Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, Once again, the US stock market was primed to rebound, it rebounded extending into options expiration, + there is plenty of money still on Wall Street’s sidelines. The US financial market was closed Monday for a Holiday, Options expiry brought a big Northside move. Perhaps we will see come giveback […]

China Signals Willingness to Eliminate Trade Imbalance with US

China Signals Willingness to Eliminate Trade Imbalance with US

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX INDUSTRY WATCH Strong: Industrials, Materials, Financials, Consumer Discretionary Weak: Utilities, Real Estate China’s willingness to eliminate the US trade imbalance. According to a report Friday, China made an offer during trade negotiations earlier this month to boost the amount of US imports, such that the trade balance with the US would be […]

US Considering Lifting Some or All Tariffs Against Chinese Imports

US Considering Lifting Some or All Tariffs Against Chinese Imports

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The US market spiked on reports that the US is considering lifting tariffs on China imports during trade negotiations. US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin has discussed the lifting some or all tariffs imposed on Chinese imports and suggested offering a tariff rollback during trade discussions scheduled for 30 January. But […]

Inflation Muted, Fed ‘Patient’ on Interest Rate Hikes

Inflation Muted, Fed ‘Patient’ on Interest Rate Hikes

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US wholesale prices fell last month on a steep fall in gasoline prices suggesting that inflation will remain tame in the coming months. The Labor Department said that the producer price index, which tracks cost changes before they reach the consumer fell 0.2% in December from the prior month. The drop […]

Stocks Cautious on China Growth, Financials and Industrials Lead, Gold in Favor

Stocks Cautious on China Growth, Financials and Industrials Lead, Gold in Favor

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $GLD, $VXX Trade tensions should not disturb your portfolio’s peace of mind. To help prevent your portfolio from becoming “trade war collateral,” consider diversifying your assets to minimize exposure. Assets like physical Gold and Silver are historically known to perform well during turmoil in such dust ups. Recently, Jim Cramer urged investors frightened […]

US Stocks Finished Flat/Unchanged Ahead of Earnings Season

US Stocks Finished Flat/Unchanged Ahead of Earnings Season

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Stocks paused to refresh Friday after being up 10.4% since Christmas Eve, earnings season begins in earnest next week, Analysts have been very negative ahead of this coming reporting frame. Earnings reports start next week with results from the big banks. And the warnings have been the most dire in […]

Market Hears Powell’s Comments, Rally Extends

Market Hears Powell’s Comments, Rally Extends

$DIA, $SPY. $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX No recession in sight, No rate hikes ahead. Thursday, Federal Chairman Jerome Powell said the US central bank has the ability to be patient on policy given inflation is stable, allowing it to assesses whether the US economy will slow this year as some in financial markets worry.initial comments boosted […]

Fed Policymakers Voice Patience on Future Rate Hikes, Rally Extends

Fed Policymakers Voice Patience on Future Rate Hikes, Rally Extends

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Chicago Fed President Charles Evans (FOMC voter) expects rate hikes to continue, adding that the Fed can show some patience before resuming rate hikes. Boston Fed President (FOMC voter) Eric Rosengren does not rule out changes to the pace of balance sheet reduction on a slowdown. Fed policymakers said last […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Near Term

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, The US stock market was primed to rebound, it rebounded. Earnings are just ahead and if stocks continue to the Northside as they have on this bounce then the lowered estimates might not be a plus. So, for now savvy players will be playing the bounce, because the selloff was […]

Box Office: ‘Aquaman’ at $31-M; ‘Escape Room’ Opens at $18-M

Box Office: ‘Aquaman’ at $31-M; ‘Escape Room’ Opens at $18-M

Globally, the swimming Superhero film hits $940.7-M; ‘Bumblebee’ buzzes to $83-M overseas to top the foreign weekend chart. $TWX, $SNE, $DIS, $VIA Superheroes dominate at the box office, where Aquaman stayed atop the chart in its 3rd weekend running with a domestic take of $30.7-M, for a domestic take of $259.7-M and global box office of […]

