US Home-builder Sentiment Marks 6-Month High, Sales Up with Strong Economy

US Home-builder Sentiment Marks 6-Month High, Sales Up with Strong Economy

Sentiment among US home-builders climbed to a 6-month high in April, another indication that the housing market is gathering momentum during the Key Spring season. The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index rose 1 point to 63, matching the median estimate in Bloomberg’s survey of economists, on improvements in present sales and buyer traffic, […]

President Trump ‘Angling’ for The Gold Standard

President Trump ‘Angling’ for The Gold Standard

$XAU, $GLD, $USD President Trump’s plans to nominate Stephen Moore and Herman Cain to the Fed board, and that move points back to The Gold Standard, a policy option once advocated by both men and President Trump himself. The Big Q: What is the case for returning to The Gold Standard? The Big A: Is […]

Gold is President Trump’s ‘Trump’ Card

Gold is President Trump’s ‘Trump’ Card

$GLD, $XAU, $USD FLASH: Gold could 2X overnight, especially if President Trump uses it as a weapon in his battle Vs the Fed. The Fed controls the Buck, the Buck is the world’s trading currency, and so the Fed controls the world. A stronger USD hurts the world’s growth prospects. It also hurts President Trump’s […]

“Fed May Not Hike Interest Rates Again…”

“Fed May Not Hike Interest Rates Again…”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RURX, $VXX FLASH: Wall Street finished flat to little changed in front of earnings season The stock market finished little changed Thursday in a tight-ranged trading session. The S&P 500 finished fractionally higher, as RSI from financial and industrial stocks helped mitigate losses from shares of healthcare companies in front of earnings […]

S&P 500 Up for 7 Day’s Running Seeing 2900 Next

S&P 500 Up for 7 Day’s Running Seeing 2900 Next

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The S&P 500 gained 0.5% Friday in a broad-based advance that was supported by a Goldilocks Employment Situation Report for March. The benchmark index advanced for the 7th session running, increasits its weekly gainer to 2.1%, and closed within 10 points of the 2900 level. The US labor market […]

US Stock Market is Strong, Tune Out the Noise

US Stock Market is Strong, Tune Out the Noise

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The just released data of the US Bureau of Economic Analysis and the US Census Bureau show that the US monthly international trade deficit decreased in January 2019 from $59.9% in December (revised) to $51.1-B as expected, as imports decreased and exports increased. The goods deficit decreased $8.2-B in January […]

The Geopolitical Uncertainty Vs The Price of Gold

The Geopolitical Uncertainty Vs The Price of Gold

$GLD, $USD, $EUR, $GBP, $CNY What we have been seeing over the past few years is that confidence in government is fading and the price of Gold is rising. Some current examples The UK House of Commons voted 413-202 last week to delay Britain’s exit from the EU. Despite resounding defeats, Prime Minister Theresa May […]

S&P 500 Flat to Little Changed Ahead of FOMC’s Policy Decision

S&P 500 Flat to Little Changed Ahead of FOMC’s Policy Decision

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The latest fund manager survey from Bank of America showed the allocation to equities is at its lowest since September 2016 indicating that managed money missed the 2019 rally and will have to play catch up soon. The S&P 500 advanced 0.7% Tuesday, on Dovish expectations ahead of the […]

President Trump’s Tax Policy a Key Economic Driver

President Trump’s Tax Policy  a Key Economic Driver

$USD White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow rejects criticism that the US economy is only growing because of a “sugar high” from The Trump Administration’s tax reform. He predicted that President Trump’s “pro-growth policies on taxes and regulation” will continue to stoke growth far into the future. Some economists contended that the economy is losing […]

How Far South is China’s Rapid Growth Slowdown Headed?

How Far South is China’s Rapid Growth Slowdown Headed?

