Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) weakness points towards potential further breakdown

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) weakness points towards potential further breakdown

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) weakness points towards potential further breakdown EUR/USD managed to break lower from its consolidation yesterday, coming off the back of a rally into the 50% retracement and 200-day simple moving average (SMA). However, given the mixed signals seen in a wider context (higher highs and lower lows), we need to see a break […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) consolidates after recent rebound

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) consolidates after recent rebound

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) consolidates after recent rebound EUR/USD has been pushing higher off the back of a two-week period of losses. We are now seemingly in a period of consolidation, where a break through support ($1.1544) or resistance ($1.1609) would signal where we go from here. A break to the downside would look like a potential […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) recovers in early trade

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) recovers in early trade

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) recovers in early trade Overnight weakness for EUR/USD seems to have given buyers another opportunity, but they will need to push the price above $1.16 to clear the way to further upside. Above here, $1.18 comes into view. A close below $1.15 is needed to suggest a bearish turn. Overall, the bias in prices […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) pullback unlikely to last

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) pullback unlikely to last

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) pullback unlikely to last Friday saw EUR/USD attempt to reverse some of its recent gains, with the break through $1.1549 and $1.1594 providing a bullish reversal signal. We do not know the size of this current retracement, yet unless we reverse the whole of last week’s rally and break below $1.1432, then this current […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) continues to gain

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) continues to gain

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) continues to gain A steady push higher continues for EUR/USD, with some early weakness this morning a possible buying opportunity. Further gains above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of $1.1586 would indicate a move towards $1.17 and then key resistance around $1.18. A close below $1.15 reinvigorates the bearish case. Overall, the […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) moves higher from base around $1.15

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) moves higher from base around $1.15

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) moves higher from base around $1.15 EUR/USD is moving higher after several days of sideways movement around $1.15. Further gains will target $1.18, the highs of late September. Over the past few days, short-term dips intraday have found buyers, and a move back below the $1.15 level would suggest the rally has ended. […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rally looks set to falter again

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rally looks set to falter again

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rally looks set to falter again EUR/USD has been regaining ground overnight, with the pair moving into trendline resistance. The ability to break above $1.1550 will be key in reversing this short-term trend. As such, a bearish outlook remains unless that swing high is broken. Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways. By […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) retracement phase to continue

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) retracement phase to continue

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) retracement phase to continue EUR/USD has been gaining ground since the Thursday low, with a rising wedge pattern coming into play. This provides greater confidence that the pair is simply retracing the downturn from $1.1593. As such, while it looks probable we’ll see further upside if trendline support is respected, any such gains […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Breakdown Set to Continue

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Breakdown Set to Continue

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Breakdown Set to Continue EUR/USD Technical Highlights: Breach of support last week keeps focus lower Firm recapture of support needed to negate bearish bias Trend-line from Dec ’16 and August low could be targeted next week For the intermediate-term fundamental and technical outlook, check out the The euro broke big support just […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) loses key support zone

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) loses key support zone

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) loses key support zone The drop below $1.15 sends a bearish signal for EUR/USD, indicating that we may well see fresh declines. A rebound towards $1.16 is possible, but any rally that fails to move above yesterday’s swing high is likely another selling opportunity. Further declines target $1.13. Overall, the bias in prices […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) holds critical support

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) holds critical support

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) holds critical support EUR/USD remains at the crucial area of support around $1.1554, which held back in late August. While it dipped below this yesterday, the rebound saw it finish around the same level. A rally targets $1.18, where gains faltered in July and in September. A close below $1.1554 is needed to […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) holds up amid recent downturn

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) holds up amid recent downturn

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) holds up amid recent downturn EUR/USD has been selling off sharply throughout the latter part of the past week, with the pair moving towards the crucial $1.1526 support level. The wider trend points towards a recent inverse head and shoulders formation in play, but should this fall see the pair drop below $1.1526 […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) could move lower