Fed Follows President Trump’s Lead, Stocks Soar

Fed Follows President Trump’s Lead, Stocks Soar

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 gained 3.4% Friday, as Fed Chairman Powell signaled patience and flexibility on rates in light of stronger-than-expected jobs data. The DJIA (+3.3%), the NAS Comp (+4.3%), and the Russell 2000 (+3.8%) also marked strong gains to finish the week + 1.6%, 2.3%, and 3.2%, respectively. All 11 […]

Apple’s 2019 Outlook Shakes the Broad Market

Apple’s 2019 Outlook Shakes the Broad Market

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $AAPL The S&P 500 fell 2.5% Thursday, as a revenue warning from Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) and weak manufacturing data fueled concerns about a slowdown in global economic growth, undermining the broad market. The DJIA lost 2.8%, the NAS Comp lost 3.0%, the Russell 2000 lost 1.8%. On the day, 9 of the 11 […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DJIA,  $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XRT, $AMZN, $VXX The S&P 500 rallied 5.0% Wednesday from extremely oversold conditions Rebounding Crude Oil prices, strong holiday sales, and some short covering drover the S&P 500 to its best 1-day gainer since March 2009. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 5.0%, the NAS Comp gained 5.8%, and the Russell 2000 […]

Headlines Rule the Markets, Consumers Undaunted

Headlines Rule the Markets, Consumers Undaunted

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 fell 2.1% Friday on headline uncertainty surrounding politics and trade. As they continued to provide a justification to reduce risk. Friday’s decliner pushed the benchmark index to a new yearly low at 2408.12 and a weekly loss of 7.1%. All 11 S&P 500 sectors finished in the […]

See ‘Tremendous Value’ in Stock Dive

See ‘Tremendous Value’ in Stock Dive

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX Savvy investors are not worried about Southside risk in here. Investment guru Leon Cooperman said he is finding “tremendous value” in many stocks right now amid the market plunge. The Omega Advisors founder said he does not really see any signs of a lasting Bear market and urged savvy investors to buy “their […]

US Stocks Tapping at Bear Market Territory on Uncertainty

US Stocks Tapping at Bear Market Territory on Uncertainty

Stock Market’s Negative Reaction to Fed is “Overblown” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin said Thursday that the negative stock market reaction following the Fed’s rate hike this week was “completely overblown.” Secretary Mnuchin said the stock market overreacted, with computerized program trading taking over and driving stock prices down further. […]

Market Looking for a Dovish Stance from the FOMC Wednesday

Market Looking for a Dovish Stance from the FOMC Wednesday

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The market is looking for a Dovish stance from the FOMC when it comes to its interest rate projections for Y 2019.  Everything will come into view at 2:00p EST Wednesday Investors in pain from a difficult year hope the Fed will align with President Trump’s ‘demand’ for dovishness in […]

Recession Fears Overblown, See Stocks Rallying to Record Highs

Recession Fears Overblown, See Stocks Rallying to Record Highs

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Monday, Federated Investors’ strategist Steve Chiavarone predicts the recent market plunge is temporary and that recession fears are totally unsubstantiated. In a TV interview Monday, Mr. Chiavarone said that he sees stocks soaring to new record highs because of labor market trends, inflation levels, the US Treasury yield curve and […]

President Trump Hammers Fed for “Even Considering Rate Hike”

President Trump Hammers Fed for “Even Considering Rate Hike”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Monday, just 2 days before the FOMC is expected to raise fed funds rates for a 4th time this year, President Trump and his Top trade adviser ratcheted up their criticism of the Fed’s monetary tightening. “It is incredible that with a very strong dollar and virtually no inflation, the […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DJIA,  $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, ,$VXX The US major stock market will start this week again testing the bottom of the range formed with by the selling that began in October. The S&P 500 cracked 2600 and supposedly that sets up more Southside action. Sentiment is extreme as reported by the AAIA, outflows from stocks are at […]

