$XAU, $GLD, $GOLD, $NEM, $USD FLASH: The prospects of the Fed cutting interest rates to near Zero this year has gold rallying to 6 year highs. Institutional investors like gold as a hedge against uncertain times, as gold has held value over centuries. The Big Q1: But does it make sense for individual investors? Here […]
The Fed is widely expected to reduce interest rates late this month. That probably means its campaign to shrink its balance sheet is over, leaving the central bank with trillions of dollars more than before the Y 2008 financial crisis. Beginning a decade ago in a bid to fight the Great Recession, the Fed by […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Fed’s Bullard: Rate Cut Will ‘Ratify’ What People Already Expect An interest rate cut may be necessary now, but that does not mean the Fed is on a path to dramatically lower rates, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said Friday. Mr. Bullard, who argued unsuccessfully for such an […]
Friday, President Trump renewed his criticism of the Fed, complaining that the US is paying “much higher interest rates” than other countries, even as central bankers prepare for a meeting later this month at which they are widely expected to ease policy. “Because of the faulty thought process we have going for us at the […]
$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Spiked, USD Steady, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Note: Friday is options expiry in the US, volatile: maybe, maybe not. The Buck steadied Friday, but was still on the defensive after Federal Reserve officials bolstered expectations of an aggressive rate cut this month to address weakening price […]
FLASH: Fed policymakers need to add stimulus early to deal with too-low inflation when rates are near zero and cannot wait for economic disaster to unfold, a Key Fed policymaker said Thursday. In what will likely be read as a strong argument in favor of quick action by the Fed to cut rates this month, […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Stocks push to session highs following Dovish comments from NY Fed President Williams The DJIA could go over 30,000 sooner than many financial experts anticipate, if the Fed cuts interest rates at the end of this month and if House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) puts the United States-Mexico-Canada trade […]
$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Off, USD Firm, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Off Notes: The International Monetary Fund (IMF) Wednesday said the dollar was overvalued by 6% to 12%, based on near-term economic fundamentals. With the 1st US interest rate reduction in 10 yrs expected later this month, 2 Fed policymakers sketched […]
$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Off, USD Firm, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Mixed Notes: With the 1st US interest rate reduction in 10 yrs expected later this month, 2 Fed policymakers sketched out arguments Tuesday on how deep the cut should be, even as a 3rd said she needs more data before […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The gauge of equities finished flat to unchanged Tuesday, as US Treasury yields moved higher on a stronger-than-anticipated report on US retail sales raised the possibility the Fed might adopt a less Dovish stance. The S&P 500 lost 0.3% Tuesday, led lower by shares of energy and technology companies, while […]
$GLD, $XAU, $USD Gold prices turned lower Tuesday after a strong retail sales reading sparked buying interest in the USD and pushed Treasury yields higher. Retail sales gained 0.4% in June, outpacing consensus forecasts for a meager 0.1% advance, the positive reading pushed the .DXY and bond yields higher. The USD-denominated precious Yellow metal reacts negatively […]
$F, $GM, $FCAU, $TM FLASH: America is open for business. US manufacturing output accelerated in June, climbing for the 2nd month running, thanks in large part to increased production of motor vehicles and parts. The Federal Reserve said Tuesday manufacturing production rose 0.4% last month, above the 0.2% expected by analysts in a poll. The June numbers […]
$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Steady, USD Unch, Crude Oil Off, Stocks Mixed Notes: Most Asian stock markets rose Monday, but gains were limited as investors awaited US retail sales data and corporate earnings to gauge the health of the world’s biggest economy ahead of a likely US rate cut later […]
$GLD, $XAU Gold’s market remains inside its 11 July range for a 2nd session, which suggests investor indecision and impending volatility. The lack of movement in the USD and Treasury yields is helping to contribute to the tight trading range. Tuesday, August COMEX gold is trading at: 1,416.50, +3.00 (+0.21%), as of 1:37a EDT, the market […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The longest Bull market in history has relied on low interest rates, and weakness in jobs. So, if everyone else is worried about stocks, capitalize on the fear and make a a lot of money as the market climes the wall of worry, fear is your friend, and you saw […]
