V-Shaped Recovery on Track, Bet the Market Not Economists

V-Shaped Recovery on Track, Bet the Market Not Economists

#GDP #economy #recovery #NFPs #AtlantaFed #C19Coronavirus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Atlanta Federal Reserve increased its estimate of Q-3 GDP growth at 20.5%. The revision by the Atlanta Fed’s ‘s GDPNow model reflects an increase in government spending growth partly offset by decreases in personal consumption expenditures growth and gross private domestic investment growth. The estimates came in after […]

Low Home Mortgage Rates Continue to Boost US’ Economic Recovery

Low Home Mortgage Rates Continue to Boost US’ Economic Recovery

#home #mortgages #loans #economy #Fed #interestrates #buyers $DIA $QQQ $SPY $XAU $GLD $USO $USD US Mortgages rates marked another record low, boosting the $35-T housing market, a very bright spot for the economy. The average for a 30-yr fixed loan fell to 2.88%, the lowest in nearly 50 yrs of record keeping by Freddie Mac. It was […]

Housing, Auto Demand Are Standouts in V-Shaped Recovery

Housing, Auto Demand Are Standouts in V-Shaped Recovery

#housing #automobiles #consumers #recovery $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Clearly, record low interest rates has helped revive the US markets for housing and autos standouts in the economy as it gains traction. Sales of new homes in June ran at their fastest pace in 13 yrs, leaving builders and the construction workers they employ with […]

“Fear is Driving Decline in US Consumer Activity”

“Fear is Driving Decline in US Consumer Activity”

#fear #sentiment #confidence #US #consumer #Fed #C19coronavirus Sunday, the head of the Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis said “fear” is the Key factor behind a distressing decline in consumer activity that signals a stalling of the economic recovery. In a TV interview Fed member Neel Kashkari said consumers have to feel safe from the C-19 coronavirus chaos […]

The Economic Data Calls for More Aid/Relief/Stimulus

The Economic Data Calls for More Aid/Relief/Stimulus

#Aid/Relief/Stimulus #Congress #GDP #Fed #depression #economy US Treasury Mnuchin Calls on Congress to Pass more Stimulus this Month The economic data reported Thursday confirmed the enormity of the Q-2 blow suffered by the global economy and the challenges ahead. The longer Congress delays, the greater the risk that the stalled recovery will lead to a […]

Weakening US Dollar Driving Gold to New Record Prices

Weakening US Dollar Driving Gold to New Record Prices

#dollar #gold $USD $DXY $XAU $GLD $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $GS Savvy participants are going “all-in” on gold, Goldman Sachs is going “all-in” on gold, that is happening by the currant Southside pressure on the Buck. With more Southside expected in US real interest rates we here at HeffX-LTN are reiterating our Long gold […]

Gold is Temperamental, Silver is Really Temperamental, but There is a Long List of Bullish Drivers

Gold is Temperamental, Silver is Really Temperamental, but There is a Long List of Bullish Drivers

$XAU $GLD $XAG $SLV $USD $GOLD Gold steadied as investors paused after a record-breaking rally that saw futures touch 2,000oz for the 1st time. Futures and spot prices backed off from the wide swings that shook the market earlier as traders assessed the outlook for a host of drivers including Fed policy, with the FOMC meeting this […]

Tuesday’s World Markets Outlook: Asia-Pacific + Wall Street Recap

Tuesday’s World Markets Outlook: Asia-Pacific + Wall Street Recap

#AsiaPacific #stock #markets #rally #dollar #gold #WallStreet #C19coronavirus #USChina #Fed #FOMC #Congress #yen #safehaven $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $XAU $GLD $USD #JPY Asian stock markets advance after Wall Street rally, gold extends, USD falls The price of gold rose 38.80 to 1,969.80oz Tuesday, up 2% to another record high. It is unusual for the price […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The cynics obsess over negatives, as the market is focused on positives and the S&P 500 is closing in on a record high. Last week’s action The Market Needs a Stimulus Agreement and Will Get It President Trump’s Treasury Secretary Mnuchin announced a coming aid/relief/stimulus agreement. Expecting more […]

The Cheaper ‘Buck’ Driving Gold Price North

The Cheaper ‘Buck’ Driving Gold Price North

#gold #silver #dollars #currencies #risk #Fed #interestrates #USChina $XAU $GLD $XAG $SLV $USD Spot gold topped 1,900oz for the 1st time since September 2011 and edged closer to an all-time high with flaring geopolitical tensions and concern over global growth driving demand for save-haven assets. Gold marked a 7th wkly gainer, the longest run since […]