The Data Indicates the US Stock Market is Undervalued

The Data Indicates the US Stock Market is Undervalued

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX After 7 weeks+ of volatility financial guru’s are trying to explain what is fueling this stock market action, when the data say the market is undervalued. There looks to be a new “headline of the day” knocking the stock market.  Chinese trade talks, BREXIT, government shutdowns, Fed rate hikes, inverted yield […]

The Fed Fueled Bull Market in Stocks

The Fed Fueled Bull Market in Stocks

The Fed’s Policy of Perpetual Bull Market $DIA, $GLD, $SLV In this longest Bull market on record, do you see what I see in the Bear’s Eye View chart below?  The Dow Jones’ last BEV Zero (last all-time high) was on October 3rd; and for the first time since October 3rd the Dow Jones broke down […]

Charting the Crowd Selling Vs Bull’s Positive Sentiment

Charting the Crowd Selling Vs Bull’s Positive Sentiment

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ Weak charts Vs Positive data. On Thursday, 2 of the major US stock indexes finished below their support marks keeping their near-term trends Bearish, while another closed above its near-term downtrend line, turning its trend to Neutral. But the economic the data is sending encouraging signals, especially regarding market psychology. Break this […]

Atlanta Fed Lifts GDP Outlook to 3% on Consumer Spending

Atlanta Fed Lifts GDP Outlook to 3% on Consumer Spending

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The US economy is expanding at a 3.0% annualized rate in Q-4 based on steady retail sales growth and stronger-than-forecast industrial output in November, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow forecast model showed Friday. This is faster than the 2.4% pace for Q-4 GDP (gross domestic product) that the Atlanta Fed’s […]

President Trump Leads, Xi Makes Good on Promises, America Wins

President Trump Leads, Xi Makes Good on Promises, America Wins

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $SOY, $VXX China resumed buying US Soybean, bringing some relief to farmers in the US heartland as President Xi works toward a trade deal with his American counterpart. The giant Asian commodity importer bought 2-M tonnes of American Soybean (SOY) over the past 24 hrs, with shipments expected to occur sometime […]

President Trump: “Important Announcements on China Coming”

President Trump: “Important Announcements on China Coming”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ After a Twitter monologue about the border Wall Tuesday morning, President Donald Trump offered hints of good news about US negotiations with China.  “Very productive conversations going on with China! Watch for some important announcements! The trade truce between Presidents Trump and Xi will halt pause 1 January planned tariffs, with large […]

DJIA Swings 507 Pts on Trump, Schumer Dustup, Finishes Flat

DJIA Swings 507 Pts on Trump, Schumer Dustup, Finishes Flat

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The DJIA and S&P 500 finished another headline driven session flat to unchanged Tuesday as investor optimism over US-China trade talks was offset by US President Donald Trump’s threat to shut down the US government and by political uncertainty in Britain, France and Italy. A US official told Reuters late […]

President Trump, “I want a trade deal good for US, China and Global Growth”

President Trump, “I want a trade deal good for US, China and Global Growth”

President Donald Trump wants to a trade deal that will be good for the United States, China, and global growth, White House Council of Economic Advisers Kevin Hassett said Monday.  The stock market responded, bouncing off its lows. “If a country came to the US right now and offered Zero tariffs, Zero non-tariff barriers, full […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

 $DJIA,  $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, ,$VXX The US major stock market will start the week testing the bottom of the range formed with by the selling that began in October. The patterns and technical indicators suggest a move from where the major indexes closed Friday back up to the November highs. After a reversal off the trading […]

Fake, Bad News Pressuring This Market

Fake, Bad News Pressuring This Market

There is disconnect in the markets between strong fundamentals and weaker valuations , and it’s being driven by both negative real and fake news. $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX The global head of macro quantitative and derivatives research at JPMorgan, is among the analysts who published a year-ahead outlook on Friday with an expected Y 2019 […]

