“Risk Assets Have Room to Run”

“Risk Assets Have Room to Run”

$SPY, $BLK In a report, the majority of BlackRock Inc.’s (NYSE:BLK) Top decision-makers had a simple conclusion after gathering in London last week: A supportive backdrop for risk assets probably has “room to run” for at least 12 more months. Senior leadership at the world’s largest asset manager cited easy monetary policies and few signs […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD, $BTC, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Off, USD Up, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Notes: President Trump said Tuesday he will have an extended meeting with Chinese President Xi at the G-20. The world’s 2 largest economies are in the middle of a costly trade dispute that has pressured financial markets […]

President Trump on Jerome Powell’s Future: “Let’s see what he does.”

President Trump on Jerome Powell’s Future: “Let’s see what he does.”

President Trump Tuesday kept up the pressure on the head of the Fed following a report that lawyers at the White House have explored the legality of stripping Jerome Powell of the Fed’s Chairmanship. Asked by reporters outside the White House if he wanted to demote Chairman Powell,  President Trump said: “Let’s see what he does.” […]

President Trump Vs Fed, Gold Wins

President Trump Vs Fed, Gold Wins

$XAU, $GLD, $USD President Trump continues his relentless attacks against the Fed and their strong dollar Tuesday with his most recent Tweets: “This is because the Euro and other currencies are devalued against the dollar, putting US at a big disadvantage. The Fed Interest rate way too high, added to ridiculous quantitative tightening! They don’t […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD, $BTC, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Up, USD Flat, Crude Oil Down, Stocks Off Notes: The New York Fed said Monday that its gauge of business growth in New York state posted a record fall this month to its weakest level in more than 2.5 years, suggesting an abrupt contraction in […]

Goldie Does Not See the “Insurance” Rate Cut Coming

Goldie Does Not See the “Insurance” Rate Cut Coming

$GS, $CME Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) economists said they are skeptical of “insurance” US interest rate decreases from the Fed to forestall possible slowing in US economic growth due to global trade tensions. A surprise escalation in trade tensions between Washington and Beijing since May, together with low inflation, have spurred bets among traders the Fed […]

Fed Fueling a Recession, Chairman Powell On The Way Out

Fed Fueling a Recession, Chairman Powell On The Way Out

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX President Trump will not renominate Jerome Powell for another term as Fed Chairman if re-elected. “That will lead to very different monetary policy, so the Fed is not fully independent of politics,” former Fed VC Fischer, an Hussein Obama appointee, said Sunday at a talk in Israel. By criticizing […]

US Homebuilder Sentiment Posts 1st Decliner in 2019

US Homebuilder Sentiment Posts 1st Decliner in 2019

US homebuilders’ sentiment unexpectedly posted the 1st decliner this year, suggesting lower mortgage rates are failing to give the housing market a sustained boost amid property prices that remain out of reach for many buyers. The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index fell 2 points below the consensus estimate at 66 to 64 in […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XAU, $GLD, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Last week we saw Wall Street stocks consolidate on light volume and the Fed signaled ‘Got Gold’ Mr. Market started seriously pricing in the possibility of interest rate cuts. To be fair, the signal came from the Top of the economic politburo that matters that being […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD, $BTC, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Subdued, USD Up, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Firm Notes: A Reuters poll showed a growing number of economists expect the Fed policymakers to cut interest rates this year, although the majority still see it holding steady. In Asia Gold: Gold prices subdued Monday after retreating from […]

Trade Worries Not a Drag on US Business Investment

Trade Worries Not a Drag on US Business Investment

$GS Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) economists are skeptical that trade policy uncertainty is a major drag on business investment now. Instead, they are pointing to other economic indicators, which they say are still okay. “The link between economic policy uncertainty and Capex weakens sharply when taking into account financial conditions and company investment spending expectations, which […]

Fed Saying, “Got Gold”

Fed Saying, “Got Gold”

$XAU, $GLD, $USD Mr. Market started seriously pricing in the possibility of interest rate cuts. To be fair, the signal came from the Top of the economic politburo that matters that being the Federal Reserve. Speaking at an event at the Chicago Fed last Tuesday, Chairman Jerome Powell hinted that the Fed would likely cut […]

