Mr. Biden’s Aid/Relief/Stimulus’ and the Global Financial Markets

Mr. Biden’s Aid/Relief/Stimulus’ and the Global Financial Markets

#aid/relief/stimulus #Biden #financial #markets $CU $CAT $DE $OIL Investors have been ‘jolted‘ into overhauling their portfolios in anticipation of the promised Biden aid/relief/stimulus $1.9-T plan. Prices of commodities used in infrastructure projects, like copper, and shares in machinery manufacturers such as John Deere (NYSE:DE) and Caterpillar (NYSE:CAT) have advanced. Global crude oil (OIL) prices tapped $55bbl […]

Yellen, “Spend Big Now, Pay Later”

Yellen, “Spend Big Now, Pay Later”

#Yellen #spend $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX ‘Schoolmarm’ Janet Yellen, Mr. Biden’s nominee for Treasury Secretary, urged lawmakers Tuesday to “act big” on the next virus aid/relief/stimulus package, saying that the benefits outweigh the costs of a higher federal debt burden. Ms. Yellen said she wants to help Americans endure the final months of the […]

The Walls are Cracking Around Mr. Biden’s Economy

The Walls are Cracking Around Mr. Biden’s Economy

#Biden #economy #retail #sales #consumer #confidence #spending #aid $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “This past Holiday season, consumers stayed home and gauged the prospects of a Biden economy, retail sales sank on the cracks!”— Paul Ebeling US retail sales declined at the close of the Holiday shopping season, wrapping up a difficult year for the […]

The Fed Let the World Know it is Not Exiting its Easy Money Policy

The Fed Let the World Know it is Not Exiting its Easy Money Policy

#Fed #money $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Thursday, Fed Chairman Powell said “now is not the time” to be discussing an exit from ultra-easy monetary policy and promised to give plenty of notice before it begins to debate scaling back its huge bond-buying campaign. “We know we need to be very careful in communicating about […]

The Biden ‘Tax Plan’ Aimed to Undo President Trump’s Strong Economic Recovery

The Biden ‘Tax Plan’ Aimed to Undo President Trump’s Strong Economic Recovery

#tax #Biden #PresidentTrump #markets #Americans $DIA $QQQ $SPY $RUTX $VXX Experts are telling us that Joe Biden’s plan to raise the corporate tax rate will undo most of President Trump’s economy boosting efforts as it will send some American companies offshore, keep others overseas, hobble domestic companies and drive up the unemployment rate, thus damaging […]

US Stock Market Looked Past December NFPs in Another Record Setting Close

US Stock Market Looked Past December NFPs in Another Record Setting Close

#stocks #record #highs #NFPs #Fed #stimulus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Fed Vice Chairman Clarida does not expect to begin tapering its asset purchases this year“– Paul Ebeling Stocks marked all-time highs on Democrats promise of trillions more of aid/relief/stimulus to further revive the world’s largest economy. The S&P 500 marked its 4th day running […]

DJIA, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 Ran to All-time Highs Despite Chaos on Capitol Hill

DJIA, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 Ran to All-time Highs Despite Chaos on Capitol Hill

#CaptolHill #Antifa #chaos #Congress #PresidentTrump $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The DJIA, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 (+4.0%) finished higher, soaring to all-time highs Wednesday, as investors ignored the Antifa led chaos on Capitol Hill. The FOMC minutes noted continued support for the economy Former FBI agent on the ground at the Capitol just texted […]

Fed’s Monetary Policy will Remain Accommodative for “quite some time”

Fed’s Monetary Policy will Remain Accommodative for “quite some time”

#Fed #monetary #policy #accommodative $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX  US economic growth could surge later this year if most Americans are vaccinated against The China Virus, but the gains would unlikely be enough for The Trump Fed to pull back its support, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester said Monday. Even if the vaccines help people […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Santa Claus Rally to Extend

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Santa Claus Rally to Extend

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #SantaClaus #Rally $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $SOX $VXX “The Bulls will drive the Santa Claus Rally in to the New Year” — Paul Ebeling Last Week’s Action Again the US economic data came in strong, the benchmark indexes finished on the highs. The small-cap stocks led Wednesday, cloud software, some chips and some online […]

The Fed Changed its Playbook for the Market, Things Turned Out Good

The Fed Changed its Playbook for the Market, Things Turned Out Good

#PresidentTrump #ChairmanPowell #Fed #playbook #market #liquidity #coronavirus #chaos $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX The Fed’s response to the coronavirus chaos began on 28 February with a short statement of faith in the economy from Chairman Powell to calm diving financial markets. Within a few wks its actions with those of the White House and Treasury cast […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Santa Claus Rally is On

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Santa Claus Rally is On

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #SantaClausRally #Bullish #COVID #Vaccine $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The Bulls Christmas Market is a happy one” — Paul Ebeling Now: The Bulls are in celebration mode this Monday morning with the major US stock indexes trading at: DJIA +199.60 at 30399.41, NAS Comp +76.91 at 12881.65, S&P 500+24.33 at 3727.39. That is what Bull markets do when Santa Claus leads the […]

