumbent Running

#PresidentTrump #Powell #Fed #jobs #interest #rates $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VIX $VXX The US financial markets will be closed Monday for Labor Day Friday, Trump Fed Chairman Powell declared the the NFPs employment report for August was “a good one,“and reiterated that the FOMC will keep ultra-accommodative monetary policy (the Fed put) for years to […]

The Trump Team Handled Coronavirus Chaos Magnificently, Market Responded With Record Bull Run

The Trump Team Handled Coronavirus Chaos Magnificently, Market Responded With Record Bull Run

#PresidentTrump #economy #Coronavirus #BullMarket $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX President Trump and his economic team have handled and are handling the economy “magnificently” during the coronavirus chaos, and there is no doubt that a V-shaped recovery is happening The S&P 500 closed at a record high Tuesday while rebounding from huge losses triggered by The Virus Chaos. […]

Gold is Temperamental, Silver is Really Temperamental, but There is a Long List of Bullish Drivers

Gold is Temperamental, Silver is Really Temperamental, but There is a Long List of Bullish Drivers

$XAU $GLD $XAG $SLV $USD $GOLD Gold steadied as investors paused after a record-breaking rally that saw futures touch 2,000oz for the 1st time. Futures and spot prices backed off from the wide swings that shook the market earlier as traders assessed the outlook for a host of drivers including Fed policy, with the FOMC meeting this […]

President Trump: “401(k) Investors Who Followed My Advice Doing Phenomenally Well”

President Trump: “401(k) Investors Who Followed My Advice Doing Phenomenally Well”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday, President Trump said 401(k) investors who “stayed with me” are doing great. In his latest use of 401(k)s as a campaign message, President Trump said Americans who “stayed with me” when the coronavirus hit are “doing phenomenally well.” The President said that Americans who sold stocks in March lost […]

Tuesday’s World Markets Outlook: Asia-Pacific + Wall Street Recap

#AsiaPacific #stock #markets #rally #dollar #gold #WallStreet #C19coronavirus #USChina #Fed #FOMC #Congress #yen #safehaven $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $XAU $GLD $USD #JPY Asian stock markets advance after Wall Street rally, gold extends, USD falls The price of gold rose 38.80 to 1,969.80oz Tuesday, up 2% to another record high. It is unusual for the price […]

Hardest Hit US Businesses President Trump’s Next Aid/Relief Focus (Video)

Hardest Hit US Businesses President Trump’s Next Aid/Relief Focus (Video)

#aid/relief #businesses #rally #Fed #FOMC #Congress #PPP #economy #PresidentTrump $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Fed Chairman Powell and Treasury Secretary Mnuchin testified before the House Financial Services Committee about the measures taken to support the economy. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin told Congress Tuesday that The Trump Administration wants the next round of economic aid/relief to […]

What the Fed Said in ‘Five Easy Pieces’

What the Fed Said in ‘Five Easy Pieces’

Last Wednesday Fed Chairman Powell spoke showing he has the power to move markets when it comes to monetary policy and how to help deal with the current C-19 coronavirus chaos’s instant recession. The FOMC was not expected make any change regarding Zero interest rates and nothing really new on the Fed’s ongoing asset purchases […]

Fed Chairman Powell, “Near-Zero Rates Through 2022, GDP to Hit 5% Next Year”

Fed Chairman Powell, “Near-Zero Rates Through 2022, GDP to Hit 5% Next Year”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Wednesday, the Trump Fed signaled it will provide years of extraordinary support for an economy clawing back from the C-19 coronavirus chaos. Th FOMC projects a 6.5% decline in GDP this yr and a 9.3% unemployment rate at yr’s end. In the 1st economic projections of the virus quarter, US central […]

.DXY (DX) Futures Technical Analysis, Investors Bet on Dovish Fed

.DXY (DX) Futures Technical Analysis, Investors Bet on Dovish Fed

$DX $.DXY $USD $JPY $EUR $GBP $CAD Tuesday, the USD reversed late in the session and is now trading lower against a basket of major currencies. The selling pressure is being led by a strong upward surge in the Euro. The Canadian Dollar is also making a comeback along with the British Pound. The Japanese Yen has been strong all session […]

Options Players Placing Bets Stocks Keep Rising

Options Players Placing Bets Stocks Keep Rising

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Traders established fresh Bullish positions last week by buying 35.6-M new Call options on stocks, up from a high of 28.7-M in February, when speculative activity was rampant. Options traders make big bets on rising prices. This kind of activity could lead to negative returns in the S&P 500 and […]

President Trump, “I strongly believe in negative interest rates, and Powell has improved.”

