A Note on Inflation and the S&P 500 Test

A Note on Inflation and the S&P 500 Test

#inflation $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Earnings are too good to ignore and if the right developments for the economy unfold, they are likely to grow substantially from current marks. With that in mind, our target for the S&P 500 is 4,250 by year’s end“–Paul Ebeling Note on inflation: the Fed’s Beige Book for economic […]

Gold Marks 1st Gainer in 6 Sessions, Stocks Dip

Gold Marks 1st Gainer in 6 Sessions, Stocks Dip

#gold #stocks $XAU $GLD $USD $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Gold futures finished up Tuesday after 5-session of declines that pushed the precious Yellow metal’s prices to their lowest marks in 8+months. Gold futures settled +10.60 (+0.6%) at 1,733.60oz aided in part by a weaker USD and lower bond yields. US major stock indexes finished […]

Fed Chairman Powell to Congress: “We do not see any inflation”

Fed Chairman Powell to Congress: “We do not see any inflation”

#inflation #stocks #bonds #commodities #stimulus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Americans do not need aid/relief/stimulus and handouts, they need an open economy and jobs” — Paul Ebeling “The best thing Joe Biden could do right now is stop spending, stop borrowing, stop regulating, and let the economy get better on its own,” economist Steven Moore […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet  $DIA $SPY $QQQ $SOX $RUTX $VXX “The Bull trend is still North, after last week consolidation, the new money will flow in” — Paul Ebeling What happened last week All major US stock market indexes consolidated and tested, as the DJIA catches up. And the news was overall good. The technicals S&P 500 like the PHLX Semiconductor Sector […]

Saudi Arabia, as a Nation Dismisses Mr. Biden’s Intel as ‘Fake’

Saudi Arabia, as a Nation Dismisses Mr. Biden’s Intel as ‘Fake’

#SaudiArabia #Biden #intel $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Mr. Biden’s administration will soon realize that the complex issues of the region will not find a solution, except through a new and exceptional agreement with its partners in the region that holds Iran accountable. Saudi Arabia, 1 of America’s closest Arab allies officially dismissed what it […]

Senate Parliamentarian: Democrats Cannot Include $15/hr Minimum Wage in COVID Relief Bill

Senate Parliamentarian: Democrats Cannot Include $15/hr Minimum Wage in COVID Relief Bill

#Senate #COVID #relief $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX #VXX This decision reinforces reconciliation cannot be used as a vehicle to pass major legislative change by either party on a simple majority vote. In a blow to Democrats, the Senate parliamentarian ruled the chamber cannot include Mr. Biden’s proposed $15/hr minimum wage his $1.9-T VirusCasedemic idea he […]

Janet Yellen is Challenging Jerome Powell’s Control of the Financial Markets

Janet Yellen is Challenging Jerome Powell’s Control of the Financial Markets

#Fed #Treasury #inflation #employment #economy #money $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USD $XAU $GLD $XAG $SLV “The problem with too much Fed liquidity is financial markets continuing to mark record highs“– Paul Ebeling The Feds mandate is to maintain control of inflation, unemployment and long-term interest rates through its monetary policy decisions. Fed Chairman Powell is […]

The Coming Inflation May Be Worse Than the Late 1970’s

The Coming Inflation May Be Worse Than the Late 1970’s

#Fed #inflation $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Printing money is necessary in a crisis just as long as it is temporary”– Paul Ebeling In Y 2020, Congress and President Trump borrowed to spend about $3.3-T to lift family incomes, boost unemployment benefits, and support businesses, but most new Treasuries were not bought up by private investors. […]

The Financial Markets Like ‘Cheap Money’

The Financial Markets Like ‘Cheap Money’

#markets #money $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The bond markets steadied, the USD fell and stocks edged ahead Wednesday as central banks from Washington to Wellington vowed to keep monetary policy loose for a long time, giving investors enough confidence to seek out riskier assets.  Fed Chairman Powell told Congress Tuesday the economy remained “a […]

Post-BREXIT Britain Plans Fintech ‘Big Bang’

Post-BREXIT Britain Plans Fintech ‘Big Bang’

#BREXIT #UK #Fintech $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX UK Chancellor Rishi Sunak plans to introduce new visas for financial technology workers in next month’s budget, part of a package of proposals in a report aimed at boosting the industry in the country. The fast-track visa program is designed to lure global talent to Britain’s fintech […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet  $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The Bull trend is still North, the money continues to flow in” — Paul Ebeling What happened last week All major US stock market indexes consolidated and held. The DJIA is catching up and it recovered more than 200 pts off of its lows. Looking at some important groups, and taking the indexes […]

Lots of Stock Opportunities in the Coming Inflation Environment

Lots of Stock Opportunities in the Coming Inflation Environment

#inflation #stocks #bonds #investors #traders $SPY $QQQ $DIA “Pricing power is set to become a alpha generator due to the wide variance in how companies cope with it“– Paul Ebeling Inflation is bad news for bond investors, as it pares the value of future returns. For stock investors and traders, inflation is not that bad […]