President Trump on Fed Chairman Powell, “I disagree with him ‘entirely'”

President Trump on Fed Chairman Powell, “I disagree with him ‘entirely

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Friday, President Trump sharply criticized Fed Chairman Powell in an interview aired Friday, blaming him for raising interest rates and damaging the US economy. “He is my pick, and I disagree with him entirely,” he said in an interview with ABC News that was filmed in the back of a […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Up, USD Flat, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Off Notes: China will release May industrial production along with retail sales and investment numbers at 0700 GMT, analysts expect any improvement from April’s downbeat readings will be mostly marginal. Economists polled by Reuters expect industrial production in China […]

US Stocks “Paused to Refresh”, Gold Finished Higher

US Stocks “Paused to Refresh”, Gold Finished Higher

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USD, $XAU, $GLD, $VXX Total CPI increased 0.1%, as expected, as did core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices. The monthly changes left the Y-Y readings at 1.8% and 2.0%, respectively, versus 2.0% and 2.1% for the 12 months ending in April. The Key takeaway from the report is […]

If you were paying close attention last week you Keyed on This…

If you were paying close attention last week you Keyed on This…

$EURUSD FLASH: Last week, Fed Chairman Powell said, “…we will act as appropriate to sustain the expansion.” With those few words Chairman Powell took the strength out of the argument for a recession because the Fed is very powerful. And with the stock market rallying, President Trump threatening more tariffs on China, stocks are just […]

Market Extends Rally Off of Its Best Week in 2019

Market Extends Rally Off of Its Best Week in 2019

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, Investors heavily exposed to US stocks just had their best week YTD. But the rebound has raised several questions related to market behavior, policy and economics. How they are answered will prove consequential not only for market prospects but for the global economy. And, notwithstanding the lack of decisive answers at this stage, […]

US Consumers See Inflation Falling

US Consumers See Inflation Falling

US consumers’ inflation expectations deteriorated to their weakest levels since late Y 2017 in May, while their views on jobs and family finances grew less certain, according to a Federal Reserve Bank of New York survey published Monday. The weakening in inflation expectations may factor into Fed policymakers’ decision whether to lower interest rates in […]

Hiring in US Hits Record Highs

Hiring in US Hits Record Highs

US job openings fell a bit in April as hiring surged to a record high, government data showed Monday. Job openings, a measure of labor demand, slipped to a seasonally adjusted 7.4-M from 7.5-M in March, the Labor Department said in its monthly Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or JOLTS. The job openings rate was […]

US Consumers Upbeat

US Consumers Upbeat

US consumer debt increased by the most in 5 months in April and topped estimates, suggesting more upbeat sentiment among Americans is supporting borrowing and spending. Total credit expanded $17.5-B from the prior month following an upwardly revised $11-B gain in March, Federal Reserve figures showed Friday. Revolving debt outstanding increased the most since November while non-revolving […]

US Labor Market Solid

US Labor Market Solid

The number of Americans filing applications for unemployment benefits was flat to unchanged last week, suggesting the labor market remains on solid footing despite slowing economic activity. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits were flat to unchanged at a seasonally adjusted 218,000 for the week ended 1 June, the Labor Department said Thursday. Data for the prior […]

US Household Wealth Tops $108-T in Q-1

US Household Wealth Tops $108-T in Q-1

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US household wealth marked a record in Q-1 as the stock market rallied, supporting consumers after Fed interest-rate hikes and trade dispute shocked investors late last year. Net worth for households and non-profit groups increased by $4.69-T, or 4.5%, to $108.6-T after a 3.7% drop in the prior frame, Federal […]

The US Economy in Longest Expansion Ever.

The US Economy in Longest Expansion Ever.

