Trade is the Key Issue…

Trade is the Key Issue…

The 2 biggest players in the US economy will take the stage this week, as President Trump and Fed Chairman Powell speak amid signs the nation’s trade war with China may be thawing. President Trump will deliver a speech at the Economic Club of New York Tuesday, with investors hoping he sheds light on a […]

President Trump Has “Muscled” the Stock Market Away from the Fed

President Trump Has “Muscled” the Stock Market Away from the Fed

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USD, $VXX This week the Fed cut interest rates for the 2nd time since the Great Recession, and found its hands full with another event with potentially catastrophic implications for the economy. In short, liquidity in the repo markets, a critical cog in the financial system machine seized Tuesday. In response, […]

President Trump Hammers Fed’s Powell, “No Guts, No Sense, No Vision!”

President Trump Hammers Fed’s Powell, “No Guts, No Sense, No Vision!”

$DIA, $QQQ, $SPY, RUTX, $VXX President Trump Tweeted: “Fed, Powell ‘Fail Again’”After FOMC Rate Cut The Fed cut interest rates for the 2nd time since July, and it was not enough for President Trump. President Trump assailed policy makers just mins after their decision Wednesday to cut the benchmark interest rate by 25 bts. “Jay […]

Gold’s Price, a Fundamental Forecast

Gold’s Price, a Fundamental Forecast

$XAU, $GLD, $USD, $XAUUSD Friday, Gold saw choppy trade. The price action suggests that traders have fully priced-in the latest round of global central bank rate cuts and are now waiting to see if those cuts are having an impact on the global economy. The price action also indicates that gold may be fairly priced […]

President Trump, “We Have a Fed Problem”

President Trump, “We Have a Fed Problem”

Again Friday, President Trump hammered the Fed in 3 Tweets; declaring in 1 that the US economy does not “have a tariff problem, we have a Fed problem.” “The Euro is dropping against the dollar ‘like crazy,’ giving them a big export and manufacturing advantage … and the Fed does NOTHING!” President Trump said in 1 […]

President Trump Hammering Fed to Cut Rates

President Trump Hammering Fed to Cut Rates

Thursday, President Trump continued hammering the Fed for not cutting rates, which he claims has held back the economy, despite the Fed shaving 1/4pt from the fed funds rate in July. Chairman Powell is in the grinder. “The Economy is doing GREAT, with tremendous upside potential! If the Fed would do what they should, we […]

Fed Called it Wrong and is Still Doing it, Hurting All Americans

Fed Called it Wrong and is Still Doing it, Hurting All Americans

Tuesday, President Trump continued his attack on the Fed, saying it “loves watching our manufacturers struggle with their exports to the benefit of other parts of the world.” “Has anyone looked at what almost all other countries are doing to take advantage of the good old USA?” the President asked on Twitter. “Our Fed has been calling […]

Chairman Powell Challenged at Jackson Hole

Chairman Powell Challenged at Jackson Hole

Fed Chairman Powell comes to this year’s meeting of central bankers in Jackson Hole, WY, wedged between discord within the FOMC over appropriate monetary policy and mounting market pressure for more interest rate cuts. In navigating that gap, Chairman Powell is unlikely to use his Keynote speech Friday at the Kansas City Fed’s annual economic […]

A Divided FOMC Walking ‘The Trump Tightrope’

A Divided FOMC Walking ‘The Trump Tightrope’

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 increased 0.8% on Wednesday in a broad-based advance. Upbeat results and reassuring guidance from Target and Lowe’s reinforced the notion that the US consumer is in good shape, while investors parsed the FOMC mins from the July meeting.  The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 0.9%, the Nasdaq Composite increased 0.9%, […]

The ‘Inverted Yield Curb’ Explained

The ‘Inverted Yield Curb’ Explained

Traders and investors have been asking what is the “inverted yield curve”, this unusual bond market phenom came on briefly last week for the 1st time in over 12 years and shook Wall Street with talk that an economic downturn was imminent. Following a tweet from President Trump referencing the “CRAZY INVERTED YIELD CURVE!”, the […]

