We Just Saw a Record 100 Day Rally in the S&P 500, the Trump Policies are Working

We Just Saw a Record 100 Day Rally in the S&P 500, the Trump Policies are Working

#SP500 #rally #record #Bull #Trump $SPY $SPX $DIA $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The S&P 500 just marked a 100-Day run, 1 for the record books. Since bottoming on 23 March, the S&P 500 rallied 40%,that has not happened in 90 yrs, and the Bull has further to run. The S&P 500 had previously recorded only 5 […]

US Still Seeing V-Shaped Recovery Despite Some Setbacks

US Still Seeing V-Shaped Recovery Despite Some Setbacks

#VShapedRecovery #economy #C19coronavirus #recovery #NYSE #stockmarket #rally #bullish #resiliance $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The US economy is displaying remarkable resilience and is still seeing a “V-shaped recovery” despite some setbacks in efforts to reopen state economies that had been shuttered by the C-19 coronavirus. “At the moment, the story looks very good. We are […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Americans Holding a Huge ‘Pile of Cash’

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Americans Holding a Huge ‘Pile of Cash’

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX #Paul Ebeling #Wall Street #recovery #cash #technicals #patterns #Fed #Bulls Last Week’s Action The indexes are in consolidation mode, and the leaders are leading pulling back and testing their moves, the trend is up and the Bulls are still in charge. Financials received bids ahead of the release of the […]

The Bulls are in Charge on Wall Street: 3 Key Indicators

The Bulls are in Charge on Wall Street: 3 Key Indicators

$XAU $SPY $VIX $VXX The last few months have been super for the US stock market and for gold Few thought in March that the S&P 500 would be back above 3,000, the DJIA would be back above 25,000 and the NAS would mark new all-time highs in late June. As we roll into the Summer Doldrums there are signs of […]

US Stock Market: Cross Current Sentiment Explained

US Stock Market: Cross Current Sentiment Explained

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $$GLD $XAU $VXX The Bulls are clearly in control on Wall Street, but the US stock market sentiment data picture is confusing for many participants now, as there is lots of professional of pessimism about current stock pricing Vs retail optimism. It is a tug-of-war scenario. This shows up in the […]

The China Virus Will Not Shut Down the US Economy Again

The China Virus Will Not Shut Down the US Economy Again

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Thursday, Top White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said the US economy will not shut down again and cripple the strong economic recovery. Mr. Kudlow said there will be “spikes and hot spots,” that might force shutdowns “in individual places or certain stores.” But the American people will/can “have to […]

Americans Like Stocks, Indifferent to Volatility

Americans Like Stocks, Indifferent to Volatility

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Successful investing is about managing risk, as it cannot be avoided. Americans are optimistic about the long-term health of the US stock market, despite being pessimistic about how investments will hold up short term, a Wells Fargo/Gallup survey said. Most people are eager to invest, especially to build their retirement […]

US Seeing a ‘Big V-shaped’ Economic Rebound Ahead

US Seeing a ‘Big V-shaped’ Economic Rebound Ahead

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The US the economy has started to benefit from a V-shaped recovery Markets are benefiting from both liquidity and optimism that the C-19 coronavirus chaos will fade away or be contained. But, it take some time before we come all the way up and get back to Y 2019 marks. […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Inflation Alert

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Inflation Alert

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last Week’s Action Stock indexes are consolidating, the economic data impresses, as headlines focus on new China Virus cases in the wake of massive new testing. Last Friday was Quad Witching expiration, and we saw leaders continue to lead. Perhaps other sectors will now start to contribute to the uptrend. […]

More Government Support Needed to Bolster US Economy, It is Coming

More Government Support Needed to Bolster US Economy, It is Coming

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The continuing uncertainty brought on by the C-19 coronavirus chaos may hamper the US economic rebound from instant recession, and more fiscal and monetary support will likely be needed, Boston Federal Reserve President Eric Rosengren said Friday. Mr. Rosengren repeated his view that the US unemployment rate will likely be […]

US Mortgage Rates Drop to Record Low 3.13% for 30-Yr Home Loans

US Mortgage Rates Drop to Record Low 3.13% for 30-Yr Home Loans

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX US mortgage rates fell to a record low for the 4th time since the C-19 coronavirus chaos began disturbing financial markets earlier this year. The average for a 30-yr fixed-rate home loan was 3.13%, down from 3.21% last week and a low point in almost 50 yrs of data-keeping by […]

US Housing Market Will Be a Leader in Economic Recovery Plus…

US Housing Market Will Be a Leader in Economic Recovery Plus…

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX … recently released figures indicate that retail sales in May increased by 17.7%, and that is the biggest monthly gainer ever. This number re-enforces the forecast that a V shaped recovery from the instant recession has begun. This means that as construction reopens we seeing the positives. Housing starts rose […]

