Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) push-lower re-testing the 1.1250 level

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) push-lower re-testing the 1.1250 level

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) push-lower re-testing the 1.1250 level Tomorrow marks Good Friday, meaning many western markets will remain closed, and Monday brings Easter and will see European markets remain on holiday. But ahead of the long weekend FX markets are showing as much excitement as they have so far in Q2, marked by a strong […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) close above 1.1330 would suggest EUR is ready to tackle 1.1400

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) close above 1.1330 would suggest EUR is ready to tackle 1.1400

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) close above 1.1330 would suggest EUR is ready to tackle 1.1400 While we have expected EUR to “trade with an upside bias” for more than a week (see update on 04 Apr, spot at 1.1245), we were of the view that the “prospect for EUR to move to the next resistance at […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) steady after positive week

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) steady after positive week

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) steady after positive week EUR/USD has started the week with small gains. Currently, the pair is trading at 1.1310, up 0.10% on the day. Last week, the pair climbed 0.7%, its best week since mid-March. It’s quiet on the fundamentals front, with no major events out of the eurozone. In the U.S., […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) data may prove supportive but worries remain over the strength of the Euro-Zone economy

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) data may prove supportive but worries remain over the strength of the Euro-Zone economy

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) data may prove supportive but worries remain over the strength of the Euro-Zone economy The single-currency is gaining strength going into the weekend, aided in part by weakness in the US dollar, and will wait until data releases mid-week until it confirms whether this trend has further to go. The most important […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Single Market Traders Prepare For ECB

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Single Market Traders Prepare For ECB

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Single Market Traders Prepare For ECB Monday’s session saw the Euro to US Dollar exchange rate pull away from support at $1.12 to gain almost half-a-percent amid a data-sparse session with the single currency gains attributed to a lack of Greenback appeal. Into Tuesday, the EURUSD was last seen trading at $1.12716, […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) in falling channel and expected to extend

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X)  in falling channel and expected to extend

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) in falling channel and expected to extend The Euro-to-Dollar rate is trading at 1.1215 at the start of the new week, virtually unchanged from the week before owing to a short-term period of consolidation. If we take a step back however and consider the technical perspective, the outlook for the pair is […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) price action suggests investor indecision and impending volatility

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) price action suggests investor indecision and impending volatility

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) price action suggests investor indecision and impending volatility Based on Friday’s close at 1.1215, the direction of the EUR/USD on Monday is likely to be determined by trader reaction to the minor top at 1.1255 and the minor bottom at 1.1183. Holding inside this range will indicate investor indecision. Bullish Scenario Taking […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) testing major support

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) testing major support

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) testing major support The Euro continues to bounce around the physical and psychologically important 1.12 handle. This is a market that continues to bounce around in a larger consolidation area, so therefore we should be paying attention to the outer ranges. The Euro has fallen rather hard during trading on Thursday, as we […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) still in a consolidation phase

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) still in a consolidation phase

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) still in a consolidation phase The Euro has bounced nicely from the 1.12 level during the trading session on Wednesday, as we continue to see the longer-term consolidation area hold. The 1.12 level is the bottom of this major area, with the 1.15 level above offering massive resistance. As we have reached an […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Factories in the euro zone had their worst month for almost six years

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Factories in the euro zone had their worst month for almost six years

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Factories in the euro zone had their worst month for almost six years EUR/USD attempts to retrace the decline from earlier this week as the U.S. Durable Goods Orders report does little to heighten the appeal of the greenback, and the failed attempt to test the 2019-low (1.1176) may spur a rebound in […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Investors are keeping a close eye on the ebb and flow of the U.S.-China trade talks

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Investors are keeping a close eye on the ebb and flow of the U.S.-China trade talks

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Investors are keeping a close eye on the ebb and flow of the U.S.-China trade talks After a tough week, EUR/USD has started the week with slight gains. Currently, the pair is trading at 1.1235, up 0.15% on the day. On the release front, it’s a busy day. German and eurozone manufacturing […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) key area to watch will be 1.1185 to 1.1176

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) key area to watch will be 1.1185 to 1.1176

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) key area to watch will be 1.1185 to 1.1176 The Euro closed lower on Friday as it edged toward a key long-term retracement level and its March 7 main bottom. After topping on March 20, the single-currency has erased nearly all of its gains from earlier in month. For the month, the […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) ECB President Mario Draghi had warned of sustained downside risk for the global economy

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) ECB President Mario Draghi had warned of sustained downside risk for the global economy

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) ECB President Mario Draghi had warned of sustained downside risk for the global economy The EUR/USD experienced a minor correction on the early hours of the Thursday trading session following an escalation in the US Dollar Index. The index had soared on the grounds of an increasing dovish outlook of the major world banks. […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) likely to be determined by trader reaction

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) likely to be determined by trader reaction

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) likely to be determined by trader reaction The Euro is trading nearly flat on Tuesday as investors await fresh news about Brexit and a slew of U.S. economic data. Traders are also saying that the single-currency is being supported by economic surveys showing tentative signs of recovery in the Euro Zone economy […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) is likely to trade sideways