There is Little Reason to Expect a Slowdown in Gold Buying

There is Little Reason to Expect a Slowdown in Gold Buying

#gold #XAU #GLD #silver #XAG #SLV #rally #USD #Treasuries #yields #interest #Fed $XAU $GLD $XAG $SLV $USD Deepening negative real yields in the US Treasury market are driving a this rally in gold that is seeing the precious Yellow metal moving toward record highs. Bullion has gained 24% this year and is about $40 from […]

Mega Caps Back and Fill, Dollar Slides, Gold Charges to Record Highs

Mega Caps Back and Fill, Dollar Slides, Gold Charges to Record Highs

#stocks #gold #silver #dollar #C19coronavirus #China #global #growth #COMEX #VeryBullish $DIA $QQQ $SPY $RUTX $VXX $USO $USD $XAU $GLD $XAG $SLV Moving the Market: Profit taking in mega-caps Thursday, Gold traded near 1,900oz, moving closer to it’s all-time high set nearly 9 yrs ago on concerns about global growth that is driving safe-haven demand. Increasing […]

Savvy Investors Stick With Stocks, Adding Some Gold

Savvy Investors Stick With Stocks, Adding Some Gold

#investors #stocks #earnings #bonds #gold #Fed $SPY $GLD $XAU The S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) is selling for 28X earnings. That is above the 25-yr MA of 25 but implies an equivalent interest rate of 3.6%. The 10-yr Treasury yield is less than 0.7%, and the Fed is committed to keeping rates low. Stocks outperform bonds by a wide margin […]

US 30-yr Fixed Rate Mortgage Rate Dives to 50-yr Lows

US 30-yr Fixed Rate Mortgage Rate Dives to 50-yr Lows

#mortgage #homebuilding #retail #sales #Fed #QE #bonds #market #stimulus #economy $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $SPSIHO The S&P 500 Homebuilding Index (SPSIHO), which includes Lennar Corp.(NYSE:LEN), DR Horton Inc.(NYSE:DHI), and PulteGroup Inc.(NYSE:PHM), gained 2.4% Thursday. The index is up nearly 9% YTD, compared with a 0.05% decline in the broad S&P 500 overall. US 30-year […]

US Industrial Output Spikes 5.4% on Reopening, Most Since 1959

US Industrial Output Spikes 5.4% on Reopening, Most Since 1959

#Industrial #Output #C19Coronavirus #Reopening #Manufacturing #Fed US industrial production in June posted the largest monthly gainer since Y 1959, indicating manufacturing is alive and well after C-19 coronavirus chaos related shutdowns. Total output at factories, mines and utilities increased 5.4% from the prior month after climbing 1.4% in May, Fed data showed Wednesday. The median projection […]

US Economic Activity Increases Despite Uncertainty

US Economic Activity Increases Despite Uncertainty

#Fed #economy #businesses #BeigeBook #C19Coronavirus #growth $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX US businesses saw an uptick in activity into the beginning of July as states eased restrictions to contain the novel coronavirus chaos, a Fed report showed Wednesday, but remained uncertain about the economic outlook going forward. The picture illustrated in the Fed’s latest snapshot of […]

Money Managers Still Holding Cash Amidst This Strong Market Recovery

Money Managers Still Holding Cash Amidst This Strong Market Recovery

#gold #stocks #commodities #bonds #cash #value #growth #C19coronavirus #election #volatility #Fed #risk #recovery $BAC After slashing cash piles by the most in a decade last month, fund managers with $570-B are hanging on to their dry powder amid this historic epic stock rally. Investors surveyed by Bank of America Corp (NYSE:BAC) boosted average cash holdings […]

Precious Metals Solid in this Bull Market

Precious Metals Solid in this Bull Market

#Gold #Silver #preciousmetals #Fed #ECB #RBA #C19Coronavirus #inflation #currencies #stocks $XAU $GLD $XAG $SLV $USD $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Analysts and economists are calculating the destruction the C-19 coronavirus chaos, and traders in the financial markets trying to understand the ramifications of the virus’ presence. The market trends demonstrate that our prior precious metals forecasts continue […]

Gold and the Stock Market are Moving North

Gold and the Stock Market are Moving North

#gold #stock #market #yield #opportunity #USD #safehaven #asset #investors #negative #interest #stimulus #Fed #inflation #rally $GLD $XAU $USD Negative real yields mean opportunity cost of holding gold disappears. Traditionally Gold has been thought of as a safe-haven asset. But that has not stopped it from rising to 9-yr highs, and within striking distance of its […]

