Home 2020 White House ‘Health Czar’ Vastly Overestimated the Virus Death Toll

White House ‘Health Czar’ Vastly Overestimated the Virus Death Toll


By 17 March 2020, COVID-19 coronavirus triggered mass hysteria in the United States.

Countries around the world, including the US quarantined, closed borders, implemented curfews and recommended or enforced isolation of the populations.

Here is the list of Shelter in Place orders in the US to date

The Big Q: Are people infected, are people dying?

The Big A: Yes.

But we are talking about deaths in the thousands, not millions, as Dr. Tony ‘Doom’ Fauci and his less than esteemed collegue told the President.

I have spent hours daily for the past few weeks reading articles about this health crisis and what is almost never mentioned is that a massive part of the equation is the need for testing. Testing is the central core of a strategy aimed at flattening the curve, i.e., preventing or slowing the spread of the virus.

The Big Q2: Why?

The Big A: Well, because testing would give us a more accurate account of how many are actually infected.

Now mortality rates are just not accurate, and appear far more severe than they are. We have been told what the mortality rate is based only on confirmed or suspected cases.

I believe all of these are wrong, and probably wrong by 10X or more.

And just as I suspected about a month ago, I was right, the estimated US death toll in the US has faded to 60-K from the 2.2-M originally forecast.

We could have a vast number of people that are carrying the COVID-19 coronavirus and having no symptoms at all. And, I would argue that if they eat right and take their vitamins, that is going to stop it from spreading.

There is not a doubt in my mind that, by the time everything is said and done, more people will have died from car accidents than will die from COVID-19 coronavirus in the US this year.

Dr. Fauci confirmed Thursday that social distancing and behavior changes are “starting to have a real effect” and that the virus death toll may look more like 60,000 than the the 2.2-M that he initially predicted. And that is less than the number of Americans that actually die from the flu.

As I see it, MSM, health officials and politicians have presented a very distorted view of this health crisis, creating unnecessary fear among the People.

The entire world is now rapidly heading toward economic collapse, and the Question is why, as the death toll does not warrant it.

Do not be afraid, have a happy healthy Easter and Passover weekend, stay home, Keep the Faith


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Paul A. Ebeling, a polymath, excels, in diverse fields of knowledge Including Pattern Recognition Analysis in Equities, Commodities and Foreign Exchange, and he is the author of "The Red Roadmaster's Technical Report on the US Major Market Indices, a highly regarded, weekly financial market commentary. He is a philosopher, issuing insights on a wide range of subjects to over a million cohorts. An international audience of opinion makers, business leaders, and global organizations recognize Ebeling as an expert.