S&P 500 Flat to Little Changed Ahead of FOMC’s Policy Decision

S&P 500 Flat to Little Changed Ahead of FOMC’s Policy Decision

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The latest fund manager survey from Bank of America showed the allocation to equities is at its lowest since September 2016 indicating that managed money missed the 2019 rally and will have to play catch up soon. The S&P 500 advanced 0.7% Tuesday, on Dovish expectations ahead of the […]

Expect Fed to Signal No Rate Hikes Anytime Soon

Expect Fed to Signal No Rate Hikes Anytime Soon

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Cyclical sectors outperformed, follow-through buying interest came in on no new catalysts. Boeing (NYSE:BA) and Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) extend losses on familiar story lines Patience is the FOMC’s focus now, signaling that it went too far last year with its 4 rate hikes, so no interest rate hikes likely soon. […]

The Rate Hike Holiday is Here!

The Rate Hike Holiday is Here!

US consumers expect prices to rise more slowly, according to the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, a decline in inflation expectations in February that likely reinforces policymakers’ reluctance to hike rates. It showed 1 and 3 year ahead inflation expectations were down 0.2 percentage points to 2.8% last month, with sharp declines in expected […]

Fed Engineered Market Correction Stripped Nearly $4-T from American’s Household Wealth

Fed Engineered Market Correction Stripped Nearly $4-T from American’s Household Wealth

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: This Bull Market is about to have its 10th Birthday! US household wealth fell 3.5% into the close of Y 2018 on the back of a Fed engineered stock market correction in Q-4 that threatened to weaken a near 10 year recovery. In its Quarterly Flow of Funds report, the […]

Few Reasons to End Fed’s ‘patient’ Stance on Rates

Few Reasons to End Fed’s ‘patient’ Stance on Rates

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Next Fed rate hike several FMOC meetings ahead With inflation muted, but other risks to the US economy on the rise, the Fed’s patience on policy is nowhere close to running out, with 1 previously Kawkish central banker Tuesday signaling he could wait until at least June before touching […]

Trump Policy: Overhaul the Fed!

Trump Policy: Overhaul the Fed!

When the Fed’s FOMC policymakers met last month and put it 3-year rate-hike campaign on hold and backed ending a yearlong push to shrink their $4-T balance sheet, that was draining the liquidity out of the system and shrinking the wealth of American house holds by the trillions of dollars, they cited increased risks to […]

The FOMC Minutes, What They Mean

The FOMC Minutes, What They Mean

FLASH: The Trump Policy at Work for Americans The Key takeaways from the FOMC Minutes from the 29-30 January meeting, as follows: There was widespread agreement for the FOMC to end shrinkage of the $4-T balance sheet by the end of the year. The timetable ends uncertainty over whether shedding assets would further tighten financial conditions. The […]

“No Need to Hike Rates Again”

“No Need to Hike Rates Again”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Trump Policy Traction, FOMC Minutes Due Wednesday Tuesday, New York Fed President John Williams said he is comfortable with the level US interest rates are at now, and sees no need to raise them again unless growth or inflation shift to an unexpectedly higher gear. In an interview with […]

Fed: Slowed Growth May Halt Any More Rate Hikes

Fed: Slowed Growth May Halt Any More Rate Hikes

Last month when the Fed adopted a new “patient” approach to monetary policy, it gave no specific guidance about how long its policy pause would last, or how many more interest-rate increases were ahead. Last week disappointing US retail sales and industrial production data raised the prospect that the US economy is slowing faster than […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold OffUSD FirmCrude Oil UpStocks Steady In Asia Note: China closed all week for the Lunar New Year Gold: Gold prices slipped Monday as risk aversion waned amid some signs of progress in US-China trade talks, while a firm USD kept bullion under pressure. Spot gold was down 0.4% at $1,313.01 oz by 0552 GMT US […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold OffUSD EasedCrude Oil SteadyStocks Up In Asia Gold: Gold fell Friday as investors sought riskier assets on optimism the United States and China ill reach a trade deal, although a pause in US interest rate hikes kept bullion on track for a 2nd weekly increase. Spot gold fell 0.3% to $1,316.95 oz at 0719 GMT. Prices […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold SteadyUSD EasedCrude Oil UpStocks Up In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) held its policy-setting meeting and stood pat with a very dovish tone. Officials from Washington and Beijing have launch a new round of trade talks aimed at resolving their disputes. Gold: A surge in gold purchases by central banks to the highest […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold HigherUSD EasedCrude Oil Off a BitStocks Flat to Little Change In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold its next policy-setting press conference on 30 January no hike expected. Officials from Washington and Beijing are set to launch a new round of trade talks on Wednesday aimed at resolving their disputes amid […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold SteadyUSD FlatCrude Oil SteadyStocks Higher In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold it next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. Gold: Gold price broke psyche resistance at 1300 oz Gold futures are hanging near 7-month highs at $1,302.2 oz. Spot gold was last at 1,304.19 after breaking above a the Key psych […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold SteadyUSD FlatCrude Oil downStocks Higher In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold it next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. Gold: Gold prices held steady Monday, near a 7-month peak scaled in previous session, on hopes the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged during its 2-day policy meeting this week. Spot gold […]

