#Economy #Fed #FOMC #COVID #consumeer #spending The US economy is holding up despite a rise in Covid cases. ‘’It is hard to find a huge drop in the real-time economic data,” The Richmond Fed President said Monday. “I am thinking about credit-card spending which I get to see every week. It really has not taken […]
#SmallCaps #stocks #recovery #COVID #vaccine #economy $RUTS #RUT “Small cap stocks outperformed in November for their best monthly performance on record, and will remain market leaders as they will benefit from the post-chaos economic recovery” — Paul Ebeling The Russell 2000 and S&P 600 indexes of small cap stocks are up more than 19% MTD, […]
#Fed #WallStreet #liquidity #money $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The Fed is absolutely supportive, Chairman Powell stresses it has got the market’s back, they are there” — Paul Ebeling Given the choice between a broad package of economic aid/relief/stimulus and targeted Fed liquidity support, Wall Street prefers liquidity, due to its benefits for asset prices. […]
#Fed #interestrates #stimulus #economy #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Fed kept its dovish monetary policy intact Thursday and pledged again to do whatever it takes in coming months to sustain a US economic recovery threatened by a spreading virus chaos. The policy statement released after the US central bank’s latest two-day meeting did not mention […]
#PresidentTrump #Fed #FOMC #GDP #economy #recovery “This positive turn in the economy is even more remarkable because it happened without the additional stimulus the mins show Fed officials expected in July.” — Paul Ebeling Last month Fed policy makers agreed that the economy was recovering from the China virus chaos recession much faster than they […]
#PresidentTrump #FOMC #US #economy #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $GS “Seeing a less grim view of the virus chaos on the US Economy.”–Paul Ebeling The US’ economic wounds from the China virus chaos is much less severe than initially feared, we along with Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s (NYSE:GS) economics team offer optimistic takes on […]
#gold #FOMC #price $XAU $GLD $USD The gold futures contract gained 0.66% Monday, as it continued to fluctuate following the recent advance. Recently gold was retracing a rally from around 1,800 to 7 August record high of 2,089.20 in reaction to USD advance, among other factors. Then gold has bounced off the support level marked by mid-August […]
#PresidentTrump #Fed #aid #relief #stimulus #covid #Democrats #election $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday, President Trump instructed aides to stop negotiating on another round of COVID-19 relief until after the election. He Tweeted that House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) was “not negotiating in good faith” and said he asked Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell focus before the election into confirming his Supreme Court nominee, Amy […]
#gold #silver $XAU $XAG $GLD $SLV $USD $DXY Gold fell over 3% Monday, sliding to its lowest mark in more than a month, as uncertainty over more US fiscal stimulus pressured the precious metals complex along with a stronger USD. Silver dove 9.4% to 24.25 as of 11:17a EDT, its lowest level in over a […]
#Fed #FOMC #QE #MegaTech #rally $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Mega tech’s market-leading days are numbered thanks to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. The NAS 100 sank as much as 2.8% Thursday, pushed down by a fall in the mega cap tech stocks that have powered this rally. The decline came after FOMC policy makers pledged […]
#Fed #PresidentTrump #economic #recovery #jobs #growth The Fed boosted its view of the American economy’s recovery from the China virus crisis Wednesday, projecting the chaos will take a smaller bite from the economy this year with 3 yrs of steady growth to follow. In new economic projections released along with the FOMC’s latest policy statement, […]
#stocks #Fed #FOMC #policy #rally $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The NAS Comp outperformed the other 2 major indexes, while the S&P 500 technology index gained 1%, extending its recovery from the pullback earlier this month that paused this Wall Street rally. Investors are optimistic as the FOMC began its 1st policy meeting since Chairman Powell […]
#PresidentTrump #Powell #Fed #jobs #interest #rates $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VIX $VXX The US financial markets will be closed Monday for Labor Day Friday, Trump Fed Chairman Powell declared the the NFPs employment report for August was “a good one,“and reiterated that the FOMC will keep ultra-accommodative monetary policy (the Fed put) for years to […]
