US Economy Cools, Fed’s Powell Hints a Rate Halt in 2019 Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has laid out a scenario for a pause in the central bank’s interest-rate hiking campaign sometime next year by highlighting potential headwinds cooling the US economy. Wednesday, Chairman Powell listed 3 possible challenges to growth in Y 2019, they are; […]
Gold Higher, USD Down, Stocks Up + Commodities $GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices Higher US Dollar Down Crude Oil Rise a Bit Friday Asian Stocks Up sans Japan In Asia Gold: Gold prices rose Friday, having hit a 1-week high earlier in the session, as investors sought safe-haven assets on fears of a chaotic departure for Britain from the EU aka BREXIT. […]
Gold Steady, USD Down, Stocks Up + Commodities $GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices Steady US Dollar Down Crude Oil deep in Bear Market Territory Asian Stocks Up sans Japan In Asia Gold: Gold prices held steady Thursday, after rising nearly 1% in the prion session, as USD slipped further from a 16-month peak hit earlier in the week. Spot gold was little […]
Diving Crude Oil Prices Will Dampen Inflation $USO, $OIL, $UGA Crude Oil prices dove 7% Tuesday, and we can expect a reaction from OPEC when they meet on 6 December Shayne and I see more Southside risk for Crude Oil prices, at least until the OPEC meeting where fundamentals supply/demand issues will be on Top of […]
Gold Up, USD Down, Stocks Off + Commodities $GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices Up US Dollar Down Crude Oil deeper in Bear Market Territory Asian Stocks Down In Asia Gold: Gold prices are us Wednesday as the USD retreated from a 16-month high touched earlier in the week, easing amid a surge in EUR and GBP on a draft BREXIT agreement. Spot […]
Looking for a Major Bottom in Gold $GLD, $USD Shayne and I do not believe that the weakness in Gold and gold mining stocks is over, the outlook is that another Southside leg getting underway. Should that happen, we are positioned to profit from it. Long-term investors, traders, and speculators should be aware of the […]
Gold Up, USD Up, Stocks Off + Commodities $GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices Firming US Dollar Up Crude Oil in Bear Market Territory Asian Stocks Lower In Asia Gold prices edged higher Tuesday as investors resorted to bargain-hunting after the precious Yellow metal fell to over 1-month lows, weighed by a stronger USD that has capped the market. Spot gold was […]
Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Last Wednesday post election spike either stands on its own or platforms for a breakout. PPI at a 6 year high with prices +2.9% Y-Y. S&P 500, DJIA in excellent tests, NAS Comp work’in on it This week we see new leaders come up […]
Gold Down, USD Up, Stocks Off + Commodities $GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices Down US Dollar Up Crude Oil in Bear Market Territory Asian Stocks Lower In Asia Gold prices steadied Monday after touching a 1-month low in Friday’s session, but the precious Yellow metal remains under pressure from a firmer USD and expectations the Fed is on track to tighten […]
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The Strong US Economy is Continues to Grow The strong US economy is continuing to grow at a 2.9% annualized rate in Q-4, following the latest economic data, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow forecast model showed on Friday. This was unchanged from the pace for Q-4 GDP Atlanta Fed’s GDP program calculated on 2 November. The nowcast […]
Wholesale Prices Rise Most in 6 Years; Gasoline and Food Spike US wholesale prices rose by the most in 6 years in October, led higher by more expensive gas, food, and chemicals. The Labor Department said Friday that the producer price index — which measures price increases before they reach the consumer — jumped 0.6% in […]
Gold Down, USD Up, Stocks Off + Commodities $GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices Down US Dollar Up Crude Oil in Bear Market Territory Asian Stocks Higher Focus on FOMC Minutes later Thursday In Asia Gold: Gold prices fell to their lowest mark in a week Friday, and were set for their biggest weekly decliner since August, on a firmer USD as the […]
US Stocks Finished Virtually Flat After Post-Election Spike $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USO, $VXX Stocks in the US drifted Thursday after the big rally Wednesday. The S&P 500 slipped 0.3% Thursday in the wake of the FOMC decision to leave the fed funds rate unchanged as expected. The benchmark index traded slightly below its flat line […]
FOMC Leaves Key Fed Funds Rate Unchanged Little reaction to the FOMC announcement, the major averages now trade little changed from their pre-FOMC release levels. The Fed has left its Key policy rate unchanged but signaled that it plans to keep responding to the strong US economy with more interest rate hikes. The next rate […]
