Bond Trader Signaling Coming Inflation

Bond Trader Signaling Coming Inflation






Bond Trader Signaling Coming Inflation The rout in the fixed-income arena deepened into the worst in 15 years as traders sounded the alarm on inflation amid speculation US President Elect Donald Trump’s spending pledges will boost economic growth. Yields on benchmark 10-year US Treasuries posted their steepest back-to-back weekly increase since Y 2001, and a bond-market […]






Let’s Focus on the DJIA

Let’s Focus on the DJIA






Let’s Focus on the DJIA $DIA Since the beginning of this week, the US stock market has been compressing between 2 converging H-4 trendlines at 18971 and 18808 respectively, forming a possible Bullish Pennant formation. This technical pattern is considered by most of us to be a continuation setup. Therefore, should the DJIA close above […]






The Week Ahead on Wall Street

The Week Ahead on Wall Street






The Week Ahead on Wall Street This week 130 members of the S&P 500 are scheduled to report earnings to Wall Street. Included in this group is DJIA component Pfizer (NYSE:PFE) Tuesday. The FOMC will hold a 2-day meeting starting Tuesday. The CME’s FedWatch Tool currently assigns a greater than 90% chance of interest rates remaining unchanged. […]






Investors Find Themselves in a Seller’s Market, October Surprise?

Investors Find Themselves in a Seller’s Market, October Surprise?






Investors Find Themselves in a Seller’s Market, October Surprise? $DIA, $DXY, $GLD, $USO, $GBPUSD Tuesday could be unofficially declared as the seller’s market across the financial arena with major equities and currencies all encountering heavy selling momentum during trading on Tuesday. The only asset class that to benefit was the Buck, which has spiked to 7-month […]






The Week Ahead on Wall Street

The Week Ahead on Wall Street






The Week Ahead on Wall Street $JPM, $C, $WFC, $PNC, $AA The US stock exchanges were open Monday, Columbus Day, even though it is a federal holiday. The 1st official week of Q-3 earnings features 4 banks: DJIA component JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) and S&P 500 members Citigoup (NYSE:C), PNC Financial Services Group (NYSE:PNC) and Wells […]






Fed Official Cautions Colleagues on Raising Interest Rates

Fed Official Cautions Colleagues on Raising Interest Rates






Fed Official Cautions Colleagues on Raising Interest Rates $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Federal Reserve Bank of New York President William Dudley suggested the central bank should be cautious in raising interest rates, given limits on its ability to respond to a recession with borrowing costs close to Zero meaning out of tools. Noting concerns from […]






The Bull Market in the Gold Mining Shares Has “Only Just Begun”

The Bull Market in the Gold Mining Shares Has “Only Just Begun”






The Bull Market in the Gold Mining Shares Has “Only Just Begun” $GLD, $SLV, $DB, $DIA, $DXY Tedious, that’s how I’d describe the stock market for the past 6 weeks.  Everything is on hold until Janet Yellen finds the courage to euthanize the bulls on Wall Street with a few rate hikes. It will be a […]






This Policy Stuff is Way Past its Expiration Date

This Policy Stuff is Way Past its Expiration Date






This Fed Policy Stuff is Way Past its Expiration Date $GLD, $SLV, $NUGT, $GDXJ, $GGGG As expected, the FOMC passed up another opportunity to raise their Fed Funds Rate this week.  With 2016 being an election year, and late September just a few weeks from the November election, how anyone could believe the Yellen Fed would […]






Key US Stock, Crude, Gold and Silver Markets Briefing

Key US Stock, Crude, Gold and Silver Markets Briefing






Key US Stock, Crude, Gold and Silver Markets Briefing $DIA, $OIL, $USO, $GLD, $SLV, $CU Commentary: Investors rejoiced again Thursday as Fed they digested Wednesday’s FOMC minutes . Stocks rose across the board with DJIA adding 0.8% and S&P 500 + 07% and the NAS Comp + .05% extending the Risk Rally. Precious metals also gained […]