#PresidentTrump #economy #Coronavirus #BullMarket $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX President Trump and his economic team have handled and are handling the economy “magnificently” during the coronavirus chaos, and there is no doubt that a V-shaped recovery is happening The S&P 500 closed at a record high Tuesday while rebounding from huge losses triggered by The Virus Chaos. […]
$XAU $GLD $XAG $SLV $USD $GOLD Gold steadied as investors paused after a record-breaking rally that saw futures touch 2,000oz for the 1st time. Futures and spot prices backed off from the wide swings that shook the market earlier as traders assessed the outlook for a host of drivers including Fed policy, with the FOMC meeting this […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday, President Trump said 401(k) investors who “stayed with me” are doing great. In his latest use of 401(k)s as a campaign message, President Trump said Americans who “stayed with me” when the coronavirus hit are “doing phenomenally well.” The President said that Americans who sold stocks in March lost […]
#AsiaPacific #stock #markets #rally #dollar #gold #WallStreet #C19coronavirus #USChina #Fed #FOMC #Congress #yen #safehaven $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $XAU $GLD $USD #JPY Asian stock markets advance after Wall Street rally, gold extends, USD falls The price of gold rose 38.80 to 1,969.80oz Tuesday, up 2% to another record high. It is unusual for the price […]
#aid/relief #businesses #rally #Fed #FOMC #Congress #PPP #economy #PresidentTrump $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Fed Chairman Powell and Treasury Secretary Mnuchin testified before the House Financial Services Committee about the measures taken to support the economy. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin told Congress Tuesday that The Trump Administration wants the next round of economic aid/relief to […]
Last Wednesday Fed Chairman Powell spoke showing he has the power to move markets when it comes to monetary policy and how to help deal with the current C-19 coronavirus chaos’s instant recession. The FOMC was not expected make any change regarding Zero interest rates and nothing really new on the Fed’s ongoing asset purchases […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Wednesday, the Trump Fed signaled it will provide years of extraordinary support for an economy clawing back from the C-19 coronavirus chaos. Th FOMC projects a 6.5% decline in GDP this yr and a 9.3% unemployment rate at yr’s end. In the 1st economic projections of the virus quarter, US central […]
$DX $.DXY $USD $JPY $EUR $GBP $CAD Tuesday, the USD reversed late in the session and is now trading lower against a basket of major currencies. The selling pressure is being led by a strong upward surge in the Euro. The Canadian Dollar is also making a comeback along with the British Pound. The Japanese Yen has been strong all session […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Traders established fresh Bullish positions last week by buying 35.6-M new Call options on stocks, up from a high of 28.7-M in February, when speculative activity was rampant. Options traders make big bets on rising prices. This kind of activity could lead to negative returns in the S&P 500 and […]
$XAU $GLD $XAG $SLV $PLAT Gold rose Monday after the prior session’s decline, that boosted by hopes of dovish monetary policy from the FOMC Wednesday. Spot gold rose 0.5% to 1,692.86 oz by 12:23 p ET (1623 GMT) US gold futures rose 0.9% to 1,698.10 oz Expect the Fed to continue to continue it dovish […]
The Fed has been far more communicative that this C-19 coronavirus chaos will not be the end of the economy as we know it. Chairman Powell’s “whatever it takes” pledge to avoid a depression and to get the economy back to growth again has added fuel to the economy, after having been chided by President […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Wednesday, President Trump said he strongly believes the Fed should have negative interest rates, but gave a modicum of approval to Fed Chairman Powell who said earlier in the day the FOMC would not lower rates beyond Zero. President Trump said Mr. Powell, who he frequently criticizes, has improved in […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $USD $GLD $VXX Thursday, the market opened in the Red as some profit-taking into April’s month-end happened. The market has been climbing that wall of worry the last few sessions improving the charts in all 3 major US stock market indexes, and thus turning all Key technical indicators Very Bullish. […]
Wednesday afternoon, Federal Chairman Powell said the coronavirus has brought the economy to an “abrupt halt” and it was uncertain how long the slowdown would last, as officials held interest rates near Zero, and pledged to keep them there until the nation was back on track. “Economic activity will likely drop at an unprecedented rate […]
The COVID-19 coronavirus lockdown is having a huge impact on the US economy, but on the reopening it is very likely that we will see a strong comeback. “The 2nd quarter is pretty awful,” former Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan said Tuesday in a TV interview. “But if the issue of the virus works its way as […]
