Americans Should Expect Higher Service Sector Prices post-VirusCasedemic

Americans Should Expect Higher Service Sector Prices post-VirusCasedemic

#economy #prices #service #VirusCasedemic $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX America’s economy is not going back to normal post-VirusCasedemic, as economists predict higher prices and fewer options when it comes to dining out or going to see a film at the cinema. The entertainment and service industries were among some of the hardest hit sectors by […]

A Note on Inflation and the S&P 500 Test

A Note on Inflation and the S&P 500 Test

#inflation $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Earnings are too good to ignore and if the right developments for the economy unfold, they are likely to grow substantially from current marks. With that in mind, our target for the S&P 500 is 4,250 by year’s end“–Paul Ebeling Note on inflation: the Fed’s Beige Book for economic […]

Fed Chairman Powell to Congress: “We do not see any inflation”

Fed Chairman Powell to Congress: “We do not see any inflation”

#inflation #stocks #bonds #commodities #stimulus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Americans do not need aid/relief/stimulus and handouts, they need an open economy and jobs” — Paul Ebeling “The best thing Joe Biden could do right now is stop spending, stop borrowing, stop regulating, and let the economy get better on its own,” economist Steven Moore […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet  $DIA $SPY $QQQ $SOX $RUTX $VXX “The Bull trend is still North, after last week consolidation, the new money will flow in” — Paul Ebeling What happened last week All major US stock market indexes consolidated and tested, as the DJIA catches up. And the news was overall good. The technicals S&P 500 like the PHLX Semiconductor Sector […]

Saudi Arabia, as a Nation Dismisses Mr. Biden’s Intel as ‘Fake’

Saudi Arabia, as a Nation Dismisses Mr. Biden’s Intel as ‘Fake’

#SaudiArabia #Biden #intel $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Mr. Biden’s administration will soon realize that the complex issues of the region will not find a solution, except through a new and exceptional agreement with its partners in the region that holds Iran accountable. Saudi Arabia, 1 of America’s closest Arab allies officially dismissed what it […]

Senate Parliamentarian: Democrats Cannot Include $15/hr Minimum Wage in COVID Relief Bill

Senate Parliamentarian: Democrats Cannot Include $15/hr Minimum Wage in COVID Relief Bill

#Senate #COVID #relief $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX #VXX This decision reinforces reconciliation cannot be used as a vehicle to pass major legislative change by either party on a simple majority vote. In a blow to Democrats, the Senate parliamentarian ruled the chamber cannot include Mr. Biden’s proposed $15/hr minimum wage his $1.9-T VirusCasedemic idea he […]

The Coming Inflation May Be Worse Than the Late 1970’s

The Coming Inflation May Be Worse Than the Late 1970’s

#Fed #inflation $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Printing money is necessary in a crisis just as long as it is temporary”– Paul Ebeling In Y 2020, Congress and President Trump borrowed to spend about $3.3-T to lift family incomes, boost unemployment benefits, and support businesses, but most new Treasuries were not bought up by private investors. […]

Post-BREXIT Britain Plans Fintech ‘Big Bang’

Post-BREXIT Britain Plans Fintech ‘Big Bang’

#BREXIT #UK #Fintech $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX UK Chancellor Rishi Sunak plans to introduce new visas for financial technology workers in next month’s budget, part of a package of proposals in a report aimed at boosting the industry in the country. The fast-track visa program is designed to lure global talent to Britain’s fintech […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet  $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The Bull trend is still North, the money continues to flow in” — Paul Ebeling What happened last week All major US stock market indexes consolidated and held. The DJIA is catching up and it recovered more than 200 pts off of its lows. Looking at some important groups, and taking the indexes […]

The World is Set for a Strong Economic Recovery

The World is Set for a Strong Economic Recovery

#economic #recovery #VirusCasedemic #Japan #machine #tools $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Japan’s exports accelerated in January, led by a rise in Chinese demand, and manufacturers’ sentiment turned positive for the 1st time since Y 2019 signaling a recovery from last year’s VirusCasedemic deep dive. Core machinery orders, a Key leading indicator of capital spending, rose […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet  $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The Bull trend is North, the money is flowing in record amounts” — Paul Ebeling What happened last week The US benchmark indexes: the S&P 500, DJIA and the NAS Comp, all all posted doji’s for the 3rd day running and edged up. They are working to consolidate laterally, hold the gains and […]

Stocks: Path of Least Resistance is North

Stocks: Path of Least Resistance is North

#stocks #trend #sentiment $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX NAS Comp closed at record high and the DJIA marked a record high intraday in mixed session “On 31 December 2020 S&P 500 earnings for Q-4 were projected to decline 9.2% Y-Y. That estimate did not come true“– Paul Ebeling  The blended earnings growth rate, which takes […]

Economic Growth in This Post-Casedemic Pre-Inflation Scenario

Economic Growth in This Post-Casedemic Pre-Inflation Scenario

#casedemic #inflation #economy #growth $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The future is coming, be prepared is the marching song” –Paul Ebeling Since 23 March 2020 we have seen enthusiasm among investors regarding the return to prosperity in a post-casedemic pre-inflation world. Despite the slow rollout of the non-vaccine vaccines to the general population, the market […]

