$BAC An inverted Treasury yield curve is no longer a reliable signal of recession, and what matters more is the level of the curve, Bank of America (NYSE:BAC) economists said in a note Friday. The Fed is flirting with inversion probably because policy makers recognize its waning predictive power in a low-yield global environment, the […]
$GLD.$USD, $JPY FLASH: Last week gold posted its 3rd consecutive weekly gainer and rose 1%, the most since the week ending 1 February. The fundamentals Spot gold up 0.1% at $1,314.21 oz as of 0128 GMT. US gold futures up 0.2% at $1,314.40 oz. Investors sold shares Monday moving to the safety of bonds, while […]
$GLD, $USD, $EUR, $GBP, $CNY What we have been seeing over the past few years is that confidence in government is fading and the price of Gold is rising. Some current examples The UK House of Commons voted 413-202 last week to delay Britain’s exit from the EU. Despite resounding defeats, Prime Minister Theresa May […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Wall Street saw investors take profits Friday, with the benchmark S&P 500 index falling nearly 2% as weak factory data from the US, France and Germany led to an inversion of US Treasury yields, fueling fears of a global economic downturn. A weaker-than-expected Markit PMI reading of US factory […]
FLASH: Speculative-grade bond yields have retraced nearly all of Y 2018’s selloff This action is the latest sign that investors have returned to the market with a after fleeing for safer asset classes at the end of Y 2018. Here is how the market has been acting since 31 December, as follows; Investors have been […]
US treasury traders are bracing for heightened volatility next week as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ushers in a new era of press conferences after every meeting, while the US and China meet again for trade talks. The FOMC is expected to keep interest rates unchanged following the 9 hikes since Y 2015. But investors see […]
US fund investors charged into high-yield corporate bonds during the latest week, shoveling $3.3-B, the most cash flowing into that market since late Y 2016, Lipper said Thursday, boosted by dovish words from Fed Chairman Powell. Underscoring investors’ appetite for some risk-taking, investors pulled $15-B net cash from US-based money market funds, according to the […]
US Treasury Yields Seen Climbing Higher US T-Bond yield has broken above a multiyear base, which should lead to significantly higher yields for financial markets. “As I have been saying, two consecutive closes above 3.25% on the benchmark 30-year T-B means that my statement in July 2016 that we were seeing the low – I said […]
The Trump Effect: Atlanta Fed Keeps GDP Forecast at 4.4% $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wednesday, the S&P 500 finished with a gainer of 0.1%, driven by financial shares, which rallied on another rise in interest rates. The blue-chip DJIA outperformed, adding 0.6%, the NAS Comp lagged, closing lower by 0.1%, and the small-cap Russell […]
US Stock Broke Out Above Strong Resistances Extending the Longest Bull Run on Record $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX HeffX-LTN’s overall out look for the US equities market is Bullish Stocks rallied Thursday, the S&P 500 opened higher and extended gains into the afternoon, the benchmark index finished +0.8% off its session highs. The DJIA […]
President Trump Drives Debt Sales to Near-Recession Levels as Economy Booms US President Donald Trump is boosting long-term US debt sales to the highest since Y 2010, matching the pace when the country was digging itself out of the worst recession since World War II, even as the economy is booming. To cope with the […]
Wall Street On Track For Banner Year! $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Despite the persistence of geopolitical and economic risks, the backdrop is constructive There are more catalysts in the market and more participation. Wall Street trading desks’ revenue is on track for the best year since 2011, Q-2 earnings reports from big US banks […]
The US 10yr Yield is the Global Benchmark, Do Not Fear It $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Growth-sensitive groups like industrials, materials, and technology lead the broad retreat Tuesday At the close: the DJIA -424 pts, or 1.7%, at 24,024, the S&P 500 -36 pts, or 1.3%, at 2,6234, and the NAS Comp -121 pts, or […]
Fed Policymakers Say “Not to worry” No Recession Ahead As the gap between Short and Long-term borrowing costs hovers near its lowest in 10+years, speculation has risen over whether the yield curve is signaling that a recession is around the corner. Not to worry, 2 Federal Reserve policymakers said Friday Growth prospects look strong, which […]
