Thai Baht (THB) ⇨ US Dollar ($) (THBUSD) Latest Technical Analyst

Thai Baht (THB) ⇨ US Dollar ($) (THBUSD) Latest Technical Analyst
Thai Baht (THB) ⇨ US Dollar ($) (THBUSD) Latest Technical Analyst

Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.

Short term: Prices are stalling.

Intermediate term: Prices are ranging.

The projected upper bound is: 34.77.

The projected lower bound is: 34.23.

The projected closing price is: 34.50.

Candlesticks

A big black candle occurred. This is bearish, as prices closed significantly lower than they opened. If the candle appears when prices are “high,” it may be the first sign of a top. If it occurs when prices are confronting an overhead resistance area (e.g., a moving average, trendline, or price resistance level), the long black candle adds credibility to the resistance. Similarly, if the candle appears as prices break below a support area, the long black candle confirms the failure of the support area.
During the past 10 bars, there have been 4 white candles and 5 black candles for a net of 1 black candles. During the past 50 bars, there have been 24 white candles and 23 black candles for a net of 1 white candles.

Three black candles occurred in the last three days. Although these candles were not big enough to create three black crows, the steady downward pattern is bearish.

Momentum Indicators

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 29.4118. This is not an overbought or oversold reading. The last signal was a sell 2 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 45.66. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 30 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -44. This is not a topping or bottoming area. The last signal was a sell 1 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a buy 18 period(s) ago.

Rex Takasugi – TD Profile

FOREX THB= closed down -0.140 at 34.510. Volume was 25% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 17% narrower than normal.

Open      High      Low        Close      Volume
34.640  34.680   34.490   34.510    8,976

Technical Outlook
Short Term:                Neutral
Intermediate Term:  Bullish
Long Term:                 Bearish

Moving Averages:  10-period      50-period      200-period
Close:                        34.63             34.63              35.02
Volatility:                 5                     5                      5
Volume:                   10,550           11,577             9,609

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary
FOREX THB= is currently 1.5% below its 200-period moving average and is in an upward trend. Volatility is Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of THB= at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bullish on THB= and have had this outlook for the last 10 periods. our momentum oscillator has set a new 14-period low while the security price has not. This is a bearish divergence.

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S. Jack Heffernan Ph.D. Funds Manager at HEFFX holds a Ph.D. in Economics and brings with him over 25 years of trading experience in Asia and hands on experience in Venture Capital, he has been involved in several start ups that have seen market capitalization over $500m and 1 that reach a peak market cap of $15b. He has managed and overseen start ups in Mining, Shipping, Technology and Financial Services.

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