Record Highs All Around in the US, Small Caps Leading

Record Highs All Around in the US, Small Caps Leading

#stocks #record #highs #buy $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Monday, traders and investors pushed ‘buy’ again and each of the US benchmark stock market indexes set intraday and closing record highs“– Paul Ebeling The S&P 500 advanced 0.7% for its 6th straight gainer and passing the 3900 mark for the 1st time. The NAS Comp […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet  $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The Bulls are confident and their money is flowing” — Paul Ebeling Last weeks action opened February with a big bang as investors bought the dip and and drove the market indexes to new record highs. The stock market rebounded swiftly from the last wk in January’s decliner, with the S&P 500 finishing […]

America’s Economy is Resilient and Amazing, it Needs No Wasteful Stimulus

America’s Economy is Resilient and Amazing, it Needs No Wasteful Stimulus

#US #Economy #Stimulus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “What we are hearing from the MSM that the US economy is in dire straits is simply not true“– Paul Ebeling The American economy is amazingly resilient and does not need aid/relief/stimulus bailouts despite blue state and big city lockdowns. What it needs is to eradicate the […]

The 2 Sides are Far Apart on More Aid/Relief/Stimulus

The 2 Sides are Far Apart on More Aid/Relief/Stimulus

#aid/relief/stimulus #Fed #Treasury #Biden #Democrats #Republicans $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Wednesday, Chicago Fed President Charles Evans upped his support for Mr. Biden’s $1.9-T economic aid/relief/stimulus idea, saying he would rather risk a package that is too big than a smaller package that would mean a slower path to recovery. “If it is too much, […]

Mr. Biden is Determined to Raise Taxes on Corporations

Mr. Biden is Determined to Raise Taxes on Corporations

#taxes #corporations #antibusiness #antiinvestor #money #Fed #stock #Biden $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Cheap money from the Fed allows new and established companies to grow without the burden of high interest. This money benefit’s stock prices” — Paul Ebeling Mr. Biden’s administration is likely to raise taxes on corporations. And that is bad for workers and […]

Global Markets Rally, Gold and Silver Follow

Global Markets Rally, Gold and Silver Follow

#markets #rally #Gold #Silver $DIA $RUTX $SPY $QQQ $VXX $XAU $XAG $GLD $SLV Global shares rebounded from last weeks pull back and silver prices spiked Monday driving the Devil’s metal to 8-yr highs. MSCI’s benchmark for global stock markets rose 1.47% to finish at 652.35 Monday. Silver mining stocks rose and precious metals dealers saw […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet  $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The Bullish trend is still up in here, and new money is flowing” — Paul Ebeling Last weeks action closed the month of January. Stocks rebound, but did not finish on the Northside. Sentiment indicators are extended some. The benchmark indexes pulled back but their support held. Friday’s action to close the month […]

The Market is Saying: Mr. Biden’s Aid/Relief/Stimulus Package is Just an Idea

The Market is Saying: Mr. Biden’s Aid/Relief/Stimulus Package is Just an Idea

#Aid/Relief/Stimulus, #idea, #Biden $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX, $VXX, $GME “The SEC said Friday that it is evaluating the extreme price volatility of certain stocks’ trading prices warning that such volatility can expose investors to rapid and severe losses and undermine market confidence“–Paul Ebeling Friday, the S&P 500 tested to it 50-D MA, as it fell […]

Retail Investors ‘Squeezing’ Institutional Short Sellers

Retail Investors ‘Squeezing’ Institutional Short Sellers

#short #sellers $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $GME “‘Squeezing’ short sellers once a game for professionals, is now controlled by brigades of retail investors worldwide“– Paul Ebeling The Gamma Short is played like this: Usually a ‘whale’ buys a large number of out-of-the-money call options in a single name with a high short interest. The option […]

Mr. Biden is Set Out to Transplant American Capitalism with Communism

Mr. Biden is Set Out to Transplant American Capitalism with Communism

#Capitalism #Republic #Marxist #Socialists #Progressive #Communism #Democrats #Biden #Utopia $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Mr. Biden’s solution to the false claims of man-made global warming is aimed to destroy Capitalism and reconstruct the US economy into a Marxist Socialist system, aka Communism. Not likely, because in America the free market dictates who succeeds and who […]

The Bulls Paused to Refresh, Fears of a Large Market Bubble are Overblown

The Bulls Paused to Refresh, Fears of a Large Market Bubble are Overblown

#Bulls #bubble $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX As global shares are hanging at record highs, and we believe that this stock market is not an overblown bubble, but there are some little sector bubbles where the risk lies. With MSCI’s All Country World index, which tracks stocks across 49 countries is where the fears are […]

Fed Policy Remains Firmly in Economic Rescue Mode, Bulls Continue to Run

Fed Policy Remains Firmly in Economic Rescue Mode, Bulls Continue to Run

#inflation #Fed $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Inflation numbers this yr may cause headaches for families concerned about food, gas bills and a return to 1970’s-style price spikes“–Paul Ebeling Headline inflation fell from May to June last yr, then spiked in the following months as the recovery began. That will mean higher inflation numbers this […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet  $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $SOX $VXX “Both Big and Small Cap Bulls are still running” — Paul Ebeling Last weeks action The shortened trading wk featured renewed strength in the Mega-caps, which drove the outperformance of the NAS Comp (+4.2%) and lifted the S&P 500 (+1.9%), DJIA (+0.6%), and the Russell 2000 (+2.2%), each benchmark index market new record […]