The World is Set for a Strong Economic Recovery

The World is Set for a Strong Economic Recovery

#economic #recovery #VirusCasedemic #Japan #machine #tools $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Japan’s exports accelerated in January, led by a rise in Chinese demand, and manufacturers’ sentiment turned positive for the 1st time since Y 2019 signaling a recovery from last year’s VirusCasedemic deep dive. Core machinery orders, a Key leading indicator of capital spending, rose […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet  $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The Bull trend is North, the money is flowing in record amounts” — Paul Ebeling What happened last week The US benchmark indexes: the S&P 500, DJIA and the NAS Comp, all all posted doji’s for the 3rd day running and edged up. They are working to consolidate laterally, hold the gains and […]

Investing in This Post-VirusCasedemic Chaos

Investing in This Post-VirusCasedemic Chaos

#investing #VirusCasdemic #COVID19 #Chaos $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX “When the Black Swan flies in savvy investors seek opportunities to develop their portfolios“– Paul Ebeling The COVID-19 casedemic chaos has rearranged so much of how people manage their day-to-day lives and financial investing is included. Lockdowns, shutdowns and stay-at-home orders changed peoples routines, impacted economies and […]

Stocks: Path of Least Resistance is North

Stocks: Path of Least Resistance is North

#stocks #trend #sentiment $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX NAS Comp closed at record high and the DJIA marked a record high intraday in mixed session “On 31 December 2020 S&P 500 earnings for Q-4 were projected to decline 9.2% Y-Y. That estimate did not come true“– Paul Ebeling  The blended earnings growth rate, which takes […]

Economic Growth in This Post-Casedemic Pre-Inflation Scenario

Economic Growth in This Post-Casedemic Pre-Inflation Scenario

#casedemic #inflation #economy #growth $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The future is coming, be prepared is the marching song” –Paul Ebeling Since 23 March 2020 we have seen enthusiasm among investors regarding the return to prosperity in a post-casedemic pre-inflation world. Despite the slow rollout of the non-vaccine vaccines to the general population, the market […]

America’s Big Businesses are Hiring

America’s Big Businesses are Hiring

#jobs #JOLTS $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX JOLTS (job openings) rose in December, led by increases in business services and retail trade, signaling that companies are looking to add workers as the nation starts getting vaccinated against the coronavirus. The number of available positions increased to 6.65-M during the month the Labor Department’s Job Openings […]

Record Highs All Around in the US, Small Caps Leading

Record Highs All Around in the US, Small Caps Leading

#stocks #record #highs #buy $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Monday, traders and investors pushed ‘buy’ again and each of the US benchmark stock market indexes set intraday and closing record highs“– Paul Ebeling The S&P 500 advanced 0.7% for its 6th straight gainer and passing the 3900 mark for the 1st time. The NAS Comp […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet  $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The Bulls are confident and their money is flowing” — Paul Ebeling Last weeks action opened February with a big bang as investors bought the dip and and drove the market indexes to new record highs. The stock market rebounded swiftly from the last wk in January’s decliner, with the S&P 500 finishing […]

Mr. Biden’s $1.9-T ‘American Rescue Idea’ is Classic Washington Pork

Mr. Biden’s $1.9-T ‘American Rescue Idea’ is Classic Washington Pork

#WallStreet #stocks #record #highs #WashingtonDC #aid/relief/stimulus #pork #Biden $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Wall Street Bulls closed out a winning wk as the S&P 500 marked its 5th gainer running, and its biggest wkly extension since November 2020“– Paul Ebeling Republican lawmakers decry Mr. Biden’s $1.9-T American Rescue Plan as classic Washington Pork. Both Republican […]

America’s Economy is Resilient and Amazing, it Needs No Wasteful Stimulus

America’s Economy is Resilient and Amazing, it Needs No Wasteful Stimulus

#US #Economy #Stimulus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “What we are hearing from the MSM that the US economy is in dire straits is simply not true“– Paul Ebeling The American economy is amazingly resilient and does not need aid/relief/stimulus bailouts despite blue state and big city lockdowns. What it needs is to eradicate the […]

The 2 Sides are Far Apart on More Aid/Relief/Stimulus

The 2 Sides are Far Apart on More Aid/Relief/Stimulus

#aid/relief/stimulus #Fed #Treasury #Biden #Democrats #Republicans $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Wednesday, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans upped his support for Mr. Biden’s $1.9-T economic aid/relief/stimulus idea, saying he would rather risk a package that is too big than a smaller package that would mean a slower path to recovery. “If it is too much, […]

Mr. Biden is Determined to Raise Taxes on Corporations

Mr. Biden is Determined to Raise Taxes on Corporations

#taxes #corporations #antibusiness #antiinvestor #money #Fed #stock #Biden $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Cheap money from the Fed allows new and established companies to grow without the burden of high interest. This money benefit’s stock prices” — Paul Ebeling Mr. Biden’s administration is likely to raise taxes on corporations. And that is bad for workers and […]

