Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX:WES) Trading Outlook

Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX:WES) Trading Outlook

Wesfarmers Ltd (ASX:WES) Trading Outlook

Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.

Short term: Prices are stalling.

Intermediate term: Prices are ranging.

The projected upper bound is: 42.21.

The projected lower bound is: 40.18.

The projected closing price is: 41.20.

Wesfarmers Limited is engaged in various business operations, such as supermarkets, liquor, hotels and convenience stores; home improvement; office supplies, and an industrials division with businesses in chemicals, energy and fertilizers, industrial and safety products and coal. The Company’s segments include Coles; Home Improvement; Department Stores, which includes Kmart and Target; Office Works; Industrials, which includes Resources, WIS and WesCEF, and Other. Coles is a supermarket retailer, which operates over 770 supermarkets. Bunnings is a retailer of home improvement and outdoor living products in Australia and New Zealand. Kmart is a retailer with approximately 210 stores throughout Australia and New Zealand. Target operates a network of over 300 stores and sells a range of products for the contemporary family, including apparel, homewares and general merchandise. Officeworks is a retailer and supplier of office products and solutions for home, business and education.

WESFARMER FPO SE closed up 0.290 at 41.190. Volume was 80% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 8% narrower than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume___
41.060 41.490 41.010 41.190 425,028

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 41.11 41.47 42.15
Volatility: 14 16 18
Volume: 1,449,916 1,940,855 2,148,340

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

WESFARMER FPO SE is currently 2.3% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is relatively normal as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect moderate flows of volume out of WES.AX (mildly bearish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on WES.AX and have had this outlook for the last 13 periods.

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 44.7099. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a buy 9 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 47.25. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 32 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 69. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a buy 9 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 0 period(s) ago.

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S. Jack Heffernan Ph.D. Funds Manager at HEFFX holds a Ph.D. in Economics and brings with him over 25 years of trading experience in Asia and hands on experience in Venture Capital, he has been involved in several start ups that have seen market capitalization over $500m and 1 that reach a peak market cap of $15b. He has managed and overseen start ups in Mining, Shipping, Technology and Financial Services.

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