US Stocks Face “Recipe for Disaster” Under Biden…”This is Not the Time to Change America’s Leader”

US Stocks Face “Recipe for Disaster” Under Biden…”This is Not the Time to Change America’s Leader”

#stocks #disaster #Biden $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The Good News: Investors rotated out of growth stocks and into value/cyclical/small-cap stocks marking all time highs. The Bad News Standing against the cause of Joe Biden in stock markets is a whole lot of trouble: the coronavirus, its attendant hardships, and high corporate valuations. Add to […]

Real Risk Asset Safe-haven Protection Lies in Gold and Silver

Real Risk Asset Safe-haven Protection Lies in Gold and Silver

#gold #silver #coins #bullion #dollar #asset #safehaven #metals #investors #risk $XAU $XAG $GLD $SLV $USD $SPY “I believe investors can still find real safe-haven risk asset protection in the time-tested precious metals asset sector“– Paul Ebeling The US stock market is seeing the longest Bull run in history, and savvy money managers and investors are […]

Investment Opportunities Ahead of Presidential Election

Investment Opportunities Ahead of Presidential Election

#investment #opportunities #election $RUTX $XAU $GLD “Savvy investors are look beyond US elections toward the global economic recovery by betting on risky asset classes.”– Paul Ebeling The recent US stock correction was a “risk-shedding event” that provides an opportunity during an election year. Historically, US stocks have performed well in the runup to elections. Combined […]

September, the Healthy Correction Month

September, the Healthy Correction Month

#September #correction #stockmarket $FAANGs $DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The S&P 500 index was on the verge of a correction, defined as a 10% decline from its all-time closing high, after ending 9.6% below its 2 September record Wednesday. The benchmark index then moved higher Thursday afternoon trade after seesawing during the session. The tech-heavy […]

Like March 2009, My Work Shows Big Northside Ahead for US Stocks

Like March 2009, My Work Shows Big Northside Ahead for US Stocks

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX I expect stocks to consolidate in an uptrend the Bull run off the 23 March lows then rally into the end of the year. I have been tracking the Y’s 2009-2020 action since the March C-19 coronavirus chaos, and it looks uniquely the same. If I am right, we will […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Coronavirus Broke Globalism

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Coronavirus Broke Globalism

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Just In: Southeast Asian stock markets inched higher Monday, tracking global equities that gained due to a slowdown in coronavirus-related deaths and new infections Last Week’s US Stock Market View Technical Analysis: The action in the major US stock indexes over the past few sessions was almost identical as large-cap […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, The Bulls Vs The Bears

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, The Bulls Vs The Bears

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX The Bulls Vs The Bears Note: “Big Bear markets end in despair and hopelessness, which many current Bulls will discover at considerable cost to themselves” — Mark Lundeen Be very wary of any advance from here, as it may prove to be what we once called a Dead-Cat Bounce.  A Dead-Cat […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Market Summary: This long Bull Run still looks look strong, and here is why: Stocks bypassed a soft open Thursday and gapped North. Small and mid-caps joined the large-caps in achieving strong breaks higher. The economic data showed renewed promise. Options expiration Friday came and went. A long weekend came […]

DJIA 40,000 Just a Few Years Away

DJIA 40,000 Just a Few Years Away

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX S&P 500 and NAS Comp closed at record highs ahead of earnings season Monday’s advance is attributed to these factors: The positive price action buoying sentiment Expectations that the upcoming earnings season will include reassuring guidance News the Us will remove China from its currency manipulator list, thereby improving trade […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Y 2020 extended Y 2019 action as the big tech names led and the smaller-caps lagged. While the S&P 500’s valuation chart may be giving some investors flashbacks to the Y 2018 market meltdown, the Bulls are resolute. Corporate earnings are expected to fall for a 2nd Q running, as […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Am seeing earnings revival boosting stock rally in Y 2020 But 1st, this is what happened last week: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has held steady and is not going to raise rates in Y 2020. Chairman Powell is also open to bond purchases. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) […]

Pressure on Hollywood’s Box Office Continues

Pressure on Hollywood’s Box Office Continues

$DIS, $SNE, $CMCSA, $LGF, $IMAX, $CNK, $AMC B. Riley FBR’s analyst says that will “pressure” film theater stock valuations until mid-2020 before the group “begins to see some love” from investors. With Frozen 2 ringing in the all-important final stretch of the box-office year, Hollywood’s eyes are on whether year-end tentpole releases can help make up the […]

US Stocks Decline for a 2nd Day Running, EU Tariffs Loom

US Stocks Decline for a 2nd Day Running, EU Tariffs Loom

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $ESDAY, $VXX Wednesday’s US economic data included the ADP Employment Change report for September and the weekly MBA Mortgage Applications Index. The takeaways are as follows: Private-sector payrolls were estimated to have increased by 135,000 in September (consensus 150-K) while the prior month’s print was revised down to 157-K from 195,000. Private-sector […]

The Dow & Gold, Both on Hold

The Dow & Gold, Both on Hold

$DIA, $XAU, $XAG At week’s end we find the Dow Jones with a bearish, picture-perfect head and shoulders technical formation.  The left shoulder goes back to last April, the head in early July and the right shoulder at the close of the week.  So, is the market a sell as September 2019 comes to a […]

