US GDP Will Show Biggest Growth since WWII Just Prior to the Election

US GDP Will Show Biggest Growth since WWII Just Prior to the Election

#PresidentTrump #GDP #election #economy #recovery #roaring #virus “The choice facing America is simple: It is the choice between historic prosperity under my pro-American policies, or crippling poverty and a steep depression under the radical left,” President Trump said in a speech to the Economic Club of New York. Adding, “Under my continued leadership, we will […]

The Fed: 39 US States Saw Their Economies Strengthen in September

The Fed: 39 US States Saw Their Economies Strengthen in September

#Fed #states #economises $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX In September the output strengthened in 39 US states up from August with some of the best gainers concentrated in northeastern territories including Massachusetts, New York, and New Jersey, a Fed proxy showed. Readings weakened in 8 states, with the steepest fall in tourism-dependent Hawaii, and remained […]

The IMF is Not Pleased with the Fed’s Cautionary Position on Digital Currency

The IMF is Not Pleased with the Fed’s Cautionary Position on Digital Currency

#Fed #IMF #digital #currency “The world’s financial industry is moving quietly and slowly toward a cashless society.” — Paul Ebeling Fed Chairman Powell said in a meeting of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) that they need to do “’extensive’ public consultation with stakeholders” before completing the move, it has not yet made its call on […]

Fed’s Evans Sees Less Economic Drag from the Continuing C-19 Wave

Fed’s Evans Sees Less Economic Drag from the Continuing C-19 Wave

#Fed #COVID19 #economy $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The continuing rise in COVID-19 infections in the United States due to the intense testing may not dent the nation’s economy much, Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Charles Evans said Tuesday, adding that he remains “reasonably optimistic” US unemployment will fall to 5.5% by the end of […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Counting Down to the Election

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Counting Down to the Election

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #economy #growth #Bulls #Bears #money #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Americans are Happy, they are doing ‘The Trump’”— Paul Ebeling Last week’s action US stocks opened Thursday with a gap to near support.to bounce stocks back upside testing rebound we will be able see if the leaders will break higher, they did setting […]

In This Market ‘The 60-40’ Portfolio Does Not Work

In This Market ‘The 60-40’ Portfolio Does Not Work

#PresidentTrump #market #safehavens #risk #volatility #Fed #economy #portfolio $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $VIX “When financial assets move pari parsu, portfolio diversification becomes hard to achieve“– Paul Ebeling Since the advent of QE in Y 2008 safe-haven assets have become not much of a safe-haven. During that frame, we have seen unprecedented market moves with […]

Surprise! Much of the Stimulus Money Went into Savings Accounts, Yet the Consumer Keep Spending

Surprise! Much of the Stimulus Money Went into Savings Accounts, Yet the Consumer Keep Spending

#consumer #stimulus #retail #spending #Fed #PresidentTrump $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Surprise, consumers saved 36% of their stimulus checks and kept on spending.” –Paul Ebeling As emergency aid/relief/stimulus programs for American consumers expired The People kept spending. Friday’s September retail sales report confirmed it. The government data told us that consumers put much of their stimulus money away and have recently […]

The American Dream is No Longer Homeownership it is Innovative Business

The American Dream is No Longer Homeownership it is Innovative Business

#AmericanDream #Business #Innovation #Entrepreneurs $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “New, disruptive technologies are unlocking new innovative companies to grow at speeds not seen before, the American Dream is alive, it is not greed, it is innovation.” — Paul Ebeling The US Census Bureau has revealed that the number of people starting their own business just surged […]

Inflation is Short of the Fed’s Goal

Inflation is Short of the Fed’s Goal

#Fed #inflation The Fed is determined to drive inflation higher from marks it considers extremely low. For that to happen, 1st it must convince the market and consumers that prices will accelerate going forward. The Key problem is that the measures that bond traders and strategists rely on for longer-run inflation expectations can often give […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Counting Down to the Election

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Counting Down to the Election

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #economy #growth #Bulls #Bears #money #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The success of The Trump Economy, and it is strong, is the stock market’s driver”— Paul Ebeling Last week’s action The Black Swan has flown away, President Trump is Covid immune and back in full swing. Last Friday, not much was scheduled, but […]

The US Economy is in a “Strong Rebound”

The US Economy is in a “Strong Rebound”

#PresidentTrump #economy #recovery #virus, #Fed #stimulus #lockdowns President Trump’s Top economic adviser said Sunday the economy remains in “a strong rebound” even as Americans learn to “deal with” the coronavirus. In a TV interview Larry Kudlow argued in favor of a new stimulus bill even as he praised the conclusion of medical experts that “focused protection” can get […]

The Market is Saying, “Be not afraid, economic stimulus is coming”

The Market is Saying, “Be not afraid, economic stimulus is coming”

#market #stimlus #PresidentTrump #Fed $DIA $DJIA $SPY $SPX $QQQ $RUTX $USD $DXY “Investors should be preparing for inflation, not this recovering economy.“– Paul Ebeling The US and the been through a profound economic shock with the China ‘Act of War’ virus, but everything every policy-making body in the US is doing is inflationary it is […]

