Anthropological research suggests laughter and humor are genetically built-in, and that humor, historically, has functioned as “a social glue.” The critical laughter trigger for most people is not necessarily a joke or funny movie, but rather another person Many studies support the notion that optimism has a beneficial influence on your health. The Big Q: What […]
$XAU, $GLD, $USD One of the most common reasons to buy gold is to use it as a stable store of value. This analysis uses 50 yrs of history to test that common belief, and finds it lacking for it misses the best parts of investing in gold. The graph above will be developed, and […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX S&P 500 finishes higher as value stocks outperform Goldman Sach’s Private Wealth Management team has a simple firm message for its wealthy clients: stick with US equities. “As we have gone through various crises, we have still told clients to stay invested and not get out of US equities, it’s […]
$SPY, $XAU, $BAC, $JPL, $USB All US financial markets are closed Monday, in observance of Labor Day. It may have taken $204-B of equity outflows this year, but the BofAML Bull & Bear Indicator is finally flagging a contrarian “buy signal,” its 1st since 3 January. Bank of America Merrill Lynch (NYSE:BAC) is Bullish on […]
The German government sold 30-yr bonds at a negative interest rate in a sign of the clouds over markets and future growth as well as increased expectations that more central bank stimulus is coming soon. The sale adds to the piles of negative-yielding bonds currently held by investors, indicating they expect growth and inflation to […]
$DIA, $SPY, QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Recap: all 11 S&P 500 sectors finished in negative territory, with the financials (-1.4%), materials (-1.2%), and consumer staples (-1.2%) sectors losing over 1.0%. Stock investors who have been whipsawed for most of August can look forward to a reprieve in the next 2 weeks, a JPMorgan Chase & Co. […]
Sunday on TV, White House trade adviser Peter Navarro said he is optimistic about a trade deal with China because doing business deals is President Donald Trump’s strong suit. In a network TV interview, Mr. Navarro said he is optimistic that the President will “do the right thing for America“in negotiating with China. “One thing […]
$XAU, $GLD, $USD Money manager, Jeffrey Gundlach predicts that gold’s price will continue North along with the run up in negative-yielding bonds. “At this point, I think the way to think about it is, as long as the volume of negative interest rate bonds outstanding increases, it’s quite likely that gold moves higher in a […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Fed’s Bullard: Rate Cut Will ‘Ratify’ What People Already Expect An interest rate cut may be necessary now, but that does not mean the Fed is on a path to dramatically lower rates, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said Friday. Mr. Bullard, who argued unsuccessfully for such an […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XAU, $GLD, $VXX Billionaire Investment Guru, Ray Dalio thinks the current era of low interest rates and QE may be coming to an end, and his answer to a new market paradigm that could see escalating conflict between capitalists and socialists is simple, Buy Gold. “I believe that it would be […]
$SPY, $BLK In a report, the majority of BlackRock Inc.’s (NYSE:BLK) Top decision-makers had a simple conclusion after gathering in London last week: A supportive backdrop for risk assets probably has “room to run” for at least 12 more months. Senior leadership at the world’s largest asset manager cited easy monetary policies and few signs […]
$XAU, $GLD, $USD President Trump continues his relentless attacks against the Fed and their strong dollar Tuesday with his most recent Tweets: “This is because the Euro and other currencies are devalued against the dollar, putting US at a big disadvantage. The Fed Interest rate way too high, added to ridiculous quantitative tightening! They don’t […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, Investors heavily exposed to US stocks just had their best week YTD. But the rebound has raised several questions related to market behavior, policy and economics. How they are answered will prove consequential not only for market prospects but for the global economy. And, notwithstanding the lack of decisive answers at this stage, […]
$TSLA, FCAU, GM FLASH: Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock is at 3 year lows Bernstein analyst Max Warburton says that while there may be some tepid interest in Tesla’s assets, it’s unlikely a European carmaker would buy the company. “What assets are attractive? Tesla no longer has genuinely differentiated tech. The production plant is sub-par. The Gigafactory […]