This month, the US economy has been growing for 10 years running, tying the record for the longest expansion ever. Many people, including journalists and policy makers, see this as a great achievement. “I see nothing to celebrate. On the contrary, I think they are measuring success the wrong way”, says Narayana Kocherlakota He says, […]

Rate Cut Looms, Wall Street Rallies

Rate Cut Looms, Wall Street Rallies

$DIA,$SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The technology sector was the biggest boost to the S&P with a 3.3% advance, led by gains in Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) Wall Street’s 3 major indexes rallied Tuesday to clock their biggest one-day gains in five months after Fed Chairman Powell left the door open for a […]

Trade, Other Risks, Signal Rate Cut May Be “Warranted Soon”

Trade, Other Risks, Signal Rate Cut May Be “Warranted Soon”

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Growing expectations for the Fed to cut rates to address slower growth and muted inflation; 2-yr yield drops 12 bpts to 1.83% . St. Louis Fed President James Bullard (FOMC Voter) said that slower economic growth could be sharper-than-expected due to the trade uncertainty. Mr. Bullard added that […]

No Country is Safe from Trump’s Tariffs

No Country is Safe from Trump’s Tariffs

$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD, $GOLD, $NEM, $VXX FLASH: Gold is finally seeing some bullish momentum as trade ructions escalate, fueling the biggest rally among the top miners in seven months. President Trump’s plan to impose a 5% tariff on all Mexican goods over illegal immigration rattled financial markets, boosting the haven appeal of the precious […]

US Consumer Confidence Up in May, Economic Optimism Best Since 2000

US Consumer Confidence Up in May, Economic Optimism Best Since 2000

US consumer confidence rose in May as households grew more upbeat about the labor market, suggesting the economy remained on solid ground despite signs that activity was slowing after being temporarily boosted by exports and a build-up of inventories. The surge in confidence reported by the Conference Board on Tuesday came despite an escalation in tensions in […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: World stock markets were subdued as the US and UK exchanges were shuttered for national holidays. DJIA futures rose Monday night, along with S&P 500 futures and NAS futures. President Trump said Monday that Beijing “would like to make a deal,” but “we’re not ready” for a China trade […]

China Struggling to Grasp President Trump’s End Game

China Struggling to Grasp President Trump’s End Game

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Note: The Mins from the May FOMC meeting showed that policymakers are comfortable with the current fed funds rate range while “a number of participants” saw a moderation in risk and uncertainties surrounding their outlooks for the year. The Key takeaway is that the stock market has a reasonable […]

Americans’ View of Job Market Hits New Highs

Americans’ View of Job Market Hits New Highs

FLASH: Americans’ confidence in the job market in May hit the highest level in Gallup’s records, which date back to Y 2001. A recent Gallup poll found the following: Overall views of the economy remain positive. Over 7 in 10 Americans feel positively about the US job market. Employment optimism among workforce is highest since 2000. […]

US Not Likely to Suffer Big Damage From China Trade Dispute

US Not Likely to Suffer Big Damage From China Trade Dispute

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Major averages traded lower on trade uncertainty, Several US companies suspend business operations with China’s Huawei Technologies, Semiconductor stocks underperform, drag the S&P 500 information technology sector and Nasdaq lower Trade tensions with China need to linger for an extended period to cause real damage to the United […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Some analysts think there may not be enough leadership to move the market higher now. Savvy money is playing quality to the Northside. At the same time there are good Southside setups that we are watching carefully for the break South Southside action delivers fast gainers, but what falls […]

US Economy Continues to Expand

US Economy Continues to Expand

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: This economic expansion is set to become longest in US history, according to the latest leading-indicators data. The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the US increased 0.2% in April to 112.1, following a 0.3% increase in March, and a 0.2% increase in February. “The US LEI rose […]

President Trump Has an Really Good “Alternative” to the China Trade Deal

President Trump Has an Really Good “Alternative” to the China Trade Deal

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wall Street declines for 4th day running, finished near session highs President Trump firm on tariffs, driving concerns about the trade dispute with China The S&P 500 held its 50-Day MA at 2860 on the close The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), Wall Street’s ‘fear factor’ closed well off session highs […]

Fed Keeps Rates Unchanged, Investors Bet Rate Cut Coming

Fed Keeps Rates Unchanged, Investors Bet Rate Cut Coming

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Global equities declined Wednesday, capping a 3-day winning streak after the Fed held rates steady as expected, but comments from Fed Chairman Powell cast doubt on whether the central bank’s next move would be a rate cut, as expected. The Fed left its Key interest rate unchanged Wednesday and […]