Silver to Gold Ratio Points to Over-sized Profits Coming to Silver

Silver to Gold Ratio Points to Over-sized Profits Coming to Silver

Silver to Gold Ratio Points to Over-sized Profits Coming to Silver $SLV, $GLD, $DIA I last wrote an article on Friday November 9th as the Dow Jones closed with a value of -3.13% in the BEV chart below.  Three Friday’s later and the Dow Jones closed today with a value of -4.81%. Not much of a […]

Volatile Markets are Opportunities for Savvy Participants

Volatile Markets are Opportunities for Savvy Participants

Volatile Markets are Opportunities for Savvy Participants $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Some investors get scared when the stock market falls, but there is always the other side of that action. When selling happens, stocks are on sale. The recent Southside action can provide opportunities that investors have not seen for a while. The Key […]

Monday’s Trade Relief Rally Saw Profit Taking Tuesday

Monday’s Trade Relief Rally Saw Profit Taking Tuesday

Monday’s Trade Relief Rally Saw Profit Taking Tuesday $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 fell 3.2% Tuesday on some concern on future economic growth, which was signaled by the drop in US Treasury yields. A technical test and breach of the S&P 500’s 200-Day MA at 2762.32 contributed to the selling. Monday’s trade-relief […]

America Leads, the Rest of the World Follows

America Leads, the Rest of the World Follows

America Leads, the Rest of the World Follows $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Saturday’s truce in the US-China trade dispute put investors in buy mode Monday, driving US stocks due North, extending the market’s gains on last week Key reversal confirmation. The broad rally followed huge US futures gains that triggered overseas markets as investors […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $SPY, $VXX Just 12 days ago everybody on The Street was celebrating Thanksgiving in a very cautious market mode, they came back to their desks, and triggered a Key reversal in the major US stock market indexes that was confirmed on Friday, 30 November and […]

World Wide Stocks Surge on US- China Trade Truce

World Wide Stocks Surge on US- China Trade Truce

World Wide Stocks Surge on US- China Trade Truce $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $SOY FLASH: President Donald Trump says on Twitter that China has agreed ‘to reduce and remove’ 40% tariffs on cars from the United States. Futures on the DJIA are currently up 488 points after Presidents Trump and Xi agreed to a 90-day halt […]

Wall Street Bets Yes, President Trump’s America First Policy Working

Wall Street Bets Yes, President Trump’s America First Policy Working

Wall Street Bets Yes, President Trump’s America First Policy Working $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ Friday, US stocks rose as investors bet on progress in US-China trade meeting Saturday, and the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq posted their biggest weekly percentage gains in almost 7 years. DJIA saw its largest weekly advancer in 2 years, as investors […]

US September Crude Oil Production Hits 4th Month Running at Record Highs

US September Crude Oil Production Hits 4th Month Running at Record Highs

US September Crude Oil Production Hits 4th Month Running at Record Highs $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USO, $VXX US Crude Oil production hit a new all-time high of 11.5-M BPD in September, according to the data announced Friday, the latest indicator of a wave of onshore US production that has weighed on global markets. US […]

Fed’s Dovish Outlook Fuels Broad Based Rally in Stocks

Fed’s Dovish Outlook Fuels Broad Based Rally in Stocks

Fed’s Dovish Outlook Fuels Broad Based Rally in Stocks $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 extended weekly gainer by 2.3% Wednesday after Fed Chairman Powell said he sees current interest rates “just below” Neutral. His dovish remarks at the NY Economic Club thus providing a rally point of of the Key reversal Monday […]

