Healthy Economy, Strong Earnings Will Drive Stock Market North

Healthy Economy, Strong Earnings Will Drive Stock Market North

Healthy Economy, Strong Earnings Will Drive Stock Market North $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ Soon the stock market will reflect the economy, and all systems are on Go. March Private Sector Jobs, Non-Manufacturing Activity and Help Wanted OnLine ADP: 241,000; Goods: 65,000/ ISM (Non-Man.): -0.7 point; Orders: -5.3 points/ HWOL: up 102,100 The Institute for Supply Management’s […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Last Thursday, the Month/Quarter ended higher ahead of a 4 day Holiday Weekend, so the Big Q is does new money enter and help extend Thursday’s move, and do gains hold. And let’s not forget the volatility, will it calm. Remember, a market rally has to […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Global stock market look soft this week. Between the media trade banter, Month/Quarter end re-balancing and the Easter holiday-shortened week things can happen, even nothing much, as many Wall Street traders are on Spring vacation. Expect quiet on the G-10, and data fronts given the […]

Fed Hikes, Stocks Fall, Gold Rises

Fed Hikes, Stocks Fall, Gold Rises

Fed Hikes, Stocks Fall, Gold Rises $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $GLD Stocks swung sharply Wednesday afternoon following the release of the FOMC’s policy directive, which increased the fed funds target range by 25 bpts to 1.50%-1.75%. Overall the hike was priced in ahead of the Fed’s expected move. The S&P 500, the NAS Comp, and the […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Another big economic data week ahead. The FOMC meets Tuesday and Wednesday, and is expected to raise rates 25 bpts at the meeting. The other big econo news will be Existing Home Sales, Leading Economic Indicators, Durable Goods Orders, and New Home Sales. And in […]

Key US Econ Data: Inflation Tame, Job Growth Strong

Key US Econ Data: Inflation Tame, Job Growth Strong

Key US Econ Data: Inflation Tame, Job Growth Strong $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Even with strong job gains and optimistic small business owners, inflation still at reasonable marks February Consumer Prices, Real Earnings and Small Business Optimism CPI: +0.2%; Over-Year: +2.2%; Less Food and Energy: +0.2%; Over-Year: +1.8%/ Hourly Earnings (Monthly): 0%; Over-Year: +0.4%/ NFIB: […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The leadership is leading the big moves on the indices with some to new highs, others attacking the near term resistance on the way to highs. Explore the laggards with good patterns, they are getting the time they need to complete patterns and join the […]

FOMC Eyeing Inflation, ‘Strike a Balance; with Rate Hikes

FOMC Eyeing Inflation, ‘Strike a Balance; with Rate Hikes

FOMC Eyeing Inflation, ‘Strike a Balance’ with Rate Hikes Fed Chairman Jerome Powell, pledging to “strike a balance” between the risk of an overheating economy and the need to keep growth on track, told US lawmakers Tuesday that the central bank would stick with gradual interest rate increases despite the added stimulus of tax cuts […]

‘Things Continue to Look Up’ for US Economy

‘Things Continue to Look Up’ for US Economy

‘Things Continue to Look Up’ for US Economy $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The Fed is carefully raising interest rates against a growing economic background that has cheered up conditions for the nation’s lenders, said Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic. After years of emergency-era monetary policy, Fed officials are “in an increasing-rate environment, […]

Monetary Policy is the Engine-of-Inflation

Monetary Policy is the Engine-of-Inflation

Monetary Policy is the Engine-of-Inflation $DIA, $GLD, $SLV Just 2 Friday’s ago, on January 26th The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) made its latest BEV Zero, new all-time high.  Then 9 trading days later on Thursday February 8th it broke below its BEV -10% line in a dramatic fashion. The BEV plot seen below begins at […]

Fed Leaves Rates Unchanged

Fed Leaves Rates Unchanged

Fed Leaves Rates Unchanged The Fed decided to leave rates unchanged, as expected, and noted that near-term risks to the economic outlook appear roughly balanced, but policymakers are keeping an eye on inflation, which has been slow to pick up despite a tightening of the labor market. Fed officials expect that, with further gradual adjustments […]

