Now the world now a very sharp understanding of what a Black Swan event is. Yes, we are seeing a global health crisis, and those of us who are looking are seeing the coming restructuring of the global economic order. The Key is how investors navigating to what is coming next. The Big Q: What […]
The COVID-19 coronavirus is very challenging because the majority of those infected will feel only minor symptoms, or none at all. It is an invisible lethal enemy. A few weeks ago we were living our usual lives. Now, things we took as normal are no longer possible, for instance: an evening with friends, daily commute, […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX There is something very different about the coronavirus and the world’s reaction to it. That reaction is unprecedented, and unnerving. The past 4 wks have seen huge responses from central banks which were confident in the global economic outlook and in no hurry to move on rates. Since then we […]
Make American, Hire American, Buy American The Big Q: What has the decline in American manufacturing meant for the average American? The Big A: 1. America eventually became poorer, and saw downgrade of its standard of living. As progressively more manufacturers moved abroad, the flow of money out of the country exceeded the benefits of […]
The Democrats’ are proposing the same student loan forgiveness pitch failed Presidential candidate Elizabeth Warren made on the campaign trail. College student loan forgiveness is a ‘bad idea’ because the prevailing attitudes among dead beat students and many of their parents that since the government is owed the money, there will be a way out […]
May the Irish hills caress you. May her lakes and rivers bless you. May the luck of the Irish enfold you. May the blessings of Saint Patrick behold you. May there always be work for your hands to do, May your purse always hold a coin or two. May the sun always shine warm on your windowpane, […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX This health emergency was dismissed at 1st as a fleeting risk to the US economy has turned into a full test of whether 20 yrs of planning, regulation and research has left the financial system resilient to a major shock and the Fed able to mount a rescue. Preparations for an […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX The Bulls Vs The Bears Note: “Big Bear markets end in despair and hopelessness, which many current Bulls will discover at considerable cost to themselves” — Mark Lundeen Be very wary of any advance from here, as it may prove to be what we once called a Dead-Cat Bounce. A Dead-Cat […]
$DIA $XAU $USO What a wild week; I am overwhelmed! In my articles I usually find a narrative theme in which to insert my graphics But this week the only theme that comes to mind is what an awful week it was, just awful. Come to think of it, that’s actually a pretty good theme […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USD $JPY $VXX Friday, Ultra Long-term US T-Bond futures moved about 1.3 pts a day on average in January, were down more than 7 pts on the day and off 36 pts from Monday’s high. Italian sovereign debt had imploded. An index of costs to insure corporate debt with credit-default swaps […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX The Big Q: What is going on in this Stock Market? The Big A: A confluence of confusion aka lots of unknowns. I have been in the stock market since Y 1981, and like everyone else I know in this game, have not see this kind of action ever. What we […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $GLD Monday, the DJIA saw its worst decliner since Y 2008 in response to news of COVID-19 and the Saudi/Russia Crude Oil price war, and the ride the stock market/s have taken in the last 2 wks has left lot of investors with stomach aches. If you have a 401(k) […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last week Late Friday, the stock market put up a fight, on the close it was the worst week for equities since late Y 2008, as the S&P 500 (-0.8%) gave back 11.5% since the prior Friday, recording its 7th day running of losses, falling to its lowest level since […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Technical Analysis at the weekended 21 February NAS Comp: It sold to the 10-Day EMA and then rebounded and filled the gap from Wednesday. It is still using the 10-day EMA as it trends higher. S&P 500: It tapped at the 20-Day EMA on the low, rebounded to a modest […]
FACT: Melania Trump is 1 of President Trump’s greatest assets, she is graceful, classy, and beautiful. She is a blend of strength and modesty. Melania is a mother 1st, and 1st Lady 2nd. She is beautiful, smart, and has a heart of gold. So, it is no wonder that she’s winning over more and more […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last Friday’s Action Stocks recovered but struggled late in the day as the Fed, after a big repurchase operation in the am, said it will reduce the amount of the repos. The overnight repo saw $45.85-B in demand pasting the Fed’s offer. The 2-wk repo saw $59.02-B Vs the $30-B […]