Global Markets Rally, Gold and Silver Follow

Global Markets Rally, Gold and Silver Follow

#markets #rally #Gold #Silver $DIA $RUTX $SPY $QQQ $VXX $XAU $XAG $GLD $SLV Global shares rebounded from last weeks pull back and silver prices spiked Monday driving the Devil’s metal to 8-yr highs. MSCI’s benchmark for global stock markets rose 1.47% to finish at 652.35 Monday. Silver mining stocks rose and precious metals dealers saw […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet  $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The Bullish trend is still up in here, and new money is flowing” — Paul Ebeling Last weeks action closed the month of January. Stocks rebound, but did not finish on the Northside. Sentiment indicators are extended some. The benchmark indexes pulled back but their support held. Friday’s action to close the month […]

The Market is Saying: Mr. Biden’s Aid/Relief/Stimulus Package is Just an Idea

The Market is Saying: Mr. Biden’s Aid/Relief/Stimulus Package is Just an Idea

#Aid/Relief/Stimulus, #idea, #Biden $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX, $VXX, $GME “The SEC said Friday that it is evaluating the extreme price volatility of certain stocks’ trading prices warning that such volatility can expose investors to rapid and severe losses and undermine market confidence“–Paul Ebeling Friday, the S&P 500 tested to it 50-D MA, as it fell […]

Retail Investors ‘Squeezing’ Institutional Short Sellers

Retail Investors ‘Squeezing’ Institutional Short Sellers

#short #sellers $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $GME “‘Squeezing’ short sellers once a game for professionals, is now controlled by brigades of retail investors worldwide“– Paul Ebeling The Gamma Short is played like this: Usually a ‘whale’ buys a large number of out-of-the-money call options in a single name with a high short interest. The option […]

Mr. Biden is Set Out to Transplant American Capitalism with Communism

Mr. Biden is Set Out to Transplant American Capitalism with Communism

#Capitalism #Republic #Marxist #Socialists #Progressive #Communism #Democrats #Biden #Utopia $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Mr. Biden’s solution to the false claims of man-made global warming is aimed to destroy Capitalism and reconstruct the US economy into a Marxist Socialist system, aka Communism. Not likely, because in America the free market dictates who succeeds and who […]

The Bulls Paused to Refresh, Fears of a Large Market Bubble are Overblown

The Bulls Paused to Refresh, Fears of a Large Market Bubble are Overblown

#Bulls #bubble $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX As global shares are hanging at record highs, and we believe that this stock market is not an overblown bubble, but there are some little sector bubbles where the risk lies. With MSCI’s All Country World index, which tracks stocks across 49 countries is where the fears are […]

Fed Policy Remains Firmly in Economic Rescue Mode, Bulls Continue to Run

Fed Policy Remains Firmly in Economic Rescue Mode, Bulls Continue to Run

#inflation #Fed $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Inflation numbers this yr may cause headaches for families concerned about food, gas bills and a return to 1970’s-style price spikes“–Paul Ebeling Headline inflation fell from May to June last yr, then spiked in the following months as the recovery began. That will mean higher inflation numbers this […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet  $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $SOX $VXX “Both Big and Small Cap Bulls are still running” — Paul Ebeling Last weeks action The shortened trading wk featured renewed strength in the Mega-caps, which drove the outperformance of the NAS Comp (+4.2%) and lifted the S&P 500 (+1.9%), DJIA (+0.6%), and the Russell 2000 (+2.2%), each benchmark index market new record […]

Risk-taking Spiked Following the Last Round of Virus Relief Checks, It Will Again

Risk-taking Spiked Following the Last Round of Virus Relief Checks, It Will Again

#risk #stocks #relief #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “We have no doubt that some of the nearly $2-T in virus aid/relief/stimulus Mr. Biden is seeking from Congress will end up being spent stocks“– Paul Ebeling The data show that risk-taking spiked following the last round of China Virus aid/relief checks. Mr. Biden’s economic-recovery plan […]

Some Investors Believe “High Times” are Back in Vogue

Some Investors Believe “High Times” are Back in Vogue

#investors #cannabis #marajuana #Democrates #HighTimes $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Now, with Democrats in control, investors are ‘High on Cannabis‘”– Paul Ebeling Georgia’s 5 January election results, that flipped the Senate to Democratic control, have stoked the embers under the cannabis industry. Prior, the market for legal US product was forecast to more than 2X, […]

US Stocks Driving Due North, as Professional Investors Hedge Bets

US Stocks Driving Due North, as Professional Investors Hedge Bets

#stocks $SPY $QQQ $DIA $RUTX $VXX $VIX US stock prices have driven to record highs, and VIX contracts are telling us that the professional investors are buying insurance against market volatility that could erupt at any time as the valuations are stretched a bit now. The hedging can be seen in futures on the CBOE […]

Thursday’s Economic Data Signals a Growing Economy

Thursday’s Economic Data Signals a Growing Economy

#economic #growth #housing #emplyment #mega-cap #stocks $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Thursday’s action drew support from a better-than-expected housing starts and building permits report for December. The NAS Comp (+0.6%) and S&P 500 (+0.03%) finished at fresh record highs Thursday on the strength in several Mega-caps Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) 136.87, +4.84, or +3.7% was the most influential mover […]