President Trump and the Fed are Aligned for a Fast Recovery

President Trump and the Fed are Aligned for a Fast Recovery

#PresidentTrump #Fed #FOMC #GDP #economy #recovery “This positive turn in the economy is even more remarkable because it happened without the additional stimulus the mins show Fed officials expected in July.” — Paul Ebeling Last month Fed policy makers agreed that the economy was recovering from the China virus chaos recession much faster than they […]

“Seeing a less grim view of the virus chaos on the US Economy”

“Seeing a less grim view of the virus chaos on the US Economy”

#PresidentTrump #FOMC #US #economy #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $GS “Seeing a less grim view of the virus chaos on the US Economy.”–Paul Ebeling The US’ economic wounds from the China virus chaos is much less severe than initially feared, we along with Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s (NYSE:GS) economics team offer optimistic takes on […]

President Trump Ends COVID Aid/Relief/Stimulus Negotiations with House Democrats Until After the Election

President Trump Ends COVID Aid/Relief/Stimulus Negotiations with House Democrats Until After the Election

#PresidentTrump #Fed #aid #relief #stimulus #covid #Democrats #election $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday, President Trump instructed aides to stop negotiating on another round of COVID-19 relief until after the election. He Tweeted that House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) was “not negotiating in good faith” and said he asked Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell focus before the election into confirming his Supreme Court nominee, Amy […]

US Trade Deficit Increases as Trade Flows Show COVID-19 Effect (UpDate)

US Trade Deficit Increases as Trade Flows Show COVID-19 Effect (UpDate)

#trade #deficit #dollars #Covid #gold $USD $XAU $GLD “The Trump Trade Deficit Increases Even as Trade Flows Show COVID-19 Effect, Dropping 15% in 1-H of Y 2020 Compared to Same Frame in Y 2019” –Paul Ebeling The trade deficit widened to $67.1-B in August (consensus -$66.2-B) from an revised $63.4-B in July. The widening deficit is […]

The Trump Economy is the Best in 50 Years

The Trump Economy is the Best in 50 Years

#PresidentTrump #economy “The US economy made a dramatic comeback after many years of unemployment and war.” — Paul Ebeling President Trump’s promised rollback of the tax and regulatory schemes implemented from Y 1993 until he was elected, he did triggering the best US economy in 50+ yrs Below are 10 facts since President Trump was […]

President Trump’s Policies Have Created a “Strong Economy”

President Trump’s Policies Have Created a “Strong Economy”

#PresidentTrump #policies #economy President Trump’s policies have helped create jobs and pushed the economy to perform well, even after news of his illness caused the stock market to dip a bit, “The market … recovered during the day, and that jobs report, which the mainstream media tried to play down, was actually very strong,” publisher […]

This Rebound Is Real, Trump Fed Support Key

This Rebound Is Real, Trump Fed Support Key

#PresidentTrump #Fed #recovery #GDP #inflation #virus The global economy is bouncing back faster than anyone expected, but Southside risks remain and more help from the Fed and other central banks is Key for a full recovery. The US and many other world economies are recovering from a “very deep shock” and should return to pre-China […]

The Trump Fed’s Policies are Broad and Loose

The Trump Fed’s Policies are Broad and Loose

#PresidentTrump #Fed #money The Fed’s policy is already set on a loose and supportive course, and is unlikely to change much for the next few years. The policymakers have offered different views on how long it will take the US economy to recover from the crisis brought on by The China Virus. Boston Fed President […]

September, the Healthy Correction Month

September, the Healthy Correction Month

#September #correction #stockmarket $FAANGs $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The S&P 500 index was on the verge of a correction, defined as a 10% decline from its all-time closing high, after ending 9.6% below its 2 September record Wednesday. The benchmark index then moved higher Thursday afternoon trade after seesawing during the session. The tech-heavy […]

Fed Chairman to Congress: “More stimulus needed”

Fed Chairman to Congress: “More stimulus needed”

#Fed #Congress #stimulus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Wednesday, Fed officials stressed that more fiscal stimulus is critical to sustaining the economic recovery, and US stocks fell as pessimism began sinking in that Congress would ever deliver a new aid package. Chairman Powell continued to wave the fiscal flag carefully at a congressional hearing saying […]

FX Traders Exit Bearish Bets Against the USD

FX Traders Exit Bearish Bets Against the USD

#Dollar #Fed #virus #risk $USD $DXY $EUR $GBP $JPY $CHF $CNY The USD held onto gains Vs most currencies Thursday in Asia as signs of an economic slowdown in Europe and in the US revived concerns about the fallout from continuing virus infections. EUR hit by worries about a return to severe lockdown restrictions, faces […]