Weak Inflation May Lead Fed to Cut Interest Rates

Weak Inflation May Lead Fed to Cut Interest Rates

$USD, $SPY, $QQQ, $DIA FLASH: Slowing inflation may lead the Fed to cut interest rates, White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said in a TV interview Monday. “The Fed is independent, but they have been themselves talking about coming and lowering their inflation target, which might mean a lower interest rate adjustment on their own […]

Positive Consumer Data Driving the Market

Positive Consumer Data Driving the Market

$SPY, $QQQ, $DIA US consumer spending surged 0.9% in March, the biggest gainer in about 10 years, as inflation pressures remain non-existent. The March gain was the biggest monthly increase since August 2009, the Commerce Department reported Monday. That is a big improvement after 3 months of lackluster readings in this Key segment of the economy. Consumer […]

White House Continues to Back Moore for Fed

White House Continues to Back Moore for Fed

President Trump’s economic adviser said the White House still backs Stephen Moore for a seat on the Federal Reserve’s Board of Governors, despite Democratic lawmakers’ concerns about his competence and questions over his past remarks. Sunday, Federal Board candidate Stephen Moore derided criticism of him as “character assassination” and a blatant “smear campaign.” In a […]

Fed Must Cut Interest Rates Despite Strong 3.2% GDP Growth

Fed Must Cut Interest Rates Despite Strong 3.2% GDP Growth

FLASH: White House economic advisor Larry Kudlow says the Fed should still cut interest rates despite strong economic growth in Q-1. The government said GDP, expanded by 3.2% in Q-1 of this year, which the veteran financial guru and former Ronald Reagan adviser called “a blow out number.” “The inflation rate continues to slip lower […]

Being Bullish Gold and Gold Miners

Being Bullish Gold and Gold Miners

$GLD, $XAU, $USD Forbes.com recently published 3 reasons why savvy investors need to always own gold in their portfolios. Essentially, you can never play it too safe when it comes to investing. “Holding an overweight position of an unlevered asset with limited supply such as gold will offer one of the few safe havens for […]

Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) on Big Gains Driving Market Due North

Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) on Big Gains Driving Market Due North

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: S&P 500 and NAS Comp marked all-time closing highs The S&P 500 index closed at a record high, surpassing the highs it set last September and recouping all the ground it lost in the Fed engineered attempt to push it into a Bear market late last year. The NAS […]

US Factory Output Flat to Unchanged

US Factory Output Flat to Unchanged

US manufacturing output was flat to unchanged in March after 2 straight monthly decliners. The Federal Reserve said Tuesday manufacturing production last month was restrained by weak motor vehicle and wood products output. Data for February was revised up to show output at factories falling 0.3% instead of declining 0.4% as previously reported. Economists polled by […]

US Home-builder Sentiment Marks 6-Month High, Sales Up with Strong Economy

US Home-builder Sentiment Marks 6-Month High, Sales Up with Strong Economy

Sentiment among US home-builders climbed to a 6-month high in April, another indication that the housing market is gathering momentum during the Key Spring season. The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index rose 1 point to 63, matching the median estimate in Bloomberg’s survey of economists, on improvements in present sales and buyer traffic, […]

100+ Conservatives Back Steven Moore for Fed Board

100+ Conservatives Back Steven Moore for Fed Board

Monday, it was reported that 105 economists and prominent conservative activists have signed a letter endorsing President Trump’s possible nomination to the Federal Reserve Board. “We, the undersigned, support Steve Moore’s nomination to the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve,” the signatories wrote in a single-sentence statement. Economist Arthur Laffer, Forbes Editor-in-Chief Steve Forbes, former Fed Vice […]

President Trump, “Stocks (DJIA) Should Be 5,000-10,000 Pts Higher”

President Trump, “Stocks (DJIA) Should Be 5,000-10,000 Pts Higher”

$DIA Sunday, President Trump said that actions by the Fed have hobbled economic growth and stock market gains by perhaps 30%, and that it should begin pumping money into the economy as it did during the Y’s 2007-2009 recession. President Trump’s latest hammering Twitter attack Vs the Fed came as European Central Bank head Mario […]