The growing mystery of where China’s rapid slowdown is headed may become the biggest risk on the horizon. The world economy. Recession Watch: The global economy’s in its weakest shape since the financial crisis 10 years ago. China got more affirming evidence of its Big slowdown, with industrial output and retail sales softening and a […]

Home Loan Costs Fall, Mortgage Applications Rise

Home Loan Costs Fall, Mortgage Applications Rise

US mortgage home applications to buy and to refinanc increased last week as most borrowing costs fell in step with US bond yields tied to worries about slowing economic growth, data from the Mortgage Bankers Association showed on Wednesday. The Washington-based industry group’s seasonally adjusted index on mortgage activity rose 2.3% to 384.0 in the week […]

Global Economy Hits Weakest Patch Since Financial Crisis

Global Economy Hits Weakest Patch Since Financial Crisis

The global economy’s softened throughout Y 2018 has left the pace of expansion the weakest since the global financial crisis a decade ago. A new GDP tracker puts world growth at 2.1% on a Q-Q annualized basis, down from about 4% in the middle of last year. While there is a chance that the economy […]

Fed Engineered Market Correction Stripped Nearly $4-T from American’s Household Wealth

Fed Engineered Market Correction Stripped Nearly $4-T from American’s Household Wealth

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: This Bull Market is about to have its 10th Birthday! US household wealth fell 3.5% into the close of Y 2018 on the back of a Fed engineered stock market correction in Q-4 that threatened to weaken a near 10 year recovery. In its Quarterly Flow of Funds report, the […]

US Housing Starts Fell to 2-Yr Lows in December

US Housing Starts Fell to 2-Yr Lows in December

$SPY, $USD US homebuilding fell to a more than 2-year lows in December as construction of both single and multi-family housing declined, the latest indication that the economy lost momentum in the fourth quarter. Other details of the report from the Commerce Department on Tuesday were also downbeat and suggested that the housing market could remain sluggish […]

Trump Policy: Overhaul the Fed!

Trump Policy: Overhaul the Fed!

When the Fed’s FOMC policymakers met last month and put it 3-year rate-hike campaign on hold and backed ending a yearlong push to shrink their $4-T balance sheet, that was draining the liquidity out of the system and shrinking the wealth of American house holds by the trillions of dollars, they cited increased risks to […]

The FOMC Minutes, What They Mean

The FOMC Minutes, What They Mean

FLASH: The Trump Policy at Work for Americans The Key takeaways from the FOMC Minutes from the 29-30 January meeting, as follows: There was widespread agreement for the FOMC to end shrinkage of the $4-T balance sheet by the end of the year. The timetable ends uncertainty over whether shedding assets would further tighten financial conditions. The […]

US Homebuilder Sentiment Tops Forecasts

US Homebuilder Sentiment Tops Forecasts

The sentiment among US homebuilders rose in February for a 2nd month runnning exceeded all forecasts, as lower mortgage rates and a strong labor market help stabilize demand. The National Association of Home Builders/Wells Fargo Housing Market Index rose to 62 from 58 amid broad improvement on gauges of sales, expectations and buyer traffic, data released Tuesday […]

Gold and Mining Stocks Looks Bright & Shiny

Gold and Mining Stocks Looks Bright & Shiny

$GLD, $GOLD, $USD, $GDX, $GS FLASH: The savvy observers see Golden opps in the precious Yellow metal and its miners. Last September in this column we suggested it was time for investors to add gold to their portfolios. And that data shows that since that time, gold has gained nearly 10%. Gold marked to a […]

Home Mortgage Applications Fall for 4th Week Running

Home Mortgage Applications Fall for 4th Week Running

US mortgage applications declined for a 4th week running even as some home borrowing costs fell to their lowest levels in more than 11 months, the Mortgage Bankers Association said Wednesday. The Washington-based industry group’s seasonally-adjusted index on borrower requests to lenders for a loan to buy a home and to refinance one decreased 3.7% to 364.8% […]

President Trump Summoned Fed Chairman to Dinner at the White House

President Trump Summoned Fed Chairman to Dinner at the White House

Monday, President Trump summoned Fed Chairman Jerome Powell to the White House for dinner to discuss recent economic developments and the overall outlook. The Fed is being tight lipped about the ongoing monetary policy discussions with President Trump. Chairman Powell’s comments were “consistent with his remarks at his press conference of last week,” the Fed […]

US Home Mortgage Applications Mark 11-Month Highs

US Home Mortgage Applications Mark 11-Month Highs

The number of US consumers who applied for loans to buy a home and to refinance 1 rose to an 11-month high last week, signaling that the recent drop in interest rates is reviving housing activity, the Mortgage Bankers Association said in a report Wednesday. The Washington-based industry group’s seasonally adjusted gauge on mortgage applications increased 13.5% […]