Fed’s ‘Tool Box’ is Open if Need Be

Fed’s ‘Tool Box’ is Open if Need Be

#Fed #C19coronavirus #tools #asset #economy #aid #relief #stimulus #data #market #support #liquidity #lockdowns #consumers #uncertainty Fed Vice Chairman Richard Clarida said officials would turn to additional forward guidance and asset purchases if the economy needs more aid. “We have a lot of accommodation in place. There is more that we can do. There is more […]

Independence Day Observed Friday for US Markets

Independence Day Observed Friday for US Markets

#IndependenceDay #US #stock #markets #DJIA #NFPs #jobs #investors #PresidentTrump #economy #WhiteHouse #PPP #vaccine #C19coronavirus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Stocks rose Thursday and gained on the week, as investors cheered the resiliency of a US economy that created nearly 5-M jobs in June and the number for May revised to nearly 3-M. President Trump said June’s better-than-expected […]

Hardest Hit US Businesses President Trump’s Next Aid/Relief Focus (Video)

Hardest Hit US Businesses President Trump’s Next Aid/Relief Focus (Video)

#aid/relief #businesses #rally #Fed #FOMC #Congress #PPP #economy #PresidentTrump $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Fed Chairman Powell and Treasury Secretary Mnuchin testified before the House Financial Services Committee about the measures taken to support the economy. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin told Congress Tuesday that The Trump Administration wants the next round of economic aid/relief to […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Americans Holding a Huge ‘Pile of Cash’

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Americans Holding a Huge ‘Pile of Cash’

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX #Paul Ebeling #Wall Street #recovery #cash #technicals #patterns #Fed #Bulls Last Week’s Action The indexes are in consolidation mode, and the leaders are leading pulling back and testing their moves, the trend is up and the Bulls are still in charge. Financials received bids ahead of the release of the […]

The Bulls are in Charge on Wall Street: 3 Key Indicators

The Bulls are in Charge on Wall Street: 3 Key Indicators

$XAU $SPY $VIX $VXX The last few months have been super for the US stock market and for gold Few thought in March that the S&P 500 would be back above 3,000, the DJIA would be back above 25,000 and the NAS would mark new all-time highs in late June. As we roll into the Summer Doldrums there are signs of […]

Gold Bugs Should Prepare for ‘All Evils’

Gold Bugs Should Prepare for ‘All Evils’

$XAU $GLD $USD The Latin phrase Premeditatio Malorum tells us to prepare for all evils, and that means to prepare investment portfolios for all risks. It may take more time than most expect for the world economy to recover from the psychological and financial impacts of The China Virus chaos. But what that chaos proved was that […]

Expert Sees US Inflation Remaining Low for Years

Expert Sees US Inflation Remaining Low for Years

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Inflation in the US is likely to come back slowly, keeping the Fed from raising interest rates for an extended period. Over the next couple of years, prices are likely to increase to the 2.3% to 2.4% level, as the Fed has learned its lesson from past interest rate increases […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Inflation Alert

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Inflation Alert

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last Week’s Action Stock indexes are consolidating, the economic data impresses, as headlines focus on new China Virus cases in the wake of massive new testing. Last Friday was Quad Witching expiration, and we saw leaders continue to lead. Perhaps other sectors will now start to contribute to the uptrend. […]

Inflation is Coming, Be Ready…Our Inflation Indicator is Flashing Red

Inflation is Coming, Be Ready…Our Inflation Indicator is Flashing Red

$XAU $XAG $GLD $SLV $USD Gold, forests, property stocks, inflation-linked bonds, these are just some of the assets investors are betting lots money into on the view that the recent explosion of government spending and Fed stimulus may rouse inflation from its 10 yrs+ sleep. If inflation really is “the dog that didn’t bark”, failing […]

Fed Vice Chairman Sees No Asset Value ‘Bubble’

Fed Vice Chairman Sees No Asset Value ‘Bubble’

Friday, the #2 official at the Fed said that he does not see signs of inflation in asset values in financial markets. Asked in a TV interview if he saw unintended consequences or new bubbles stemming from the strong Fed policy response to the C-19 coronavirus chaos, Fed Vice Chairman Richard Clarida replied: “I certainly […]

More Government Support Needed to Bolster US Economy, It is Coming

More Government Support Needed to Bolster US Economy, It is Coming

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The continuing uncertainty brought on by the C-19 coronavirus chaos may hamper the US economic rebound from instant recession, and more fiscal and monetary support will likely be needed, Boston Federal Reserve President Eric Rosengren said Friday. Mr. Rosengren repeated his view that the US unemployment rate will likely be […]

