The growing mystery of where China’s rapid slowdown is headed may become the biggest risk on the horizon. The world economy. Recession Watch: The global economy’s in its weakest shape since the financial crisis 10 years ago. China got more affirming evidence of its Big slowdown, with industrial output and retail sales softening and a […]
$EUR FLASH: ECB will maintain current level of rates through the end of Y 2019 and launch new targeted longer-term refinancing operation (TLTRO-III) in September European Central Bank presented a huge set of monetary policy initiatives Thursday that sent economists and analysts on Twitter spinning. Below are some of their quick reactions as the EUR […]
FLASH: The Trump Policy at Work for Americans The Key takeaways from the FOMC Minutes from the 29-30 January meeting, as follows: There was widespread agreement for the FOMC to end shrinkage of the $4-T balance sheet by the end of the year. The timetable ends uncertainty over whether shedding assets would further tighten financial conditions. The […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Higher, USD Lower, Crude Oil Higher, Stocks Higher Notes: Trade talks dominate headlines with a new round of negotiations between the US and China expected in Washington Tuesday, and follow-up sessions at a higher level this week. Minutes of the Fed’s last policy meeting are due Wednesday and should provide more guidance on the likelihood or […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Higher, USD Higher, Crude Oil Mixed, Stocks Higher Notes: Trade talks dominated headlines with a new round of negotiations between the United States and China expected in Washington on Tuesday, and follow-up sessions at a higher level later in the week. Comments from European Central Bank’s Olli Rehn on Sunday have triggered speculation the […]
$USD, $EUR FLASH: The Fed has pivoted to a Dovish policy, yet that does not appear to have stopped USD. The US Dollar (.DXY) Index, which measures the value of the Buck Vs a basket of 6 peer currencies, just hit a 2month-high, which also happens to be close to a 2-year high. The strength […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Higher, USD Off, Crude Oil Higher, Stocks Higher Notes: Minutes of the Fed’s last policy meeting are due Wednesday and should provide more guidance on the likelihood or not for rate hikes this year. There is also talk the Fed will keep a much larger balance sheet than previously planned. Financial markets are generally […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Ranged, USD Higher, Crude Oil Higher, Stocks Lower In Asia Notes: US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin hopes for “productive” trade meetings in China scheduled to run through Friday.The United States has used tariffs as leverage to demand Beijing make major structural policy changes, including ending the forced transfer of American technology, fully enforcing intellectual property rights, and […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT FLASH: Gold Higher, USD Higher, Crude Oil Higher, Stocks Up In Asia Notes: US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said Thursday he hopes for “productive” trade meetings in China, as the 2 countries work to hammer out an agreement to resolve their trade dispute. The talks, scheduled to run through Friday, follow 3 days of deputy-level meetings to work […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Steady, USD Higher, Crude Oil Up, Stocks Up In Asia Notes: US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said Wednesday he hopes for “productive” trade meetings in China this week, as the 2 countries seek to hammer out an agreement to resolve the trade dispute. The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX) dropped overnight to as low as 14.95, […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold SteadyUSD HighersCrude Oil UpStocks Up In Asia Notes: Messrs. Mnuchin and Lighthizer opened another round of trade talks in Beijing Monday to push for a deal to protect American IP, and avert a 2 March increase in US tariffs on Chinese goods. Gold: Gold prices steady Tuesday as investors kept a cautious stance ahead this round […]
3$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold EasedUSD CautiousCrude Oil DownStocks Off In Asia Notes: Messrs. Mnuchin and Lighthizer open another round of trade talks in Beijing this week to push for a deal to protect American intellectual property and avert a 2 March increase in US tariffs on Chinese goods. Gold: Gold prices eased Monday as uncertainties around US-China trade tensions […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold SteadyUSD SteadyCrude Oil DownStocks Off In Asia Notes: China closed all week for the Lunar New Year Thursday, the EC sharply cut its forecasts for euro zone economic growth due to global trade tensions and a numberof domestic challenges. Messrs. Mnuchin and Lighthizer are expected to kick off another round of trade talks in Beijing next week […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold OffUSD UpCrude Oil DownStocks Up In Asia Note: China closed