US Big Banks are Strong, Dividends and Buybacks to Resume, Stock Indexes Rebalanced on Quad Witching

US Big Banks are Strong,  Dividends and Buybacks to Resume, Stock Indexes Rebalanced on Quad Witching

#banks #dividends #buybacks $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX “Quarterly rebalancing of S&P 500, annual reconstitution of the NAS Comp 100, Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) inclusion into the S&P 500 after the close, quadruple-witching options expired“– Paul Ebeling  The big US banks have enough capital to withstand over $600-B in losses from a short, sharp economic slump, as well as a moderate […]

Gold Bulls are Running North on Sinking US Dollar

Gold Bulls are Running North on Sinking US Dollar

#Gold #Bulls #USD $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $XAU $GLD “Plus, the S&P 500, DJIA, NAS Comp and Russell 2000 index all closed at their highest marks ever as The Trump Rally extended. “— Paul Ebeling Gold rose to a 1-month high after the Fed’s reiterated its commitment to supporting the economy and optimism grew […]

Fed Officials Painting a Brighter Picture for 2021

Fed Officials Painting a Brighter Picture for 2021

#Fed #growth #employment #money #economy #stocks $bonds #consumer #spending $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Fed sees 4.2% growth, and full employment in the New Year“– Paul Ebeling The Fed said Wednesday that it will keep buying government bonds until the economy makes “substantial” progress. Thus reassuring financial markets and keeping long-term borrowing rates low indefinitely. […]

The Trump Rally Extends on Solid Policies and Strong Support

The Trump Rally Extends on Solid Policies and Strong Support

#PresidentTrump #Rally #Policies #Support $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The market is not buyin Biden, the market is always right“– Paul Ebeling Reviewing Wednesday’s economic data:Industrial production increased 0.4% M-M in November. The capacity utilization rate jumped to 73.3% The Key takeaway from the report was the strong growth seen in the production of motor vehicles […]

The Outperformance of the Russell 2000 Deserves Immediate Attention

The Outperformance of the Russell 2000 Deserves Immediate Attention

#Russell2000 $RUTX $RUT $SPY $SPX $DIA $QQQ $CU $XAU $VXX “Tuesday, the Russell 2000 (+1.4%) closed at a record high on encouraging vaccine news and the coming Trump Administration’s aid/relief/stimulus package.“– Paul Ebeling Inflation will likely rise above 2% in Y 2021 and range from 2.25% to 2.4%. The consensus is that inflation may temporarily […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Investors Extending ‘The Trump Rally’

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Investors Extending ‘The Trump Rally’

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #TrumpRally $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX The Director of National Intelligence John Ratcliffe said Sunday it is yet to be decided if there will be a Biden Administration.  He said issues outlined by President Trump’s legal team, headed by Rudy Giuliani must be heard in court. Joe Biden is a candidate not the president-elect. […]

US Stock Market Extends Bull Run into Record Territory

US Stock Market Extends Bull Run into Record Territory

#stocks #record #highs #NFPs #Fed #economy #PresidentTrump $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The rotation that began in September is under way now will continue well into Y 2021. So, focus on value, small-caps, and emerging markets”— Paul Ebeling US stocks marked record highs Friday, the major benchmark indices reached closing record highs, with the S&P […]

Stocks and Gold are in an Up Trend: ‘The Trend is Your Friend’

Stocks and Gold are in an Up Trend: ‘The Trend is Your Friend’

#gold #stocks #BullMarket #Fed #economy #recovery #stimulus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $XAU $GLD $USD $VXX The DJIA is trading at record highs, having broke the 30,000 resistance mark last wk for the 1st time ever. The stock market’s epidemic chaos is over, and investors look forward to continued growth down the line. Now, at the […]

Small Cap Stocks Rising on Recovery from Virus Chaos

Small Cap Stocks Rising on Recovery from Virus Chaos

#SmallCaps #stocks #recovery #COVID #vaccine #economy $RUTS #RUT “Small cap stocks outperformed in November for their best monthly performance on record, and will remain market leaders as they will benefit from the post-chaos economic recovery” — Paul Ebeling The Russell 2000 and S&P 600 indexes of small cap stocks are up more than 19% MTD, […]

Economy Is Not Slowing Down Over COVID Case Count

Economy Is Not Slowing Down Over COVID Case Count

#economy #COVID #case #FDA #vaccine Friday, White House chief economic adviser Larry Kudlow disputed concerns voiced by 2 Fed officials who warned this wk of economic worries as the coronavirus epidemic testing continues to count cases across the county.  “I do not think the economy is slowing down,” Mr. Kudlow said. “Let me be more precise. […]

American Consumers Cut Debt by 13% Since the End of 2019

American Consumers Cut Debt by 13% Since the End of 2019

#consumer #debt #houdeholds #Fed #virus US household debt rose in Q-2 due to an increase in mortgage balances as consumers took advantage of record low interest rates to buy homes and refinance loans, according to a survey released by the New York Federal Reserve Tuesday. The Big Q: Is there enough borrowing capacity in consumer […]