$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Mixed, USD Firm, Crude Oil Off, Stocks Up Notes: China’s economic growth slowed to 6.2% in Q-2, its weakest pace in 27 years, as demand at home and abroad faltered in the face of mounting US trade pressure. EU foreign ministers will seek to figure out how […]
$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Up, USD Off, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Mixed Notes: Friday, China will release trade data for June, with analysts expecting exports to have fallen as weakening global demand and a sharp hike in US tariffs took a heavier toll on the world’s largest trading nation. OPEC Thursday […]
$GLD, $SLV, $USO, $OIL, $CORN, $WEAT, $SOY, $USD FLASH: Gold Up, USD Off Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Notes: Tensions have been high in the Middle East after attacks on tankers and the downing of a US drone by Iran last month, following President Trump’s withdrawal from a multi-party agreement with Tehran to end its nuclear program. […]
$FB, $BTC, $BTCUSD FLASH: Fed Chairman’s comments on Libra hammers Bitcoin price Wednesday, Fed Chairman Powell said that Facebook’s (NASDAQ:FB) plan to build a digital currency called Libra “cannot go forward” until serious concerns are addressed, comments that pressured the project and hammered the price of Bitcoin (BTC). The strong comments from the most powerful […]
$DIA, $QQQ, $SPY, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Stocks gained as investors interpret Fed Chairman Powell’s testimony before the House indicated a rate cut soon. Wednesday, US stocks finished higher on hopes of an interest rate cut later this month were signaled by Fed Chairman Powell’s commen to Congress that the central bank would “act as appropriate” […]
Wednesday, Fed Chairman Powell signaled that the Fed is likely to cut interest rates late this month for the 1st time in a decade in light of a weakening global economy and rising trade tensions. Delivering the central bank’s semiannual report to Congress, Chairman Powell said that since Fed officials met last month, “uncertainties around […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 ended just in The Green Tuesday as gains in tech-related shares offset fresh worries about the impact of the US China trade dispute on earnings and the Fed on interest rates. USTR Lighthizer and Treasury Secretary Mnuchin spoke to China’s Vice Premier Liu He Tuesday. Market reaction […]
We have just learned that the Fed is debating the risks and benefits of letting the US economy run “a little hotter,” balancing the good it could do for workers against the possibility it could end in a recession, Atlanta Federal Reserve bank president Raphael Bostic said Tuesday. “We do think about this in terms […]
$SPY, $DIA, $QQQ The US stock market has that consolidation feel in here, not surprising given the Bull run it had in June and knowing that some notable trading catalysts are lurking just under the surface now. The S&P 500 and the DJIA drifted lower Tuesday, as investors worried over warnings of a hit to […]
Larry Kudlow says, Fed ChairmanPowell’s job is safe for now. Mr. Kudlow is the Top economic adviser to President Donald Trump. “There is no effort to remove him,” he said in a TV interview Tuesday. Mr. Kudlow said he supports the central bank’s independence and that there are no plans presently to change Powell’s job. […]
President Trump wants the Fed to lower interest rates at a time when he may be sizing up his 2 latest picks for Fed governor as successors to Chairman Powell. If the Fed “knew what it was doing” it would cut rates, President Trump told reporters before he boarded Air Force One back to DC […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: More than anything else, the longest Bull market in history has relied on low interest rates, and weakness in jobs. So, if everyone else is worried about stocks, capitalize on the fear and make a a lot of money as the market climes the wall of worry, fear is your friend, […]
$XAU, $GLD, $USD The once-fringe fantasy of a return to the gold standard is creeping back into the mainstream. It has long been dismissed as a fool’s errand, on par with abandoning the Federal Reserve and other trappings of the modern economy. Mainstream economists deride it almost without exception. Reintroducing the gold standard would “be a disaster […]
$XAU, $GLD, $USD, $EUR Shayne and I see gold testing to $1384ish and then setting up to drive North, potentially topping $1,500 oz, as interest rates head lower, central banks extend purchases, and uncertainty surrounding geopolitics and cryptocurrencies fans demand. Gold on the COMEX finished -1.4% to $1400.95 oz. “I love gold,” said Mark Mobius, […]