President Trump, “I strongly believe in negative interest rates, and Powell has improved.”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Wednesday, President Trump said he strongly believes the Fed should have negative interest rates, but gave a modicum of approval to Fed Chairman Powell who said earlier in the day the FOMC would not lower rates beyond Zero. President Trump said Mr. Powell, who he frequently criticizes, has improved in […]

On the Last Day of April Investors Took Some Profits

On the Last Day of April Investors Took Some Profits

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $USD $GLD $VXX Thursday, the market opened in the Red as some profit-taking into April’s month-end happened.  The market has been climbing that wall of worry the last few sessions improving the charts in all 3 major US stock market indexes, and thus turning all Key technical indicators Very Bullish. […]

Fed Stands Pat on Fed Funds Rates, Laments “Heartbreaking” Damage to America (Video)

Fed Stands Pat on Fed Funds Rates, Laments “Heartbreaking” Damage to America (Video)

Wednesday afternoon, Federal Chairman Powell said the coronavirus has brought the economy to an “abrupt halt” and it was uncertain how long the slowdown would last, as officials held interest rates near Zero, and pledged to keep them there until the nation was back on track. “Economic activity will likely drop at an unprecedented rate […]

US Q-2 GDP May Look “Awful” But…

US Q-2 GDP May Look “Awful” But…

The COVID-19 coronavirus lockdown is having a huge impact on the US economy, but on the reopening it is very likely that we will see a strong comeback. “The 2nd quarter is pretty awful,” former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan said Tuesday in a TV interview. “But if the issue of the virus works its way as […]

“Unprecedented Situations Require Unprecedented Actions”

“Unprecedented Situations Require Unprecedented Actions”

Unprecedented situations require unprecedented actions. That’s why the Fed should fight a rapidly deepening recession by taking interest rates below Zero for the 1st time ever. When the FOMC holds its regular policy-making meeting next week, all the warning lights will be flashing Red. The unemployment rate is expected to reach 2X digits by June. […]

US Stock Bulls Up and Running

US Stock Bulls Up and Running

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday, Wall Street’s Bulls came back to life rising from the edge of Bear market confirmation as bargain-hunters and notions of government stimulus calmed investors’ fears surrounding the coronavirus and prospects of a recession. All 3 major US stock market indexes spiked nearly 5% the day after they suffered their […]

“The Fed Must Cut Interest Rates Now”

“The Fed Must Cut Interest Rates Now”

$USD Monday, Financial markets upped bets that the Fed will be pressed to cut interest rates to cushion a feared hit to economic growth from the spread of the coronavirus. US interest rates futures rose to their highest marks since last Fall as evidence the virus was spreading further outside its original epicenter of China […]

S&P 500 & NAS Comp Mark Fresh Record Highs

S&P 500 & NAS Comp Mark Fresh Record Highs

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX DJIA +115.84 at 29347.94, NAS Comp +84.44 at 9817.21, S&P 500+15.86 at 3386.15 Wednesday, the S&P 500 (+0.5%) and NAS Comp (+0.9%) closed at fresh record highs, as investors remained optimistic about the global economic outlook despite the coronavirus. The DJIA increased 0.4%, and the RUTX increased 0.5%.  Stocks held gains following the release of minutes from the FOMC’s […]

Fed Leaves Key Interest Rate Unchanged

Fed Leaves Key Interest Rate Unchanged

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX , $VXX The Fed held interest rates steady Wednesday at its first policy meeting of the year, the head of the central bank pointed to continued moderate economic growth and a “strong” job market, and giving no sign of any imminent changes in borrowing costs. “We believe the current stance of […]

“US Would Refinance, Pay Off Debt if Fed Lowered Rates”–President Trump

“US Would Refinance, Pay Off Debt if Fed Lowered Rates”–President Trump

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Less than 1 hr after Fed officials begin a two-day policy meeting, President Trump calls for a cut in rates. “The Fed should get smart & lower the Rate to make our interest competitive with other Countries which pay much lower even though we are, by far, the high standard,” […]