Gold is Undervalued, Balanced Portfolios Should Own Some, Some Silver Too

Gold is Undervalued, Balanced Portfolios Should Own Some, Some Silver Too

$XAU $GLD $XAG $SLV $USD $GS Goldie raises 12-month gold forecast by 11% to $2,000 oz; Silver’s 12-month forecast at $22 oz Gold prices are likely to reach $2,000 oz in 12 months on the back of low real interest rates and concerns over currency debasement, even as developed markets emerge from C-19 coronavirus chaos […]

What the Fed Said in ‘Five Easy Pieces’

What the Fed Said in ‘Five Easy Pieces’

Last Wednesday Fed Chairman Powell spoke showing he has the power to move markets when it comes to monetary policy and how to help deal with the current C-19 coronavirus chaos’s instant recession. The FOMC was not expected make any change regarding Zero interest rates and nothing really new on the Fed’s ongoing asset purchases […]

US Mortgage Rates Drop to Record Low 3.13% for 30-Yr Home Loans

US Mortgage Rates Drop to Record Low 3.13% for 30-Yr Home Loans

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX US mortgage rates fell to a record low for the 4th time since the C-19 coronavirus chaos began disturbing financial markets earlier this year. The average for a 30-yr fixed-rate home loan was 3.13%, down from 3.21% last week and a low point in almost 50 yrs of data-keeping by […]

Marty Zweig: “Don’t fight the Fed and Don’t fight the Tape”

Marty Zweig:  “Don’t fight the Fed and Don’t fight the Tape”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX From Marty’s advice I minted my own that I have closed nearly every weekly Redroadmaster Report for the past 22 yrs: “Always take what the market gives.” Often followed by: “Tune out the Noise!“ What that means Don’t fight the Fed means that you cannot fight a Fed boss who intends […]

Bank of England Unveiled Big Stimulus Plan to Bolster UK Economy

Bank of England Unveiled Big Stimulus Plan to Bolster UK Economy

Just In: Bank of England increases its bond-buying programme to GGP 745-B from GBP 645-B, keeps benchmark interest rate at 0.1% The Bank of England (BoE) is set to introduce another big stimulus for the US economy Thursday to ease the chaos of the medical malpractice instant recession. The BoE will join its counterparts around […]

President Trump’s Fed and Treasury Backs This Economic Recovery 100%

President Trump’s Fed and Treasury Backs This Economic Recovery 100%

Monday, the Fed said that it will begin buying individual corporate bonds under its Secondary Market Corporate Credit Facility, an emergency lending program that to date has purchased only ETFs. Saying it will follow a diversified market index of US corporate bonds created expressly for the facility. The Fed built the index internally, itd detail […]

This Bull Recovery Run Signals Buy Stocks

This Bull Recovery Run Signals Buy Stocks

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX This stock market rally has more to run and investors are under-pricing the scale of the world’s C-19 coronavirus chaos recovery “While the last four months have been exceptional, we think that this cycle has been, and will be, more ‘normal’ than appreciated,” said Morgan Stanley’s chief cross-asset strategist in […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Optimism is Key

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Optimism is Key

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $SOX $VXX Optimistic US Stock Market Will Survive Racial and C-19 Coronavirus Chaos| Last week’s action  Stocks continue testing, as indexes that marked new highs have given them up. The charts of the PHLX Semiconductor Sector (SOX), the S&P 500 and others show reversals, suggesting there may be more testing (selling) […]

You Can Deal with Any Stock Market FOMO You May Still Have, Knowledge is Power…

You Can Deal with Any Stock Market FOMO You May Still Have, Knowledge is Power…

$SPY $SPX $DIA $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Here is how the stock market trades after 5.0%+ selloffs like we saw last Thursday The S&P 500 fell 5.9% last Thursday, marking its worst 1-day decliner since 16 March and its 5th fall of at least 5% in the past 3 months. It was the worst decline since […]

Psychologically the Fear of Missing Out is Driving the US Stock Market

Psychologically the Fear of Missing Out is Driving the US Stock Market

$SPY $SPX Last Thursday, Wall Street professionals showed retail investors who bet that stocks would continue their uninterrupted drive North, that they are incharge. Yes, there are lots of investors who missed out on Wall Street’s recovery since the 23 March lows and may take advantage of the midweek selloff to enter. That suggest some […]

When There are Too Many Bulls the Market Reverses Every Time

When There are Too Many Bulls the Market Reverses Every Time

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX DJIA +477.37 at 25605.56, NAS Comp +96.08 at 9588.83, S&P 500 +39.21 at 3041.18 Friday, the S&P 500 gained 1.3% to reclaim some of Thursday’s 7% day’s decline, it was up 2.9% early in the session. The DJIA (+1.9%), NAS Comp (+1.0%), and Russell 2000 (+2.3%) also bounced.   Media explanations, like the risk of a 2nd wave of […]