Bond investors are talking about whether the US is heading into a deflationary mode. This year’s collapse in Crude Oil prices and the weak economic data are putting the Question front and center as the FOMC meets this week. The Fed is expected to stand pat in here and assess the aid/stimulus programs rolled out […]
Unprecedented situations require unprecedented actions. That’s why the Fed should fight a rapidly deepening recession by taking interest rates below Zero for the 1st time ever. When the FOMC holds its regular policy-making meeting next week, all the warning lights will be flashing Red. The unemployment rate is expected to reach 2X digits by June. […]
President Trump said he has no plans to demote Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell but reminded that he has the right to. President Trump spoke at a press conference after a meeting of his coronavirus task force at the White House, revisiting his regular complaints about the Fed. “We hope the Federal Reserve will finally get on […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday, Wall Street’s Bulls came back to life rising from the edge of Bear market confirmation as bargain-hunters and notions of government stimulus calmed investors’ fears surrounding the coronavirus and prospects of a recession. All 3 major US stock market indexes spiked nearly 5% the day after they suffered their […]
$USD Monday, Financial markets upped bets that the Fed will be pressed to cut interest rates to cushion a feared hit to economic growth from the spread of the coronavirus. US interest rates futures rose to their highest marks since last Fall as evidence the virus was spreading further outside its original epicenter of China […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX DJIA +115.84 at 29347.94, NAS Comp +84.44 at 9817.21, S&P 500+15.86 at 3386.15 Wednesday, the S&P 500 (+0.5%) and NAS Comp (+0.9%) closed at fresh record highs, as investors remained optimistic about the global economic outlook despite the coronavirus. The DJIA increased 0.4%, and the RUTX increased 0.5%. Stocks held gains following the release of minutes from the FOMC’s […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX , $VXX The Fed held interest rates steady Wednesday at its first policy meeting of the year, the head of the central bank pointed to continued moderate economic growth and a “strong” job market, and giving no sign of any imminent changes in borrowing costs. “We believe the current stance of […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Less than 1 hr after Fed officials begin a two-day policy meeting, President Trump calls for a cut in rates. “The Fed should get smart & lower the Rate to make our interest competitive with other Countries which pay much lower even though we are, by far, the high standard,” […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last September something happened in the “repo” short-term financing market. Liquidity dried up, interest rates spiked, and the Fed stepped in to save the day. On 12 December a New York Fed statement said its trading desk would increase its repo operations around year end “to ensure that the supply of reserves remains […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The Trump policies are working to Make and Keep America Great! The Fed’s FOMC policy making committee saw much less risk of recession at its most recent meeting last month, when it kept interest rates steady after 3 straight cuts and signaled that it expected to keep low rates unchanged […]
After 3 interest rate cuts this year, the economy is in good shape 2 Fed policy makers said Wednesday, underscoring the consensus at the Fed for keeping borrowing costs where they are for the time being. “I think the economy is doing remarkably well,” Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Charles Evans told the Economic Club […]
President Trump continued to lash out at the Fed and urged the policy makers to again slash borrowing costs and inject cash into the economy. “Would be sooo great if the Fed would further lower interest rates and quantitative ease,” Trump tweeted. QE, also known as large-scale asset purchases, is a monetary policy whereby the Fed […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Am seeing earnings revival boosting stock rally in Y 2020 But 1st, this is what happened last week: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has held steady and is not going to raise rates in Y 2020. Chairman Powell is also open to bond purchases. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wednesday, President Trump got one item on his wish list from the Fed’s meeting: a weaker Buck. The Dollar Spot Index erased its Y 2019 gains Wednesday after the FOMC left rates unchanged, and lowered its forecasts to project no move through Y 2020. Last week, Trump took to Twitter […]