Like March 2009, My Work Shows Big Northside Ahead for US Stocks

Like March 2009, My Work Shows Big Northside Ahead for US Stocks

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX I expect stocks to consolidate in an uptrend the Bull run off the 23 March lows then rally into the end of the year. I have been tracking the Y’s 2009-2020 action since the March C-19 coronavirus chaos, and it looks uniquely the same. If I am right, we will […]

This Bull Recovery Run Signals Buy Stocks

This Bull Recovery Run Signals Buy Stocks

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX This stock market rally has more to run and investors are under-pricing the scale of the world’s C-19 coronavirus chaos recovery “While the last four months have been exceptional, we think that this cycle has been, and will be, more ‘normal’ than appreciated,” said Morgan Stanley’s chief cross-asset strategist in […]

President Trump Hammers Powell, “Fed is Often Wrong”

President Trump Hammers Powell, “Fed is Often Wrong”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $BA $VXX President Trump says the US economy will be back and better than ever next year. Thursday, President Trump hammered the Fed after Fed Chairman Powell offered a grim outlook on the US economy, saying there is a “long road” ahead. “I see the numbers also, and do MUCH better […]

Fed Chairman Powell, “Near-Zero Rates Through 2022, GDP to Hit 5% Next Year”

Fed Chairman Powell, “Near-Zero Rates Through 2022, GDP to Hit 5% Next Year”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Wednesday, the Trump Fed signaled it will provide years of extraordinary support for an economy clawing back from the C-19 coronavirus chaos. Th FOMC projects a 6.5% decline in GDP this yr and a 9.3% unemployment rate at yr’s end. In the 1st economic projections of the virus quarter, US central […]

Options Players Placing Bets Stocks Keep Rising

Options Players Placing Bets Stocks Keep Rising

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Traders established fresh Bullish positions last week by buying 35.6-M new Call options on stocks, up from a high of 28.7-M in February, when speculative activity was rampant. Options traders make big bets on rising prices. This kind of activity could lead to negative returns in the S&P 500 and […]

This Market’s Q-1 Downdraft Created Massive Opportunities for Savvy Investors

This Market’s Q-1 Downdraft Created Massive Opportunities for Savvy Investors

$SPY $SPX $DIA $QQQ $RUTX $USO $VXX This V-shaped recovery in stocks illustrates how markets strong this market and how fast it recovered from the medical malpractice recession. For those of us that understood this it set up opportunities for massive gainers over a short frame. It also underlines the need to be nimble, pay […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $IRJ $XLF $VXX Bulls believe in this recovery, drive Bears back, as the market rallies with each sign of economic recovery. Recall the Bears growled alarms about putting faith in the Fed and chasing shares whose valuations swelled to a 20-yr high. Last Week’s Action Friday’s NFPs jobs report says the resilience reflects not […]

President Trump, “We Are Bringing Our Jobs Back”

President Trump, “We Are Bringing Our Jobs Back”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Friday, President Trump said he expects the US economy to recover from the C-19 coronavirus outbreak even faster than predicted after Friday’s jobs report showed a surprise gain of millions of jobs, but warned against electing Democrats in November. “The only thing that can stop us is bad policy,” PresidentTrump […]

Looking for this Rally to Continue Into the Fall

Looking for this Rally to Continue Into the Fall

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX No matter what you here, this market is not overvalued and barring any unexpected bad non-economic news, will continue to head due North. The current P/E ratio for the S&P 500 is 22ish. That is in line with the 12-month forward P/E ratio based on analysts’ expected EPS. The 25-yr MA is 25 […]

The Stock Market is about Money, It has “No Conscience”

The Stock Market is about Money, It has “No Conscience”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Wall Street stocks extend rally despite the terrorist rioting sweeping the nation. “At the end of the day, the market has no conscience. Investors are simply trying to make money, and that is why they are crowding into the stay-at-home economy stocks,” Jim Cramer said Tuesday, adding people still pick […]

Market Bulls Resist Selling Pressure in the Midsts of Chaos

Market Bulls Resist Selling Pressure in the Midsts of Chaos

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Monday, we saw more of the same resistance to selling pressure, as the Bulls remain in charge. Notably, President Trump made a short but strong statement from the Rose Garden about stopping the nationwide rioting buy invoking the Insurrection Act. The major indices posted modest gains, as the market remained […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX What Happened Last Month The US stock market maintained a Bullish trajectory throughout May which saw many indices, sectors, and stocks retracing back above their March and April resistance zones.  Broad-based gains lift S&P 500 back above its 200-Day MA, and Bullish with a Very Bullish bias across the board. […]

US Pending Home Sales Off in April

US Pending Home Sales Off in April

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX April had a record decline in Americans signing contracts to buy homes, a reflection of the broader shutdown of economic activity in response to the C-19 coronavirus chaos outbreak. The National Association of Realtors (NAR) said Thursday that pending home sales index dove 21.8% from the prior month to a level of […]