Inflation Looms: Gold, Copper Spike, USD Falls, Big-caps Boom

Inflation Looms: Gold, Copper Spike, USD Falls, Big-caps Boom

#inflation #gold #silver #USD $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $XAU $GLD $XAG $CU $USD $DXY Thursday, Gold and Copper spiked as USD weakened on signs that interests rates will remain at all time lows, boosting inflation expectation ahead. The Dollar Spot index extended declines for a 3rd day running Wednesday, supporting prices of commodities priced in […]

Yellen, “Spend Big Now, Pay Later”

Yellen, “Spend Big Now, Pay Later”

#Yellen #spend $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX ‘Schoolmarm’ Janet Yellen, Mr. Biden’s nominee for Treasury Secretary, urged lawmakers Tuesday to “act big” on the next virus aid/relief/stimulus package, saying that the benefits outweigh the costs of a higher federal debt burden. Ms. Yellen said she wants to help Americans endure the final months of the […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet  $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $SOX $VXX “The Bulls are still running, despite the political scenario” — Paul Ebeling Last Week’s Action The Small-cap Bulls are running and driving those stocks due North on the notion of a Biden admin $1.9-T aid/relief/stimulus package and Johnson & Johnson’s (NYSE:JNJ) new vaccine. Our technical indicators, sentiment and fundamental internals are beginning to look […]

The Walls are Cracking Around Mr. Biden’s Economy

The Walls are Cracking Around Mr. Biden’s Economy

#Biden #economy #retail #sales #consumer #confidence #spending #aid $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “This past Holiday season, consumers stayed home and gauged the prospects of a Biden economy, retail sales sank on the cracks!”— Paul Ebeling US retail sales declined at the close of the Holiday shopping season, wrapping up a difficult year for the […]

The Fed Let the World Know it is Not Exiting its Easy Money Policy

The Fed Let the World Know it is Not Exiting its Easy Money Policy

#Fed #money $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Thursday, Fed Chairman Powell said “now is not the time” to be discussing an exit from ultra-easy monetary policy and promised to give plenty of notice before it begins to debate scaling back its huge bond-buying campaign. “We know we need to be very careful in communicating about […]

Facebook and Twitter Stock Hammered in Wake of Trump Ban

Facebook and Twitter Stock Hammered in Wake of Trump Ban

#Facebook #Twitter #PresidentTrump $FB $TWTR $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “After banning President Trump from their social media platforms, Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) and Twitter (NYSE:TWTR) have seen their combined market value plummet by $51.2-B over the last 2 trading sessions” — Paul Ebeling Following the Capitol last wks chaos, Facebook and Twitter indefinitely banned Trump’s accounts, […]

The Biden ‘Tax Plan’ Aimed to Undo President Trump’s Strong Economic Recovery

The Biden ‘Tax Plan’ Aimed to Undo President Trump’s Strong Economic Recovery

#tax #Biden #PresidentTrump #markets #Americans $DIA $QQQ $SPY $RUTX $VXX Experts are telling us that Joe Biden’s plan to raise the corporate tax rate will undo most of President Trump’s economy boosting efforts as it will send some American companies offshore, keep others overseas, hobble domestic companies and drive up the unemployment rate, thus damaging […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet  $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $SOX $VXX “The Bulls are still running, despite the chaos” — Paul Ebeling Last Week’s Action Stocks ran higher, and the NAS Comp and PHLX Semiconductor Sector (SOX) led the run North The financial market is ignoring any and all bad news and is focused on more stimulus in Y 2021. With some caveats, […]

Tuesday “The January Effect” Kicked In

Tuesday “The January Effect” Kicked In

#JanuaryEffect #stocks $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX People are asking the Big Q: What Is The January Effect? The Big A: The January Effect is a seasonal increase in stock prices during the month of January. It is attributed to an increase in buying, which follows the drop in price that usually happens in late December […]

US Stock Market Looked Past December NFPs in Another Record Setting Close

US Stock Market Looked Past December NFPs in Another Record Setting Close

#stocks #record #highs #NFPs #Fed #stimulus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Fed Vice Chairman Clarida does not expect to begin tapering its asset purchases this year“– Paul Ebeling Stocks marked all-time highs on Democrats promise of trillions more of aid/relief/stimulus to further revive the world’s largest economy. The S&P 500 marked its 4th day running […]

DJIA, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 Ran to All-time Highs Despite Chaos on Capitol Hill

DJIA, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 Ran to All-time Highs Despite Chaos on Capitol Hill

#CaptolHill #Antifa #chaos #Congress #PresidentTrump $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The DJIA, S&P 500 and Russell 2000 (+4.0%) finished higher, soaring to all-time highs Wednesday, as investors ignored the Antifa led chaos on Capitol Hill. The FOMC minutes noted continued support for the economy Former FBI agent on the ground at the Capitol just texted […]

Fed’s Monetary Policy will Remain Accommodative for “quite some time”