Some Investors Believe “High Times” are Back in Vogue

Some Investors Believe “High Times” are Back in Vogue

#investors #cannabis #marajuana #Democrates #HighTimes $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Now, with Democrats in control, investors are ‘High on Cannabis‘”– Paul Ebeling Georgia’s 5 January election results, that flipped the Senate to Democratic control, have stoked the embers under the cannabis industry. Prior, the market for legal US product was forecast to more than 2X, […]

US Stocks Driving Due North, as Professional Investors Hedge Bets

US Stocks Driving Due North, as Professional Investors Hedge Bets

#stocks $SPY $QQQ $DIA $RUTX $VXX $VIX US stock prices have driven to record highs, and VIX contracts are telling us that the professional investors are buying insurance against market volatility that could erupt at any time as the valuations are stretched a bit now. The hedging can be seen in futures on the CBOE […]

Thursday’s Economic Data Signals a Growing Economy

Thursday’s Economic Data Signals a Growing Economy

#economic #growth #housing #emplyment #mega-cap #stocks $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Thursday’s action drew support from a better-than-expected housing starts and building permits report for December. The NAS Comp (+0.6%) and S&P 500 (+0.03%) finished at fresh record highs Thursday on the strength in several Mega-caps Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) 136.87, +4.84, or +3.7% was the most influential mover […]

Yellen, “Spend Big Now, Pay Later”

Yellen, “Spend Big Now, Pay Later”

#Yellen #spend $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX ‘Schoolmarm’ Janet Yellen, Mr. Biden’s nominee for Treasury Secretary, urged lawmakers Tuesday to “act big” on the next virus aid/relief/stimulus package, saying that the benefits outweigh the costs of a higher federal debt burden. Ms. Yellen said she wants to help Americans endure the final months of the […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet  $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $SOX $VXX “The Bulls are still running, despite the political scenario” — Paul Ebeling Last Week’s Action The Small-cap Bulls are running and driving those stocks due North on the notion of a Biden admin $1.9-T aid/relief/stimulus package and Johnson & Johnson’s (NYSE:JNJ) new vaccine. Our technical indicators, sentiment and fundamental internals are beginning to look […]

The Walls are Cracking Around Mr. Biden’s Economy

The Walls are Cracking Around Mr. Biden’s Economy

#Biden #economy #retail #sales #consumer #confidence #spending #aid $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “This past Holiday season, consumers stayed home and gauged the prospects of a Biden economy, retail sales sank on the cracks!”— Paul Ebeling US retail sales declined at the close of the Holiday shopping season, wrapping up a difficult year for the […]

The Biden ‘Tax Plan’ Aimed to Undo President Trump’s Strong Economic Recovery

The Biden ‘Tax Plan’ Aimed to Undo President Trump’s Strong Economic Recovery

#tax #Biden #PresidentTrump #markets #Americans $DIA $QQQ $SPY $RUTX $VXX Experts are telling us that Joe Biden’s plan to raise the corporate tax rate will undo most of President Trump’s economy boosting efforts as it will send some American companies offshore, keep others overseas, hobble domestic companies and drive up the unemployment rate, thus damaging […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet  $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $SOX $VXX “The Bulls are still running, despite the chaos” — Paul Ebeling Last Week’s Action Stocks ran higher, and the NAS Comp and PHLX Semiconductor Sector (SOX) led the run North The financial market is ignoring any and all bad news and is focused on more stimulus in Y 2021. With some caveats, […]

US Stock Market Looked Past December NFPs in Another Record Setting Close

US Stock Market Looked Past December NFPs in Another Record Setting Close

#stocks #record #highs #NFPs #Fed #stimulus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Fed Vice Chairman Clarida does not expect to begin tapering its asset purchases this year“– Paul Ebeling Stocks marked all-time highs on Democrats promise of trillions more of aid/relief/stimulus to further revive the world’s largest economy. The S&P 500 marked its 4th day running […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Santa Claus Rally to Extend

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Santa Claus Rally to Extend

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #SantaClaus #Rally $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $SOX $VXX “The Bulls will drive the Santa Claus Rally in to the New Year” — Paul Ebeling Last Week’s Action Again the US economic data came in strong, the benchmark indexes finished on the highs. The small-cap stocks led Wednesday, cloud software, some chips and some online […]

Wall Street Looks South for Florida Life and Tax Benefits

Wall Street Looks South for Florida Life and Tax Benefits

#WallStreet #Florida $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Wall Street banks know that they do not need to be in Midtown Manhattan to do business, and employees like that“– Paul Ebeling Lots of Wall Street executives, bankers and fund managers are abandoning New York for Florida, embracing the Sunshine State over Metro New York as the […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Santa Claus Rally is On

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, the Santa Claus Rally is On

