US Weekly Jobless Claims Fall Unexpectedly 

US Weekly Jobless Claims Fall Unexpectedly 

US Weekly Jobless Claims Fall Unexpectedly

The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell last week, suggesting that a strong economy is helping the labor market weather ongoing trade tensions between the United States along with a host of other countries.

Initial claims for state unemployment benefits slipped 6,000 to a seasonally adjusted 213,000 for the week ended 4 August, the Labor Department said Thursday.

Data for the prior week was revised to show 1,000 more applications received than previously reported.

The claims data is being closely watched for signs of layoffs as a result of The Trump Administration’s protectionist trade policy, which has left the US embroiled in tit-for-tat tariffs with major trade partners including China, Mexico, Canada and the EU.

Washington has imposed duties on steel and aluminum imports, provoking retaliation by the nation’s trade partners.

The United States has also slapped tariffs on Chinese goods, with Beijing responding in kind. Manufacturers are increasingly complaining about more expensive steel and aluminum raising production costs, as well as causing disruptions to the supply chain.

There have been reports of some companies either laying off workers or planning to as a result of the import tariffs.

Claims dropped to 208,000 during the week ended 14 July, which was the lowest reading since December 1969. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast claims rising to 220,000 in the latest week.

The 4-week moving average of initial claims, considered a better measure of labor market trends as it irons out week-to-week volatility, fell 500 to 214,250 last week, the lowest reading since mid-May.

The economy created 157,000 jobs in July, down from the 248,000 positions added in June. The slowdown in hiring likely reflected a shortage of qualified workers.

A report Tuesday showed there were 6.7-M unfilled jobs in June

The economy grew at a 4.1% annualized rate in Q-2, the fastest in almost 4 years.

Thursday’s claims report also showed the number of people receiving benefits after an initial week of aid increased 29,000 to 1.76-M in the week ended 28 July. The 4-week moving average of the so-called continuing claims rose 3,000 to 1.75-M.

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Paul Ebeling

Paul A. Ebeling, polymath, excels in diverse fields of knowledge. Pattern Recognition Analyst in Equities, Commodities and Foreign Exchange and author of “The Red Roadmaster’s Technical Report” on the US Major Market Indices™, a highly regarded, weekly financial market letter, he is also a philosopher, issuing insights on a wide range of subjects to a following of over 250,000 cohorts. An international audience of opinion makers, business leaders, and global organizations recognizes Ebeling as an expert.

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