Fed’s Monetary Policy will Remain Accommodative for “quite some time”

#Fed #monetary #policy #accommodative $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX  US economic growth could surge later this year if most Americans are vaccinated against The China Virus, but the gains would unlikely be enough for The Trump Fed to pull back its support, Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester said Monday. Even if the vaccines help people […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Santa Claus Rally to Extend

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Santa Claus Rally to Extend

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #SantaClaus #Rally $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $SOX $VXX “The Bulls will drive the Santa Claus Rally in to the New Year” — Paul Ebeling Last Week’s Action Again the US economic data came in strong, the benchmark indexes finished on the highs. The small-cap stocks led Wednesday, cloud software, some chips and some online […]

“The American Economy has been Supercharged”

“The American Economy has been Supercharged”

#PresidentTrump #economy “The American economy has been supercharged, but it needs to eradicate The China Virus and fully reopen”— Paul Ebeling “What we need to do is get the government out of the way. And get this medical emergency chaos behind us. Not raise taxes and regulations, not shut down our oil and gas industries. […]

“This Bull market does not look overbought…”

“This Bull market does not look overbought…”

#Investors #BullMarket #earnings #rally $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “This Bull market does not look overbought in here” — Paul Ebeling Analyst and investors see several parts of this market, including financials, leisure & hospitality stocks and energy with strong rally potential into Y 2021. Investors looking for a continued rally are optimistic of a […]

S&P 500 Marked a Record Closing High Finishing the Year with a 16.3% Gainer

S&P 500 Marked a Record Closing High Finishing the Year with a 16.3% Gainer

#SP500 #stocks #record #highs #jobs #jobless #claims $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “There will be no stock reports Friday, 1 January as markets will be closed for the New Year Holiday. Happy New Year!” — Paul Ebeling US claims for unemployment benefits fell to a 1-month low. Initial jobless claims in regular state programs declined […]

Wall Street Looks South for Florida Life and Tax Benefits

Wall Street Looks South for Florida Life and Tax Benefits

#WallStreet #Florida $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Wall Street banks know that they do not need to be in Midtown Manhattan to do business, and employees like that“– Paul Ebeling Lots of Wall Street executives, bankers and fund managers are abandoning New York for Florida, embracing the Sunshine State over Metro New York as the […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Santa Claus Rally is On

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Santa Claus Rally is On

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #SantaClausRally #Bullish #COVID #Vaccine $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The Bulls Christmas Market is a happy one” — Paul Ebeling Now: The Bulls are in celebration mode this Monday morning with the major US stock indexes trading at: DJIA +199.60 at 30399.41, NAS Comp +76.91 at 12881.65, S&P 500+24.33 at 3727.39. That is what Bull markets do when Santa Claus leads the […]

‘Santa Claus Rally’ Will Drive Stocks Higher into the New Year

‘Santa Claus Rally’ Will Drive Stocks Higher into the New Year

#SantaClaus #Rally #stocks $DJIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Santa Claus Rally phenom was discovered in 1972 by Yale Hirsch, creator of the Stock Trader’s Almanac. A 7-day trading frame known as the “Santa Claus Rally” took hold of Wall Street Thursday and could drive the stock market higher into year-end. Based on historical data, the […]

Gold Up On Weakening USD as President Trump Threatens Veto of Aid/Relief/Stimulus Bill

Gold Up On Weakening USD as President Trump Threatens Veto of Aid/Relief/Stimulus Bill

#Gold #Dollar #aid/relief/stimulus #PresidentTrump #veto $DIA $SPY $QQQ, RUTX $VXX $XAU $GLD $USD Gold prices ticked higher Wednesday as weakness in USD offset worries about the aid/relief/ stimulus bill after President Trump threatened to veto the over porked legislation. Spot gold rose 0.3% at 1,865.01oz by 0333 GMT, while US gold futures held steady at […]

Big Professional Players Bolster Bitcoin’s Bullish Outlook

Big Professional Players Bolster Bitcoin’s Bullish Outlook

#crypto #currency #bullish #bitcoin #ethereum $BTC $ETH $DIA $SPY $QQQ $VXX “The crypto space has a few big players, but is mostly crowded with retail-traders and investors.” — Paul Ebeling YTD investor cash inflows into cryptocurrency funds and products hit $5.6-B up 600% from Y 2019, according to the latest data. The inflows plus the […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #TrumpRally #Bullish #COVIDVaccine #Options $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “There is still no indication this Bull market is about to roll over on negative sentiment” — Paul Ebeling Last Week’s Action Stocks opened well and closed well, but the PHLX Semiconductor Sector (SOX) is lagging notably and the big NAS Comp stocks could not […]

US Big Banks are Strong, Dividends and Buybacks to Resume, Stock Indexes Rebalanced on Quad Witching

US Big Banks are Strong,  Dividends and Buybacks to Resume, Stock Indexes Rebalanced on Quad Witching