Americans Like to Shop for Groceries in a Store, Not Online

Americans Like to Shop for Groceries in a Store, Not Online

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Online grocery sales have risen 200% YTD, according to Earnest Research, part of a broader boom in home cooking now that thousands of restaurants are closed. The $840-B grocery industry has been one of the few bright spots during this medical emergency that has hammered the economy. Walmart Inc.(NYSE:WMT), Amazon.com Inc.(NASDAQ:AMZN) and startup […]

“Fast Economic Recovery in Sight”

“Fast Economic Recovery in Sight”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Jamie Dimon sees “pretty good odds” of a fast economic recovery starting in Q-3 thanks to the US government’s stimulus programs and the strength of the consumer going into the Medical Malpractice chaos. “You could see a fairly rapid recovery,” the JPMorgan Chase & Co. CEO said Tuesday at a […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, What the Bulls are Telling Us

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, What the Bulls are Telling Us

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last Week’s Action The large-cap indexes were lower Thursday, and flat Friday. On the week though the S&P 500 (+3.2%), DJIA (+3.3%), and NAS Comp (+3.4%) rose 3%+, and the small-cap Russell 2000 climbed 7.8%. The Bulls are in charge. Technical Analysis S&P 500 broke higher Wednesday, opened lower Thursday and […]

Americans Leaving Their Homes, and Hitting the Road

Americans Leaving Their Homes, and Hitting the Road

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Americans locked at homes for 9 wks are anxious to participate in a C-19 coronavirus experiment that begins this Memorial Day weekend, with all 50 States open at least in part. People are filling resorts, casting aside masks at the mall and eating out. That freedom will boost an economy […]

Goodbye to High-yield Savings Accounts

Goodbye to High-yield Savings Accounts

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX For years, the high-yield saving products were a success for both consumers and financial institutions alike. After getting almost Zero interest from big US banks, individuals who parked their excess cash with the likes of Ally Financial Inc., Barclays Plc, Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s consumer bank, Marcus, or HSBC Holdings Plc’s HSBC Direct […]

President Trump and Republican Leaders, ‘Reopen Our Economy Prefered Over More Stimulus’

President Trump and Republican Leaders, ‘Reopen Our Economy Prefered Over More Stimulus’

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday, President Trump and Republican congressional leaders are counting on state lockdowns lifting to propel an economic rebound that will ease pressure for another round of stimulus. “There is only one way out of this dilemma: America has to grow again, to open up again and I am pleased that […]

US Stock Indexes Gap Up and Hold, Futures Following On

US Stock Indexes Gap Up and Hold, Futures Following On

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Monday, US stock index futures edge higher Monday evening following a sharp rally in the broad market. Markets were bolstered after Fed Chairman Powell said Sunday night that he saw a path, toward an economic recovery from the C-19 coronavirus chaos in 2-H of Y 2020 and emphasized that he […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Fed’s Fast Actions

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Fed’s Fast Actions

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last Week’s Close Friday May options expired, and the market show us that the leaders were going to make good moves. The futures are telling us that Monday trades will be higher after last week’s action. This story helped: Friday mid-session it was the reported that the Fed purchased $305-M […]

“Shutdowns are causing mass economic strife, spurring unemployment, spikes in domestic violence and other dire consequences”

“Shutdowns are causing mass economic strife, spurring unemployment, spikes in domestic violence and other dire consequences”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie (R) called for businesses across the country to reopen with safety measures Friday, saying that the C-19 coronavirus chaos cannot control when parts of the country open. He wrote in a commentary that additional lives will be lost “as a result of reopening our […]

President Trump, “I strongly believe in negative interest rates, and Powell has improved.”

President Trump, “I strongly believe in negative interest rates, and Powell has improved.”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Wednesday, President Trump said he strongly believes the Fed should have negative interest rates, but gave a modicum of approval to Fed Chairman Powell who said earlier in the day the FOMC would not lower rates beyond Zero. President Trump said Mr. Powell, who he frequently criticizes, has improved in […]

Elon Musk ‘the Champ’ for Businesses Defying Draconian Shutdown Orders

Elon Musk ‘the Champ’ for Businesses Defying Draconian Shutdown Orders

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $TSLA $VXX Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) CEO Elon Musk, with 34-M Twitter followers, has openly defied an order from the Alameda County Health Department to conduct only minimum operations at the company’s EV plant in Fremont, California, that normally employs 10,000 people. On Twitter he made derisive comments about the county’s Top health […]

Fed Poll: Americans See Stocks Higher, Consumer Spending Lower

Fed Poll: Americans See Stocks Higher, Consumer Spending Lower

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX US households expect the stock market to go higher in the next 12 months, as their own finances slide, according to a Federal Reserve Bank of New York poll. Americans saw better than 50-50 odds of higher stock prices over the next yr for the 1st time since data collection […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Taking the Long Term Outlook +

