Gold in Rally Mode, Investment Strategy

Gold in Rally Mode, Investment Strategy

$XAU, $GLD, $GOLD, $NEM, $USD FLASH: The prospects of the Fed cutting interest rates to near Zero this year has gold rallying to 6 year highs. Institutional investors like gold as a hedge against uncertain times, as gold has held value over centuries. The Big Q1: But does it make sense for individual investors? Here […]

Fed’s Balance Sheet is in the Trillions, Rate Cut Signals No Further Shrinking

Fed’s Balance Sheet is in the Trillions, Rate Cut Signals No Further Shrinking

The Fed is widely expected to reduce interest rates late this month. That probably means its campaign to shrink its balance sheet is over, leaving the central bank with trillions of dollars more than before the Y 2008 financial crisis. Beginning a decade ago in a bid to fight the Great Recession, the Fed by […]

Wall Street Fades into the Close, Options Expire with a Whimper

Wall Street Fades into the Close, Options Expire with a Whimper

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Fed’s Bullard: Rate Cut Will ‘Ratify’ What People Already Expect An interest rate cut may be necessary now, but that does not mean the Fed is on a path to dramatically lower rates, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said Friday. Mr. Bullard, who argued unsuccessfully for such an […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Spiked, USD Steady, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Note: Friday is options expiry in the US, volatile: maybe, maybe not. The Buck steadied Friday, but was still on the defensive after Federal Reserve officials bolstered expectations of an aggressive rate cut this month to address weakening price […]

DJIA Could Top 30,000 with USMCA, Interest Rate Cuts

DJIA Could Top 30,000 with USMCA, Interest Rate Cuts

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Stocks push to session highs following Dovish comments from NY Fed President Williams The DJIA could go over 30,000 sooner than many financial experts anticipate, if the Fed cuts interest rates at the end of this month and if House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) puts the United States-Mexico-Canada trade […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Off, USD Firm, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Off Notes: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) Wednesday said the dollar was overvalued by 6% to 12%, based on near-term economic fundamentals. With the 1st US interest rate reduction in 10 yrs expected later this month, 2 Fed policymakers sketched […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Off, USD Firm, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Mixed Notes: With the 1st US interest rate reduction in 10 yrs expected later this month, 2 Fed policymakers sketched out arguments Tuesday on how deep the cut should be, even as a 3rd said she needs more data before […]

Stocks Finished Flat on Mixed Economic Data

Stocks Finished Flat on Mixed Economic Data

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The gauge of equities finished flat to unchanged Tuesday, as US Treasury yields moved higher on a stronger-than-anticipated report on US retail sales raised the possibility the Fed might adopt a less Dovish stance. The S&P 500 lost 0.3% Tuesday, led lower by shares of energy and technology companies, while […]

Gold Dipped on Mixed Economic Data

Gold Dipped on Mixed Economic Data

$GLD, $XAU, $USD Gold prices turned lower Tuesday after a strong retail sales reading sparked buying interest in the USD and pushed Treasury yields higher. Retail sales gained 0.4% in June, outpacing consensus forecasts for a meager 0.1% advance, the positive reading pushed the .DXY and bond yields higher. The USD-denominated precious Yellow metal reacts negatively […]

Factory Output Up More Than Estimated, Autos Advance

Factory Output Up More Than Estimated, Autos Advance

$F, $GM, $FCAU, $TM FLASH: America is open for business. US manufacturing output accelerated in June, climbing for the 2nd month running, thanks in large part to increased production of motor vehicles and parts. The Federal Reserve said Tuesday manufacturing production rose 0.4% last month, above the 0.2% expected by analysts in a poll. The June numbers […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Steady, USD Unch, Crude Oil Off, Stocks Mixed Notes: Most Asian stock markets rose Monday, but gains were limited as investors awaited US retail sales data and corporate earnings to gauge the health of the world’s biggest economy ahead of a likely US rate cut later […]