Gold Down, USD Up, Stocks Up + Commodities $GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices Down US Dollar Up Crude Oil Higher Asian Stocks Higher Focus on FOMC Minutes later Thursday In Asia Gold prices inched lower Thursday on the back of a stronger USD, as investors digested the US Congressional midterm election results and turned their focus to the Fed’s monetary policy […]
Gold Up, USD Down, Stocks Up + Commodities $GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices Up US Dollar Down Crude Oil Lower Asian Stocks Higher US Midterm Congressional Elections come is as Expected. In Asia Gold: Gold prices rose Wednesday on a weaker USD, as the outcome of US Congressional midterm election came in as expected, Republican hold Senate, and Dems take control […]
Gold Steady, USD Down, Stocks Up + Commodities $GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices Steady US Dollar Down Crude Oil Lower Asian Stocks Higher Traders eye US Midterm Congressional Elections In Asia Gold prices were steady early Tuesday ahead of US Congressional midterm elections that may fuel interest in the precious Yellow metal as a hedge against risk if the result sparks […]
Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX NFPs report solid, shows best wage growth in 10 years. China trade, market still struggles on news. 4 day Rally paused Friday All Eyes on the US Congressional Midterm Elections Tuesday Friday, stocks opened higher then faded, trending lower into early afternoon. Positives turned to […]
Gold Steady, USD Down, Stocks Down + Commodities $GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices Steady US Dollar Down Crude Oil Dipped Asian Stocks Lower Traders eye US Midterm Congressional Elections Traders eye US Earnings Data In Asia Gold prices held steady Monday as investors were cautious ahead of the US Congressional electionsTuesday which will determine whether the Republican or Democratic Party controls […]
President Trump and The Fed Want to See Inflation $USD, $SPY, $GLD, $SLV The value of USD is determined by a number of variables. For example, this year’s trade wars with China have resulted in a stronger Buck and a weakened RMB Yuan. There are a few internal mechanisms that can be used to raise or […]
The Strong Trump Economy is Real, Not a ‘Sugar High’ “Wow! The U.S. added 250,000 Jobs in October, Unemployment at 3.7%, Wages UP! Keep it going, Vote Republican!” White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow says that the strong Trump economy is not a sugar high. The veteran financial guru and former Ronald Reagan adviser spoke to reporters […]
Gold Steady, USD Up, Stocks Higher + Commodities $GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices Steady US Dollar Up Crude Oils Down Asian Stocks Higher Traders eye US NFPs Data Traders eye US Earnings Data In Asia Gold prices were steady in early Asian trade Friday, after rising about 1.5% in the prior session, while the USD inched up ahead of the US NFP […]
Gold Higher, USD Lower, Stocks Higher + Commodities $GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices Higher US Dollar Eases Crude Oils Down Asian Stocks Higher Traders eye US Economic Data Traders eye US Earnings Data In Asia Gold prices inched higher in early Asian trade Thursday, recovering from a 3-week low marked in the Wednesday’s session as the USD eased. Spot gold was up 0.2% […]
Gold Lower, USD Higher, Stocks Higher + Commodities $GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Coming Off of 3 Month Highs US Dollar (.DXY) Index Higher Crude Oils Prices Up Asian Stocks Higher Traders eye US Economic Data Traders eye US Earnings Data In Asia Gold prices fell to a more than 2-week low Wednesday as Asian stocks gained and the USD touched multi-month highs on […]
Gold Lower, USD Higher, Stocks Lower + Commodities $GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Coming Off of 3 Month Highs US Dollar (.DXY) Index Firms Crude Oils Mixed Asian Stocks Pressured Traders eye US Economic Data Traders eye US Earnings Data In Asia Gold prices edged down Tuesday as the USD gained on worries over slowing economic growth and fears the US- China trade […]
A 2019 Bear Market Event May Trigger a DJIA Move to 40,000 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $MTAFF, $GLGDF, $RGLD, $FNV,$WPM You may recall in January 2016, the DJIA was trading at the 16,000 mark, when Yves Lamoureux, President of macroeconomic research firm Lamoureux & Co., said DIA would top 25,000 within 3-4 years. It did not take […]
Gold Lower, USD Higher, Stocks Higher + Commodities $GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Coming Off of 3 Month Highs US Dollar (.DXY) Index Firms Crude Oil Softens Asian Stocks Edging Up Traders eye US Economic Data Traders eye US Earnings Data In Asia Gold prices inched down early on Monday to drift away from a more than 3-month highs marked last Friday’s session, […]
Halloween Market Week: Tricks or Treats? $SPY, $AAPL, $FB This is Halloween week and we have more earnings as 1,000+companies will report their Q-3 results and update their forward outlooks. We also have a full slate of economic data, some of which will influence the 2nd edition of the September Quarter’s GDP reading while others […]