Fed Out of Touch, Fails to Communicate its Message Clearly

Fed Out of Touch, Fails to Communicate its Message Clearly

Fed Chairman Powell not listening, he is being reprieved a the enemy of the US economy and the equity markets. President Donald Trump expressed confidence in the Fed, and its Chairman, Jerome Powell, following reports that he has discussed firing his central bank chief, though the President complained again that interest rates have been rising […]

Fed Made ‘Policy Mistake’, President Trump Not Likely to Sack Powell Yet

Fed Made ‘Policy Mistake’, President Trump Not Likely to Sack Powell Yet

$SPY, $WFC, $CS Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) cut estimates for stocks next year on concern the Fed is making policy mistakes that will dampen US economic growth. Chris Harvey, head of equity strategy at the bank, cut his year-end target for the S&P 500 Index to 2,665 from 3,079. While the new forecast represents a 10% […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DJIA,  $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, ,$VXX The US major stock market will start this week again testing the bottom of the range formed with by the selling that began in October. The S&P 500 cracked 2600 and supposedly that sets up more Southside action. Sentiment is extreme as reported by the AAIA, outflows from stocks are at […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

 $DJIA,  $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, ,$VXX The US major stock market will start the week testing the bottom of the range formed with by the selling that began in October. The patterns and technical indicators suggest a move from where the major indexes closed Friday back up to the November highs. After a reversal off the trading […]

Volatile Markets are Opportunities for Savvy Participants

Volatile Markets are Opportunities for Savvy Participants

Volatile Markets are Opportunities for Savvy Participants $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Some investors get scared when the stock market falls, but there is always the other side of that action. When selling happens, stocks are on sale. The recent Southside action can provide opportunities that investors have not seen for a while. The Key […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $SPY, $VXX Just 12 days ago everybody on The Street was celebrating Thanksgiving in a very cautious market mode, they came back to their desks, and triggered a Key reversal in the major US stock market indexes that was confirmed on Friday, 30 November and […]

Fed’s Dovish Outlook Fuels Broad Based Rally in Stocks

Fed’s Dovish Outlook Fuels Broad Based Rally in Stocks

Fed’s Dovish Outlook Fuels Broad Based Rally in Stocks $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 extended weekly gainer by 2.3% Wednesday after Fed Chairman Powell said he sees current interest rates “just below” Neutral. His dovish remarks at the NY Economic Club thus providing a rally point of of the Key reversal Monday […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $SPY, $VXX Last week everybody that is anybody was away celebrating Thanksgiving, now they are back to their desks, that is if not stranded in a blizzard. Looking back, here is some stirrings emerging from the small and mid-caps via chips, telecom, and some bio techs and […]

Thanksgiving Football Weekend, Winning the Financial Debate

Thanksgiving Football Weekend, Winning the Financial Debate

Thanksgiving Football Weekend, Winning the Financial Debate When this year’s holiday weekend discussion turns to the US economy, which it may, you need to be primed correctly. Whether your relatives want to talk about the job market as casual observers or parse Fed actions like superNerds, we have prepared rebuttals for some of Y 2018’s […]

As Market Corrects, Huge Opportunities Come to Light

As Market Corrects, Huge Opportunities Come to Light

As Market Corrects, Huge Opportunities Come to Light $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX This Bull market correction is/will yield huge opportunities for savvy and patient participants. If you have to put money to work in the market now, we suggest you go into the defensive names in healthcare, consumer staples and utilities In tech 1 will […]

President Trump, “the Fed is the problem, must lower rates.”

President Trump, “the Fed is the problem, must lower rates.”

President Trump, “the Fed is the problem, must lower rates.” US President Donald Trump renewed his criticism of the Fed Tuesday, describing the central bank as a “problem” as he called for lower interest rates. The latest Presidential assault on the nation’s monetary authority comes as stocks dive on concerns ranging from slower global growth, […]

As Market Leadership Rotates, Money Manager Speak Out

As Market Leadership Rotates, Money Manager Speak Out

As Market Leadership Rotates, Money Manager Speak Out $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ Following are the views of 7 money managers and strategists on what could conceivably put a brake on the selling in this market. This view is held by almost everyone: that a softening in Fed’s hawkish rhetoric and President Trump’s trade dispute talk would […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX DJIA higher, some testing leaders start to bounce back. Chipmakers show many interesting Northside setups. Fed Vice Chairman moves warm markets. The market action has given up some good patterns, the Big Q: Will the break North into year’s end. Today is Monday, the […]