Gold’s Price: The Bulls Vs The Bears

Gold’s Price: The Bulls Vs The Bears

$GLD, $XAU Gold’s market remains inside its 11 July range for a 2nd session, which suggests investor indecision and impending volatility. The lack of movement in the USD and Treasury yields is helping to contribute to the tight trading range. Tuesday, August COMEX gold is trading at: 1,416.50, +3.00 (+0.21%), as of 1:37a EDT, the market […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Mixed, USD Firm, Crude Oil Off, Stocks Up Notes: China’s economic growth slowed to 6.2% in Q-2, its weakest pace in 27 years, as demand at home and abroad faltered in the face of mounting US trade pressure. EU foreign ministers will seek to figure out how […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Up, USD Off, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Mixed Notes: Friday, China will release trade data for June, with analysts expecting exports to have fallen as weakening global demand and a sharp hike in US tariffs took a heavier toll on the world’s largest trading nation. OPEC Thursday […]

 Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

 Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Up, USD Off Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Notes: Tensions have been high in the Middle East after attacks on tankers and the downing of a US drone by Iran last month, following President Trump’s withdrawal from a multi-party agreement with Tehran to end its nuclear program. […]

Fed Calls for Halt of Facebook’s Libra Token

Fed Calls for Halt of Facebook’s Libra Token

$FB, $BTC, $BTCUSD FLASH: Fed Chairman’s comments on Libra hammers Bitcoin price Wednesday, Fed Chairman Powell said that Facebook’s (NASDAQ:FB) plan to build a digital currency called Libra “cannot go forward” until serious concerns are addressed, comments that pressured the project and hammered the price of Bitcoin (BTC). The strong comments from the most powerful […]

Wall Street Finishes at Record Highs, Powell’s Remarks Boost Rate Cut Probability to 100%

Wall Street Finishes at Record Highs, Powell’s Remarks Boost Rate Cut Probability to 100%

$DIA, $QQQ, $SPY, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Stocks gained as investors interpret Fed Chairman Powell’s testimony before the House indicated a rate cut soon. Wednesday, US stocks finished higher on hopes of an interest rate cut later this month were signaled by Fed Chairman Powell’s commen to Congress that the central bank would “act as appropriate” […]

Fed’s Signal: Interest Rate Cuts Coming Soon

Fed’s Signal: Interest Rate Cuts Coming Soon

Wednesday, Fed Chairman Powell signaled that the Fed is likely to cut interest rates late this month for the 1st time in a decade in light of a weakening global economy and rising trade tensions. Delivering the central bank’s semiannual report to Congress, Chairman Powell said that since Fed officials met last month, “uncertainties around […]

Campaign to Reinstate the Gold Standard in US Gathering Momentum

Campaign to Reinstate the Gold Standard in US Gathering Momentum

$XAU, $GLD, $USD The once-fringe fantasy of a return to the gold standard is creeping back into the mainstream. It has long been dismissed as a fool’s errand, on par with abandoning the Federal Reserve and other trappings of the modern economy. Mainstream economists deride it almost without exception. Reintroducing the gold standard would “be a disaster […]

Every Portfolio Needs at Least 10% of Gold

Every Portfolio Needs at Least 10% of Gold

$XAU, $GLD, $USD, $EUR Shayne and I see gold testing to $1384ish and then setting up to drive North, potentially topping $1,500 oz, as interest rates head lower, central banks extend purchases, and uncertainty surrounding geopolitics and cryptocurrencies fans demand. Gold on the COMEX finished -1.4% to $1400.95 oz. “I love gold,” said Mark Mobius, […]

US Job Growth Tops Forecast

US Job Growth Tops Forecast

FLASH: President Trump, “The Economy Would Be ‘Rocket Ship’ If Fed Cut Rates” US job growth rebounded strongly in June, with government payrolls surging, but persistent moderate wage gains and mounting evidence the economy was losing momentum could still encourage the Fed to cut interest rates this month. The Labor Department’s closely watched employment report on […]