Trump Economy Driving Robust GDP to 3.5% in Q-3 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The US economy grew at a robust annual rate of 3.5% in the July-September Quarter as the strongest rise i consumer spending in nearly 4 years helped offset a sharp drag from trade. The Commerce Department said Friday that Q-3 GDP, the […]
Gold Higher, USD Higher, Stocks Lower + Commodities $GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Strengthens US Dollar (.DXY) Index Strengthens Crude Oil Softens US and Global Stocks Strengthen Traders eye US Q-3 GDP data Friday In Asia Gold Gold prices held steady Friday but remained on track to rise for the 4th week running, the longest string of weekly gainers since January on […]
Gold Higher, USD Lower, Stocks Lower + Commodities $GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold strengthens on risk-off trade US Dollar (.DXY) Index Eases Crude Oil futures down US and Global market’s stocks lower In Asia Gold: Gold prices firmed early, hanging near a more than 3-month high reached earlier this week, as the USD eased and Asian stocks slumped after Wall Street surrendered all its […]
Buy the Dip: “Fed has the Market’s Back” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Investors should take advantage of this market pull back, the deepest in 3 years to position for a year-end rally as fears over Fed Hawkishness are likely overdone. While catalysts cited behind the Southside action ranged from peak earnings growth to trade […]
Gold Higher, USD Lower, Stocks Mixed to Lower + Commodities $GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold strengthens on risk-off trade US Dollar (.DXY) Index Falls Crude Oil futures down on Saudi pledge US stocks lower In Asia Gold prices Wednesday in global markets is up after hitting their highest in over 3 months in Tuesday’s US session, with international political and economic uncertainty underpinning safe-haven […]
Gold Higher, USD Higher, Stocks Mixed to Lower + Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN, $WEAT Gold strengthens on risk-off trade US Dollar (.DXY) Index up Crude Oil futures down on Saudi pledge US stocks mixed, Asia stocks off In Asia Gold prices are up early Tuesday as Asian stocks faltered, weighed down by political uncertainties around BREXIT and […]
Fed Will Fade, Halt Interest Rate Hikes After December $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Jim Cramer says Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will hike interest rates once more in December and then stop. “I just think he’s going to blink,” Mr. Cramer said on TV Monday “It’s going to be 1 and done in December. That’s […]
Gold Higher, USD Higher, Stocks Flat + Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN, $WEAT Gold strengthens on risk-off trade US Dollar (.DXY) Index up Crude Oil futures up on supply/demand issues Stocks Flat to Unchanged In Asia Gold prices settled higher Monday morning in Asia, along with an advance in the USD. The increase in gold prices, a safe-haven […]
Gold Higher, USD Higher, Stocks Lower + Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN, $WEAT Gold strengthens on risk-off trade China’s growth slows US Dollar (.DXY) Index up on the week Crude Oil futures fall again on supply/demand issues In Asia Gold prices are higher Friday as Asian shares fell on renewed political and economic concerns including China’s weak […]
US Stocks Test on Fed Rates and Global Growth Concerns $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 index closed just above its 200-Day MA, a Key indicator of long-term price trends. US stocks opened lower as Chinese stocks fell overnight, sparking concerns about the impact of trade tensions on China’s economy. Plus, concerns mounted […]
Philly Fed Survey: Trump Trade Disputes Barely Slows Manufacturers’ Investment Plans US Manufacturers in the northeast are largely shrugging off global trade disputes and plan to boost investments next year thanks to tax cuts, according to a Federal Reserve survey. More than 64% of business respondents in the Philadelphia Fed district said tariff and trade […]
Goldman Sachs Sees 5 More Fed Rate Hikes Through 2019 $GS President Trump is calling Fed’s rate hikes “crazy” and warning they would hurt the growing US economy. Thursday, Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) economists said the firm remained “comfortable” with its call for 5 more interest rate hikes, that is 2X than priced in financial markets […]
Fed’s Current Monetary Policy Raise the Risks of Recession President Trump has criticized recent Fed rate increases, arguing that they threatened economic growth. The Fed’s current monetary policy path would raise the risks of recession in an economy where recent, unexpectedly strong growth may start to taper anyway, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said […]
Gold Ranged, USD Firms + Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN, $WEAT Gold steady in narrow range Fed mins signal more rate hikes ahead US Dollar (.DXY) Index rises to 1-wk high Crude Oil futures fall for 1st session in 4 In Asia Gold prices held steady in a narrow range Thursday as Asian shares eased, […]
