$GLD, $USD, $EUR, $GBP, $CNY What we have been seeing over the past few years is that confidence in government is fading and the price of Gold is rising. Some current examples The UK House of Commons voted 413-202 last week to delay Britain’s exit from the EU. Despite resounding defeats, Prime Minister Theresa May […]
FLASH: The world’s economy is slowing, but the United States’ is not despite Federal Reserve policies that have hindered growth, President Trump says. “If we did not have somebody that would raise interest rates and do quantitative tightening, we would have been at over 4% instead of at 3.1,” Trump said in a TV interview. […]
$USD, $SPY FLASH: The Fed’s decisive statement this week that interest rates are unlikely to rise this year sends a signal to US households: keep buying things. The Fed tries to guide the US economy by controlling the interest rate banks charge one another for overnight loans. Moving this rate up lifts other rates in […]
FLASH: No matter what the Fed Fund’s rate is they cannon make people borrow. The Big Q: What happened with Wednesday’s Fed announcement? The Big A: The Fed followed the market again. The chart below: the red line is the Federal Funds rate, the yellow line is the rate on the 3-month US T-Bill and […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The latest fund manager survey from Bank of America showed the allocation to equities is at its lowest since September 2016 indicating that managed money missed the 2019 rally and will have to play catch up soon. The S&P 500 advanced 0.7% Tuesday, on Dovish expectations ahead of the […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Cyclical sectors outperformed, follow-through buying interest came in on no new catalysts. Boeing (NYSE:BA) and Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) extend losses on familiar story lines Patience is the FOMC’s focus now, signaling that it went too far last year with its 4 rate hikes, so no interest rate hikes likely soon. […]
$USD White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow rejects criticism that the US economy is only growing because of a “sugar high” from The Trump Administration’s tax reform. He predicted that President Trump’s “pro-growth policies on taxes and regulation” will continue to stoke growth far into the future. Some economists contended that the economy is losing […]
The growing mystery of where China’s rapid slowdown is headed may become the biggest risk on the horizon. The world economy. Recession Watch: The global economy’s in its weakest shape since the financial crisis 10 years ago. China got more affirming evidence of its Big slowdown, with industrial output and retail sales softening and a […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: S&P 500 Breaks Above 2800, and President Trump Grounds Boeing’s 737 Max 8 Aircraft S&P 500 broke above the 2800 mark, and all 11 sectors finished in the Green Weakening USD was an area of support for the broader market and the earnings prospects for multinational companies President Trump […]
The global economy’s softened throughout Y 2018 has left the pace of expansion the weakest since the global financial crisis a decade ago. A new GDP tracker puts world growth at 2.1% on a Q-Q annualized basis, down from about 4% in the middle of last year. While there is a chance that the economy […]
US consumers expect prices to rise more slowly, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, a decline in inflation expectations in February that likely reinforces policymakers’ reluctance to hike rates. It showed 1 and 3 year ahead inflation expectations were down 0.2 percentage points to 2.8% last month, with sharp declines in expected […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FlASH: Our works shows that this Bull market is still intact Over the past 10 years long haul investors have been handsomely. The Big Q: Is there more? The S&P 500, the U.S. market’s benchmark index, has gained about 310% since bottoming out at 676.53 points in 9 March 2009 […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Fed stifling The Trump Economy The anti-Trump media is pointing to the economic slowdown, but economist Stephen Moore puts the blame on the Fed’s economist policy during our blockbuster Trump economy. “I’m a little worried about the economy slowing down a little bit, but we still have a blockbuster […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ FLASH: 10 years Friday the US stock market hit the bottom of the Great Recession. Today, 10 years later, the US stock market is acting as if the economic expansion, now in its 117th month, is going to continue and likely accelerate. The S&P 500 is up 10% YTD The benchmark index […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Job creation and wage growth are still important things to watch for in the monthly NFP report for February that will be released Friday. The other partial indicators already suggest that the labor market will remain solid. The focus now will be on the labor-force participation rate because the […]