Fed Needs More Information to Support Rate

Fed Needs More Information to Support Rate

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Tuesday, a Fed policymaker expressed skepticism that an interest rate cut is the right move until there are more signs the economy is moving to a truly weaker path. “I prefer to gather more information before considering a change in our monetary policy stance,” Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester said in […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD,$USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Down, USD Up, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Notes: Investors and Traders await the meeting between Presidents Trump and Xi later this week for signs of a de-escalation in the trade dispute. The 2 world leaders will meet at the G-20 Summit in Japan. Just in from […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD,$USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Down, USD Up, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Down “The Stars look to be aligning for the Gold market, Gold could rise as high as $1,500 by the end of the year”– PE The Big Q: Why the Melt Up? The Big A: If gold remains above previous […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD, $BTC, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Up, USD Down, Crude Oil Off, Stocks Down “The Stars look to be aligning for the Gold market, Gold could rise as high as $1,500 by the end of the year”– PE The Big Q: Why? The Big A: If gold remains above previous highs […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XAU, $GLD, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Last week we saw Wall Street stocks and Gold rally hard finishing solid on Quad Witching on the Fed’s Dovish policy position declared Wednesday afternoon. We are in the 2nd longest Bull Market in history that began precisely at 1:00p ET on 9 March 2009, and according […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD, $BTC, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Up, USD Down, Crude Oil Firm, Stocks Up Notes: Investors are awaiting an expected meeting between Presidents Trump and Xi later this week for any signs of a de-escalation in a trade dispute. The 2 world leaders will meet on the sidelines of the G-20 […]

As Gold Tops $1,400 oz…

As Gold Tops $1,400 oz…

$XAU, $GLD, $USD FLASH: There has been a dramatic change in the sentiment of Gold Bugs Bold prices have risen this month, passing $1,400 oz for the 1st time since Y 2013. There have been good reasons to be Bullish the precious Yellow metal. Everything from Dovish central banks, technical indicators, negative-yielding bonds are all working […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD, $BTC, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Spiked, USD Down, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Notes: The Fed Wednesday signaled interest rate cuts beginning as early as July, saying it is ready to battle growing global and domestic economic risks as it took stock of rising trade tensions and growing concerns about […]

S&P Marks Record Closing High, Wall Street Bets on Fed Rate Cut

S&P Marks Record Closing High, Wall Street Bets on Fed Rate Cut

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: This Bull Market in stock is the longest on record. The S&P 500 Index marked a record closing high Thursday, buoyed by Wall Street’s expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates as soon as July to keep the US-China trade dispute from stalling economic growth. The Fed left […]

Wall Street Liked What it Heard From Chairman Powell

Wall Street Liked What it Heard  From Chairman Powell

$SDIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ The S&P 500 (SPY) approached record highs Wednesday after the Fed signaled potential interest cuts later this year, reassuring Wall Street investors worried that the US-China trade war could stall economic growth. Saying it “will act as appropriate to sustain” economic expansion, the Fed signaled rate cuts of half a percentage […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD, $BTC, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Spiked, USD Down, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Notes: The Fed Wednesday signaled interest rate cuts beginning as early as July, saying it is ready to battle growing global and domestic economic risks as it took stock of rising trade tensions and growing concerns about […]

Market Technicals Signaling Fed to Cut Rates Soon

Market Technicals Signaling Fed to Cut Rates Soon

FLASH: The market is leading the Fed Funds rate lower, signaling a rate cut soon. “We have tracked the Fed’s interest rates decisions for years,” writes Steven Hochberg, Elliot Wave theorist. In December, he wrote an article titled “Interest Rates Win Again as Fed Follows the Market,” where he observed that although most pundits believe that central […]

“Risk Assets Have Room to Run”