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) is likely to trade sideways

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) is likely to trade sideways While we indicated last Friday (22 Mar) that “in order to maintain the current momentum, EUR could not afford to ‘dither’ as it would greatly decrease the prospect for further EUR strength”, the subsequent large decline of more than -0.50% (NY close of 1.1313, -0.52%) came as […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) recovery faces yearly open resistance at 1.1445

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) recovery faces yearly open resistance at 1.1445

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) recovery faces yearly open resistance at 1.1445 The Euro rally is now testing yearly open / slope resistance and leaves the immediate recovery vulnerable while below 1.1445. From a trading standpoint, we’re looking for signs of support while above 1.1232. If price has indeed turned a corner. That said, a break below […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) upside should be limited

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) upside should be limited

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) upside should be limited Outlook in EUR/USD remains unchanged. Further rise could be seen with 1.1294 minor support intact despite loss of upside momentum. But upside should be limited below 1.1419 resistance to complete the corrective rebound from 1.1176. On the downside, below 1.1294 minor support will turn bias to the downside […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) upside should be limited below 1.1419 resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) upside should be limited below 1.1419 resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) upside should be limited below 1.1419 resistance EUR/USD’s rebound from 1.1176 could extend higher but it’s still viewed as a corrective move. Hence, upside should be limited below 1.1419 resistance to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, below 1.1294 minor support will turn bias to the downside for 1.1176 low first. […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) investors are focused on macro data updates for short term profit opportunities

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) investors are focused on macro data updates for short term profit opportunities

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) investors are focused on macro data updates for short term profit opportunities Since trading session opened for the week in Pacific-Asian market hours, the pair has managed to hold on to steady upside price action and moved well near last week’s highs as the spread difference between 2-year US-Germany government bond yields […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) upside should be limited below 1.1419 resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) upside should be limited below 1.1419 resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) upside should be limited below 1.1419 resistance EUR/USD’s rebound from 1.1176 continued last week despite lost of upside momentum. No change in the view that it’s a corrective move. Hence, in case of another rise, upside should be limited below 1.1419 resistance to bring down trend resumption. On the downside, below 1.1277 […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) controlled by the Fibonacci level at 1.1327

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) controlled by the Fibonacci level at 1.1327

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) controlled by the Fibonacci level at 1.1327 Renewed concerns over Brexit are putting pressure on the Euro shortly after the U.S. opening. Earlier in the session, the single-currency hit its highest level since March 5, but there was no follow-through to the upside as traders began to square positions after the latest […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) ECB interest rates likely to stay low in Europe

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) ECB interest rates likely to stay low in Europe

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) ECB interest rates likely to stay low in Europe The Euro may have rebounded during recent sessions but the outlook from a fundamental perspective remains decidedly uninspiring as the European Central Bank (ECB) appears to jettison its previous plan to withdraw the crutch of crisis-era easing.  The Euro has climbed back up to 1.1300 […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) is expected to respond positively irrespective of the outcome of the Brexit vote

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) is expected to respond positively irrespective of the outcome of the Brexit vote

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) is expected to respond positively irrespective of the outcome of the Brexit vote The EUR/USD is expected to respond positively irrespective of the outcome of the Brexit vote today. Currently, there are three possible outcomes. That UK MPs reject May’s proposed deal that is already agreed with the EU, resulting in a […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) traders await German data

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) traders await German data

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) traders await German data EUR/USD struggles around 1.1230 while heading towards European sessions on Monday. The pair fall short of extending Friday’s NFP-backed recovery as recent comments from the Fed Chair Jerome Powell gave little importance to the data miss. Monthly readings of German trade balance and industrial production could offer intermediate […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Searches for Support

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Searches for Support

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Searches for Support EUR/USD tumbles to fresh yearly lows as the European Central Bank (ECB) plans to implement another round of Targeted Long-Term Refinance Operations (TLTRO), and the exchange rate may continue to search for support over the coming days as clears the 2018-low (1.1216). The announcement suggests the ECB will continue to […]

Brexit woes and upbeat USD to pressure Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X)

Brexit woes and upbeat USD to pressure Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X)

Brexit woes and upbeat USD to pressure Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) The EURUSD pair yesterday saw a bearish breakout in American market hours as upbeat US macro data underpinned US Dollar’s positive price action in the broad market. Despite Wall Street continuing to see some level of bearish price action, US Greenback remained unaffected as last […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) but at the 1.12 handle

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) but at the 1.12 handle The Euro rolled over a bit during the trading session on Monday, as the pair of shooting star candles foretold of selling pressure. That being the case, we will probably reach down towards the bottom of the overall consolidation area, which is closer to the 1.12 handle. Somewhere […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) main focus will be the European Central Bank’s (ECB) policy meeting

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) main focus will be the European Central Bank’s (ECB) policy meeting

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) main focus will be the European Central Bank’s (ECB) policy meeting The Euro US Dollar (EUR/USD) exchange rate closed the initial gap higher in early Monday trading, falling from the weekly open of $1.13825 to trade at $1.13503 – a March low – at the time of writing. For the single currency, […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Headlines on Geopolitical Events To Dominate Price Momentum Across March

