#VIX #fear $VXX The Wall Street warriors have gone from cautioning over high volatility to fearing bets on stock swings are falling too Fasst. Strategists at Evercore ISI Tuesday joined calls last wk from their counterparts on The Street who said it is time to close bets that price moves for the largest US companies […]
#PresidentTrump #market #safehavens #risk #volatility #Fed #economy #portfolio $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $VIX “When financial assets move pari parsu, portfolio diversification becomes hard to achieve“– Paul Ebeling Since the advent of QE in Y 2008 safe-haven assets have become not much of a safe-haven. During that frame, we have seen unprecedented market moves with […]
#PresidentTrump #Fed #aid #relief #stimulus #covid #Democrats #election $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday, President Trump instructed aides to stop negotiating on another round of COVID-19 relief until after the election. He Tweeted that House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) was “not negotiating in good faith” and said he asked Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell focus before the election into confirming his Supreme Court nominee, Amy […]
#PresidentTrump #Powell #Fed #jobs #interest #rates $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VIX $VXX The US financial markets will be closed Monday for Labor Day Friday, Trump Fed Chairman Powell declared the the NFPs employment report for August was “a good one,“and reiterated that the FOMC will keep ultra-accommodative monetary policy (the Fed put) for years to […]
#Dow #USD $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX DJIA finished Friday in the Green, just about 3% off record closing high as stock market is on track for best August in 36 yrs, the .DXY fell 0.7% to 92.32, and the VIX declined 6.2% to 22.96 Friday, US stocks finished the week and day higher, capping […]
#WallStreet #Bullishishness #VIX #coronavirus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The fear on Wall Street is fading, as stocks continue their unprecedented Bull run in the midst of the global coronavirus chaos. The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX), or “fear gauge,” is near its lowest mark since late February and options markets are showing diminishing concerns of […]
$VIX $VXX $DBCVIX $USD $EUR Financial markets’ fear gauges are not flashing Red or yellow at a time of serious global turmoil, stirring investor doubts over whether the indexes are mispricing current and future volatility. Volatility gauges embedded in option markets are used by traders and investors to predict the market’s direction. They are also […]
#WallStreet #NYC #jobs #economy #technology $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Wall Street gained ground Monday and rising technology shares drove the NAS Comp to another record closing high. Q-2 earnings: 48 companies in the S&P 500 have posted results, with 77.1% of those beating consensus, according to Refinitiv data. In aggregate, analysts now expect S&P […]
$XAU $SPY $VIX $VXX The last few months have been super for the US stock market and for gold Few thought in March that the S&P 500 would be back above 3,000, the DJIA would be back above 25,000 and the NAS would mark new all-time highs in late June. As we roll into the Summer Doldrums there are signs of […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $BA $VXX President Trump says the US economy will be back and better than ever next year. Thursday, President Trump hammered the Fed after Fed Chairman Powell offered a grim outlook on the US economy, saying there is a “long road” ahead. “I see the numbers also, and do MUCH better […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $USD $GLD $VXX Thursday, the market opened in the Red as some profit-taking into April’s month-end happened. The market has been climbing that wall of worry the last few sessions improving the charts in all 3 major US stock market indexes, and thus turning all Key technical indicators Very Bullish. […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Big Q: Is the worst behind the stock market after a coronavirus-induced selloff? The Big A: We do not know for sure as officials attempt to restart economies from a self-imposed period of hibernation to curb the spread of the virus, but a chart pairing the infections of the […]
$IWM $RUTX, $VXX Market volatility has calmed since the extremes of mid-March, and recent moves may augur well for stocks. The Cboe Volatility Index, or VIX, closed below its 2nd-month future Monday for the 1st time since 21 February, going back to a typical reading. Since contracts dated further out tend to carry more uncertainty […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $IWM Small-caps, mid-caps, and most cyclical sectors outperformed the day. Market volatility has calmed since the extremes of mid-March, and recent moves may augur well for stocks. The Cboe Volatility Index, or VIX, closed below its 2nd-month future Monday for the 1st time since 21 February, going back to a […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $AAPL $MSFT Friday, the S&P 500 finished +1.4% on Friday, wrapping up a negative week on a positive note with buyers coming into the close as sellers faded. All 11 S&P 500 sector indexes finished in the Green, with IT leading at + 2.1% and materials rallied 1.5%. The tech […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin went on national TV Wednesday morning to assure markets that the federal government’s stimulus package is being rolled out smoothly amid the economic distress caused by measures to slow the spread of the coronavirus. The US stock market rallied Wednesday, confirming the technical buy signals seen […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday, the major US stock indexes finished flat to unchanged after cracking Key overhead resistances. Stocks gapped up at the open after markets across Asia and Europe had good action overnight. The sharply higher start was attributed to optimism about a potential plateau in coronavirus cases, but the Key indices […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The DJIA rallied 7.7% to start the trading week. Sentiment was boosted by encouraging signs that the COVID-19 outbreak may be improving. The DJIA (+7.7%) and Russell 2000 (+8.2%) set the pace, followed by the NAS Comp (+7.3%) and S&P 500 (+7.0%). The positive bias was formed overnight in the […]