President Trump Hammers Powell, “Fed is Often Wrong”

President Trump Hammers Powell, “Fed is Often Wrong”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $BA $VXX President Trump says the US economy will be back and better than ever next year. Thursday, President Trump hammered the Fed after Fed Chairman Powell offered a grim outlook on the US economy, saying there is a “long road” ahead. “I see the numbers also, and do MUCH better […]

Fed MBS Buying Here to Stay

Fed MBS Buying Here to Stay

The Big Q: How low can the 30-year mortgage rate go? That is a concern investors have, as effective yields for MBS in some cases have already gone negative. Mortgage investors can take heart knowing the Federal considers agency MBS a primary arena through which to conduct monetary policy. It has purchased agency mortgage bonds […]

Fed Chairman Powell, “Near-Zero Rates Through 2022, GDP to Hit 5% Next Year”

Fed Chairman Powell, “Near-Zero Rates Through 2022, GDP to Hit 5% Next Year”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Wednesday, the Trump Fed signaled it will provide years of extraordinary support for an economy clawing back from the C-19 coronavirus chaos. Th FOMC projects a 6.5% decline in GDP this yr and a 9.3% unemployment rate at yr’s end. In the 1st economic projections of the virus quarter, US central […]

.DXY (DX) Futures Technical Analysis, Investors Bet on Dovish Fed

.DXY (DX) Futures Technical Analysis, Investors Bet on Dovish Fed

$DX $.DXY $USD $JPY $EUR $GBP $CAD Tuesday, the USD reversed late in the session and is now trading lower against a basket of major currencies. The selling pressure is being led by a strong upward surge in the Euro. The Canadian Dollar is also making a comeback along with the British Pound. The Japanese Yen has been strong all session […]

This Market’s Q-1 Downdraft Created Massive Opportunities for Savvy Investors

This Market’s Q-1 Downdraft Created Massive Opportunities for Savvy Investors

$SPY $SPX $DIA $QQQ $RUTX $USO $VXX This V-shaped recovery in stocks illustrates how markets strong this market and how fast it recovered from the medical malpractice recession. For those of us that understood this it set up opportunities for massive gainers over a short frame. It also underlines the need to be nimble, pay […]

History: US Market Responses During Major Protests and Tragedies

History: US Market Responses During Major Protests and Tragedies

$SPY There is a big gap between what is happening on the streets in America’s cities and the American stock market has confounded lots of both professional and retail investors, this is nothing new. Below is a overview of how similar frames of civil violence and political unrest have played out in the market throughout history, […]

No One Went Away in May, Rally to Continue

No One Went Away in May, Rally to Continue

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX It is the end of May and the S&P 500 cracked and broke through the Key overhead resistance at 3,000 and held, this after a month of sideways trading and consolidation. Now Summer is here an my prediction should make investors feel safer after this unpopular rally drove prices higher […]

Fed’s Report says Recovery will not be Fast

Fed’s Report says Recovery will not be Fast

The Fed’s Beige Book report took the temperature of business activity across its 12 US districts shedding light on the depth of the economic pain generated by The China Virus, which led to an instant and unprecedented downturn. The Fed’s survey, known as the “Beige Book,” was completed in April, when non-essential businesses were shut down in […]

After This Instant Recovery Nearly 70% of Managed Money is Still Bearish

After This Instant Recovery Nearly 70% of Managed Money is Still Bearish

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX The love-hate relationship many investors had with US stocks during the 11 yr Bull market is reemerging, as stock steadily climb the Wall of Worry in the face of economic devastation and uncertainty. The benchmark S&P 500 index has risen 34% from its 23 March lows and the NAS Comp is […]

“Fast Economic Recovery in Sight”

“Fast Economic Recovery in Sight”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Jamie Dimon sees “pretty good odds” of a fast economic recovery starting in Q-3 thanks to the US government’s stimulus programs and the strength of the consumer going into the Medical Malpractice chaos. “You could see a fairly rapid recovery,” the JPMorgan Chase & Co. CEO said Tuesday at a […]

Investors Imagine Negative US Interest Rates

Investors Imagine Negative US Interest Rates

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX Negative interest rates in the US were once taboo. The C-19 coronavirus chaos changed that, and has forced investors to give serious thought to the implications of such a drastic policy shift. Rate options, which gauge monetary policy expectations, Monday implied a 23% probability that the Key federal funds rate will […]

Goodbye to High-yield Savings Accounts

Goodbye to High-yield Savings Accounts

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX For years, the high-yield saving products were a success for both consumers and financial institutions alike. After getting almost Zero interest from big US banks, individuals who parked their excess cash with the likes of Ally Financial Inc., Barclays Plc, Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s consumer bank, Marcus, or HSBC Holdings Plc’s HSBC Direct […]