Friday, President Trump reaffirmed his view that a Fed interest rate cut would help the US economy grow more quickly, and said Fed does not know what they are doing. Growth “would be like a rocket ship” if the Fed eased, President Trump told reporters at the White House Friday as he prepared to travel to […]
FLASH: President Trump, “The Economy Would Be ‘Rocket Ship’ If Fed Cut Rates” US job growth rebounded strongly in June, with government payrolls surging, but persistent moderate wage gains and mounting evidence the economy was losing momentum could still encourage the Fed to cut interest rates this month. The Labor Department’s closely watched employment report on […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Tuesday, a Fed policymaker expressed skepticism that an interest rate cut is the right move until there are more signs the economy is moving to a truly weaker path. “I prefer to gather more information before considering a change in our monetary policy stance,” Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester said in […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The US stock market began the week higher. The S&P 500 gained 0.8% after being up 1.0% at the start while the tech-heavy NAS Comp rose 1.1% after starting the session with a 1.7% gainer. The US and China agreed Saturday to resume trade talks and President Trump also […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XAU, $GLD, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Last week we saw Wall Street stocks and Gold rally finishing a super June as the market climbed a wall of worries. The stock market has rallied significantly over the past 6 months. The Big Q: Is this Bull Run sustainable? The stock market has rallied […]
FLASH: President Trump declared the US is “winning” the trade war a day after reaching a truce with Chinese President Xi. On a visit to SKorea following the G-20 Summit in Japan, President Trump said at a news conference that the Federal Reserve “has not been of help to us at all” in his trade […]
$XAU, $GLD, $USD FLASH: The Fed is likely to have made at least 2 rate cuts by then So, we see a window of opportunity for gold to rally before inflation subsides in 2-H of Y 2020. Gold extended its rally, marking the biggest monthly advance since the UK voted to leave the EU in […]
$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD,$USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Down, USD Up, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Notes: Investors and Traders await the meeting between Presidents Trump and Xi later this week for signs of a de-escalation in the trade dispute. The 2 world leaders will meet at the G-20 Summit in Japan. Just in from […]
$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD,$USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Down, USD Up, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Down “The Stars look to be aligning for the Gold market, Gold could rise as high as $1,500 by the end of the year”– PE The Big Q: Why the Melt Up? The Big A: If gold remains above previous […]
$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD, $BTC, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Up, USD Down, Crude Oil Off, Stocks Down “The Stars look to be aligning for the Gold market, Gold could rise as high as $1,500 by the end of the year”– PE The Big Q: Why? The Big A: If gold remains above previous highs […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XAU, $GLD, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Last week we saw Wall Street stocks and Gold rally hard finishing solid on Quad Witching on the Fed’s Dovish policy position declared Wednesday afternoon. We are in the 2nd longest Bull Market in history that began precisely at 1:00p ET on 9 March 2009, and according […]
$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD, $BTC, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Up, USD Down, Crude Oil Firm, Stocks Up Notes: Investors are awaiting an expected meeting between Presidents Trump and Xi later this week for any signs of a de-escalation in a trade dispute. The 2 world leaders will meet on the sidelines of the G-20 […]
FLASH: The pattern set up for Gold looks good, and the Smart Money is betting on a break out in here, as all of our Key indicators have turned Very Bullish. Gold futures rose to a multi-year high Friday, boosted by expectations of a rate cut by the Fed at its next meeting in late […]
$SPY, $USD President Trump’s Tweets have not fully convinced the Fed to cut interest rates, but the stock and bond markets likely can and will. The Fed did not make a cut at its meeting last week, but it hinted strongly that one may be coming soon. Afterward, the stock market soared to new highs and the […]
$XAU, $GLD, $USD FLASH: There has been a dramatic change in the sentiment of Gold Bugs Bold prices have risen this month, passing $1,400 oz for the 1st time since Y 2013. There have been good reasons to be Bullish the precious Yellow metal. Everything from Dovish central banks, technical indicators, negative-yielding bonds are all working […]