$BTC, $BTCUSD FLASH: Bitcoin (BTC) has a major problem that few are talking about due the renewed exuberance of the recent rally. That problem is that hardly anyone uses the world’s largest cryptocurrency for anything beyond speculation. Data from New York-based blockchain researcher Chainalysis Inc. show that only 1.3% of economic transactions came from merchants […]
Many investors fear that the US-China trade dispute will inflict long-lasting damage on the US, but economist Gary Shilling, PhD disagrees. “People say nobody wins trade wars. Yeah, in the short-run you do not, but in the long-run…the US will be better off,” Dr. Shilling asserted in an interview with Business Insider published early this […]
Bradley Blakeman, once a deputy assistant to former President George W. Bush (43), in an op-ed Sunday suggest “MAGA bonds,” named after President Trump’s “Make America Great Again” campaign slogan to finance the rebuilding of America’s infrastructure. “Bonds are a great investment, and they often provide a patriotic and needed purpose,” Mr. Blakeman wrote. “In […]
$GLD, $XAU, $EUR, $USD FLASH: Gold prices could still surge 20% this year as precious-metal investors and speculators are right to believe in a bright future for the commodity. One international guru told Barron’s that he considers gold at current marks of just below $1,300 oz a “bargain.” His price target for the year is […]
By Jim Collins The Big Q: Will they or won’t they? The “they” in the Q is the Federal Reserve’s Federal Open Market Committee FOMC), led by Chairman Jerome Powell. The action is obviously a cut in the fed funds target rate. Chairman Powell, much like his predecessors Janet Yellen and Ben Bernanke, is fond […]
$TSLA Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) had a rough day Thursday, the Bearish pressure came on the heels of much weaker delivery numbers on its EVs in Q-1 There continue to be concerns about how strong the demand is for the company’s M-3 sedan that has been on the market for less than 2 years. Tesla delivered just […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Infrastructure, healthcare and defense stocks stand to rally in the wake of President Trump being cleared by Special Counsel Robert Mueller of conspiring with Russia in the 2016 US Presidential election. Financial analysts are saying such stocks could run North as President Trump shifts his focus back to policy-making, […]
$GLD.$USD, $JPY FLASH: Last week gold posted its 3rd consecutive weekly gainer and rose 1%, the most since the week ending 1 February. The fundamentals Spot gold up 0.1% at $1,314.21 oz as of 0128 GMT. US gold futures up 0.2% at $1,314.40 oz. Investors sold shares Monday moving to the safety of bonds, while […]
$GLD, $USD, $EUR, $GBP, $CNY What we have been seeing over the past few years is that confidence in government is fading and the price of Gold is rising. Some current examples The UK House of Commons voted 413-202 last week to delay Britain’s exit from the EU. Despite resounding defeats, Prime Minister Theresa May […]
$USD, $SPY FLASH: The Fed’s decisive statement this week that interest rates are unlikely to rise this year sends a signal to US households: keep buying things. The Fed tries to guide the US economy by controlling the interest rate banks charge one another for overnight loans. Moving this rate up lifts other rates in […]
US mortgage home applications to buy and to refinanc increased last week as most borrowing costs fell in step with US bond yields tied to worries about slowing economic growth, data from the Mortgage Bankers Association showed on Wednesday. The Washington-based industry group’s seasonally adjusted index on mortgage activity rose 2.3% to 384.0 in the week […]
FLASH: The EU’s economy is cooling more than many investors believe, the slowdown poses the biggest risk to the market. The European Central Bank (ECB) has limited tools at its disposal to respond to economic weakness while European governments are not prepared to respond with spending warns Mohamed El-Erian. “People are underestimating how quickly Europe […]
$GS, $USD, $USO, $OIL FLASH: On the global markets, some green shoots are emerging. The global economy may have already bottomed out, according to Goldman Sachs Group Inc. Chief Economist in a note Tuesday. While growth remains soft, Goldman’s current activity indicator in February is slightly above the downwardly-revised December and January numbers. Some green […]
By Mark J. Lundeen $GLD, $SLV, $USD The Dow Jones in its BEV chart below is charging up the hill with eyes fixed on making new all-time highs. In the past week it has advanced 2.9% BEV points, leaving only 3.52% BEV points to go before it once again makes stock market history. Another couple […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Trump Policy Traction, FOMC Minutes Due Wednesday Tuesday, New York Fed President John Williams said he is comfortable with the level US interest rates are at now, and sees no need to raise them again unless growth or inflation shift to an unexpectedly higher gear. In an interview with […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Fed Chairman Jay Powell describes US economy as “good”, saying he does not see an elevated probability of a recession, stocks finish on their highs lead by the Financials Investors are prepare for the return of the divergence trade, with the US set to lead the rest of the […]