2020: The Fed and Q-4’s Initiation

2020: The Fed and Q-4’s Initiation

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last September something happened in the “repo” short-term financing market. Liquidity dried up, interest rates spiked, and the Fed stepped in to save the day. On 12 December a New York Fed statement said its trading desk would increase its repo operations around year end “to ensure that the supply of reserves remains […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Am seeing earnings revival boosting stock rally in Y 2020 But 1st, this is what happened last week: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has held steady and is not going to raise rates in Y 2020. Chairman Powell is also open to bond purchases. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) […]

FMOC: Interest Rates Unchanged, Forecasts Show No Change in 2020

FMOC: Interest Rates Unchanged, Forecasts Show No Change in 2020

Chairman Powell’s Press Conference: The record-long US economic expansion is in its 11th year, a Bull run that has driven unemployment to the lowest level since Y 1969 even while failing to sustainably deliver inflation at the Fed’s 2% target. Officials also released new Quarterly forecasts showing the following:: The median estimate for the fed […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Stock Market Rally Awaits President Trump’s China Trade Dispute Decision DJIA futures fell slightly Sunday night, along with S&P 500 futures and NAS futures. The Big Q: Will President Trump suspend new China tariffs set for 15 December, or will he escalate the China trade dispute, imposing duties on a […]

FOMC Mins: Divided Policy Makers Felt 3 Rate Cuts this Year ‘Should’ be Enough

FOMC Mins: Divided Policy Makers Felt 3 Rate Cuts this Year ‘Should’ be Enough

A divided FOMC decided to hit pause in its easing cycle following a rate cut at its October meeting offered little guidance on what would cause policymakers to change their minds on the outlook, minutes of the central bank’s last policy meeting showed. The readout released on Wednesday of the Oct. 29-30 policy discussion, at which […]

Markets Wrap with Tech Lifting NAS to Record

Markets Wrap with Tech Lifting NAS to Record

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 declined 0.1% Tuesday in a mixed session. The retail industry was under pressure following disappointing quarterly results and guidance from Home Depot (HD 225.86, -12.99, -5.4%) and Kohl’s (KSS 47.02, -11.38, -19.5%) The NAS Comp climbed to a fresh record on the back of gains in mega cap tech companies even as the […]

“Trade War Naysayers Must Apologize”

“Trade War Naysayers Must Apologize”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX S&P 500 sets new intraday and closing records DJIA +132.66 at 27090.72, NAS Comp +82.87 at 8325.99, S&P 500 +16.87 at 3039.42 Volume: Trade on the NYSE came at 777-M/shares exchanged The S&P 500 set new record highs Monday, increasing 0.6% as trade sentiment remained upbeat and investors reacted positively to corporate news. The NAS Comp (+1.0%) and […]

Stock Traders Bet Fed Will Cut Rates

Stock Traders Bet Fed Will Cut Rates

Unless the market sees radical changes over the coming days, history suggests the Fed will cut, it has never withheld easing against the market’s expectations. The Fed’s last words before the customary silence preceding policy makers’ meetings left traders nearly certain the central bank is about to deliver its 3rd rate cut running. Futures are […]

President Trump Hammers Fed’s Powell, “No Guts, No Sense, No Vision!”

President Trump Hammers Fed’s Powell, “No Guts, No Sense, No Vision!”

$DIA, $QQQ, $SPY, RUTX, $VXX President Trump Tweeted: “Fed, Powell ‘Fail Again’”After FOMC Rate Cut The Fed cut interest rates for the 2nd time since July, and it was not enough for President Trump. President Trump assailed policy makers just mins after their decision Wednesday to cut the benchmark interest rate by 25 bts. “Jay […]

Gold’s Market Price Hanging in Place

Gold’s Market Price Hanging in Place

$XAU $GLD Gold markets traded back and forth during the session Tuesday hanging about the $1500 mark the bottom of the consolidation range, as the 50-Day EMA is there where buyers are clustered. Gold Technical Analysis Video 18.09.19 That does not mean a direct move North right away, but rather there is interest in this market, […]

Wall Street Nears Record Highs Ahead of FOMC Policy Announcement

Wall Street Nears Record Highs Ahead of FOMC Policy Announcement

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $$USO, $XAU, $GLD, $VXX S&P 500 closed higher in front of FOMC interest rate decision Wednesday 9 of the 11 S&P 500 sectors finished higher, led by the real estate (+1.4%), utilities (+0.9%), and materials (+0.7%) sectors. The energy (-1.5%) and industrials (-0.04%) sectors were the sectors to finish in the […]

The Market is Asking, “How low can the Fed go”?