President Trump Urges Fed Rate Cut of 100 Bpts, the Market is Giving Chairman Powell Little Choice

President Trump Urges Fed Rate Cut of 100 Bpts, the Market is Giving Chairman Powell Little Choice

Monday, President Trump stepped up his assault on the Fed, urging it to cut interest rates by a full percentage point to aid global growth while complaining the “dollar is so strong that it is sadly hurting other parts of the world.” “The Fed Rate, over a fairly short period of time, should be reduced […]

The Fed is Under Pressure to Ease Further

The Fed is Under Pressure to Ease Further

$SPY Last week, Federal Reserve Chairman Powell cut U.S. interest rates calling the move an insurance policy against the effects of “simmering” trade tensions, may need to buy more coverage after the United States late Monday designated China a currency manipulator. The move by US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin starts a formal process to address […]

ECB Vs Fed in ‘Undeclared’ Currency War…Tensions Rising

ECB Vs Fed in ‘Undeclared’ Currency War…Tensions Rising

FLASH: Fed policy makers reportedly are being forced to cut interest rates because of the European Central Bank’s much-lower policy rate. If losing demand to Europe weakens US growth and threatens to push inflation too low, US rates also must also fall. “The ECB’s policy rate, at minus 0.4%, is already nearly 3 percentage points […]

President Trump: “The Fed raised & tightened far too much & too fast, must cut now”

President Trump: “The Fed raised & tightened far too much & too fast, must cut now”

Monday, President Trump pushed the Fed to cut interest rates as policy makers ready for their decision this month on whether to do so. “Very inexpensive, in fact productive, to move now,” President Trump Tweeted Monday. “The Fed raised & tightened far too much & too fast.” The President has been attacking the Fed for more […]

Fed’s Balance Sheet is in the Trillions, Rate Cut Signals No Further Shrinking

Fed’s Balance Sheet is in the Trillions, Rate Cut Signals No Further Shrinking

The Fed is widely expected to reduce interest rates late this month. That probably means its campaign to shrink its balance sheet is over, leaving the central bank with trillions of dollars more than before the Y 2008 financial crisis. Beginning a decade ago in a bid to fight the Great Recession, the Fed by […]

President Trump on Crypto’s and Big Tech

President Trump on Crypto’s and Big Tech

$BTC, $BTCUSD, $FB, $GOOGL, $TWTR President Trump has criticized Bitcoin, Facebook’s proposed Libra digital coin and other cryptocurrencies and demanded that companies seek a banking charter and make themselves subject to US and global regulations if they wanted to “become a bank.” “I am not a fan of Bitcoin and other Cryptocurrencies, which are not […]

Fed’s Signal: Interest Rate Cuts Coming Soon

Fed’s Signal: Interest Rate Cuts Coming Soon

Wednesday, Fed Chairman Powell signaled that the Fed is likely to cut interest rates late this month for the 1st time in a decade in light of a weakening global economy and rising trade tensions. Delivering the central bank’s semiannual report to Congress, Chairman Powell said that since Fed officials met last month, “uncertainties around […]

President Trump on Jerome Powell’s Future: “Let’s see what he does.”

President Trump on Jerome Powell’s Future: “Let’s see what he does.”

President Trump Tuesday kept up the pressure on the head of the Fed following a report that lawyers at the White House have explored the legality of stripping Jerome Powell of the Fed’s Chairmanship. Asked by reporters outside the White House if he wanted to demote Chairman Powell,  President Trump said: “Let’s see what he does.” […]

Fed Fueling a Recession, Chairman Powell On The Way Out

Fed Fueling a Recession, Chairman Powell On The Way Out

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX President Trump will not renominate Jerome Powell for another term as Fed Chairman if re-elected. “That will lead to very different monetary policy, so the Fed is not fully independent of politics,” former Fed VC Fischer, an Hussein Obama appointee, said Sunday at a talk in Israel. By criticizing […]