$USD The Fed’s Beige Book was released Wednesday showing the US economy continues to be performing strongly. Manufacturing was stronger, employment remains strong across the economy, but bad weather and bad politics have taken their toll. On the latter, 50% of the reporting areas said that the government partial shutdown had been hurting local growth. […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: This Bull Market is about to have its 10th Birthday! US household wealth fell 3.5% into the close of Y 2018 on the back of a Fed engineered stock market correction in Q-4 that threatened to weaken a near 10 year recovery. In its Quarterly Flow of Funds report, the […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Next Fed rate hike several FMOC meetings ahead With inflation muted, but other risks to the US economy on the rise, the Fed’s patience on policy is nowhere close to running out, with 1 previously Kawkish central banker Tuesday signaling he could wait until at least June before touching […]
FLASH: The EU’s economy is cooling more than many investors believe, the slowdown poses the biggest risk to the market. The European Central Bank (ECB) has limited tools at its disposal to respond to economic weakness while European governments are not prepared to respond with spending warns Mohamed El-Erian. “People are underestimating how quickly Europe […]
$USD FLASH: President Trump, “I want a strong dollar, but I want a dollar that’s great for our country not a dollar that is so strong that it is prohibitive for us to be dealing with other nations.” Saturday, President Trump renewed criticism of the Fed and said its tight monetary policy contributes to a […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Sidelined investors join this Bull market rally, as retail stocks outperform following earnings reports from Lowe’s ($LOW), Best Buy ($BBY), and TJX ($TJX) Investors came back into US stock funds during the week ended 20 February. It has been the best start to a year for the S&P 500 since Y 1987, breaking a 5-week […]
$GS, $USD, $USO, $OIL FLASH: On the global markets, some green shoots are emerging. The global economy may have already bottomed out, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Chief Economist in a note Tuesday. While growth remains soft, Goldman’s current activity indicator in February is slightly above the downwardly-revised December and January numbers. Some green […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: US stock markets pause on Powell’s testimony to Congress Markets opened lower and were cautious as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell testified before the Congress Tuesday. The Fed’s U-turn that took expectations for rate hikes this year to Zero has led to a drop in real borrowing costs and a […]
The US economy will grow at a solid though slower pace in Y 2019 and the Fed will remain “patient” in deciding whether to further raise interest rates, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said Tuesday. Chairman Powell reaffirmed the policy shift made by the Fed last month, telling a Senate Banking Committee hearing that “crosscurrents and […]
$GLD, $SLV, $USD FLASH: The Dem’s Green New Deal is silly and not worth our attention. But it implies we can have anything we want if the Fed extends credit. FACT: The 2 biggest US stock market rallies happened when the budget deficit was disappearing or had disappeared. Calvin Coolidge led the US through most […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX As February 2018 comes to a close, the S&P 500 has marked a big win and is set up for a winning year, if history is out guide. With a 3.7% gainer on this month, the benchmark for American stocks is on track for back-to-back gains at the start of […]
FLASH: US Growth Estimates Raised US wholesale inventories increased by the most in more than 5 years in December. The surge in wholesale stocks reported by the Commerce Department on Monday, however, implied inventories were less of a drag on economic growth in Q-4 than previously thought. As result, economists boosted their Q-4 GDP growth estimates by […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $GLD, $SLV, $USO, $SOY FLASH: It is absolutely the time to buy risk. Saturday, positive developments in trade talks between the world’s 2 largest economies should boost riskier assets, as extended US-China negotiations are ‘positive’ for risk assets. They will lead to a weaker USD, supporting Crude Oil prices and Gold […]
When the Fed’s FOMC policymakers met last month and put it 3-year rate-hike campaign on hold and backed ending a yearlong push to shrink their $4-T balance sheet, that was draining the liquidity out of the system and shrinking the wealth of American house holds by the trillions of dollars, they cited increased risks to […]