FLASH: Speculative-grade bond yields have retraced nearly all of Y 2018’s selloff This action is the latest sign that investors have returned to the market with a after fleeing for safer asset classes at the end of Y 2018. Here is how the market has been acting since 31 December, as follows; Investors have been […]
US treasury traders are bracing for heightened volatility next week as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ushers in a new era of press conferences after every meeting, while the US and China meet again for trade talks. The FOMC is expected to keep interest rates unchanged following the 9 hikes since Y 2015. But investors see […]
US fund investors charged into high-yield corporate bonds during the latest week, shoveling $3.3-B, the most cash flowing into that market since late Y 2016, Lipper said Thursday, boosted by dovish words from Fed Chairman Powell. Underscoring investors’ appetite for some risk-taking, investors pulled $15-B net cash from US-based money market funds, according to the […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The market is looking for a Dovish stance from the FOMC when it comes to its interest rate projections for Y 2019. Everything will come into view at 2:00p EST Wednesday Investors in pain from a difficult year hope the Fed will align with President Trump’s ‘demand’ for dovishness in […]
Professional Money Managers Prepare for 2019 Rally $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $USD Bond and stock markets from the US to emerging markets all on pace to lose money this year, investors have not seen this much Red on their screens since Y 1972, the last time no asset class returned at least 5%. Yet […]
Markets Flash ‘Slowdown’, Fed Turns ‘Dovish’ $JPM, $USO The Fed is likely to deliver some response to the wave of risk aversion hitting global markets, according to JPMorgan Asset Management’s fixed-income Chief. Policy makers can hardly ignore inversions showing up on the yield curve while a violent sell-off rocks US stocks on trade tensions, European […]
Monday’s Trade Relief Rally Saw Profit Taking Tuesday $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 fell 3.2% Tuesday on some concern on future economic growth, which was signaled by the drop in US Treasury yields. A technical test and breach of the S&P 500’s 200-Day MA at 2762.32 contributed to the selling. Monday’s trade-relief […]
Mexico’s New President Pledges to Govern as “a common man” Mexico’s newly inaugurated president hit the ground running Monday with his pledge to govern as a common man and end decades of secrecy, heavy security and luxury enjoyed by past presidents. Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador aka AMOL, sported slightly ruffled hair at his first early […]
US Treasury Yields Seen Climbing Higher US T-Bond yield has broken above a multiyear base, which should lead to significantly higher yields for financial markets. “As I have been saying, two consecutive closes above 3.25% on the benchmark 30-year T-B means that my statement in July 2016 that we were seeing the low – I said […]
The Trump Effect: Atlanta Fed Keeps GDP Forecast at 4.4% $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wednesday, the S&P 500 finished with a gainer of 0.1%, driven by financial shares, which rallied on another rise in interest rates. The blue-chip DJIA outperformed, adding 0.6%, the NAS Comp lagged, closing lower by 0.1%, and the small-cap Russell […]
Wall Street’s Red Lights Flashing on Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) Ability to Pay Debt $TSLA Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) stock price and CEO, Elon Musk are getting the headlines, but the real story looks to be the steep decline in the value of the EV maker’s bonds. $1.8-B of Tesla bonds due in August 2025 marked a record low Friday. The bonds […]
Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) CEO, Elon Musk Filmed Smoking Marijuana, Stock Dives $TSLA Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) CEo Elon Musk was filmed smoking marijuana, drinking whiskey and wielding a sword just hours before the automaker said its accounting chief would leave after a 1-month stint, the latest in a string of unusual behavior and executive departures that is […]
Like Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) Stock, its Bonds ‘Tanked’ Too $TSLA The ‘420’ Tweet has raised pointed question from The Street about his judgement, is it impaired? Like its stock price, Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) bonds have given up all of the gains they made after the company CEO, Elon Musk shocked investors with the ‘420’ Tweet on 7 […]