Banks Will Feel Pain Once Crude Oil Price Fall Below $50 bbl

Banks Will Feel Pain Once Crude Oil Price Fall Below $50 bbl

Banks Will Feel Pain Once Crude Oil Price Fall Below $50 bbl $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USO, $VXX The S&P 500 gained 1.1% Thursday to snap a 5-session losing streak. US-China trade optimism and strength from tech stocks, Banks can handle the energy-linked loans they have  extended just as long as Crude Oil prices don’t drop […]

Looking for a Major Bottom in Gold

Looking for a Major Bottom in Gold

Looking for a Major Bottom in Gold $GLD, $USD Shayne and I do not believe that the weakness in Gold and gold mining stocks is over, the outlook is that another Southside leg getting underway. Should that happen, we are positioned to profit from it. Long-term investors, traders, and speculators should be aware of the […]

The Strong US Economy Continues to Grow

The Strong US Economy Continues to Grow

The Strong US Economy is Continues to Grow The strong US economy is continuing to grow at a 2.9% annualized rate in Q-4, following the latest economic data, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow forecast model showed on Friday. This was unchanged from the pace for Q-4 GDP Atlanta Fed’s GDP program calculated on  2 November. The nowcast […]

US Consumer Sentiment on Track for Best Year Since 2000

US Consumer Sentiment on Track for Best Year Since 2000

US Consumer Sentiment on Track for Best Year Since 2000 Consumers ready to Pick Up Spending Heading into Holiday Season US consumers have greater certainty about job and income prospects. University of Michigan’s (MSI) consumer sentiment index flat to unchanged but remains strong US consumer sentiment topped analysts expectations to stay on track for its best […]

Two Years In, President Trump Holds Stock Market Bragging Rights

Two Years In, President Trump Holds Stock Market Bragging Rights

Two Years In, President Trump Holds Stock Market Bragging Rights $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wednesday, US stocks rallied with broad gains led by the technology and healthcare sectors as investors made bets that a divided Congress would be good for equities. Democrats won control of the House Tuesday, while President Donald Trump’s Republican party […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX  NFPs report solid, shows best wage growth in 10 years. China trade, market still struggles on news. 4 day Rally paused Friday All Eyes on the US Congressional Midterm Elections Tuesday Friday, stocks opened higher then faded, trending lower into early afternoon. Positives turned to […]

President Trump and The Fed Want to See Inflation

President Trump and The Fed Want to See Inflation

President Trump and The Fed Want to See Inflation $USD, $SPY, $GLD, $SLV The value of USD is determined by a number of variables. For example, this year’s trade wars with China have resulted in a stronger Buck and a weakened RMB Yuan. There are a few internal mechanisms that can be used to raise or […]

Fed Will Fade, Halt Interest Rate Hikes After December

Fed Will Fade, Halt Interest Rate Hikes After December

Fed Will Fade, Halt Interest Rate Hikes After December $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Jim Cramer says Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will hike interest rates once more in December and then stop. “I just think he’s going to blink,” Mr. Cramer said on TV Monday “It’s going to be 1 and done in December. That’s […]

US Stocks Test on Fed Rates and Global Growth Concerns

US Stocks Test on Fed Rates and Global Growth Concerns

US Stocks Test on Fed Rates and Global Growth Concerns $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 index closed just above its 200-Day MA, a Key indicator of long-term price trends. US stocks opened lower as Chinese stocks fell overnight, sparking concerns about the impact of trade tensions on China’s economy. Plus, concerns mounted […]

Fed’s Current Monetary Policy Raise the Risks of Recession

Fed’s Current Monetary Policy Raise the Risks of Recession

Fed’s Current Monetary Policy Raise the Risks of Recession President Trump has criticized recent Fed rate increases, arguing that they threatened economic growth. The Fed’s current monetary policy path would raise the risks of recession in an economy where recent, unexpectedly strong growth may start to taper anyway, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said […]

