$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Friday, US financial markets suffered a trade-related happening on concern The Trump Administration may move to limit US investment in China, a move sure to raise tensions. The S&P 500 turned lower after it was reported that officials are discussing ways to restrict portfolio flows into the world’s 2nd-largest economy. […]
$XAU NKorea has many resources desired by the Chinese. Not just gold but also copper ore, iron ore, aluminium, charcoal, timber, pine nuts, hazelnuts, seafood and pine mushrooms. In the 1990’s, traders just needed to give the border patrols on both sides of the river a small bribe. Now, things have tightened up. But United […]
$USD Friday, President Trump said he will not devalue the USD in the US trade dispute with China. “No, we do not have to,” President Trump said when asked whether he plans to devalue the Greenback, though he added that if the Fed were to cut interest rates it “would automatically bring down the dollar […]
$USD The experts, the President, the IMF all say the USD is too strong in here, but managed money say it has room to run North. So, when will the Dollar Bulls turn to Bears? Since the trade dispute between the world’s 2 largest economies came to life in March last year, USD has gained […]
The US Treasury Department declared Monday it had determined for the 1st time since Y 1994 that Beijing was manipulating its RMB Yuan. Then early Tuesday, President Trump dismissed fears of a protracted trade dispute with China, ignoring a bluster warning in the Beijing press that labeling it a currency manipulator would have severe consequences […]
The currency that was at the center of the 1997 Asian financial crisis is emerging as the region’s safest bet. The Thai baht has remained little changed during this month’s trade dispute turbulence, while peers such as the Rupee and the Won have weakened almost 3%. Strategists say the currency is not likely to lose […]
$CNH, $CNY, $USD FLASH: China will not use its currency as a tool in its dispute with the US China took steps to slow it RMB Yuan’s dive, as the effects of Monday’s plunge weighed on financial markets. The People’s Bank of China (PBoE) set the daily currency fixing stronger than analysts expected and announced […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FlASH: The implied likelihood for a 50-bpts rate cut at the September FOMC meeting climbed to 23.5% Vs 1.5%. Friday, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Expectations for the Fed to step up its easing efforts amid increased risks to the economic outlook expounded the flight-to-safety in gold and US […]
$CNY China’s stock market investors are not quite ready to see Beijing scale back its efforts to support the economy. Stocks started the week lower after improving data prompted traders to pare back their bets for additional stimulus. The Shanghai Composite Index rallied Tuesday after the PBoC injected cash into the financial system, alleviating concerns […]
$CNY, $USD, $GS FLASH: The RMB Yuan’s rally has more room to run as China’s economic recovery picks up The currency will advance about 1.5% to 6.6 a USD in the next 12 months, says the Chief China economist at Goldman Sachs in Hong Kong. That is more Bullish than Goldman’s 6.7 forecast in January. […]
China met its target for reducing debt levels but will keep cracking down on riskier types of financing to contain risks to its financial system, the banking and insurance regulator said Monday, urging banks to step up lending to smaller companies. Concern about China’s debt is rising again as Beijing ramps up support for a […]
China Feels the Pain as Exports, Imports Shrink, Markets Collapse $SOY, $USD, $UNG China has reported weaker than expected November exports and imports, showing slower global and domestic demand and raising the likelihood that more measures to keep the country’s growth rate from slipping too much will be put in place. November exports only rose […]
China Has Not Responded Positively to US on Trade Beijing’s trade practices make them an unreliable negotiating partner. White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow hammered China’s lack of cooperation in the US attempt to forge a trade deal. “They are unfair traders. They are illegal traders. They have stolen our intellectual property,” Mr. Kudlow said […]
US Tariffs Driving RMB Yuan South to 10 yr Lows Vs USD $USDCNY (onshore): -0.29% to 6.868 $USDCNH (offshore): -0.09% to 6.879 Golden Week begins on 1 October With little prospect of a restart for US-China trade talks, we expect an escalation in tensions that will see higher American tariffs on all Chinese imports, sending […]
China Disappears A-List Actress Fan Bingbing Fan Bingbing, 36 anni, an A-list Chinese movie star who has appeared in the “X-Men” and “Iron Man” film franchises, has more than 62-M followers online in China and fronted campaigns for Montblanc watches and De Beers diamonds, has disappeared. The star dropped out of sight in June when […]
