US Consumer Confidence Running High

US Consumer Confidence Running High

US Consumer Confidence Running High

Consumer Confidence rose more than forecast this month as Americans expressed the Sunniest picture of their financial situation in 11 years, extending a boost following Donald Trump’s election victory.

The University of Michigan (MSI) said Friday that its preliminary index of sentiment rose to 98, the highest since January 2015, from 93.8 in November.

The median projection in a survey called for 93.0. The current conditions index, which measures Americans’ perceptions of their personal finances, increased by 4.8 points to 112.1, the highest since Y 2005.

A record share of respondents “spontaneously mentioned” the positive impact from new policies, according to the survey, with more people expecting the economy and job market to strengthen in the coming year. At the same time, recent gains in confidence could prove temporary unless economic conditions improve under the new administration.

“President-elect Trump must provide early evidence of positive economic growth as well as act to keep positive consumer expectations aligned with performance,” the director of the Michigan Survey, said in a statement. “Either too-slow growth or too-high expectations represent barriers to maintaining high levels of consumer confidence.”

It marked the 8th December in 8 years that MSI indicator has strengthened.

The gauge of expectations 6 months from now rose to 88.9, the highest since January 2015, from 85.2.

Respondents expected the inflation rate in the next year will be 2.3%, the lowest since Y 2010, compared with 2.4% in November. Over the next 5 to 10 years, they project a 2.5% rate of price growth, down from 2.6% in the prior month.

Have a terrific weekend.

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Paul Ebeling

Paul A. Ebeling, polymath, excels in diverse fields of knowledge. Pattern Recognition Analyst in Equities, Commodities and Foreign Exchange and author of “The Red Roadmaster’s Technical Report” on the US Major Market Indices™, a highly regarded, weekly financial market letter, he is also a philosopher, issuing insights on a wide range of subjects to a following of over 250,000 cohorts. An international audience of opinion makers, business leaders, and global organizations recognizes Ebeling as an expert.

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