By Mark J. Lundeen $GLD, $SLV, $USD The Dow Jones in its BEV chart below is charging up the hill with eyes fixed on making new all-time highs. In the past week it has advanced 2.9% BEV points, leaving only 3.52% BEV points to go before it once again makes stock market history. Another couple […]
Friday, the Fed said, that The Trump Administration will fall “a little under” its target of 3% annual GDP for Y 2018, the report offers an economic scorecard of sorts for the 1st full year of President Trump’s term. Growth for the year was “solid,” the Fed report said, as GDP “rose a little bit under 3% for the […]
$GLD, $SLV, $GDX, $USD Gold prices climb as those savvy investors uncertain about global growth outlook hedge their portfolios. Gold prices have surged 14% since September, when in this column I signaled a buy signal for the precious Yellow metal, just as the major US stock market indexes were making record Tops. Gold-focused ETFs saw […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: FOMC Mins as expected; Fed will maintain patience in rate hikes and stop reducing assets on its balance sheet later this year. The Takeaway The FOMC Minutes said the central bank is going to be patient in raising rates and is likely to stop reducing the assets on its […]
FLASH: This a Special Report, looking ahead at this leg of the longest Bull run in market history The US Stock Market: The Bulls Vs The Bears Russell 2000 +16.4% YTD NAS Comp +12.6% YTD DJIA +11.0% YTD S&P 500 +10.7% YTD US stocks rallied late last week into options expiration, even as some analysts felt like they should […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Trump Policy Traction, FOMC Minutes Due Wednesday Tuesday, New York Fed President John Williams said he is comfortable with the level US interest rates are at now, and sees no need to raise them again unless growth or inflation shift to an unexpectedly higher gear. In an interview with […]
US consumers expect to spend more money in Y 2019 than they did a year ago, data from the Federal Reserve Bank of New York revealed in a report Tuesday. Households expect larger increases in spending than they forecast the year prior on items including clothing, housing and transportation, data from the Survey of Consumer […]
$USD, $EUR FLASH: The Fed has pivoted to a Dovish policy, yet that does not appear to have stopped USD. The US Dollar (.DXY) Index, which measures the value of the Buck Vs a basket of 6 peer currencies, just hit a 2month-high, which also happens to be close to a 2-year high. The strength […]
Last month when the Fed adopted a new “patient” approach to monetary policy, it gave no specific guidance about how long its policy pause would last, or how many more interest-rate increases were ahead. Last week disappointing US retail sales and industrial production data raised the prospect that the US economy is slowing faster than […]
FLASH: The Fed has the stock market’s back White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow applauded President Trump’s public pressure on the Fed on the pace of the central bank’s interest-rate hikes. “I’m very glad the Federal Reserve is putting their rates on hold,” he said on TV Thursday, “I think the president’s warning on that […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Fed officials are getting their stories aligned on the US economy. Cleveland’s Loretta Mester says it’s in a “very good spot.” Or a “pretty good place,” as Kansas City’s Esther George has it, faithfully echoing Chairman Jerome Powell’s “the economy is good.” Their remarks, made Tuesday and Wednesday, aim […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Fed Chairman Jay Powell describes US economy as “good”, saying he does not see an elevated probability of a recession, stocks finish on their highs lead by the Financials Investors are prepare for the return of the divergence trade, with the US set to lead the rest of the […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Progress of President Trump’s Policies Bringing On Continued Stock Buying Interest US futures point to a higher start this morning with sentiment boosted by US lawmakers reaching an agreement in principle to possibly avert another government shutdown later this week. The S&P 500 futures trade 18 pts, or 0.7%, […]
The Fed’s interest rate increase in December tipped monetary policy into a restrictive setting that may be pushing the economy farther from one of the Fed’s Key goals, James Bullard, President of the St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank, said last week. Mr. Bullard, in remarks to reporters after an appearance at St. Cloud State University […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly said Friday afternoon that the central bank is debating whether QE (quantitative easing) should be reserved for emergencies or used more readily. Market turned; S&P 500 NAS Comp and RUTX finished in the Green, DJIA off a bit. The S&P 500 utilities sector […]
The Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said again Wednesday the US economy remains in a “good place” and has proved resilient so far to shocks like the British decision to leave the European Union. “The US economy is now in a good place,” with low unemployment and inflation near the Fed’s 2% target, Chairman Powell […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX President Trump will enjoy the backdrop of a solid economy as he delivers his 2nd State of the Union address Tuesday evening. The President will point to the latest signs of US economic strength: Friday’s jobs report showed that employers added the most jobs in January in nearly a year. […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold UpUSD FirmCrude Oil UpStocks Higher In Asia Note: China closed all week for the Lunar New Year The Cboe Volatility (VIX) Index, Wall Street’s so-called “fear gauge,” dropped to 15.60, its lowest level in 4 months, Monday. $VXX Gold: Gold rose Tuesday in thin trading as investors made purchases after prices touched 1-week lows Monday, but improved […]
Monday, President Trump summoned Fed Chairman Jerome Powell to the White House for dinner to discuss recent economic developments and the overall outlook. The Fed is being tight lipped about the ongoing monetary policy discussions with President Trump. Chairman Powell’s comments were “consistent with his remarks at his press conference of last week,” the Fed […]
Demand for loans softened among US businesses and households in Q-4 of Y 2018, while banks tightened lending standards for commercial real estate, according to a survey of bank officers that gave worrisome signs for the economic outlook. The Fed Monday released its Quarterly survey of senior loan officers. The survey also showed banks had […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Monday, new money came in and Wall Street gained with all 3 major indexes closing near session highs. Continuing optimism abounds on the prospects for US-China trade relations propelled technology shares. The S&P 500 index and the NAS Comp both closed above their 100-Day MA’s for the 1st time since […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold OffUSD FirmCrude Oil UpStocks Steady In Asia Note: China closed all week for the Lunar New Year Gold: Gold prices slipped Monday as risk aversion waned amid some signs of progress in US-China trade talks, while a firm USD kept bullion under pressure. Spot gold was down 0.4% at $1,313.01 oz by 0552 GMT US […]
The Fed’s decision to stop raising interest rates puts a “fundamentally healthy” US economy on track to further growth, Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari indicated Sunday. “I think we still have room to run in the US economy,” Mr. Kashkari said at a town hall at a church in Long Lake, Minnesota. “The […]
The Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis’ President James Bullard applauded the shift away from its policy of raising interest rates, saying that should help to ensure a solid US economy for the next 2 years. “I think it set us up for a very good couple of years here,” Mr. Bullard said in a TV […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold OffUSD EasedCrude Oil SteadyStocks Up In Asia Gold: Gold fell Friday as investors sought riskier assets on optimism the United States and China ill reach a trade deal, although a pause in US interest rate hikes kept bullion on track for a 2nd weekly increase. Spot gold fell 0.3% to $1,316.95 oz at 0719 GMT. Prices […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold SteadyUSD EasedCrude Oil UpStocks Up In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) held its policy-setting meeting and stood pat with a very dovish tone. Officials from Washington and Beijing have launch a new round of trade talks aimed at resolving their disputes. Gold: A surge in gold purchases by central banks to the highest […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s 1st post-meeting press conference of Y 2019 left market expectations for a rate hike this year an Big Q, and raised the chances of a cut in Y 2020. The Fed’s tone Wednesday cast doubt on the prospects of interest rates heading higher at […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold HigherUSD EasedCrude Oil Off a BitStocks Flat to Little Change In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold its next policy-setting press conference on 30 January no hike expected. Officials from Washington and Beijing are set to launch a new round of trade talks on Wednesday aimed at resolving their disputes amid […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold SteadyUSD FlatCrude Oil SteadyStocks Higher In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold it next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. Gold: Gold price broke psyche resistance at 1300 oz Gold futures are hanging near 7-month highs at $1,302.2 oz. Spot gold was last at 1,304.19 after breaking above a the Key psych […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold SteadyUSD FlatCrude Oil downStocks Higher In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold it next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. Gold: Gold prices held steady Monday, near a 7-month peak scaled in previous session, on hopes the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged during its 2-day policy meeting this week. Spot gold […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Stocks jumped at the open on initial speculation that a deal to reopen the government was imminent, the notion that the Fed may be getting close to the end of its balance sheet normalization effort, plus the expression from Treasury Secretary Mnuchin that the US is making progress with China trade […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold SteadyUSD FlatCrude Oil UpStocks Rise In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. Washington Thursday signaled it could impose sanctions on Venezuela’s Crude Oil exports as Caracas descends further into political and economic chaos. The US-China trade discussions will provide insight into how talks are […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold SteadyUSD FlatCrude Oil DownStocks Rise In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. China reported its lowest annual economic growth since Y 1990 and must stimulate, but its retail markets are expanding widely. China makes up 19% of the world’s economy, the slowdown this year […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold SteadyUSD FlatCrude Oil UpStocks Off In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. China reported its lowest annual economic growth since Y 1990 and must stimulate. Gold: Gold prices stood firm Wednesday on higher demand for safe-haven assets over concerns of slowing global economy and […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold OffUSD FlatCrude Oil DownStocks Off In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. China’s state planner Tuesday warned that the downward pressure on the economy will affect China’s job market as falling factory orders point to a further drop in activity in coming months and […]
$DIA, $USD President Trump has hammered the Fed’s policy for being too tied to the notion economic growth causes inflation. Savvy people in America are “very worried” the Fed is working against the pro-growth policies that President Trump put into effect beginning on his 1st day in office just 2 years ago. The Fed is […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Up USD Soft Crude Oil Higher Stocks Up In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. UK PM May will return to Parliament Monday to set out how she plans to try to break the BREXIT deadlock after her deal was rejected by […]
$GLD, $USD Some economists who favor the ‘dollar/gold price’ seem to be blind to the rise in financial power of the precious Yellow metal. We believe that real inflation will become a better gauge to see how well this metric is doing. Using USD’s strength to measure net worth in the US could give 1 the impression that […]
$GLD, $SLV, $USD Gold’s supply/demand prospects have caught the eye of 1 billionaire. “For the 1st time in my life, I bought gold because it is a good hedge,” Sam Zell, the founder of Equity Group Investments, said in a Bloomberg TV interview. “Supply is shrinking and that is going to have a positive impact on […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Steady USD Firm Crude Oil Higher Stocks Up In Asia Notes: A report Thursday saying that Washington was considering lifting some or all tariffs imposed on Chinese imports buoyed financial markets, including Crude Oil. The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. Gold: Spot gold was set for its 5th straight […]
US fund investors charged into high-yield corporate bonds during the latest week, shoveling $3.3-B, the most cash flowing into that market since late Y 2016, Lipper said Thursday, boosted by dovish words from Fed Chairman Powell. Underscoring investors’ appetite for some risk-taking, investors pulled $15-B net cash from US-based money market funds, according to the […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Steady USD Firm Crude Oil Lower Stocks Mixed In Asia Notes: Spot gold is about to exit a Neutral range of $1,285-$1,299, and either rise to $1,311 or drop towards $1,268. The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. Gold: Gold has gained for 5 weeks running, but prices have been […]
The US financial markets have had the time conger the very strong US jobs report, as well as signs of progress in the China-US trade talks. But, despite the positive news, investors and traders believe the Fed will stop hiking interest rates this year and will cut them in both Ys 2020 and 2021. The difference […]