all week for the Lunar New Year The Cboe Volatility (VIX) Index, Wall Street’s so-called “fear gauge,” dropped to 15.60, its lowest level in 4 months, Monday. Gold: Gold fell to a more than 1-week low Thursday, pressured by a stronger USD, but worries over slowing global […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold SteadyUSD FirmCrude Oil UpStocks Subdued In Asia Note: China closed all week for the Lunar New Year The Cboe Volatility (VIX) Index, Wall Street’s so-called “fear gauge,” dropped to 15.60, its lowest level in 4 months, Monday. Gold: Gold prices held firm Wednesday after US President Trump, in his State of the Union speech, vowed to build […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold UpUSD FirmCrude Oil UpStocks Higher In Asia Note: China closed all week for the Lunar New Year The Cboe Volatility (VIX) Index, Wall Street’s so-called “fear gauge,” dropped to 15.60, its lowest level in 4 months, Monday. $VXX Gold: Gold rose Tuesday in thin trading as investors made purchases after prices touched 1-week lows Monday, but improved […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold OffUSD FirmCrude Oil UpStocks Steady In Asia Note: China closed all week for the Lunar New Year Gold: Gold prices slipped Monday as risk aversion waned amid some signs of progress in US-China trade talks, while a firm USD kept bullion under pressure. Spot gold was down 0.4% at $1,313.01 oz by 0552 GMT US […]
The Fed’s decision to stop raising interest rates puts a “fundamentally healthy” US economy on track to further growth, Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank President Neel Kashkari indicated Sunday. “I think we still have room to run in the US economy,” Mr. Kashkari said at a town hall at a church in Long Lake, Minnesota. “The […]
The Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis’ President James Bullard applauded the shift away from its policy of raising interest rates, saying that should help to ensure a solid US economy for the next 2 years. “I think it set us up for a very good couple of years here,” Mr. Bullard said in a TV […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold OffUSD EasedCrude Oil SteadyStocks Up In Asia Gold: Gold fell Friday as investors sought riskier assets on optimism the United States and China ill reach a trade deal, although a pause in US interest rate hikes kept bullion on track for a 2nd weekly increase. Spot gold fell 0.3% to $1,316.95 oz at 0719 GMT. Prices […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold SteadyUSD EasedCrude Oil UpStocks Up In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) held its policy-setting meeting and stood pat with a very dovish tone. Officials from Washington and Beijing have launch a new round of trade talks aimed at resolving their disputes. Gold: A surge in gold purchases by central banks to the highest […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold HigherUSD EasedCrude Oil Off a BitStocks Flat to Little Change In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold its next policy-setting press conference on 30 January no hike expected. Officials from Washington and Beijing are set to launch a new round of trade talks on Wednesday aimed at resolving their disputes amid […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold SteadyUSD FlatCrude Oil SteadyStocks Higher In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold it next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. Gold: Gold price broke psyche resistance at 1300 oz Gold futures are hanging near 7-month highs at $1,302.2 oz. Spot gold was last at 1,304.19 after breaking above a the Key psych […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold SteadyUSD FlatCrude Oil downStocks Higher In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold it next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. Gold: Gold prices held steady Monday, near a 7-month peak scaled in previous session, on hopes the Fed will keep interest rates unchanged during its 2-day policy meeting this week. Spot gold […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold SteadyUSD FlatCrude Oil UpStocks Rise In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. Washington Thursday signaled it could impose sanctions on Venezuela’s Crude Oil exports as Caracas descends further into political and economic chaos. The US-China trade discussions will provide insight into how talks are […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold SteadyUSD FlatCrude Oil DownStocks Rise In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. China reported its lowest annual economic growth since Y 1990 and must stimulate, but its retail markets are expanding widely. China makes up 19% of the world’s economy, the slowdown this year […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold SteadyUSD FlatCrude Oil UpStocks Off In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. China reported its lowest annual economic growth since Y 1990 and must stimulate. Gold: Gold prices stood firm Wednesday on higher demand for safe-haven assets over concerns of