US Stocks Saw a Broad Based Rally Monday, Retail Led

US Stocks Saw a Broad Based Rally Monday, Retail Led

US Stocks Saw a Broad Based Rally Monday, Retail Led $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XRT, $VXX Investment guru Jim Cramer said he hates how the current market is treating investors by literally mauling anyone who ventures near volatile US stocks. “I have tremendous contempt for this market, because every time you try to make money […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $SPY, $VXX Last week everybody that is anybody was away celebrating Thanksgiving, now they are back to their desks, that is if not stranded in a blizzard. Looking back, here is some stirrings emerging from the small and mid-caps via chips, telecom, and some bio techs and […]

Equities Finished Lower on Weaker Energy and FAANGs

Equities Finished Lower on Weaker Energy and FAANGs

Equities Finished Lower on Weaker Energy and FAANGs $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USO, $VXX The S&P 500 fell 3.8% on this Holiday-shortened trading week, erasing its gain for the year. The DJIA lost 4.4%, the NAS Comp lost 4.3%, and the Russell 2000 lost 2.6%. The S&P 500 lost 0.7% Friday on low-volume. Friday’s session […]

Best Time Since President Trump’s Election to Buy Stocks

Best Time Since President Trump’s Election to Buy Stocks

Best Time Since President Trump’s Election to Buy Stocks $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ,$RUTX, $VXX Savvy investors, sidelined and sitting on cash are setting up to come back into this market The sell-off that started in October is a healthy correction in this Bull market and investors should continue to tune out the Noise. The beaten down […]

As Market Corrects, Huge Opportunities Come to Light

As Market Corrects, Huge Opportunities Come to Light

As Market Corrects, Huge Opportunities Come to Light $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX This Bull market correction is/will yield huge opportunities for savvy and patient participants. If you have to put money to work in the market now, we suggest you go into the defensive names in healthcare, consumer staples and utilities In tech 1 will […]

Energy, Retail and Tech Stocks Continue to Lead Market Due South

Energy, Retail and Tech Stocks Continue to Lead Market Due South

Energy, Retail and Tech Stocks Continue to Lead Market Due South $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XRT, $VXX Recently we have heard commentary about rising recession risk; widening corporate credit spreads; forecasting message of the sharp losses in cyclical sectors and former leadership stocks/sectors; lack of both gains and buy-the-dip success in November, which call into […]

As Market Leadership Rotates, Money Manager Speak Out

As Market Leadership Rotates, Money Manager Speak Out

As Market Leadership Rotates, Money Manager Speak Out $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ Following are the views of 7 money managers and strategists on what could conceivably put a brake on the selling in this market. This view is held by almost everyone: that a softening in Fed’s hawkish rhetoric and President Trump’s trade dispute talk would […]

The FAANGs Drove the S&P 500 (SPY) Due South Monday

The FAANGs Drove the S&P 500 (SPY) Due South Monday

The FAANGs Drove the S&P 500 (SPY) Due South Monday $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FAANG Group: Apple,  Facebook Inc, Amazon.com Inc, Netflix Inc and Alphabet Inc shed between 3% and 4.8% on the day. Monday, the Dow Jones Industrial Average shed more than 500 pointsm as a slump in Apple shares hammered the tech […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX DJIA higher, some testing leaders start to bounce back. Chipmakers show many interesting Northside setups. Fed Vice Chairman moves warm markets. The market action has given up some good patterns, the Big Q: Will the break North into year’s end. Today is Monday, the […]

Dow Jones’ Earnings are at Record Highs Vs the Price of Gold

Dow Jones’ Earnings are at Record Highs Vs the Price of Gold

Dow Jones’ Earnings are at Record Highs Vs the Price of Gold $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $GLD, $SLV The DJIA is seeing action, on Wednesday, the day after the mid-term elections it advanced by 2.13% from its prior day’s closing price, it was the 4th day of extreme volatility since early October. Everyone was happy about […]

See a 10% Rally in Stocks On a Trade Deal with China

See a 10% Rally in Stocks On a Trade Deal with China

See a 10% Rally in Stocks On a Trade Deal with China $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX A positive US-China statement or a tariff pause are rising possibilities China’s Bear market is driving the settlement agreement. Investors pained by the pullback in stocks are looking toward this month’s G-20 Summit for a breakthrough on trade. […]