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Taking the Long Term Outlook +

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The DJIA is up about 30% from its 23 March low at 18.591.93, the S&P 500 SPX is up about the same per cent from its low at 2,237.40, and the NAS Comp has climbed by 32.5% from its lows of 6,850.67. My work shows the US market will continue rising well […]

President Trump, “No Rush for More Aid/Relief”

President Trump, “No Rush for More Aid/Relief”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Friday, President Trump said that he is in no hurry for Congress to pass more C-19 coronavirus related stimulus measures to help the economy. “We are in no rush,” President Trump said while meeting with House Republicans who spent an hour taking turns complimenting and congratulating the President for his […]

President Trump’s Policies Will Bring Economic Prosperity Back to America

President Trump’s Policies Will Bring Economic Prosperity Back to America

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX In Y 2016, the US economy was continuing its 8 year stagnation. The 2008-2009 Great Recession was over, but the expansion never happened, as the slow recovery was, well slow! Donald J. Trump was elected President and things changed. He brought economic prosperity to America. The Big Q: Can he […]

President Trump Polls Better on Economy and Virus

President Trump Polls Better on Economy and Virus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX President Trump’s popular support eroded that of the presumptive Democratic Presidential nominee, Joe Biden as he is struggling for visibility with voters during the C-19 coronavirus chaos, according to a Reuters/Ipsos poll released Tuesday. The opinion poll conducted Monday and Tuesday found 43% of registered voters said they would support […]

Seeing Signs of the World’s Economies Rebounding From the C-19 virus Chaos, Things are Stable, Time to Grow

Seeing Signs of the World’s Economies Rebounding From the C-19 virus Chaos, Things are Stable, Time to Grow

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Savvy economists say there is evidence the world economy has begun to recover from the C-19 coronavirus chaos, and the Draconian restrictions placed on businesses and consumers. “Economic activity has probably bottomed now,” said the chief economist at Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) in a note to clients Monday. “Lockdowns and social […]

On the 1st Day in May, Investors Took Some Profits

On the 1st Day in May, Investors Took Some Profits

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Friday, all 11 S&P 500 sectors opened and closed in the Red. The energy (-6.0%) and consumer discretionary (-4.6%) sectors took the biggest hits, and the consumer staples sector (-1.2%) declined the least.   Investors had to contend with President Trump threatening new tariffs on China for its handling of the […]

On the Last Day of April Investors Took Some Profits

On the Last Day of April Investors Took Some Profits

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $USD $GLD $VXX Thursday, the market opened in the Red as some profit-taking into April’s month-end happened.  The market has been climbing that wall of worry the last few sessions improving the charts in all 3 major US stock market indexes, and thus turning all Key technical indicators Very Bullish. […]

US Stock Market is saying, “America is a victim of malpractice by medical advisors”

US Stock Market is saying, “America is a victim of malpractice by medical advisors”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX President Trump will travel to Arizona next week, his 1st trip since 28 March as the coronavirus chaos ramped up in the United States. “I think I’m going to Arizona next week, and we look forward to that,” he told reporters Wednesday during a Q&A session with industry leaders on reopening the […]

More Evidence that the ‘Worst is Over’ in the Stock Market and the Coronavirus

More Evidence that the ‘Worst is Over’ in the Stock Market and the Coronavirus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Big Q: Is the worst behind the stock market after a coronavirus-induced selloff? The Big A: We do not know for sure as officials attempt to restart economies from a self-imposed period of hibernation to curb the spread of the virus, but a chart pairing the infections of the […]

Stock Market Volatility Has Calmed in Here, Small, Midcaps Outperform

Stock Market Volatility Has Calmed in Here, Small, Midcaps Outperform

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $IWM  Small-caps, mid-caps, and most cyclical sectors outperformed the day. Market volatility has calmed since the extremes of mid-March, and recent moves may augur well for stocks. The Cboe Volatility Index, or VIX, closed below its 2nd-month future Monday for the 1st time since 21 February, going back to a […]

President Trump and GOP Lawmakers’ Powerful Efforts Will Restore the Economy Relatively Fast…

President Trump and GOP Lawmakers’  Powerful Efforts Will Restore the Economy Relatively Fast…

…The China Virus chaos took its shot at destroying the world’s Top economy quickly and failed. $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $PEP $SBUX $GOOGL $CAT $LUV GOP policymakers’ powerful aggressive response to supporting the virus-stricken US economy has also helped support stocks. Investors are looked past Q-1 corporate earnings results, with the coronavirus chaos now […]

Today’s US Stock Market says “the Worst is behind us now”

Today’s US Stock Market says “the Worst is behind us now”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The stock market is blocking bad news now and is saying the “worst is behind us“ It is the Key rationalization for the expansion, expansion to the point where the S&P 500 is trading today at a higher P/E multiple based on forward 12-month earnings 19.7X than it was trading […]

US Stocks End the Week on a Positive Note

US Stocks End the Week on a Positive Note

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $AAPL $MSFT Friday, the S&P 500 finished +1.4% on Friday, wrapping up a negative week on a positive note with buyers coming into the close as sellers faded. All 11 S&P 500 sector indexes finished in the Green, with IT leading at + 2.1% and materials rallied 1.5%. The tech […]

This is what matters to investors, “Open the Economy Now!”