Trust in This Recovery, Key Indicators Flashing Green

Trust in This Recovery, Key Indicators Flashing Green

#recovery #trust #risk $DIA $SPY #QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Keep the Faith, Trust this Recovery”– Paul Ebeling This V-shaped economic recovery, coming Covid vaccines and continued Trump Fed policy support offer continuing favorable environment for stocks and credit into next year and further. In our outlook for Y 2021 investors overweight stocks and corporate bonds against […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Stocks Soaring on Positive Vaccine News from Moderna

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Stocks Soaring on Positive Vaccine News from Moderna

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #COVID #vaccine #Moderna $MRNA $DIA $QQQ $SPY $RUTX $VXX The Dow Jones Industrial Average is soaring after Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA) announced that its COVID vaccine has a 94%+ efficacy rate, and President Trump refuses to concede, there is no President-elect. Sunday, President Trump announced that it will do whatever it takes to make America […]

Fed’s Inflation Indicators Flat to Unchanged

Fed’s Inflation Indicators Flat to Unchanged

#inflation #disinflation #Fed #CPI #economy CPI, the Fed’s measure of prices paid by US consumers was unchanged in October, missing forecasts that called for a gainer and indicating light inflation as the medical chaos lingers. The reading on the CPI (consumer price index) was the tamest in 5 months and followed a 0.2% advance in […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Stocks Soaring on Positive Vaccine News from Pfizer

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Stocks Soaring on Positive Vaccine News from Pfizer

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #COVID #vaccine #Pfizer $PFE $DIA $QQQ $SPY $RUTX $VXX The Dow Jones Industrial Average is soaring after Pfizer (NYSE:PFE) announced that its COVID-19 vaccine has a 90% efficacy rate, and President Trump refuses to concede, there is no President-elect. Thursday, the Trump Fed announced that it will do whatever it takes to bolster […]

Wall Street Knows the Fed Has its Back

Wall Street Knows the Fed Has its Back

#Fed #WallStreet #liquidity #money $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The Fed is absolutely supportive, Chairman Powell stresses it has got the market’s back, they are there” — Paul Ebeling Given the choice between a broad package of economic aid/relief/stimulus and targeted Fed liquidity support, Wall Street prefers liquidity, due to its benefits for asset prices. […]

Fed Stays the “Whatever it Takes” Course

Fed Stays the “Whatever it Takes” Course

#Fed #interestrates #stimulus #economy #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Fed kept its dovish monetary policy intact Thursday and pledged again to do whatever it takes in coming months to sustain a US economic recovery threatened by a spreading virus chaos. The policy statement released after the US central bank’s latest two-day meeting did not mention […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street; Big Week, Election and Earnings

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street; Big Week, Election and Earnings

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #economy #election #growth #Bulls #Bears #money #earnings $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The likelihood of a Trump victory has not been factored in to stock prices“– Paul Ebeling Last week’s action Stocks to consolidate last week the big move off of the 24 September lows, tested and reversed Thursday, tested again, and rallied on […]

Real Risk Asset Safe-haven Protection Lies in Gold and Silver

Real Risk Asset Safe-haven Protection Lies in Gold and Silver

#gold #silver #coins #bullion #dollar #asset #safehaven #metals #investors #risk $XAU $XAG $GLD $SLV $USD $SPY “I believe investors can still find real safe-haven risk asset protection in the time-tested precious metals asset sector“– Paul Ebeling The US stock market is seeing the longest Bull run in history, and savvy money managers and investors are […]

US GDP Will Show Biggest Growth since WWII Just Prior to the Election

US GDP Will Show Biggest Growth since WWII Just Prior to the Election

#PresidentTrump #GDP #election #economy #recovery #roaring #virus “The choice facing America is simple: It is the choice between historic prosperity under my pro-American policies, or crippling poverty and a steep depression under the radical left,” President Trump said in a speech to the Economic Club of New York. Adding, “Under my continued leadership, we will […]

The Fed: 39 US States Saw Their Economies Strengthen in September

The Fed: 39 US States Saw Their Economies Strengthen in September

#Fed #states #economises $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX In September the output strengthened in 39 US states up from August with some of the best gainers concentrated in northeastern territories including Massachusetts, New York, and New Jersey, a Fed proxy showed. Readings weakened in 8 states, with the steepest fall in tourism-dependent Hawaii, and remained […]

The IMF is Not Pleased with the Fed’s Cautionary Position on Digital Currency

The IMF is Not Pleased with the Fed’s Cautionary Position on Digital Currency

#Fed #IMF #digital #currency “The world’s financial industry is moving quietly and slowly toward a cashless society.” — Paul Ebeling Fed Chairman Powell said in a meeting of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) that they need to do “’extensive’ public consultation with stakeholders” before completing the move, it has not yet made its call on […]