US Stocks Post Record Highs, as Trump Rally Extends

US Stocks Post Record Highs, as Trump Rally Extends

US Stocks Post Record Highs, as Trump Rally Extends $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX  All 4 major US stock market indices finished at new all-time highs The S&P 500 Index surged past the 2,700-mark Wednesday and other major indexes hit record intra-day highs as technology stocks climbed on indications of strong economic growth in the US […]

Top-Ranked US Economist Sees Strong Growth in 2018

Top-Ranked US Economist Sees Strong Growth in 2018

 US Economist Sees Strong Growth in 2018 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX A top-ranked US economist last year predicted that real US economic growth would reach 3% in Y 2017. “With a tax cut package finally passed by Congress, growth is likely to remain robust as we head into 2018,” Steven Stanley said. “The economy’s 2% […]

The Market Update for September

The Market Update for September

The Market Update for September $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $GLD, $SLV The Dow Jones (NYSEArca:DIA) made 7 new BEV Zeros (new all-time highs) in the past 3 weeks; it cannot make a decent correction if it continues doing that.  And that’s one thing this market needs to do – make a decent correction.  The Dow Jones […]

Fed Must See Higher Prices Before Another Rate Hike

Fed Must See Higher Prices Before Another Rate Hike

Fed Must See Higher Prices Before Another Rate Hike $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The Federal Reserve should wait until there are clear signs that American paychecks and prices are rising before raising interest rates again, a Fed bank president and FOMC voter, said Monday, warning that moving too fast would be a policy “misstep.” Chicago […]

US Household Wealth Up $1.7-T, Another Record Under President Trump

US Household Wealth Up $1.7-T, Another Record Under President Trump

US Household Wealth Up $1.7-T, Another Record Under President Trump $SPY The wealth of US  households rose to $96.2-T in Q-2 of this year, as US stock prices hit record highs and home values continued to climb, a report by the Fed showed Thursday. That compares to a downwardly revised $94.5-T tally for household net […]

FOMC Schedules Asset “Normalization” as Expected

FOMC Schedules Asset “Normalization” as Expected

FOMC Schedules Asset “Normalization” as Expected Federal Reserve officials set an October start for shrinking their $4.5-T of assets, moving to unwind a pillar of their crisis-era support for the economy. FOMC forecasts 1 more interest-rate hike later this year, saying storm damage will have a temporary impact on the economy. “Hurricanes Harvey, Irma and […]

US Stock Indexes Mark New Record Highs, Financials Lead

US Stock Indexes Mark New Record Highs, Financials Lead

US Stock Indexes Mark New Record Highs, Financials Lead $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The major US stock market indexes are trading at record marks driven by gains in financial, technology and industrial stocks, with focus on the FOMC’s policy meet Tuesday and Wednesday, as The Trump Rally extends. Shares of the major banks, including Bank […]

US President Trump Poised to Change Fed Leadership +

US President Trump Poised to Change Fed Leadership +

US President Trump Poised to Change Fed Leadership + $GLD,$SLV, $PPLT, $USD Every US President gets the chance to influence Fed policy through nominations to the central bank’s Board of Governors. But, most often, that chance is limited to a small number of nominations, 3 max, including a nomination for Chairperson. But President Trump is […]

This Week’s FOMC Meet May Trigger Stock Rotation

This Week’s FOMC Meet May Trigger Stock Rotation

This Week’s FOMC Meet May Trigger Stock Rotation $SPY US stock investors could rotate out of high-yielding sectors and into stocks of banks, which would benefit from the next leg up in interest rates, after the FOMC’s policy-setting meeting wraps up Wednesday. If the FOMC gives a nod to rising inflation or focuses its trimmed-down […]

Gold Price Pressured by Notions of Fed, ECB Tightening

Gold Price Pressured by Notions of Fed, ECB Tightening

Gold Price Pressured by Notions of Fed, ECB Tightening $GLD, $SLV Gold fell Friday after a European Central Bank official called for scaling back the bank’s stimulus program, although losses were capped when weaker than expected US economic data raised some questions about further rate hikes. ECB board member Sabine Lautenschlaeger made the most explicit […]