This is what matters to investors, “Open the Economy Now!”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX More than 90% of our country “is not in harm’s way, the virus lockdown flat-out fraud on a massive scale,” said David Stockman, President Ronald Reagan’s former Director of Office of Management and Budget China Virus trading will go down in history for its high velocity. We have witnessed the […]

Surviving & Thriving, Chaos Investing for Retail Participants

Surviving & Thriving, Chaos Investing for Retail Participants

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Black Swans in financial markets are extreme rare events. And how you survive and thrive when 1 happens is Key. With that in mind let’s look at some Black Swan mitigation strategies, as follows: In Nassim Taleb’s “Black Swan” (required reading) he suggests that he is constantly taking small losses […]

Crude Oil Volatility Signals Major ‘Rebalancing’

Crude Oil Volatility Signals Major ‘Rebalancing’

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $OIL $VXX The lack of demand in the world Crude Oil market has set it up to be forced into a necessary rebalancing over the coming weeks as rapidly filling storage leads to significant production cuts and higher prices. See price volatility continuing high in the weeks ahead, as retail […]

Really Cheap Gasoline and No Place to Go

Really Cheap Gasoline and No Place to Go

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $UGA $VXX This Crude Oil market is seeing declines despite OPEC +’s recent major deal to cut output as oversupply in light of the fight against coronavirus that has halted most of the global demand for Crude Oil. Monday, global Crude Oil prices fell to marks not seen since Y […]

The US Stock Market Believes President Trump is Doing Well Against Virus

The US Stock Market Believes President Trump is Doing Well Against Virus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Saturday, President Trump said that the stock market’s 5 week blazing rally shows that traders and now investors like his Administration’s response to the coronavirus chaos has been a success. The Market is the Test. “The market is smart. The market is actually brilliant,” President Trump said at a White […]

“May is the ‘Transition’ Month, the Economy Will Resume”

“May is the ‘Transition’ Month, the Economy Will Resume”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Friday, the White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow that May will be a “transition month” for the United States while it recovers from the effects of the coronavirus pandemic, but he “firmly” believes the economy will improve from its sudden closures.  “We will get to the other side and we […]

Millions Unemployed, Homebuilding Collapses in Virus Chaos, Did We Really Need This?

Millions Unemployed, Homebuilding Collapses in Virus Chaos, Did We Really Need This?

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX To date a record 22-M Americans have filed for unemployment benefits over the past month, with millions more filing claims last week, thus wiping out all the job gains since the Great Recession and underscoring the toll on the economy from extraordinary measures to control the COVID-19 coronavirus outbreak. The […]

US Companies Hammered by the Governments Coronavirus Lockdown Orders

US Companies Hammered by the Governments Coronavirus Lockdown Orders

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX US companies have been hammered by the fallout from the novel coronavirus outbreak as economic activity “contracted sharply and abruptly across all regions,” according to the Fed’s Beige Book released Wednesday. The Fed’s latest check of businesses around the country was completed during March when the US went from worrying about […]

America is Ready to Go Back to Work!

America is Ready to Go Back to Work!

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX President Trump is planning “very important announcements” in the next day or 2 about reopening the US economy and is considering a “rolling” re-entry in certain parts of the country, White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow said Tuesday.  “I do not want to front-run his views, I don’t want to […]

Secretary Mnuchin Assembled 100 Business Leaders for Special Reopening Task Force

Secretary Mnuchin Assembled 100 Business Leaders for Special Reopening Task Force

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Monday, Treasury Secretary Mnuchin said he and his team have selected 100 business leaders to join a Special Task Force dedicated to re-opening the economy after the coronavirus crisis passes. The task force will work with medical advisers to develop a timeline for re-opening the economy, with 1 May as a […]

S&P 500 Marks Best Weekly Gainer Since 1974 on President Trump’s ‘Big Bang’ Fed Lending Program

S&P 500 Marks Best Weekly Gainer Since 1974 on President Trump’s ‘Big Bang’ Fed Lending Program

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The US stock market will be closed Friday for Good Friday. Thursday, Wall Street closed out its best week in 45 yrs on after the Trump Fed launched its ‘Big Bang’ effort to support the economy through the coronavirus crisis. The S&P 500 index posted it best weekly gainer since […]