The Market is Asking, “How low can the Fed go”?

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX With US-China trade tensions having roiled financial markets, investors are counting on support for stocks coming from a Fed willing to keep cutting interest rates to help the US economy avoid a severe downturn. A 1/4th pt rate reduction is expected when the FOMC issues its next policy statement this […]

US Consumer Inflation Expectations Mark New Low

US Consumer Inflation Expectations Mark New Low

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Monday, the S&P 500 closed unchanged, as energy, financials outperformed US consumers’ inflation expectations declined in August and workers grew more pessimistic about their job situation, data from the New York Federal Reserve showed Monday, supporting the case for further interest rate cuts. The New York Fed’s monthly survey of consumer […]

Investors are “Going for the Gold”

Investors are “Going for the Gold”

$XAU $GLD $GDX, $GOLD, $NEM, $USD Investor doubts about the economic outlook and especially a Dovish Fed drove a gold price run in 1-H of Y 2019, sparking  burst of interest in gold investing and gold stocks. The escalating China trade dispute has provided the fuel since 1 August, and a day earlier, the Fed […]

Wall Street Shares Dipped Tuesday, Gold Rallies on Recession Fear

Wall Street Shares Dipped Tuesday, Gold Rallies on Recession Fear

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wall Street dipped Tuesday, weighed down by financial stocks as a deepening of the Treasury yield curve inversion raised recession worries again, and uncertainty over the progress in trade negotiations between the United States and China. A deepening of the inversion in the yield curve between the 2-year and 10-year […]

Chairman Powell Challenged at Jackson Hole

Chairman Powell Challenged at Jackson Hole

Fed Chairman Powell comes to this year’s meeting of central bankers in Jackson Hole, WY, wedged between discord within the FOMC over appropriate monetary policy and mounting market pressure for more interest rate cuts. In navigating that gap, Chairman Powell is unlikely to use his Keynote speech Friday at the Kansas City Fed’s annual economic […]

A Divided FOMC Walking ‘The Trump Tightrope’

A Divided FOMC Walking ‘The Trump Tightrope’

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 increased 0.8% on Wednesday in a broad-based advance. Upbeat results and reassuring guidance from Target and Lowe’s reinforced the notion that the US consumer is in good shape, while investors parsed the FOMC mins from the July meeting.  The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 0.9%, the Nasdaq Composite increased 0.9%, […]

The Fed is Under Pressure to Ease Further

The Fed is Under Pressure to Ease Further

$SPY Last week, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell cut U.S. interest rates calling the move an insurance policy against the effects of “simmering” trade tensions, may need to buy more coverage after the United States late Monday designated China a currency manipulator. The move by US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin starts a formal process to address […]

Tech Stocks Drive Market Higher

Tech Stocks Drive Market Higher

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 Information Technology sector (+1.2%) was Monday’s leader, led by shares of Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) and semiconductor companies. The other 10 S&P 500 sectors hung near their unchanged marks. Apple outperformed after Morgan Stanley raised its price target to 247 from 231. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose 2.0% following […]

President Trump: “The Fed raised & tightened far too much & too fast, must cut now”

President Trump: “The Fed raised & tightened far too much & too fast, must cut now”

Monday, President Trump pushed the Fed to cut interest rates as policy makers ready for their decision this month on whether to do so. “Very inexpensive, in fact productive, to move now,” President Trump Tweeted Monday. “The Fed raised & tightened far too much & too fast.” The President has been attacking the Fed for more […]

Wall Street Fades into the Close, Options Expire with a Whimper

Wall Street Fades into the Close, Options Expire with a Whimper

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Fed’s Bullard: Rate Cut Will ‘Ratify’ What People Already Expect An interest rate cut may be necessary now, but that does not mean the Fed is on a path to dramatically lower rates, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said Friday. Mr. Bullard, who argued unsuccessfully for such an […]