“Risk Assets Have Room to Run”

$SPY, $BLK In a report, the majority of BlackRock Inc.’s (NYSE:BLK) Top decision-makers had a simple conclusion after gathering in London last week: A supportive backdrop for risk assets probably has “room to run” for at least 12 more months. Senior leadership at the world’s largest asset manager cited easy monetary policies and few signs […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD, $BTC, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Off, USD Up, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Notes: President Trump said Tuesday he will have an extended meeting with Chinese President Xi at the G-20. The world’s 2 largest economies are in the middle of a costly trade dispute that has pressured financial markets […]

President Trump on Jerome Powell’s Future: “Let’s see what he does.”

President Trump on Jerome Powell’s Future: “Let’s see what he does.”

President Trump Tuesday kept up the pressure on the head of the Fed following a report that lawyers at the White House have explored the legality of stripping Jerome Powell of the Fed’s Chairmanship. Asked by reporters outside the White House if he wanted to demote Chairman Powell,  President Trump said: “Let’s see what he does.” […]

President Trump Vs Fed, Gold Wins

President Trump Vs Fed, Gold Wins

$XAU, $GLD, $USD President Trump continues his relentless attacks against the Fed and their strong dollar Tuesday with his most recent Tweets: “This is because the Euro and other currencies are devalued against the dollar, putting US at a big disadvantage. The Fed Interest rate way too high, added to ridiculous quantitative tightening! They don’t […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD, $BTC, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Up, USD Flat, Crude Oil Down, Stocks Off Notes: The New York Fed said Monday that its gauge of business growth in New York state posted a record fall this month to its weakest level in more than 2.5 years, suggesting an abrupt contraction in […]

Goldie Does Not See the “Insurance” Rate Cut Coming

Goldie Does Not See the “Insurance” Rate Cut Coming

$GS, $CME Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) economists said they are skeptical of “insurance” US interest rate decreases from the Fed to forestall possible slowing in US economic growth due to global trade tensions. A surprise escalation in trade tensions between Washington and Beijing since May, together with low inflation, have spurred bets among traders the Fed […]

Fed Fueling a Recession, Chairman Powell On The Way Out

Fed Fueling a Recession, Chairman Powell On The Way Out

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX President Trump will not renominate Jerome Powell for another term as Fed Chairman if re-elected. “That will lead to very different monetary policy, so the Fed is not fully independent of politics,” former Fed VC Fischer, an Hussein Obama appointee, said Sunday at a talk in Israel. By criticizing […]

US Homebuilder Sentiment Posts 1st Decliner in 2019

US Homebuilder Sentiment Posts 1st Decliner in 2019

US homebuilders’ sentiment unexpectedly posted the 1st decliner this year, suggesting lower mortgage rates are failing to give the housing market a sustained boost amid property prices that remain out of reach for many buyers. The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index fell 2 points below the consensus estimate at 66 to 64 in […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XAU, $GLD, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Last week we saw Wall Street stocks consolidate on light volume and the Fed signaled ‘Got Gold’ Mr. Market started seriously pricing in the possibility of interest rate cuts. To be fair, the signal came from the Top of the economic politburo that matters that being […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD, $BTC, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Subdued, USD Up, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Firm Notes: A Reuters poll showed a growing number of economists expect the Fed policymakers to cut interest rates this year, although the majority still see it holding steady. In Asia Gold: Gold prices subdued Monday after retreating from […]

Trade Worries Not a Drag on US Business Investment

Trade Worries Not a Drag on US Business Investment

$GS Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) economists are skeptical that trade policy uncertainty is a major drag on business investment now. Instead, they are pointing to other economic indicators, which they say are still okay. “The link between economic policy uncertainty and Capex weakens sharply when taking into account financial conditions and company investment spending expectations, which […]

Fed Saying, “Got Gold”

Fed Saying, “Got Gold”