President Trump ‘Angling’ for The Gold Standard

President Trump ‘Angling’ for The Gold Standard

$XAU, $GLD, $USD President Trump’s plans to nominate Stephen Moore and Herman Cain to the Fed board, and that move points back to The Gold Standard, a policy option once advocated by both men and President Trump himself. The Big Q: What is the case for returning to The Gold Standard? The Big A: Is […]

Gold is President Trump’s ‘Trump’ Card

Gold is President Trump’s ‘Trump’ Card

$GLD, $XAU, $USD FLASH: Gold could 2X overnight, especially if President Trump uses it as a weapon in his battle Vs the Fed. The Fed controls the Buck, the Buck is the world’s trading currency, and so the Fed controls the world. A stronger USD hurts the world’s growth prospects. It also hurts President Trump’s […]

“Fed May Not Hike Interest Rates Again…”

“Fed May Not Hike Interest Rates Again…”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RURX, $VXX FLASH: Wall Street finished flat to little changed in front of earnings season The stock market finished little changed Thursday in a tight-ranged trading session. The S&P 500 finished fractionally higher, as RSI from financial and industrial stocks helped mitigate losses from shares of healthcare companies in front of earnings […]

Fed Mins ‘Dovish’, No Interest Rate Increases This Year and Into 2020

Fed Mins ‘Dovish’, No Interest Rate Increases This Year and Into 2020

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The majority of Fed officials last month believed that economic conditions would likely warrant keeping its Dovish monetary policy unchanged for the rest of this year. Several officials said their view could shift in either direction based on incoming data, according to minutes of the meeting released Wednesday. Weaker growth […]

Investor Focus this Week: Geopolitical Events + Big Bank Earnings

Investor Focus this Week: Geopolitical  Events + Big Bank Earnings

$BAC, $C, $JPM, $MS, $WFC, $USD, $GBP, $JPY The Fed As the US yield curve is deciding whether to invert/not Invert, investors seek reassurance that we are in a era of non-inflationary growth, and focus on monthly price gauges this week. Wednesday, the US Labor Department is expected to report that its March Consumer Price […]

President Trump’s Fed Noms Moore and Cain on Track

President Trump’s Fed Noms Moore and Cain on Track

FLASH: Top White House officials Sunday defended President Trump’s plan to name 2 political loyalists to the Fed’s board of governors, brushing aside controversies over their personal lives and qualifications to help run the world’s most powerful central bank. White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow and acting White House Chief of Staff Mick Mulvaney used […]

S&P 500 Up for 7 Day’s Running Seeing 2900 Next

S&P 500 Up for 7 Day’s Running Seeing 2900 Next

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The S&P 500 gained 0.5% Friday in a broad-based advance that was supported by a Goldilocks Employment Situation Report for March. The benchmark index advanced for the 7th session running, increasits its weekly gainer to 2.1%, and closed within 10 points of the 2900 level. The US labor market […]

Big Banks to ‘Kick Off’ Earnings Season

Big Banks to ‘Kick Off’ Earnings Season

$C, $JPM, $MS, $BAC, $WFC, $XLF, $KBW US big banks are set to kick off the corporate earnings season next week, Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) is advising investors to use Call options to position for a rally in financial stocks into May. Goldman derivatives strategists underscored the “extreme under-performance” in the Financial Select Sector SPDR Fund, […]

US Economy Looks ‘Very Good’ in Here, Stocks Break Out on Volume

US Economy Looks ‘Very Good’ in Here, Stocks Break Out on Volume

$DIA, $SPY,$QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: S&P 500 marks its Best Quarter since 2009 Friday the US stock market liked what it heard: The US and China held “constructive” trade talks in Beijing this week, according to Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and the White House. Trade talks will continue next week in Washington with China’s Vice […]

US Stock Market is Strong, Tune Out the Noise

US Stock Market is Strong, Tune Out the Noise

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The just released data of the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau show that the US monthly international trade deficit decreased in January 2019 from $59.9% in December (revised) to $51.1-B as expected, as imports decreased and exports increased. The goods deficit decreased $8.2-B in January […]