Chairman Powell’s Press Conference: The record-long US economic expansion is in its 11th year, a Bull run that has driven unemployment to the lowest level since Y 1969 even while failing to sustainably deliver inflation at the Fed’s 2% target. Officials also released new Quarterly forecasts showing the following:: The median estimate for the fed […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Stock Market Rally Awaits President Trump’s China Trade Dispute Decision DJIA futures fell slightly Sunday night, along with S&P 500 futures and NAS futures. The Big Q: Will President Trump suspend new China tariffs set for 15 December, or will he escalate the China trade dispute, imposing duties on a […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX Investors will see lot events this week that could sweep away the biggest hurdles to a full-blown race into riskier assets, if things line up right. Over 2-H of the week, possible catalysts for a Treasury market sell-off will arrive in close succession: Policy decisions from the US and eurozone central […]
A divided FOMC decided to hit pause in its easing cycle following a rate cut at its October meeting offered little guidance on what would cause policymakers to change their minds on the outlook, minutes of the central bank’s last policy meeting showed. The readout released on Wednesday of the Oct. 29-30 policy discussion, at which […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 declined 0.1% Tuesday in a mixed session. The retail industry was under pressure following disappointing quarterly results and guidance from Home Depot (HD 225.86, -12.99, -5.4%) and Kohl’s (KSS 47.02, -11.38, -19.5%) The NAS Comp climbed to a fresh record on the back of gains in mega cap tech companies even as the […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX S&P 500 sets new intraday and closing records DJIA +132.66 at 27090.72, NAS Comp +82.87 at 8325.99, S&P 500 +16.87 at 3039.42 Volume: Trade on the NYSE came at 777-M/shares exchanged The S&P 500 set new record highs Monday, increasing 0.6% as trade sentiment remained upbeat and investors reacted positively to corporate news. The NAS Comp (+1.0%) and […]
$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $XAG. $USD Gold flat to little changed Monday, after a near 1% jump in the session, Friday’s as investors awaited a Fed rate decision later in the week, while progress in US-China trade talks limited upside. Spot gold steady at $1,504.44 oz as of 0326 GMT, US gold futures were up 0.1% […]
Unless the market sees radical changes over the coming days, history suggests the Fed will cut, it has never withheld easing against the market’s expectations. The Fed’s last words before the customary silence preceding policy makers’ meetings left traders nearly certain the central bank is about to deliver its 3rd rate cut running. Futures are […]
$DIA, $QQQ, $SPY, RUTX, $VXX President Trump Tweeted: “Fed, Powell ‘Fail Again’”After FOMC Rate Cut The Fed cut interest rates for the 2nd time since July, and it was not enough for President Trump. President Trump assailed policy makers just mins after their decision Wednesday to cut the benchmark interest rate by 25 bts. “Jay […]
$XAU $GLD Gold markets traded back and forth during the session Tuesday hanging about the $1500 mark the bottom of the consolidation range, as the 50-Day EMA is there where buyers are clustered. Gold Technical Analysis Video 18.09.19 That does not mean a direct move North right away, but rather there is interest in this market, […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $$USO, $XAU, $GLD, $VXX S&P 500 closed higher in front of FOMC interest rate decision Wednesday 9 of the 11 S&P 500 sectors finished higher, led by the real estate (+1.4%), utilities (+0.9%), and materials (+0.7%) sectors. The energy (-1.5%) and industrials (-0.04%) sectors were the sectors to finish in the […]
Monday, President Trump again demanded that the Fed cut interest rates in the wake of an attack in Saudi Arabia over the weekend led to a major Crude Oil disruption. In a pair of tweets Monday, the President questioned whether the Fed would “ever get into the game” and said the central bank and its Chairman, Jerome […]
$SPY, $SPX The Fed is set to cut interest rates this week and may still not be done delivering monetary stimulus to the economy yet this year. Having already reduced their benchmark in July to 2.0%-2.25%, Chairman Powell and colleagues will pare another 25 bpts Wednesday to support the slowing economy, according to a survey […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX With US-China trade tensions having roiled financial markets, investors are counting on support for stocks coming from a Fed willing to keep cutting interest rates to help the US economy avoid a severe downturn. A 1/4th pt rate reduction is expected when the FOMC issues its next policy statement this […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Monday, the S&P 500 closed unchanged, as energy, financials outperformed US consumers’ inflation expectations declined in August and workers grew more pessimistic about their job situation, data from the New York Federal Reserve showed Monday, supporting the case for further interest rate cuts. The New York Fed’s monthly survey of consumer […]