#banks #dividends #buybacks $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX “Quarterly rebalancing of S&P 500, annual reconstitution of the NAS Comp 100, Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) inclusion into the S&P 500 after the close, quadruple-witching options expired“– Paul Ebeling  The big US banks have enough capital to withstand over $600-B in losses from a short, sharp economic slump, as well as a moderate […]

Gold Bulls are Running North on Sinking US Dollar

Gold Bulls are Running North on Sinking US Dollar

#Gold #Bulls #USD $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $XAU $GLD “Plus, the S&P 500, DJIA, NAS Comp and Russell 2000 index all closed at their highest marks ever as The Trump Rally extended. “— Paul Ebeling Gold rose to a 1-month high after the Fed’s reiterated its commitment to supporting the economy and optimism grew […]

Fed Officials Painting a Brighter Picture for 2021

Fed Officials Painting a Brighter Picture for 2021

#Fed #growth #employment #money #economy #stocks $bonds #consumer #spending $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Fed sees 4.2% growth, and full employment in the New Year“– Paul Ebeling The Fed said Wednesday that it will keep buying government bonds until the economy makes “substantial” progress. Thus reassuring financial markets and keeping long-term borrowing rates low indefinitely. […]

The Trump Rally Extends on Solid Policies and Strong Support

The Trump Rally Extends on Solid Policies and Strong Support

#PresidentTrump #Rally #Policies #Support $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The market is not buyin Biden, the market is always right“– Paul Ebeling Reviewing Wednesday’s economic data:Industrial production increased 0.4% M-M in November. The capacity utilization rate jumped to 73.3% The Key takeaway from the report was the strong growth seen in the production of motor vehicles […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, The Trump Rally Continues

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, The Trump Rally Continues

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #TrumpRally #Bullish #COVIDVaccine #Options $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “There is no indication this Bull market is about to roll over on negative sentiment” — Paul Ebeling Last Week’s Action Consolidation and rotation continue, overall the wk was flat. Stocks rebound and some strong leaders run, big names lag. The Russell 2000 (RUT) […]

The Fed’s Latest Report on US Household Wealth Has it at All Time Highs

The Fed’s Latest Report on US Household Wealth Has it at All Time Highs

#Americans #household #wealth #RealEstate #cash #Fed #PresidentTrump $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VVX The wealth of US households marked $123.5-T in September as rising stock market and home values and an accumulating of cash defied expectations of a virus-related crash in household finances, according to new data from the Fed Thursday. The Fed’s latest report on US […]

The Outperformance of the Russell 2000 Deserves Immediate Attention

The Outperformance of the Russell 2000 Deserves Immediate Attention

#Russell2000 $RUTX $RUT $SPY $SPX $DIA $QQQ $CU $XAU $VXX “Tuesday, the Russell 2000 (+1.4%) closed at a record high on encouraging vaccine news and the coming Trump Administration’s aid/relief/stimulus package.“– Paul Ebeling Inflation will likely rise above 2% in Y 2021 and range from 2.25% to 2.4%. The consensus is that inflation may temporarily […]

US Stocks Finished Mixed Monday in a “Pause to Refresh” Session

US Stocks Finished Mixed Monday in a “Pause to Refresh” Session

#stocks $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The NAS Comp closed at record high in mixed session: DJIA -148.47 to 30069.73, NAS Comp +55.71 at 12519.86, S&P 500 -7.16 to 3691.97 Volume: Trade on the NYSE came in at 927-M/shares exchanged. The S&P 500 declined 0.2% Monday to ease back from record territory, while the NAS Comp (+0.5%) closed at a new record high […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Investors Extending ‘The Trump Rally’

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Investors Extending ‘The Trump Rally’

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #TrumpRally $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX The Director of National Intelligence John Ratcliffe said Sunday it is yet to be decided if there will be a Biden Administration.  He said issues outlined by President Trump’s legal team, headed by Rudy Giuliani must be heard in court. Joe Biden is a candidate not the president-elect. […]

US Stock Market Extends Bull Run into Record Territory

US Stock Market Extends Bull Run into Record Territory

#stocks #record #highs #NFPs #Fed #economy #PresidentTrump $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The rotation that began in September is under way now will continue well into Y 2021. So, focus on value, small-caps, and emerging markets”— Paul Ebeling US stocks marked record highs Friday, the major benchmark indices reached closing record highs, with the S&P […]

Stocks and Gold are in an Up Trend: ‘The Trend is Your Friend’

Stocks and Gold are in an Up Trend: ‘The Trend is Your Friend’

#gold #stocks #BullMarket #Fed #economy #recovery #stimulus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $XAU $GLD $USD $VXX The DJIA is trading at record highs, having broke the 30,000 resistance mark last wk for the 1st time ever. The stock market’s epidemic chaos is over, and investors look forward to continued growth down the line. Now, at the […]

Candidate Biden’s Economic Advisors are Wrong About the Nation’s Public Debt and the Deficit

Candidate Biden’s Economic Advisors are Wrong About the Nation’s Public Debt and the Deficit