Treasury Traders Nervous

Treasury Traders Nervous

US treasury traders are bracing for heightened volatility next week as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ushers in a new era of press conferences after every meeting, while the US and China meet again for trade talks. The FOMC is expected to keep interest rates unchanged following the 9 hikes since Y 2015. But investors see […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold SteadyUSD FlatCrude Oil UpStocks Rise In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. Washington Thursday signaled it could impose sanctions on Venezuela’s Crude Oil exports as Caracas descends further into political and economic chaos. The US-China trade discussions will provide insight into how talks are […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold SteadyUSD FlatCrude Oil DownStocks Rise In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. China reported its lowest annual economic growth since Y 1990 and must stimulate, but its retail markets are expanding widely. China makes up 19% of the world’s economy, the slowdown this year […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold SteadyUSD FlatCrude Oil UpStocks Off In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. China reported its lowest annual economic growth since Y 1990 and must stimulate. Gold: Gold prices stood firm Wednesday on higher demand for safe-haven assets over concerns of slowing global economy and […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold OffUSD FlatCrude Oil DownStocks Off In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. China’s state planner Tuesday warned that the downward pressure on the economy will affect China’s job market as falling factory orders point to a further drop in activity in coming months and […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Up USD Soft Crude Oil Higher Stocks Up In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. UK PM May will return to Parliament Monday to set out how she plans to try to break the BREXIT deadlock after her deal was rejected by […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Steady USD Firm Crude Oil Higher Stocks Up In Asia Notes: A report Thursday saying that Washington was considering lifting some or all tariffs imposed on Chinese imports buoyed financial markets, including Crude Oil. The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. Gold: Spot gold was set for its 5th straight […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Steady USD Firm Crude Oil Lower Stocks Mixed In Asia Notes: Spot gold is about to exit a Neutral range of $1,285-$1,299, and either rise to $1,311 or drop towards $1,268. The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. Gold: Gold has gained for 5 weeks running, but prices have been […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Up USD Lower Crude Oil Steady Stocks Steady including Japan In Asia Notes: On the earnings front, US banks: Goldman Sachs (GS) will be in focus Wednesday Expectations are low with profits for US companies forecast to rise 6.4%, down from an 1 October estimate of 10.2% and a big fall from 2018’s tax cut-fueled gainer of more […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Steady USD Lower Crude Oil Up Stocks Higher including Japan In Asia Notes: On the earnings front, US banks are in sharp focus with Quarterly results from JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC), Goldman Sachs (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) this week. Monday, Citigroup (C) beat profit estimates. The bank’s shares rose 4.0% and bolstered the S&P financial […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Higher USD Lower Crude Oil Down Stocks Lower sans Japan In Asia Notes: On the earnings front, US banks are in sharp focus with Quarterly results from Citigroup (C) due Monday followed by JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC), Goldman Sachs (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) later in the week. Expectations are low with profits for US companies […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Higher USD Lower Crude Oil Down Stocks Higher sans Japan In Asia Gold: Gold prices climbed Friday as USD retreated on expectations the Fed will pause interest rate hikes if the US economy slows this year, while investors awaited news on progress in the US-Chinatrade talks. Spot gold rose 0.6% to $1,293.55 oz as at 0604 GMT, heading […]

