The Trump Economy: Job Openings at Record Highs

The Trump Economy: Job Openings at Record Highs

JOLTS Report: US employers posted the most open jobs in December in 19 years that records have been kept, evidence that the job market is strong despite several challenges facing the economy.

The US Labor Department says job openings jumped 2.4% in December to 7.3-M. That is the most since records began in December 2000. It is also far greater than the number of unemployed, which stood at 6.3-M that month.

Employers added 304,000 jobs in January, the government said earlier this month, the most in nearly a year.

The spike in openings in December suggests hiring will likely remain robust. Openings are typically filled within 1 to 2 months. The surge in available jobs indicates that businesses expect demand to remain healthy and that they will need more employees to meet it.

Tuesday’s data also showed that employers boosted hiring in December, while the number of people who quit remained unchanged at a healthy level of about 3.5-M. Higher quits are typically sign of a dynamic job market, as most people quit to take a new job.

The number of unemployed typically runs far ahead of job openings, but that switched early last year.

That could mean potentially stronger wage gains are in store in the months ahead. With job postings so high at a time that the unemployment rate is at a very low 4%, businesses may be forced to pay more to attract the workers they need.

Paychecks are already increasing, though at a modest pace. Average hourly pay rose 3.2% in January from a year earlier, the government said earlier this month. That’s near December’s figure of 3.3%, which matched the best pay gain in nearly 10 years.

Making and Keeping America Great!

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Paul Ebeling

Paul A. Ebeling, polymath, excels in diverse fields of knowledge. Pattern Recognition Analyst in Equities, Commodities and Foreign Exchange and author of “The Red Roadmaster’s Technical Report” on the US Major Market Indices™, a highly regarded, weekly financial market letter, he is also a philosopher, issuing insights on a wide range of subjects to a following of over 250,000 cohorts. An international audience of opinion makers, business leaders, and global organizations recognizes Ebeling as an expert.

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