Russia Off the List of Top US Treasury Note/Bill/Bond Holders Russia is no longer listed among the Top foreign holders of US government securities, according to a report released in Washington. Russia, once among the Top 10 foreign owners of Treasuries, the country’s holdings of US bills, notes and bonds in May fell to $14.9-B, […]
Most Investors Pick Stock Funds as Best Long-Term Investment $SPY Investors have selected stock index or mutual funds over 5 other investments as the best for the long term results, according to the latest Wells Fargo/Gallup Investor and Retirement Optimism survey. Real estate and individual stocks are a distant second. Fully 54% of investors choose […]
Ferrari (NYSE:RACE) a Safer ‘Bet’ than Italian Government Bonds $RACE Italy’s iconic luxury carmaker Ferrari (NYSE:RACE) and Exor, the owners of Juventus football club, are among many Italian companies that can now borrow money more cheaply than Rome’s crisis-hit government. Italian sovereign bond yields rose this week to some of their highest marks in years […]
Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) Will Fail, All ‘Rentier’ Businesses Fail $TSLA Jim Chanos bets that Tesla. Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) Elon Musk’s struggling EV company will fail. Mr. Chanos has identified, and sold short many of the best-known corporate disasters of the past few decades. He say in an interview Wednesday, that the underlying philosophy of his investment strategy […]
This Market Could Be Saying ‘Buy in May’ $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX An “upside-down” market may bode well for U.S. stocks, according to JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM). Established patterns look to be off in here, as bonds and equities move in tandem, stock prices climb along with volatility, shares fall despite strong earnings, and money flowed out […]
Assets that Will Suffer on the Return to the Normal Interest Rate Regime $SPY, $GLD, $SLV, $BAC While Treasuries faded a bit after 10-year yields tapped at the 3% mark last week for the 1st time in 4 years, expectations are mounting that higher rates will soon be normal again, that rate historically is 5.0% […]
Investors Rotating Leadership form QE ‘Winners’ to QE ‘Losers’ $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Analysts are expecting investors will shift their holdings as the realization sinks in that the Fed is committed to raising interest rates until a major event compels the central bank to reverse course. That means investments that had strong gains during a […]
Blockchain, “No One Can Own of Control It, Everyone Can Use It” $BTCUSD, $ETHUSD, $IBM, $GOOG, $JPM, $USB, $WMT, $SPOT Blockchain is a technology that no one can own or control but anyone can use, it is the platform for Cryptocurrency. Blockchain as applications for just about any enterprise involved in record-keeping, documentation, registrations and […]
People are asking: “Has this market topped.” $DIA, $GLD, $SLV Since February 8th when the Dow Jones broke below its -10% BEV line in the chart below, it’s been building a pennant formation. I don’t know how significant it will be when the BEV plot breaks above or below the pennant, as technical analysis in today’s […]
CPI Came in ‘Hot’, US Stock Market Shrugged it Off and Spiked $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The stock market pundits fears about inflation are inflated. Econ 101: No Inflation, No Growth Top-weighted financials and technology sectors lead market higher Wednesday, US stocks finished sharply higher, shrugging off an initial sharp decline in futures pre-market immediately […]
Insight into the Stock Markets’ ‘Quick’ Correction $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX As US stock markets conclude 1 of the worst weeks point-wise in history, below is a list of the Key things to know about the quick 9 day corrective action, as follows: It was driven by technicals, not fundamentals. The ongoing market correction does […]
Monetary Policy is the Engine-of-Inflation $DIA, $GLD, $SLV Just 2 Friday’s ago, on January 26th The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) made its latest BEV Zero, new all-time high. Then 9 trading days later on Thursday February 8th it broke below its BEV -10% line in a dramatic fashion. The BEV plot seen below begins at […]
DJIA Pullback Linked to Bond Market Not DC Disclosures $DJIA Last week’s US stock market pullback related to movements in the bond market, and not to the release of a GOP House Intel memo that accuses FBI and DOJ investigators of anti-Trump bias, that has indicated President Trump in the Russia probe. President Trump’s position […]
Tesla (NASADQ:TSLA) Investors Searching for Returns Ignore Risk, Buy Bonds $TSLA Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) sold $546-M of auto lease-backed bonds Thursday. The debt deal allowed Tesla to pare the risk premiums it must pay on the notes. They were sold to yield between 2.3 and 5%. Investors had at the initial offered prices put in […]