Today’s Action Confirms Buy Signal for Stocks

Today’s Action Confirms Buy Signal for Stocks

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin went on national TV Wednesday morning to assure markets that the federal government’s stimulus package is being rolled out smoothly amid the economic distress caused by measures to slow the spread of the coronavirus. The US stock market rallied Wednesday, confirming the technical buy signals seen […]

Major Indexes Crack the Key Resistance and Fade to Flat

Major Indexes Crack the Key Resistance and Fade to Flat

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday, the major US stock indexes finished flat to unchanged after cracking Key overhead resistances. Stocks gapped up at the open after markets across Asia and Europe had good action overnight. The sharply higher start was attributed to optimism about a potential plateau in coronavirus cases, but the Key indices […]

“Slowing US Virus Cases to Put Floor Under Stocks, Sunlight Ahead”

“Slowing US Virus Cases to Put Floor Under Stocks, Sunlight Ahead”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The DJIA rallied 7.7% to start the trading week. Sentiment was boosted by encouraging signs that the COVID-19 outbreak may be improving. The DJIA (+7.7%) and Russell 2000 (+8.2%) set the pace, followed by the NAS Comp (+7.3%) and S&P 500 (+7.0%). The positive bias was formed overnight in the […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Coronavirus Broke Globalism

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Coronavirus Broke Globalism

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Just In: Southeast Asian stock markets inched higher Monday, tracking global equities that gained due to a slowdown in coronavirus-related deaths and new infections Last Week’s US Stock Market View Technical Analysis: The action in the major US stock indexes over the past few sessions was almost identical as large-cap […]

Investors Looking at a Wide Range of Indicators for Market Direction

Investors Looking at a Wide Range of Indicators for Market Direction

$VXX $DIA $SPY $QQQ Investors are studying a wide range of technical indicators, from infection counts to more traditional indicators, for clues on the direction the markets will take in coming weeks as the pandemic caused by the novel coronavirus continues to spread. Some point to signs that the worst of the waterfall sell-off that […]

Market Commentators Turning Bullish, the Futures are Open Reflecting this Optimism

Market Commentators Turning Bullish, the Futures are Open Reflecting this Optimism

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $MS $EV Commentators from Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) to Eaton Vance (NYSE:EV) are encouraged by a combination of unprecedented government and central bank stimulus efforts, declining volatility and the Key: Signs that the coronavirus pandemic is peaking in parts of Europe. “There is light at the end of the tunnel but it’s still […]

Crude Oil Responds to President Trump’s Efforts to Stabilize the World Market

Crude Oil Responds to President Trump’s Efforts to Stabilize the World Market

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $OIL $VXX Friday afternoon, President Trump met with Big Oil company executives at the White House to discuss this Oil price decline threatening their businesses, brought on by the coronavirus outbreak and a Saudi-Russia price war. “We will work this out and we will get our energy business back,” President Trump […]

Gold, the Safe-haven Investment Alternative

Gold, the Safe-haven Investment Alternative

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $GLD $XAU $USD Gold Dealers Report Big Shortages of Small Bars and Coins Gold has been and is the traditional safe-haven of choice for investors looking to protect themselves against stock market dives. When Bear markets come on, gold often performs very well. Gold is off a bit this Spring, […]

The People Who ‘Hate’ President Trump Have Turned the Virus National Emergency into a Political ‘Football’

The People Who ‘Hate’ President Trump Have Turned the Virus National Emergency into a Political ‘Football’

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Just In: House Dems are said to be putting together a “9/11-style commission” where they will be investigating President Trump’s response to the coronavirus. This is shocking considering America is focused on beating the deadly disease and they cant get investigations out of their minds. The people who hate Donald […]

The Coronavirus Will Change America

The Coronavirus Will Change America

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX America is at War President Trump is commanding and the nation’s governors, mayors and industry leaders are acting in concert to mobilization efforts for the major conflict. As with all major Wars, this will change how Americans think, engage with the world, and behave. Since WWII, Western leaders have embraced globalization, governed by rules for equitable competition, […]

US Stocks Up, Crude Oil Down

US Stocks Up, Crude Oil Down

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $OIL $USO $VXX DJIA Jumps 700 as Crude Oil Falls Below $20 to 18-Yr Lows US stocks rose Monday as investors look for shares that have become cheap and can withstand the impact to the economy from efforts to stem the spread of the coronavirus. The S&P healthcare sector jumped 4.67% on the […]

DJIA Marks Best Weekly Gainer Since 1938

DJIA Marks Best Weekly Gainer Since 1938

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Friday, investors took some profits after the American Aid bill was passed and sent to President Trump for signing. By the end of the session, the DJIA was off 4.1%, S&P 500 and NAS 3.8 shed 3.4% and 3.8% respectively. The strong gains made on the week drove the DJIA […]