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

Asia: Gold, USD, Crude Oil, Stocks & Commodities

$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Higher USD Lower Crude Oil Down Stocks Higher sans Japan In Asia Gold: Gold prices rose Thursday as expectations that the Fed will pause its rate tightening cycle this year. Spot gold was up 0.2% at $1,295.84 oz as of 0556 GMT, hanging near Friday’s at $1,298.42, a mark last seen in mid-June 2018. US gold futures gained […]

Fed Policymakers Voice Patience on Future Rate Hikes, Rally Extends

Fed Policymakers Voice Patience on Future Rate Hikes, Rally Extends

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Chicago Fed President Charles Evans (FOMC voter) expects rate hikes to continue, adding that the Fed can show some patience before resuming rate hikes. Boston Fed President (FOMC voter) Eric Rosengren does not rule out changes to the pace of balance sheet reduction on a slowdown. Fed policymakers said last […]

US Stocks Tapping at Bear Market Territory on Uncertainty

US Stocks Tapping at Bear Market Territory on Uncertainty

Stock Market’s Negative Reaction to Fed is “Overblown” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said Thursday that the negative stock market reaction following the Fed’s rate hike this week was “completely overblown.” Secretary Mnuchin said the stock market overreacted, with computerized program trading taking over and driving stock prices down further. […]

Market Looking for a Dovish Stance from the FOMC Wednesday

Market Looking for a Dovish Stance from the FOMC Wednesday

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The market is looking for a Dovish stance from the FOMC when it comes to its interest rate projections for Y 2019.  Everything will come into view at 2:00p EST Wednesday Investors in pain from a difficult year hope the Fed will align with President Trump’s ‘demand’ for dovishness in […]

President Trump Hammers Fed for “Even Considering Rate Hike”

President Trump Hammers Fed for “Even Considering Rate Hike”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Monday, just 2 days before the FOMC is expected to raise fed funds rates for a 4th time this year, President Trump and his Top trade adviser ratcheted up their criticism of the Fed’s monetary tightening. “It is incredible that with a very strong dollar and virtually no inflation, the […]

Steady, Sustainable US Economic Growth Means No Recession in Sight

Steady, Sustainable US Economic Growth Means No Recession in Sight

Steady, Sustainable US Economic Growth Means No Recession in Sight The November Employment Report Sustainable is good, job growth is finally trending. The Key Data: Payrolls: +155,000; 3-Month Average: 170,000; Private: +161,000; Revisions: -12,000; Hourly Wages: +0.2% Over-Year: +3.1% What it means: Job gains in November were below expectations. The idea we could sustain hiring […]

Fed to Signal Long Rate Hike ‘Pause’ at December FOMC Meeting

Fed to Signal Long Rate Hike ‘Pause’ at December FOMC Meeting

Fed to Signal Long Rate Hike ‘Pause’ at December FOMC Meeting President Donald Trump’s top economic adviser said he expects the Fed to pause its interest-rate increases for “quite some time” after a possible hike later this month. As Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) members prepare to meet on 18-19 December, “I think they’re signaling […]

US Economy Cools, Fed’s Powell Hints a Rate Halt in 2019

US Economy Cools, Fed’s Powell Hints a Rate Halt in 2019

US Economy Cools, Fed’s Powell Hints a Rate Halt in 2019 Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has laid out a scenario for a pause in the central bank’s interest-rate hiking campaign sometime next year by highlighting potential headwinds cooling the US economy. Wednesday, Chairman Powell listed 3 possible challenges to growth in Y 2019, they are; […]

FOMC Leaves Key Fed Funds Rate Unchanged

FOMC Leaves Key Fed Funds Rate Unchanged

FOMC Leaves Key Fed Funds Rate Unchanged Little reaction to the FOMC announcement, the major averages now trade little changed from their pre-FOMC release levels. The Fed has left its Key policy rate unchanged but signaled that it plans to keep responding to the strong US economy with more interest rate hikes. The next rate […]

Two Years In, President Trump Holds Stock Market Bragging Rights

Two Years In, President Trump Holds Stock Market Bragging Rights

Two Years In, President Trump Holds Stock Market Bragging Rights $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wednesday, US stocks rallied with broad gains led by the technology and healthcare sectors as investors made bets that a divided Congress would be good for equities. Democrats won control of the House Tuesday, while President Donald Trump’s Republican party […]