$XAU $GLD By Mark J. Lundeen The Dow Jones is hugging its BEV Zero (0.00%) line in its BEV chart below, making a new all-time high on Wednesday, then closing the week a half point from this mid-week high. I expect more of the same for as far as the eye can see. And how […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX DJIA futures are little changed Sunday night, along with S&P 500 futures and NAS Comp futures. The stock market rally showed surprising strength last week, but it is not unprecedented. The stock market rally’s instant recovery from the coronavirus sell-off was surprising. Normally, when the stock market sells off fast, […]
McKinsey Global Institute February 2020 Report Subject: Economic outcomes and the relationship between individuals and institutions have shifted for workers, consumers, and savers in advanced economies. Life has changed substantially for individuals in advanced economies in the 1st 2 decades of the 21st Century as a result of trends including disruptions in technology, globalization, the economic […]
According to the most recent statistics, loneliness is at “epidemic” levels in the US, with 46% of adults saying they sometimes or always feel lonely Historically, mankind survived because we banded together and worked as a group. Our very survival often depended on being part of a tribe. When feeling disconnected from community, anxiety and […]
$XAU $GLD $SPY $SPX The S&P 500 posted a record high Wednesday at +37.10, or 1.1% at 3334.69 The reverse side of market optimism was the correction of safe-havens such as JPY and Gold. The JPY declined against the Buck, lead USDJPY to its highs in a 1. wks near 109.50, showing a rebound from the 200-Day SMA. Gold dropped […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX We are deep in earnings season. Stay tuned daily. What happened last week Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) struggled as caught a bid and rallied The DJIA and the S&P 400 tested the 50-Day MA, but the NAS Comp and S&P 500 did not, but rebounded.Q-4 GDP came in at 2.1% the slowest […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX I herewith urge all investors to avoid making hasty decisions after China announced a rise in cases of a deadly new virus that the media says threatens to crimp global economic growth. Stocks markets pulled back worldwide Monday on the supposition that investors are worried about the potential economic impact of […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Market Summary: This long Bull Run still looks look strong, and here is why: Stocks bypassed a soft open Thursday and gapped North. Small and mid-caps joined the large-caps in achieving strong breaks higher. The economic data showed renewed promise. Options expiration Friday came and went. A long weekend came […]
$XAU, $GLD Gold markets initially pulled back during the trading session Monday but turned around to recover some. It is currently hanging around the 1550 mark, an area that had seen a gap higher previously. The markets are trying to feel out whether or not there is a “risk on” or “risk off” flavor to everything. […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Y 2020 extended Y 2019 action as the big tech names led and the smaller-caps lagged. While the S&P 500’s valuation chart may be giving some investors flashbacks to the Y 2018 market meltdown, the Bulls are resolute. Corporate earnings are expected to fall for a 2nd Q running, as […]
$XAU $GLD Gold markets had a volatile week, breaking above the 1600 mark fell rto form a Shooting Star. The pattern was at the recent highs, so, it is likely that the market is ready to pull back from here. By breaking below the bottom of the weekly candlestick, it is likely that the longer-term trade […]
$SPY White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow believes the US economy will continue to grow at a robust pace as the Y 2020 election season proceeds. “This continuing Bull market run indicates a lot of investor, consumer and business confidence, in my judgment,” Mr. Kudlow said. Early in Fridays session, the DJIA broke above 29,000 for […]
$XAU, $GLD, $XAG, $SLV, $USD Gold’s entered a gentle climb North after marking the 12 November lows. It was not until the Thursday before Christmas when prices verified a cyclical breakout. The initial breakout surge is slowing as the precious Yellow metal enters a mid-cycle correction. Key support is between 1520 – 1540. Once completed, […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX US stocks will continue to rise this year on very little chance of a recession, and low inflation driving steady economic growth, with real GDP growing around 2.0%, and inflation remains below 2.0%. That is our outlook for Y 2020. We do not see a recession in this year’s US […]