DJIA Dips, as Market Bulls ‘Pause to Refresh’ $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The DJIA – 1.4% to 26076.89, the S&P 500 – 1.1% to 2822.43, and the NAS Comp – 0.9% to 7402.48. Rising bond yields profit taking in healthcare shares pushed the DJIA due South Tuesday tapping the Key support zone, its biggest 1-day decliner […]
Trump Rallies into “The January Effect” for the 2nd Year Running $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The Trump ‘Santa Claus’ Rally started the day after Donal J. Trump was elected US President on 8 November 2016, ran throught Christmas 2016, through all of Y 2017, and is still going strong this year, into The January Effect. […]
World’s Financial Markets ‘Bloated’ with Liquidity $DIA, $GLD, $SLV As far as the market trends I usually follow went last week, nothing new in the broad stock or precious metals markets, more of the same old stuff. The Dow Jones (DJIA) made another new all-time high Wednesday, the 95th since the November 2016 election. But besides […]
The Trump Stock Market Rally Defied the Naysayers in 2017 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Year 2017 was full of surprises but market reactions defied conventional wisdom, leaving many a prognosticator 180 degrees out of phase.. Take the global economy; it was strong, yet bond yields went nowhere. NKorea threatened nuclear war, and volatility in US […]
Stocks World Wide at Record Highs $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX. $DAX The Trump Bull Market Rally is Up and Running Major world stock markets rallied and government bond yields fell Tuesday as strong corporate profits, steady global growth and low inflation provide few alternatives for investors outside of stocks. Equity markets from Asia to Europe […]
Homeownership Does Not Build Wealth Like Other Investments $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX A home is a place to live, raise ad family and thrive, if it goes up in value it is a lucky extra Homeownership is necessarily better than paying rent, according to a study Florida Atlantic University, Florida International University and the University […]
Bitcoin a Thriving, Anonymous ‘Speculative’ Instrument $BTCUSD Bitcoin, whose value has fluctuated significantly this month, remains a “speculative” investment that thrives because of the cryptocurrency’s anonymous nature, BlackRock’s (NYSE:BLK) Larry Fink said Monday. “The reason why it does so well is it is anonymous. It’s anonymous, and it’s cross-border,” Mr. Fink, whose firm oversees nearly […]
Millennials Rather Bitcoin Than Stocks and Bonds $BTCUSD Seen in News headlines, “millennials kill everything from romance to napkins”, but a new survey shows they may be responsible for keeping the Bull run in Bitcoin alive. A survey by venture capital firm Blockchain Capital found that about 30% of those in the 18-to-34 age range would […]
China to Open Up Financial Markets with Tougher Regulations China’s central bank (PBOC) Governor Zhou Xiaochuan, 69 anni, says that the country’s financial system is becoming significantly more vulnerable due to high leverage. Zhou who has made some stern warnings recently about debt levels in the world’s 2nd-largest, soon to be the world largest economy. […]
World Stocks Headed to the 12th Month of Gainers $BP, $RYAAY, $BNPQY World stocks headed for a record 12th month of gains Tuesday, as a 5.5 month high in European stocks and records elsewhere underscored one of the most robust Bull markets in history. Europe’s latest rally came as figures from the once-fragile Eurozone showed […]
Investors Deliver New Money into ‘Risk On’ Assets $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Investor appetite for risk on assets is set to make this by far the strongest year for inflows into stocks and corporate debt. Record highs for global stock markets has seen demand for riskier assets surge this year. Inflows are up $534-B YTD, […]
You and the US Stock Market: Big Q’s & A’s $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The US and global stock markets have hit record highs this year, as investors celebrate their gainers. But the record do not seem instilling a sense of excitement in everyone. Some investors are nervous, certain that a major correction is overdue, […]
The Market Update for September $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $GLD, $SLV The Dow Jones (NYSEArca:DIA) made 7 new BEV Zeros (new all-time highs) in the past 3 weeks; it cannot make a decent correction if it continues doing that. And that’s one thing this market needs to do – make a decent correction. The Dow Jones […]
The Effects of the Shortened T+2 Settlement Cycle In March 2017, the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (the SEC) adopted amended Rule 15c6-1(a) which shortens the standard trade settlement cycle for most broker-dealer securities transactions from three business days (known as T+3) to two business days, (known as T+2). On Tuesday, September 5, 2017, […]