A 2019 Bear Market Event May Trigger a DJIA Move to 40,000

A 2019 Bear Market Event May Trigger a DJIA Move to 40,000

A 2019 Bear Market Event May Trigger a DJIA Move to 40,000 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $MTAFF, $GLGDF, $RGLD, $FNV,$WPM You may recall in January 2016, the DJIA was trading at the 16,000 mark, when Yves Lamoureux, President of macroeconomic research firm Lamoureux & Co., said DIA would top 25,000 within 3-4 years. It did not take […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Earnings: Over 20% of S&P 500 companies have reported, 72% have beat The Street estimates Market is concerned about the Fed overreacting, as it always does. China’s economy is in decline Halloween Market Week: Tricks & Treats The US stock market’s technical indicators suggest […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Earnings: 20% of S&P 500 companies have reported, 70% have beat The Street estimates The S&P 500, DJIA and NAS Comp held their 200-Day SMA’s Friday Market is concerned about the Fed overreacting, as it always does. China’s decline is feared, may decline further, […]

Fed’s Current Monetary Policy Raise the Risks of Recession

Fed’s Current Monetary Policy Raise the Risks of Recession

Fed’s Current Monetary Policy Raise the Risks of Recession President Trump has criticized recent Fed rate increases, arguing that they threatened economic growth. The Fed’s current monetary policy path would raise the risks of recession in an economy where recent, unexpectedly strong growth may start to taper anyway, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said […]

Fed Hawks Want to Chill Roaring US Economy

Fed Hawks Want to Chill Roaring US Economy

Fed Hawks Want to Chill Roaring US Economy Despite sharp criticism from President Donald Trump for raising interest rates, Fed policymakers remain generally united on the need to raise borrowing costs further, according to minutes from their most recent policy meeting. Every policymaker backed the Fed’s September rate increase, according to the minutes of the Sept. […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Monday, earnings season starts in earnest For now traders are playing an oversold bounce. But, if this is a relief move, the later you enter, the worse risk/reward.  So, be selective if you are adding more bounce plays. Also, look at some areas receiving […]

US Economy Experiencing “Extraordinary Times”, Outlook Strong

US Economy Experiencing “Extraordinary Times”, Outlook Strong

US Economy Experiencing “Extraordinary Times”, Outlook Strong Tuesday, US Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said Tuesday that he sees no need to drop the central bank’s current gradual approach to raising interest rates. Chairman Powell said the combination of steady, low inflation and very low unemployment shows the country is going through “extraordinary times.” The Fed […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX The market’s focus this week: new money, earnings season, and the jobs report Friday. September was not a Southside month this year, solid but not huge. So many participants are expecting a selloff in October. It may happen, though it did not happen last year after a […]

Fed Hikes, Removes ‘Dovish’ Language from Policy Statement

Fed Hikes, Removes ‘Dovish’ Language from Policy Statement

Fed Hikes, Removes ‘Dovish’ Language from Policy Statement $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The FOMC increased short-term interest rates Wednesday, as expected, raising the fed funds target range by 25 bpts to 2.00-2.25%. The move reflected an upbeat assessment of the economy that was identical to the central bank’s last policy statement 8 weeks ago, […]

OPEC of ‘Ripping Off’ World, President Trump Calls for Lower Crude Oil Prices

OPEC of ‘Ripping Off’ World, President Trump Calls for Lower Crude Oil Prices

OPEC of ‘Ripping Off’ World, President Trump Calls for Lower Crude Oil Prices $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $USO, $OIL Tuesday, US President Donald Trump accused members of the OPEC cartel of “ripping off” the world, as he called for a lowering of energy prices. “The United States stands ready to export our abundant affordable […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX The market’s focus this week FOMC meets on Tuesday and Wednesday to talk a rate hike and more trade issues with China, Canada, and the EU. The heavy pressure is on China now. Then there is The Trump Administration’s feelings toward social media and WH […]

Gold Dips on News of Resumed US-China Trade Talks

Gold Dips on News of Resumed US-China Trade Talks

Gold Dips on News of Resumed US-China Trade Talks $GLD, $SLV, $USD Gold pared gains as China became a focus point again The possible progress in the trade dispute pressured the USD. Gold prices dipped Thursday as investors purchased riskier assets instead of seeking a safe-haven in gold, on news a new round of US-China […]