Mutual Fund Giants Unfazed by “Rich Guys” Warning on Stocks

Mutual Fund Giants Unfazed by “Rich Guys” Warning on Stocks

$DIA $SPY $QQQ Some Wall Street heavyweights who President Trump dubbed ‘rich guys’ last week may sound alarmed about stocks, but some of the world’s biggest investors are holding on or boosting their holdings. Money managers and strategists at Capital Group, Franklin Templeton and BlackRock Inc., which together oversee about $8.8-T, say stocks remain attractive […]

President Trump and Republican Leaders, ‘Reopen Our Economy Prefered Over More Stimulus’

President Trump and Republican Leaders, ‘Reopen Our Economy Prefered Over More Stimulus’

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday, President Trump and Republican congressional leaders are counting on state lockdowns lifting to propel an economic rebound that will ease pressure for another round of stimulus. “There is only one way out of this dilemma: America has to grow again, to open up again and I am pleased that […]

US Stock Indexes Gap Up and Hold, Futures Following On

US Stock Indexes Gap Up and Hold, Futures Following On

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Monday, US stock index futures edge higher Monday evening following a sharp rally in the broad market. Markets were bolstered after Fed Chairman Powell said Sunday night that he saw a path, toward an economic recovery from the C-19 coronavirus chaos in 2-H of Y 2020 and emphasized that he […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Fed’s Fast Actions

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Fed’s Fast Actions

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last Week’s Close Friday May options expired, and the market show us that the leaders were going to make good moves. The futures are telling us that Monday trades will be higher after last week’s action. This story helped: Friday mid-session it was the reported that the Fed purchased $305-M […]

President Trump, “I strongly believe in negative interest rates, and Powell has improved.”

President Trump, “I strongly believe in negative interest rates, and Powell has improved.”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Wednesday, President Trump said he strongly believes the Fed should have negative interest rates, but gave a modicum of approval to Fed Chairman Powell who said earlier in the day the FOMC would not lower rates beyond Zero. President Trump said Mr. Powell, who he frequently criticizes, has improved in […]

Fed Poll: Americans See Stocks Higher, Consumer Spending Lower

Fed Poll: Americans See Stocks Higher, Consumer Spending Lower

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX US households expect the stock market to go higher in the next 12 months, as their own finances slide, according to a Federal Reserve Bank of New York poll. Americans saw better than 50-50 odds of higher stock prices over the next yr for the 1st time since data collection […]

The Market is Calling for Negative Interest Rates, They Will Come…

The Market is Calling for Negative Interest Rates, They Will Come…

President Trump support negative rates. Recall he has said, “Fed should cut rates to ‘Zero or less.’” Forward-looking indicators are seeing the possibility of negative interest rates by the end of this year or the beginning of next year. This is happening despite repeated statements by Fed officials that negative rates are unlikely and undesirable. […]

There Once Was the Gold Standard, Now it is Infinite Quantitative Easing

There Once Was the Gold Standard, Now it is Infinite Quantitative Easing

$GLD $XAU $USD The US once was on a gold standard. This meant people could exchange their Bucks for a fixed amount of gold. The US moved away from a strict gold standard in the 1930’s, and President Nixon abandoned it altogether in Y 1971. Since then, the USD has been a “fiat currency.” Meaning […]

Be Confident, America’s Jobs Will Rebound

Be Confident, America’s Jobs Will Rebound

Early Friday, the US jobs report for April will be released, it is expected to reflect a record-setting unemployment rate of 16%, but Labor Secretary Eugene Scalia said Tuesday he has “reason for confidence” that the economy will rebound quickly from the drastic hit it suffered from the C-19 coronavirus chaos. “We got to this […]

US Economy Seen Recovering in 2-H of this Year

US Economy Seen Recovering in 2-H of this Year

Wall Street rallies, investors focus on recovery and ignoring the bad news. The US economy could start to recover in 2-H of this year after what looks to be the worst recession in decades, growth may be slow and uneven, some Fed policymakers hinted Tuesday. Their soft assessments came as a majority of US states […]

Fed says, $2.3 trillion in aid might not be enough, is mulling a new plan for non-profits

Fed says, $2.3 trillion in aid might not be enough, is mulling a new plan for non-profits

The Fed is mulling new program for nonprofits. The Fed Thursday said it was making some adjustments to its planned $600-B “Main Street” lending program based on public comments and said it is mulling a separate approach to meet the” unique needs” of non-profit organizations. In a statement, the Fed said 1 adjustment would allow firms […]