Stock Trades Will Soon Settle 1-Day Sooner The time frame between when you buy or sell a security and when the trade is settled is about to shrink. Currently, the US operates on a 3-day settlement cycle. Effective Tuesday, 5 September 2017, the US will switch to a 2-day settlement cycle, know as T+2, which […]
The Financial Markets are Ignoring the Saber Rattling $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Financial markets have not reacted much to the escalation in tensions between the US and NKorea, and that is largely because in the worst-case scenario it is impossible to guess an appropriate price for things like stocks and bonds. It’s hard to price […]
Managed Money Saying ‘Reduce Risk’ $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $GLD, $VXX Some of the biggest money managers have a message for investors, it is time to reduce risk, aka take some profits off of the table. Investors should pare US stocks and high-yield debt while shifting to lower-risk assets, such as Treasuries and mortgage-backed securities, according to […]
Malaysia’s bonds are coming back in favour but the respite may be brief. The level of the nation’s foreign reserves is coming under scrutiny as investors brace for outflows from emerging markets. “There has been a rebound of flows into Malaysia bonds after huge redemptions late last year,” said Desmond Soon, head of investment management […]
Fed’s Plan to Cut Bond Holdings Could Be “Very Disruptive” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX JPMorgan Chase & Co’s (NYSEJPM) Chairman, Jamie Dimon, said Tuesday that the unwinding of Fed’s bond-buying programs is an unprecedented challenge that may be more disruptive than people think. “We’ve never have had QE like this before, we’ve never had unwinding […]
Assuming I’m right how much higher can this market go? $DIA, $GLD, $SLV Another Quarter in 2017 has come and gone, and, I have to say that June was for the most part pretty quiet compared to what the stock market saw earlier in the year. In June we saw 7 new BEV Zeros (new […]
Global Stock Investors Seeing Record Market Highs $DIA, $SPY, $DAX, $DJSH, $N300, $NSEI Year to Date (YTD) investors in global stock markets are seeing record highs. Record marks for the widely-followed country indexes occurred in the context of notably low volatility, adding to investor comfort and a sense of accomplishment. All of this was accompanied […]
Stocks Near Record Highs, Gold at 7 Week Lows, USD Bounces $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX, $GLD, $USD US stock and bond markets will be closed tomorrow for Independence Day. The major US stock market indexes ended the half-day Monday session mixed Gold fell to the lowest level in 1.5 months as gains in USD and […]
Allianz Investment Management (OTCMKT:AZSEY) Looks at the US & EU Markets $AZSEY In Q-1, it appeared that inflation in the US would indeed move up, as the labor market continued to show signs of strength and job creation remained strong. Economic growth in Q-1 was weaker than FY forecasts, but financial markets have come to […]
Not Being Invested in Low Volatility Market ‘Can Be Costly’ $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Goldman Sachs in a Note to clients: “Not being invested in a low volatility market “can be costly””. Many market strategists worry the low levels of volatility reflect market complacency, but Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) equity strategist explained that the low volatility […]
The Solid Reasons for Gold in an Investment Portfolio $GLD, $SLV, $ABX, $EXCFF, $SLW, $SPY Gold got crushed in The Trump Election rally post election, but a little over 5 months into Y 2017, the yellow metal is up 10.5%—making it one of the best-performing assets of the year so far. While the outlook for the […]
Mark Lundeen: Gold and Silver Vs Stocks and Bonds $GLD, $SLV,$DIA, $GOVT Last week ended with a new all-time high for the DJIA. Keep in mind I am still a Big Bear on the stock market, but there’s no need to begin the depression any sooner than is necessary. Still, I have to be honest […]
Gold: GATA & James Turk with His “Smoking Gun” $DIA, $GLD, $SLV, $GDX The DJIA (Dow Jones) and its step sum below peaked on March 1st of this year, after which the venerable Dow saw heavy selling. The collapsing step sum shows us that. But the price trend of the Dow Jones has weathered the […]
VIX (NYSEArca:VXX) Marks 10 yr Lows $VXX, $AUDUSD, $JPY, $EUR, $GBP After returning from the long May Day weekend, equity investors look undecided on whether to be Bullish or Bearish. Stocks across Asian markets were mixed Tuesday despite the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), Wall Street’s ‘Fear Factor’ hitting its lowest marks in a decade. The low volatility was reflected […]
Central Banks are Monetizing Stocks and Bonds $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $GLD, $SLV Following this market is an exercise in frustration. Last week, DJIA (DOW) appeared ready to roll over. I expected the Dow to be closer to its -5% line than its -2.5% line at the close of this week. But, as you can see […]