US Job Openings (JOLTS)Hit Record High, Qualified Workers Scarce

US Job Openings (JOLTS)Hit Record High, Qualified Workers Scarce

US Job Openings (JOLTS)Hit Record High, Qualified Workers Scarce $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The Trump Rally extends, US stocks mark record high, again, led by financials, Apple sags. US  job openings aka JOLTS, rose to a record high in July, suggesting a slowdown in job growth in August was an aberration and that the labor market […]

US Consumer Spending Up, Inflation Down, USD Falling

US Consumer Spending Up, Inflation Down, USD Falling

US Consumer Spending Up, Inflation Down, USD Falling $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX US consumer spending rose a bit in July and annual inflation increased at its slowest pace since late Y 2015, diminishing expectations of a Fed interest rate hike in December. Inflation remains low even as the labor market is near full employment, a […]

Overnight World Market News

Overnight World Market News

Overnight World Market News $DIA, $DAX, $DJSH, $N300, $NSEI Overnight , Asian equities followed US and European equities North on signs that a military conflict between the US and North Korea is not imminent . According to the North Korean news agency,  NKorean leader Kim Jong Un is reviewing missile strike plans and said that he […]

The DJIA Has Been Moving from 1 New All-time High to Another

The DJIA Has Been Moving from 1 New All-time High to Another

The DJIA Has Been Moving from 1 New All-time High to Another $DIA, $GLD, $VXX The last article I sent out was on the weekend of July 15, and since then the DJIA has seen 10 new all-time highs. In fact, since July 11 the Dow Jones Industrial Average has increased from 21,409.07 to 22,092.81 […]

Weakening USD is Positive for Gold & Silver

Weakening USD is Positive for Gold & Silver

Weakening USD is Positive for Gold & Silver $GLD, $USD, $SLV The US Dollar (.DXY) Index has been moving lower, retreating 9% in 5 months, from 102 in March to its current 93.39. Not surprisingly, Gold has risen almost 10% in USD terms during this frame. Earlier this year many participant expected USD to continue its […]

FOMC “Reducing Debt Holdings to Start ‘Relatively’ Soon”

FOMC “Reducing Debt Holdings to Start ‘Relatively’ Soon”

FOMC “Reducing Debt Holdings to Start ‘Relatively’ Soon” Fed officials said they would begin running off their $4.5-T balance sheet “relatively soon” and left their benchmark policy rate unchanged as they assess progress toward their inflation goal. The start of balance-sheet normalization is another policy Milestone in an economic recovery now in its 9th year. […]

Fed Chairwoman Gets Investors Attention Again

Fed Chairwoman Gets Investors Attention Again

Fed Chairwoman Gets Investors Attention Again $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The focus Thursday was Fed Chairwoman Yellen’s testimony before the US Congress as the market posted another record close. Wednesday’s testimony confirmed this year’s next rate hike/s and QE policy tightening process that the market expected, but the discussions about the longer-term Neutral rate of […]

Fed’s Plan to Cut Bond Holdings Could Be “Very Disruptive”

Fed’s Plan to Cut Bond Holdings Could Be “Very Disruptive”

Fed’s Plan to Cut Bond Holdings Could Be “Very Disruptive” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX JPMorgan Chase & Co’s (NYSEJPM) Chairman, Jamie Dimon, said Tuesday that the unwinding of Fed’s bond-buying programs is an unprecedented challenge that may be more disruptive than people think. “We’ve never have had QE like this before, we’ve never had unwinding […]

Morning Briefing Global Stocks

Morning Briefing Global Stocks

Morning Briefing Global Stocks $DIA, $DAX, $DJSH, $N300, $NSEI Commentary: Stock indices are mixed. DJIA and DAX are in a downward corrective phase and may continue in here, the Shanghai looks sideways. Nikkei looks Bullish and Nifty could test lower marks this week. PE DJIA at 21349.63, +0.29% tried to recover slightly from the 29 June […]