Fed and Treasury Bosses Back More Aid for Small Businesses

Fed and Treasury Bosses Back More Aid for Small Businesses

#Fed #Treasury #Aid #SmallBusinesses Tuesday, top US economic policymakers opened the door to further aid for small businesses hit by the virus-triggered instant recession. In testimony before the House of Representatives Financial Services Committee, Treasury Secretary Mnuchin and Fed Chairman Powell were pressed by lawmakers concerned the multi-trillion-dollar effort to battle the economic fallout from […]

Gold and Silver Break Lower Out of Pennant Patterns

Gold and Silver Break Lower Out of Pennant Patterns

#gold #silver $XAU $XAG $GLD $SLV $USD $DXY Gold fell over 3% Monday, sliding to its lowest mark in more than a month, as uncertainty over more US fiscal stimulus pressured the precious metals complex along with a stronger USD. Silver dove 9.4% to 24.25 as of 11:17a EDT, its lowest level in over a […]

US Household Wealth Hits Record $119-T in This V-Shaped Recovery

US Household Wealth Hits Record $119-T in This V-Shaped Recovery

#household #wealth #recovery #virus #stocks #bonds #jobs Americans’ household wealth rebounded last Quarter to a record high as the stock market quickly recovered from a medical emergency chaos-induced plunge in March. The gains flowed mainly to the most affluent households even as tens of millions of people endured job losses and shrunken incomes. Monday, the Fed said that […]

Fed Survey: 75%+ of US Families said in July They Were “doing okay” Financially

Fed Survey: 75%+ of US Families said in July They Were “doing okay” Financially

#Fed #American #households #virus More than 75% of US families said in July they were “doing okay” financially, or were “living comfortably,” according to a new survey by the Fed. That’s up from 72% in April, when the China virus chaos caused unemployment to peak at 14.7%, and also better than the 75% reported in […]

The Fed Capped the Momentum in the Mega Tech Rally

The Fed Capped the Momentum in the Mega Tech Rally

#Fed #FOMC #QE #MegaTech #rally $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Mega tech’s market-leading days are numbered thanks to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. The NAS 100 sank as much as 2.8% Thursday, pushed down by a fall in the mega cap tech stocks that have powered this rally. The decline came after FOMC policy makers pledged […]

The Fed’s Policy Statement Indicated it Will Move to Stimulate the Economy

The Fed’s Policy Statement Indicated it Will Move to Stimulate the Economy

#Fed #FOMC #policy #stimulate #economy #stockmarket $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Fed used its policy statement to begin to pivot from stabilizing financial markets to stimulating the economy, saying that it would keep its current government bond-buying at least at the current pace of $120-B per month, in part to ensure “accommodative” financial conditions in the future […]

The China Virus Will Take a ‘Smaller Bite’ Out of the US Economy Than Expected

The China Virus Will Take a ‘Smaller Bite’ Out of the US Economy Than Expected

#Fed #PresidentTrump #economic #recovery #jobs #growth The Fed boosted its view of the American economy’s recovery from the China virus crisis Wednesday, projecting the chaos will take a smaller bite from the economy this year with 3 yrs of steady growth to follow. In new economic projections released along with the FOMC’s latest policy statement, […]

Time to Buy the Dip in Gold’s Price?

Time to Buy the Dip in Gold’s Price?

#gold $XAU $GLD $USD Let’s look at the pattern. Gold captivated investors, and with the rise in gold, silver and other precious metal prices this year, there’s been lots of market talk. But, the chatter has quieted over the last few wks as the run in precious metals has paused to consolidate its most recent […]

US Stocks Finished Higher Tuesday, Fed Seen Sticking with its Supportive Policy

US Stocks Finished Higher Tuesday, Fed Seen Sticking with its Supportive Policy

#stocks #Fed #FOMC #policy #rally $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The NAS Comp outperformed the other 2 major indexes, while the S&P 500 technology index gained 1%, extending its recovery from the pullback earlier this month that paused this Wall Street rally. Investors are optimistic as the FOMC began its 1st policy meeting since Chairman Powell […]

Workers Shunning Low Paying Jobs in This Recovery

Workers Shunning Low Paying Jobs in This Recovery

#jobs #workers #wages #factories #PresidentTrump America’s warehouse and factory owners are finding they cannot fill jobs without boosting wages. e-Commerce is driving a surge of orders, with US manufacturing expanding in August at its fastest pace since late Y 2018. That has employers moving to bulk up staff to keep production rolling and satisfy demand. […]

US is in a Self-Sustaining Recovery

US is in a Self-Sustaining Recovery

#US #VShape #recovery #economy #jobs #aid #relief #stimulus #PresidentTrump Tuesday, White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow declared that the United States can survive until the end of the year without another round of aid/relief/stimulus as the nation is in a “self-sustaining recovery.“ “Besides the jobs, we are in a housing boom, autos boom, a consumer spending […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Do Not Fear September

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Do Not Fear September

#WallStreet #PaulEbeling #BigTech #earnings #economy #growth #employment #interest #Bulls #money #FAANGs $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last Week’s Action The trigger the stock-market pullback Thursday and Friday that erased weeks of gainers in the US stock market, may have been embattled investment firm SoftBank, according to a report by the Financial Times of London The report […]