$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD, $BTC, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Spiked, USD Down, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Notes: The Fed Wednesday signaled interest rate cuts beginning as early as July, saying it is ready to battle growing global and domestic economic risks as it took stock of rising trade tensions and growing concerns about […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: This Bull Market in stock is the longest on record. The S&P 500 Index marked a record closing high Thursday, buoyed by Wall Street’s expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates as soon as July to keep the US-China trade dispute from stalling economic growth. The Fed left […]
$SDIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ The S&P 500 (SPY) approached record highs Wednesday after the Fed signaled potential interest cuts later this year, reassuring Wall Street investors worried that the US-China trade war could stall economic growth. Saying it “will act as appropriate to sustain” economic expansion, the Fed signaled rate cuts of half a percentage […]
$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD, $BTC, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Spiked, USD Down, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Notes: The Fed Wednesday signaled interest rate cuts beginning as early as July, saying it is ready to battle growing global and domestic economic risks as it took stock of rising trade tensions and growing concerns about […]
FLASH: The market is leading the Fed Funds rate lower, signaling a rate cut soon. “We have tracked the Fed’s interest rates decisions for years,” writes Steven Hochberg, Elliot Wave theorist. In December, he wrote an article titled “Interest Rates Win Again as Fed Follows the Market,” where he observed that although most pundits believe that central […]
FLASH: Wednesday’s projections open the door for the Fed to lower rates in short order if the economy weakens, or US trade disputes with China and other nations escalate. Fed held interest rates steady Wednesday but signaled possible rate cuts of as much as half a percentage point over the remainder of this year, as […]
$SPY, $BLK In a report, the majority of BlackRock Inc.’s (NYSE:BLK) Top decision-makers had a simple conclusion after gathering in London last week: A supportive backdrop for risk assets probably has “room to run” for at least 12 more months. Senior leadership at the world’s largest asset manager cited easy monetary policies and few signs […]
$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD, $BTC, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Off, USD Up, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up Notes: President Trump said Tuesday he will have an extended meeting with Chinese President Xi at the G-20. The world’s 2 largest economies are in the middle of a costly trade dispute that has pressured financial markets […]
President Trump Tuesday kept up the pressure on the head of the Fed following a report that lawyers at the White House have explored the legality of stripping Jerome Powell of the Fed’s Chairmanship. Asked by reporters outside the White House if he wanted to demote Chairman Powell, President Trump said: “Let’s see what he does.” […]
$XAU, $GLD, $USD President Trump continues his relentless attacks against the Fed and their strong dollar Tuesday with his most recent Tweets: “This is because the Euro and other currencies are devalued against the dollar, putting US at a big disadvantage. The Fed Interest rate way too high, added to ridiculous quantitative tightening! They don’t […]
Tuesday, Wite House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said President Trump is not considering any changes to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s status following a report that the White House had explored the possibility of demoting him. Mr. Kudlow spoke to reporters at the White House ahead of the FOMC’s meeting this week that comes on the […]
$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD, $BTC, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Up, USD Flat, Crude Oil Down, Stocks Off Notes: The New York Fed said Monday that its gauge of business growth in New York state posted a record fall this month to its weakest level in more than 2.5 years, suggesting an abrupt contraction in […]
$GS, $CME Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) economists said they are skeptical of “insurance” US interest rate decreases from the Fed to forestall possible slowing in US economic growth due to global trade tensions. A surprise escalation in trade tensions between Washington and Beijing since May, together with low inflation, have spurred bets among traders the Fed […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX President Trump will not renominate Jerome Powell for another term as Fed Chairman if re-elected. “That will lead to very different monetary policy, so the Fed is not fully independent of politics,” former Fed VC Fischer, an Hussein Obama appointee, said Sunday at a talk in Israel. By criticizing […]