Fed’s Evans Sees Less Economic Drag from the Continuing C-19 Wave

Fed’s Evans Sees Less Economic Drag from the Continuing C-19 Wave

#Fed #COVID19 #economy $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The continuing rise in COVID-19 infections in the United States due to the intense testing may not dent the nation’s economy much, Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Charles Evans said Tuesday, adding that he remains “reasonably optimistic” US unemployment will fall to 5.5% by the end of […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Counting Down to the Election

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Counting Down to the Election

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #economy #growth #Bulls #Bears #money #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Americans are Happy, they are doing ‘The Trump’”— Paul Ebeling Last week’s action US stocks opened Thursday with a gap to near support.to bounce stocks back upside testing rebound we will be able see if the leaders will break higher, they did setting […]

In This Market ‘The 60-40’ Portfolio Does Not Work

In This Market ‘The 60-40’ Portfolio Does Not Work

#PresidentTrump #market #safehavens #risk #volatility #Fed #economy #portfolio $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $VIX “When financial assets move pari parsu, portfolio diversification becomes hard to achieve“– Paul Ebeling Since the advent of QE in Y 2008 safe-haven assets have become not much of a safe-haven. During that frame, we have seen unprecedented market moves with […]

Surprise! Much of the Stimulus Money Went into Savings Accounts, Yet the Consumer Keep Spending

Surprise! Much of the Stimulus Money Went into Savings Accounts, Yet the Consumer Keep Spending

#consumer #stimulus #retail #spending #Fed #PresidentTrump $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Surprise, consumers saved 36% of their stimulus checks and kept on spending.” –Paul Ebeling As emergency aid/relief/stimulus programs for American consumers expired The People kept spending. Friday’s September retail sales report confirmed it. The government data told us that consumers put much of their stimulus money away and have recently […]

The American Dream is No Longer Homeownership it is Innovative Business

The American Dream is No Longer Homeownership it is Innovative Business

#AmericanDream #Business #Innovation #Entrepreneurs $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “New, disruptive technologies are unlocking new innovative companies to grow at speeds not seen before, the American Dream is alive, it is not greed, it is innovation.” — Paul Ebeling The US Census Bureau has revealed that the number of people starting their own business just surged […]

Inflation is Short of the Fed’s Goal

Inflation is Short of the Fed’s Goal

#Fed #inflation The Fed is determined to drive inflation higher from marks it considers extremely low. For that to happen, 1st it must convince the market and consumers that prices will accelerate going forward. The Key problem is that the measures that bond traders and strategists rely on for longer-run inflation expectations can often give […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Counting Down to the Election

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Counting Down to the Election

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #economy #growth #Bulls #Bears #money #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The success of The Trump Economy, and it is strong, is the stock market’s driver”— Paul Ebeling Last week’s action The Black Swan has flown away, President Trump is Covid immune and back in full swing. Last Friday, not much was scheduled, but […]

The US Economy is in a “Strong Rebound”

The US Economy is in a “Strong Rebound”

#PresidentTrump #economy #recovery #virus, #Fed #stimulus #lockdowns President Trump’s Top economic adviser said Sunday the economy remains in “a strong rebound” even as Americans learn to “deal with” the coronavirus. In a TV interview Larry Kudlow argued in favor of a new stimulus bill even as he praised the conclusion of medical experts that “focused protection” can get […]

The Market is Saying, “Be not afraid, economic stimulus is coming”

The Market is Saying, “Be not afraid, economic stimulus is coming”

#market #stimlus #PresidentTrump #Fed $DIA $DJIA $SPY $SPX $QQQ $RUTX $USD $DXY “Investors should be preparing for inflation, not this recovering economy.“– Paul Ebeling The US and the been through a profound economic shock with the China ‘Act of War’ virus, but everything every policy-making body in the US is doing is inflationary it is […]

President Trump and the Fed are Aligned for a Fast Recovery

President Trump and the Fed are Aligned for a Fast Recovery

#PresidentTrump #Fed #FOMC #GDP #economy #recovery “This positive turn in the economy is even more remarkable because it happened without the additional stimulus the mins show Fed officials expected in July.” — Paul Ebeling Last month Fed policy makers agreed that the economy was recovering from the China virus chaos recession much faster than they […]

“Seeing a less grim view of the virus chaos on the US Economy”

“Seeing a less grim view of the virus chaos on the US Economy”

#PresidentTrump #FOMC #US #economy #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $GS “Seeing a less grim view of the virus chaos on the US Economy.”–Paul Ebeling The US’ economic wounds from the China virus chaos is much less severe than initially feared, we along with Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s (NYSE:GS) economics team offer optimistic takes on […]

President Trump Ends COVID Aid/Relief/Stimulus Negotiations with House Democrats Until After the Election

President Trump Ends COVID Aid/Relief/Stimulus Negotiations with House Democrats Until After the Election

#PresidentTrump #Fed #aid #relief #stimulus #covid #Democrats #election $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday, President Trump instructed aides to stop negotiating on another round of COVID-19 relief until after the election. He Tweeted that House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) was “not negotiating in good faith” and said he asked Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell focus before the election into confirming his Supreme Court nominee, Amy […]