US Job Growth Tops Forecast

US Job Growth Tops Forecast

FLASH: President Trump, “The Economy Would Be ‘Rocket Ship’ If Fed Cut Rates” US job growth rebounded strongly in June, with government payrolls surging, but persistent moderate wage gains and mounting evidence the economy was losing momentum could still encourage the Fed to cut interest rates this month. The Labor Department’s closely watched employment report on […]

Fed Needs More Information to Support Rate

Fed Needs More Information to Support Rate

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Tuesday, a Fed policymaker expressed skepticism that an interest rate cut is the right move until there are more signs the economy is moving to a truly weaker path. “I prefer to gather more information before considering a change in our monetary policy stance,” Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester said in […]

Wall Street Liked What it Heard From Chairman Powell

Wall Street Liked What it Heard  From Chairman Powell

$SDIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ The S&P 500 (SPY) approached record highs Wednesday after the Fed signaled potential interest cuts later this year, reassuring Wall Street investors worried that the US-China trade war could stall economic growth. Saying it “will act as appropriate to sustain” economic expansion, the Fed signaled rate cuts of half a percentage […]

Fed Holds Rates Steady, Watching Data Carefully

Fed Holds Rates Steady, Watching Data Carefully

FLASH: Wednesday’s projections open the door for the Fed to lower rates in short order if the economy weakens, or US trade disputes with China and other nations escalate. Fed held interest rates steady Wednesday but signaled possible rate cuts of as much as half a percentage point over the remainder of this year, as […]

“Risk Assets Have Room to Run”

“Risk Assets Have Room to Run”

$SPY, $BLK In a report, the majority of BlackRock Inc.’s (NYSE:BLK) Top decision-makers had a simple conclusion after gathering in London last week: A supportive backdrop for risk assets probably has “room to run” for at least 12 more months. Senior leadership at the world’s largest asset manager cited easy monetary policies and few signs […]

President Trump on Jerome Powell’s Future: “Let’s see what he does.”

President Trump on Jerome Powell’s Future: “Let’s see what he does.”

President Trump Tuesday kept up the pressure on the head of the Fed following a report that lawyers at the White House have explored the legality of stripping Jerome Powell of the Fed’s Chairmanship. Asked by reporters outside the White House if he wanted to demote Chairman Powell,  President Trump said: “Let’s see what he does.” […]

President Trump Vs Fed, Gold Wins

President Trump Vs Fed, Gold Wins

$XAU, $GLD, $USD President Trump continues his relentless attacks against the Fed and their strong dollar Tuesday with his most recent Tweets: “This is because the Euro and other currencies are devalued against the dollar, putting US at a big disadvantage. The Fed Interest rate way too high, added to ridiculous quantitative tightening! They don’t […]

Goldie Does Not See the “Insurance” Rate Cut Coming

Goldie Does Not See the “Insurance” Rate Cut Coming

$GS, $CME Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) economists said they are skeptical of “insurance” US interest rate decreases from the Fed to forestall possible slowing in US economic growth due to global trade tensions. A surprise escalation in trade tensions between Washington and Beijing since May, together with low inflation, have spurred bets among traders the Fed […]

If you were paying close attention last week you Keyed on This…

If you were paying close attention last week you Keyed on This…

$EURUSD FLASH: Last week, Fed Chairman Powell said, “…we will act as appropriate to sustain the expansion.” With those few words Chairman Powell took the strength out of the argument for a recession because the Fed is very powerful. And with the stock market rallying, President Trump threatening more tariffs on China, stocks are just […]

Trade, Other Risks, Signal Rate Cut May Be “Warranted Soon”

Trade, Other Risks, Signal Rate Cut May Be “Warranted Soon”

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Growing expectations for the Fed to cut rates to address slower growth and muted inflation; 2-yr yield drops 12 bpts to 1.83% . St. Louis Fed President James Bullard (FOMC Voter) said that slower economic growth could be sharper-than-expected due to the trade uncertainty. Mr. Bullard added that […]

US Not Likely to Suffer Big Damage From China Trade Dispute

US Not Likely to Suffer Big Damage From China Trade Dispute

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Major averages traded lower on trade uncertainty, Several US companies suspend business operations with China’s Huawei Technologies, Semiconductor stocks underperform, drag the S&P 500 information technology sector and Nasdaq lower Trade tensions with China need to linger for an extended period to cause real damage to the United […]

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