The Fed Made a Mistake Hiking Rates in December, and Has Admitted It

The Fed Made a Mistake Hiking Rates in December, and Has Admitted It

Club for Growth founder and former-Trump campaign adviser Stephen Moore says his harsh criticism of the Fed for raising interest rates was ‘spot-on’. In an in interview Monday with The Wall Street Journal, Mr. Moore, President Trump’s pick for a Federal Reserve Board seat, said the central banks’ recent policy pivot proves he was right. Mr. Moore had […]

Key US Treasury Yields Lowest Since December 2017

Key US Treasury Yields Lowest Since December 2017

$DIA, $QQQ, $SPY, RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The Benchmark 10-year Treasury yields fell to their lowest levels since December 2017 Monday as investors evaluated last week’s Dovish pivot by the Fed. Last Wednesday the FOMC stunned investors by abandoning projections for any interest rate hikes this year and saying it would halt the steady decline of […]

The Geopolitical Uncertainty Vs The Price of Gold

The Geopolitical Uncertainty Vs The Price of Gold

$GLD, $USD, $EUR, $GBP, $CNY What we have been seeing over the past few years is that confidence in government is fading and the price of Gold is rising. Some current examples The UK House of Commons voted 413-202 last week to delay Britain’s exit from the EU. Despite resounding defeats, Prime Minister Theresa May […]

S&P 500 Flat to Little Changed Ahead of FOMC’s Policy Decision

S&P 500 Flat to Little Changed Ahead of FOMC’s Policy Decision

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The latest fund manager survey from Bank of America showed the allocation to equities is at its lowest since September 2016 indicating that managed money missed the 2019 rally and will have to play catch up soon. The S&P 500 advanced 0.7% Tuesday, on Dovish expectations ahead of the […]

Expect Fed to Signal No Rate Hikes Anytime Soon

Expect Fed to Signal No Rate Hikes Anytime Soon

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Cyclical sectors outperformed, follow-through buying interest came in on no new catalysts. Boeing (NYSE:BA) and Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) extend losses on familiar story lines Patience is the FOMC’s focus now, signaling that it went too far last year with its 4 rate hikes, so no interest rate hikes likely soon. […]

President Trump’s Tax Policy a Key Economic Driver

President Trump’s Tax Policy  a Key Economic Driver

$USD White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow rejects criticism that the US economy is only growing because of a “sugar high” from The Trump Administration’s tax reform. He predicted that President Trump’s “pro-growth policies on taxes and regulation” will continue to stoke growth far into the future. Some economists contended that the economy is losing […]

How Far South is China’s Rapid Growth Slowdown Headed?

How Far South is China’s Rapid Growth Slowdown Headed?

The growing mystery of where China’s rapid slowdown is headed may become the biggest risk on the horizon. The world economy. Recession Watch: The global economy’s in its weakest shape since the financial crisis 10 years ago. China got more affirming evidence of its Big slowdown, with industrial output and retail sales softening and a […]

Stocks Climb, Atlanta Fed Raises US GDP Forecast

Stocks Climb, Atlanta Fed Raises US GDP Forecast

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: S&P 500 Breaks Above 2800, and President Trump Grounds Boeing’s 737 Max 8 Aircraft S&P 500 broke above the 2800 mark, and all 11 sectors finished in the Green Weakening USD was an area of support for the broader market and the earnings prospects for multinational companies President Trump […]

Global Economy Hits Weakest Patch Since Financial Crisis

Global Economy Hits Weakest Patch Since Financial Crisis

The global economy’s softened throughout Y 2018 has left the pace of expansion the weakest since the global financial crisis a decade ago. A new GDP tracker puts world growth at 2.1% on a Q-Q annualized basis, down from about 4% in the middle of last year. While there is a chance that the economy […]

The Rate Hike Holiday is Here!

The Rate Hike Holiday is Here!

US consumers expect prices to rise more slowly, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, a decline in inflation expectations in February that likely reinforces policymakers’ reluctance to hike rates. It showed 1 and 3 year ahead inflation expectations were down 0.2 percentage points to 2.8% last month, with sharp declines in expected […]

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