Forex: Optimism Ahead of US-China Trade Talks Cap USD, Support RMB Yuan $USD/CNY In New York Wednesday US Dollar (.DXY) Index finished down 0.5% at 94.75, approaching its August low (94.43). The Buck saw some slight strength in overnight trade, but a slide to lows took place after the release of a cooler than expected […]
The Chinese Economy “looks terrible, it is collapsing” $USDCNY President Trump’s economic adviser Larry Kudlow says the Chinese economy “looks terrible.” Asked by President Donald Trump to assess China’s prospects this week at a cabinet meeting,Mr. Kudlow declared that “their economy is just heading South,” citing “the latest batch of numbers” from China’s markets. “I’m not a […]
The Trump Administration Pushes Chinese Officials Back to the Negotiating Table $CNY Wednesday, China cautioned the US against “blackmailing and pressuring” it over trade as The Trump Administration pushes officials back to the negotiating table through threats of even higher tariffs. President Donald Trump’s officials are considering more than 2X’ing planned tariffs on $200-B in […]
China Has Launched Its Gold-backed ‘Petroyuan’ $CNY, $USD, $USO, $OIL, $GLD For the last few years, I have been writing about China’s coming Gold-backed ‘petroyuan’ and that it was imminent, few thought is possible. On 26 March China launch an RMB Yuan-dominated Crude Oil futures contract, it had tried before, but, now the contract has gotten […]
China Can ‘Open Up’ More, We Expect it Will People’s Bank of China (PBoC) Governor Zhou Xiaochuan, 70 anni, said market access reforms should be accelerated and that the world’s 2nd-largest economy “ can be bolder in opening up.” Policy makers are now focused on achieving “quality” growth, rather than the pace of expansion, which […]
China’s yuan weakened against the US dollar on Friday, with strong corporate demand supporting the greenback but the Chinese currency is on course for its best week in more than a month. Prior to market opening, the People’s Bank of China (PBOC) set the official yuan midpoint at its strongest in six weeks at 6.5810 […]
China Plays a Role in the Gold Market, How Important? $GLD, $USDCNY China has been accumulating Gold over the past 10 years, and it is also the largest producer of Gold in the world and perhaps the world’s biggest consumers of the precious Yellow metal. The World Gold Council’s (WGC) data for Q-2 Y 2017, says […]
What is the Link Between RMB Yuan and Gold? $USDCNY, $GLD, $OIL People are asking, Paul, what is the link between the RMB Yuan and the precious Yellow metal? The Big A, as follows: Chart 1: The USD/CNY exchange rate (red line, right axis) and the price of Gold (yellow line, left axis, London P.M. […]
China Begins Resetting The World’s Reserve Currency System $GLD, $OIL, $CNY It is a strategic move swapping Crude Oil for Gold, rather than for US Treasuries, which can be printed at will. A report released by the Nikkei Asian Review indicates that China is prepared to release a RMB Yuan denominated Crude Oil futures contract […]
China’s yuan firmed against the US dollar on Monday, buoyed by a stronger central bank guidance, but traders said further gains were likely to be restrained by corporate dollar demand this week. Prior to market opening, the People’s Bank of China set the yuan midpoint at 6.7410 per dollar, the highest since Oct. 20 2016, reflecting […]
Russia and China Setting Up to Transact Energy Business in Gold $GLD, $OIL, $USD, $CNY Russia’s largest bank, state-owned Sberbank, announced that its Swiss subsidiary had begun trading in Gold on the Shanghai Gold Exchange. Russian officials have signaled that they plan to conduct transactions with China using Gold as a means of marginalizing the […]
China’s yuan firms on stronger fixing, Q2 GDP data shrugged off China’s yuan, which has firmed against the U.S. dollar the past five sessions, strengthened again on Monday after the central bank lifted its official guidance for the Chinese currency’s midpoint to an 8-1/2 month high. The central parity rate of the Chinese currency renminbi, […]
China’s yuan weakened against the US dollar after a softer official fixing on Monday, snapping the currency’s four-day winning streak, while the launch of a bond trading scheme between China and Hong Kong had little impact on the market. The “Bond Connect” programme between China and Hong Kong kicked off on Monday, linking China’s US$9 […]
China’s yuan firmed against the dollar on Monday, supported by a stronger midpoint fix and as data pointed to more balanced supply and demand in the forex market amid Beijing’s tougher crackdown on illegal capital outflows. Traders expect more volatility for the yuan in coming months, however, amid mounting expectations that the greenback could […]