Jobs Report Good, Getting Better, Low Interest Rates to Stay for a Long Time, Do Not Fear September in a Presidential Election Year with the Incumbent Running

Jobs Report Good, Getting Better, Low Interest Rates to Stay for a Long Time, Do Not Fear September in a Presidential Election Year with the Incumbent Running

#PresidentTrump #Powell #Fed #jobs #interest #rates $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VIX $VXX The US financial markets will be closed Monday for Labor Day Friday, Trump Fed Chairman Powell declared the the NFPs employment report for August was “a good one,“and reiterated that the FOMC will keep ultra-accommodative monetary policy (the Fed put) for years to […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, ‘This Market has Legs’

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, ‘This Market has Legs’

#WallStreet #PaulEbeling #BigTech #earnings #NFPs #employment #interest #Bulls #money #FAANGs $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last Week’s Action Thursday the Fed Chairman jettisoned the Phillips curve’s idea that rising unemployment means less inflation. In fact, he stated that there is no empirical evidence to support the notion. Technical Analysis NAS Comp gapped modestly higher, rallied […]

Fed Speak: US Rates to Stay Ultra-Low for a Long Time, Market Likes ‘Cheap Money

Fed Speak: US Rates to Stay Ultra-Low for a Long Time, Market Likes ‘Cheap Money

#Fed #interest #inflation #money #market #investors $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Trump Fed announced a significant change Thursday in how it manages interest rates by saying it plans to keep rates near Zero even after inflation has exceeded the Fed’s 2% target level. The change tells us that the Fed is prepared to tolerate […]

“A lower US dollar will give a shot in the arm to US exports and overall global growth”

“A lower US dollar will give a shot in the arm to US exports and overall global growth”

#global #growth #exports #dollar $USD $EUR $GBP $USO $XAU $GLD The USD is struggling, and the market is betting the Buck has more room to fall. The trade-weighted USD has fallen 7% from its March highs, and we expect it fall at least 15% from the highs. That will give a shot in the arm […]

Big Tech Profits Driving S&P 500 Due North

Big Tech Profits Driving S&P 500 Due North

#profits #BigTech #records #BullRun $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Blowout profit reports from Big Tech companies drove the S&P 500 to an all-time high Wednesday. The benchmark index rose 1%. Technology stocks accounted for the Lion’s Share of the gains, outweighing losses in healthcare, utilities, and energy. The S&P 500 has been marking record highs […]

Stocks are Forward Looking Assets, the Sentiment is Very Bullish

Stocks are Forward Looking Assets, the Sentiment is Very Bullish

#PresidentTrump #Fed #liquidity #stocks #earnings #economy #VShaped $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Stocks are forward-looking assets, so this market should hold up in the coming months no matter economic numbers are not great and The Virus is still hanging around, we have at V-Shaped stock market recovery and a V-Shaped economy is building. The amount […]

World Stocks Started Climbing Early Monday on President Trump’s Fast Tracking C-19 Treatment, They are Still Climbing Early Tuesday

World Stocks Started Climbing Early Monday on President Trump’s Fast Tracking C-19 Treatment, They are Still Climbing Early Tuesday

#President Trump #Fed #FDA #C19coronavirus #treatment #stocks $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Stocks climbing in early Monday trade on Wall Street, adding to their record-breaking run from last week, the futures are still climbing extending this V-Shaped Bull run off of the 23 March instant recession lows. The S&P 500 (+1.0%) and NAS Comp (+0.6%) […]

USD’s Sharp Decline Driving Professional Investors into Gold

USD’s Sharp Decline Driving Professional Investors into Gold

#USD #Gold #investors #debt #Fed $XAU $GLD $USD $DXY The reason USD became the world’s reserve currency is that America has had the largest, strongest steadily growing and conservatively financed economy and a stable political system anchored in the US Constitution. Yet for USD to continue to be valued, the world has to believe in it. […]

Fed Urged to Deliver More Aid/Relief to Small and Medium-sized Businesses Struggling Because of the C-19 Chaos

Fed Urged to Deliver More Aid/Relief to Small and Medium-sized Businesses Struggling Because of the C-19 Chaos

#Fed #lending #MainStreet #aid #relief #money A bipartisan Congressional panel overseeing the implementation of some coronavirus aid/relief programs urged the Fed and US Treasury to take more risk with taxpayer dollars and increase outreach efforts to deliver more aid/relief to small and medium-sized businesses struggling because of the C-19 chaos. The panel’s recommendations Keyed around […]

The Trump Policies Work, America’s V-Shaped Recovery is Happening Despite Democrats Sandbagging

The Trump Policies Work, America’s V-Shaped Recovery is Happening Despite Democrats Sandbagging

#Trump #recovery #stocks #exports #housing #sandbagging #Democrats #Republicans $DIA $SPY $QQQ The last recession, from Ys 2007 to 2009, was harsh because of of the meltdowns in the financial and housing markets. The S&P 500 dove 56% from peak to trough, and home values declined 27%. That loss of household wealth took years to recover and scared on […]

US Economic Growth Could Rise 30% in 2-H of this Year, America is Back!