President Trump is Not Demanding a Monetary Policy Change at the Fed Wednesday, White House economic advisor Larry Kudlow said that US President Trump was not demanding a policy change at the Fed. President Trump heaped more criticism on the Fed Tuesday, calling rising US interest rates his “biggest threat.” The Trump Administration official said […]
Fed Hawks Want to Chill Roaring US Economy Despite sharp criticism from President Donald Trump for raising interest rates, Fed policymakers remain generally united on the need to raise borrowing costs further, according to minutes from their most recent policy meeting. Every policymaker backed the Fed’s September rate increase, according to the minutes of the Sept. […]
Gold Edged Down, USD Edged Up + Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN, $WEAT Gold stays near 2.5 month high as risk aversion lends support In Asia Gold prices edged lower early Wednesday as stocks gained and USD firmed on fading risk-averse sentiment, with the market awaiting mins from the Fed’s FOMC latest policy meeting […]
Expect Strong Earnings, Forward Expectations to Drive Markets to Record Highs $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX Wall Street’s longest Bull market rally is alive and well after last weeks healthy pull back and will continue to run North into the record territory. Last week’s pull back action is not indicative of any fundamental changes in the […]
President Trump, “My Biggest Threat Is the Fed” Tuesday, US President Donald Trump escalated his assault on the Fed, calling the central bank the biggest threat of his Presidency. “My biggest threat is the Fed,” President Trump said in a TV interview. “Because the Fed is raising rates too fast, and it is too independent,” he […]
Gold Holding at 12 Wk Highs+ Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN, $WEAT Gold stays near 2.5 month high as risk aversion lends support In Asia Gold prices held steady Tuesday near last session’s 2.5 -month high as risk-averse investors sought refuge in the precious Yellow metal amid rising political tensions and economic uncertainty. […]
US Economy Expanding at 4% Growth Rate $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Monday the latest data showed that the US economy is expanding at a 4% annualized rate in Q-3, that according to the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow forecast model following the release of the latest data on retail sales. The GDPNow model estimate for real […]
Gold Up, Asian Shares Dip + Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN, $WEAT In Asia Gold prices rose early Monday as Asian stocks eased due to concerns about a potential decline in China’s economic growth amid an ongoing trade dispute and signs of tighter monetary policy by the Fed. Spot gold was up 0.3% […]
Street Analysts See Strong Rally Into Year’s End $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Stocks bounced and held after pulling back Wednesday and Thursday The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) fell 14.3% Friday, retreating from its highest marks since February. Friday, Morgan Stanley strategists, whose warning about a “rolling Bear market” seemed to pay off this week after high […]
Gold Up, USD, US Interest Rates Down+ Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN, $WEAT US President Trump says Fed “crazy” for raising interest rates Spot gold may extend gains to $1,237 oz Crude Oil falling on overblown supply issues In Asia Gold Gold prices edged lower Friday, but held near a more than 10-wk highs hit […]
President Trump, “The Fed is Out of Control” $DIA, SPY, QQQ, RUTX, VXX US President Donald Trump said he will not fire Fed Chairman Jerome Powell but blamed an “out of control” FOMC for the worst stock market sell-off since February. President Trump also told reporters in the Oval Office Thursday morning that he knows […]
Gold Down, US Interest Rates Up + Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN, $WEAT Asian shares fall sharply after Wall St tumbles Holdings in SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) rise for 1st time since July US President Trump says Fed “crazy” for raising interest rates In Asia Gold Gold prices inched down Thursday as strong […]
US Economic Data Strong, Atlanta Fed Raises GDP View to 4.2% $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USO, $VXX US stocks retreated Wednesday in a healthy Bull market pullback The US economy is expanding at a 4.2% annualized rate in Q-3, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow forecast model showed on Wednesday, following the release of the latest data […]
Gold Steady, USD Pauses + Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN, $WEAT In Asia Gold Gold prices held steady Wednesday as expectations of more US interest rate increases pressured demand, although the precious Yellow metal drew some support from USD coming off 7-week highs. Spot gold was little changed at $1,189.05 oz at 0513 […]
“Fed Raising Rates Too Fast” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Tuesday, President Donald Trump criticized the Fed saying it is going too fast in raising rates when inflation is minimal and government data points to a strong economy. “Well, I like to see low interest rates. The Fed is doing what it thinks is necessary […]