Investors ‘Buying the Dips’ as Money Rotates Out of the FAANGs

Investors ‘Buying the Dips’ as Money Rotates Out of the FAANGs

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $AAPL, $GOOG The S&P 500 increased 0.1% Tuesday after being down as much as 0.6% following a Key revenue miss from Alphabet (GOOG). Investors bought the intra-day dip to help the benchmark index set a new closing high and it closed the month with a gainer of 3.9%. The DJIA […]

Ferrari 2018 (NYSE:RACE) Core Q-3 Earnings Unchanged

Ferrari 2018 (NYSE:RACE) Core Q-3 Earnings Unchanged

$RACE Ferrari’s (NYSE:RACE) sales mix trended toward its “entry-level” Portofino Supercar in the Q-3 rather than its high-margin Limited-Edition models. The iconic Italian Supercar maker has had a run of record earnings, helped by its higher-margin Special Edition models and a “customisations programme’. Investors have been looking for reassurance that new CEO Louis Camilleri can […]

Quad Witching aka ‘Freaky Friday’ Added to This Week’s Volatility

Quad Witching aka ‘Freaky Friday’ Added to This Week’s Volatility

$VXX Stock traders hammered by the worst sell-off since the global financial crisis of Y 2008 absorb another blast of volatility Friday when futures and options on indexes and individual stocks expired. The event known as “ Quadruple witching” takes place every Quarter. Typically it coincides with the re-balancing of the S&P 500 Index, spurring […]

Stock Indexes Can Retrace 35-40% to Reach Historical Norms

Stock Indexes Can Retrace 35-40% to Reach Historical Norms

Stock Indexes Can Retrace 35-40% to Reach Historical Norms $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX “Valuations are now so obscenely elevated that even an outcome that fluctuates modestly about some new, higher average would easily take the S&P 500 35 -40% lower over the completion of the current market cycle,” fund manager John Hussman said in an […]

Shiller, “Don’t Sell Stocks Because of High Valuations”

Shiller, “Don’t Sell Stocks Because of High Valuations”

Shiller, “Don’t Sell Stocks Because of High Valuations” $SPY Yale Economist Robert Shiller advises savvy investors not to give into temptation to dump your stocks just because valuations are high. “If I was giving you advice: Do nothing. Don’t pull out. Don’t go in,” the Nobel laureate economist said on TV. Investors are dialing back […]

Stock Market Participants “Savvy” to Risks Under the Surface of a Rise

Stock Market Participants “Savvy” to Risks Under the Surface of a Rise

Stock Market Participants “Savvy” to Risks Under the Surface of a Rise $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Yale economist Robert Shiller admits that he does not know “what to make” of surging US stocks now Thursday he offer some of his sage advice to savvy investors: “Markets are inherently filled with tricks and traps, be careful.” […]

People are Working, Traveling, Spending and Investing in Stocks

People are Working, Traveling, Spending and Investing in Stocks

People are Working, Traveling, Spending and Investing in Stocks $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ The post-election Trump Rally has taken stock market indexes to all-time highs, and the recent gains raise some interesting Q’s. Below are some thoughts on the action that you may find useful, as follows: Sentiment: Has spiked as the market has run up. […]

The $50-B Gold Industry Deal Spree Is Extending

The $50-B Gold Industry Deal Spree Is Extending

The $50-B Gold Industry Deal Spree Is Extending $GLD, $ABX, $NEM The $50-B Gold industry deal spree is extending into its 3rd year, even as the rising bullion price makes sealing transactions and valuing mines more difficult. Gold has regained its “shine” as investors seek havens from volatile markets and weak interest rates. While the […]

The US “Earnings Recession” is Not Registering with Investors

The US “Earnings Recession” is Not Registering with Investors

The US “Earnings Recession” is Not Registering with Investors $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The US earnings recession should be dampening the 7-year-old Bull Market, but it is not registering with investors. Quarterly profits in the S&P 500 Index are about to fall yet again, extending a streak of declines poised to match the longest earnings […]

No Growth in Global Economy, Cash is King, Gold Shines

No Growth in Global Economy, Cash is King, Gold Shines

No Growth in Global Economy, Cash is King, Gold Shines $GLD, $SLV Looking at the global economy today we see several worrying developments. Currency devaluations and negative interest rate policies, + slow-to-no economic growth in both developed and developing economies. Experienced investors are trying to make “heads or tails” of today’s financial markets. The Big […]

The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 4 May 2016

The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 4 May 2016

The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 4 May 2016 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are Bullish, Bearish, and Neutral on the stock market for the next 6 months, Individual members are polled from the ranks of the AAII membership weekly. Just 1 […]

How Companies Approach Going Public in Today’s Market

How Companies Approach Going Public in Today’s Market

How Companies Approach Going Public in Today’s Market Not until Y 2009 did the market see a pre-IPO company reached a $1-B valuation. The majority of today’s Unicorn companies reached that valuation level in just the past 18 months. They move in a few distinct herds, as follows: About 35% of them are in the […]

Be Alert, Stocks Could Get Cut In Half

Be Alert, Stocks Could Get Cut In Half

Be Alert, Stocks Could Get Cut In Half $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Stocks could lose 50% their value + if the history of valuation cycles is any indication, cautions mutual-fund manager John Hussman, President of Hussman Investment Trust. He is correct and I have been calling for a Fibo retracement in the S&P 500 of […]