Key US Stock, Crude, Gold and Silver Markets Briefing

Key US Stock, Crude, Gold and Silver Markets Briefing






Key US Stock, Crude, Gold and Silver Markets Briefing $DIA, $OIL, $USO, $GLD, $SLV, $CU Commentary: Investors rejoiced as Fed stood pat and left the office policy interest rate unchanged. Stocks rose across the board with DJIA and S&P 500 indices adding +0.9% and +1.09% respectively. Precious metals also gained on USD weakness. The benchmark COMEX Gold […]






Divided FOMC Stood Pat on Rates, Tone “Hawkish”

Divided FOMC Stood Pat on Rates, Tone “Hawkish”






Divided FOMC Stood Pat on Rates, Tone “Hawkish” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX A divided Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) left the fed funds rate unchanged for a 6th meeting running, saying it would wait for “more evidence of progress toward its goals”, while projecting that an increase is likely by year-end. “Near-term risks to the […]






Key US Stock, Crude, Gold and Silver Markets Briefing

Key US Stock, Crude, Gold and Silver Markets Briefing






Key US Stock, Crude, Gold and Silver Markets Briefing $DIA, $OIL, $USO, $GLD, $SLV, $CU Commentary: US stocks saw choppy trade again Tuesday, and it is likely we will see some volatility after the BOJ and the FOMC policy announcements Wednesday. PE FLASH: From the BOJ minutes “Quantitative and Qualitative Monetary Easing with Yield Curve Control” […]






Expecting US Fed to Include “Hawkish” No-hike Language in Policy Statement

Expecting US Fed to Include “Hawkish” No-hike Language in Policy Statement






Expecting US Fed to Include “Hawkish” No-hike Language in Policy Statement $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The US Fed will not raise interest rates when it meets this week, but the FOMC will include “Hawkish” no-hike language in policy statement, said Jeffrey Gundlach, CEO of DoubleLine Capital. Mr. Gundlach said Fed officials “want to be able […]






Key US Stock, Crude, Gold and Silver Markets Briefing

Key US Stock, Crude, Gold and Silver Markets Briefing






Key US Stock, Crude, Gold and Silver Markets Briefing $DIA, $OIL, $USO, $GLD, $SLV, $CU Commentary: Waiting for the BOJ and FOMC meets trade as we saw Monday was/is choppy. PE DJIA at 18120.17 declined slightly Monday on choppy trade ahead of the US Fed policy announcement Wednesday. Major support of 18000-17850 continues to hold strong, some […]






The Week Ahead on Wall Street

The Week Ahead on Wall Street






The Week Ahead on Wall Street $FDX, $LEN, $GIS, $AZO On the Earnings Front Announcing earnings this week to Wall Street are S&P 500 members Adobe Systems (ADBE), FedEx Corp. (NYSE:FDX) and Lennar Corp. (NYSE:LEN) Tuesday; Bed Bath & Beyond (BBBY), CarMax (KMX), General Mills (NYSE:GIS) and Red Hat (RHT) on Wednesday; and AutoZone (NYSE:AZO) Thursday. On […]






Extreme Volatility and Market Breadth Seen in Coming Days

Extreme Volatility and Market Breadth Seen in Coming Days






Extreme Volatility and Market Breadth Seen in Coming Days $DIA, $GLD, $SLV There was some excitement Tuesday, as the Dow Jones was down 1.41% and the NYSE saw a day of extreme breadth.  But the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) recovered from its early week losses, and ended the week higher than last Friday’s close.  The […]






Muni Bond Yields & Barron’s Confidence Index

Muni Bond Yields & Barron’s Confidence Index






Muni Bond Yields & Barron’s Confidence Index $DIA, $GLD, $SLV Finally, after two months the stock market saw a little excitement last Friday; the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) almost broke below 18,000 at the close. Two “policy makers” said FOMC “policy” isn’t market driven; that they may actually increase their Fed Funds Rate: twice […]






The US Fed has Not Delivered on the Economy

The US Fed has Not Delivered on the Economy






The US Fed has Not Delivered on the Economy The US Fed is stuck to actions devised by Ben S. Bernanke that have not worked to restore strong economic growth since the Great Recession The US central bank’s adherence to the idea that unemployment and weak demand can be cured with policies that encourage consumers, businesses and governments […]






Fed ‘Beige-Book, “US Economy Has Slowed”

Fed ‘Beige-Book, “US Economy Has Slowed”