America First Is a Winning Strategy America First is the way to go. US stock markets continue to be driven by “uniquely American” factors such as strong activity data, a central bank that’s on the path to being restrictive and foreign policy aimed at systemically important countries, JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) strategists led by […]
Gold Dips Below 1200, Investors Buy USDs + Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $PLAT, $PALL, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN, $WEAT In Asia Gold on track for its biggest daily pct loss since mid-Aug China eases policy on concerns trade dispute with US could hurt growth Speculators cut net short position in COMEX gold in 1st week of October […]
President Trump’s Economic Boom Can Last ‘A Good Many Years’ President Trump is Guiding ‘Hottest Economy’ in World Larry Kudlow, director of the White House’s National Economic Council, does not see an end to the robust economic growth sparked by President Donald Trump’s strategy. “I just do not see where this is going to end,” he […]
Gold Dips, USD Firms, China China Eases + Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $PLAT, $PALL, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN, $WEAT In Asia Gold prices inched lower Monday as USD firmed after China’s central bank eased its domestic policy to support the economy. Spot gold was down 0.2% at $1,200.31 oz at 0103 GMT, the precious Yellow metal […]
US Job Market ‘Best in a Generation’ For a at least 10 years after the collapse of Lehman Brothers touched off a global financial crisis, there was good reason to believe the US economy remained broken, from skepticism about the health of the labor market to the slow economic growth and the record low rate […]
Gold Flat, US NFPs the Focus + Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $PLAT, $PALL, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN, $WEAT In Asia Gold prices were steady Friday as investors remained cautious after US Treasury yields hit multi-year peaks on expectations that stronger monthly employment data could boost the Fed’s case for a tighter monetary policy. Investors are expected […]
This is All You Need to Know About Bitcoin and Blockchain $BTCUSD, $BLCN Bitcoin and the alternative cryptocurrencies, aka altcoins, are cryptic to say the least. Some people consider bitcoin a currency, others an investment and still others a store of value. Even government agencies cannot agree on what bitcoin really is. The IRS treats it […]
Gold Down, USD Up + Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $PLAT, $PALL, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN, $WEAT The USD reached an 11-month high against the Japanese Yen and stood strong Vs other peers, boosted by upbeat US economic data and hawkish comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell In Asia Gold Gold prices inched down Thursday, after upbeat US economic […]
Gold Up, USD Up + Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $PLAT, $PALL, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN, $WEAT In Asia Gold Gold prices rebounded Tuesday as risk appetite faded after getting a boost from an agreement between the United States, Canada and Mexico’s (USMCA) free trade deal. Asian stocks fell, with MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares […]
US Economy Experiencing “Extraordinary Times”, Outlook Strong Tuesday, US Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said Tuesday that he sees no need to drop the central bank’s current gradual approach to raising interest rates. Chairman Powell said the combination of steady, low inflation and very low unemployment shows the country is going through “extraordinary times.” The Fed […]
Atlanta Fed’s Fresh GDP Growth Estimate at 4.1% The US economy is growing at a 4.1% annualized rate in Q-3 following the government’s construction-spending report and other recent economic data, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow forecast model showed Tuesday. The GDPNow model estimate for real GDP growth (seasonally adjusted annual rate) in Q-3 of Y 2018 is 4.1% on October […]
Gold Up a Bit, but USMCA Deal Weighs + Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $PLAT, $PALL, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN, $WEAT In Asia Gold is higher early Tuesday, having dipped Monday, as demand for riskier assets picked up after the United States and Canada reached an agreement to salvage a North American free trade deal aka USCMA. US […]
Gold Slips, USD Firms on Fed Rate Hike + Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $PLAT, $PALL, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN, $WEAT In Asia Gold Gold prices dipped Monday as the USD firmed in the wake of indications from the Fed last week that it will pursue a tighter monetary policy. The Fed raised US interest rates last week and said it […]