Banks Will Feel Pain Once Crude Oil Price Fall Below $50 bbl

Banks Will Feel Pain Once Crude Oil Price Fall Below $50 bbl

Banks Will Feel Pain Once Crude Oil Price Fall Below $50 bbl $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USO, $VXX The S&P 500 gained 1.1% Thursday to snap a 5-session losing streak. US-China trade optimism and strength from tech stocks, Banks can handle the energy-linked loans they have  extended just as long as Crude Oil prices don’t drop […]

Warren Buffett Putting Cash to Work

Warren Buffett Putting Cash to Work

Warren Buffett Putting Cash to Work $BRK.A, $BRK.B, $JPM, $ORCL, $TRV, $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Warren Buffett’s Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE:BRK.A & BRK.B) Wednesday said it had taken stakes in JPMorgan Chase & Co., Oracle Corp. and Travelers Cos., as the conglomerate puts some of its sidelined cash to work. As of 30 September Berkshire […]

Presidential Harassment by Congressional Dems Causing Stock Market Concerns, They Will Pass

Presidential Harassment by Congressional Dems Causing Stock Market Concerns, They Will Pass

Presidential Harassment by Congressional Dems Causing Stock Market Concerns, They Will Pass $DIA No matter what you think of  President Trump, his reign as President has been great for stocks. US President Donald Trump issued a Tweet on Monday blaming losses in the stock market on Democrats. “The prospect of Presidential Harassment by the Dems is causing […]

S&P 500 Falls 54.79 pts, Breaking 200-Day Moving Average on Tech Selloff

S&P 500 Falls 54.79 pts, Breaking 200-Day Moving Average on Tech Selloff

S&P 500 Falls 54.79 pts, Breaking 200-Day Moving Average on Tech Selloff $SPY, $DIA, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX A broad sell-off in technology companies drove US stocks sharply lower Monday, as Apple, Amazon, Goldman Sachs and other big names fell. Banks and consumer-focused companies and media and communications stocks also took heavy losses. Bond trading was […]

US Stocks Finished Virtually Flat After Post-Election Spike

US Stocks Finished Virtually Flat After Post-Election Spike

US Stocks Finished Virtually Flat After Post-Election Spike $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USO, $VXX Stocks in the US drifted Thursday after the big rally Wednesday. The S&P 500 slipped 0.3% Thursday in the wake of the FOMC decision to leave the fed funds rate unchanged as expected. The benchmark index traded slightly below its flat line […]

Two Years In, President Trump Holds Stock Market Bragging Rights

Two Years In, President Trump Holds Stock Market Bragging Rights

Two Years In, President Trump Holds Stock Market Bragging Rights $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wednesday, US stocks rallied with broad gains led by the technology and healthcare sectors as investors made bets that a divided Congress would be good for equities. Democrats won control of the House Tuesday, while President Donald Trump’s Republican party […]

US Stock Market Setup to Rise 10% in Relief Rally Off of the October Pullback

US Stock Market Setup to Rise 10% in Relief Rally Off of the October Pullback

US Stock Market Setup to Rise 10% in Relief Rally Off of the October Pullback $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX My work shows that the US stock market could rally in relief at least 10% after Tuesday’s midterm Congressional elections. With so much risk recently taken off the table heading into the elections it is a […]

S&P 500 Companies’ Profit Growth Highest Since 2010

S&P 500 Companies’ Profit Growth Highest Since 2010

S&P 500 Companies’ Profit Growth Highest Since 2010 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Still, investors are somewhat cautious with US Congressional midterm elections Tuesday. US earnings growth for S&P 500 companies in Q-3 is on track to be the highest since Y 2010, eclipsing the strong results from earlier this year, according to the data. […]