US Economic Growth Could Rise 30% in 2-H of this Year, America is Back!

#US #economy #growth #WhiteHouse #GDP #VShaped #recovery $SPY $QQQ Saturday, White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow predicted the economy will grow between 20 and 30% for the rest of the year. “20% + growth in the 3rd and 4th Quarters. You can score that,” the veteran financial guru said on TV. “We are going to have […]

Making Safe, Investment Grade Bets in Stocks Hammered by the C-19 Coronavirus Chaos

Making Safe, Investment Grade Bets in Stocks Hammered by the C-19 Coronavirus Chaos

#investments #stocks #C19coronavirus #risk #money #cash $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Energy, aviation and lodging firms hit hard by the coronavirus chaos will offer handsome returns for high-yield investors in the months ahead. There are opportunities for discerning money managers and aggressive retail investors. We and other Top money managers see opportunities in stressed and […]

The Trump Team Handled Coronavirus Chaos Magnificently, Market Responded With Record Bull Run

The Trump Team Handled Coronavirus Chaos Magnificently, Market Responded With Record Bull Run

#PresidentTrump #economy #Coronavirus #BullMarket $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX President Trump and his economic team have handled and are handling the economy “magnificently” during the coronavirus chaos, and there is no doubt that a V-shaped recovery is happening The S&P 500 closed at a record high Tuesday while rebounding from huge losses triggered by The Virus Chaos. […]

Fed Ramps Up Auto Bond Buying with Industry in Recovery

Fed Ramps Up Auto Bond Buying with Industry in Recovery

#Fed #bonds #autoindustry #recovery $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The auto industry is a significant job and capital source for the national and local economies. The automotive sector has rewarded many business owners and employees with prosperity. The Fed’s entry into the credit market has benefitted auto companies the most, supporting an industry that has […]

V-Shaped Recovery on Track, Bet the Market Not Economists

V-Shaped Recovery on Track, Bet the Market Not Economists

#GDP #economy #recovery #NFPs #AtlantaFed #C19Coronavirus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Atlanta Federal Reserve increased its estimate of Q-3 GDP growth at 20.5%. The revision by the Atlanta Fed’s ‘s GDPNow model reflects an increase in government spending growth partly offset by decreases in personal consumption expenditures growth and gross private domestic investment growth. The estimates came in after […]

Low Home Mortgage Rates Continue to Boost US’ Economic Recovery

Low Home Mortgage Rates Continue to Boost US’ Economic Recovery

#home #mortgages #loans #economy #Fed #interestrates #buyers $DIA $QQQ $SPY $XAU $GLD $USO $USD US Mortgages rates marked another record low, boosting the $35-T housing market, a very bright spot for the economy. The average for a 30-yr fixed loan fell to 2.88%, the lowest in nearly 50 yrs of record keeping by Freddie Mac. It was […]

Housing, Auto Demand Are Standouts in V-Shaped Recovery

Housing, Auto Demand Are Standouts in V-Shaped Recovery

#housing #automobiles #consumers #recovery $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Clearly, record low interest rates has helped revive the US markets for housing and autos standouts in the economy as it gains traction. Sales of new homes in June ran at their fastest pace in 13 yrs, leaving builders and the construction workers they employ with […]

“Fear is Driving Decline in US Consumer Activity”

“Fear is Driving Decline in US Consumer Activity”

#fear #sentiment #confidence #US #consumer #Fed #C19coronavirus Sunday, the head of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis said “fear” is the Key factor behind a distressing decline in consumer activity that signals a stalling of the economic recovery. In a TV interview Fed member Neel Kashkari said consumers have to feel safe from the C-19 coronavirus chaos […]

The Economic Data Calls for More Aid/Relief/Stimulus

The Economic Data Calls for More Aid/Relief/Stimulus

#Aid/Relief/Stimulus #Congress #GDP #Fed #depression #economy US Treasury Mnuchin Calls on Congress to Pass more Stimulus this Month The economic data reported Thursday confirmed the enormity of the Q-2 blow suffered by the global economy and the challenges ahead. The longer Congress delays, the greater the risk that the stalled recovery will lead to a […]

Weakening US Dollar Driving Gold to New Record Prices

Weakening US Dollar Driving Gold to New Record Prices

#dollar #gold $USD $DXY $XAU $GLD $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $GS Savvy participants are going “all-in” on gold, Goldman Sachs is going “all-in” on gold, that is happening by the currant Southside pressure on the Buck. With more Southside expected in US real interest rates we here at HeffX-LTN are reiterating our Long gold […]

Gold is Temperamental, Silver is Really Temperamental, but There is a Long List of Bullish Drivers

Gold is Temperamental, Silver is Really Temperamental, but There is a Long List of Bullish Drivers