Morning Briefing Global Stocks

Morning Briefing Global Stocks

Morning Briefing Global Stocks $DIA, $DAX, $DJSH, $N300, $NSEI Commentary: Almost all the global indices have fallen sharply and could test support below current marks. We have to wait for confirmation if the indices bounce back next week or continue to extend the downward correction for a few more trading days. PE DJIA at 21287.03, -0.78% […]

Morning Briefing Global Stocks

Morning Briefing Global Stocks

Morning Briefing Global Stocks $DIA, $DAX, $DJSH, $N300, $NSEI Commentary: Almost all major stock indices look stable to Bullish in here. PE DJIA at 21467.14, -0.29% tested Key long term resistance near 21500 which could hold strong a few weeks. But, a upward extension could take it to 21600, but this could form a near term […]

Morning Briefing Global Stocks

Morning Briefing Global Stocks

Morning Briefing Global Stocks $DIA, $DAX, $DJSH, $N300, $NSEI Commentary: Almost all major stock indices look Bullish in here. PE DJIA at 21528.99, +0.68% gaped up and moved up towards my target at 21600 as expected Monday. Near term looks Bullish and there could be a drive to 22000 in the cards. DAX at 12888.95, +1.07% […]

Morning Briefing Global Stocks

Morning Briefing Global Stocks

Morning Briefing Global Stocks $DIA, $DAX, $DJSH, $N300, $NSEI Commentary: Almost all major stock indices look Bullish in here. PE DJIA at 21384.28, +0.11% has been moving slow but looks Bullish in here, and may see it rise towards 21600 near term. DAX at 12752.73, +0.48% has been trading within the broad range of 12900-12600 for […]

Morning Briefing Global Stocks

Morning Briefing Global Stocks

Morning Briefing Global Stocks $DIA, $DAX, $DJSH, $N300, $NSEI  Commentary: Stocks are stable and could either stay ranged or move North near term. PE DJIA at 21359.90, -0.07% has the potential to move up towards 21600 mid next week. The rise could be slow but overall near term looks Bullish to me. DAX at 12691.81, -0.89% has […]

Morning Briefing Global Stocks

Morning Briefing Global Stocks

Morning Briefing Global Stocks $DIA, $DAX, $DJSH, $N300, $NSEI  Commentary: Stocks are stable and could either stay ranged or move North near term. PE DJIA at 21374.56, +0.22% is moving in line with expectation, and could head towards our target at 21600 in the next 4-5 sessions. DAX at 12805.95, +0.32% marked an intra-day high at 12798 […]

The Search is On for a New Fed Chief

The Search is On for a New Fed Chief

The Search is On for a New Fed Chief $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX President Trump’s top economic advisor, Gary Cohn to lead the search for the next Fed chief. President Donald Trump’s relationship with the Fed has been friendly to date, that does not mean Chairwoman Janet Yellen is likely to stay on. Some market […]

Morning Briefing Global Stocks

Morning Briefing Global Stocks

Morning Briefing Global Stocks $DIA, $DAX, $DJSH, $N300, $NSEI  Commentary: Stocks are stable and could either stay ranged or move North near term. PE DJIA at 21328.47, +0.44% rallied close to out target at 21400 in line with expectations and may mark our next target 21600 by the end of this week if the FOMC policy statement […]

Mark Lundeen: Gold and Silver Vs Stocks and Bonds

Mark Lundeen: Gold and Silver Vs Stocks and Bonds

Mark Lundeen: Gold and Silver Vs Stocks and Bonds $GLD, $SLV,$DIA, $GOVT Last  week ended with a new all-time high for the DJIA.  Keep in mind I am still a Big Bear on the stock market, but there’s no need to begin the depression any sooner than is necessary.  Still, I have to be honest […]

Value Stocks Lag Growth Stocks So Far this Year

Value Stocks Lag Growth Stocks So Far this Year

Value Stocks Lag Growth Stocks So Far this Year $FB, $AMZN, $AAPL, $NFLX, $GOOGL The Top 10 stocks, mostly in the tech industry, account for almost half the S&P 500’s gain of 7.7% YTD. In contrast, the S&P 500 Value Index has marks just a 2% gainer so far in Y 2017, trailing the‘Growth Index’ […]