The Trump Effect: Low Unemployment Makes Economy ‘as Good as it Gets’

The Trump Effect: Low Unemployment Makes Economy ‘as Good as it Gets’

The Trump Effect: Low Unemployment Makes Economy ‘as Good as it Gets’ $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Current economic conditions are “as good as it gets” for the Fed, a Key policymaker said Thursday. Looking ahead, investors will receive the Employment Situation report for August Friday, the consensus expecting an increase of 187,000 in NFPs, an […]

Fed’s FOMC Votes 8-0 to Leave Fed Fund’s Rate Unchanged 

Fed’s FOMC Votes 8-0 to Leave Fed Fund’s Rate Unchanged 

Fed’s FOMC Votes 8-0 to Leave Fed Fund’s Rate Unchanged $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RTUX, $VXX The FOMC left the benchmark interest rate unchanged, and reiterating their plan to gradually lift borrowing costs to keep the economy expanding at a healthy pace. Economic activity has been “rising at a strong rate,” and the unemployment rate “has […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX Looking at the major US stock market action as President Trump  bears down hard on trade issues, focuses on SCOTUS pick, teeing up NATO demands and the Putin Summit. The market will tell us now if the Key moves Thursday and Friday on moderate volume will hold […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX Looking at the major US stock market action as President Trump  continues coming down hard on trade issues, and NATO next. Over the past few weeks we have a lot of pundit chatter about a market top, and stocks sold into the test during that frame. Notably, new […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX Looking at the major US stock market action President Trump  coming down hard in trade issues, the The Congress’ continuing dust up with the DOJ and FBI. S&P 500, DJIA posted oversold bounces as growth was favored for a 2nd session running Some new areas are attracting money […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX Looking at the major US stock market action in light of the recent NKorean peace summit, no US-China trade war, and President Trump the The Congress’ harangue with the DOJ and FBI. US, China trade tariffs; market held up well. Economic data good not great, better coming […]

US Economy Growing at 4.8% Annual Rate

US Economy Growing at 4.8% Annual Rate

US Economy Growing at 4.8% Annual Rate The US economy is growing at a 4.8% annualized rate in Q-2, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow forecast model showed Thursday, following data that showed domestic retail sales grew at its strongest pace in 6 months in May. The latest estimate on gross domestic product growth was faster […]

FOMC Acknowledges Growing Inflation Ending Crisis-Era Guidance

FOMC Acknowledges Growing Inflation Ending Crisis-Era Guidance

FOMC Acknowledges Growing Inflation Ending Crisis-Era Guidance $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The Fed raised it overnight fed funds rates Wednesday shifting from policies used to battle the 2007-2009 financial crisis and recession. In raising its benchmark overnight lending rate a 1/4 bpt to a range of between 1.75 and 2%, the FOMC dropped its […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX Looking at the major US stock market action in light of NKorea peace talks, no US-China trade war, and the keep’em guessing shambles President Trump left the Canadian G7 Summit in. Thursday was a bit dicey in the US for the NAS Comp, but it recovered […]

US Labor Market Tightens, Jobless Claims Fall

US Labor Market Tightens, Jobless Claims Fall

US Labor Market Tightens, Jobless Claims Fall $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits fell last week, pointing to a further tightening in labor market conditions. The robust US labor market and firming inflation have cemented expectations the Fed will raise interest rates next week at the FOMC meeting. […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX Looking at the major US stock market indexes in light of looming Korea peace no US-China trade war and the current NFPs. Note: Former US President Barack Hussein Obama, though he likes to take credit, did not set the economy up for this super recovery, what […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX Looking at the major US stock market indexes in light of looming Korea peace and no US-China trade war. Overall, last week saw the major US stock market indices holding their ranges, trying but not breaking out, RUTX will try harder this week. There are solid […]

Forex Morning Briefing

Forex Morning Briefing

Forex Morning Briefing $DXY, $EUR, $GBP, $JPY Commentary: Nothing new. PE US Dollar (.DXY) Index at 94.347 tested support near 93.86, then bounced to 94.50, thus testing resistance trendline. If breaks support near 94.10 in here, then see 93.6, which should then produce a bounce for a test at 95, seeing the cap at 95.00-95.65. EUR (Euro) at […]