Investors Focused on Outcome of Congressional Midterm Elections

Investors Focused on Outcome of Congressional Midterm Elections

Investors Focused on Outcome of Congressional Midterm Elections $SPY, $DIA The US Congressional midterm elections will have implications for Wall Street, regardless of how they shape the balance of power in Congress. That is because in every scenario there could be winners and losers in Key sectors of the market, including banking, pharmaceuticals, companies that […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX  NFPs report solid, shows best wage growth in 10 years. China trade, market still struggles on news. 4 day Rally paused Friday All Eyes on the US Congressional Midterm Elections Tuesday Friday, stocks opened higher then faded, trending lower into early afternoon. Positives turned to […]

Stocks are Cheap and the Biggest Buyers are Jumping Back In

Stocks are Cheap and the Biggest Buyers are Jumping Back In

Stocks are Cheap and the Biggest Buyers are Jumping Back In $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Companies are the biggest purchasers of their own shares, and they were absent from the market for the last several weeks, just as stock prices were tumbling on worries about global trade and rising interest rates. Businesses were holding […]

President Trump’s China Trade Tweet Drives the Market North

President Trump’s China Trade Tweet Drives the Market North

President Trump’s China Trade Tweet Drives the Market North $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US stocks rose for a 3rd day running Thursday after President Trump said trade talks with China were “moving along nicely” boosted investors optimism. President Trump Tweeted that he had a “long and very good conversation” with China’s President Xi, adding […]

Democrats Do Not Have the Power to Sway Economy Even With Midterm Upset

Democrats Do Not Have the Power to Sway Economy Even With Midterm Upset

Democrats Do Not Have the Power to Sway Economy Even With Midterm Upset $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US President Donald Trump warned that if Democrats regain political power in the midterm Congressional elections, the US economy could implode, because: Democrats would push tax hikes and environmental restrictions that stifle growth. Undocumented immigrants would steal […]

 More Tariffs in Store for China if President Trump’s Meeting with President Xi Fails in November

 More Tariffs in Store for China if President Trump’s Meeting with President Xi Fails in November

More Tariffs in Store for China if President Trump’s Meeting with President Xi Fails in November $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The United States is preparing to announce tariffs on all remaining Chinese imports by early December if talks next month between presidents Donald Trump and Xi Jinping fail to ease the trade dispute. The […]

A 2019 Bear Market Event May Trigger a DJIA Move to 40,000

A 2019 Bear Market Event May Trigger a DJIA Move to 40,000

A 2019 Bear Market Event May Trigger a DJIA Move to 40,000 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $MTAFF, $GLGDF, $RGLD, $FNV,$WPM You may recall in January 2016, the DJIA was trading at the 16,000 mark, when Yves Lamoureux, President of macroeconomic research firm Lamoureux & Co., said DIA would top 25,000 within 3-4 years. It did not take […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Earnings: Over 20% of S&P 500 companies have reported, 72% have beat The Street estimates Market is concerned about the Fed overreacting, as it always does. China’s economy is in decline Halloween Market Week: Tricks & Treats The US stock market’s technical indicators suggest […]

Sell Off Overdone, Strong Buying Fuels Rally

Sell Off Overdone, Strong Buying Fuels Rally

Sell Off Overdone, Strong Buying Fuels Rally $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Thursday, US stocks spiked on oversold technicals giving the NAS Comp its biggest daily percentage gainer since March, as Microsoft’s (NASDAQ:MSFT) upbeat earnings fueled strong buying in tech names and investors bought up oversold shares. Traders said investors bargain-hunted Thursday after the market’s […]

Buy the Dip: “Fed has the Market’s Back”

Buy the Dip: “Fed has the Market’s Back”

Buy the Dip: “Fed has the Market’s Back” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Investors should take advantage of this market pull back, the deepest in 3 years to position for a year-end rally as fears over Fed Hawkishness are likely overdone. While catalysts cited behind the Southside action ranged from peak earnings growth to trade […]

