United States Oil (USO) prices extend gains amid weaker U.S. dollar
Oil prices kept rising on Monday as a weaker U.S. dollar made the dollar-priced commodity more attractive for holders of other currencies.
The U.S. dollar retreated further on Monday amid reports that the United States and Mexico struck a trade deal that might pave the way for replacing the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA).
The dollar index, which measures the greenback against six major peers, fell 0.55 percent at 95.1468 in late trading.
The biggest reduction of U.S. oil-rig count last week also provided some upward jolts to the market.
The number of rigs operating in U.S. oil fields fell by 9 to a total of 860 rigs in the week, which was the biggest reduction since May 2016, oilfield service firm Baker Hughes said in its weekly report on Friday.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
The projected upper bound is: 15.28.
The projected lower bound is: 13.78.
The projected closing price is: 14.53.
A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 5 white candles and 5 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 25 white candles and 23 black candles for a net of 2 white candles.
A hammer occurred (a hammer has a long lower shadow and closes near the high). Hammers must appear after a significant decline or when prices are oversold to be valid. When this occurs, it usually indicates the formation of a support level and is thus considered a bullish pattern.
A hanging man occurred (a hanging man has a very long lower shadow and a small real body). This pattern can be bullish or bearish, depending on the trend. If it occurs during an uptrend (which appears to be the case with UNTD ST OIL FUND) it is called a hanging man line and signifies a reversal top. If it occurs during a downtrend it is called a bullish hammer.
A long lower shadow occurred. This is typically a bullish signal (particularly when it occurs near a low price level, at a support level, or when the security is oversold).
A spinning top occurred (a spinning top is a candle with a small real body). Spinning tops identify a session in which there is little price action (as defined by the difference between the open and the close). During a rally or near new highs, a spinning top can be a sign that prices are losing momentum and the bulls may be in trouble.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 88.3576. This is an overbought reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses below 80 The last signal was a sell 21 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 59.59. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 39 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 144.This is an overbought reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses below 100. The last signal was a buy 5 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 3 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
UNTD ST OIL FUND closed up 0.070 at 14.500. Volume was 48% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 29% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
14.480 14.505 14.410 14.500 10,867,579
Short Term: Overbought
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 13.99 14.21 13.11
Volatility: 29 34 29
Volume: 19,064,816 21,852,312 19,261,814
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
UNTD ST OIL FUND is currently 10.6% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is relatively normal as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of USO at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on USO and have had this outlook for the last 0 periods.
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