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #SantaClausRally #Bullish #COVID #Vaccine $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The Bulls Christmas Market is a happy one” — Paul Ebeling Now: The Bulls are in celebration mode this Monday morning with the major US stock indexes trading at: DJIA +199.60 at 30399.41, NAS Comp +76.91 at 12881.65, S&P 500+24.33 at 3727.39. That is what Bull markets do when Santa Claus leads the […]

‘Santa Claus Rally’ Will Drive Stocks Higher into the New Year

‘Santa Claus Rally’ Will Drive Stocks Higher into the New Year

#SantaClaus #Rally #stocks $DJIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Santa Claus Rally phenom was discovered in 1972 by Yale Hirsch, creator of the Stock Trader’s Almanac. A 7-day trading frame known as the “Santa Claus Rally” took hold of Wall Street Thursday and could drive the stock market higher into year-end. Based on historical data, the […]

Gold Up On Weakening USD as President Trump Threatens Veto of Aid/Relief/Stimulus Bill

Gold Up On Weakening USD as President Trump Threatens Veto of Aid/Relief/Stimulus Bill

#Gold #Dollar #aid/relief/stimulus #PresidentTrump #veto $DIA $SPY $QQQ, RUTX $VXX $XAU $GLD $USD Gold prices ticked higher Wednesday as weakness in USD offset worries about the aid/relief/ stimulus bill after President Trump threatened to veto the over porked legislation. Spot gold rose 0.3% at 1,865.01oz by 0333 GMT, while US gold futures held steady at […]

Big Professional Players Bolster Bitcoin’s Bullish Outlook

Big Professional Players Bolster Bitcoin’s Bullish Outlook

#crypto #currency #bullish #bitcoin #ethereum $BTC $ETH $DIA $SPY $QQQ $VXX “The crypto space has a few big players, but is mostly crowded with retail-traders and investors.” — Paul Ebeling YTD investor cash inflows into cryptocurrency funds and products hit $5.6-B up 600% from Y 2019, according to the latest data. The inflows plus the […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #TrumpRally #Bullish #COVIDVaccine #Options $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “There is still no indication this Bull market is about to roll over on negative sentiment” — Paul Ebeling Last Week’s Action Stocks opened well and closed well, but the PHLX Semiconductor Sector (SOX) is lagging notably and the big NAS Comp stocks could not […]

US Big Banks are Strong, Dividends and Buybacks to Resume, Stock Indexes Rebalanced on Quad Witching

US Big Banks are Strong,  Dividends and Buybacks to Resume, Stock Indexes Rebalanced on Quad Witching

#banks #dividends #buybacks $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX “Quarterly rebalancing of S&P 500, annual reconstitution of the NAS Comp 100, Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) inclusion into the S&P 500 after the close, quadruple-witching options expired“– Paul Ebeling  The big US banks have enough capital to withstand over $600-B in losses from a short, sharp economic slump, as well as a moderate […]

Fed Officials Painting a Brighter Picture for 2021

Fed Officials Painting a Brighter Picture for 2021

#Fed #growth #employment #money #economy #stocks $bonds #consumer #spending $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Fed sees 4.2% growth, and full employment in the New Year“– Paul Ebeling The Fed said Wednesday that it will keep buying government bonds until the economy makes “substantial” progress. Thus reassuring financial markets and keeping long-term borrowing rates low indefinitely. […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, The Trump Rally Continues

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, The Trump Rally Continues

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #TrumpRally #Bullish #COVIDVaccine #Options $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “There is no indication this Bull market is about to roll over on negative sentiment” — Paul Ebeling Last Week’s Action Consolidation and rotation continue, overall the wk was flat. Stocks rebound and some strong leaders run, big names lag. The Russell 2000 (RUT) […]

The Fed’s Latest Report on US Household Wealth Has it at All Time Highs

The Fed’s Latest Report on US Household Wealth Has it at All Time Highs

#Americans #household #wealth #RealEstate #cash #Fed #PresidentTrump $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VVX The wealth of US households marked $123.5-T in September as rising stock market and home values and an accumulating of cash defied expectations of a virus-related crash in household finances, according to new data from the Fed Thursday. The Fed’s latest report on US […]

The Outperformance of the Russell 2000 Deserves Immediate Attention

The Outperformance of the Russell 2000 Deserves Immediate Attention

#Russell2000 $RUTX $RUT $SPY $SPX $DIA $QQQ $CU $XAU $VXX “Tuesday, the Russell 2000 (+1.4%) closed at a record high on encouraging vaccine news and the coming Trump Administration’s aid/relief/stimulus package.“– Paul Ebeling Inflation will likely rise above 2% in Y 2021 and range from 2.25% to 2.4%. The consensus is that inflation may temporarily […]

US Stocks Finished Mixed Monday in a “Pause to Refresh” Session

US Stocks Finished Mixed Monday in a “Pause to Refresh” Session

#stocks $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The NAS Comp closed at record high in mixed session: DJIA -148.47 to 30069.73, NAS Comp +55.71 at 12519.86, S&P 500 -7.16 to 3691.97 Volume: Trade on the NYSE came in at 927-M/shares exchanged. The S&P 500 declined 0.2% Monday to ease back from record territory, while the NAS Comp (+0.5%) closed at a new record high […]