President Trump on Fed Chairman Powell, “I disagree with him ‘entirely'”

President Trump on Fed Chairman Powell, “I disagree with him ‘entirely

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Friday, President Trump sharply criticized Fed Chairman Powell in an interview aired Friday, blaming him for raising interest rates and damaging the US economy. “He is my pick, and I disagree with him entirely,” he said in an interview with ABC News that was filmed in the back of a […]

If you were paying close attention last week you Keyed on This…

If you were paying close attention last week you Keyed on This…

$EURUSD FLASH: Last week, Fed Chairman Powell said, “…we will act as appropriate to sustain the expansion.” With those few words Chairman Powell took the strength out of the argument for a recession because the Fed is very powerful. And with the stock market rallying, President Trump threatening more tariffs on China, stocks are just […]

Fed Keeps Rates Unchanged, Investors Bet Rate Cut Coming

Fed Keeps Rates Unchanged, Investors Bet Rate Cut Coming

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Global equities declined Wednesday, capping a 3-day winning streak after the Fed held rates steady as expected, but comments from Fed Chairman Powell cast doubt on whether the central bank’s next move would be a rate cut, as expected. The Fed left its Key interest rate unchanged Wednesday and […]

Gold is President Trump’s ‘Trump’ Card

Gold is President Trump’s ‘Trump’ Card

$GLD, $XAU, $USD FLASH: Gold could 2X overnight, especially if President Trump uses it as a weapon in his battle Vs the Fed. The Fed controls the Buck, the Buck is the world’s trading currency, and so the Fed controls the world. A stronger USD hurts the world’s growth prospects. It also hurts President Trump’s […]

“Fed May Not Hike Interest Rates Again…”

“Fed May Not Hike Interest Rates Again…”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RURX, $VXX FLASH: Wall Street finished flat to little changed in front of earnings season The stock market finished little changed Thursday in a tight-ranged trading session. The S&P 500 finished fractionally higher, as RSI from financial and industrial stocks helped mitigate losses from shares of healthcare companies in front of earnings […]

Stocks Finished Flat on Fed’s ‘Patience’ Confirmation

Stocks Finished Flat on Fed’s ‘Patience’ Confirmation

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: US stock markets pause on Powell’s testimony to Congress Markets opened lower and were cautious as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell testified before the Congress Tuesday. The Fed’s U-turn that took expectations for rate hikes this year to Zero has led to a drop in real borrowing costs and a […]

Powell Sees Solid, but Slower US Economic Growth in 2019

Powell Sees Solid, but Slower US Economic Growth in 2019

The US economy will grow at a solid though slower pace in Y 2019 and the Fed will remain “patient” in deciding whether to further raise interest rates, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said Tuesday. Chairman Powell reaffirmed the policy shift made by the Fed last month, telling a Senate Banking Committee hearing that “crosscurrents and […]

Fed Chairman Powell says it Again, “The US Economy is in a ‘Good Place'”

Fed Chairman Powell says it Again, “The US Economy is in a ‘Good Place

The Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said again Wednesday the US economy remains in a “good place” and has proved resilient so far to shocks like the British decision to leave the European Union. “The US economy is now in a good place,” with low unemployment and inflation near the Fed’s 2% target, Chairman Powell […]

President Trump Summoned Fed Chairman to Dinner at the White House

President Trump Summoned Fed Chairman to Dinner at the White House

Monday, President Trump summoned Fed Chairman Jerome Powell to the White House for dinner to discuss recent economic developments and the overall outlook. The Fed is being tight lipped about the ongoing monetary policy discussions with President Trump. Chairman Powell’s comments were “consistent with his remarks at his press conference of last week,” the Fed […]

Treasury Traders Nervous

Treasury Traders Nervous

US treasury traders are bracing for heightened volatility next week as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ushers in a new era of press conferences after every meeting, while the US and China meet again for trade talks. The FOMC is expected to keep interest rates unchanged following the 9 hikes since Y 2015. But investors see […]