slowing global economy and […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold OffUSD FlatCrude Oil DownStocks Off In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. China’s state planner Tuesday warned that the downward pressure on the economy will affect China’s job market as falling factory orders point to a further drop in activity in coming months and […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Up USD Soft Crude Oil Higher Stocks Up In Asia Notes: The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. UK PM May will return to Parliament Monday to set out how she plans to try to break the BREXIT deadlock after her deal was rejected by […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Steady USD Firm Crude Oil Higher Stocks Up In Asia Notes: A report Thursday saying that Washington was considering lifting some or all tariffs imposed on Chinese imports buoyed financial markets, including Crude Oil. The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. Gold: Spot gold was set for its 5th straight […]
US fund investors charged into high-yield corporate bonds during the latest week, shoveling $3.3-B, the most cash flowing into that market since late Y 2016, Lipper said Thursday, boosted by dovish words from Fed Chairman Powell. Underscoring investors’ appetite for some risk-taking, investors pulled $15-B net cash from US-based money market funds, according to the […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Steady USD Firm Crude Oil Lower Stocks Mixed In Asia Notes: Spot gold is about to exit a Neutral range of $1,285-$1,299, and either rise to $1,311 or drop towards $1,268. The Federal Open Markets Committee (FOMC) will hold the next policy-setting meeting on 29-30 January. Gold: Gold has gained for 5 weeks running, but prices have been […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Up USD Lower Crude Oil Steady Stocks Steady including Japan In Asia Notes: On the earnings front, US banks: Goldman Sachs (GS) will be in focus Wednesday Expectations are low with profits for US companies forecast to rise 6.4%, down from an 1 October estimate of 10.2% and a big fall from 2018’s tax cut-fueled gainer of more […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Steady USD Lower Crude Oil Up Stocks Higher including Japan In Asia Notes: On the earnings front, US banks are in sharp focus with Quarterly results from JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC), Goldman Sachs (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) this week. Monday, Citigroup (C) beat profit estimates. The bank’s shares rose 4.0% and bolstered the S&P financial […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Higher USD Lower Crude Oil Down Stocks Lower sans Japan In Asia Notes: On the earnings front, US banks are in sharp focus with Quarterly results from Citigroup (C) due Monday followed by JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Wells Fargo (WFC), Goldman Sachs (GS) and Morgan Stanley (MS) later in the week. Expectations are low with profits for US companies […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Higher USD Lower Crude Oil Down Stocks Higher sans Japan In Asia Gold: Gold prices climbed Friday as USD retreated on expectations the Fed will pause interest rate hikes if the US economy slows this year, while investors awaited news on progress in the US-Chinatrade talks. Spot gold rose 0.6% to $1,293.55 oz as at 0604 GMT, heading […]
$GLD,$SLV,$USD,$USO,$OIL,$SOY,$CORN,$WEAT Gold Higher USD Lower Crude Oil Down Stocks Higher sans Japan In Asia Gold: Gold prices rose Thursday as expectations that the Fed will pause its rate tightening cycle this year. Spot gold was up 0.2% at $1,295.84 oz as of 0556 GMT, hanging near Friday’s at $1,298.42, a mark last seen in mid-June 2018. US gold futures gained […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX S&P 500 retests its February low at 2532.69 for the 3rd session running US stocks declined Wednesday after the Fed’s dovish forecast of fewer interest-rate increases in Y 2019 fell short of investors’ hopes of a more dovish monetary policy. The DJIA fell as much as 500 pts at 1 […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The market is looking for a Dovish stance from the FOMC when it comes to its interest rate projections for Y 2019. Everything will come into view at 2:00p EST Wednesday Investors in pain from a difficult year hope the Fed will align with President Trump’s ‘demand’ for dovishness in […]
Markets Flash ‘Slowdown’, Fed Turns ‘Dovish’ $JPM, $USO The Fed is likely to deliver some response to the wave of risk aversion hitting global markets, according to JPMorgan Asset Management’s fixed-income Chief. Policy makers can hardly ignore inversions showing up on the yield curve while a violent sell-off rocks US stocks on trade tensions, European […]
Expect a Rise in Gold’s Price on Fed’s Dovish Stance on Rate Hikes $XAU, $GLD Gold may be set up to rally as speculation mounts that the Fed will hit the pause button on interest rate hikes in Y 2019. After lift-off in late Y 2015 followed by a rise a year later, the Fed […]