US Stock Market Extends Bull Run into Record Territory

US Stock Market Extends Bull Run into Record Territory

#stocks #record #highs #NFPs #Fed #economy #PresidentTrump $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The rotation that began in September is under way now will continue well into Y 2021. So, focus on value, small-caps, and emerging markets”— Paul Ebeling US stocks marked record highs Friday, the major benchmark indices reached closing record highs, with the S&P […]

Stocks and Gold are in an Up Trend: ‘The Trend is Your Friend’

Stocks and Gold are in an Up Trend: ‘The Trend is Your Friend’

#gold #stocks #BullMarket #Fed #economy #recovery #stimulus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $XAU $GLD $USD $VXX The DJIA is trading at record highs, having broke the 30,000 resistance mark last wk for the 1st time ever. The stock market’s epidemic chaos is over, and investors look forward to continued growth down the line. Now, at the […]

Candidate Biden’s Economic Advisors are Wrong About the Nation’s Public Debt and the Deficit

Candidate Biden’s Economic Advisors are Wrong About the Nation’s Public Debt and the Deficit

#economy #debt #deficit #GDP #government #spending $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX #VXX The economists who are advising Presidential candidate Joe Biden recently met virtually at the Brookings Institute to discuss the impact of annual government budget deficits and the total public debt. They concluded that in the short term, the deficit and the debt really do not […]

US Households More Upbeat About Their Finances

US Households More Upbeat About Their Finances

#consumer #sentiment #virus #vaccine $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX A gauge of sentiment among US consumers advanced for a 3rd wk running matching the highest mark since April as households grew more upbeat about their finances, the economy and the buying climate. The Consumer Comfort Index rose 1.8 pts to 49.8 last wk, matching a […]

China Tech Investors Sell Off Seeing Worst-Case Scenarios

China Tech Investors Sell Off Seeing Worst-Case Scenarios

#China #Technology #investors #SellOff $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX China has cast doubt on the future of its biggest internet companies and ignited a $290-B equity selloff. Investors are now gaming out how bad it might get for Alibaba Group Holding Ltd., Tencent Holdings Ltd. and other Chinese internet giants as Xi Jinping’s government prepares […]

US Stocks Face “Recipe for Disaster” Under Biden…”This is Not the Time to Change America’s Leader”

US Stocks Face “Recipe for Disaster” Under Biden…”This is Not the Time to Change America’s Leader”

#stocks #disaster #Biden $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Good News: Investors rotated out of growth stocks and into value/cyclical/small-cap stocks marking all time highs. The Bad News Standing against the cause of Joe Biden in stock markets is a whole lot of trouble: the coronavirus, its attendant hardships, and high corporate valuations. Add to […]

Wall Street Knows the Fed Has its Back

Wall Street Knows the Fed Has its Back

#Fed #WallStreet #liquidity #money $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The Fed is absolutely supportive, Chairman Powell stresses it has got the market’s back, they are there” — Paul Ebeling Given the choice between a broad package of economic aid/relief/stimulus and targeted Fed liquidity support, Wall Street prefers liquidity, due to its benefits for asset prices. […]

Fed Stays the “Whatever it Takes” Course

Fed Stays the “Whatever it Takes” Course

#Fed #interestrates #stimulus #economy #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Fed kept its dovish monetary policy intact Thursday and pledged again to do whatever it takes in coming months to sustain a US economic recovery threatened by a spreading virus chaos. The policy statement released after the US central bank’s latest two-day meeting did not mention […]

US Stocks Trading Way Up in Positive Territory, the Bulls are in Charge

US Stocks Trading Way Up in Positive Territory, the Bulls are in Charge

#stocks #FAANGs #Energy #Big Tech #Cannabis #election $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The NAS, Dow and S&P 500 have been and are trading way up in positive territory in the Presidential election chaos” — Paul Ebeling The US Presidential election results are still indecisive as of this writing. Overall, the NAS Comp, DJIA and S&P […]

Wall Street Closed 2% Higher on Expectation of Trump Victory

Wall Street Closed 2% Higher on Expectation of Trump Victory

#Wall Street $PresidentTrump #Victory #rally $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “President Trump claims victory, hints at Supreme Court action, in White House speech“– Paul Ebeling US stocks closed sharply higher Tuesday as Americans voted in the most Presidential election ever and investors bet it would be decided without a prolonged process, leading to a Fassst deal […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street; Big Week, Election and Earnings

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street; Big Week, Election and Earnings

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #economy #election #growth #Bulls #Bears #money #earnings $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The likelihood of a Trump victory has not been factored in to stock prices“– Paul Ebeling Last week’s action Stocks to consolidate last week the big move off of the 24 September lows, tested and reversed Thursday, tested again, and rallied on […]

The Economy is the #1 Issue Voters are Weighing Now

The Economy is the #1 Issue Voters are Weighing Now

#PresidentTrump #VPPence #voters #economy $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The US economy did not recover on its own!”– Paul Ebeling Voters say the economy is the most important issue they are weighing during this Presidential election. The data from the Commerce Department showed that the economy grew by an annualized rate of 33.1% in Q-3, […]