American home-ownership has been on the decline, and Fed researchers point to the high cost of college as 1 of the Key reasons. Just 36% of household heads between 24 and 32 years old owned homes in Y 2014, down from 45% in Y 2005. At the same time, average student debt per capita rose […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Up USD Lower Crude Oil Steady Stocks Steady including Japan In Asia Notes: On the earnings front, US banks: Goldman Sachs (GS) will be in focus Wednesday Expectations are low with profits for US companies forecast to rise 6.4%, down from an 1 October estimate of 10.2% and a big fall from 2018’s tax cut-fueled gainer of more […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US wholesale prices fell last month on a steep fall in gasoline prices suggesting that inflation will remain tame in the coming months. The Labor Department said that the producer price index, which tracks cost changes before they reach the consumer fell 0.2% in December from the prior month. The drop […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Steady USD Lower Crude Oil Up Stocks Higher including Japan In Asia Notes: On the earnings front, US banks are in sharp focus with Quarterly results from JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC), Goldman Sachs (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) this week. Monday, Citigroup (C) beat profit estimates. The bank’s shares rose 4.0% and bolstered the S&P financial […]
$GLD, $SLV, $USD There are Key elements set up to extend Gold’s from just after the Y 2008 global recession to the precious Yellow metals Y 2011 all time high, signalling a comeback this year. Gold Bugs are looking for a break out of its 5 year range, and technically it looks as though that […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $GLD, $VXX Trade tensions should not disturb your portfolio’s peace of mind. To help prevent your portfolio from becoming “trade war collateral,” consider diversifying your assets to minimize exposure. Assets like physical Gold and Silver are historically known to perform well during turmoil in such dust ups. Recently, Jim Cramer urged investors frightened […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Higher USD Lower Crude Oil Down Stocks Lower sans Japan In Asia Notes: On the earnings front, US banks are in sharp focus with Quarterly results from Citigroup (C) due Monday followed by JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC), Goldman Sachs (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) later in the week. Expectations are low with profits for US companies […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Higher USD Lower Crude Oil Down Stocks Higher sans Japan In Asia Gold: Gold prices climbed Friday as USD retreated on expectations the Fed will pause interest rate hikes if the US economy slows this year, while investors awaited news on progress in the US-Chinatrade talks. Spot gold rose 0.6% to $1,293.55 oz as at 0604 GMT, heading […]
$GLD, $SLV Goldman Sachs Group (NYSE:GS) leading the Bullish pack on Gold. The New-York based bank’s analysts led by Jeffrey Currie raised their price forecast for Gold, predicting that over the next 12 months, the precious Yellow metal will climb to $1,425 oz, a mark not seen in more than 5 years. Bullion has benefited […]
$DIA, $SPY. $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX No recession in sight, No rate hikes ahead. Thursday, Federal Chairman Jerome Powell said the US central bank has the ability to be patient on policy given inflation is stable, allowing it to assesses whether the US economy will slow this year as some in financial markets worry.initial comments boosted […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Higher USD Lower Crude Oil Down Stocks Higher sans Japan In Asia Gold: Gold prices rose Thursday as expectations that the Fed will pause its rate tightening cycle this year. Spot gold was up 0.2% at $1,295.84 oz as of 0556 GMT, hanging near Friday’s at $1,298.42, a mark last seen in mid-June 2018. US gold futures gained […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Chicago Fed President Charles Evans (FOMC voter) expects rate hikes to continue, adding that the Fed can show some patience before resuming rate hikes. Boston Fed President (FOMC voter) Eric Rosengren does not rule out changes to the pace of balance sheet reduction on a slowdown. Fed policymakers said last […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Lower USD Lower Crude Oil Up Stocks Higher In Asia Note: US President Donald Trump wrote on Twitter overnight that “Talks with China are going very well!” Gold: Gold treads lower on improved risk appetite, while Palladium marks record highs Spot gold slipped 0.2% to $1,282.61 oz by 0600 GMT, and US gold futures settled down 0.1% at […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Steady USD Lower Crude Oil Stable Stocks Dip In Asia Note: Presidents Trump to speak to the Nation Tuesday on Key issues of national security. Gold: Gold held steady Tuesday as bets on a pause in US interest rate hikes and hopes of a US-China trade deal put pressure on USD, but an improved risk appetite capped gains for the […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Up USD Lower Crude Oil Up Stocks Higher In Asia Note: Presidents Trump and Xi spoke Sunday, tone was optimistic as US trade representatives arrived in Beijing for official trade talks Monday. Gold: Gold rose Monday, helped by a weaker USD on expectations that the Fed may/will apply brakes on its monetary tightening cycle in Y 2019, an […]