US homebuilders’ sentiment unexpectedly posted the 1st decliner this year, suggesting lower mortgage rates are failing to give the housing market a sustained boost amid property prices that remain out of reach for many buyers. The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index fell 2 points below the consensus estimate at 66 to 64 in […]
This looks terrible, but it will not last A Fed gauge of factories in New York state plunged in June by the most on record, adding to signs tariffs are weighing on manufacturers and the broader economy. The New York Fed Empire State Manufacturing Survey’s main index fell by 26.4 points to minus 8.6, the lowest level […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XAU, $GLD, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Last week we saw Wall Street stocks consolidate on light volume and the Fed signaled ‘Got Gold’ Mr. Market started seriously pricing in the possibility of interest rate cuts. To be fair, the signal came from the Top of the economic politburo that matters that being […]
$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD, $BTC, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Subdued, USD Up, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Firm Notes: A Reuters poll showed a growing number of economists expect the Fed policymakers to cut interest rates this year, although the majority still see it holding steady. In Asia Gold: Gold prices subdued Monday after retreating from […]
$GS Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) economists are skeptical that trade policy uncertainty is a major drag on business investment now. Instead, they are pointing to other economic indicators, which they say are still okay. “The link between economic policy uncertainty and Capex weakens sharply when taking into account financial conditions and company investment spending expectations, which […]
$SPY, $SPX The FOMC meeting next week is shaping up as pivotal for Wall Street, with stocks primed for a selloff should the Fed fail to take an even more Dovish tilt after policymakers raised expectations for a rate cut in recent weeks. The benchmark S&P 500 has rallied more than 5% so far this […]
$XAU, $GLD, $USD Mr. Market started seriously pricing in the possibility of interest rate cuts. To be fair, the signal came from the Top of the economic politburo that matters that being the Federal Reserve. Speaking at an event at the Chicago Fed last Tuesday, Chairman Jerome Powell hinted that the Fed would likely cut […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Friday, President Trump sharply criticized Fed Chairman Powell in an interview aired Friday, blaming him for raising interest rates and damaging the US economy. “He is my pick, and I disagree with him entirely,” he said in an interview with ABC News that was filmed in the back of a […]
$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD, $USO, $OIL, $WEAT, $CORN, $SOY FLASH: Gold Up, USD Flat, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Off Notes: China will release May industrial production along with retail sales and investment numbers at 0700 GMT, analysts expect any improvement from April’s downbeat readings will be mostly marginal. Economists polled by Reuters expect industrial production in China […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USD, $XAU, $GLD, $VXX Total CPI increased 0.1%, as expected, as did core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices. The monthly changes left the Y-Y readings at 1.8% and 2.0%, respectively, versus 2.0% and 2.1% for the 12 months ending in April. The Key takeaway from the report is […]
$EURUSD FLASH: Last week, Fed Chairman Powell said, “…we will act as appropriate to sustain the expansion.” With those few words Chairman Powell took the strength out of the argument for a recession because the Fed is very powerful. And with the stock market rallying, President Trump threatening more tariffs on China, stocks are just […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow predicts the US economy will maintain 3% pace without a China trade deal. “The US economy is very strong, I think we are in pretty good shape and I think we’ll maintain a 3% growth pace this year,” said Mr. Kudlow, who […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, Investors heavily exposed to US stocks just had their best week YTD. But the rebound has raised several questions related to market behavior, policy and economics. How they are answered will prove consequential not only for market prospects but for the global economy. And, notwithstanding the lack of decisive answers at this stage, […]