$XAU $GLD $USD Do not be surprised if gold moves to consolidate its gains or correct after this jump in prices, a big downturn is not likely on the cards if that happens. Gold’s latest rally comes on back of last week’s US airstrike near Baghdad’s airport that killed General Qassem Soleimani, 1 of Iran’s Top military […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $SOY, $CORN, $XAU, $CU, $USO This is our 1st What to Watch in the commodities sector, it is an overview of what to expect. The picture mixed, complex picture that emerges. The list covers oil, gold, copper, iron ore, pork and more. The year’s 1st full week of trading could […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $APPL $VXX The Y 2020 started off with a Y 2019 flavor as the big names led and the smaller-caps lagged. Chinese stimulus got some credit for the gains, but there is no doubt that new money was put to work as the volume rose to solid marks. Buyers want stocks, […]
$RACE, $DIS Christian Bale has earned 4 Oscar nominations and 1 win in the last 10 yrs, and his performance as real-life racer Ken Miles in ‘Ford v Ferrari‘ is looking more and more like a ‘statuette‘ for a Best Actor this year. History has proved it is perilous to underestimate him, especially when he’s playing a […]
$BA, $IBM, $MMM, $CVX, $XOM Boeing Co. (NYSE:BA) was a disappointment after the 2 deadly 737 Max crashes grounded the entire fleet of that aircraft to where the problems are still not solved. Boeing even finally capitulated and sent its CEO Dennis Muilenburg away. With global geopolitics still hot, and with a weapons and defense race as […]
$AAPL Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) led the DJIA with a 86% gainer in Y 2019, and the most optimistic analyst right now is still seeing 20% upside potential for Apple in Y 2020. The Big Q: Can the next iPhone release create that super-cycle of upgrades that analysts have been calling for? The Big A: Adding […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $CSCO, $VXX Riding this Bull Market even higher… The S&P 500 (SPX) has climbed steadily over the past 10 yrs. And it still has a wide-open path. But you want to pick and choose the stocks you hold. Readers know I prefer the Aristocrat stock, those that are safe and reliable […]
$USD After 4 rate hikes in Y 2018, the Fed cut interest rates 3X in Y 2019, making a remarkable and sharp U-turn in its monetary policy. The big shift reflected that Fed officials’ assessment of potential risks to the US economy has dramatically changed over the course of the year, due to slowing global […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XRT, $IWM Our New Year is here and we are just a few weeks away from the Chinese New Year, so not too early to share some of my favorite Chinese Astrologer’s thoughts on the coming Year of the Rat, he is famous for his predictions, but not perfect. The background: […]
After several discussions with experts in the vintage, classic and special interest collector sector, we learned that buyers are not feeling the need to rush into the market as it has cooled. Today’s buyers are said to be people interested in cars for what they actually are, rather than cars representing another alternative investment asset […]
$SPY $SPX, $DIA, $QQQ, $RUTX I am saying this again: “All the stress, worries and concerns about trade disputes, geopolitics and a slowing and overly indebted global economy, Y 2019 may be the best year investors have ever had, the numbers are staggering.” And just because sentiment is so very positive does not mean a […]
Heroism, what it sometimes takes, what it can lead to has been a longstanding interest of Clint Eastwood’s, from his onscreen vigilante icons to his behind-the-camera explorations of real figures in ‘Flags of our Fathers’, ‘American Sniper’ and ‘Sully’. ‘Richard Jewell’ is Director Eastwood’s is his 38th film and his deep dive into the subject […]
$SPY $SPX, $XAU, $USO, $USO For all the stress, worries and concerns about trade disputes, geopolitics and a slowing and overly indebted global economy, Y 2019 may be the best year investors have ever had. The numbers are staggering Global stocks have piled on more than $10-T, bonds have been on fire, Crude Oil has […]
$RACE Ferrari (NYSE:RACE) has climbed 64.9% YTD thanks to EPS and revenue beats, in the 9 months of Y 2019, net revenue rose 10.3%, while EBIT increased 10.5% boosted by Monza SP1 and SP2. The company deserves a premium valuation because of its brand value, high margins, and consistent sales growth going forward. Since January […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wednesday, President Trump appeared on the cusp of becoming only the 3rd US President to be impeached, history suggests investors need not worry, even though it adds uncertainty on Wall Street. Strong partisan divisions were on display as members of the House of Representatives engaged in a debate ahead of historic […]