#economy #debt #deficit #GDP #government #spending $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX #VXX The economists who are advising Presidential candidate Joe Biden recently met virtually at the Brookings Institute to discuss the impact of annual government budget deficits and the total public debt. They concluded that in the short term, the deficit and the debt really do not […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Investors Look Past the COVID Chaos

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Investors Look Past the COVID Chaos

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #Investors #COVID #chaos #stocks $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “November will close as 1 of the best months for stocks in history” — Paul Ebeling What happened last week S&P 500 and NAS Comp finished in record territory last Friday with theDJIA +37.90 at 29910.31, NAS Comp +111.44 at 12205.76, S&P 500 +8.70 at 3638.37 The S&P 500 (+0.2%) and NAS […]

Trumpism Reigns Supreme in America Despite Election Controversy

Trumpism Reigns Supreme in America Despite Election Controversy

#DonaldTrump #America #Republicans #Democrats #SupremeCourt #UN #WHO #NATO “Donald Trump’s record is very impressive he effected a Key reversal in national thinking“–Paul Ebeling Much that was said and believed about Donald Trump before he came down the escalator in June of Y 2015 is no longer said or believed by the majority of Americans. He […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Stocks Set to Make November the Best Month in 20 yrs

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Stocks Set to Make November the Best Month in 20 yrs

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #Commentary #Stocks $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “November is shaping up as 1 of the best months for stocks in history” — Paul Ebeling What happened last week The economics came in good. Jobless claims rose to 742,000, the 1st rise in 6 wks, continuing claims fell to 6.372-M. The Philly Fed beat at 26.4 […]

Investors and Traders Look Past the Chaos, Buy $53-B in in Stocks in November

Investors and Traders Look Past the Chaos, Buy $53-B in in Stocks in November

#investors #stocks #cash #chaos #ETFs #COVID $DIA $SPY $QQQ “November is shaping up as 1 of the best months for stocks in history” — Paul Ebeling You might have surmised that rising coronavirus cases and turmoil atop the government would breed at least the beginnings of caution among traders and investors. Not so. In what […]

US Households More Upbeat About Their Finances

US Households More Upbeat About Their Finances

#consumer #sentiment #virus #vaccine $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX A gauge of sentiment among US consumers advanced for a 3rd wk running matching the highest mark since April as households grew more upbeat about their finances, the economy and the buying climate. The Consumer Comfort Index rose 1.8 pts to 49.8 last wk, matching a […]

Trust in This Recovery, Key Indicators Flashing Green

Trust in This Recovery, Key Indicators Flashing Green

#recovery #trust #risk $DIA $SPY #QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Keep the Faith, Trust this Recovery”– Paul Ebeling This V-shaped economic recovery, coming Covid vaccines and continued Trump Fed policy support offer continuing favorable environment for stocks and credit into next year and further. In our outlook for Y 2021 investors overweight stocks and corporate bonds against […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Stocks Soaring on Positive Vaccine News from Moderna

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Stocks Soaring on Positive Vaccine News from Moderna

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #COVID #vaccine #Moderna $MRNA $DIA $QQQ $SPY $RUTX $VXX The Dow Jones Industrial Average is soaring after Moderna (NASDAQ:MRNA) announced that its COVID vaccine has a 94%+ efficacy rate, and President Trump refuses to concede, there is no President-elect. Sunday, President Trump announced that it will do whatever it takes to make America […]

China Tech Investors Sell Off Seeing Worst-Case Scenarios

China Tech Investors Sell Off Seeing Worst-Case Scenarios

#China #Technology #investors #SellOff $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX China has cast doubt on the future of its biggest internet companies and ignited a $290-B equity selloff. Investors are now gaming out how bad it might get for Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., Tencent Holdings Ltd. and other Chinese internet giants as Xi Jinping’s government prepares […]

The COVID Vaccine Breakthrough News Brought in $2-Trillion in Trade

The COVID Vaccine Breakthrough News Brought in $2-Trillion in Trade

#COVID #vaccine #trade #stocks #bonds $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $PFE $JPY $VXX “Turnover was about 3X the 30-day average daily volumes in cash and very active in the futures space“– Paul Ebeling News of a breakthrough in the race to find a COVID vaccine triggered 1 of the heaviest trading days since the height of […]

US Stocks Face “Recipe for Disaster” Under Biden…”This is Not the Time to Change America’s Leader”

US Stocks Face “Recipe for Disaster” Under Biden…”This is Not the Time to Change America’s Leader”

#stocks #disaster #Biden $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Good News: Investors rotated out of growth stocks and into value/cyclical/small-cap stocks marking all time highs. The Bad News Standing against the cause of Joe Biden in stock markets is a whole lot of trouble: the coronavirus, its attendant hardships, and high corporate valuations. Add to […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Stocks Soaring on Positive Vaccine News from Pfizer

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Stocks Soaring on Positive Vaccine News from Pfizer

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #COVID #vaccine #Pfizer $PFE $DIA $QQQ $SPY $RUTX $VXX The Dow Jones Industrial Average is soaring after Pfizer (NYSE:PFE) announced that its COVID-19 vaccine has a 90% efficacy rate, and President Trump refuses to concede, there is no President-elect. Thursday, the Trump Fed announced that it will do whatever it takes to bolster […]