US Trade Deficit Increases as Trade Flows Show COVID-19 Effect (UpDate)

US Trade Deficit Increases as Trade Flows Show COVID-19 Effect (UpDate)

#trade #deficit #dollars #Covid #gold $USD $XAU $GLD “The Trump Trade Deficit Increases Even as Trade Flows Show COVID-19 Effect, Dropping 15% in 1-H of Y 2020 Compared to Same Frame in Y 2019” –Paul Ebeling The trade deficit widened to $67.1-B in August (consensus -$66.2-B) from an revised $63.4-B in July. The widening deficit is […]

The Trump Economy is the Best in 50 Years

The Trump Economy is the Best in 50 Years

#PresidentTrump #economy “The US economy made a dramatic comeback after many years of unemployment and war.” — Paul Ebeling President Trump’s promised rollback of the tax and regulatory schemes implemented from Y 1993 until he was elected, he did triggering the best US economy in 50+ yrs Below are 10 facts since President Trump was […]

President Trump’s Policies Have Created a “Strong Economy”

President Trump’s Policies Have Created a “Strong Economy”

#PresidentTrump #policies #economy President Trump’s policies have helped create jobs and pushed the economy to perform well, even after news of his illness caused the stock market to dip a bit, “The market … recovered during the day, and that jobs report, which the mainstream media tried to play down, was actually very strong,” publisher […]

This Rebound Is Real, Trump Fed Support Key

This Rebound Is Real, Trump Fed Support Key

#PresidentTrump #Fed #recovery #GDP #inflation #virus The global economy is bouncing back faster than anyone expected, but Southside risks remain and more help from the Fed and other central banks is Key for a full recovery. The US and many other world economies are recovering from a “very deep shock” and should return to pre-China […]

The Trump Fed’s Policies are Broad and Loose

The Trump Fed’s Policies are Broad and Loose

#PresidentTrump #Fed #money The Fed’s policy is already set on a loose and supportive course, and is unlikely to change much for the next few years. The policymakers have offered different views on how long it will take the US economy to recover from the crisis brought on by The China Virus. Boston Fed President […]

September, the Healthy Correction Month

September, the Healthy Correction Month

#September #correction #stockmarket $FAANGs $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The S&P 500 index was on the verge of a correction, defined as a 10% decline from its all-time closing high, after ending 9.6% below its 2 September record Wednesday. The benchmark index then moved higher Thursday afternoon trade after seesawing during the session. The tech-heavy […]

Fed Chairman to Congress: “More stimulus needed”

Fed Chairman to Congress: “More stimulus needed”

#Fed #Congress #stimulus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Wednesday, Fed officials stressed that more fiscal stimulus is critical to sustaining the economic recovery, and US stocks fell as pessimism began sinking in that Congress would ever deliver a new aid package. Chairman Powell continued to wave the fiscal flag carefully at a congressional hearing saying […]

FX Traders Exit Bearish Bets Against the USD

FX Traders Exit Bearish Bets Against the USD

#Dollar #Fed #virus #risk $USD $DXY $EUR $GBP $JPY $CHF $CNY The USD held onto gains Vs most currencies Thursday in Asia as signs of an economic slowdown in Europe and in the US revived concerns about the fallout from continuing virus infections. EUR hit by worries about a return to severe lockdown restrictions, faces […]

Fed and Treasury Bosses Back More Aid for Small Businesses

Fed and Treasury Bosses Back More Aid for Small Businesses

#Fed #Treasury #Aid #SmallBusinesses Tuesday, top US economic policymakers opened the door to further aid for small businesses hit by the virus-triggered instant recession. In testimony before the House of Representatives Financial Services Committee, Treasury Secretary Mnuchin and Fed Chairman Powell were pressed by lawmakers concerned the multi-trillion-dollar effort to battle the economic fallout from […]

Gold and Silver Break Lower Out of Pennant Patterns

Gold and Silver Break Lower Out of Pennant Patterns

#gold #silver $XAU $XAG $GLD $SLV $USD $DXY Gold fell over 3% Monday, sliding to its lowest mark in more than a month, as uncertainty over more US fiscal stimulus pressured the precious metals complex along with a stronger USD. Silver dove 9.4% to 24.25 as of 11:17a EDT, its lowest level in over a […]

US Household Wealth Hits Record $119-T in This V-Shaped Recovery

US Household Wealth Hits Record $119-T in This V-Shaped Recovery

#household #wealth #recovery #virus #stocks #bonds #jobs Americans’ household wealth rebounded last Quarter to a record high as the stock market quickly recovered from a medical emergency chaos-induced plunge in March. The gains flowed mainly to the most affluent households even as tens of millions of people endured job losses and shrunken incomes. Monday, the Fed said that […]