Fed’s ‘Beige-Book, “US Economy Has Slowed” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The economy grew at a slowed pace this past Summer in 8 of the Federal Reserve’s 12 US  districts, a slowdown from prior reports that will make US Fed policymakers cautious about an interest rate hike anytime soon. The Fed’s ‘Beige Book’ survey of business […]






Weak NFPs Signals No Fed Rate Hike in September

Weak NFPs Signals No Fed Rate Hike in September






Weak NFPs Signals No Fed Rate Hike in September $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, VXX August Employment Situation and July Trade Deficit: NFPs: 151,000; Private Sector: 126,000; Unemployment Rate; 4.9% Unch; Hourly wages: +0.1%/ Trade Deficit: $5.2-B narrower Commentary: Given how robust job gains were in June and July, the weak August increase halted the FOMC actions. If […]






Yellen Will Not Fail To Deliver Support to Financial Markets

Yellen Will Not Fail To Deliver Support to Financial Markets






Yellen Will Not Fail To Deliver Support to Financial Markets $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) predicts the US Fed will forgo raising interest rates in September and in December, and Janet Yellen, and the other Fed policy makers said nothing in Jackson Hole, WY, to change the firm’s outlook. US Treasuries pared a […]






The US Government’s Economic Growth Numbers are Wrong

The US Government’s Economic Growth Numbers are Wrong






The US Government’s Economic Growth Numbers are Wrong Harvard Economist Martin Feldstein warned Friday that the US government’s measure of economic growth is always wrong, regardless of the official number. The US economy grew less than previously reported last Quarter on lower government outlays and a bigger depletion of inventories, capping a sluggish 1-H performance […]






The Week Ahead on Wall Street

The Week Ahead on Wall Street






The Week Ahead on Wall Street $HD, $CSCO, $WMT, $LOW, $TGT Earnings season winds down, just 20 members of the S&P 500 report to Wall Street this week. Included are DJIA members Home Depot (NYSE:HD) Tuesday, Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:CSCO) Wednesday and Wal-Mart Stores (NYSE:WMT) Thursday. Some other retailers will also report to Wall Street, including: […]






Gold Strong on US Fed Uncertainty and BOJ’s Stimulation

Gold Strong on US Fed Uncertainty and BOJ’s Stimulation






Gold Strong on US Fed Uncertainty and BOJ’s Stimulation $GLD, $SLV After Wednesday’s FOMC statement Gold fell on mildly Hawkish notes of the statement. Then, as the markets digested the Fed’s characteristically non-committal comments that gave no indication as to the potential timing of a future rate hike, the precious Yellow metal surged on the […]






Fed’s Economic Downgrade Helps Donald Trump, Hurts Hillary Clinton

Fed’s Economic Downgrade Helps Donald Trump, Hurts Hillary Clinton






Fed’s Economic Downgrade Helps Donald Trump, Hurts Hillary Clinton The FOMC did not (could not) raise interest rates, but it signaled a new turn for the US economy, South. Wednesday, the US Fed downgraded its economic outlook for the rest of this year, which will impact the Presidential election if the forecast is right. In […]






EURUSD Technical Outlook (Daily)

EURUSD Technical Outlook (Daily)






EURUSD Technical Outlook (Daily) Euro $EURUSD EURUSD: Forex markets were thin at the beginning of the day, with the USD easing alongside with risk averse sentiment, and the single currency recovering up to 1.1244, ahead of the US FOMC meeting policy announcement. Once again, the Fed delayed a rate hike, and the USD dove Vs […]






Wednesday’s Technical Outlook for DJIA (.DJI)

Wednesday’s Technical Outlook for DJIA (.DJI)






Wednesday’s Technical Outlook for DJIA (.DJI) $DIA, $DJI Wall Street fell for a 4rd day running, as investors continue to run from equities and rushed into safe havens asset due to a negative mood triggered by increasing Brexit fears persisted all through this Tuesday. Wall Street edged lower, although US indexes trimmed half of their daily […]






EURUSD Technical Outlook (Daily)

EURUSD Technical Outlook (Daily)






EURUSD Technical Outlook (Daily) Euro $EURUSD EURUSD: The USD rose Vs most of its peers, but not those considered safe havens, CHF and JPY, as market’s negative mood prevailed. The EUR and the GBP suffered, with EUR down towards 1.1200, about  50 pips away from the pre-US NFPs report which triggered these last days’ Bullish run, […]