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) could move lower

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) could move lower The Italian budget aside, since EU inspired political wobbles do tend to have a very short half-life effect on Euro sentiment,  higher US interest rate expectation amidst the backdrop of divergence between the Fed and the ECB, even more so after the tepid Eurozone inflation print on Friday, will […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) in the red on account of the firmer US dollar

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) in the red on account of the firmer US dollar

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) in the red on account of the firmer US dollar EUR/USD is in the red on account of the firmer US dollar. Germany posted an impressive jump in inflation but the currency pair remained unfazed by the news. The inflation rate on an annual basis jumped to 2.2% in September – up from […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) looks set for further gains

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) looks set for further gains

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) looks set for further gains EUR/USD has been consolidating over the past five days, with the price falling back towards trendline support. The uptrend remains intact, with the price continuing to respect the $1.1790 resistance zone. With that in mind, it makes sense to watch out for the pair to push through this […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) struggles to clear $1.18

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) struggles to clear $1.18

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) struggles to clear $1.18 EUR/USD’s price rallied to $1.18 yesterday, but then dropped back. A close above this level continues to elude the pair, but it remains in an uptrend from the August lows. The near-term bullish view persists unless we see a close below rising trendline support, around $1.1660. Overall, the […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rallying from horizontal support

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rallying from horizontal support

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rallying from horizontal support EUR/USD has started to gain ground from the $1.1724 support level, which represents the highs from the beginning of last week. With a clear uptrend in play over recent weeks, the weakness we have seen since Friday’s peak of $1.1803 is likely to start fading. As such, while further […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rallies into crucial resistance zone

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rallies into crucial resistance zone

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rallies into crucial resistance zone EUR/USD has rallied through the $1.1746 resistance level, with the pair shifting into the next major level at $1.1790. The ability to break through this level is going to be key in determining where we go from here. With the pair relatively overextended, there is a good chance […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) launching assault on key resistance zone

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) launching assault on key resistance zone

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) launching assault on key resistance zone EUR/USD is turning higher yet again this morning, with the pair looking likely to challenge the $1.1718-$1.1746 resistance zone once more. The ability to break through that resistance zone is key in determining whether we are set for a wider period of gains. As such, watch for […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) tries to break $1.17 again

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) tries to break $1.17 again

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) tries to break $1.17 again EUR/USD is making another attempt to move above the $1.17 area that has blocked progress since the second half of August. Above this, the $1.18 area and then $1.1852 come into view. Rising trendline support appears around $1.1630, and further weakness requires a close below $1.1523. Overall, the […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) stuck below $1.17

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) stuck below $1.17

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) stuck below $1.17 We have seen EUR/USD gain steadily over the past few days, but a move above $1.17 still eludes it. Above here, the $1.18 area and $1.1852 zones are areas of resistance. A move back below $1.16 hands the initiative to the sellers, although $1.1550 still remains a significant area of support. […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) attempting to establish direction around key resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) attempting to establish direction around key resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) attempting to establish direction around key resistance EUR/USD sold off sharply from the $1.1720 region on Friday, with the pair shifting away from a crucial area of resistance. The ability to break through the $1.1746-$1.1790 resistance zone is key in determining whether we are set for a bullish breakout or not. With the […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Poised For Further Gains

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Poised For Further Gains

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Poised For Further Gains The EUR/USD exchange rate has made strong gains over recent weeks aided by a tightening in monetary policy in the region. The European Central Bank (ECB) went ahead and cut monetary stimulus in half last week which aided the uptrend while confirming they are on track to deliver an interest rate rise […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) consolidates around trendline resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) consolidates around trendline resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) consolidates around trendline resistance EUR/USD has rallied back into the four-hour simple moving average (SMA) resistance overnight, with the pair remaining stuck between the descending trendline resistance and SMA support. That trendline (dating back to June) is back in play now, and we would need to see a break through $1.1659 to signal […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) held up at SMA support

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) held up at SMA support

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) held up at SMA support EUR/USD has been turning lower from trendline support over the past 24 hours, with the pair seeking to continue the pullback following the late-August rebound. This move lower is likely to continue, yet with the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) on the four-hour chart below, we have a […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) surges in early trade