There is No White House Strategy that Includes a Lockdown

There is No White House Strategy that Includes a Lockdown

#PresidentTrump #WhiteHouse #economy #lockdown #virus #business $DIA, SPY, QQQ, RUTX, $VXX “President Trump’s plan is that America is open for business” — Paul Ebeling Thursday, the US Commerce Department reported the the economy grew at Record 33.1% Rate in Q-3 White House chief of staff Mark Meadows said Thursday that President Trump will not institute […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Big Earning’s Week Ahead

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Big Earning’s Week Ahead

#PaulEbeling #WallStreet #economy #growth #Bulls #Bears #money #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last week’s action Stocks were consolidating the big move off of the 24 September lows on low to moderate volume. Technical analysis The NAS Comp, S&P 500, DJIA indexes finished lower on the wk. This current consolidation is 8 sessions in the making […]

The Fed: 39 US States Saw Their Economies Strengthen in September

The Fed: 39 US States Saw Their Economies Strengthen in September

#Fed #states #economises $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX In September the output strengthened in 39 US states up from August with some of the best gainers concentrated in northeastern territories including Massachusetts, New York, and New Jersey, a Fed proxy showed. Readings weakened in 8 states, with the steepest fall in tourism-dependent Hawaii, and remained […]

Fed’s Evans Sees Less Economic Drag from the Continuing C-19 Wave

Fed’s Evans Sees Less Economic Drag from the Continuing C-19 Wave

#Fed #COVID19 #economy $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The continuing rise in COVID-19 infections in the United States due to the intense testing may not dent the nation’s economy much, Chicago Federal Reserve Bank President Charles Evans said Tuesday, adding that he remains “reasonably optimistic” US unemployment will fall to 5.5% by the end of […]

US Homebuilder Confidence Hits Record High on Low Rates

US Homebuilder Confidence Hits Record High on Low Rates

#Homebuilder #confidence #lowrates $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX US homebuilder confidence advanced in October to an all-time high as record-low interest rates continued to fuel sales and the demand outlook. A gauge of builder sentiment climbed to 85, the highest in records back to Y 1985, from 83 a month earlier, according to the National Association […]

In This Market ‘The 60-40’ Portfolio Does Not Work

In This Market ‘The 60-40’ Portfolio Does Not Work

#PresidentTrump #market #safehavens #risk #volatility #Fed #economy #portfolio $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $VIX “When financial assets move pari parsu, portfolio diversification becomes hard to achieve“– Paul Ebeling Since the advent of QE in Y 2008 safe-haven assets have become not much of a safe-haven. During that frame, we have seen unprecedented market moves with […]

Surprise! Much of the Stimulus Money Went into Savings Accounts, Yet the Consumer Keep Spending

Surprise! Much of the Stimulus Money Went into Savings Accounts, Yet the Consumer Keep Spending

#consumer #stimulus #retail #spending #Fed #PresidentTrump $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Surprise, consumers saved 36% of their stimulus checks and kept on spending.” –Paul Ebeling As emergency aid/relief/stimulus programs for American consumers expired The People kept spending. Friday’s September retail sales report confirmed it. The government data told us that consumers put much of their stimulus money away and have recently […]

Stimulus: President Trump Will Go $1.8-T+

Stimulus: President Trump Will Go $1.8-T+

#PresidentTrump #Stimulus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “We’re not holding it up, she’s holding it up,” President Trump said in a TV interview Thursday. “She wants to wait until after the election. She thinks it hurts the Republicans.” It hurts Democrats. Treasury Secretary Mnuchin said Thursday that Nancy Pelosi’s “all or nothing approach does not […]

The Majority of Americans Feel Better Off than 4 Yrs Ago

The Majority of Americans Feel Better Off than 4 Yrs Ago

#Americans #BetterOff #TrumpPolicies $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Gallup recently released a poll where it asked Americans how they feel about their circumstances today as opposed to 4 yrs ago. Thus, proving the Trump Policies work. And even with The China Act of War Virus, the resulting instant recession and the ongoing division surrounding the upcoming elections, […]

“Seeing a less grim view of the virus chaos on the US Economy”

“Seeing a less grim view of the virus chaos on the US Economy”

#PresidentTrump #FOMC #US #economy #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX $GS “Seeing a less grim view of the virus chaos on the US Economy.”–Paul Ebeling The US’ economic wounds from the China virus chaos is much less severe than initially feared, we along with Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s (NYSE:GS) economics team offer optimistic takes on […]

President Trump Ends COVID Aid/Relief/Stimulus Negotiations with House Democrats Until After the Election

President Trump Ends COVID Aid/Relief/Stimulus Negotiations with House Democrats Until After the Election

#PresidentTrump #Fed #aid #relief #stimulus #covid #Democrats #election $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday, President Trump instructed aides to stop negotiating on another round of COVID-19 relief until after the election. He Tweeted that House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) was “not negotiating in good faith” and said he asked Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell focus before the election into confirming his Supreme Court nominee, Amy […]

Treasury Secretary Mnuchin Continue Aid/Relief/Stimulus Negotiations with Speaker Pelosi, Stocks Spike North