President Trump is Not Demanding a Monetary Policy Change at the Fed

President Trump is Not Demanding a Monetary Policy Change at the Fed

President Trump is Not Demanding a Monetary Policy Change at the Fed Wednesday, White House economic advisor Larry Kudlow said that US President Trump was not demanding a policy change at the Fed. President Trump heaped more criticism on the Fed Tuesday, calling rising US interest rates his “biggest threat.” The Trump Administration official said […]

Fed Hawks Want to Chill Roaring US Economy

Fed Hawks Want to Chill Roaring US Economy

Fed Hawks Want to Chill Roaring US Economy Despite sharp criticism from President Donald Trump for raising interest rates, Fed policymakers remain generally united on the need to raise borrowing costs further, according to minutes from their most recent policy meeting. Every policymaker backed the Fed’s September rate increase, according to the minutes of the Sept. […]

US Homebuilder Sentiment Up On Solid Demand

US Homebuilder Sentiment Up On Solid Demand

US Homebuilder Sentiment Up On Solid Demand October’s pickup in sentiment across the 3 sub-indexes and all 4 regions indicates the market for newly-built homes Confidence among America’s homebuilders unexpectedly rose in October, registering the 1st gainer in 5 months amid falling lumber prices and solid demand, according to a report Tuesday from the National […]

President Trump, “The Fed is Out of Control”

President Trump, “The Fed is Out of Control”

President Trump, “The Fed is Out of Control” $DIA, SPY, QQQ, RUTX, VXX US President Donald Trump said he will not fire Fed Chairman Jerome Powell but blamed an “out of control” FOMC for the worst stock market sell-off since February. President Trump also told reporters in the Oval Office Thursday morning that he knows […]

Mortgage Requests Fall, Borrowing Costs at 7-Year Highs

Mortgage Requests Fall, Borrowing Costs at 7-Year Highs

Mortgage Requests Fall, Borrowing Costs at 7-Year Highs US mortgage applications declined last week as home borrowing costs climbed to their highest levels in over 7 years, propelled by a spike in bond yields during last week’s market selloff, the Mortgage Bankers Association said Wednesday. The Washington-based industry group said its seasonally adjusted gauge on consumer […]

S&P 500 Earnings Preview: Q-3 Y 2018

S&P 500 Earnings Preview: Q-3 Y 2018

S&P 500 Earnings Preview: Q-3 Y 2018 $SPY, $JPM, $C, $WFC, $USD Earnings reporting period is here once again, and it always commands a great deal of attention because earnings drive stock prices over the long term. The S&P 500 has been underpinned by impressive earnings growth. The Q-3 reporting frame, which begins in earnest […]

President Trump’s Economic Boom Can Last ‘A Good Many Years’

President Trump’s Economic Boom Can Last ‘A Good Many Years’

President Trump’s Economic Boom Can Last ‘A Good Many Years’  President Trump is Guiding ‘Hottest Economy’ in World Larry Kudlow, director of the White House’s National Economic Council, does not see an end to the robust economic growth sparked by President Donald Trump’s strategy. “I just do not see where this is going to end,” he […]

The Trump Effect: Atlanta Fed Keeps GDP Forecast at 4.4%

The Trump Effect: Atlanta Fed Keeps GDP Forecast at 4.4%

The Trump Effect: Atlanta Fed Keeps GDP Forecast at 4.4% $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wednesday, the S&P 500 finished with a gainer of 0.1%, driven by financial shares, which rallied on another rise in interest rates. The blue-chip DJIA outperformed, adding 0.6%, the NAS Comp  lagged, closing lower by 0.1%, and the small-cap Russell […]

 US Investors are Ignoring Political Drama, the ‘Economy’s Everything

 US Investors are Ignoring Political Drama, the ‘Economy’s Everything

 US Investors are Ignoring Political Drama, the ‘Economy’s Everything $SPY National Economic Council Director Larry Kudlow said stock-market investors are apparently ignoring any White House political turbulence because the robust economy is proof President Donald Trump’s strategy is working. The Bull market on Wall Street set history this week when it eclipsed the S&P 500’s […]

President Trump, “not trilled” with Fed’s Raising Interest Rates

President Trump, “not trilled” with Fed’s Raising Interest Rates

President Trump, “not trilled” with Fed’s Raising Interest Rates $USD, $EUR Monday, US President Donald Trump said he is “not thrilled” with Fed Chairman Jerome Powell for raising interest rates, plus he accused China and Europe of manipulating their respective currencies. President Trump rattled investors in July when he criticized the Fed’s monetary policy tightening, […]