$XAU $GLD $GDX, $GOLD, $NEM, $USD Investor doubts about the economic outlook and especially a Dovish Fed drove a gold price run in 1-H of Y 2019, sparking burst of interest in gold investing and gold stocks. The escalating China trade dispute has provided the fuel since 1 August, and a day earlier, the Fed […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wall Street dipped Tuesday, weighed down by financial stocks as a deepening of the Treasury yield curve inversion raised recession worries again, and uncertainty over the progress in trade negotiations between the United States and China. A deepening of the inversion in the yield curve between the 2-year and 10-year […]
Fed Chairman Powell comes to this year’s meeting of central bankers in Jackson Hole, WY, wedged between discord within the FOMC over appropriate monetary policy and mounting market pressure for more interest rate cuts. In navigating that gap, Chairman Powell is unlikely to use his Keynote speech Friday at the Kansas City Fed’s annual economic […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 increased 0.8% on Wednesday in a broad-based advance. Upbeat results and reassuring guidance from Target and Lowe’s reinforced the notion that the US consumer is in good shape, while investors parsed the FOMC mins from the July meeting. The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 0.9%, the Nasdaq Composite increased 0.9%, […]
US consumer prices increased in July, but the signs of acceleration in inflation will likely do little to change market expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates again in September, October and December due trade tensions with China The US Labor Department Tuesday lowered the chances that the Fed would cut rates by half […]
$SPY Last week, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell cut U.S. interest rates calling the move an insurance policy against the effects of “simmering” trade tensions, may need to buy more coverage after the United States late Monday designated China a currency manipulator. The move by US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin starts a formal process to address […]
FLASH: Fed policy makers reportedly are being forced to cut interest rates because of the European Central Bank’s much-lower policy rate. If losing demand to Europe weakens US growth and threatens to push inflation too low, US rates also must also fall. “The ECB’s policy rate, at minus 0.4%, is already nearly 3 percentage points […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The FOMC cut interest rates as widely expected Wednesday, but Chairman Powell said he did not view the move as the start of a lengthy series of rate cuts. Fed Chairman Powell cited global weakness, trade tensions and a desire to boost too-low inflation in explaining the central bank’s decision […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $GLD, $XAU, $USD FLASH: Investors now have no doubt that the Fed will cut interest rates on 31 July for the 1st time in more than 10 years and it is the beginning for the path to near Zero, with no recession in sight. For weeks, money managers have bet on a […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 Information Technology sector (+1.2%) was Monday’s leader, led by shares of Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) and semiconductor companies. The other 10 S&P 500 sectors hung near their unchanged marks. Apple outperformed after Morgan Stanley raised its price target to 247 from 231. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose 2.0% following […]
Monday, President Trump pushed the Fed to cut interest rates as policy makers ready for their decision this month on whether to do so. “Very inexpensive, in fact productive, to move now,” President Trump Tweeted Monday. “The Fed raised & tightened far too much & too fast.” The President has been attacking the Fed for more […]
The Fed’s FOMC is set to cut interest rates by at least 25 basis points at its policy meeting at the end of this month. Will it settle on a cautious approach or be aggressive to monetary easing despite political pressure for deeper stimulus is the Big Q. There is a case for an aggressive […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Fed’s Bullard: Rate Cut Will ‘Ratify’ What People Already Expect An interest rate cut may be necessary now, but that does not mean the Fed is on a path to dramatically lower rates, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said Friday. Mr. Bullard, who argued unsuccessfully for such an […]