$XAU $GLD $XAG $SLV $USD $GOLD Gold steadied as investors paused after a record-breaking rally that saw futures touch 2,000oz for the 1st time. Futures and spot prices backed off from the wide swings that shook the market earlier as traders assessed the outlook for a host of drivers including Fed policy, with the FOMC meeting this […]

Tuesday’s World Markets Outlook: Asia-Pacific + Wall Street Recap

Tuesday’s World Markets Outlook: Asia-Pacific + Wall Street Recap

#AsiaPacific #stock #markets #rally #dollar #gold #WallStreet #C19coronavirus #USChina #Fed #FOMC #Congress #yen #safehaven $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $XAU $GLD $USD #JPY Asian stock markets advance after Wall Street rally, gold extends, USD falls The price of gold rose 38.80 to 1,969.80oz Tuesday, up 2% to another record high. It is unusual for the price […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The cynics obsess over negatives, as the market is focused on positives and the S&P 500 is closing in on a record high. Last week’s action The Market Needs a Stimulus Agreement and Will Get It President Trump’s Treasury Secretary Mnuchin announced a coming aid/relief/stimulus agreement. Expecting more […]

The Cheaper ‘Buck’ Driving Gold Price North

The Cheaper ‘Buck’ Driving Gold Price North

#gold #silver #dollars #currencies #risk #Fed #interestrates #USChina $XAU $GLD $XAG $SLV $USD Spot gold topped 1,900oz for the 1st time since September 2011 and edged closer to an all-time high with flaring geopolitical tensions and concern over global growth driving demand for save-haven assets. Gold marked a 7th wkly gainer, the longest run since […]

There is Little Reason to Expect a Slowdown in Gold Buying

There is Little Reason to Expect a Slowdown in Gold Buying

#gold #XAU #GLD #silver #XAG #SLV #rally #USD #Treasuries #yields #interest #Fed $XAU $GLD $XAG $SLV $USD Deepening negative real yields in the US Treasury market are driving a this rally in gold that is seeing the precious Yellow metal moving toward record highs. Bullion has gained 24% this year and is about $40 from […]

Mega Caps Back and Fill, Dollar Slides, Gold Charges to Record Highs

Mega Caps Back and Fill, Dollar Slides, Gold Charges to Record Highs

#stocks #gold #silver #dollar #C19coronavirus #China #global #growth #COMEX #VeryBullish $DIA $QQQ $SPY $RUTX $VXX $USO $USD $XAU $GLD $XAG $SLV Moving the Market: Profit taking in mega-caps Thursday, Gold traded near 1,900oz, moving closer to it’s all-time high set nearly 9 yrs ago on concerns about global growth that is driving safe-haven demand. Increasing […]

Savvy Investors Stick With Stocks, Adding Some Gold

Savvy Investors Stick With Stocks, Adding Some Gold

#investors #stocks #earnings #bonds #gold #Fed $SPY $GLD $XAU The S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) is selling for 28X earnings. That is above the 25-yr MA of 25 but implies an equivalent interest rate of 3.6%. The 10-yr Treasury yield is less than 0.7%, and the Fed is committed to keeping rates low. Stocks outperform bonds by a wide margin […]

US 30-yr Fixed Rate Mortgage Rate Dives to 50-yr Lows

US 30-yr Fixed Rate Mortgage Rate Dives to 50-yr Lows

#mortgage #homebuilding #retail #sales #Fed #QE #bonds #market #stimulus #economy $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $SPSIHO The S&P 500 Homebuilding Index (SPSIHO), which includes Lennar Corp.(NYSE:LEN), DR Horton Inc.(NYSE:DHI), and PulteGroup Inc.(NYSE:PHM), gained 2.4% Thursday. The index is up nearly 9% YTD, compared with a 0.05% decline in the broad S&P 500 overall. US 30-year […]

US Industrial Output Spikes 5.4% on Reopening, Most Since 1959

US Industrial Output Spikes 5.4% on Reopening, Most Since 1959

#Industrial #Output #C19Coronavirus #Reopening #Manufacturing #Fed US industrial production in June posted the largest monthly gainer since Y 1959, indicating manufacturing is alive and well after C-19 coronavirus chaos related shutdowns. Total output at factories, mines and utilities increased 5.4% from the prior month after climbing 1.4% in May, Fed data showed Wednesday. The median projection […]

US Economic Activity Increases Despite Uncertainty

US Economic Activity Increases Despite Uncertainty

#Fed #economy #businesses #BeigeBook #C19Coronavirus #growth $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX US businesses saw an uptick in activity into the beginning of July as states eased restrictions to contain the novel coronavirus chaos, a Fed report showed Wednesday, but remained uncertain about the economic outlook going forward. The picture illustrated in the Fed’s latest snapshot of […]

Money Managers Still Holding Cash Amidst This Strong Market Recovery

Money Managers Still Holding Cash Amidst This Strong Market Recovery

#gold #stocks #commodities #bonds #cash #value #growth #C19coronavirus #election #volatility #Fed #risk #recovery $BAC After slashing cash piles by the most in a decade last month, fund managers with $570-B are hanging on to their dry powder amid this historic epic stock rally. Investors surveyed by Bank of America Corp (NYSE:BAC) boosted average cash holdings […]

