Twitter, Inc. (NYSE:TWTR) slide to recent lows
Twitter shares have taken a beating after the social media company announced its daily monthly users had dropped and will probably continue to drop as it continues to remove fake accounts.
The company’s shares plummeted 20 per cent to US$34.12, the largest single-day drop in more than four years. However, its stock is still up at 42 per cent for the financial year.
The San Francisco-based company warned investors to expect user numbers to fall further as it took greater action to block fake and offensive accounts.
According to the Washington Post, Twitter deleted more than 70 million illegitimate accounts in May and June alone and says it continues to delete accounts at a rate of 1 million per day. The statistics raise doubts over the longevity of social media business models that rely first and foremost on genuine new users.
Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.
Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the downside.
The projected upper bound is: 39.17.
The projected lower bound is: 29.12.
The projected closing price is: 34.15.
A big black candle occurred. This is bearish, as prices closed significantly lower than they opened. If the candle appears when prices are “high,” it may be the first sign of a top. If it occurs when prices are confronting an overhead resistance area (e.g., a moving average, trendline, or price resistance level), the long black candle adds credibility to the resistance. Similarly, if the candle appears as prices break below a support area, the long black candle confirms the failure of the support area.
During the past 10 bars, there have been 5 white candles and 5 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 30 white candles and 20 black candles for a net of 10 white candles.
A falling window occurred (where the bottom of the previous shadow is above the top of the current shadow). This usually implies a continuation of a bearish trend.
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.
One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 26.1032. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 27 period(s) ago.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 28.16. This is where it usually bottoms. The RSI usually forms tops and bottoms before the underlying security. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a sell 23 period(s) ago.
Commodity Channel Index (CCI)
The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -418.This is an oversold reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses above -100. The last signal was a buy 2 period(s) ago.
The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 23 period(s) ago.
Rex Takasugi – TD Profile
TWITTER INC closed down -8.820 at 34.120. Volume was 158% above average (trending) and Bollinger Bands were 19% wider than normal.
Open High Low Close Volume___
37.200 37.469 33.900 34.120 15,275,813
Short Term: Neutral
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bullish
Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 42.59 41.39 30.16
Volatility: 136 80 71
Volume: 4,549,993 6,613,677 5,435,849
Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.
TWITTER INC gapped down today (bearish) on heavy volume. Possibility of a Breakaway Gap which usually signifies the beginning of a major market move. Four types of price gaps exist – Common, Breakaway, Runaway, and Exhaustion. Gaps acts as support/resistance.
TWITTER INC is currently 13.1% above its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is extremely high when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that volatility will decrease and prices will stabilize in the near term. Our volume indicators reflect moderate flows of volume out of TWTR.N (mildly bearish). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on TWTR.N and have had this outlook for the last 9 periods. Our momentum oscillator is currently indicating that TWTR.N is currently in an oversold condition.
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