Chinese Extended 1.11 Trillion Yuan China’s yuan edged up against the dollar on Wednesday, with the market unfazed by evidence of a still-solid economy and divided over the impact of an anticipated rise in US interest rates. A small majority of traders in a Reuters poll say a US interest rate hike could prompt the […]
China’s yuan firmed slightly against the US dollar ahead of possibly tighter monetary policy at home if US interest rates rise this week. The market has turned its focus to the Federal Reserve’s two-day policy meeting that starts later on, speculating that a hike in rates there will have a spillover effect on domestic money […]
China’s yuan weakened slightly against the U.S. dollar after the central bank fixed its official guidance lower for a second straight day since it made changes to the midpoint mechanism last Friday. The People’s Bank of China set the midpoint rate <CNY=PBOC> at 6.7971 per dollar prior to market open, weaker than the previous fix […]
Chinese Yuan (CN¥) ⇨ US Dollar ($) (CNYUSD) Technical Analysis Still High Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways. Short term: Prices are stalling. Intermediate term: Prices are ranging. By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 6.89. The projected upper bound is: 6.87. The projected lower bound is: 6.83. The projected closing […]
Chinese Yuan (CN¥) ⇨ US Dollar ($) (CNYUSD) Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways. Short term: Prices are stalling. Intermediate term: Prices are ranging. By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 6.89. The projected upper bound is: 6.87. The projected lower bound is: 6.83. The projected closing price is: 6.85. Candlesticks […]
Chinese Yuan (CN¥) ⇨ US Dollar ($) (CNYUSD) China and The World’s Reserves Credit Suisse has cut its forecast for the Chinese yuan as Beijing sharpens its focus on currency stability. The bank cut its 3-month forecasts for the yuan against the U.S. dollar (USDCNY) to 6.88 compared to its previous forecast of 6.98, and […]
Chinese Yuan (CN¥) ⇨ US Dollar ($) (CNYUSD) Falls China’s yuan firmed against the U.S. dollar on Wednesday after the central bank fixed its daily midpoint at the strongest level in three months, but the renminbi slid to new lows against currencies in a trade-weighted basket. official midpoint CNY=PBOC at 6.8635 per dollar prior to […]
Chinese Yuan (CN¥) ⇨ US Dollar ($) (CNYUSD) Chinese Yuan (CN¥) ⇨ US Dollar ($) (CNYUSD) Changing Frequently China’s yuan edged up against the U.S. dollar on Tuesday after the central bank set guidance at its strongest in three weeks, but traders said corporate demand for the greenback could pressure the Chinese currency in the […]
Chinese Yuan (CN¥) Steady Against US Dollar ($) (CNYUSD) China’s yuan was steady against the US dollar on Friday, with sentiment improving on firmer signals from the authorities and as investors trimmed bearish bets on the Chinese currency. The People’s Bank of China set the midpoint rate at 6.8884 per US dollar prior to market […]
President Trump Cannot “Fix” 20 yrs of Problems in 100 Days A former Ronald Reagan adviser, Larry Kudlow, is urging any impatience investors to just give President Donald Trump to fully enact his strategies to reform healthcare, spark economic growth and redesign the tax system. After all, President Trump has been in office just under […]
President Trump Not Likely to Label China a Currency Manipulator $BX President Donald Trump is unlikely to designate China a currency manipulator this month, breaking a campaign promise, and may “circle back” on healthcare legislation that failed in the House, one of his top economic advisers said Tuesday. The Trump administration is expected to issue […]
The Trump Effect: Trade Deficit Falls as Exports Hit 2-year Highs $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The US trade deficit fell more than expected in February as exports increased to a 2 year high and slowing domestic demand weighed on imports. The narrowing in the trade gap comes as The Trump Administration is pushing ahead with […]
US Dollar ($) ⇨ Chinese Yuan (CN¥)(USDCNY) China HEFFX Outlook 12/03/17 Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways. Short term: Prices are stalling. Intermediate term: Prices are ranging. The projected upper bound is: 6.95. The projected lower bound is: 6.85. The projected closing price is: 6.90. FOREX CNY= closed down -0.004 at 6.905. Volume was […]
US Dollar ($) ⇨ Chinese Yuan (CN¥)(USDCNY) China HEFFX Outlook Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways. Short term: Prices are stalling. Intermediate term: Prices are ranging. By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 6.88. The projected upper bound is: 6.92. The projected lower bound is: 6.82. The projected closing price is: […]
