United States Oil (USO) Market eyes Hurricane Florence as it approaches the U.S. East Coast
Crude-oil futures rallied Tuesday, finding support as a major hurricane approaching the U.S. East Coast boosted demand for fuel and threatened the flow of gasoline through a key pipeline.
The U.S. government also cut its forecasts for domestic production and concerns continued to grow over the potential for tighter global supplies ahead of renewed sanctions on Iran.
The National Hurricane Center also warned Tuesday that a tropical depression is likely to form in the central or western Gulf of Mexico by late Thursday. The region accounts for 17% of total U.S. crude production.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 14.22.
The projected upper bound is: 15.24.
The projected lower bound is: 13.95.
The projected closing price is: 14.59.
A big white candle occurred. This is generally considered bullish, as prices closed significantly higher than they opened. If the candle appears when prices are “low,” it may be the first sign of a bottom. If it occurs when prices are rebounding off of a support area (e.g., a moving average, trendline, or retracement level), the long white candle adds credibility to the support. Similarly, if the candle appears during a breakout above a resistance area, the long white candle adds credibility to the breakout.
During the past 10 bars, there have been 4 white candles and 6 black candles for a net of 2 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 21 white candles and 27 black candles for a net of 6 black candles.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 40.4542. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 5 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 57.67. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 49 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 16. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 5 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 1 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
UNTD ST OIL FUND closed up 0.390 at 14.600. Volume was 39% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 5% narrower than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
14.270 14.630 14.230 14.600 12,411,234
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 14.50 14.31 13.27
Volatility: 22 29 29
Volume: 13,333,603 19,506,554 19,174,174
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
UNTD ST OIL FUND is currently 10.1% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is relatively normal as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of USO at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on USO and have had this outlook for the last 10 periods.
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