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) surges in early trade

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) surges in early trade Renewed euro strength early on this morning suggests we may see another attempt by EUR/USD to break the $1.1660 area that stifled upward progress last week. If this is broken then the August high at $1.1740 comes into view. The cautiously bullish view would be negated by a move back […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) testing $1.15 again

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) testing $1.15 again

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) testing $1.15 again Friday’s jobs data knocked EUR/USD back to the $1.15 support level, with a further test of this level this morning. Fresh declines would target the $1.13 level. A move above $1.1660 is needed to suggest a broader move higher is underway, and even then it needs to clear $1.18, which has […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) holds $1.15 again

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) holds $1.15 again

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) holds $1.15 again A choppy day yesterday nevertheless saw EUR/USD finish above the $1.1554 level, in a similar fashion to that seen on Tuesday. A fresh push higher above $1.1660 would target the $1.1730 highs from late August. A break below $1.15 is needed to revive the bearish view. Further gains above $1.1730 would […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) tumbles following deep retracement

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) tumbles following deep retracement

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) tumbles following deep retracement EUR/USD is selling off after an overnight rally which took us into the 76.4% retracement. This deep retracement allows for better risk-to-reward trade entries. We are now seeing the pair push back towards yesterday’s lows, with the trend looking set to resume once more. Therefore look for a break […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) appears to reaffirm downtrend

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) appears to reaffirm downtrend

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) appears to reaffirm downtrend It may well be that EUR/USD’s downtrend from the April highs has reasserted itself. The pair faltered last week at $1.17, so further declines below $1.15 will support the bearish thesis. This would open the way to support at $1.13. A close above $1.16 would signal that the buyers […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) pulls back from recent uptrend

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) pulls back from recent uptrend

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) pulls back from recent uptrend EUR/USD fell below trendline support, with the pair moving into a crucial area of support that will determine the outlook for the week ahead. The pair needed to either break through $1.1746 for a more bullish outlook, or below trendline support to prove that we could be set […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) August private sector PMI numbers due out today

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) August private sector PMI numbers due out today

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) August private sector PMI numbers due out today For the EUR, stats through the week include August private sector PMI numbers due out on Monday and Wednesday, July retail sales figures out of the Eurozone on Wednesday, Germany factory orders on Thursday, with finalized 2nd quarter GDP numbers out of the Eurozone and […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) ascent slows as we head into key resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) ascent slows as we head into key resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) ascent slows as we head into key resistance EUR/USD has been trying to rally through the Tuesday peak of $1.1733, with the pair pushing towards the crucial bullish breakout level of $1.1746. So far, however, we have failed to break either of those levels, which points towards a potential period of weakness. […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rallies into key resistance level

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rallies into key resistance level

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rallies into key resistance level EUR/USD has managed to rally through a number of resistance points, with the price almost hitting the $1.1746 high from late August. The ability to rally through this $1.1746-$1.1790 resistance zone is going to be key in determining whether we are set for further upside or not. As […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) ready to tackle the next resistance at 1.1745

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) ready to tackle the next resistance at 1.1745

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) ready to tackle the next resistance at 1.1745 While we have been expecting a ‘robust recovery’ in EUR since last Tuesday (see update on 21 Aug, spot at 1.1485), the pace and extent of the rally over the past 2 days exceeded our anticipation (note that EUR rose by +1.21% over Friday […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) looking towards the 1.1750 level

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) looking towards the 1.1750 level

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) looking towards the 1.1750 level The Euro rallied significantly during the trading session on Friday, breaking above the shooting star that formed on Wednesday which of course is a very bullish sign. At this point, the market may continue to go higher, but there’s obviously a lot of resistance just above. If […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Weakness Despite Lack of Support from Eurozone Data

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Weakness Despite Lack of Support from Eurozone Data

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Weakness Despite Lack of Support from Eurozone Data The Eurozone’s economic outlook didn’t actually change much last week, but the Euro saw significant gains against the US Dollar regardless. Concerns about the possibility of a Turkish currency crisis persisted, the Eurozone’s August PMI projections were mixed, and Germany’s final Q2 Gross Domestic […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) hits 50-day moving average