Soft US Inflation May Warrant Interest Rate “Rethink”

Soft US Inflation May Warrant Interest Rate “Rethink”

Soft US Inflation May Warrant Interest Rate “Rethink” $DIA,  $SPY,  $QQQ,  $VXX Tuesday, Fed Governor Lael Brainard said soft US inflation may cause her to reassess the path forward for monetary policy should it linger, even as the global economic outlook brightens and US growth looks poised to rebound. “If the soft inflation data persist, […]

Aggressive Fed Could Upset Markets, Gold is the Hedge

Aggressive Fed Could Upset Markets, Gold is the Hedge

Aggressive Fed Could Upset Markets, Gold is the Hedge $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX, $GLD, $SLV The mins from this month’s FOMC meeting outline an aggressive agenda that may upset financial markets in the months ahead. Fed officials said the plan is cautious, and stocks rallied on the news. The Big Q: How safe should participants […]

FOMC Ties Rate Hikes to Economic Rebound

FOMC Ties Rate Hikes to Economic Rebound

FOMC Ties Rate Hikes to Economic Rebound The Fed (FOMC) policymakers agreed they should hold off on raising interest rates until they see evidence that a recent economic slowdown was transitory, mins from their 2-3 May policy meeting showed Wednesday. Nearly all policymakers at that meeting said they favored starting the wind-down of the Fed’s […]

US Stock Market Marks Record Highs

US Stock Market Marks Record Highs

US Stock Market Marks Record Highs $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The Big Q: Is the the US stock market rising because too much money is chasing too few opportunities? The Trump Trade, or investing in stocks in hopes that the President’s policies will boost economic growth, is not the main driver of this market, says […]

Market Finished at Record Highs, as The Trump Rally Extends

Market Finished at Record Highs, as The Trump Rally Extends

Market Finished at Record Highs, as The Trump Rally Extends $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Highlights of April’s US Employment Report The unemployment rate unexpectedly dropped to 4.4%, the lowest since May 2007, the US Labor Department data showed Friday The Spare capacity in the labor market is quickly disappearing, indicating that lackluster wage growth should […]

VIX (NYSEArca:VXX) Marks 10 yr Lows

VIX (NYSEArca:VXX) Marks 10 yr Lows

VIX (NYSEArca:VXX) Marks 10 yr Lows $VXX, $AUDUSD, $JPY, $EUR, $GBP After returning from the long May Day weekend, equity investors look undecided on whether to be Bullish or Bearish. Stocks across Asian markets were mixed Tuesday despite the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), Wall Street’s ‘Fear Factor’  hitting its lowest marks in a decade. The low volatility was reflected […]

Central Banks are Monetizing Stocks and Bonds

Central Banks are Monetizing Stocks and Bonds

Central Banks are Monetizing Stocks and Bonds $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $GLD, $SLV Following this market is an exercise in frustration.  Last week, DJIA (DOW) appeared ready to roll over.  I expected the Dow  to be closer to its -5% line than its -2.5% line at the close of this week. But, as you can see […]

Fed Minutes: FOMC Eyes Change to Debt Holdings Policy Ahead

Fed Minutes: FOMC Eyes Change to Debt Holdings Policy Ahead

Fed Minutes: FOMC Eyes Change to Debt Holdings Policy Ahead $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Most FOMC policymakers think the Fed should take steps to begin trimming its $4.5-T balance sheet later this year as long as the economic data holds up, minutes from their March meeting revealed. Uncertainty is substantial, the Fed said, comment on […]

FLASH: Shake Up At Fed, Lacker Out

FLASH: Shake Up At Fed, Lacker Out

FLASH: Shake Up At Fed, Lacker Out A controversy that has been percolating for years has finally boiled over with the immediate resignation of Richmond Fed President Jeffrey Lacker (non-FOMC voter). The Richmond Fed President does not vote this year and Mr. Lacker was already set to step down in October, so Tueday’s news is […]