$VXX $DIA $SPY $QQQ Investors are studying a wide range of technical indicators, from infection counts to more traditional indicators, for clues on the direction the markets will take in coming weeks as the pandemic caused by the novel coronavirus continues to spread. Some point to signs that the worst of the waterfall sell-off that […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Over the past 2 wks the DJIA experienced its best day since Y 1933, which came on 24 March when the index gained 11.37%, as well as its 2 worst days since the crash on October 1987, which came on 12 March and 16 March when it marked 1 day […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USD $JPY $VXX Friday, Ultra Long-term US T-Bond futures moved about 1.3 pts a day on average in January, were down more than 7 pts on the day and off 36 pts from Monday’s high. Italian sovereign debt had imploded. An index of costs to insure corporate debt with credit-default swaps […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX The Big Q: What is going on in this Stock Market? The Big A: A confluence of confusion aka lots of unknowns. I have been in the stock market since Y 1981, and like everyone else I know in this game, have not see this kind of action ever. What we […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $GLD $XAU $USO $VXX Wow, what a week it was, it really was! Technical Analysis: The move Thursday was not encouraging for a continued relief move, much less anything else. The Big Qs: Was it the end of the relief move? Would the jobs report help spring the move higher, given that […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Investors should ‘buy the dip’ in stocks because government and central bank policies will counter the economic blow of the spreading coronavirus, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) strategists who had previously told clients to trim risky bets. The outbreak and its economic implications are “the main source of […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last week Late Friday, the stock market put up a fight, on the close it was the worst week for equities since late Y 2008, as the S&P 500 (-0.8%) gave back 11.5% since the prior Friday, recording its 7th day running of losses, falling to its lowest level since […]
$SPY, $DIA, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $BAC, $UBS, Analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, described this Bull market as “primed for Q-1 2020 risk asset melt-up,” with the Fed and the ECB still providing ample support to portions of the market and economy that have shown some signs of softness aka printing money. UBS Global […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Friday, the 3 major US stock market indexes posted record closing highs and the S&P 500 registered a 5th straight week of gainers as investors brushed aside worries over the progress of US-China trade talks and as Walt Disney shares rose. The Cboe volatility index .VIX posted its lowest closing […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wednesday, President Trump targeted Fed policy as the reason for this recent market turmoil. In raising interest rates 4X last year “the Federal Reserve acted far too quickly, and now is very, very late,” in reversing itself and cutting borrowing costs, President Trump tweeted. “Too bad, so much to gain on […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US stocks rallied Tuesday after the White House announced that it will delay the 10% tariff rate for some items imported from China until 15 December. President Trump told reporters he wanted to delay the tariffs so consumers would not be hurt during the Christmas shopping season and said he […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Employment report showed solid jobs growth in July Major averages found buying support at 50-Day MAs INDUSTRY WATCH Strong: Real Estate, Utilities, Consumer Staples Weak: Information Technology, Energy, Materials The CBOE Volatility Index has come down from prior levels. Currently, the VIX is up 0.7 pts, or 4.4%, to 18.61. […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XAU, $GLD, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Last week we saw Wall Street stocks and Gold rally finishing a super June as the market climbed a wall of worries. The stock market has rallied significantly over the past 6 months. The Big Q: Is this Bull Run sustainable? The stock market has rallied […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XAU, $GLD, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Last week we saw Wall Street stocks and Gold rally hard finishing solid on Quad Witching on the Fed’s Dovish policy position declared Wednesday afternoon. We are in the 2nd longest Bull Market in history that began precisely at 1:00p ET on 9 March 2009, and according […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XAU, $GLD, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Last week we saw Wall Street stocks consolidate on light volume and the Fed signaled ‘Got Gold’ Mr. Market started seriously pricing in the possibility of interest rate cuts. To be fair, the signal came from the Top of the economic politburo that matters that being […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Last week we saw the best market week YTD This is another important week on Wall Street, after last week of released negativity, we will see how much power