Fed Stands Pat on Fed Funds Rates, Laments “Heartbreaking” Damage to America (Video)

Fed Stands Pat on Fed Funds Rates, Laments “Heartbreaking” Damage to America (Video)

Wednesday afternoon, Federal Chairman Powell said the coronavirus has brought the economy to an “abrupt halt” and it was uncertain how long the slowdown would last, as officials held interest rates near Zero, and pledged to keep them there until the nation was back on track. “Economic activity will likely drop at an unprecedented rate […]

Gold Futures Off Ahead of FOMC Rate Decision

Gold Futures Off Ahead of FOMC Rate Decision

$XAU $GLD $XAG $SLV $USD Gold slipped for a 3rd day running as countries moves toward easing stay at home restrictions and reopening economies lessened desires for safe-haven assets. Spain announced loosening measures after Tuesday’s weekly cabinet meeting. France’s PM to present the blueprint for opening up to the National Assembly. Several US states have […]

President Trump and GOP Lawmakers’ Powerful Efforts Will Restore the Economy Relatively Fast…

President Trump and GOP Lawmakers’  Powerful Efforts Will Restore the Economy Relatively Fast…

…The China Virus chaos took its shot at destroying the world’s Top economy quickly and failed. $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $PEP $SBUX $GOOGL $CAT $LUV GOP policymakers’ powerful aggressive response to supporting the virus-stricken US economy has also helped support stocks. Investors are looked past Q-1 corporate earnings results, with the coronavirus chaos now […]

US Senate Reconvenes on 4 May, Leader McConnell Foresees Further Aid for States, Cities

US Senate Reconvenes on 4 May, Leader McConnell Foresees Further Aid for States, Cities

US Senate Republican leader Mitch McConnell (KY) Monday predicted that Congress would approve further funding for states and cities whose budgets have been hit hard by the coronavirus chaos. “There probably will be another state and local funding bill but we need to make sure that we achieve something that will go beyond simply sending […]

Today’s US Stock Market says “the Worst is behind us now”

Today’s US Stock Market says “the Worst is behind us now”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The stock market is blocking bad news now and is saying the “worst is behind us“ It is the Key rationalization for the expansion, expansion to the point where the S&P 500 is trading today at a higher P/E multiple based on forward 12-month earnings 19.7X than it was trading […]

“Unprecedented Situations Require Unprecedented Actions”

“Unprecedented Situations Require Unprecedented Actions”

Unprecedented situations require unprecedented actions. That’s why the Fed should fight a rapidly deepening recession by taking interest rates below Zero for the 1st time ever. When the FOMC holds its regular policy-making meeting next week, all the warning lights will be flashing Red. The unemployment rate is expected to reach 2X digits by June. […]

This is what matters to investors, “Open the Economy Now!”

This is what matters to investors, “Open the Economy Now!”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX More than 90% of our country “is not in harm’s way, the virus lockdown flat-out fraud on a massive scale,” said David Stockman, President Ronald Reagan’s former Director of Office of Management and Budget China Virus trading will go down in history for its high velocity. We have witnessed the […]

“The Fed Cannot Print Gold”, Prices Seen Higher

“The Fed Cannot Print Gold”, Prices Seen Higher

$XAU $GLD $BAC $USD Bank of America Corp. (NYSE:BAC) raised its 18-month gold-price target to 3,000 oz more than 50% above the existing price record in a report titled “The Fed Cannot Print Gold.” The bank increased its target from 2,000 previously, as policy makers across the globe open huge amounts of fiscal and monetary […]

US Companies Hammered by the Governments Coronavirus Lockdown Orders

US Companies Hammered by the Governments Coronavirus Lockdown Orders

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX US companies have been hammered by the fallout from the novel coronavirus outbreak as economic activity “contracted sharply and abruptly across all regions,” according to the Fed’s Beige Book released Wednesday. The Fed’s latest check of businesses around the country was completed during March when the US went from worrying about […]

Gold’s Rally Seeing 1,800 in Here

Gold’s Rally Seeing 1,800 in Here

$XAU $GLD Gold extended its strong rally to hit the highest mark in more than 7 years on concern that this health crisis will have a devastating effect on the global economy, hammering corporate earnings while driving demand for safe-havens. COMEX futures in New York moved closer to 1,800 oz, the mark last seen in […]

Despite a Whole Lot of Awful Happenings, the US is Still Very Strong

Despite a Whole Lot of Awful Happenings, the US is Still Very Strong

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Despite millions of jobless claims, despite most of the country being sequestered at home, despite a falling in GDP, and despite the scare and fear brought on by the coronavirus the major US market stock indexes have recovered 50% of their losses in just the last 2 wks. At the […]