They Call it “Monetary Policy”

They Call it “Monetary Policy”

They Call it “Monetary Policy” $DIA,  $SPY, $GLD,  $SLV The Dow Jones made its last all-time high on March 1st, and since then its valuation has been slowly deflating.  It closed this week only nine Dow Points away from breaking below its BEV -2.50% line in the chart below. After the amazing 32 new daily […]

Dubai: Gold Hits 2-Week High as USD Falls

Dubai: Gold Hits 2-Week High as USD Falls

Dubai: Gold Hits 2-Week High as USD Falls  $GLD Spot Gold price forecast to range between 1,228 and 1,247 oz Gold jewelry prices in Dubai spiked Monday, as the USD fell in the aftermath of the recent Fed dovish interest rate adjustment. Bullion retailed Monday by as much as Dh10/gram when compared to the prices […]

Inflation Back, Deflation Demons ‘Dead’, Growth Ahead

Inflation Back, Deflation Demons ‘Dead’, Growth Ahead

Inflation Back, Deflation Demons ‘Dead’, Growth Ahead $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The “Demons of Deflation” are in the dust-bin on a uptick in price pressures globally, prompting investors to seek protection in inflation-protected bonds. A year ago, it was deflation, falling prices that restrain consumer spending and economic growth that plagued investors and central banks, […]

FOMC Raised Rates, Yellen Not Worried About Downside Risks

FOMC Raised Rates, Yellen Not Worried About Downside Risks

FOMC Raised Rates, Yellen Not Worried About Downside Risks The FOMC raised interest rates Wednesday, a move spurred by steady economic growth, strong job gains and confidence that inflation is rising to the central bank’s target. The decision to lift the target overnight interest rate by 25 basis points to a range of 0.75 percent […]

Seeing a Base-Line Shift in Commodity Prices

Seeing a Base-Line Shift in Commodity Prices

Seeing a Base-Line Shift in Commodity Prices $DIA, $GLD, $SLV The US stock market, as measured by the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) (NYSEArca:DIA) seems to be at an inflection point.  It hasn’t seen a new all-time high since March 1st.  And for what it’s worth, trading volume (market demand) for the 30 blue-chip companies […]

Expect US Financial Market to Hold with DJIA 22,000 Possible

Expect US Financial Market to Hold with DJIA 22,000 Possible

Expect US Financial Market to Hold, DJIA 22,000 Next? $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The DJIA has risen about 14% since the November 8 Presidential election marking an  intrday high of 20,851.33. That’s within 6% of 22,000, the next round number (resistance) that investors and traders are looking at. “I think 22,000 is what is justified […]

Little Chance the Fed will “Snuff Out” Expansion Anytime Soon

Little Chance the Fed will “Snuff Out” Expansion Anytime Soon

Little Chance the Fed will “Snuff Out” Expansion Anytime Soon $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The Fed is unlikely to take actions that would “snuff out” the current US economic expansion anytime soon because inflation is not a problem, according to Federal Reserve Bank of New York President William Dudley. Tuesday, Mr. Dudley, in a speech […]

The “Shortened” Week Ahead on Wall Street

The “Shortened” Week Ahead on Wall Street

The “Shortened” Week Ahead on Wall Street $STZ, $MON, $WBA The US financial markets were closed Monday in observance of New Year’s Day. This week only 3 members of the S&P 500 are scheduled to report earnings to Wall Street: Constellation Brands, Inc. (NYSE:STZ), Monsanto Company (NYSE:MON) and Walgreens Boots Alliance Inc. (NYSE:WBA) Thursday.   […]

The US Stock Market Was Over Valued When the DJIA Was at 19,000, That Continues

The US Stock Market Was Over Valued When the DJIA Was at 19,000, That Continues

The US Stock Market Was Over Valued When the DJIA Was at 19,000, That Continues $DIA, $GLD, $SLV Just when you think you understand the rules of the game, someone changes them.  I’m talking about the relationship between the Dow Jones and its trading volume.  Last week I noted how since January 2000 the Dow […]