Treasury Secretary Mnuchin Continue Aid/Relief/Stimulus Negotiations with Speaker Pelosi, Stocks Spike North

#aid #relief #stimulus #negotiations $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “President Trump is committed to getting the deal done“– Paul Ebeling President Donald Trump was discharged from the Presidential unit at Walter Reed medical center Monday evening, 3 nights after he was admitted Friday to the military hospital for coronavirus treatment. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and House Speaker […]

The Reality of Covid-19 has Hit Home, Conspiracy Theories Must Stop

The Reality of Covid-19 has Hit Home, Conspiracy Theories Must Stop

#PresidentTrump #Covid-19 #financialmarkets #volatility #conspiracy $DIA $QQQ $SPY $RUTX “President Trump and the First Lady are infected with the China virus, America is praying for their speedy recovery. And President Trump contracting the coronavirus is ‘short-term noise’ that jolts asset prices, but there is nothing which should change the market dynamic seen in past election […]

FYI: Traditionally the S&P 500 has Fallen the Day after the 1st Debate, This Time it was Different

FYI: Traditionally the S&P 500 has Fallen the Day after the 1st Debate, This Time it was Different

#StockMarket #PresidentTrump #JoeBiden #PresidentialDebate $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Financial markets care more about policies than politics, President Trump’s policies are working,”–Paul Ebeling Presidential debates do not change the course of history. Till today they have never been a major market mover, this time it was different. Wednesday, the major US stock market indexes finished at: DJIA +329.04 at […]

FYI: How Markets Perform after the 1st Presidential Debate

FYI: How Markets Perform after the 1st Presidential Debate

#StockMarket #PresidentTrump #JoeBiden #PresidentialDebate $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Financial markets care more about policies than politics, President Trump’s policies are working,”–Paul Ebeling Presidential debates do not change the course of history. They have not ever been a major market mover either. The Big Q: Could this debate between President Trump and Democratic challenger Joe […]

President Trump will Give the US 4 More Years of Economic Growth

President Trump will Give the US 4 More Years of Economic Growth

#PresidentTrump #economic #growth $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “We the People hold the Key to saving America from going to a place from which it will never return”— Paul Ebeling There are a lot of things going on in the financial markets, and there are a lot of reasons why markets are very active, but […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, October Looms

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, October Looms

#WallStreet #PaulEbeling #BigTech #economy #growth #Bulls #Bears #money #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last Week in Review Despite the seesaw action in the long term it is constructive. Volatility is flat, and the P/C ratio recently hit 1.0 on an Northside session. Those are positive divergences. Technical Analysis NAS Comp: Thursday, the index tested to […]

Today’s Stock Investors are Younger and More Diverse

Today’s Stock Investors are Younger and More Diverse

#stock #ivestors $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Owning stocks has a large effect on people’s attitudes in politics, financial decisions and cultural identification. Brokerage firms such as Robinhood Financial LLC, Zero-commission trading, the surge in ETFs and the growth in fractional share ownership have all had a hand in luring a new generation of investors […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, FAANGs Topping

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, FAANGs Topping

#WallStreet #PaulEbeling #BigTech #economy #growth #Bulls #Bears #money #FAANGs #Microsoft #virus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $MSFT $VXX Last Week in Review: Another week of selling, particularly in the mega-cap techs The China virus stock market rally had a mild, nothing wk if you only look at the percentage change. The DJIA lost just 0.03% in […]

The Fed Capped the Momentum in the Mega Tech Rally

The Fed Capped the Momentum in the Mega Tech Rally

#Fed #FOMC #QE #MegaTech #rally $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Mega tech’s market-leading days are numbered thanks to Fed Chairman Jerome Powell. The NAS 100 sank as much as 2.8% Thursday, pushed down by a fall in the mega cap tech stocks that have powered this rally. The decline came after FOMC policy makers pledged […]

The Fed’s Policy Statement Indicated it Will Move to Stimulate the Economy

The Fed’s Policy Statement Indicated it Will Move to Stimulate the Economy

#Fed #FOMC #policy #stimulate #economy #stockmarket $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Fed used its policy statement to begin to pivot from stabilizing financial markets to stimulating the economy, saying that it would keep its current government bond-buying at least at the current pace of $120-B per month, in part to ensure “accommodative” financial conditions in the future […]

US Stocks Finished Higher Tuesday, Fed Seen Sticking with its Supportive Policy

US Stocks Finished Higher Tuesday, Fed Seen Sticking with its Supportive Policy

#stocks #Fed #FOMC #policy #rally $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The NAS Comp outperformed the other 2 major indexes, while the S&P 500 technology index gained 1%, extending its recovery from the pullback earlier this month that paused this Wall Street rally. Investors are optimistic as the FOMC began its 1st policy meeting since Chairman Powell […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Stocks are Going Higher

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Stocks are Going Higher

#WallStreet #PaulEbeling #BigTech #earnings #economy #growth #employment #interest #Bulls #money #FAANGs $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last Week’s Action Week in Review: Another week of selling, particularly in the mega-caps The selling from the prior week carried over to the shortened trading week. The S&P 500 fell 2.5%, the NAS Comp fell 4.1%, the DJIA […]

