The Fed Capped the Momentum in the Mega Tech Rally

The Fed Capped the Momentum in the Mega Tech Rally

#Fed #FOMC #QE #MegaTech #rally $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Mega tech’s market-leading days are numbered thanks to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. The NAS 100 sank as much as 2.8% Thursday, pushed down by a fall in the mega cap tech stocks that have powered this rally. The decline came after FOMC policy makers pledged […]

Savvy Investors Stick With Stocks, Adding Some Gold

Savvy Investors Stick With Stocks, Adding Some Gold

#investors #stocks #earnings #bonds #gold #Fed $SPY $GLD $XAU The S&P 500 (NYSEARCA:SPY) is selling for 28X earnings. That is above the 25-yr MA of 25 but implies an equivalent interest rate of 3.6%. The 10-yr Treasury yield is less than 0.7%, and the Fed is committed to keeping rates low. Stocks outperform bonds by a wide margin […]

US 30-yr Fixed Rate Mortgage Rate Dives to 50-yr Lows

US 30-yr Fixed Rate Mortgage Rate Dives to 50-yr Lows

#mortgage #homebuilding #retail #sales #Fed #QE #bonds #market #stimulus #economy $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $SPSIHO The S&P 500 Homebuilding Index (SPSIHO), which includes Lennar Corp.(NYSE:LEN), DR Horton Inc.(NYSE:DHI), and PulteGroup Inc.(NYSE:PHM), gained 2.4% Thursday. The index is up nearly 9% YTD, compared with a 0.05% decline in the broad S&P 500 overall. US 30-year […]

Today’s Action Confirms Buy Signal for Stocks

Today’s Action Confirms Buy Signal for Stocks

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin went on national TV Wednesday morning to assure markets that the federal government’s stimulus package is being rolled out smoothly amid the economic distress caused by measures to slow the spread of the coronavirus. The US stock market rallied Wednesday, confirming the technical buy signals seen […]

Unprecedented Stresses in US Financial Markets Has Investor Sidelining Trillions in Cash

Unprecedented Stresses in US Financial Markets Has Investor Sidelining Trillions in Cash

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USD $JPY $VXX Friday, Ultra Long-term US T-Bond futures moved about 1.3 pts a day on average in January, were down more than 7 pts on the day and off 36 pts from Monday’s high. Italian sovereign debt had imploded. An index of costs to insure corporate debt with credit-default swaps […]

US Stocks Spike 9%+ on President Trump’s Plan to Bring the Country Together to Fight the Virus

US Stocks Spike 9%+ on President Trump’s Plan to Bring the Country Together to Fight the Virus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX US stocks spiked 9%+ as President Trump joined reassured investors that he is stepping up efforts to protect the economy from the coronavirus fallout. All 3 major US stock market indexes rose 9%+, as President Trump declared a national emergency to help combat the virus and said the private sector […]

Global Markets and Commodities

Global Markets and Commodities

$GLD $XAU $OIL $USO $USD $MSCI Crude Oil and global equity markets bounced back after the Monday’s losses as the world’s biggest economies moved to cushion the impact of the coronavirus, but stock gains in Europe failed to hold as investors are still cautious. The price of Brent Crude Oil climbed 10% on hopes a […]

The Gold Rally is Just Getting Started

The Gold Rally is Just Getting Started

$XAU $GLD $XAG $SLV $USD Gold spiked Tuesday, rising 49, at 1,638 oz. There will be more gains as more investors view the precious Yellow metal as insurance against financial market instability at a time of ultra-low interest rates. Gold got a lift from the Fed’s anticipated move Tuesday to cut its Key short-term rate […]

Gold Finished Lower in US on Profit Taking

Gold Finished Lower in US on Profit Taking

$GLD $XAU $SLV $XAG Gold prices finished lower Tuesday, giving back some of the prior session’s safe-haven driven gains in a round of profit-taking. Gold for April delivery GCJ20, -0.42%  on COMEX fell 26.60, or 1.6%, to settle at 1,650 oz, while March silver SIH20, -0.69%  dropped 0.685 , or 3.6%, to 18.191 oz. Gold advanced 1.7% on Monday to a 7 yr […]

President Trump: “Stocks Looking Very Good to Me as Virus Very Much Under Control”

President Trump: “Stocks Looking Very Good to Me as Virus Very Much Under Control”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX FLASH: On Christmas Day 2018, President Trump called the bottom of a 3-month sell-off in US stocks “Stock Market starting to look very good to me!” President Trump Tweeted after the Monday close on Wall Street, echoing his sentiments 14 months ago when he told reporters at the White House there was […]

DJIA Dove 1,000 Pts as Investors Sought Safe-havens in Light of Rise in Virus Cases

DJIA Dove 1,000 Pts as Investors Sought Safe-havens in Light of Rise in Virus Cases

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $MCSI $XAU $VXX Monday, Wall Street’s 3 major stock market indexes fell as investors moved to safe-havens after a rise in coronavirus cases outside China caused worries about the global economic impact of a potential pandemic. Note: WHO removed pandemic from the virus’ and downgraded to emergency Sunday. Wall Street’s 3 […]