Friday, President Trump renewed his criticism of the Fed, complaining that the US is paying “much higher interest rates” than other countries, even as central bankers prepare for a meeting later this month at which they are widely expected to ease policy. “Because of the faulty thought process we have going for us at the […]
FLASH: Fed policymakers need to add stimulus early to deal with too-low inflation when rates are near zero and cannot wait for economic disaster to unfold, a Key Fed policymaker said Thursday. In what will likely be read as a strong argument in favor of quick action by the Fed to cut rates this month, […]
US retail sales increased more than expected in June, pointing to strong consumer spending. The Key takeaway from the report is that it was a solid report overall The report from the Commerce Department on Tuesday did not change market expectations that the FOMC will cut interest rates this month for the 1 st time in a […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 ended just in The Green Tuesday as gains in tech-related shares offset fresh worries about the impact of the US China trade dispute on earnings and the Fed on interest rates. USTR Lighthizer and Treasury Secretary Mnuchin spoke to China’s Vice Premier Liu He Tuesday. Market reaction […]
$SPY, $DIA, $QQQ The US stock market has that consolidation feel in here, not surprising given the Bull run it had in June and knowing that some notable trading catalysts are lurking just under the surface now. The S&P 500 and the DJIA drifted lower Tuesday, as investors worried over warnings of a hit to […]
President Trump wants the Fed to lower interest rates at a time when he may be sizing up his 2 latest picks for Fed governor as successors to Chairman Powell. If the Fed “knew what it was doing” it would cut rates, President Trump told reporters before he boarded Air Force One back to DC […]
FLASH: President Trump, “The Economy Would Be ‘Rocket Ship’ If Fed Cut Rates” US job growth rebounded strongly in June, with government payrolls surging, but persistent moderate wage gains and mounting evidence the economy was losing momentum could still encourage the Fed to cut interest rates this month. The Labor Department’s closely watched employment report on […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Tuesday, a Fed policymaker expressed skepticism that an interest rate cut is the right move until there are more signs the economy is moving to a truly weaker path. “I prefer to gather more information before considering a change in our monetary policy stance,” Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester said in […]
$SPY, $USD President Trump’s Tweets have not fully convinced the Fed to cut interest rates, but the stock and bond markets likely can and will. The Fed did not make a cut at its meeting last week, but it hinted strongly that one may be coming soon. Afterward, the stock market soared to new highs and the […]
$SDIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ The S&P 500 (SPY) approached record highs Wednesday after the Fed signaled potential interest cuts later this year, reassuring Wall Street investors worried that the US-China trade war could stall economic growth. Saying it “will act as appropriate to sustain” economic expansion, the Fed signaled rate cuts of half a percentage […]
FLASH: Wednesday’s projections open the door for the Fed to lower rates in short order if the economy weakens, or US trade disputes with China and other nations escalate. Fed held interest rates steady Wednesday but signaled possible rate cuts of as much as half a percentage point over the remainder of this year, as […]
$SPY, $BLK In a report, the majority of BlackRock Inc.’s (NYSE:BLK) Top decision-makers had a simple conclusion after gathering in London last week: A supportive backdrop for risk assets probably has “room to run” for at least 12 more months. Senior leadership at the world’s largest asset manager cited easy monetary policies and few signs […]
President Trump Tuesday kept up the pressure on the head of the Fed following a report that lawyers at the White House have explored the legality of stripping Jerome Powell of the Fed’s Chairmanship. Asked by reporters outside the White House if he wanted to demote Chairman Powell, President Trump said: “Let’s see what he does.” […]
$XAU, $GLD, $USD President Trump continues his relentless attacks against the Fed and their strong dollar Tuesday with his most recent Tweets: “This is because the Euro and other currencies are devalued against the dollar, putting US at a big disadvantage. The Fed Interest rate way too high, added to ridiculous quantitative tightening! They don’t […]
Tuesday, Wite House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said President Trump is not considering any changes to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s status following a report that the White House had explored the possibility of demoting him. Mr. Kudlow spoke to reporters at the White House ahead of the FOMC’s meeting this week that comes on the […]