For instance, a speaker on innovation, humans and the future said, “The future does not arrive. It’s created.” In short, we, humans, create the future, it just does not happen. So, if one wants to bring positive experiences into life, the focus must be on positive thoughts. Conversely, thinking negative thoughts will bring negative experiences. […]
$SPY, $DIA, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $BAC, $UBS, Analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, described this Bull market as “primed for Q-1 2020 risk asset melt-up,” with the Fed and the ECB still providing ample support to portions of the market and economy that have shown some signs of softness aka printing money. UBS Global […]
$GLD, $XAU, $SLV, $XAG, $USD Gold prices look to end the year more than 15% higher, on track to post their biggest annual gainer in 9 years. “Gold has seen considerable safe haven buying from investors concerned over low and negative yields in the bond market and fearing a possible downturn in equities,” said the […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Am seeing earnings revival boosting stock rally in Y 2020 But 1st, this is what happened last week: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has held steady and is not going to raise rates in Y 2020. Chairman Powell is also open to bond purchases. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) […]
Last week the headwinds constraining the world economy have just been blown out. Dogged for most of Y 2019 by trade tensions and political risk that hammered business confidence, the outlook for global growth enters Y 2020 on a firmer footing after the US and China struck a partial trade deal and outlook for BREXIT […]
FLASH: Trade talks with China could collapse if a deal cannot be reached on enforcement of these “structural” issues. President Trump said on Wednesday that trade talks with China were moving along well and predicted either a “good deal” or no deal between the world’s 2 largest economies. Washington and Beijing have been in intense […]
The Big Q: Which region of the US has the best barbecue? The Big A’s: Maybe you prefer the sweet and tangy sauce of Kansas City barbecue. Maybe you swear the dry rub of Texas barbecue is the champ. Despite the rivalry, each regional barbecue style is delicious. Below is a guide to the best-known […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX As earnings season comes to a close investors look down the line. The US major stock market indexes tested the top of the range faded, then started North again Friday as new money flowed in. The market remains at the inflection point and will breakout or move back down to […]
$GLD, $SLV, $USD FLASH: The Dem’s Green New Deal is silly and not worth our attention. But it implies we can have anything we want if the Fed extends credit. FACT: The 2 biggest US stock market rallies happened when the budget deficit was disappearing or had disappeared. Calvin Coolidge led the US through most […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Higher, USD Higher, Crude Oil Mixed, Stocks Higher Notes: Trade talks dominated headlines with a new round of negotiations between the United States and China expected in Washington on Tuesday, and follow-up sessions at a higher level later in the week. Comments from European Central Bank’s Olli Rehn on Sunday have triggered speculation the […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $BAC, $VXX US are stocks rallying this year on signs of progress in US-S trade talks as managed and sidelined money continues to bet that there is not much upside left when President Trump’s deal is reached. That is wrong Heffx-LTN’s corporate earnings and equity valuations model as of Saturday indicates […]
FLASH: The 2 most important treatment strategies for SAD are optimizing vitamin D level and Sun exposure. In addition to optimizing vitamin D and getting daily light therapy, the following strategies may also be helpful in the treatment of SAD: Exercise:Exercise is a well-recognized tool for improving your mental health. In a Y 2008 interview […]
Tuesday, President Trump expressed displeasure with a tentative deal by congressional negotiators on border security spending that offered no funds for his promised US-Mexican border wall, but did not reject it outright, indicating he did not expect another government shutdown. President Trump demand for $5.7-B from Congress to help build the Wall, said he has […]
Apple cider vinegar aka ACV, has been widely used as a natural home remedy to improve health and hygiene for centuries. It is used to soothe bee stings, treat painful gout, and even cure hiccups. The sour taste of straight apple cider vinegar makes most people pucker. Note: The French word for vinegar means “sour […]