Fed Survey: 75%+ of US Families said in July They Were “doing okay” Financially

Fed Survey: 75%+ of US Families said in July They Were “doing okay” Financially

#Fed #American #households #virus More than 75% of US families said in July they were “doing okay” financially, or were “living comfortably,” according to a new survey by the Fed. That’s up from 72% in April, when the China virus chaos caused unemployment to peak at 14.7%, and also better than the 75% reported in […]

The Fed Capped the Momentum in the Mega Tech Rally

The Fed Capped the Momentum in the Mega Tech Rally

#Fed #FOMC #QE #MegaTech #rally $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Mega tech’s market-leading days are numbered thanks to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. The NAS 100 sank as much as 2.8% Thursday, pushed down by a fall in the mega cap tech stocks that have powered this rally. The decline came after FOMC policy makers pledged […]

The Fed’s Policy Statement Indicated it Will Move to Stimulate the Economy

The Fed’s Policy Statement Indicated it Will Move to Stimulate the Economy

#Fed #FOMC #policy #stimulate #economy #stockmarket $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Fed used its policy statement to begin to pivot from stabilizing financial markets to stimulating the economy, saying that it would keep its current government bond-buying at least at the current pace of $120-B per month, in part to ensure “accommodative” financial conditions in the future […]

The China Virus Will Take a ‘Smaller Bite’ Out of the US Economy Than Expected

The China Virus Will Take a ‘Smaller Bite’ Out of the US Economy Than Expected

#Fed #PresidentTrump #economic #recovery #jobs #growth The Fed boosted its view of the American economy’s recovery from the China virus crisis Wednesday, projecting the chaos will take a smaller bite from the economy this year with 3 yrs of steady growth to follow. In new economic projections released along with the FOMC’s latest policy statement, […]

Time to Buy the Dip in Gold’s Price?

Time to Buy the Dip in Gold’s Price?

#gold $XAU $GLD $USD Let’s look at the pattern. Gold captivated investors, and with the rise in gold, silver and other precious metal prices this year, there’s been lots of market talk. But, the chatter has quieted over the last few wks as the run in precious metals has paused to consolidate its most recent […]

US Stocks Finished Higher Tuesday, Fed Seen Sticking with its Supportive Policy

US Stocks Finished Higher Tuesday, Fed Seen Sticking with its Supportive Policy

#stocks #Fed #FOMC #policy #rally $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The NAS Comp outperformed the other 2 major indexes, while the S&P 500 technology index gained 1%, extending its recovery from the pullback earlier this month that paused this Wall Street rally. Investors are optimistic as the FOMC began its 1st policy meeting since Chairman Powell […]

Workers Shunning Low Paying Jobs in This Recovery

Workers Shunning Low Paying Jobs in This Recovery

#jobs #workers #wages #factories #PresidentTrump America’s warehouse and factory owners are finding they cannot fill jobs without boosting wages. e-Commerce is driving a surge of orders, with US manufacturing expanding in August at its fastest pace since late Y 2018. That has employers moving to bulk up staff to keep production rolling and satisfy demand. […]

US is in a Self-Sustaining Recovery

US is in a Self-Sustaining Recovery

#US #VShape #recovery #economy #jobs #aid #relief #stimulus #PresidentTrump Tuesday, White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow declared that the United States can survive until the end of the year without another round of aid/relief/stimulus as the nation is in a “self-sustaining recovery.“ “Besides the jobs, we are in a housing boom, autos boom, a consumer spending […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Do Not Fear September

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Do Not Fear September

#WallStreet #PaulEbeling #BigTech #earnings #economy #growth #employment #interest #Bulls #money #FAANGs $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last Week’s Action The trigger the stock-market pullback Thursday and Friday that erased weeks of gainers in the US stock market, may have been embattled investment firm SoftBank, according to a report by the Financial Times of London The report […]

Jobs Report Good, Getting Better, Low Interest Rates to Stay for a Long Time, Do Not Fear September in a Presidential Election Year with the Incumbent Running

Jobs Report Good, Getting Better, Low Interest Rates to Stay for a Long Time, Do Not Fear September in a Presidential Election Year with the Incumbent Running

#PresidentTrump #Powell #Fed #jobs #interest #rates $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VIX $VXX The US financial markets will be closed Monday for Labor Day Friday, Trump Fed Chairman Powell declared the the NFPs employment report for August was “a good one,“and reiterated that the FOMC will keep ultra-accommodative monetary policy (the Fed put) for years to […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, ‘This Market has Legs’

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, ‘This Market has Legs’

#WallStreet #PaulEbeling #BigTech #earnings #NFPs #employment #interest #Bulls #money #FAANGs $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last Week’s Action Thursday the Fed Chairman jettisoned the Phillips curve’s idea that rising unemployment means less inflation. In fact, he stated that there is no empirical evidence to support the notion. Technical Analysis NAS Comp gapped modestly higher, rallied […]

Fed Speak: US Rates to Stay Ultra-Low for a Long Time, Market Likes ‘Cheap Money

Fed Speak: US Rates to Stay Ultra-Low for a Long Time, Market Likes ‘Cheap Money

#Fed #interest #inflation #money #market #investors $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Trump Fed announced a significant change Thursday in how it manages interest rates by saying it plans to keep rates near Zero even after inflation has exceeded the Fed’s 2% target level. The change tells us that the Fed is prepared to tolerate […]