Crude Oil at $100 bbl and the World’s Economy: Who Wins, Who Loses $OIL, $USO, $UGA Crude Oil prices are now begetting forecasts of a return to $100 bbl for the 1st time since Y 2014, creating both winners and losers in the world economy. Exporters of Black Gold would enjoy bumper returns, giving a […]
US Economic Growth: Consumer Spending Up, Inflation Moderate US consumer spending saw a steady increase in August, supporting expectations of solid economic growth in Q-3, while a measure of underlying inflation remained at the Fed’s 2 percent target for a 4th month running. Friday, economists said the report from the US Commerce Department should allay […]
Gold Down and USD Up on Fed Rate Hike + Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $PLAT, $PALL, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN, $WEAT In Asia Gold Gold is down more than 13% from an April high, largely because of the stronger USD Concerns about Iran sanctions led to a widening difference between NYMEX WTI Crude and ICE Brent Crude prices Global mining […]
Short-Term Recession Risks for US Are Not High $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The US economy does not face a large chance of a recession in the next 2 years and the Fed plans to keep gradually raising interest rates, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said Thursday. Asked whether the narrowing gap between short-term and long-term […]
Gold Up and USD Up on FOMC Rate Hike + Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $PLAT, $PALL, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN, $WEAT In Asia Thursday, Gold prices rose, as investors looked for bargains after the metal fell a 2-week lows in the prior session following a US interest rate hike and as limited gains in USD after the decision supported demand […]
S&P 500 ($SPY) Will Still Hit 3,000 Despite Fed Rate Hikes $SPY, $BX Blackstone’s (NYSE:BX) Byron Wien says the S&P 500 will still rise to 3,000 by year’s end despite the Federal Reserve’s plan to continue hiking interest rates. “At the beginning of the year, I said the market would reach 3,000 on the S&P […]
Fed Hikes, Removes ‘Dovish’ Language from Policy Statement $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The FOMC increased short-term interest rates Wednesday, as expected, raising the fed funds target range by 25 bpts to 2.00-2.25%. The move reflected an upbeat assessment of the economy that was identical to the central bank’s last policy statement 8 weeks ago, […]
Gold Steady on Flat USD, and FOMC Rate Policy Announcement + Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $PLAT, $PALL, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN, $WEAT In Asia Gold prices drifting in a narrow range Wednesday as investors awaited cues of the FOMC’s 2-day meeting, where policymakers are expected to raise interest rates for the 3rd time this year. Spot gold was up […]
Gold Flat on Firm USD, China Trade Tensions Continue + Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $PLAT, $PALL, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN, $WEAT In Asia Gold was steady Tuesday on US-China trade tensions after $200-B of tariffs came into effect, investors stay on the sidelines ahead of the FOMC policy meeting. Spot gold was barely changed at 1,198.28 oz by 0056 GMT. […]
Gold Down on From USD, as China Halts Trade Talks + Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $PLAT, $PALL, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN, $WEAT In Asia Gold edged lower Monday, as USD held firm on news that China has cancelled trade talks with the United States, with the market also eyeing this week’s FOMC policy meeting for guidance on […]
Expect the Fed to Predict Slower Growth, No Recession Ahead Investors have been worried about the potential for a US recession by Y 2020, this week the Fed policy makers are likely to project this 9-year-old expansion will last for a few more years. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) participants at the close of a […]
Gold Prices Up, Easing Trade Concerns Soften USD + Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $PLAT, $PALL, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN, $WEAT In Asia Asian stocks extended gains Friday thanks to Wall Street marking all-time highs, as investors believe that the latest exchange of tariffs between the United States and China may be less damaging than initially feared. […]
The Trump Effect: US Economy is Strong $DIA The strong US economy continues under President Donald Trump. A string of reports Thursday showed the labor market is getting stronger, consumers are increasingly optimistic and manufacturers are expanding, adding to signs that GDP (gross domestic product) remains on track for a solid performance in Q-3 Filings […]
Gold Prices Steady, Trade Concerns Pressure USD + Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $PLAT, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN,$WEAT In Asia Asian stocks followed global indexes higher Thursday, as investors took a less bearish view on the impact of the US-China trade war on markets, a sharp contrast to dim expectations economists had on US growth amid the […]