$XAU, $GLD, $USD Mr. Market started seriously pricing in the possibility of interest rate cuts. To be fair, the signal came from the Top of the economic politburo that matters that being the Federal Reserve. Speaking at an event at the Chicago Fed last Tuesday, Chairman Jerome Powell hinted that the Fed would likely cut […]

President Trump on Fed Chairman Powell, “I disagree with him ‘entirely'”

President Trump on Fed Chairman Powell, “I disagree with him ‘entirely

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Friday, President Trump sharply criticized Fed Chairman Powell in an interview aired Friday, blaming him for raising interest rates and damaging the US economy. “He is my pick, and I disagree with him entirely,” he said in an interview with ABC News that was filmed in the back of a […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Up, USD Flat, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Off Notes: China will release May industrial production along with retail sales and investment numbers at 0700 GMT, analysts expect any improvement from April’s downbeat readings will be mostly marginal. Economists polled by Reuters expect industrial production in China […]

US Stocks “Paused to Refresh”, Gold Finished Higher

US Stocks “Paused to Refresh”, Gold Finished Higher

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USD, $XAU, $GLD, $VXX Total CPI increased 0.1%, as expected, as did core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices. The monthly changes left the Y-Y readings at 1.8% and 2.0%, respectively, versus 2.0% and 2.1% for the 12 months ending in April. The Key takeaway from the report is […]

If you were paying close attention last week you Keyed on This…

If you were paying close attention last week you Keyed on This…

$EURUSD FLASH: Last week, Fed Chairman Powell said, “…we will act as appropriate to sustain the expansion.” With those few words Chairman Powell took the strength out of the argument for a recession because the Fed is very powerful. And with the stock market rallying, President Trump threatening more tariffs on China, stocks are just […]

Market Extends Rally Off of Its Best Week in 2019

Market Extends Rally Off of Its Best Week in 2019

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, Investors heavily exposed to US stocks just had their best week YTD. But the rebound has raised several questions related to market behavior, policy and economics. How they are answered will prove consequential not only for market prospects but for the global economy. And, notwithstanding the lack of decisive answers at this stage, […]

US Consumers See Inflation Falling

US Consumers See Inflation Falling

US consumers’ inflation expectations deteriorated to their weakest levels since late Y 2017 in May, while their views on jobs and family finances grew less certain, according to a Federal Reserve Bank of New York survey published Monday. The weakening in inflation expectations may factor into Fed policymakers’ decision whether to lower interest rates in […]

Hiring in US Hits Record Highs

Hiring in US Hits Record Highs

US job openings fell a bit in April as hiring surged to a record high, government data showed Monday. Job openings, a measure of labor demand, slipped to a seasonally adjusted 7.4-M from 7.5-M in March, the Labor Department said in its monthly Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or JOLTS. The job openings rate was […]

US Consumers Upbeat

US Consumers Upbeat

US consumer debt increased by the most in 5 months in April and topped estimates, suggesting more upbeat sentiment among Americans is supporting borrowing and spending. Total credit expanded $17.5-B from the prior month following an upwardly revised $11-B gain in March, Federal Reserve figures showed Friday. Revolving debt outstanding increased the most since November while non-revolving […]

US Labor Market Solid

US Labor Market Solid

The number of Americans filing applications for unemployment benefits was flat to unchanged last week, suggesting the labor market remains on solid footing despite slowing economic activity. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits were flat to unchanged at a seasonally adjusted 218,000 for the week ended 1 June, the Labor Department said Thursday. Data for the prior […]

US Household Wealth Tops $108-T in Q-1

US Household Wealth Tops $108-T in Q-1

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US household wealth marked a record in Q-1 as the stock market rallied, supporting consumers after Fed interest-rate hikes and trade dispute shocked investors late last year. Net worth for households and non-profit groups increased by $4.69-T, or 4.5%, to $108.6-T after a 3.7% drop in the prior frame, Federal […]

The US Economy in Longest Expansion Ever.