“A lower US dollar will give a shot in the arm to US exports and overall global growth”

“A lower US dollar will give a shot in the arm to US exports and overall global growth”

#global #growth #exports #dollar $USD $EUR $GBP $USO $XAU $GLD The USD is struggling, and the market is betting the Buck has more room to fall. The trade-weighted USD has fallen 7% from its March highs, and we expect it fall at least 15% from the highs. That will give a shot in the arm […]

Big Tech Profits Driving S&P 500 Due North

Big Tech Profits Driving S&P 500 Due North

#profits #BigTech #records #BullRun $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Blowout profit reports from Big Tech companies drove the S&P 500 to an all-time high Wednesday. The benchmark index rose 1%. Technology stocks accounted for the Lion’s Share of the gains, outweighing losses in healthcare, utilities, and energy. The S&P 500 has been marking record highs […]

Stocks are Forward Looking Assets, the Sentiment is Very Bullish

Stocks are Forward Looking Assets, the Sentiment is Very Bullish

#PresidentTrump #Fed #liquidity #stocks #earnings #economy #VShaped $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Stocks are forward-looking assets, so this market should hold up in the coming months no matter economic numbers are not great and The Virus is still hanging around, we have at V-Shaped stock market recovery and a V-Shaped economy is building. The amount […]

World Stocks Started Climbing Early Monday on President Trump’s Fast Tracking C-19 Treatment, They are Still Climbing Early Tuesday

World Stocks Started Climbing Early Monday on President Trump’s Fast Tracking C-19 Treatment, They are Still Climbing Early Tuesday

#President Trump #Fed #FDA #C19coronavirus #treatment #stocks $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Stocks climbing in early Monday trade on Wall Street, adding to their record-breaking run from last week, the futures are still climbing extending this V-Shaped Bull run off of the 23 March instant recession lows. The S&P 500 (+1.0%) and NAS Comp (+0.6%) […]

USD’s Sharp Decline Driving Professional Investors into Gold

USD’s Sharp Decline Driving Professional Investors into Gold

#USD #Gold #investors #debt #Fed $XAU $GLD $USD $DXY The reason USD became the world’s reserve currency is that America has had the largest, strongest steadily growing and conservatively financed economy and a stable political system anchored in the US Constitution. Yet for USD to continue to be valued, the world has to believe in it. […]

Fed Urged to Deliver More Aid/Relief to Small and Medium-sized Businesses Struggling Because of the C-19 Chaos

Fed Urged to Deliver More Aid/Relief to Small and Medium-sized Businesses Struggling Because of the C-19 Chaos

#Fed #lending #MainStreet #aid #relief #money A bipartisan Congressional panel overseeing the implementation of some coronavirus aid/relief programs urged the Fed and US Treasury to take more risk with taxpayer dollars and increase outreach efforts to deliver more aid/relief to small and medium-sized businesses struggling because of the C-19 chaos. The panel’s recommendations Keyed around […]

The Trump Policies Work, America’s V-Shaped Recovery is Happening Despite Democrats Sandbagging

The Trump Policies Work, America’s V-Shaped Recovery is Happening Despite Democrats Sandbagging

#Trump #recovery #stocks #exports #housing #sandbagging #Democrats #Republicans $DIA $SPY $QQQ The last recession, from Ys 2007 to 2009, was harsh because of of the meltdowns in the financial and housing markets. The S&P 500 dove 56% from peak to trough, and home values declined 27%. That loss of household wealth took years to recover and scared on […]

US Economic Growth Could Rise 30% in 2-H of this Year, America is Back!

US Economic Growth Could Rise 30% in 2-H of this Year, America is Back!

#US #economy #growth #WhiteHouse #GDP #VShaped #recovery $SPY $QQQ Saturday, White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow predicted the economy will grow between 20 and 30% for the rest of the year. “20% + growth in the 3rd and 4th Quarters. You can score that,” the veteran financial guru said on TV. “We are going to have […]

Making Safe, Investment Grade Bets in Stocks Hammered by the C-19 Coronavirus Chaos

Making Safe, Investment Grade Bets in Stocks Hammered by the C-19 Coronavirus Chaos

#investments #stocks #C19coronavirus #risk #money #cash $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Energy, aviation and lodging firms hit hard by the coronavirus chaos will offer handsome returns for high-yield investors in the months ahead. There are opportunities for discerning money managers and aggressive retail investors. We and other Top money managers see opportunities in stressed and […]

The Trump Team Handled Coronavirus Chaos Magnificently, Market Responded With Record Bull Run

The Trump Team Handled Coronavirus Chaos Magnificently, Market Responded With Record Bull Run

#PresidentTrump #economy #Coronavirus #BullMarket $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX President Trump and his economic team have handled and are handling the economy “magnificently” during the coronavirus chaos, and there is no doubt that a V-shaped recovery is happening The S&P 500 closed at a record high Tuesday while rebounding from huge losses triggered by The Virus Chaos. […]