The Trump Effect: Atlanta Fed Keeps GDP Forecast at 4.4% $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wednesday, the S&P 500 finished with a gainer of 0.1%, driven by financial shares, which rallied on another rise in interest rates. The blue-chip DJIA outperformed, adding 0.6%, the NAS Comp lagged, closing lower by 0.1%, and the small-cap Russell […]
Gold Prices Up, as USD Eases + Commodities $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $PLAT, $USO, $OIL, $SOY, $CORN,$WEAT Gold prices edged up Wednesday, as the USD weakened despite another round of reciprocal tariffs in the US-China trade dispute. In focus 19 September 2018 Spot gold up 0.1 % to 1,199.18 oz by 0044 GMT US gold futures […]
President Trump is “Guiding Hottest Economy in World” The US National Economic Council Director Larry Kudlow said America’s economy is leading the rest of the world by returning to a basic approach of cutting taxes and burdensome regulation to allow businesses to freely flourish with government oppression. “The U.S. is the hottest economy in the […]
The Trump Effect: US economy Poised for Strong Growth in Q-3 US economy is expanding at a 4.4% annualized rate in Q-3, the Atlanta Fed’s GDPNow forecast model showed Friday despite retail sales recording their smallest gainer in 6 months in August. Consumers cut back on purchases of motor vehicles and clothing, but upward revisions to […]
US Gasoline Prices Up, Inflation Rising $UGA, $USO US consumer prices rose less than expected in August as increases in gasoline and rents were offset by declines in healthcare and apparel costs, and underlying inflation pressures also appeared to be slowing. The US Labor Department said on Thursday its Consumer Price Index increased 0.2% last month after […]
Fed Moving to Avert a Recession Due to Falling Unemployment Fed officials tout 10 yrs of falling unemployment as among their major victories in fighting the economic crisis of Y’s 2007 to 2009. Now they are starting to worry they have been too successful. When unemployment falls as low as it is currently, Boston Fed […]
US Producer Prices Dip as Inflation Eases No one seems to know why there is no inflation US wholesale prices fell unexpectedly last month for the 1st time since February 2017, pulled down by falling prices for transportation and warehousing services. The drop suggests that inflationary pressures may be easing despite the strength of the […]
Gold Finished Flat, Rate Hike and Trade Tensions Concern $GLD, $SLV Gold prices held steady during Asian trade Tuesday as investors remained on the sidelines amid expectations of a Fed interest rate hike later this month and on fears of an escalation in the US-China trade dispute. Spot gold was mostly unchanged at 1,195.79 oz […]
Trade Disputes Poses Little Danger to the Thriving US Economy $GS Goldman Sachs declares President Donald Trump’s economy is growing at a pace of 3.5%, or 2X its estimated potential. Goldman chief economist said the trade war poses little danger to the thriving economy He predicts the Fed will hike interest rates 6 more times […]
USD Higher on Continuing Trade Tensions $USD, $AUD, $EUR, $JPY, $CNY Friday, US President Donald Trump warned that he is ready to slap tariffs on virtually all Chinese imports into the United States, threatening duties on another $267-B of goods in addition to the $200-B already facing the risk of duties. The US Dollar (.DXY) […]
Annual Wages Rise Most Since 2009 as US Adds 201,000 Jobs $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US job growth accelerated in August and wages notched their largest annual increase in more than 9 years, the clearest signs that the economy was so far weathering The Trump Administration’s escalating trade dispute with China. The Labor Department’s closely […]
The Trump Effect: Low Unemployment Makes Economy ‘as Good as it Gets’ $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Current economic conditions are “as good as it gets” for the Fed, a Key policymaker said Thursday. Looking ahead, investors will receive the Employment Situation report for August Friday, the consensus expecting an increase of 187,000 in NFPs, an […]
Atlanta Fed Lifts Q-3 GDP Prediction to 4.7% $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The next GDPNow update is Wednesday, 5 September. The US economy is growing at a 4.7% annualized rate in Q-3, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow forecast model showed on Tuesday, following the latest data on construction spending and factory activity. This is now […]
Atlanta Fed’s Q-3 GDP Estimate at 4.1% The US economy is expanding at a 4.1% annualized rate in Q-3, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s latest GDPNow forecast model showed, following the release of the advanced economic indicators from the US Census earlier this week. This was slower than the 4.6% GDP growth pace calculated by the […]
Atlanta Fed Lifts GDP Growth Estimate to 4.6% The Trump Effect Expands The US economy is growing at a 4.6% annualized rate in Q-3 following the government’s data on new-home sales and costs, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow forecast model showed Friday. Friday’s Atlanta Fed estimate is higher than the last estimate of 4.3% on 16 August. […]