US Mortgage Rates Fall, Home Sales Rise

US Mortgage Rates Fall, Home Sales Rise

More Americans signed contracts to buy homes in January as lower mortgage rates gave the real estate market a boost.

The National Association of Realtors (NAR) said Wednesday its pending home sales index rose 4.6% last month to 103.2.

The rebound has come as average 30-year mortgage rates have fallen since peaking at nearly 5% in early November. Still, higher mortgage rates in 2018 depressed pending sales by 2.3% over the past 12 months.

The increase suggests that home sales may rebound this year after months of flagging purchases.

Key to any increase in sales is 30-year mortgage rates, which slipped last week to an average of 4.35%, according to mortgage buyer Freddie Mac.

Lower borrowing costs improves affordability for homes, which until recently have generally seen their prices rise faster than wages.

There are emerging signs that home sales might recover after a slump in home construction in December.

Pending sales improved in the pricey markets of Seattle, Boston and San Jose, California, according to a report by the brokerage Redfin.

Redfin data show that pending sales rose 15% in the Seattle area during January, 4% in Boston and 8% in San Jose.

The Realtors’ pending sales index improved in the Northeast, Midwest, South and West in January. Signed contracts jumped 8.9% in the South, where homes are generally more affordable. But in the pricier West, the increase was just 0.3%.

Pending sales are a barometer of home purchases that are completed a month or 2 later.

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Paul Ebeling

Paul A. Ebeling, polymath, excels in diverse fields of knowledge. Pattern Recognition Analyst in Equities, Commodities and Foreign Exchange and author of “The Red Roadmaster’s Technical Report” on the US Major Market Indices™, a highly regarded, weekly financial market letter, he is also a philosopher, issuing insights on a wide range of subjects to a following of over 250,000 cohorts. An international audience of opinion makers, business leaders, and global organizations recognizes Ebeling as an expert.

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