is left. The pattern suggest a roll over in here, but the Fed could/can/will change that. Expect Fed speakers to […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Friday saw S&P 500 and NAS break. Already Bearish in the rollovers, Friday they gapped below the 200-Day SMA. Broke the neckline in the head and shoulders Wednesday, held the 200-Day SMA that session and Thursday, ready to bounce. Then the next bad news and the 200-Day SMA […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: World stock markets were subdued as the US and UK exchanges were shuttered for national holidays. DJIA futures rose Monday night, along with S&P 500 futures and NAS futures. President Trump said Monday that Beijing “would like to make a deal,” but “we’re not ready” for a China trade […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Some analysts think there may not be enough leadership to move the market higher now. Savvy money is playing quality to the Northside. At the same time there are good Southside setups that we are watching carefully for the break South Southside action delivers fast gainers, but what falls […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US stocks sold off Monday, as trade tensions escalated after China retaliated with a tariff rate hike on US imports. The 2.4% drop in the S&P 500 in a broad-based effort to de-risk amid global growth concerns. Stocks sold off as US-China trade tensions escalated, China increased its tariff rate […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: US-China Trade News is now Old News, and No Deal makes No Difference, the Fed is the Key to stock action, buy the dips. Watching the Fed, and without a trade deal the fear of a slowdown will keep the Fed patience mode. The President and the Wall Street […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wall Street declines for 4th day running, finished near session highs President Trump firm on tariffs, driving concerns about the trade dispute with China The S&P 500 held its 50-Day MA at 2860 on the close The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), Wall Street’s ‘fear factor’ closed well off session highs […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The majority of wealthy American investors are optimistic about US stocks, but are still sitting huge piles of cash, according to a UBS Group AG survey. That positive outlook holds with 57% of the survey’s US respondents. The survey, conducted in March, targeted investors with at least $1-M in […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The ‘easy money’ is coming off of Q-4 Sell-off January produced returns worthy of an entire year. Russell 2000 +11.7% YTD NAS Comp +10.0% YTD S&P 500 +8.0% YTD DJIA +7.6% YTD So, if you were in cash at year end, got the buy signal on 26 December then […]
Buy the Dip: “Fed has the Market’s Back” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Investors should take advantage of this market pull back, the deepest in 3 years to position for a year-end rally as fears over Fed Hawkishness are likely overdone. While catalysts cited behind the Southside action ranged from peak earnings growth to trade […]
US Stock Broke Out Above Strong Resistances Extending the Longest Bull Run on Record $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX HeffX-LTN’s overall out look for the US equities market is Bullish Stocks rallied Thursday, the S&P 500 opened higher and extended gains into the afternoon, the benchmark index finished +0.8% off its session highs. The DJIA […]
US Market Indexes Tested Key Support and Reversed Again $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The major US stock market indexes for the 5th time in 6 sessions Wednesday to test Key support and bounced. The S&P 500 finished lower by 0.8% after being down as much as 1.3% intra-day. The DJIA and the NAS Comp […]
Traders Like Volatility, Investors Like Strong Earnings $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Stock investors are hoping a strong earnings season to restore the optimism that characterized equity markets last year. Traders are happy given the surge in volatility this year Analysts predict strong results results ahead with Q-1 S&P 500 profit growth on track to be […]
Arcane Financial Products That Track VIX Questioned $CBOE, $VXX, $CS, $NMR Wall Street’s most widely followed ‘fear gauge’ of future stock market volatility is being manipulated, causing billions of dollars in losses a year to unwary investors, a law firm representing an “anonymous whistleblower” alleged in a letter to US financial regulators and released Monday. […]
Insight into the Stock Markets’ ‘Quick’ Correction $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX As US stock markets conclude 1 of the worst weeks point-wise in history, below is a list of the Key things to know about the quick 9 day corrective action, as follows: It was driven by technicals, not fundamentals. The ongoing market correction does […]
Technically the Stock Market’s Volatility Looks Short Term $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX US equities reclaimed some losses for the week Friday in another volatile trading session. The S&P 500 gained 1.5% The DJIA gained 1.4% The NAS Comp gained 1.4% The Russell 2000 gained 1.0%. The S&P 500 covered a wide range of about 105 […]
US Stocks Hold Record Gains, as USD Declines $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Thursday, US stocks posted another gainer to finish at a fresh all-time high as gains in defensive shares offset declines sparked by Apple Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL). US Treasuries were flat, the USD fell on speculation the Fed will maintain its gradual approach to rate […]
Playing the VIX, a Fast Way to Loose Money $VXX, $SPY Warning: Betting against stock-market volatility is a recipe for investment disaster. Trading the benchmark S&P 500 (NYSEArca:SPY) Index and evaluating stocks on an individual basis, and not trying to outsmart the CBOE Volatility Index aka VIX, (NYSEARCA:VXX) a measure of expected stock volatility, aka […]