$SPY, $GLD Surprise, after all of the ‘bunk’ you have heard since early October, do not be shocked that there will be no additional Fed rate hikes, a 20% S&P 500 rally and no recession.. Byron Wein defines “surprise” as an event that the average investor would only assign a 33% chance of taking place […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 gained 3.4% Friday, as Fed Chairman Powell signaled patience and flexibility on rates in light of stronger-than-expected jobs data. The DJIA (+3.3%), the NAS Comp (+4.3%), and the Russell 2000 (+3.8%) also marked strong gains to finish the week + 1.6%, 2.3%, and 3.2%, respectively. All 11 […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Up USD Lower Crude Oil Up Stocks Higher In Asia Note: Asian shares found some comfort Friday as Beijing announced a new round of trade talks with Washington, though recession fear has markets betting the next move in US interest rates might be down. And Chinese Premier Li Keqiang also signaled further policy easing and support for small […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Up USD Lower Crude Oil Down Stocks Higher In Asia Gold: Gold prices scaled a more than 6-month highs Thursday as worries about a global economic slowdown and volatility in equities boosted safe-haven buying, while a weaker USD offered support. Spot gold touched its highest mark since 15 June at $1,290.09, and was trading up 0.3% at $1,288.43 […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The world enters Y 2019 with some uncertainty about the prospects for global growth. The US is the bright spot and 1 of the most powerful job creators and drivers of international trade. If The Trump Administration and the new Congress are able to work together, there are areas where […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Down USD Lower Crude Oil Down Stocks Higher Notes: Selling pressure on US stocks fading, positive sentiment recovering. The Big Q: Will stock markets can sustain their recovery at the start of the New Year? Notes: Cooperation is the best choice for both China and the United States, Chinese President Xi Jinping told Trump in a congratulatory […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Stocks finished higher Monday, and wrapped up the month and year. Buying conviction was reserved during the session with no news catalysts or economic data to drive investors, that until the last minute buyers came in to drive the indices to near session highs. The trading session is over and so […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Up USD Off Crude Oil Up Stocks Higher Notes: Selling pressure on US stocks fading, positive sentiment recovering. The Big Q: Will stock markets can sustain their recovery at the start of the New Year? In Asia Gold: Gold on pace to end the year on a high note after rallying almost 5% in the past month […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX Stocks finished higher on the week, and wrapped up a disappointing month and year. The S&P 500 is off 7% in Y 2018 after peaking with a 10% YTD gainer in late September prior to the consolidation. The Fed’s tightening and heightened uncertainty into Y 2019 have brought valuations on the […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Up USD Off Crude Oil Choppy Stocks Higher Notes: Selling pressure on US equities is beginning to fade, but the VIX is still around 29 with investor risk sentiment still recovering. The CBOE Volatility Index rose mid-week to 36, its highest mark since early February. It has since pulled back to 29, still above a recent […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Flat USD Off Crude Oil Lower Asian Stocks Higher Notes: There was no single trigger for the overnight relief rally on Wall Street, though a Mastercard Inc report that sales during the US holiday shopping season rose the most in 6 years in Y 2018 helped allay concerns about the health of the US economy There […]
Fed Chairman Powell not listening, he is being reprieved a the enemy of the US economy and the equity markets. President Donald Trump expressed confidence in the Fed, and its Chairman, Jerome Powell, following reports that he has discussed firing his central bank chief, though the President complained again that interest rates have been rising […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Prices Up USD Soft Crude Oil Up Asian Stocks Higher Note: US President Trump, could shut down the government Friday, as Senate did not vote to fund The Wall at the southern border, Congress reconvenes Wednesday. In Asia Gold: Gold prices rose Monday, holding ground near a 6-month high hit last week, as investors are still concerned about political […]