The US is in a ‘Great Economic Boom’

The US is in a ‘Great Economic Boom’

The US is in a ‘Great Economic Boom’ $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Americans’ evaluations of current US economic conditions and the economy’s trajectory are the most optimistic in nearly 20 years, Gallup reported. Currently, 54% of Americans rate economic conditions as “excellent” or “good,” and just 12% as “poor,” Gallup reported. Also, by 57% to […]

Fed Will Fade, Halt Interest Rate Hikes After December

Fed Will Fade, Halt Interest Rate Hikes After December

Fed Will Fade, Halt Interest Rate Hikes After December $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Jim Cramer says Fed Chairman Jerome Powell will hike interest rates once more in December and then stop. “I just think he’s going to blink,” Mr. Cramer said on TV Monday “It’s going to be 1 and done in December. That’s […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Earnings: 20% of S&P 500 companies have reported, 70% have beat The Street estimates The S&P 500, DJIA and NAS Comp held their 200-Day SMA’s Friday Market is concerned about the Fed overreacting, as it always does. China’s decline is feared, may decline further, […]

National Mandate for a Big GOP Victory in November, Brings Overseas Investors to US

National Mandate for a Big GOP Victory in November, Brings Overseas Investors to US

National Mandate for a Big GOP Victory in November, Brings Overseas Investors to US $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The 2018 midterm elections only 17 days away, + the political and earnings seasons are in full swing with the S&P 500 numbers coming in higher that expected with 20% of the member reported. The Big […]

US Stocks Test on Fed Rates and Global Growth Concerns

US Stocks Test on Fed Rates and Global Growth Concerns

US Stocks Test on Fed Rates and Global Growth Concerns $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 index closed just above its 200-Day MA, a Key indicator of long-term price trends. US stocks opened lower as Chinese stocks fell overnight, sparking concerns about the impact of trade tensions on China’s economy. Plus, concerns mounted […]

Expect Strong Earnings, Forward Expectations to Drive Markets to Record Highs

Expect Strong Earnings, Forward Expectations to Drive Markets to Record Highs

Expect Strong Earnings, Forward Expectations to Drive Markets to Record Highs $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX Wall Street’s longest Bull market rally is alive and well after last weeks healthy pull back and will continue to run North into the record territory. Last week’s pull back action is not indicative of any fundamental changes in the […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Monday, earnings season starts in earnest For now traders are playing an oversold bounce. But, if this is a relief move, the later you enter, the worse risk/reward.  So, be selective if you are adding more bounce plays. Also, look at some areas receiving […]

Street Analysts See Strong Rally Into Year’s End

Street Analysts See Strong Rally Into Year’s End

Street Analysts See Strong Rally Into Year’s End $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Stocks bounced and held after pulling back Wednesday and Thursday The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) fell 14.3% Friday, retreating from its highest marks since February. Friday, Morgan Stanley strategists, whose warning about a “rolling Bear market” seemed to pay off this week after high […]

President Trump, “The Fed is Out of Control”

President Trump, “The Fed is Out of Control”

President Trump, “The Fed is Out of Control” $DIA, SPY, QQQ, RUTX, VXX US President Donald Trump said he will not fire Fed Chairman Jerome Powell but blamed an “out of control” FOMC for the worst stock market sell-off since February. President Trump also told reporters in the Oval Office Thursday morning that he knows […]

Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) Elon Musk Denies Being Replaced By James Murdoch Chairman

Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) Elon Musk Denies Being Replaced By James Murdoch Chairman

Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) Elon Musk Denies Being Replaced By James Murdoch Chairman $TSLA Elon Musk is scared to death of James Murdoch, Tesla’s (NASDAQ:TSLA) deposed Chairman Elon Musk denied a report that James Murdoch is the “favorite” candidate to replace him as Chairman of Tesla. CEO Musk Tweeted a reply to a FT article that just […]