$GS, $CME Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) economists said they are skeptical of “insurance” US interest rate decreases from the Fed to forestall possible slowing in US economic growth due to global trade tensions. A surprise escalation in trade tensions between Washington and Beijing since May, together with low inflation, have spurred bets among traders the Fed […]
$SPY, $SPX The FOMC meeting next week is shaping up as pivotal for Wall Street, with stocks primed for a selloff should the Fed fail to take an even more Dovish tilt after policymakers raised expectations for a rate cut in recent weeks. The benchmark S&P 500 has rallied more than 5% so far this […]
$EURUSD FLASH: Last week, Fed Chairman Powell said, “…we will act as appropriate to sustain the expansion.” With those few words Chairman Powell took the strength out of the argument for a recession because the Fed is very powerful. And with the stock market rallying, President Trump threatening more tariffs on China, stocks are just […]
$JPM, $GS, BAC, The weak May NFPs report is push the Fed closer to cutting interest rates soon if not sooner. While a reduction when policy makers meets later this month cannot be ruled out, Fed watchers said their base case is for the FOMC to stand pat. But they said the abrupt slowdown in […]
This month, the US economy has been growing for 10 years running, tying the record for the longest expansion ever. Many people, including journalists and policy makers, see this as a great achievement. “I see nothing to celebrate. On the contrary, I think they are measuring success the wrong way”, says Narayana Kocherlakota He says, […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Growing expectations for the Fed to cut rates to address slower growth and muted inflation; 2-yr yield drops 12 bpts to 1.83% . St. Louis Fed President James Bullard (FOMC Voter) said that slower economic growth could be sharper-than-expected due to the trade uncertainty. Mr. Bullard added that […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Note: The Mins from the May FOMC meeting showed that policymakers are comfortable with the current fed funds rate range while “a number of participants” saw a moderation in risk and uncertainties surrounding their outlooks for the year. The Key takeaway is that the stock market has a reasonable […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Major averages traded lower on trade uncertainty, Several US companies suspend business operations with China’s Huawei Technologies, Semiconductor stocks underperform, drag the S&P 500 information technology sector and Nasdaq lower Trade tensions with China need to linger for an extended period to cause real damage to the United […]
By Jim Collins The Big Q: Will they or won’t they? The “they” in the Q is the Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee FOMC), led by Chairman Jerome Powell. The action is obviously a cut in the fed funds target rate. Chairman Powell, much like his predecessors Janet Yellen and Ben Bernanke, is fond […]
FLASH: Faced with continuing economic growth and below-target inflation, the Fed should keep policy on hold at its May FOMC meeting. The Fed is expected to hold interest rates steady at its policy meeting this week as policymakers balance recent stronger-than-expected US economic growth Vs weak inflation. Officials have given no signal in recent weeks […]
Reports of the demise of the US economy have proved unfounded as Q-1 activity showed strength. The US economy expanded at a 3.2% annual pace in the first three months of 2019, the government said Friday. The gain was well above forecasts. Economists polled had forecast a 2.3% increase in GDP. The economy grew at a […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: S&P 500 and NAS Comp marked all-time closing highs The S&P 500 index closed at a record high, surpassing the highs it set last September and recouping all the ground it lost in the Fed engineered attempt to push it into a Bear market late last year. The NAS […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The S&P 500 gained 0.5% Friday in a broad-based advance that was supported by a Goldilocks Employment Situation Report for March. The benchmark index advanced for the 7th session running, increasits its weekly gainer to 2.1%, and closed within 10 points of the 2900 level. The US labor market […]
$DIA, $QQQ, $SPY, RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields fell to their lowest levels since December 2017 Monday as investors evaluated last week’s Dovish pivot by the Fed. Last Wednesday the FOMC stunned investors by abandoning projections for any interest rate hikes this year and saying it would halt the steady decline of […]
The Fed’s Key reversal on rate increases along with weak economic data has left a part of the US Treasury yield curve close to levels at which the FOMC has in the past been prompted to cut rates. The Fed last Wednesday brought its 3-year drive to tighten monetary policy to an abrupt end, abandoning […]