This is Not an Entry into a Bear Market, but an Opportunity in This Raging Bull Market

This is Not an Entry into a Bear Market, but an Opportunity in This Raging Bull Market

#BullMarket $FAANGs #correction #internet #value #earnings $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX I do not believe that we are at the beginning a Bear market. I believe this is a long overdo correction, a pause to refresh at most. The Internet and FAANG-related stocks were very fully valued based on analysts projections of earnings in Y […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Do Not Fear September

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Do Not Fear September

#WallStreet #PaulEbeling #BigTech #earnings #economy #growth #employment #interest #Bulls #money #FAANGs $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last Week’s Action The trigger the stock-market pullback Thursday and Friday that erased weeks of gainers in the US stock market, may have been embattled investment firm SoftBank, according to a report by the Financial Times of London The report […]

Jobs Report Good, Getting Better, Low Interest Rates to Stay for a Long Time, Do Not Fear September in a Presidential Election Year with the Incumbent Running

Jobs Report Good, Getting Better, Low Interest Rates to Stay for a Long Time, Do Not Fear September in a Presidential Election Year with the Incumbent Running

#PresidentTrump #Powell #Fed #jobs #interest #rates $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VIX $VXX The US financial markets will be closed Monday for Labor Day Friday, Trump Fed Chairman Powell declared the the NFPs employment report for August was “a good one,“and reiterated that the FOMC will keep ultra-accommodative monetary policy (the Fed put) for years to […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, ‘This Market has Legs’

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, ‘This Market has Legs’

#WallStreet #PaulEbeling #BigTech #earnings #NFPs #employment #interest #Bulls #money #FAANGs $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last Week’s Action Thursday the Fed Chairman jettisoned the Phillips curve’s idea that rising unemployment means less inflation. In fact, he stated that there is no empirical evidence to support the notion. Technical Analysis NAS Comp gapped modestly higher, rallied […]

Fed Speak: US Rates to Stay Ultra-Low for a Long Time, Market Likes ‘Cheap Money

Fed Speak: US Rates to Stay Ultra-Low for a Long Time, Market Likes ‘Cheap Money

#Fed #interest #inflation #money #market #investors $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Trump Fed announced a significant change Thursday in how it manages interest rates by saying it plans to keep rates near Zero even after inflation has exceeded the Fed’s 2% target level. The change tells us that the Fed is prepared to tolerate […]

Big Tech Profits Driving S&P 500 Due North

Big Tech Profits Driving S&P 500 Due North

#profits #BigTech #records #BullRun $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Blowout profit reports from Big Tech companies drove the S&P 500 to an all-time high Wednesday. The benchmark index rose 1%. Technology stocks accounted for the Lion’s Share of the gains, outweighing losses in healthcare, utilities, and energy. The S&P 500 has been marking record highs […]

Stocks are Forward Looking Assets, the Sentiment is Very Bullish

Stocks are Forward Looking Assets, the Sentiment is Very Bullish

#PresidentTrump #Fed #liquidity #stocks #earnings #economy #VShaped $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Stocks are forward-looking assets, so this market should hold up in the coming months no matter economic numbers are not great and The Virus is still hanging around, we have at V-Shaped stock market recovery and a V-Shaped economy is building. The amount […]

World Stocks Started Climbing Early Monday on President Trump’s Fast Tracking C-19 Treatment, They are Still Climbing Early Tuesday

World Stocks Started Climbing Early Monday on President Trump’s Fast Tracking C-19 Treatment, They are Still Climbing Early Tuesday

#President Trump #Fed #FDA #C19coronavirus #treatment #stocks $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Stocks climbing in early Monday trade on Wall Street, adding to their record-breaking run from last week, the futures are still climbing extending this V-Shaped Bull run off of the 23 March instant recession lows. The S&P 500 (+1.0%) and NAS Comp (+0.6%) […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeing on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeing on Wall Street

#WallStreet #PaulEbeling #BigTech #earnings #NFPs #employment #interest #Bulls #money #FAANGs $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last Week’s Action NAS Comp is leading the Bull run, The NASDAQ broke to a new high — and held the move, the rebound is helping Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Google and Netflix carry the load. Recovery stocks are still in […]

Increasing Bullishishness Dovetails with Savvy Wall Street Strategists

Increasing Bullishishness Dovetails with Savvy Wall Street Strategists

#WallStreet #Bullishishness #VIX #coronavirus $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The fear on Wall Street is fading, as stocks continue their unprecedented Bull run in the midst of the global coronavirus chaos. The Cboe Volatility Index (VIX), or “fear gauge,” is near its lowest mark since late February and options markets are showing diminishing concerns of […]

Making Safe, Investment Grade Bets in Stocks Hammered by the C-19 Coronavirus Chaos

Making Safe, Investment Grade Bets in Stocks Hammered by the C-19 Coronavirus Chaos

#investments #stocks #C19coronavirus #risk #money #cash $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Energy, aviation and lodging firms hit hard by the coronavirus chaos will offer handsome returns for high-yield investors in the months ahead. There are opportunities for discerning money managers and aggressive retail investors. We and other Top money managers see opportunities in stressed and […]

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