Fed’s FOMC Votes 8-0 to Leave Fed Fund’s Rate Unchanged 

Fed’s FOMC Votes 8-0 to Leave Fed Fund’s Rate Unchanged 

Fed’s FOMC Votes 8-0 to Leave Fed Fund’s Rate Unchanged $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RTUX, $VXX The FOMC left the benchmark interest rate unchanged, and reiterating their plan to gradually lift borrowing costs to keep the economy expanding at a healthy pace. Economic activity has been “rising at a strong rate,” and the unemployment rate “has […]

Forex Traders Overwhelm Emerging Markets’ Central Bankers

Forex Traders Overwhelm Emerging Markets’ Central Bankers

Forex Traders Overwhelm Emerging Markets’ Central Bankers $DXY, $OIL, $GLD, $SLV Selloff forces EM central banks to raise interest rates Currencies have struggled to find a floor despite rate moves Central banks in emerging economies are losing the battle with markets as their efforts to shield their currencies struggle for traction, suggesting policy makers have […]

Florida Top of Fastest-Growing Luxury Real Estate Markets

Florida Top of Fastest-Growing Luxury Real Estate Markets

Interest from prospective home buyers in Northern states have propelled two Florida counties — Sarasota and Collier — to the top of the nation’s fastest-growing luxury housing markets, according to the May 2018 Luxury Home Index from realtor.com®, The Home of Home Search℠. In May, the top 5 percent most expensive home prices in Sarasota […]

US Labor Market Tightens, Jobless Claims Fall

US Labor Market Tightens, Jobless Claims Fall

US Labor Market Tightens, Jobless Claims Fall $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits fell last week, pointing to a further tightening in labor market conditions. The robust US labor market and firming inflation have cemented expectations the Fed will raise interest rates next week at the FOMC meeting. […]

US Unemployment Rolls Smallest in 45 Years

US Unemployment Rolls Smallest in 45 Years

US Unemployment Rolls Smallest in 45 Years $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Thursday, the US economic data showed an acceleration in mid-Atlantic factory activity this month, with manufacturers saying they were boosting employment and asking for higher prices for their products. The combination of a tightening labor market and firming inflation bolsters expectations the Fed will […]

Fed’s Williams Sees ‘Neutral’ Interest Rate Lower, Longer

Fed’s Williams Sees ‘Neutral’ Interest Rate Lower, Longer

Fed’s Williams Sees ‘Neutral’ Interest Rate Lower, Longer $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Stocks dip following a the strong start to the month Treasury’s benchmark 10-yr yield above 3.00% Tuesday, Mr. Williams, who will take the helm of the New York Fed on 18 June, said that inflation is nearing the central bank’s 2% target after […]

The Trump Expansion Continues to Deliver Jobs

The Trump Expansion Continues to Deliver Jobs

The Trump Expansion Continues to Deliver Jobs The US economy has delivered steady, modest gains for most Americans since the Great Recession ended in Y 2009. President Trump’s policies have extended what is now the 2nd-longest economic expansionon record and why more of the country might soon benefit from higher pay. The government said Friday […]

FOMC Stands Pat on Interest Rates, Focus Now on June Meeting

FOMC Stands Pat on Interest Rates, Focus Now on June Meeting

FOMC Stands Pat on Interest Rates, Focus Now on June Meeting $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The Fed policy makers held interest rates steady Wednesday and expressed confidence that a recent rise in inflation to near the central bank’s 2% target would be sustained, leaving it on track to raise borrowing costs in June. The Fed’s […]

Assets That Will Suffer on the Return to the Normal Interest Rate Regime

Assets That Will Suffer on the Return to the Normal Interest Rate Regime

Assets that Will Suffer on the Return to the Normal Interest Rate Regime $SPY, $GLD, $SLV, $BAC While Treasuries faded a bit after 10-year yields tapped at the 3% mark last week for the 1st time in 4 years, expectations are mounting that higher rates will soon be normal again, that rate historically is 5.0% […]