Wall Street Knows the Fed Has its Back

Wall Street Knows the Fed Has its Back

#Fed #WallStreet #liquidity #money $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The Fed is absolutely supportive, Chairman Powell stresses it has got the market’s back, they are there” — Paul Ebeling Given the choice between a broad package of economic aid/relief/stimulus and targeted Fed liquidity support, Wall Street prefers liquidity, due to its benefits for asset prices. […]

Fed Stays the “Whatever it Takes” Course

Fed Stays the “Whatever it Takes” Course

#Fed #interestrates #stimulus #economy #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Fed kept its dovish monetary policy intact Thursday and pledged again to do whatever it takes in coming months to sustain a US economic recovery threatened by a spreading virus chaos. The policy statement released after the US central bank’s latest two-day meeting did not mention […]

US Stocks Trading Way Up in Positive Territory, the Bulls are in Charge

US Stocks Trading Way Up in Positive Territory, the Bulls are in Charge

#stocks #FAANGs #Energy #Big Tech #Cannabis #election $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The NAS, Dow and S&P 500 have been and are trading way up in positive territory in the Presidential election chaos” — Paul Ebeling The US Presidential election results are still indecisive as of this writing. Overall, the NAS Comp, DJIA and S&P […]

Wall Street Closed 2% Higher on Expectation of Trump Victory

Wall Street Closed 2% Higher on Expectation of Trump Victory

#Wall Street $PresidentTrump #Victory #rally $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “President Trump claims victory, hints at Supreme Court action, in White House speech“– Paul Ebeling US stocks closed sharply higher Tuesday as Americans voted in the most Presidential election ever and investors bet it would be decided without a prolonged process, leading to a Fassst deal […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street; Big Week, Election and Earnings

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street; Big Week, Election and Earnings

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #economy #election #growth #Bulls #Bears #money #earnings $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The likelihood of a Trump victory has not been factored in to stock prices“– Paul Ebeling Last week’s action Stocks to consolidate last week the big move off of the 24 September lows, tested and reversed Thursday, tested again, and rallied on […]

US Economy: An Across the Board Boom

US Economy: An Across the Board Boom

#economy #boom #jobs #PresidentTrump $SPY White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow says the nation is undergoing “an across the board boom” that means more jobs, particularly because “inventories are at rock bottom.” In an interview last Thursday Mr. Kudlow said he is not confident there would be a virus stimulus package anytime soon. “There is basically an […]

The Economy is the #1 Issue Voters are Weighing Now

The Economy is the #1 Issue Voters are Weighing Now

#PresidentTrump #VPPence #voters #economy $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The US economy did not recover on its own!”– Paul Ebeling Voters say the economy is the most important issue they are weighing during this Presidential election. The data from the Commerce Department showed that the economy grew by an annualized rate of 33.1% in Q-3, […]

There is No White House Strategy that Includes a Lockdown

There is No White House Strategy that Includes a Lockdown

#PresidentTrump #WhiteHouse #economy #lockdown #virus #business $DIA, SPY, QQQ, RUTX, $VXX “President Trump’s plan is that America is open for business” — Paul Ebeling Thursday, the US Commerce Department reported the the economy grew at Record 33.1% Rate in Q-3 White House chief of staff Mark Meadows said Thursday that President Trump will not institute […]

President Trump’s Economy Plan a “Clear Contrast” Vs Joe Biden’s

President Trump’s Economy Plan a “Clear Contrast” Vs Joe Biden’s

#PresidentTrump #economy #recovery #taxcuts #strongathome #strongabroad $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX There is a “clear contrast” between President Trump’s economic goals if he’s elected to a 2nd term in office and those that Democratic nominee Joe Biden has planned, National Economic Council Director Larry Kudlow said. “We have published that plan in 1 of the […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Big Earning’s Week Ahead

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Big Earning’s Week Ahead

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #economy #growth #Bulls #Bears #money #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last week’s action Stocks were consolidating the big move off of the 24 September lows on low to moderate volume. Technical analysis The NAS Comp, S&P 500, DJIA indexes finished lower on the wk. This current consolidation is 8 sessions in the making […]

The Fed: 39 US States Saw Their Economies Strengthen in September

The Fed: 39 US States Saw Their Economies Strengthen in September

#Fed #states #economises $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX In September the output strengthened in 39 US states up from August with some of the best gainers concentrated in northeastern territories including Massachusetts, New York, and New Jersey, a Fed proxy showed. Readings weakened in 8 states, with the steepest fall in tourism-dependent Hawaii, and remained […]

Fed’s Evans Sees Less Economic Drag from the Continuing C-19 Wave

Fed’s Evans Sees Less Economic Drag from the Continuing C-19 Wave

#Fed #COVID19 #economy $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The continuing rise in COVID-19 infections in the United States due to the intense testing may not dent the nation’s economy much, Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Charles Evans said Tuesday, adding that he remains “reasonably optimistic” US unemployment will fall to 5.5% by the end of […]

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