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) hits 50-day moving average

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) hits 50-day moving average Silver markets have grounds sideways for some time, over the last several days. The $14.80 level has been a bit of an anchor for price, but above there I see the $15.00 level as being massive resistance. Short-term rallies will of course offer selling opportunities as that is […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) economic surprises are in balance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) economic surprises are in balance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) economic surprises are in balance The EUR/USD rate rose Tuesday as the Dollar wilted broadly in response to President Donald Trump’s attack on the Federal Reserve, but analysts say it could go further during coming months now that Transatlantic economic momentum is coming back into balance after months of US outperformance. Economic […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Watching the 1.15008/10 band Level

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Watching the 1.15008/10 band Level

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Watching the 1.15008/10 band Level EUR/USD’s bounce off the November 2016 high at 1.1300 has further to run and targets the May and June lows at 1.1508/10. Should a drop and daily chart close below the 1.1300/1.1296 November 2016 and mid-June 2017 highs be seen, however, the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) showing early signs of a change in trend

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) showing early signs of a change in trend

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) showing early signs of a change in trend While still in its early stages and vulnerable to a breakdown, the fledgling uptrend will probably endure over coming days now the exchange rate has formed two higher-highs and two higher lows on the 4-hour chart – a major indicator of early stage changes […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) posted small losses in the Thursday session

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) posted small losses in the Thursday session

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) posted small losses in the Thursday session EUR/USD has posted small losses in the Thursday session. Currently, the pair is trading at 1.1372, up 0.24% on the day. On the release front, the German Wholesale Price Index dropped to 0.0%, short of the estimate of 0.5%. The eurozone trade surplus narrowed to EUR […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) growing concerns that a Turkish economic collapse

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) growing concerns that a Turkish economic collapse

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) growing concerns that a Turkish economic collapse Last week, the Euro to US Dollar (EUR/USD) exchange rate opened in the range of $1.1562 on Monday and closed down lower at $1.1420 on Friday. This overall deterioration for the single currency was down to growing concerns that a Turkish economic collapse could negatively […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) target is the zone 1.1120-1.1300

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) target is the zone 1.1120-1.1300

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) target is the zone 1.1120-1.1300 60% of analysts believe that the dollar will continue to strengthen, and the pair will go down. Graphical analysis on H4 and D1, most indicators agree with this development. The target is the zone 1.1120-1.1300. There is little sign that the euro is about to turn around […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) wiping out some of yesterday’s gains

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) wiping out some of yesterday’s gains

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) wiping out some of yesterday’s gains The sellers are attempting to take charge again, pushing EUR/USD back from yesterday’s highs. They still have to break the $1.15 support zone, which would mark a particularly bearish development. A possible first area of support in case of any sustained downturn comes in at $1.1285. […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Exchange Rate Rises 0.3% despite German Industrial Slowdown

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Exchange Rate Rises 0.3% despite German Industrial Slowdown

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Exchange Rate Rises 0.3% despite German Industrial Slowdown The euro currency is correcting higher against the U.S. Dollar on Tuesday, as the U.S. Dollar Index starts to pullback from a two-week trading-high. The EUR / USD pair performed a bearish daily price-close below the November 2017 trading-low, at 1.1553 on Monday, marking the euro’s lowest daily […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Falls After Weak German Factory Orders

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Falls After Weak German Factory Orders

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Falls After Weak German Factory Orders Eurozone outlook dims as German factory orders slump in June. Data comes as fears over Italian politics appear on radar again. EUR/USD to break 1.15 this week and fall to new lows this summer. The Euro was steady Monday but a stalling continental economy means the […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) key stats through the week limited to Germany’s June factory

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) key stats through the week limited to Germany’s June factory

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) key stats through the week limited to Germany’s June factory  It’s a quiet week ahead, with key stats through the week limited to Germany’s June factory orders on Monday and industrial production and trade figures out of Germany on Tuesday. In the 2nd half of the week, there may be some focus on […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Stifled by Sub-Par Factory Activity Growth