US Consumer Spending Up, Inflation Down, USD Falling $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX US consumer spending rose a bit in July and annual inflation increased at its slowest pace since late Y 2015, diminishing expectations of a Fed interest rate hike in December. Inflation remains low even as the labor market is near full employment, a […]
Stocks at All-time Highs, VIX Index Falls to 23-Year Lows $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The Trump Rally Extends Strong earnings boosted US stocks on Tuesday, driving the S&P 500 to a record high while also sending a popular options-based gauge of expected price volatility down to a more than 23-year low. The CBOE Volatility Index […]
The Trillion Dollar Trump Rally Extends for 6th Day Running, $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The S&P 500 and NAS Comp marked record closing highs Thursday, with the market propped up by gains in the consumer discretionary sector after strong reports from retailers. The discretionary index gained 0.9%, while the S&P 500 retail index was up 1.6%, […]
The VIX, Wall Street’s ‘Fear Gauge’ Marks 24-Yr Lows $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The VIX, a number figure that measures Wall Street’s volatility hit a 24-yr low Monday. According to the data today, the Chicago Board Option Exchange Index’s (CBOE) VIX, known as the fear gauge, hit 9.72. The fear gauge was at 9.70 on […]
VIX (NYSEArca:VXX) Marks 10 yr Lows $VXX, $AUDUSD, $JPY, $EUR, $GBP After returning from the long May Day weekend, equity investors look undecided on whether to be Bullish or Bearish. Stocks across Asian markets were mixed Tuesday despite the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), Wall Street’s ‘Fear Factor’ hitting its lowest marks in a decade. The low volatility was reflected […]
The 1st Quarter was Good for Stocks $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Q-1 of this year good for stocks as the S&P 500 climbed just over 5.5% during the frame. Mapping the move of the S&P 500 and the other major stock market indices over the last Q, we see that March was a different month […]
The “Trump Trade” is Still in the Market $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX It has been difficult for analysts to differentiate “Trump Rally Trades” from those stemming from reflation, and solid global economic indicators that suggest some basis for bond yields and stock values above the lows of Y 2016. The USD, sometimes a bellwether for […]
Contrarians See Trump Calmed S&P 500 VIX as Sell Signal $SPY, $VXX American investors are projecting that The Trump Administration will be the catalyst to boost corporate earnings going forward. They are betting that they are right. “Given the intensity of the political ferment in our country, the Zen-like calm of stock market investors is […]
Investors Tune Out “Noise” Focus on Economic Growth $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX So far during The Trump Era, the global markets are showing a low level of volatility, that despite the chaos and uncertainty that analysts warned his Presidential win would bring. Notably, the global economy’s growth is at its most steady and predictable for […]
The Volatility (VIX) Index and What it Means to Investors $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX, $GLD The Chicago Board Options Exchange Volatility Index (VIX) usually moves opposite to the stock market, meaning when stocks are up, the VIX is down, and vice versa. But lately, even though the S&P 500 is on the rise, the VIX […]
S&P 500 Losing Streak Longest in Over 30 yrs Augurs Trump Win $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The S&P 500 Index extended its longest losing streak in more than 30 years, as data bolstered speculation interest rates will rise before year-end and investors cautious ahead of US Presidential election. Stocks faded in afternoon trading as an […]
Election Bombshell, FBI Re-opens Investigation of Hillary Clinton’s Crimes $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Stocks Dive, Volatility (VIX) Index Spikes HeffX-LTN has learned that the FBI is officially re-opening its investigation into Hillary Clinton’s e-Mail server The FBI informed Congress Friday it is investigating whether there is Classified information in new e-Mails that have emerged in […]
iPath S&P 500 VIX Short Term Futures TM ETN (NYSEARCA:VXX) Technicals Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards. Short term: Prices are moving. Intermediate term: Prices are trending. Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the downside. By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 48.53. The projected upper bound is: 45.63. […]
US Stocks Extend Momentum Rally to Fresh All Time Highs $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX US stocks extended to fresh all-time highs, with the S&P 500 Index marking its longest winning streak in 4 months, as speculation grew for looser global monetary (stimulus) policies while a better-than-forecast profit from JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) boosted optimism […]
Friday Is Russell Index Adjustment + Brexit Announcement Day $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Friday could be Wild on Wall Street as traders react to the vote on British membership in the EU and adjust their portfolios to the annual reconstitution of Russell stock indexes. The annual FTSE Russell index adjustment, in which stocks are added […]
Elevated Risk Suggests “Do not Buy the Dips” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The S&P 500 close to all-time highs, the stretched valuations and a lack of growth, signals that risk is elevated up here Notably, corrections in excess of 20% (38 to 55% corrections do happen) for major stock market happen frequently and recently have […]