Monday’s World Wide Coronavirus Update

Monday’s World Wide Coronavirus Update

The virus outbreak has stabilized across the US, according to the head of the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC). Parts of the US may be ready to ease emergency measures in May, said Dr. Tony ‘Doom’ Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases. UK Prime Minister Boris Johnson praised doctors for saving his […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, This Bull Market Vs Coronavirus

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, This Bull Market Vs Coronavirus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Just In: Goldman Says US Stocks Have Likely Bottomed Unprecedented policy support and a flattening viral curve have “dramatically” cut risks, the bank said early Monday in a note. Despite the COVID-19 coronavirus, ‘new’ Bull market can run Last week was a shortened week, here is how it played US […]

Fx: USD Pacing for Weekly Loss on Fed ‘Big Bang’ Lending Program, Virus Fear Fading

Fx: USD Pacing for Weekly Loss on Fed ‘Big Bang’ Lending Program, Virus Fear Fading

$USD Last time I looked, USD was on pace for a weekly loss Friday as the Fed’s massive new Big Bang lending program for small companies and sa slowdown in coronavirus infections reduced safe-haven demand. The GBP pulled ahead against the dollar and the euro as markets breathed a sigh of relief after British PM […]

S&P 500 Marks Best Weekly Gainer Since 1974 on President Trump’s ‘Big Bang’ Fed Lending Program

S&P 500 Marks Best Weekly Gainer Since 1974 on President Trump’s ‘Big Bang’ Fed Lending Program

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The US stock market will be closed Friday for Good Friday. Thursday, Wall Street closed out its best week in 45 yrs on after the Trump Fed launched its ‘Big Bang’ effort to support the economy through the coronavirus crisis. The S&P 500 index posted it best weekly gainer since […]

Today’s Action Confirms Buy Signal for Stocks

Today’s Action Confirms Buy Signal for Stocks

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin went on national TV Wednesday morning to assure markets that the federal government’s stimulus package is being rolled out smoothly amid the economic distress caused by measures to slow the spread of the coronavirus. The US stock market rallied Wednesday, confirming the technical buy signals seen […]

President Trump is Working with Private Sector to Reopen America and Kickstart the Economy

President Trump is Working with Private Sector to Reopen America and Kickstart the Economy

President Trump continues to want to reopen the nation’s economy as soon as possible, and is working “hand-in-glove” with the private sector to make that happen, National Economic Council Director Larry Kudlow said Tuesday.  “This is not a total government-run operation,” Mr. Kudlow said on TV. “We are cooperating with the private sector. They are […]

SBA Virus Lending Program Enhanced by Fed and Treasury

SBA Virus Lending Program Enhanced by Fed and Treasury

The Fed and the Treasury to buy debt issued by banks that lend through a $349-B government program designed to help small businesses impacted by the coronavirus. The Small Business Administration (SBA) Friday processed more than 28,000 loans through 1,200 local lenders worth $5.4-B. Now, those lenders that originated the loans will see the government […]

Market Commentators Turning Bullish, the Futures are Open Reflecting this Optimism

Market Commentators Turning Bullish, the Futures are Open Reflecting this Optimism

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $MS $EV Commentators from Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) to Eaton Vance (NYSE:EV) are encouraged by a combination of unprecedented government and central bank stimulus efforts, declining volatility and the Key: Signs that the coronavirus pandemic is peaking in parts of Europe. “There is light at the end of the tunnel but it’s still […]

Fed’s Bullard, “There is a lot of potential for this relief program to be successful”

Fed’s Bullard, “There is a lot of potential for this relief program to be successful”

Sunday, St. Louis Fed President said the $2.2-T economic relief bill approved by Congress was appropriately sized and that a further relief effort may not be needed if support efforts are well executed. “I felt like this one was well-sized for the situation,” St. Louis Federal Reserve Bank President James Bullard said on TV when asked if […]

The Coronavirus Will Change America

The Coronavirus Will Change America

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX America is at War President Trump is commanding and the nation’s governors, mayors and industry leaders are acting in concert to mobilization efforts for the major conflict. As with all major Wars, this will change how Americans think, engage with the world, and behave. Since WWII, Western leaders have embraced globalization, governed by rules for equitable competition, […]

US Stocks Up, Crude Oil Down

US Stocks Up, Crude Oil Down

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $OIL $USO $VXX DJIA Jumps 700 as Crude Oil Falls Below $20 to 18-Yr Lows US stocks rose Monday as investors look for shares that have become cheap and can withstand the impact to the economy from efforts to stem the spread of the coronavirus. The S&P healthcare sector jumped 4.67% on the […]

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