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Stifled by Sub-Par Factory Activity Growth

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Stifled by Sub-Par Factory Activity Growth The Euro (EUR) was unable to gain momentum yesterday with the release of the bloc’s manufacturing PMI for July. EUR/USD is trading lower and lost more than 80 pips from yesterday’s high of 1.16996 after more hawkish fed policy. Fed has kept its interest rates unchanged […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) sold sharply after false breakout above symmetrical triangle pattern

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) sold sharply after false breakout above symmetrical triangle pattern

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) sold sharply after false breakout above symmetrical triangle pattern – EUR/USD almost broke out higher on Tuesday but closed back down in range – Bearish EUR/USD forecasts still dominate the technical community – Positive assessment from the Fed could give green light to Dollar buying “The Euro-to-Dollar exchange rate momentarily looked poised […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) regaining ground after recent decline

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) regaining ground after recent decline

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) regaining ground after recent decline The Euro (EUR) has firmed against the US Dollar (USD) today, hitting an exchange rate of $1.1738. This is resilient trading in the face of the latest Eurozone data, which has revealed a faster pace of inflation but slowing GDP growth. On the plus side, July’s annual Eurozone inflation […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) strengthening following periods of downside

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) strengthening following periods of downside

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) strengthening following periods of downside For European currencies, NET LENGTH for EUR futures gained +8 233 contracts to 29 640 for the week. Bulls increase their bets, by + 2125 contracts, to 179 515, while bears decreased bets, by -6 108 contracts, to 149 875, for the week. GBP futures deepened into NET SHORT position, adding […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Triangle Close to Breaking Out

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Triangle Close to Breaking Out

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Triangle Close to Breaking Out From a number of perspectives, therefore, we think euro weakness has run much of its course for now and advise buying into weakness. Reduced trade uncertainty, a stabilization in the data, discounted policy rate differentials, a large current account surplus and the geopolitical sensitivities of exchange rate […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Impending Directional Breakout

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Impending Directional Breakout

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Impending Directional Breakout All eyes are on the ECB, which will set interest rates later on Thursday. The markets are not expecting anything dramatic from policymakers, with rates expected to remain at 0.00%. In June, the ECB decided to end its massive bond-purchase scheme by the end of the year, which has […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) drifting lower from triangle top

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) drifting lower from triangle top

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) drifting lower from triangle top The euro currency remains largely unchanged after solid IFO data for the month of July from the German economy. All three components of the German IFO survey beat market expectations, with only the current assessment survey beating the previous months reading. Stronger recovery cannot be ruled out […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) high-impact German survey data comes out

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) high-impact German survey data comes out

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) high-impact German survey data comes out EUR/USD traded mostly unchanged at the end of European trading on Tuesday as an early day decline was firmly bid by buyers. Volatility has been quite muted in the early week as traders brace for the European Central Bank (ECB) meeting scheduled later this week as […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) volatile but mostly directionless

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) volatile but mostly directionless

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) volatile but mostly directionless The Euro finished in the middle of the pack last week, gaining ground against four currencies while losing ground against three. EUR/CHF was the worst performer, dropping by -0.61%, while EUR/GBP was the best, adding +0.98%; EUR/USD was volatile but mostly directionless, adding a mere +0.33%. While the economic calendar last week […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) knocked down after the ECB’s mid-June policy review

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) knocked down after the ECB’s mid-June policy review

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) knocked down after the ECB’s mid-June policy review The euro has been treading water. It is unlikely to find a rescuing hand from the European Central Bank, whose policymakers meet this week. While analysts expect the shared currency to strengthen as the year progresses, conviction in that view is shaky, with strategists […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Currency-Hedged Positions Attractive for U.S.-dollar Investor

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Currency-Hedged Positions Attractive for U.S.-dollar Investor

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Currency-Hedged Positions Attractive for U.S.-dollar Investor The ECB’s negative interest rate policy has made yields unattractive and vulnerable to the improving growth outlook. We expect core eurozone yields to rise. We are cautious on peripherals given tight valuations, political risks in Italy and the upcoming end to the ECB’s net asset purchases. […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) initial support for the pair aligns at 1.1675