Bond Trader Signaling Coming Inflation

Bond Trader Signaling Coming Inflation

Bond Trader Signaling Coming Inflation The rout in the fixed-income arena deepened into the worst in 15 years as traders sounded the alarm on inflation amid speculation US President Elect Donald Trump’s spending pledges will boost economic growth. Yields on benchmark 10-year US Treasuries posted their steepest back-to-back weekly increase since Y 2001, and a bond-market […]

Let’s Focus on the DJIA

Let’s Focus on the DJIA

Let’s Focus on the DJIA $DIA Since the beginning of this week, the US stock market has been compressing between 2 converging H-4 trendlines at 18971 and 18808 respectively, forming a possible Bullish Pennant formation. This technical pattern is considered by most of us to be a continuation setup. Therefore, should the DJIA close above […]

The Week Ahead on Wall Street

The Week Ahead on Wall Street

The Week Ahead on Wall Street This week 130 members of the S&P 500 are scheduled to report earnings to Wall Street. Included in this group is DJIA component Pfizer (NYSE:PFE) Tuesday. The FOMC will hold a 2-day meeting starting Tuesday. The CME’s FedWatch Tool currently assigns a greater than 90% chance of interest rates remaining unchanged. […]

Investors Find Themselves in a Seller’s Market, October Surprise?

Investors Find Themselves in a Seller’s Market, October Surprise?

Investors Find Themselves in a Seller’s Market, October Surprise? $DIA, $DXY, $GLD, $USO, $GBPUSD Tuesday could be unofficially declared as the seller’s market across the financial arena with major equities and currencies all encountering heavy selling momentum during trading on Tuesday. The only asset class that to benefit was the Buck, which has spiked to 7-month […]

The Week Ahead on Wall Street

The Week Ahead on Wall Street

The Week Ahead on Wall Street $JPM, $C, $WFC, $PNC, $AA The US stock exchanges were open Monday, Columbus Day, even though it is a federal holiday. The 1st official week of Q-3 earnings features 4 banks: DJIA component JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) and S&P 500 members Citigoup (NYSE:C), PNC Financial Services Group (NYSE:PNC) and Wells […]

Fed Official Cautions Colleagues on Raising Interest Rates

Fed Official Cautions Colleagues on Raising Interest Rates

Fed Official Cautions Colleagues on Raising Interest Rates $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Federal Reserve Bank of New York President William Dudley suggested the central bank should be cautious in raising interest rates, given limits on its ability to respond to a recession with borrowing costs close to Zero meaning out of tools. Noting concerns from […]

The Bull Market in the Gold Mining Shares Has “Only Just Begun”

The Bull Market in the Gold Mining Shares Has “Only Just Begun”

The Bull Market in the Gold Mining Shares Has “Only Just Begun” $GLD, $SLV, $DB, $DIA, $DXY Tedious, that’s how I’d describe the stock market for the past 6 weeks.  Everything is on hold until Janet Yellen finds the courage to euthanize the bulls on Wall Street with a few rate hikes. It will be a […]

This Policy Stuff is Way Past its Expiration Date

This Policy Stuff is Way Past its Expiration Date

This Fed Policy Stuff is Way Past its Expiration Date $GLD, $SLV, $NUGT, $GDXJ, $GGGG As expected, the FOMC passed up another opportunity to raise their Fed Funds Rate this week.  With 2016 being an election year, and late September just a few weeks from the November election, how anyone could believe the Yellen Fed would […]

Key US Stock, Crude, Gold and Silver Markets Briefing

Key US Stock, Crude, Gold and Silver Markets Briefing

Key US Stock, Crude, Gold and Silver Markets Briefing $DIA, $OIL, $USO, $GLD, $SLV, $CU Commentary: Investors rejoiced again Thursday as Fed they digested Wednesday’s FOMC minutes . Stocks rose across the board with DJIA adding 0.8% and S&P 500 + 07% and the NAS Comp + .05% extending the Risk Rally. Precious metals also gained […]