Forex Morning Briefing

Forex Morning Briefing

Forex Morning Briefing $DXY, $EUR, $GBP, $JPY Commentary: Nothing new. PE The US Dollar (.DXY) Index at 93.921 tested support at 93.6 Thursday. While trading above 93.7, it should test at 94 again and then perhaps to 94.2-94.4, them dip to 94. The Northside cap is 95.00-95.65. EUR (Euro) at 1.1710 rose to 1.175 Thursday and dipped, may see […]

President Trump, “Big news coming for American Autoworkers”

President Trump, “Big news coming for American Autoworkers”

President Trump, “Big news coming for American Autoworkers” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX US President Donald Trump said that “big news” was coming that would be welcomed by US auto workers, and he suggested it was somehow linked to NAFTA trade talks. “There will be big news coming soon for our great American Autoworkers. After many […]

Forex Morning Briefing

Forex Morning Briefing

Forex Morning Briefing $DXY, $EUR, $GBP, $JPY Commentary: Nothing new. PE The US Dollar (.DXY) Index at 93.65 tested support at 93.29 Tuesday and now seems to be rising from there back towards 94. A deeper correction towards the 5 Wk MA 93.0-93.5 is on the cards, which might happen after a retest of 94. If so, the Northside target at 95 […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ Looking at the major US stock market indexes in light of no US-China trade war. The Major Market Futures as of this writing S&P 500 SPC1 Jun 18 $2,728.80 +15.80 +0.58% NAS 100 Future NQC1 Jun 18 $6,923.75 +49.75 +0.72% Last Friday, the major US stock market indices were […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Looking at the major US stock market indexes technically The major US stock market indexes made good on Key reversals last week, moving through the near near term resistance. The pause to refresh Friday was on the cards, and a couple of days rest works to […]

Forex Morning Briefing

Forex Morning Briefing

Forex Morning Briefing $DXY, $EUR, $GBP, $JPY Commentary: Pressure on the Buck. PE US Dollar (.DXY) Index -0.4% to 92.70 $EURUSD +0.58% at 1.1921 $GBPUSD -0.18% to 1.3518 $USDCHF -0.21% to 1.0027 $USDJPY -0.27% to 109.41 $USDCNY -0.23% to 6.344 US Consumer Price Index (CPI) increased 0.2% in April, less than the 0.3% rise projected. Naturally, there […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Looking at the major US stock market indexes technically Last week we saw break North off of support in the patterns or at the trend-lines. Volume just OK, good breadth on the move. Let’s see if  they can hold the moves. DJIA marked a doji Thursday […]

Some FOMC Voting Members Have Open Minds on Rate Hikes

Some FOMC Voting Members Have Open Minds on Rate Hikes

Some FOMC Voting Members Have Open Minds on Rate Hikes $SPY Two Fed officials who are currently voting members of the FOMC rate-setting body said Friday they were keeping an open mind on the total number of interest rate rises needed this year. San Francisco Fed President John Williams and Atlanta Fed President Raphael Bostic […]

FOMC Stands Pat on Interest Rates, Focus Now on June Meeting

FOMC Stands Pat on Interest Rates, Focus Now on June Meeting

FOMC Stands Pat on Interest Rates, Focus Now on June Meeting $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The Fed policy makers held interest rates steady Wednesday and expressed confidence that a recent rise in inflation to near the central bank’s 2% target would be sustained, leaving it on track to raise borrowing costs in June. The Fed’s […]

US Consumer Prices Rise, Inflation Ahead

US Consumer Prices Rise, Inflation Ahead

US Consumer Prices Rise, Inflation Ahead $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX US consumer prices (PCE) rose March YTD, with a measure of underlying inflation moving to the Fed’s 2% target. Monday, the rise in the annual inflation gauges reported by the Commerce Department was seen by economists and Fed officials, it is not expected to alter the gradual […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX This market cannot make much of strong earnings report. The NAS Comp gaped up over 115 points, gave it back. Fairly goo Bullish stock index patterns remain but upside is used to sell aka distribution. Good patterns in lots of stocks and sectors are failing to provide […]

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