Fed Ramps Up Auto Bond Buying with Industry in Recovery

Fed Ramps Up Auto Bond Buying with Industry in Recovery

#Fed #bonds #autoindustry #recovery $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The auto industry is a significant job and capital source for the national and local economies. The automotive sector has rewarded many business owners and employees with prosperity. The Fed’s entry into the credit market has benefitted auto companies the most, supporting an industry that has […]

V-Shaped Recovery on Track, Bet the Market Not Economists

V-Shaped Recovery on Track, Bet the Market Not Economists

#GDP #economy #recovery #NFPs #AtlantaFed #C19Coronavirus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Atlanta Federal Reserve increased its estimate of Q-3 GDP growth at 20.5%. The revision by the Atlanta Fed’s ‘s GDPNow model reflects an increase in government spending growth partly offset by decreases in personal consumption expenditures growth and gross private domestic investment growth. The estimates came in after […]

Low Home Mortgage Rates Continue to Boost US’ Economic Recovery

Low Home Mortgage Rates Continue to Boost US’ Economic Recovery

#home #mortgages #loans #economy #Fed #interestrates #buyers $DIA $QQQ $SPY $XAU $GLD $USO $USD US Mortgages rates marked another record low, boosting the $35-T housing market, a very bright spot for the economy. The average for a 30-yr fixed loan fell to 2.88%, the lowest in nearly 50 yrs of record keeping by Freddie Mac. It was […]

Housing, Auto Demand Are Standouts in V-Shaped Recovery

Housing, Auto Demand Are Standouts in V-Shaped Recovery

#housing #automobiles #consumers #recovery $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Clearly, record low interest rates has helped revive the US markets for housing and autos standouts in the economy as it gains traction. Sales of new homes in June ran at their fastest pace in 13 yrs, leaving builders and the construction workers they employ with […]

“Fear is Driving Decline in US Consumer Activity”

“Fear is Driving Decline in US Consumer Activity”

#fear #sentiment #confidence #US #consumer #Fed #C19coronavirus Sunday, the head of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis said “fear” is the Key factor behind a distressing decline in consumer activity that signals a stalling of the economic recovery. In a TV interview Fed member Neel Kashkari said consumers have to feel safe from the C-19 coronavirus chaos […]

The Economic Data Calls for More Aid/Relief/Stimulus

The Economic Data Calls for More Aid/Relief/Stimulus

#Aid/Relief/Stimulus #Congress #GDP #Fed #depression #economy US Treasury Mnuchin Calls on Congress to Pass more Stimulus this Month The economic data reported Thursday confirmed the enormity of the Q-2 blow suffered by the global economy and the challenges ahead. The longer Congress delays, the greater the risk that the stalled recovery will lead to a […]

Weakening US Dollar Driving Gold to New Record Prices

Weakening US Dollar Driving Gold to New Record Prices

#dollar #gold $USD $DXY $XAU $GLD $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $GS Savvy participants are going “all-in” on gold, Goldman Sachs is going “all-in” on gold, that is happening by the currant Southside pressure on the Buck. With more Southside expected in US real interest rates we here at HeffX-LTN are reiterating our Long gold […]

Gold is Temperamental, Silver is Really Temperamental, but There is a Long List of Bullish Drivers

Gold is Temperamental, Silver is Really Temperamental, but There is a Long List of Bullish Drivers

$XAU $GLD $XAG $SLV $USD $GOLD Gold steadied as investors paused after a record-breaking rally that saw futures touch 2,000oz for the 1st time. Futures and spot prices backed off from the wide swings that shook the market earlier as traders assessed the outlook for a host of drivers including Fed policy, with the FOMC meeting this […]

Tuesday’s World Markets Outlook: Asia-Pacific + Wall Street Recap

#AsiaPacific #stock #markets #rally #dollar #gold #WallStreet #C19coronavirus #USChina #Fed #FOMC #Congress #yen #safehaven $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $XAU $GLD $USD #JPY Asian stock markets advance after Wall Street rally, gold extends, USD falls The price of gold rose 38.80 to 1,969.80oz Tuesday, up 2% to another record high. It is unusual for the price […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The cynics obsess over negatives, as the market is focused on positives and the S&P 500 is closing in on a record high. Last week’s action The Market Needs a Stimulus Agreement and Will Get It President Trump’s Treasury Secretary Mnuchin announced a coming aid/relief/stimulus agreement. Expecting more […]

The Cheaper ‘Buck’ Driving Gold Price North

The Cheaper ‘Buck’ Driving Gold Price North

#gold #silver #dollars #currencies #risk #Fed #interestrates #USChina $XAU $GLD $XAG $SLV $USD Spot gold topped 1,900oz for the 1st time since September 2011 and edged closer to an all-time high with flaring geopolitical tensions and concern over global growth driving demand for save-haven assets. Gold marked a 7th wkly gainer, the longest run since […]

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