Managed Money Moves Back into High Yield Corporate Bonds

Managed Money Moves Back into High Yield Corporate Bonds

US fund investors charged into high-yield corporate bonds during the latest week, shoveling $3.3-B, the most cash flowing into that market since late Y 2016, Lipper said Thursday, boosted by dovish words from Fed Chairman Powell. Underscoring investors’ appetite for some risk-taking, investors pulled $15-B net cash from US-based money market funds, according to the […]

Market Hears Powell’s Comments, Rally Extends

Market Hears Powell’s Comments, Rally Extends

$DIA, $SPY. $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX No recession in sight, No rate hikes ahead. Thursday, Federal Chairman Jerome Powell said the US central bank has the ability to be patient on policy given inflation is stable, allowing it to assesses whether the US economy will slow this year as some in financial markets worry.initial comments boosted […]

Fed Out of Touch, Fails to Communicate its Message Clearly

Fed Out of Touch, Fails to Communicate its Message Clearly

Fed Chairman Powell not listening, he is being reprieved a the enemy of the US economy and the equity markets. President Donald Trump expressed confidence in the Fed, and its Chairman, Jerome Powell, following reports that he has discussed firing his central bank chief, though the President complained again that interest rates have been rising […]

Fed Made ‘Policy Mistake’, President Trump Not Likely to Sack Powell Yet

Fed Made ‘Policy Mistake’, President Trump Not Likely to Sack Powell Yet

$SPY, $WFC, $CS Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) cut estimates for stocks next year on concern the Fed is making policy mistakes that will dampen US economic growth. Chris Harvey, head of equity strategy at the bank, cut his year-end target for the S&P 500 Index to 2,665 from 3,079. While the new forecast represents a 10% […]

Fed’s Dovish Outlook Fuels Broad Based Rally in Stocks

Fed’s Dovish Outlook Fuels Broad Based Rally in Stocks

Fed’s Dovish Outlook Fuels Broad Based Rally in Stocks $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 extended weekly gainer by 2.3% Wednesday after Fed Chairman Powell said he sees current interest rates “just below” Neutral. His dovish remarks at the NY Economic Club thus providing a rally point of of the Key reversal Monday […]

Fed Chairman Powell, “Rate Hikes Are Not Automatic in Healthy Economy”

Fed Chairman Powell, “Rate Hikes Are Not Automatic in Healthy Economy”

Fed Chairman Powell, “Rate Hikes Are Not Automatic in Healthy Economy” Fed Chairman Jerome Powell cast a bright picture of the US economy Wednesday and appeared to suggest that the Fed might consider a pause in its interest rate hikes next year to assess the impact of its credit tightening. Chairman Powell’s comments ignited a […]

President Trump, “the Fed is the problem, must lower rates.”

President Trump, “the Fed is the problem, must lower rates.”

President Trump, “the Fed is the problem, must lower rates.” US President Donald Trump renewed his criticism of the Fed Tuesday, describing the central bank as a “problem” as he called for lower interest rates. The latest Presidential assault on the nation’s monetary authority comes as stocks dive on concerns ranging from slower global growth, […]

US Economy Cools, Fed’s Powell Hints a Rate Halt in 2019

US Economy Cools, Fed’s Powell Hints a Rate Halt in 2019

US Economy Cools, Fed’s Powell Hints a Rate Halt in 2019 Fed Chairman Jerome Powell has laid out a scenario for a pause in the central bank’s interest-rate hiking campaign sometime next year by highlighting potential headwinds cooling the US economy. Wednesday, Chairman Powell listed 3 possible challenges to growth in Y 2019, they are; […]

FOMC Leaves Key Fed Funds Rate Unchanged

FOMC Leaves Key Fed Funds Rate Unchanged

FOMC Leaves Key Fed Funds Rate Unchanged Little reaction to the FOMC announcement, the major averages now trade little changed from their pre-FOMC release levels. The Fed has left its Key policy rate unchanged but signaled that it plans to keep responding to the strong US economy with more interest rate hikes. The next rate […]