World War 3, The Big Q: Should We Own Gold? $GLD, $SLV, $EXCFF The Greek philosopher Aristotle, student of Plato, teacher of Alexander the Great, and the Father of Logic, listed 4 characteristics of any sound form of Money e.g. Gold and Silver: Durability. It should not be perishable. That’s why, despite all claims to […]
Fed Minutes: FOMC Eyes Change to Debt Holdings Policy Ahead $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Most FOMC policymakers think the Fed should take steps to begin trimming its $4.5-T balance sheet later this year as long as the economic data holds up, minutes from their March meeting revealed. Uncertainty is substantial, the Fed said, comment on […]
Economic Electrical Power (EP) Consumption… US Historical Review: 1929-2017 $DIA, $SPY, $GLD, $SLV Last Friday promised some excitement for this week; what with the much anticipated interest rate increase by the FOMC and the Federal Government hitting its debt ceiling on Wednesday the 15th. Friday evening, it was all much to do about nothing, with […]
Trump Bull Market Rally Has Room for a 10% Move $SPY The Trump Bull is Running… Some very savvy professional participants have seen The Trump Rally raging since his election and believe it has enough energy to drive as much as 10% higher despite pauses to refresh along the path to more record highs. “In […]
Home on The Street, Retail Investors Come Off of the Sidelines $SPY Retail investors plowed more cash into the markets last week, delivering US-based taxable-bond and international stock funds their 14th week running of inflows, the data showed Wednesday. Stock mutual funds and ETF’s (exchange-traded funds) netted $9.1-B during the week ended 8 March 8, […]
Inflation Back, Deflation Demons ‘Dead’, Growth Ahead $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The “Demons of Deflation” are in the dust-bin on a uptick in price pressures globally, prompting investors to seek protection in inflation-protected bonds. A year ago, it was deflation, falling prices that restrain consumer spending and economic growth that plagued investors and central banks, […]
Market Paused, President Trump Spoke, Unprecedented Rally Extends $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX, $SNAP Investors piled into US stocks Wednesday, giving the market its biggest single-day gainer in 3 months, driving the major indexes to record highs again as The Trump Rally extends.. This Bull Market is being lead by the Big Banks on expectations that an […]
President Donald Trump is in The Gold Bulls Camp $GLD, $SLV, $USD Statements last week by US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin put The Trump Team in the Gold Bulls Camp Last Friday, Gold charged North for the 5th day running in heavy trade as the Trump-trade on financial markets begin to unwind, the USD weakens and interest […]
The Markets as President Trump Took His Oath of Office $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $GLD, $SLV It’s been a month (December 20th) since the DJIA last closed at an all-time high. And since January 6th, the Dow Jones is finding breaking above its 20K line a hard nut to crack. That’s not to say the Dow […]
Evaluating the Long Term Value of Gold $GLD An oft cited negative about Gold is the inability for investors to value it, unlike stocks and bonds. A company’s revenues and earnings can be forecast to arrive at a valuation multiple. A bond’s cash flows can be discounted to come up with a present value. Gold […]
Wall Street Expects to Post Huge Q-4 Returns $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Wall Street firms are expected to post the biggest Q-4 win since the financial crisis as the US election triggered global markets activity from government bonds to currencies. Fixed-income and stock-trading revenue at the 5 biggest U.S investment banks rose 20% from a […]
The DJIA Tapped at the 20,000 Mark Friday $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The DJIA tapped at the 20,000 mark Friday, as US stock indexes close in on all-time highs as The Trump Rally extends. The US December jobs situation report showed that wages jumped by the largest amount in 7 years, though hiring was weaker […]
Investors Rotating Cash from Bonds to Stocks $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ US-based stock funds pulled in $11.8-B in the week ended 28 December data showed Thursday, ending Y 2016 with an penchant for stocks that had been seen for the better part of the year. Investors pulled $775-M from taxable bond mutual funds and exchange-traded funds […]
Trump Tax Cuts Seen Boosting Earnings by 20% Next Year $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Some analysts are raising earnings forecast for Y 2017 expecting US President Donald Trump to favor a more business friendly environment than Barack Hussein Obama. The combination of a Republican in the White House and a Republican Congress is seen by […]