The US Stock Market Remains in Consolidation Mode

The US Stock Market Remains in Consolidation Mode

The US Stock Market Remains in Consolidation Mode $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX, $USO The Bull has paused to refresh Fundamentals are Strong Interest rates are low Some pundits are saying that the world markets entered Y 2018 speculating that the most synchronized global economic expansion in a decade was going to get to Hot, but […]

Investors Rotating Leadership from QE ‘Winners’ to QE ‘Losers’

Investors Rotating Leadership from QE ‘Winners’ to QE ‘Losers’

Investors Rotating Leadership form QE ‘Winners’ to QE ‘Losers’ $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Analysts are expecting investors will shift their holdings as the realization sinks in that the Fed is committed to raising interest rates until a major event compels the central bank to reverse course. That means investments that had strong gains during a […]

Healthy Economy, Strong Earnings Will Drive Stock Market North

Healthy Economy, Strong Earnings Will Drive Stock Market North

Healthy Economy, Strong Earnings Will Drive Stock Market North $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ Soon the stock market will reflect the economy, and all systems are on Go. March Private Sector Jobs, Non-Manufacturing Activity and Help Wanted OnLine ADP: 241,000; Goods: 65,000/ ISM (Non-Man.): -0.7 point; Orders: -5.3 points/ HWOL: up 102,100 The Institute for Supply Management’s […]

Gold Finished the Quarter with a Gainer, Bulls Happy

Gold Finished the Quarter with a Gainer, Bulls Happy

Gold Finished the Quarter with a Gainer, Bulls Happy $GLD Gold Bulls are finding Y 2018 a Happy Time so far.=. Gold is wrapping up a 3rd quarterly gainer, something not seen since Y 2011, and ETF (exchange-traded fund) holdings are near the highest in 5 years. Safe-haven demand may also get a boost with […]

DJIA Finished Off 724 Points, Markets Do Not Like Trade Wars

DJIA Finished Off 724 Points, Markets Do Not Like Trade Wars

DJIA Finished Off 724 Points, Markets Do Not Like Trade Wars $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The DJIA fell more than 700 pts on trade fears, tumbling back into correction territory as US stocks plunged the most in 6 weeks amid the threat of an escalating trade war with China that has the potential to disrupt global growth. At […]

Fed Hikes, Stocks Fall, Gold Rises

Fed Hikes, Stocks Fall, Gold Rises

Fed Hikes, Stocks Fall, Gold Rises $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $GLD Stocks swung sharply Wednesday afternoon following the release of the FOMC’s policy directive, which increased the fed funds target range by 25 bpts to 1.50%-1.75%. Overall the hike was priced in ahead of the Fed’s expected move. The S&P 500, the NAS Comp, and the […]

Inflation & Gold, the Link Between the Elements

Inflation & Gold, the Link Between the Elements

Inflation & Gold, the Link Between the Elements $GLD The Big Q: On fueled inflation will Gold’s price soar? The Big A: The recent US NFPs report showed that wages had jumped 2.9% in January on an annual basis. It was the best since Y 2009, which awakened investor fears of inflation. That’s why investors awaited Wednesday’s data on […]

CPI Came in ‘Hot’, US Stock Market Shrugged it Off and Spiked

CPI Came in ‘Hot’, US Stock Market Shrugged it Off and Spiked

CPI Came in ‘Hot’, US Stock Market Shrugged it Off and Spiked $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The stock market pundits fears about inflation are inflated. Econ 101: No Inflation, No Growth Top-weighted financials and technology sectors lead market higher Wednesday, US stocks finished sharply higher, shrugging off an initial sharp decline in futures pre-market immediately […]

Americans Filing for Unemployment Benefits at 45 yr Lows

Americans Filing for Unemployment Benefits at 45 yr Lows

Americans Filing for Unemployment Benefits at 45 yr Lows The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell last week, dropping to its lowest level in almost 45 years as the labor market tightened further, driving expectations of faster wage growth this year. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits decreased 9,000 to a seasonally […]

Fed: US Stock Market Outlook Unchanged in Growing Economy

Fed: US Stock Market Outlook Unchanged in Growing Economy

Fed: US Stock Market Outlook Unchanged in Growing Economy $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Fed officials played down recent volatility in global stock markets, sounding as resolved to push ahead with gradual increases in interest rates as before the pullback. “Having a bump like this has virtually no consequence in my view of the economic outlook,” […]