President Trump is Not Demanding a Monetary Policy Change at the Fed

President Trump is Not Demanding a Monetary Policy Change at the Fed

President Trump is Not Demanding a Monetary Policy Change at the Fed Wednesday, White House economic advisor Larry Kudlow said that US President Trump was not demanding a policy change at the Fed. President Trump heaped more criticism on the Fed Tuesday, calling rising US interest rates his “biggest threat.” The Trump Administration official said […]

President Trump, “My Biggest Threat Is the Fed”

President Trump, “My Biggest Threat Is the Fed”

President Trump, “My Biggest Threat Is the Fed” Tuesday, US President Donald Trump escalated his assault on the Fed, calling the central bank the biggest threat of his Presidency. “My biggest threat is the Fed,” President Trump said in a TV interview. “Because the Fed is raising rates too fast, and it is too independent,” he […]

President Trump, “The Fed is Out of Control”

President Trump, “The Fed is Out of Control”

President Trump, “The Fed is Out of Control” $DIA, SPY, QQQ, RUTX, VXX US President Donald Trump said he will not fire Fed Chairman Jerome Powell but blamed an “out of control” FOMC for the worst stock market sell-off since February. President Trump also told reporters in the Oval Office Thursday morning that he knows […]

President Trump’s Economic Boom Can Last ‘A Good Many Years’

President Trump’s Economic Boom Can Last ‘A Good Many Years’

President Trump’s Economic Boom Can Last ‘A Good Many Years’  President Trump is Guiding ‘Hottest Economy’ in World Larry Kudlow, director of the White House’s National Economic Council, does not see an end to the robust economic growth sparked by President Donald Trump’s strategy. “I just do not see where this is going to end,” he […]

US Economy Experiencing “Extraordinary Times”, Outlook Strong

US Economy Experiencing “Extraordinary Times”, Outlook Strong

US Economy Experiencing “Extraordinary Times”, Outlook Strong Tuesday, US Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said Tuesday that he sees no need to drop the central bank’s current gradual approach to raising interest rates. Chairman Powell said the combination of steady, low inflation and very low unemployment shows the country is going through “extraordinary times.” The Fed […]

President Trump, “I am not thrilled with rate hikes”

President Trump, “I am not thrilled with rate hikes”

President Trump, “I am not thrilled with rate hikes” President Donald Trump criticized the Fed’s interest-rate increases, breaking with White House tradition of avoiding comments on monetary policy out of respect for the independence of the central bank. “I’m not thrilled,” President Trump said in expressing frustration with the Fed in an interview to be broadcast […]

A Standing DOJ ‘Memo’ says, “No Sitting US President Can Be Indited”

A Standing DOJ ‘Memo’ says, “No Sitting US President Can Be Indited”

A Standing DOJ ‘Memo’ says, “No Sitting US President Can Be Indited” US President Donald Trump is unlikely to face any charges stemming for the federal investigation into whether his campaign colluded with Russia in interfering with the 2016 Presidential Election, a former top Justice Department official told reporters last week. “I don’t think the […]

Economy Steams Ahead Under President Trump’s Deregulation Policy

Economy Steams Ahead Under President Trump’s Deregulation Policy

Economy Steams Ahead Under President Trump’s Deregulation Policy $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Fed Chairwoman Janet Yellen, in her final testimony to Congress as head of the central bank, described a steadily brightening picture for the US economy while downplaying the risks of financial instability. “The economic expansion is increasingly broad based across sectors as well […]

Trump’s Fed Chairman Nominee ‘Good News’ for Gold Investors

Trump’s Fed Chairman Nominee ‘Good News’ for Gold Investors

Trump’s Fed Chairman Nominee ‘Good News’ for Gold Investors $GLD, $SLV, $USD President Donald Trump’s selection for the next Chairman of the Fed’s Board of Governors will not alter policy much, and could be good news for Gold investors. Trump’s selection of current Fed Governor Jerome “Jay” Powell follows months of public speculation about the […]