FLASH: The 2nd Government Shutdown is on the Table President Trump already has won the standoff over immigration, even if he does not get funding for his border Wall, because he has transformed how the American public views migrants, University of Wisconsin-Milwaukee history Professor Rachel Ida Buff wrote in an Op-Ed Monday. As The Trump […]
President Trump had his annual medical exam Friday. President Trump spent more than four hours at Walter Reed National Military Medical Center for a checkup supervised by Dr. Sean P. Conley, his physician, and involving a panel of 11 specialists. “I am happy to announce the President of the United States is in very good […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX Money market fund assets increased for a 10th week running to their highest mark since early Y 2010, as investors further raised their cash pile due to recent market volatility, a report recently released showed. Assets of money market funds, which are seen as nearly as safe as bank accounts, rose […]
Several thousand supporters of an exiled Iranian opposition group marched through Paris Friday, calling for an end to Iran’s clerical regime 40 years after the Islamic revolution toppled Iran’s monarchy. The Mujahedeen-e-Khalq, widely referred to in the West as the MEK, were joined at the rally by an array of speakers before the march, from […]
$RACE, $FCAU Sauber Racing has been renamed Alfa Romeo as part of a move by the Fiat-Chrysler (NYSE:FCAU) to increase its luxury brand presences in F1. The move suggests that Alfa Romeo will forge closer technical ties with Ferrari (NYSE:RACE) in the future that extend beyond the customer relationship that Haas Racing now enjoys. While this […]
$RACE “Le Mans Berlinetta”, a name that explains why you may see a little bit of a Ferrari 250 Berlinetta Lusso in its design. That is because the car Ferrari used as basis was a 250 Berlinetta Lusso, and constructed with aerodynamic features from Ferrari’s most famous 1960’s racer (+); the 250 GTO. It has […]
The Roads of Arabia: Archaeological treasures of Saudi Arabia will be on display until 16 February. The exhibition was initially conceived in Y 2010 jointly by the Saudi Commission for Tourism and National Cultural Heritage (SCTH) and the Musée du Louvre in Paris, where it was first exhibited. After its Paris debut, the exhibition traveled […]
$RACE,$FCAU Ferrari (NYSE:RACE) expects growth in core earnings to accelerate to 10% this year and CEO Louis Camilleri said he may raise targets for Y 2020, betting on new models and Special Editions at premium prices for its loyal clienti, and admirers. Thursday, after the earning’s call shares in the Italian luxury carmaker rose nearly […]
Researchers have found that a compound in grapes used to make Champagne can improve spatial memory. “The results were dramatic,” says a professor at the University of Reading in England and one of the investigators on the study’s research team. “The compounds were found to favorably alter a number of proteins linked to the effective storage […]
$SPY The data reveals that hedge fund money has not been chasing the January late December – January rally in US stocks. It is on the sidelines. According to Macro Risk Advisors, these big-money managers are acting much more like it is the aftermath of the Y 2008 financial crisis than the relatively low-volatility environment […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell’s 1st post-meeting press conference of Y 2019 left market expectations for a rate hike this year an Big Q, and raised the chances of a cut in Y 2020. The Fed’s tone Wednesday cast doubt on the prospects of interest rates heading higher at […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold SteadyUSD FlatCrude Oil SteadyStocks Higher In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold it next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. Gold: Gold price broke psyche resistance at 1300 oz Gold futures are hanging near 7-month highs at $1,302.2 oz. Spot gold was last at 1,304.19 after breaking above a the Key psych […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Once again, the US stock market was primed to rebound, it rebounded into the shortened holiday week, there is plenty of money still on Wall Street’s sidelines. The 3rd leg is happenig with SOX, and the NAS Comp. The other indices are moving up off their tests with the semis […]
$RACE The iconic Italian Supercar manufacturer will be represented by its 2 regular World Endurance Championship entries run by AF Corse at the 2018-19 season finale on 15-16 June rather than the three Ferrari 488 GTEs it fielded last year. Ferrari GT racing boss Antonello Coletta said Satruday: “There will not be a 3rd official/factory […]