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) initial support for the pair aligns at 1.1675

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) initial support for the pair aligns at 1.1675 The EUR/USD pair traded in a relatively tight 50-pip range on Monday as today’s macroeconomic data releases failed to receive a significant enough reaction from the market to shift the pair’s near-term neutral outlook. As we are approaching the end of the day, the EUR/USD pair […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Exchange Rate Losses Today

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Exchange Rate Losses Today

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Exchange Rate Losses Today The Euro (EUR) has made a small decline against the US Dollar (USD) today, in the wake of data confirming that German inflation rates slowed during June. The finalised figures have shown that base annual inflation slowed from 2.2% to 2.1%, while the monthly inflation rate fell further […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Has Strong Support but Lacks Upside Momentum

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Has Strong Support but Lacks Upside Momentum

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Has Strong Support but Lacks Upside Momentum The euro found strong support in the 11500s and has since seen a bit of a rebound, but momentum and the broader trend aren’t bringing to the table with it much conviction. On the top-side there are the 11800s to contend with (11790 touched on […]

USD/EUR (EUR=X) Upside likely, Focus on Yuan

USD/EUR (EUR=X) Upside likely, Focus on Yuan

USD/EUR (EUR=X) Upside likely, Focus on Yuan Euro/dollar stays in tight range U.S. public holiday keeps some traders on sidelines Yuan bounces off 11-month low The euro fell on Wednesday as a weaker purchasing managers’ confidence in the bloc overshadowed better-than-expected data on business activity, while concerns about Washington’s end-of-week deadline to impose tariffs on […]

USD/EUR (EUR=X) Rises as Trade War Fears Worsen

USD/EUR (EUR=X) Rises as Trade War Fears Worsen

USD/EUR (EUR=X) Rises as Trade War Fears Worsen Low Confidence in US Trade Policies Lead to EUR/USD Exchange Rate Gains The Euro (EUR) is trading higher against the US Dollar (USD) today, mainly due to low confidence among USD investors. This appreciation has pushed the EUR/USD exchange rate up and interbank rate of $1.16, above […]

USD/EUR (EUR=X) What’s next for euro-dollar?

USD/EUR (EUR=X) What’s next for euro-dollar?

USD/EUR (EUR=X) What’s next for euro-dollar? EUR/USD has confounded consensus expectations this year, hit by both intermittent episodes of USD strength and EUR weakness. Of the many factors that will drive EUR/USD over the next 12-18 months, four stand out: Trade wars European politics The relative ECB/Fed policy outlook The relative EZ-US growth (and equity) […]

USD/EUR (EUR=X) breaking down to new weekly lows near 1.1600 level

USD/EUR (EUR=X) breaking down to new weekly lows near 1.1600 level

USD/EUR (EUR=X) breaking down to new weekly lows near 1.1600 level EUR/USD is drifting lower as the single currency broke below the 1.1634 level (pink line). The next scaling points to the downside are seen at the 1.1600 figure and 1.1560 June 14 low. EUR/USD momentum is bearish as the 50-period simple moving average (SMA) […]

USD/EUR (EUR=X) Dollar up vs riskier currencies amid trade tensions

USD/EUR (EUR=X) Dollar up vs riskier currencies amid trade tensions

USD/EUR (EUR=X) Dollar up vs riskier currencies amid trade tensions The dollar rose slightly against a basket of currencies on Tuesday, snapping a four-day losing streak as traders worried about mounting global trade tensions unwound bets on high-yielding currencies like the Australian and Canadian dollars, whose economies are heavily trade dependent. The dollar index, which […]

USD/EUR (EUR=X) Escalating trade fight weighs on global stocks, boosts Treasuries

USD/EUR (EUR=X) Escalating trade fight weighs on global stocks, boosts Treasuries