Wall Street Bets Yes, President Trump’s America First Policy Working $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ Friday, US stocks rose as investors bet on progress in US-China trade meeting Saturday, and the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq posted their biggest weekly percentage gains in almost 7 years. DJIA saw its largest weekly advancer in 2 years, as investors […]
Fed’s Dovish Outlook Fuels Broad Based Rally in Stocks $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 extended weekly gainer by 2.3% Wednesday after Fed Chairman Powell said he sees current interest rates “just below” Neutral. His dovish remarks at the NY Economic Club thus providing a rally point of of the Key reversal Monday […]
Fed Chairman Powell, “Rate Hikes Are Not Automatic in Healthy Economy” Fed Chairman Jerome Powell cast a bright picture of the US economy Wednesday and appeared to suggest that the Fed might consider a pause in its interest rate hikes next year to assess the impact of its credit tightening. Chairman Powell’s comments ignited a […]
US Stocks Finished Virtually Flat After Post-Election Spike $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USO, $VXX Stocks in the US drifted Thursday after the big rally Wednesday. The S&P 500 slipped 0.3% Thursday in the wake of the FOMC decision to leave the fed funds rate unchanged as expected. The benchmark index traded slightly below its flat line […]
President Trump is Not Demanding a Monetary Policy Change at the Fed Wednesday, White House economic advisor Larry Kudlow said that US President Trump was not demanding a policy change at the Fed. President Trump heaped more criticism on the Fed Tuesday, calling rising US interest rates his “biggest threat.” The Trump Administration official said […]
President Trump, “Big news coming for American Autoworkers” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX US President Donald Trump said that “big news” was coming that would be welcomed by US auto workers, and he suggested it was somehow linked to NAFTA trade talks. “There will be big news coming soon for our great American Autoworkers. After many […]
Trump’s Fed Chairman Nominee ‘Good News’ for Gold Investors $GLD, $SLV, $USD President Donald Trump’s selection for the next Chairman of the Fed’s Board of Governors will not alter policy much, and could be good news for Gold investors. Trump’s selection of current Fed Governor Jerome “Jay” Powell follows months of public speculation about the […]
DJIA Rises to Record Highs, S&P 500 & NAS Comp Lag $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Thursday, the DJIA climbed to record highs, while losses in Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) kept the S&P 500 and the NAS Comp flat. US investors are now seeing the tax cut plan unveiled by President Donald Trump and the GOP Congress. Market […]
Yellen and Draghi Open Jackson Hole Symposium Friday $USD, $DXY, $EUR The Jackson Hole Symposium is this week’s most anticipated event, in part due to a severe lack of other newsworthy market stories but also because two very important central bankers are scheduled to appear. The Fed and the ECB are not only 2 of […]
Sell in May, Go Away a Bad Play This Year $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The data shows that the S&P 500 has delivered a total return, including reinvested dividends, of 10.8% over the last 6 months, essentially capturing all of the average rolling 12-month total return on the index since Y 1990. The Big Q: […]
Gold’s Price Rise Triggers Mining Stocks’ Rally $GDX, $SBLG, $GFI, $NEM, $EXCFF Just about a week ago it looked like Gold’s Y 2017 rally was running out of steam, and in danger of losing sight of the psych mark at 1,200 oz. A number of major Gold stocks which had outperformed the precious Yellow metal […]
Monday’s Bounce Must Hold for US Market to Continue North $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Last week ended on a low note as the major US stock market indexes all declined more than 2.0% and 3.1% in the case of the Russell 2000 in a selloff. The CBOE Volatility (VIX) Index, meanwhile, spiked 40% in a […]
Monday’s Technical Outlook for DJIA (.DJI) $DIA, $DJI US stocks closed in the Red last Friday, with the DJIA down by 0.33% or 58 pts, to end the day at 17,675.16, the worst week for the index in over a month. The S&P shed 6 pts, to finish at 2,071.22, and the NAS Comp fell […]
US Fed’s Messages Confuse Financial Markets $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The US economy may only need 1 rate hike between now an 2018 (if then) and the US Fed is eroding its credibility by indicating otherwise, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said Friday, and he is asking for an overhaul of how the Fed […]
Janet Yellen’s Remarks Anything But “Dovish” Monday, US Federal Reserve Chairwoman Janet Yellen said that interest rate hikes are likely on the way because “positive economic forces outweigh the negative” for the United States now that risks from earlier this year have diminished. In Monday’s public comment from any US central banker before a Key […]