Precious Metals Solid in this Bull Market

Precious Metals Solid in this Bull Market

#Gold #Silver #preciousmetals #Fed #ECB #RBA #C19Coronavirus #inflation #currencies #stocks $XAU $GLD $XAG $SLV $USD $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Analysts and economists are calculating the destruction the C-19 coronavirus chaos, and traders in the financial markets trying to understand the ramifications of the virus’ presence. The market trends demonstrate that our prior precious metals forecasts continue […]

Gold and the Stock Market are Moving North

Gold and the Stock Market are Moving North

#gold #stock #market #yield #opportunity #USD #safehaven #asset #investors #negative #interest #stimulus #Fed #inflation #rally $GLD $XAU $USD Negative real yields mean opportunity cost of holding gold disappears. Traditionally Gold has been thought of as a safe-haven asset. But that has not stopped it from rising to 9-yr highs, and within striking distance of its […]

Fed’s ‘Tool Box’ is Open if Need Be

Fed’s ‘Tool Box’ is Open if Need Be

#Fed #C19coronavirus #tools #asset #economy #aid #relief #stimulus #data #market #support #liquidity #lockdowns #consumers #uncertainty Fed Vice Chairman Richard Clarida said officials would turn to additional forward guidance and asset purchases if the economy needs more aid. “We have a lot of accommodation in place. There is more that we can do. There is more […]

Independence Day Observed Friday for US Markets

Independence Day Observed Friday for US Markets

#IndependenceDay #US #stock #markets #DJIA #NFPs #jobs #investors #PresidentTrump #economy #WhiteHouse #PPP #vaccine #C19coronavirus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Stocks rose Thursday and gained on the week, as investors cheered the resiliency of a US economy that created nearly 5-M jobs in June and the number for May revised to nearly 3-M. President Trump said June’s better-than-expected […]

Hardest Hit US Businesses President Trump’s Next Aid/Relief Focus (Video)

Hardest Hit US Businesses President Trump’s Next Aid/Relief Focus (Video)

#aid/relief #businesses #rally #Fed #FOMC #Congress #PPP #economy #PresidentTrump $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Fed Chairman Powell and Treasury Secretary Mnuchin testified before the House Financial Services Committee about the measures taken to support the economy. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin told Congress Tuesday that The Trump Administration wants the next round of economic aid/relief to […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Americans Holding a Huge ‘Pile of Cash’

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Americans Holding a Huge ‘Pile of Cash’

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX #Paul Ebeling #Wall Street #recovery #cash #technicals #patterns #Fed #Bulls Last Week’s Action The indexes are in consolidation mode, and the leaders are leading pulling back and testing their moves, the trend is up and the Bulls are still in charge. Financials received bids ahead of the release of the […]

The Bulls are in Charge on Wall Street: 3 Key Indicators

The Bulls are in Charge on Wall Street: 3 Key Indicators

$XAU $SPY $VIX $VXX The last few months have been super for the US stock market and for gold Few thought in March that the S&P 500 would be back above 3,000, the DJIA would be back above 25,000 and the NAS would mark new all-time highs in late June. As we roll into the Summer Doldrums there are signs of […]

Gold Bugs Should Prepare for ‘All Evils’

Gold Bugs Should Prepare for ‘All Evils’

$XAU $GLD $USD The Latin phrase Premeditatio Malorum tells us to prepare for all evils, and that means to prepare investment portfolios for all risks. It may take more time than most expect for the world economy to recover from the psychological and financial impacts of The China Virus chaos. But what that chaos proved was that […]

Expert Sees US Inflation Remaining Low for Years

Expert Sees US Inflation Remaining Low for Years

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Inflation in the US is likely to come back slowly, keeping the Fed from raising interest rates for an extended period. Over the next couple of years, prices are likely to increase to the 2.3% to 2.4% level, as the Fed has learned its lesson from past interest rate increases […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Inflation Alert

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Inflation Alert

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last Week’s Action Stock indexes are consolidating, the economic data impresses, as headlines focus on new China Virus cases in the wake of massive new testing. Last Friday was Quad Witching expiration, and we saw leaders continue to lead. Perhaps other sectors will now start to contribute to the uptrend. […]

Inflation is Coming, Be Ready…Our Inflation Indicator is Flashing Red

Inflation is Coming, Be Ready…Our Inflation Indicator is Flashing Red

$XAU $XAG $GLD $SLV $USD Gold, forests, property stocks, inflation-linked bonds, these are just some of the assets investors are betting lots money into on the view that the recent explosion of government spending and Fed stimulus may rouse inflation from its 10 yrs+ sleep. If inflation really is “the dog that didn’t bark”, failing […]

Fed Vice Chairman Sees No Asset Value ‘Bubble’

Fed Vice Chairman Sees No Asset Value ‘Bubble’