Huge Cash Pile on Sidelines Set to Buy US Treasuries on Any Price Dip

Huge Cash Pile on Sidelines Set to Buy US Treasuries on Any Price Dip

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Money managers overseeing trillions of dollars are putting money into US government debt like never before, in a wave that is gaining strength as the spreading coronavirus casts doubt on the global growth outlook. Evidence of the demand can be found across the fixed-income universe. Pensions, which have been ramping […]

The Yield Curve and Gold’s Price

The Yield Curve and Gold’s Price

$XAU $GLD When the spread between 10-yr and 3-mo Treasuries bottomed out, the price of gold rose above 1,580. And the current fears about coronavirus may support it in the short-term. However, fears about prior virus outbreaks were overblown as is this 1, and the current anxiety looks to be temporary. The yield curve has […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Market Summary: This long Bull Run still looks look strong, and here is why: Stocks bypassed a soft open Thursday and gapped North. Small and mid-caps joined the large-caps in achieving strong breaks higher. The economic data showed renewed promise. Options expiration Friday came and went. A long weekend came […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Y 2020 extended Y 2019 action as the big tech names led and the smaller-caps lagged. While the S&P 500’s valuation chart may be giving some investors flashbacks to the Y 2018 market meltdown, the Bulls are resolute. Corporate earnings are expected to fall for a 2nd Q running, as […]

Stocks Rallied in Broad-based Advance

Stocks Rallied in Broad-based Advance

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX This week’s trade has been headlined by the yield-curve inversion theory, where the yield of shorter-dated debt rises above its longer-term counterpart. On Wednesday, the yield 10-yr T-Note rate briefly fell below the 2-year T-Note a condition that has sometimes been a recession indicator. The degree to which investors have crowded […]

Expect Gold to Rally if Fed Starts Rate Cut Talk

Expect Gold to Rally if Fed Starts Rate Cut Talk

$XAU, $GLD, $USD Last week’s price action in gold indicates that buyers know where the value is, but the lack of conviction may be holding them back. This is likely because of the strong USD. But, if you look at the price action on 23 May, you will see just how powerful of an influence […]

US Existing Home Sales Fall More Than Expected in March

US Existing Home Sales Fall More Than Expected in March

Source: Thompson Reuters US home sales fell more than expected in March as rising demand stoked by declining mortgage rates and slowing house price inflation continued to be frustrated by a lack of properties, especially in the lower-priced segment of the market. The report from the  National Association of Realtors (NAR) on Monday could temper expectations of […]

The S&P 500 Roars into April, No Foolin!

The S&P 500 Roars into April, No Foolin!

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The S&P 500 gaped open after better than expected China’s Manufacturing PMI (actual 50.5; expected 49.5; prior 49.2) and Non-Manufacturing PMI (actual 54.8; expected 54.5; prior 54.3) reinforced the idea that global economic activity is rebounding. The upbeat tone drove a rally in stocks with high-beta groups like the […]

US Stocks Setting Up for a Big Move North

US Stocks Setting Up for a Big Move North

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: US stocks finished flat on high volume We expect that US stocks will continue to move North new highs despite an earnings slowdown, that according to the patterns that are set/setting up now. HeffX-LTN is going contrarian Vs the Bears who are warning investors that the earnings slowdown will […]

America First, Financial Markets Briefing 

America First, Financial Markets Briefing 

America First, Financial Markets Briefing $SPY, $USD, $OIL, $USO, $USD, $CU Hong Kong, China equities slide Monday on trade concerns  WS-J reporting Monday that China could skip trade talks with US Stocks in Asia opened the week under pressure after the latest US move to place a 3rd tranche of tariffs on Chinese goods, as […]

US Stock Broke Out Above Strong Resistances Extending the Longest Bull Run on Record

US Stock Broke Out Above Strong Resistances Extending the Longest Bull Run on Record

US Stock Broke Out Above Strong Resistances Extending the Longest Bull Run on Record $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX HeffX-LTN’s overall out look for the US equities market is Bullish Stocks rallied Thursday, the S&P 500 opened higher and extended gains into the afternoon, the benchmark index finished +0.8% off its session highs. The DJIA […]

US Stocks Headed to Record Territory

US Stocks Headed to Record Territory

US Stocks Headed to Record Territory $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Tuesday, US stocks advanced for a 4th session running, with the S&P 500 climbing 0.3% to 2858. The benchmark index is now within 0.5% of its 26 January record high. The tech-heavy NAS Comp climbed 0.3%, and the DJIA rose 0.5%. The S&P 500 […]

Russia Sells US Treasuries, Buys Gold

Russia Sells US Treasuries, Buys Gold

Russia Sells US Treasuries, Buys Gold $GLD Russia is buying Gold, and selling its US Treasuries to avoid “political blackmail,” according to a precious metals market analyst. “This is also a kind of political declaration, stating that countries which have too many dollars can become the object of political blackmail,” the expert, Munich-based Dimitri Speck […]