US Virus Aid Bill is Wartime Funding

US Virus Aid Bill is Wartime Funding

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Stocks rose for 2nd day running with stimulus in sight. Wall Street trimmed strong gains late in the session after reports raised doubts about how quickly the bill might pass, but the S&P 500 and DJIA still ended up more than 1% and 2%, respectively Wednesday, Senator Shelley Moore Capito […]

President Trump Meets with Wall Street Investors on Reopening Economy

President Trump Meets with Wall Street Investors on Reopening Economy

$DIA, $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday morning, President Trump spoke to several billionaire hedge fund and private equity managers about reopening the US economy that over the past 4 wks ground to a halt due to the coronavirus outbreak. President Trump is re-evaluating whether or not to call for people to return to work as […]

If You Can Manage the Risk, the Coronavirus Has Presented Opportunity in this Market

If You Can Manage the Risk, the Coronavirus Has Presented Opportunity in this Market

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Economist Mohamed El-Erian sees opportunities for investors who can manage risk during this coronavirus induced stock market dive. “Those people who entered this defensively and have a massive appetite for volatility, there is starting to be real pockets of value,” Mr. El-Erian told reporters.   “For most investors, I think you […]

President Trump Vows Federal Aid Until Economy Recovers From Coronavirus Attack

President Trump Vows Federal Aid Until Economy Recovers From Coronavirus Attack

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Once we get the economy back, it is gonna all come back to us very quickly.” Friday, President Trump vowed to keep pushing for more federal spending until the economy recovers from the coronavirus outbreak, and said Americans can expect “much more” than $1,000 checks from the government. At a […]

Investors Optimistic, Small Caps Post Large Gains

Investors Optimistic, Small Caps Post Large Gains

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Thursday the S&P 500 advanced 0.5% in a session that saw it fall as much as 3.3% early and gain as much as 2.9% in the afternoon. The DJIA rose 1.0%, while the NAS Comp (+2.3%) and Russell 2000 (+6.8%) were the big movers today on strong gains in technology […]

The 1st Test of Our Economic Strength is a Man Made Virus

The 1st Test of Our Economic Strength is a Man Made Virus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX This health emergency was dismissed at 1st as a fleeting risk to the US economy has turned into a full test of whether 20 yrs of planning, regulation and research has left the financial system resilient to a major shock and the Fed able to mount a rescue. Preparations for an […]

Unprecedented Stresses in US Financial Markets Has Investor Sidelining Trillions in Cash

Unprecedented Stresses in US Financial Markets Has Investor Sidelining Trillions in Cash

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USD $JPY $VXX Friday, Ultra Long-term US T-Bond futures moved about 1.3 pts a day on average in January, were down more than 7 pts on the day and off 36 pts from Monday’s high. Italian sovereign debt had imploded. An index of costs to insure corporate debt with credit-default swaps […]

People are Asking, “What is going on in this Stock Market?”

People are Asking, “What is going on in this Stock Market?”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX The Big Q: What is going on in this Stock Market? The Big A: A confluence of confusion aka lots of unknowns. I have been in the stock market since Y 1981, and like everyone else I know in this game, have not see this kind of action ever. What we […]

US Stocks Spike 9%+ on President Trump’s Plan to Bring the Country Together to Fight the Virus

US Stocks Spike 9%+ on President Trump’s Plan to Bring the Country Together to Fight the Virus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX US stocks spiked 9%+ as President Trump joined reassured investors that he is stepping up efforts to protect the economy from the coronavirus fallout. All 3 major US stock market indexes rose 9%+, as President Trump declared a national emergency to help combat the virus and said the private sector […]

Time to Step Back, Focus on Investing Not Day to Day Speculation, Do Not Sell American Markets Short

Time to Step Back, Focus on Investing Not Day to Day Speculation, Do Not Sell American Markets Short

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Investing like a savvy investor during a Bear market often yields better returns, but it means avoiding emotional-driven decisions. The benchmark that Wall Street uses to determine a Bear market is when the stock market takes a 20 – 22% decline. But following the strategies of millionaires or successful hedge funds […]

US Stock Bulls Up and Running

US Stock Bulls Up and Running

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday, Wall Street’s Bulls came back to life rising from the edge of Bear market confirmation as bargain-hunters and notions of government stimulus calmed investors’ fears surrounding the coronavirus and prospects of a recession. All 3 major US stock market indexes spiked nearly 5% the day after they suffered their […]

The Collapse in Crude Oil Prices Adds to the Market’s Uncertainty, Equities Dive in Concert

The Collapse in Crude Oil Prices Adds to the Market’s Uncertainty, Equities Dive in Concert