The US Economy in Longest Expansion Ever.

This month, the US economy has been growing for 10 years running, tying the record for the longest expansion ever. Many people, including journalists and policy makers, see this as a great achievement. “I see nothing to celebrate. On the contrary, I think they are measuring success the wrong way”, says Narayana Kocherlakota He says, […]

Rate Cut Looms, Wall Street Rallies

Rate Cut Looms, Wall Street Rallies

$DIA,$SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The technology sector was the biggest boost to the S&P with a 3.3% advance, led by gains in Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) Wall Street’s 3 major indexes rallied Tuesday to clock their biggest one-day gains in five months after Fed Chairman Powell left the door open for a […]

Trade, Other Risks, Signal Rate Cut May Be “Warranted Soon”

Trade, Other Risks, Signal Rate Cut May Be “Warranted Soon”

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Growing expectations for the Fed to cut rates to address slower growth and muted inflation; 2-yr yield drops 12 bpts to 1.83% . St. Louis Fed President James Bullard (FOMC Voter) said that slower economic growth could be sharper-than-expected due to the trade uncertainty. Mr. Bullard added that […]

No Country is Safe from Trump’s Tariffs

No Country is Safe from Trump’s Tariffs

$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD, $GOLD, $NEM, $VXX FLASH: Gold is finally seeing some bullish momentum as trade ructions escalate, fueling the biggest rally among the top miners in seven months. President Trump’s plan to impose a 5% tariff on all Mexican goods over illegal immigration rattled financial markets, boosting the haven appeal of the precious […]

US Consumer Confidence Up in May, Economic Optimism Best Since 2000

US Consumer Confidence Up in May, Economic Optimism Best Since 2000

US consumer confidence rose in May as households grew more upbeat about the labor market, suggesting the economy remained on solid ground despite signs that activity was slowing after being temporarily boosted by exports and a build-up of inventories. The surge in confidence reported by the Conference Board on Tuesday came despite an escalation in tensions in […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: World stock markets were subdued as the US and UK exchanges were shuttered for national holidays. DJIA futures rose Monday night, along with S&P 500 futures and NAS futures. President Trump said Monday that Beijing “would like to make a deal,” but “we’re not ready” for a China trade […]

China Struggling to Grasp President Trump’s End Game

China Struggling to Grasp President Trump’s End Game

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Note: The Mins from the May FOMC meeting showed that policymakers are comfortable with the current fed funds rate range while “a number of participants” saw a moderation in risk and uncertainties surrounding their outlooks for the year. The Key takeaway is that the stock market has a reasonable […]

Americans’ View of Job Market Hits New Highs

Americans’ View of Job Market Hits New Highs

FLASH: Americans’ confidence in the job market in May hit the highest level in Gallup’s records, which date back to Y 2001. A recent Gallup poll found the following: Overall views of the economy remain positive. Over 7 in 10 Americans feel positively about the US job market. Employment optimism among workforce is highest since 2000. […]

US Not Likely to Suffer Big Damage From China Trade Dispute

US Not Likely to Suffer Big Damage From China Trade Dispute

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Major averages traded lower on trade uncertainty, Several US companies suspend business operations with China’s Huawei Technologies, Semiconductor stocks underperform, drag the S&P 500 information technology sector and Nasdaq lower Trade tensions with China need to linger for an extended period to cause real damage to the United […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Some analysts think there may not be enough leadership to move the market higher now. Savvy money is playing quality to the Northside. At the same time there are good Southside setups that we are watching carefully for the break South Southside action delivers fast gainers, but what falls […]

US Economy Continues to Expand

US Economy Continues to Expand

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: This economic expansion is set to become longest in US history, according to the latest leading-indicators data. The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the US increased 0.2% in April to 112.1, following a 0.3% increase in March, and a 0.2% increase in February. “The US LEI rose […]

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