US Government Posts $182.4-B Budget Surplus $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The federal government ran the 2nd highest monthly surplus on record this April as tax revenues were pushed higher by a change in the deadline for corporate tax payments. The US Treasury Department says the surplus for April totaled $182.4-B, the 2nd largest surplus after […]
Trump Tax Cuts Seen Boosting Earnings by 20% Next Year $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Some analysts are raising earnings forecast for Y 2017 expecting US President Donald Trump to favor a more business friendly environment than Barack Hussein Obama. The combination of a Republican in the White House and a Republican Congress is seen by […]
November, a Pivotal Month in the History of Financial Markets $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX, $GS, $JPM November marked a Key shifts for global financial markets, with a number of asset classes from financial stocks, emerging-market bonds to hard commodities staging sharp price swings in the space of just 3 weeks. Investors believe that the election […]
“Trump Effect” Hammering US Treasury Market US Treasury’s are having their worst month since Y 2009 after investors pulled money from the US bond market on speculation Donald Trump’s victory in the Presidential election will pave the way for increased fiscal stimulus. An index that tracks the Treasuries market has lost 2.5% this month through […]
Trump Victory Augurs US Banks Enhanced Profitably $XLF US President Elect Donald Trump has greatly enhanced the outlook for US bank profitability, as he is laying the foundation for a steeper yield curve and financial deregulation. Recognizing this, investors are acting with record 1-day inflows of more than $2.1-B into the Financial Select Sector exchange […]
US Long Dated Treasuries Up Signaling Rising Inflation $SPY Donald Trump’s victory in the US Presidential race is driving mutual fund managers out of dividend stocks and into the shares of financial, industrial and materials companies that benefit from rising inflation. Although inflation remains subdued by most measures, US longer-dated Treasury yields rose Thursday to […]
Investor Movement Index (IMX) for September 2016 Major US stock indices approached or achieved all-time peaks last month and retail traders did not hide out, raising their stock exposure to 2-year highs in September. For the 2nd-straight month and the 5th month in the last 6, retail traders tracked by TD Ameritrade were net buyers […]
QE to Infinity: Central Banking’s Manifest Destiny $GLD, $SLV, $GDX I’m not surprised; the week following my article illustrating why I believed the gold and silver miners are “historic buys at today’s prices”; gold, silver and their miners get whacked to their lows of the current, so far 8th week correction. But last week I also […]
China’s Central Bank Injects Liquidity Into Market China’s central bank Monday pumped money into the inter-bank market to provide more liquidity. The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) put RMB 50-B (around US$7.6-B) into 7-day reverse repos, a process by which central banks purchase securities from banks with an agreement to sell them back in the […]
US Jobs Growth Key to Avoid Recession $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX There are worrisome signs that the US will face Recession in Y 2017. The Key indicator to watch is the monthly NFPs (the jobs situation report). Friday the US Department of Labor is expected to report that the US companies added 170,000 jobs in […]
Big Chem and Big Ag are Dousing Our Food with Toxic Pesticides $MON, $FB, $TWTR The research shows that the long-term exposure to pesticides has been linked to infertility, birth defects, endocrine disruption, neurological disorders and cancer Common sense tells us that fewer pesticides in our food supply would result in improved health among the […]
Caution, Investors are Chasing Stocks, more Tactical than Fundamental $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Investors are no longer running from the stock market they are chasing it for reasons that are more tactical than fundamental: Caution. It is too early to tell where the UK’s new position in the overall context of the EU will be […]
Gold Bullion Price Building On Solid Gains Last Thursday, Gold built on its solid gains capitalizing on a weaker USD, and real interest rates dipping to a 1-year low, as inflation picks up in the the US economy. In active afternoon trading Thursday, Gold futures in New York for delivery in August, the most active […]
Top Locations for Renting, Buying Property in Dubai & Abu Dhabi Despite price declines, yields remained high in both Emirates UAE real estate markets were stable in Q-1 of Y 2016 as major developers continued to launch mega projects, according to property site www.Bayut.com The company said there were welcome signs of recovery in the […]