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $VXX WTI Crude Oil settled off 10.23 (-24.8%) to 31.09 bbl for its worst decliner since Y 1991. The last time Crude Oil traded at this mark was in Y 2016. Last Tuesday, the world’s Top financial officials pledged to use “all appropriate policy tools” to protect their economies from […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $GLD $XAU $USO $VXX Wow, what a week it was, it really was! Technical Analysis: The move Thursday was not encouraging for a continued relief move, much less anything else. The Big Qs: Was it the end of the relief move? Would the jobs report help spring the move higher, given that […]

Navigating Extreme Stock Market Volatility

Navigating Extreme Stock Market Volatility

$DIA, $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Forget that the major US stock indices posted a gainer last week. All that most investors will remember is a wild week that took their portfolios on a harrowing roller coaster ride. These market fluctuations are not 1 month, 1 week, but 1 day moves The weekend’s news about the […]

Atlanta Fed Raises GDP Estimate to 3.1% + The World Markets and Commodities Wrap

Atlanta Fed Raises GDP Estimate to 3.1% + The World Markets and Commodities Wrap

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $XAU, $XAG, $CU, $OIL, $USO, $VXX FLASH: The S&P 500 staged a 70-pt rally during the final hr of trade, which led to a significant improvement in final sector standings, though all 11 sectors finished in the Red. The US economy is likely growing at a 3.1% annualized rate in Q-1, […]

Market Strategists say: “Drop Cautious Stance, Buy Dip in Stocks”

Market Strategists say: “Drop Cautious Stance, Buy Dip in Stocks”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Investors should ‘buy the dip’ in stocks because government and central bank policies will counter the economic blow of the spreading coronavirus, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) strategists who had previously told clients to trim risky bets. The outbreak and its economic implications are “the main source of […]

Home Buyers Like Wall Street Really Like ‘cheap money’

Home Buyers Like Wall Street  Really Like ‘cheap money’

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX A drop in interest rates in response to the Fed’s rate cut is adding urgency to a hiring spree across the mortgage industry. Executives at of the nation’s 15 biggest mortgage lenders, already gearing up for a busy Y 2020, anticipate hiring thousands of employees this year to keep up […]

Companies and Executives are Buying Their Own Stocks in Here

Companies and Executives are Buying Their Own Stocks in Here

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Follow the insiders in this market Company executives see their own businesses daily, and through their actions are telling us that fears about the hit to economic growth because of COVID-19 are overdone. With that in mind, they are stepping up buying their own companies’ shares, and in all the […]

Atlanta Fed Lifts Q-1 GDP Estimate to 2.7%

Atlanta Fed Lifts Q-1 GDP Estimate to 2.7%

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX DJIA +1293.96 at 26703.29, NAS Comp +384.80 at 8952.17, S&P 500 +136.01 at 3090.23 The major averages spiked Monday with the S&P 500 recording its 1st gainer since 19 February. The US economy is likely growing at a 2.7% annualized rate in Q-1, based on the latest economic data, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow forecast model showed Monday. […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last week Late Friday, the stock market put up a fight, on the close it was the worst week for equities since late Y 2008, as the S&P 500 (-0.8%) gave back 11.5% since the prior Friday, recording its 7th day running of losses, falling to its lowest level since […]

Fed’s Powell: “Economy Is Fine but Fed Ready to Act as Needed”

Fed’s Powell: “Economy Is Fine but Fed Ready to Act as Needed”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Friday, Fed Chairman Powell said he will “act as appropriate” to support the economy in the face of risks posed by the coronavirus outbreak, though he said the economy remains in solid condition. “The fundamentals of the US economy remain strong,” Chairman Powell said in a statement released amid an ongoing […]

Market Looks Like it is Trading with a Recession in Mind, Though the Economy is Strong

Market Looks Like it is Trading with a Recession in Mind, Though the Economy is Strong

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The US economy grew moderately in Q-4, the government confirmed, and may be facing a rocky road in early Y 2020 on the notion that coronavirus will hobble it, and bring on a recession. The economy grew by an unrevised 2.3% in Y 2019, the slowest annual growth in 3 […]

Communist Bernie Sanders and the “Dark Side of Momentum Investing”

Communist Bernie Sanders and the “Dark Side of Momentum Investing”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX FLASH: President Trump: “Coronavirus Risk in America Remains ‘Very Low’” Bond King, Jeffrey Gundlach blames Presidential hopeful Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT) for the market recent volatility. “If this stock market reversal is due exclusively to the virus, then why is United Healthcare down far more than SPX? Why is healthcare […]

“Fed Will Not Make Panic Move and Cut Rates Over Virus”

“Fed Will Not Make Panic Move and Cut Rates Over Virus”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX FLASH: Conservative radio host Rush Limbaugh said the coronavirus is being weaponized to bring down President Trump. US economy will be able to ride out any disruption from the global spread of coronavirus, plus not anticipating the Fed to cut interest rates to blunt the virus’ economic impact, that according […]

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