US consumers’ inflation expectations deteriorated to their weakest levels since late Y 2017 in May, while their views on jobs and family finances grew less certain, according to a Federal Reserve Bank of New York survey published Monday. The weakening in inflation expectations may factor into Fed policymakers’ decision whether to lower interest rates in […]
US job openings fell a bit in April as hiring surged to a record high, government data showed Monday. Job openings, a measure of labor demand, slipped to a seasonally adjusted 7.4-M from 7.5-M in March, the Labor Department said in its monthly Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey, or JOLTS. The job openings rate was […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Last week we saw the best market week YTD This is another important week on Wall Street, after last week of released negativity, we will see how much power is left. The pattern suggest a roll over in here, but the Fed could/can/will change that. Expect Fed speakers to […]
US consumer debt increased by the most in 5 months in April and topped estimates, suggesting more upbeat sentiment among Americans is supporting borrowing and spending. Total credit expanded $17.5-B from the prior month following an upwardly revised $11-B gain in March, Federal Reserve figures showed Friday. Revolving debt outstanding increased the most since November while non-revolving […]
$JPM, $GS, BAC, The weak May NFPs report is push the Fed closer to cutting interest rates soon if not sooner. While a reduction when policy makers meets later this month cannot be ruled out, Fed watchers said their base case is for the FOMC to stand pat. But they said the abrupt slowdown in […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: US stocks rallied for a 4th day running after weak NFPs data added to bets the Fed will cut rates. US Treasury yields and the USD fell. The S&P 500 Index had its best week since November 2018 on speculation the Fed will move to shore up the […]
The number of Americans filing applications for unemployment benefits was flat to unchanged last week, suggesting the labor market remains on solid footing despite slowing economic activity. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits were flat to unchanged at a seasonally adjusted 218,000 for the week ended 1 June, the Labor Department said Thursday. Data for the prior […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US household wealth marked a record in Q-1 as the stock market rallied, supporting consumers after Fed interest-rate hikes and trade dispute shocked investors late last year. Net worth for households and non-profit groups increased by $4.69-T, or 4.5%, to $108.6-T after a 3.7% drop in the prior frame, Federal […]
This month, the US economy has been growing for 10 years running, tying the record for the longest expansion ever. Many people, including journalists and policy makers, see this as a great achievement. “I see nothing to celebrate. On the contrary, I think they are measuring success the wrong way”, says Narayana Kocherlakota He says, […]
$DIA,$SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The technology sector was the biggest boost to the S&P with a 3.3% advance, led by gains in Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) Wall Street’s 3 major indexes rallied Tuesday to clock their biggest one-day gains in five months after Fed Chairman Powell left the door open for a […]
$GLD, $XAU, $USD The world’s biggest bullion-backed ETF (exchange-traded fund) is getting focus. Holdings in SPDR Gold Shares (GLD) surged by the most in almost 3 years as the US-China trade dispute, signs of a slowdown, and speculation the Fed will cut rates combined to drive demand. Assets in the SPDR ETF jumped 16.44 tonnes, […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Growing expectations for the Fed to cut rates to address slower growth and muted inflation; 2-yr yield drops 12 bpts to 1.83% . St. Louis Fed President James Bullard (FOMC Voter) said that slower economic growth could be sharper-than-expected due to the trade uncertainty. Mr. Bullard added that […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Friday saw S&P 500 and NAS break. Already Bearish in the rollovers, Friday they gapped below the 200-Day SMA. Broke the neckline in the head and shoulders Wednesday, held the 200-Day SMA that session and Thursday, ready to bounce. Then the next bad news and the 200-Day SMA […]
$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $USD, $GOLD, $NEM, $VXX FLASH: Gold is finally seeing some bullish momentum as trade ructions escalate, fueling the biggest rally among the top miners in seven months. President Trump’s plan to impose a 5% tariff on all Mexican goods over illegal immigration rattled financial markets, boosting the haven appeal of the precious […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: 2 prominent Fed watchers said they now expect the central bank to cut interest rates this year as policy makers react to a darkening economic outlook. JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) chief US economist Michael Feroli and former Fed Governor Laurence Meyer both said the Fed will act […]