US Dollar ($) ⇨ Chinese Yuan (CN¥)(USDCNY) China HEFFX Outlook Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways. Short term: Prices are stalling. Intermediate term: Prices are ranging. By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 6.88. The projected upper bound is: 6.91. The projected lower bound is: 6.81. The projected closing price is: […]
FLASH Update: China “Grand Champions” of Currency Manipulation $CNY, $USD, $USDCNY FLASH: US President Donald Trump declared China the “Grand Champions” of currency manipulation Thursday, just a few hours after his new Treasury Secretary, Steven Mnuchin, pledged a more methodical approach to analyzing Beijing’s Fx (foreign exchange) practices. In an exclusive interview with Reuters, President Trump […]
US Dollar ($) ⇨ Chinese Yuan (CN¥)(USDCNY) China HEFFX Outlook Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways. Short term: Prices are stalling. Intermediate term: Prices are ranging. By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 6.88. The projected upper bound is: 6.92. The projected lower bound is: 6.81. The projected closing price is: […]
US Dollar ($) ⇨ Chinese Yuan (CN¥)(USDCNY) HEFFX Trading Outlook Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways. Short term: Prices are stalling. Intermediate term: Prices are ranging. The projected upper bound is: 6.97. The projected lower bound is: 6.88. The projected closing price is: 6.92. FOREX CNY= closed up 0.031 at 6.918. Volume was 3% […]
US Attracting Chinese Capital Outflow $USDCNY Last Thursday, China took another step to degrade the USD in defining the value of its currency, in an effort that cuts against its rival’s strong hold on the global financial system. An arm of the People’s Bank of China (PBOC), which last year started setting the RMB Yuan […]
China Trying to Halt Capital Outflows, Market Bears “Smell Blood” $USDCNY China’s increasingly aggressive measures to clampdown on capital outflows has not gone unnoticed by US hedge-fund manager Kyle Bass. Mr. Bass is famed for his successful bet against the US housing market in the global financial crisis of Y’s 2007-2008, so markets monitor his […]
Economic Watch Shows China’s Economy is Stable China’s rising M-M inflation and narrower decline in producer prices in August have provided fresh evidence of a steadying economy, experts said. China’s consumer price index (CPI), a main gauge of inflation, rose 0.1% in August on a M-M basis, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) announced last […]
US Dollar ($) ⇨ Chinese Yuan (CN¥)(USDCNY) Trading Outlook HEFFX Notes Chinese Yuan Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways. Short term: Prices are stalling. Intermediate term: Prices are ranging. The projected upper bound is: 6.69. The projected lower bound is: 6.61. The projected closing price is: 6.65. FOREX CNY= closed up 0.022 at 6.652. […]
World Bank to Issue SDR Bonds in China China’s central bank (PBOC) said Friday that it allowed a division of the World Bank (WB) to issue bonds denominated in special drawing rights (SDR) in the country’s interbank bond market. The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development was approved to issue bonds worth 2 billion SDR […]
China’s Forex Reserves Fell in July, Gold Reserves Up $CNY, $USD, $GLD China’s Forex (foreign exchange) reserves fell to $3.20-T in July, central bank data showed Sunday. Economists polled predicted Forex reserves would fall to $3.20-T from $3.21-T at the end of June. China’s reserves, the largest in the world, fell by $4.10-B in July. […]
IMF Prepares for Inclusion of China’s RMB in its SDR Basket $CNY, $USD, $GBP, $EUR, $JPY The International Monetary Fund (IMF) Monday announced its board decision to amend the rounding methodology for determining currency accounts in the Special Drawing Right (SDR) basket, in order to make technical preparations for the inclusion of the Chinese currency, […]
Bitcoin at 2 Yr High on Shrinking Supply Bitcoin runs to a 2-year high on speculation that the supply of the digital currency will shrink. The crypto-currency rallied to $696.5 Monday in Hong Kong, the highest since February 2014. It was trading at $689.23 as of 3:50p in Hong Kong, + 19% from Friday. Profits […]
Beijing Promotes International Use of RMB Yuan Sunday, China’s state-owned currency marketplace said it is preparing to open branches in London and New York as part of efforts to promote the RMB Yuan’s global status. The China Foreign Exchange Trade System (CFETS), a subsidiary of China’s central bank (PBOC), said in a statement that by […]
US RMB Yuan Trading, Clearing Advocates Rally the Need The US market’s USD-centric approach is changing with the RMB Yuan becoming more internationalized. The heads of a US working group formed to push use of the Chinese currency in the United States claim that expanding RMB trading and clearing there will help both the Chinese […]
