Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX:TLS) HEFFX Highlights

Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX:TLS) HEFFX Highlights

Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX:TLS) HEFFX Highlights

  • Fresh from a share price battering yesterday Telstra Corporation Ltd (ASX: TLS) is now trying to persuade investors that the decision to slash its dividend nearly 30% is the right one for the long-term strength of the business.
  • Back on July 18 Telstra’s chairman softened up the market to expect a coming dividend cut when telling News Corp journalists: “If Telstra hadn’t paid a dividend for 10 years we’d have a $50 billion war chest to take on these new competitors”.
  • In so doing Mullen warned that Telstra is now competing in the technology space against powerful international rivals like Amazon. Inc that pay no dividends and reinvest free cash flows in new products and to gain market share.

Telstra Corporation Limited (Telstra) is a telecommunications and technology company. Its principal activity is to provide telecommunications and information services for domestic and international customers. The Company operates through four segments. The Telstra Retail segment provides telecommunication products, services and solutions across mobiles, fixed and mobile broadband, telephony and Pay television/Internet Protocol television and digital content. The Global Enterprise and Services segment provides sales and contract management for business and government customers. The Telstra Operations segment offers overall planning, design, engineering and architecture and construction of Telstra networks, technology and information technology solution. The Telstra Wholesale segment provides a range of telecommunication products and services delivered over Telstra networks and associated support systems to other carriers, carriage service providers and Internet service providers.

Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.

Short term: Prices are moving.

Intermediate term: Prices are trending.

Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the downside.

By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 4.25.

The projected upper bound is: 4.07.

The projected lower bound is: 3.63.

The projected closing price is: 3.85.

TELSTRA FPO closed down -0.010 at 3.860. Volume was 12% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 31% wider than normal.

Open High Low Close Volume
3.880 3.880 3.830 3.860 31,896,088

Technical Outlook
Short Term: Oversold
Intermediate Term: Bearish
Long Term: Bearish

Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period
Close: 4.07 4.21 4.62
Volatility: 69 34 28
Volume: 54,911,884 35,271,180 31,321,276

Short-term traders should pay closer attention to buy/sell arrows while intermediate/long-term traders should place greater emphasis on the Bullish or Bearish trend reflected in the lower ribbon.

Summary

TELSTRA FPO is currently 16.5% below its 200-period moving average and is in an downward trend. Volatility is extremely high when compared to the average volatility over the last 10 periods. There is a good possibility that volatility will decrease and prices will stabilize in the near term. Our volume indicators reflect volume flowing into and out of TLS.AX at a relatively equal pace (neutral). Our trend forecasting oscillators are currently bearish on TLS.AX and have had this outlook for the last 3 periods. The security price has set a new 14-period low while our momentum oscillator has not. This is a bullish divergence.

Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators.

Stochastic Oscillator

One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas (above 80) and oversold areas (below 20). The Stochastic Oscillator is 12.8205. This is an oversold reading. However, a signal is not generated until the Oscillator crosses above 20 The last signal was a sell 3 period(s) ago.

Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The RSI shows overbought (above 70) and oversold (below 30) areas. The current value of the RSI is 32.71. This is not a topping or bottoming area. A buy or sell signal is generated when the RSI moves out of an overbought/oversold area. The last signal was a buy 19 period(s) ago.

Commodity Channel Index (CCI)

The CCI shows overbought (above 100) and oversold (below -100) areas. The current value of the CCI is -128.This is an oversold reading. However, a signal isn’t generated until the indicator crosses above -100. The last signal was a sell 3 period(s) ago.

MACD

The Moving Average Convergence/Divergence indicator (MACD) gives signals when it crosses its 9 period signal line. The last signal was a sell 2 period(s) ago.

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John Heffernan

John Heffernan is a Junior Analyst at HEFFX. John is studying Economics and is a contributor on equities at Live Trading News.

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