The Week Ahead on Wall Street

The Week Ahead on Wall Street






The Week Ahead on Wall Street $KR, $ORCL Just 2 members of the S&P 500 are scheduled to report earnings to Wall Street this week: The Kroger Co. (NYSE:KR), and Oracle Corp. (NASDAQ:ORCL). Both announce their results Thursday. US Fed’s FOMC Meeting The US Fed’s Open Market Committee (FOMC) will hold a 2-day meeting, beginning […]






EURUSD Technical Outlook (Daily)

EURUSD Technical Outlook (Daily)






EURUSD Technical Outlook (Daily) Euro $EURUSD EURUSD: The EURUSD pair traded flat for a 2nd day running, stuck around the 50% Fibo retracement of its May decline, the price zone reached after the grim US NFPs report put the Buck in selloff mode. Tuesday, the pair held within Monday’s range, as a thin economic calendar did […]






Summer Investment Strategy, Play Defense

Summer Investment Strategy, Play Defense






Summer Investment Strategy, Play Defense $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX As we enter this Summer trading season the big Wall Street traders head to The Hampton’s to vacation their trading positions laid out and staked. This year we are dealing with sluggish trading season, and an all but stalled global economy too. Notably, Eurozone business growth […]






EURUSD Technical Outlook (Daily)






EURUSD Technical Outlook (Daily) Euro $EURUSD EURUSD: The week started with thin trading volumes, and with the Buck paring the upward momentum triggered by FOMC Mins. The single currency traded modestly lower, briefly falling below the 1.1200  mark Vs the USD, and holding near the mark into the close. Data coming from Europe was mixed, as […]






Monday’s Technical Outlook for DJIA (.DJI)

Monday’s Technical Outlook for DJIA (.DJI)






Monday’s Technical Outlook for DJIA (.DJI) $DIA, $.DJI Wall Street bounced Friday, with the DJIA adding 65 points or 0.38% to end at 17,500.94, down for a 4th week running. The benchmark index got hit by FOMC’s Hawkish Mins, but as most worldwide indexes, shrugged concerns over upcoming events and rose on the back of […]






Thursday’s Technical Outlook for DJIA (.DJI)

Thursday’s Technical Outlook for DJIA (.DJI)






Thursday’s Technical Outlook for DJIA (.DJI) $DIA, $.DJI Wall Street closed mostly flat Wednesday, with the DJIA up down by 4 pts or 0.02% at 17,526.62. The NAS Comp added 0.50% to close at 4.739.12, and the S&P 500 added 0.2%, to 2,047.63. Stocks fell after the release of the latest FOMC Mins, showing higher […]






HeffX-LTN FX Report (Daily)






HeffX-LTN FX Report (Daily) $EURUSD, $GBPUSD, $USDJPY, $USDCHF, $AUDUSD, $NZDUSD The USD trimmed gains but remained supported Vs the other peer currencies Wednesday, as FX investors became more cautious ahead of the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s most recent policy meeting due later in the day. USDJPY climbed 0.49% to 109.68. FX market participants were […]






June Fed Interest Rate Hike In Sight

June Fed Interest Rate Hike In Sight






June Fed Interest Rate Hike In Sight $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The US Fed officials said it would appropriate to raise interest rates in June if economic data points to stronger Q-2 growth as well as firming inflation and employment, according to the FOMC mins from their policy meeting in April. That view suggests the […]






EURUSD Technical Outlook (Daily)






EURUSD Technical Outlook (Daily) Euro $EURUSD EURUSD: Trading was erratic around the single currency Tuesday confined to a 50 pips’ range. The Buck closed lower across the board, as an uptick in US inflation was not enough to dispel doubts over the next Fed’s rate hike. US headline inflation rose from 0.9% Y-Y to 1.1% Y-Y […]






The Week Ahead on Wall Street

The Week Ahead on Wall Street






The Week Ahead on Wall Street $HD, $CSCO, $WMT Earnings season is winding down; 23 members of the S&P 500 are scheduled to report to Wall Street this week. 3 DJIA components are included: Home Depot (NYSE:HD) Tuesday, Cisco Systems (NASDAQ:CSCO) Wednesday, and Wal-Mart Stores (NYSE:WMT) Thursday. Economic Reports The week’s 1st economic reports of […]