FLASH: US inflation was much weaker in Q-1 than thought on a sharp slowdown in domestic demand, which cast doubts on the Fed’s view that the benign price pressures were largely because of temporary factors. The weak inflation pulse reported by the US Commerce Department Thursday pressures the Fed to cut interest rates, especially as the […]
FLASH: The burger ia America’s quintessential comfort food and is enjoyed in an endless number of ways. Burgers are the most democratic of foods. The best burger in any city might be in the dankest of dive bars, or in the fanciest of restaurants. Finding the 1s that matter can take one all through a […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The S&P 500 reclaimed its 200-Day MA (2776) after falling below the Key technical mark during the day and bouncing Wednesday US stocks declined Wednesday, with the S&P 500 and NAS Comp closing just above Key support marks, as worries that a lengthy US-China trade war would crimp […]
US consumer confidence rose in May as households grew more upbeat about the labor market, suggesting the economy remained on solid ground despite signs that activity was slowing after being temporarily boosted by exports and a build-up of inventories. The surge in confidence reported by the Conference Board on Tuesday came despite an escalation in tensions in […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: World stock markets were subdued as the US and UK exchanges were shuttered for national holidays. DJIA futures rose Monday night, along with S&P 500 futures and NAS futures. President Trump said Monday that Beijing “would like to make a deal,” but “we’re not ready” for a China trade […]
$XAU, $GLD, $USD Last week’s price action in gold indicates that buyers know where the value is, but the lack of conviction may be holding them back. This is likely because of the strong USD. But, if you look at the price action on 23 May, you will see just how powerful of an influence […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Note: The Mins from the May FOMC meeting showed that policymakers are comfortable with the current fed funds rate range while “a number of participants” saw a moderation in risk and uncertainties surrounding their outlooks for the year. The Key takeaway is that the stock market has a reasonable […]
Economist and author Art Laffer, the architect behind the Reagan tax cuts that ushered in an era of economic prosperity for a generation, said the Federal Reserve should read market signs of falling bond yields and lower short-term interest rates and slash short-term interest rates. The bond market is signaling an increasing likelihood of the […]
FLASH: Americans’ confidence in the job market in May hit the highest level in Gallup’s records, which date back to Y 2001. A recent Gallup poll found the following: Overall views of the economy remain positive. Over 7 in 10 Americans feel positively about the US job market. Employment optimism among workforce is highest since 2000. […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Major averages traded lower on trade uncertainty, Several US companies suspend business operations with China’s Huawei Technologies, Semiconductor stocks underperform, drag the S&P 500 information technology sector and Nasdaq lower Trade tensions with China need to linger for an extended period to cause real damage to the United […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Some analysts think there may not be enough leadership to move the market higher now. Savvy money is playing quality to the Northside. At the same time there are good Southside setups that we are watching carefully for the break South Southside action delivers fast gainers, but what falls […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: This economic expansion is set to become longest in US history, according to the latest leading-indicators data. The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the US increased 0.2% in April to 112.1, following a 0.3% increase in March, and a 0.2% increase in February. “The US LEI rose […]
FLASH: President Trump is bringing the Fed into the US-China trade war. Tuesday, President Trump called on the Fed to “match” what he said China will do to offset economic hardship being caused by tariffs. “China will be pumping money into their system and reducing interest rates, as always, in order to make up for […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: US-China Trade News is now Old News, and No Deal makes No Difference, the Fed is the Key to stock action, buy the dips. Watching the Fed, and without a trade deal the fear of a slowdown will keep the Fed patience mode. The President and the Wall Street […]