Friday, the #2 official at the Fed said that he does not see signs of inflation in asset values in financial markets. Asked in a TV interview if he saw unintended consequences or new bubbles stemming from the strong Fed policy response to the C-19 coronavirus chaos, Fed Vice Chairman Richard Clarida replied: “I certainly […]

More Government Support Needed to Bolster US Economy, It is Coming

More Government Support Needed to Bolster US Economy, It is Coming

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The continuing uncertainty brought on by the C-19 coronavirus chaos may hamper the US economic rebound from instant recession, and more fiscal and monetary support will likely be needed, Boston Federal Reserve President Eric Rosengren said Friday. Mr. Rosengren repeated his view that the US unemployment rate will likely be […]

Gold is Undervalued, Balanced Portfolios Should Own Some, Some Silver Too

Gold is Undervalued, Balanced Portfolios Should Own Some, Some Silver Too

$XAU $GLD $XAG $SLV $USD $GS Goldie raises 12-month gold forecast by 11% to $2,000 oz; Silver’s 12-month forecast at $22 oz Gold prices are likely to reach $2,000 oz in 12 months on the back of low real interest rates and concerns over currency debasement, even as developed markets emerge from C-19 coronavirus chaos […]

What the Fed Said in ‘Five Easy Pieces’

What the Fed Said in ‘Five Easy Pieces’

Last Wednesday Fed Chairman Powell spoke showing he has the power to move markets when it comes to monetary policy and how to help deal with the current C-19 coronavirus chaos’s instant recession. The FOMC was not expected make any change regarding Zero interest rates and nothing really new on the Fed’s ongoing asset purchases […]

US Mortgage Rates Drop to Record Low 3.13% for 30-Yr Home Loans

US Mortgage Rates Drop to Record Low 3.13% for 30-Yr Home Loans

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX US mortgage rates fell to a record low for the 4th time since the C-19 coronavirus chaos began disturbing financial markets earlier this year. The average for a 30-yr fixed-rate home loan was 3.13%, down from 3.21% last week and a low point in almost 50 yrs of data-keeping by […]

Marty Zweig: “Don’t fight the Fed and Don’t fight the Tape”

Marty Zweig:  “Don’t fight the Fed and Don’t fight the Tape”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX From Marty’s advice I minted my own that I have closed nearly every weekly Redroadmaster Report for the past 22 yrs: “Always take what the market gives.” Often followed by: “Tune out the Noise!“ What that means Don’t fight the Fed means that you cannot fight a Fed boss who intends […]

Bank of England Unveiled Big Stimulus Plan to Bolster UK Economy

Bank of England Unveiled Big Stimulus Plan to Bolster UK Economy

Just In: Bank of England increases its bond-buying programme to GGP 745-B from GBP 645-B, keeps benchmark interest rate at 0.1% The Bank of England (BoE) is set to introduce another big stimulus for the US economy Thursday to ease the chaos of the medical malpractice instant recession. The BoE will join its counterparts around […]

President Trump’s Fed and Treasury Backs This Economic Recovery 100%

President Trump’s Fed and Treasury Backs This Economic Recovery 100%

Monday, the Fed said that it will begin buying individual corporate bonds under its Secondary Market Corporate Credit Facility, an emergency lending program that to date has purchased only ETFs. Saying it will follow a diversified market index of US corporate bonds created expressly for the facility. The Fed built the index internally, itd detail […]

This Bull Recovery Run Signals Buy Stocks

This Bull Recovery Run Signals Buy Stocks

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX This stock market rally has more to run and investors are under-pricing the scale of the world’s C-19 coronavirus chaos recovery “While the last four months have been exceptional, we think that this cycle has been, and will be, more ‘normal’ than appreciated,” said Morgan Stanley’s chief cross-asset strategist in […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Optimism is Key

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Optimism is Key

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $SOX $VXX Optimistic US Stock Market Will Survive Racial and C-19 Coronavirus Chaos| Last week’s action  Stocks continue testing, as indexes that marked new highs have given them up. The charts of the PHLX Semiconductor Sector (SOX), the S&P 500 and others show reversals, suggesting there may be more testing (selling) […]

You Can Deal with Any Stock Market FOMO You May Still Have, Knowledge is Power…

You Can Deal with Any Stock Market FOMO You May Still Have, Knowledge is Power…

$SPY $SPX $DIA $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Here is how the stock market trades after 5.0%+ selloffs like we saw last Thursday The S&P 500 fell 5.9% last Thursday, marking its worst 1-day decliner since 16 March and its 5th fall of at least 5% in the past 3 months. It was the worst decline since […]

Psychologically the Fear of Missing Out is Driving the US Stock Market

Psychologically the Fear of Missing Out is Driving the US Stock Market

$SPY $SPX Last Thursday, Wall Street professionals showed retail investors who bet that stocks would continue their uninterrupted drive North, that they are incharge. Yes, there are lots of investors who missed out on Wall Street’s recovery since the 23 March lows and may take advantage of the midweek selloff to enter. That suggest some […]

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