Looking at Equity Markets for Economic Signals is a “Mistake”

Looking at Equity Markets for Economic Signals is a “Mistake”






Looking at Equity Markets for Economic Signals is a “Mistake” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Volatility in stocks and bonds was part of the FOMC’s consideration for slowing interest rate increases in February. Now a Fed economist attached to the central bank’s Dallas branch says that “relying on the equity market for economic signals is a […]






Technical Analysis for EURUSD (Daily)






Technical Analysis for EURUSD (Daily) Euro $EURUSD EURUSD The US Fed (FOMC), the Bank of Japan (BOJ) decided to stay the course, with Mr. Kuroda saying they need more time to assess the effects of negative rates. The EURUSD pair, despite reaching a WTD high at 1.1367, was unable to benefit, as data coming from […]






Thursday’s Technical Outlook for the DJIA (.DIA)

Thursday’s Technical Outlook for the DJIA (.DIA)






Thursday’s Technical Outlook for the DJIA (.DIA) $DIA, $.DJI The DJIA rose 51 points, or 0.28%, to 18,041.55 after the no tell FOMC policy announcement. The SP 500 gained 3 pts, or 0.16%, to 2,095.15, the NAS Comp lost 25 points, or 0.51%, to close at 4,863.14 as Apple Inc. (NASDAQ:AAPL) shares dove on its […]






Technical Analysis for EURUSD (Daily)






Technical Analysis for EURUSD (Daily) Euro $EURUSD EUR/USD Currency trading was limited ahead of the FOMC policy results, the committee reiterated that it will probably raise rates at a gradual pace. The US Fed’s statement failed to clearly indicate an upcoming rate hike, and chances have diminished for a move during the June meeting. After […]






FOMC Keeps Threat of Interest Rate Hike “In the Mix”

FOMC Keeps Threat of Interest Rate Hike “In the Mix”






FOMC Keeps Threat of Interest Rate Hike “In the Mix” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Wednesday afternoon, the US Fed kept interest rates unchanged, and indicated their confidence in the anemic US economy, thus keeping the door open to a hike in June. The FOMC said the labor market had improved despite a recent economic slowdown […]






Technical Analysis for EURUSD (Daily)






Technical Analysis for EURUSD (Daily) Euro $EURUSD EUR/USD Major currencies’ pairs are mostly stable in Asia ahead of the upcoming Central Bank’s (Fed, BOJ) events. The London opening brought some USD selling interest, with Buck weakening Vs most of its major peers, and accelerating its decline after the release of March US Durable Goods orders, […]






Tuesday’s Technical Outlook for DJIA (.DJI)

Tuesday’s Technical Outlook for DJIA (.DJI)






Tuesday’s Technical Outlook for DJIA (.DJI) $DIA, $.DJI US stocks finished lower Monday following a round of so-so earnings reports. The DJIA fell 26 pots, or – 0.15%, to 17,977.24. The S&P 500 fell 3 pts, or -0.18%, to 2,087.79, the NAS Comp lost 10 pts, or -0.21%, to 4,895.79. The DJIA fell as low […]






Technical Analysis for EURUSD (Daily)

Technical Analysis for EURUSD (Daily)






Technical Analysis for EURUSD (Daily) Euro $EURUSD EURUSD The majors currency pairs saw a lackluster Monday with little definitions, but the USD edged lower and the GBP outperformed due to diminishing fears over a Brexit. A light macro-economic calendar and some soft date in the US housing sector during the American afternoon led the Buck’s […]






The Week Ahead On Wall Street

The Week Ahead On Wall Street






The Week Ahead On Wall Street $AAPL, $BA, $CVX, $DD, $MMM, $PG, $UTX, $XOM This week about 200 members of the S&P 500 will report earnings to Wall Street. Included are DJIA components: Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) on Monday; 3M (NYSE:MMM), Du Pont (NYSE:DD) and Procter & Gamble (NYSE:PG) Tuesday On Wednesday, Boeing Co. (NYSE:BA) and United […]