UK FTSE 100 (.FTSE) ends 11-day run of growth as traders cash in
The London Stock Exchange’s blue chip index ended its Christmas rally of 11 straight days of growth by turning red on Monday – the final full day’s trading in 2019.
Analysts and experts predicted the downturn came as investors started cashing in from the boosts, and the market was also impacted by a strengthening pound.
The majority of FTSE 100 companies are internationally focused, with many trading dollars and attracting foreign investment.
But when the pound strengthens, the index tends to fall due to shares appearing more expensive to international traders.
The FTSE 100 closed down 0.8%, or 57.85 points, at 7,587.05 and the pound was up 0.4% at 1.314 dollars. Against the euro, it was also up 0.1% at 1.172.
Fiona Cincotta, financial analyst at CityIndex, said: “With Wall Street starting in the red, a stronger pound and little for traders to grab on to in the sluggish seasonal trading period, profit-taking was the order of the day.
“The pound is faring better than the FTSE in the penultimate day of trading of the year. The pound is on the rise for the sixth straight session, extending gains by 0.4% at the start of the week versus both the euro and the dollar, as thin trading volume enhances action in the FX markets.”
Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at IG, added that part of the pound’s strengthening is due to the dollar weakening against several currencies.
He said: “The US dollar is rapidly reaching crunch point against a host of global currencies, with the dollar index hitting its lowest level since mid-July.
“With US data already looking better, and the Fed’s course set for the time being, it is time that the optimism around the global economy was spread around a bit more, and the gains in currencies like the Aussie, the euro and sterling are a reflection of this.”
In company news, the former chief executive of Next, Sir David Jones, died.
Shares closed down 142p to 7,128p – although the fall is more to do with nervous traders waiting anxiously for the retailer’s Christmas trading update on Friday.
Rio Tinto workers returned to a South African titanium and iron mine on Monday, just weeks after the shooting of an employee forced the site to close.
The London-listed mining giant, which owns 74% of the project, invested 463 million dollars (£353 million) in April, but the reopening failed to win over investors, with shares closing down 41.5p at 4,507p.
Elsewhere, engineering firm Smiths Group closed down 1.6%, off 28p at 1,686.5p, following reports in the Sunday Times that chief executive Andy Smith is likely to step down as chief executive once he has spun off the firm’s medical business.
The company denied the claims, but it did not stop investors from getting spooked.
Finally, radio frequency tech business CyanConnode surged 62%, up 1.3p to 3.4p, as bosses confirmed it has secured an order for 33,000 smart metering solutions units in Thailand, a new territory for the firm.
On Tuesday, the stock exchange will close at 12.30pm ahead of the New Year’s Day bank holiday.
On the FTSE 100, the biggest risers were NMC Health, up 80.5p at 1,816.5p; Persimmon, up 38p at 2,688p; Just Eat, up 9.2p at 838.8p; British Land, up 6p at 636p; and Land Securities, up 7.6p at 989p.
The biggest fallers on the FTSE 100 were BAE Systems, down 12.8p at 566.8p; Ferguson, down 148p at 6,886p; Rentokil Initial, down 9.2p at 455.6p; Next, down 142p at 7,128p; and Rolls-Royce, down 13.6p at 687.8p.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the upside.
By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 7,428.85.
The projected upper bound is: 7,749.53.
The projected lower bound is: 7,440.75.
The projected closing price is: 7,595.14.
A black body occurred (because prices closed lower than they opened).
During the past 10 bars, there have been 9 white candles and 1 black candles for a net of 8 white candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 32 white candles and 18 black candles for a net of 14 white candles.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 71.9254. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 0 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 64.88. This is not a topping or bottoming area. However, the RSI just crossed below 70 from a topping formation. This is a bearish sign. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 0 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is 67. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 2 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 9 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
FTSE 100 INDEX closed down -57.850 at 7,587.050. Volume was 59% below average (consolidating) and Bollinger Bands were 109% wider than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
Short Term: Overbought
Intermediate Term: Bullish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 7,558.26 7,350.05 7,339.99
Volatility: 14 13 14
Volume: 788,807,680 721,970,752 728,211,264
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
FTSE 100 INDEX is currently 3.4% above its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is high as compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. Our volume indicators reflect moderate flows of volume into .FTSE (mildly bullish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on .FTSE and have had this outlook for the last 7 periods.
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