US Stocks Hold Record Gains, as USD Declines 

US Stocks Hold Record Gains, as USD Declines 

US Stocks Hold Record Gains, as USD Declines $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Thursday, US stocks posted another gainer to finish at a fresh all-time high as gains in defensive shares offset declines sparked by Apple Inc (NASDAQ:AAPL). US Treasuries were flat, the USD fell on speculation the Fed will maintain its gradual approach to rate […]

China Begins Resetting The World’s Reserve Currency System

China Begins Resetting The World’s Reserve Currency System

China Begins Resetting The World’s Reserve Currency System $GLD, $OIL, $CNY It is a strategic move swapping Crude Oil for Gold, rather than for US Treasuries, which can be printed at will. A report released by the Nikkei Asian Review indicates that China is prepared to release a RMB Yuan denominated Crude Oil futures contract […]

US Market and Asian Markets Quiet Ahead of Jackson Hole

US Market and Asian Markets Quiet Ahead of Jackson Hole

US Market and Asian Markets Quiet Ahead of Jackson Hole $DIA, $USO, $UGA, $GLD Investors continued to remain on the sidelines in anticipation of the Jackson Hole Symposium Friday. All of the US major indices all posted moderate losses again in light trading, with a counter trend for small caps, as the Russell gained 4 […]

DJIA Saw Resistance, Traded to the Bottom of Trading Range

DJIA Saw Resistance, Traded to the Bottom of Trading Range

DJIA Saw Resistance, Traded to the Bottom of Trading Range $DJIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The DJIA traded down 372.82 pts, Treasuries rallied the most since Brexit and volatility spiked up, as the indexes back off of all time highs profit taking. Many pundits are declaring political aspects to this pullback, however, I have been expecting it […]

US Stocks Could Rise 12% This Year as Economic Growth Gathers Momentum

US Stocks Could Rise 12% This Year as Economic Growth Gathers Momentum

US Stocks Could Rise 12% This Year as Economic Growth Gathers Momentum $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX US stocks could rise 12% this year as economic growth gathers momentum, bolstering demand for risk assets, while pushing US Treasury prices lower, according to Byron Wien VP of Blackstone Group (NYSE:BX) The Vice President of multi-asset investing at […]

Bond Trader Signaling Coming Inflation

Bond Trader Signaling Coming Inflation

Bond Trader Signaling Coming Inflation The rout in the fixed-income arena deepened into the worst in 15 years as traders sounded the alarm on inflation amid speculation US President Elect Donald Trump’s spending pledges will boost economic growth. Yields on benchmark 10-year US Treasuries posted their steepest back-to-back weekly increase since Y 2001, and a bond-market […]

Trump Victory Augurs US Banks Enhanced Profitably

Trump Victory Augurs US Banks Enhanced Profitably

Trump Victory Augurs US Banks Enhanced Profitably $XLF US President Elect Donald Trump has greatly enhanced the outlook for US bank profitability, as he is laying the foundation for a steeper yield curve and financial deregulation. Recognizing this, investors are acting with record 1-day inflows of more than $2.1-B into the Financial Select Sector exchange […]

US Long Dated Treasuries Up Signaling Rising Inflation

US Long Dated Treasuries Up Signaling Rising Inflation

US Long Dated Treasuries Up Signaling Rising Inflation $SPY Donald Trump’s victory in the US Presidential race is driving mutual fund managers out of dividend stocks and into the shares of financial, industrial and materials companies that benefit from rising inflation. Although inflation remains subdued by most measures, US longer-dated Treasury yields rose Thursday to […]

Expecting US Fed to Include “Hawkish” No-hike Language in Policy Statement

Expecting US Fed to Include “Hawkish” No-hike Language in Policy Statement

Expecting US Fed to Include “Hawkish” No-hike Language in Policy Statement $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The US Fed will not raise interest rates when it meets this week, but the FOMC will include “Hawkish” no-hike language in policy statement, said Jeffrey Gundlach, CEO of DoubleLine Capital. Mr. Gundlach said Fed officials “want to be able […]

Raise Rates, Don’t Raise Rates, Who’s Right?

Raise Rates, Don’t Raise Rates, Who’s Right?

Raise Rates, Don’t Raise Rates, Who’s Right? $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX There are those economists that argue that the US Fed should take an unconventional approach to ending a long period of below-target inflation: that being that instead of keeping interest rates low to drive economic activity and push up prices, it should raise interest […]

Money Managers “Dumping” US Treasuries For Equities

Money Managers “Dumping” US Treasuries For Equities

Money Managers “Dumping” US Treasuries For Equities $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Money managers are dumping Treasury ETFs (exchange-traded funds) as a revival in equity and commodity prices curbs demand for the somewhat safer US debt. Treasury ETF net redemption’s have reached $2.9-B so far in April, on top of $4.8-B pulled out in March, according […]