USD/EUR (EUR=X) Escalating trade fight weighs on global stocks, boosts Treasuries Long-dated notes gain on trade war, Europe concerns Wall Street indexes see steepest losses since April Wall St lower on U.S. trade disputes with China, Europe Oil drops as traders factor in OPEC output rise Global stock markets sank on Monday as the trade fight between the United […]

USD/EUR (EUR=X) holds to gains, consolidates above 1.1600

USD/EUR (EUR=X) holds to gains, consolidates above 1.1600

USD/EUR (EUR=X) holds to gains, consolidates above 1.1600 EUR/USD rebounds after hitting fresh 1-year low. DXY retreats signaling a potential short-term top. The EUR/USD pair consolidate daily gains during the US session, benefit by a weaker US dollar. The euro rebounded after falling to test May lows. The pair started to recover after the Bank […]

USD/EUR (EUR=X) bulls advances currently capped at 1.1600

USD/EUR (EUR=X) bulls advances currently capped at 1.1600

USD/EUR (EUR=X) bulls advances currently capped at 1.1600 The single currency is mostly trading sideways on Wednesday as EUR/USD is oscillating between the 1.1536 and the 1.6010 levels. On data-light Wednesday EUR/USD is mainly taking its cues from technical trading and the development from the US-China trade war. Earlier in the day, ECB (European Central Bank)’s President Mario Draghi and […]

USD/EUR (EUR=X) recovers further, still under 1.1600

USD/EUR (EUR=X) recovers further, still under 1.1600

USD/EUR (EUR=X) recovers further, still under 1.1600 Euro extended its recovery from weekly lows against the US Dollar but remains in negative. Price showing signals of consolidation but the overall tone still points to the downside. The EUR/SUD pair moved to the upside during the American session on the back of a retreat of the […]

USD/EUR (EUR=X) Upside Terminated

USD/EUR (EUR=X) Upside Terminated

USD/EUR (EUR=X) Upside Terminated – 1.1510 in focus according to technical analysis – ECB’s Draghi in focus at Sintra central banking event – US Dollar will be eyeing US Fed’s Powell at same event The Euro slumped notably lower against the US Dollar last week after the European Central Bank quashed market hopes of an initial Eurozone interest […]

USD/EUR (EUR=X) below 1.20 for an extended period on ECB rate guidance

USD/EUR (EUR=X) below 1.20 for an extended period on ECB rate guidance

USD/EUR (EUR=X) below 1.20 for an extended period on ECB rate guidance After today’s ECB meeting, analysts from Danske Bank explained that it is the new time dependent rate guidance that is key for the euro. Key Quotes: “A short-lived knee-jerk move higher in EUR/USD on the QE end-date announcement but this quickly more than reversed as the rate guidance […]

USD/EUR (EUR=X) Rate Seen Straitjacketed by Italy this Summer but Better Days are Ahead Later in 2018

USD/EUR (EUR=X) Rate Seen Straitjacketed by Italy this Summer but Better Days are Ahead Later in 2018

USD/EUR (EUR=X) Rate Seen Straitjacketed by Italy this Summer but Better Days are Ahead Later in 2018 EUR/USD will be restrained this summer by political risks in Italy. But can rise in second half of 2018 as ECB ends QE programme. Although forecasts suggest upside is more limited than before. The Euro-to-Dollar rate will be […]

USD/EUR (EUR=X) Support at 1.1570, Watching for Entry at 1.16

USD/EUR (EUR=X) Support at 1.1570, Watching for Entry at 1.16

USD/EUR (EUR=X) Support at 1.1570, Watching for Entry at 1.16 President Donald Trump’s opponents must be very upset – to their great disappointment, his economic policy brings positive results: the number of jobs in the US in 2018 grew by more than a million, the inflation reached the Federal Reserve’s target of 2%, the trade […]

USD/EUR (EUR=X) Heffx Technical Outlook

USD/EUR (EUR=X) Heffx Technical Outlook

USD/EUR (EUR=X) Heffx Technical Outlook Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways. By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 1.22. The projected upper bound is: 1.24. The projected lower bound is: 1.21. The projected closing price is: 1.22. Candlesticks A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened). During the […]