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Headlines on Geopolitical Events To Dominate Price Momentum Across March

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Headlines on Geopolitical Events To Dominate Price Momentum Across March In the month ahead the early half of will focus on Sino-U.S. trade talk as US President Donald Trump gave contradicting comments in the last week of February. While he first tweeted trade talks were proceeding in a favorable direction, following the […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) testing trend resistance set from January 2018 once again

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) testing trend resistance set from January 2018 once again

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) testing trend resistance set from January 2018 once again The Euro is once again testing resistance guiding the move lower from January 2018 against the US Dollar. The appearance of a bearish Dark Cloud Cover candlestick pattern hints that a turn lower may be brewing ahead. Support guiding the upswing form mid-February remains […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) investors eye Powell

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) investors eye Powell

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) investors eye Powell EUR/USD is showing little movement in the Wednesday session. Currently, the pair is trading at 1.1404, up 0.10% on the day. On the release front, there are no major German or eurozone events. The U.S. posts minor manufacturing and housing reports, but the focus will be on Fed Chair […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) forecast of 124.8 pointing to rising consumer sentiment

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) forecast of 124.8 pointing to rising consumer sentiment

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) forecast of 124.8 pointing to rising consumer sentiment The Euro US Dollar (EUR/USD) exchange rate got off to a choppy start this week with the cross rising to local resistance at $1.13675 before dipping sharply to sub $1.134 only to reverse later in the session and climb once more to local resistance. […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Tipped To Rise As FED Powell Testifies

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Tipped To Rise As FED Powell Testifies

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Tipped To Rise As FED Powell Testifies The Euro US Dollar (EUR/USD) exchange rate reached a two-week best over the course of Monday’s trading, with further gains possible according to some analysts. “Fed Chairman Powell is headed to Capitol Hill tomorrow to testify before Congress” notes Kathy Lien, Managing Director of FX […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rotates higher after false break lower

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rotates higher after false break lower

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rotates higher after false break lower The Euro-to-Dollar exchange rate is trading at 1.1345 at the start of the new week after rising over half a percent from the previous week. Although continued concerns over Eurozone growth weighed on the Euro it still outperformed the Dollar which fell even more sharply after […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) ECB Minutes Show Bank’s Concerns, but Unlikely to Make Changes in March

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) ECB Minutes Show Bank’s Concerns, but Unlikely to Make Changes in March

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) ECB Minutes Show Bank’s Concerns, but Unlikely to Make Changes in March The release of the European Central Bank’s meeting minutes showed policymakers had growing concerns. However, it’s thought unlikely the central bank will blink at its March meeting and make any immediate changes to its monetary policy. It’s expected new projections […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) bullish view put forward

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) bullish view put forward

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) bullish view put forward The inverse head-and-shoulders breakout seen in EUR/USD’s 4-hour chart validates the bullish view put forward by the falling channel breakout on Monday and represents a bearish-to-bullish trend change (transition from lower highs and lower lows to higher highs and higher lows).  As a result, the common currency could […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Rebound Still Possible

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Rebound Still Possible

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Rebound Still Possible The Euro-to-Dollar exchange rate saw a mixed start to the weekly session, with the Fiber initially pushing higher to post a session best above $1.133 before declining. From an overnight low of ~$1.293, the cross was last seen edging higher at $1.13115. The data schedule for the USD remains […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Rates Fall as Eurozone Economic Concerns Rise

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Rates Fall as Eurozone Economic Concerns Rise

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Rates Fall as Eurozone Economic Concerns Rise The Euro US Dollar (EUR/USD) exchange rate was hit several times this week, with disappointing economic data releases further exacerbating fears of a slowing Eurozone economy. The Euro started Monday subdued following the publication of the Irish construction PMI figures, which fell to 54.6. There […]

Battle Between Dollar Bulls and Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Bears

Battle Between Dollar Bulls and Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Bears

Battle Between Dollar Bulls and Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Bears The price action last week suggests investors are being a little tentative about buying strength. In three sessions out of five, the dollar index rallied to highs not touched since early December before closing lower. On Friday, the dollar index reached its highest level since April […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) knocked by dollar strength

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) knocked by dollar strength

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) knocked by dollar strength Yesterday’s EUR/USD rally ended with a fresh push to $1.126, with further losses so far this morning. Below $1.121, the price will head towards possible support at $1.1116. The bearish short-term view remains until we see a higher high created, with the $1.134 level as a near-term target. Overall, the […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) recovers $1.13, but for how long?

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) recovers $1.13, but for how long?

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) recovers $1.13, but for how long? EUR/USD finally managed a substantial rally yesterday, moving off $1.126 and heading towards $1.134, but at present it looks like a lower high has been created. Further downside targets $1.126, and then to $1.1118. If bulls can hold the price above $1.126 and create a higher high, […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) in ongoing correction

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) in ongoing correction

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) in ongoing correction The price of EUR/USD continues to push lower, falling below $1.13 support and heading to the November low at $1.1215. Further declines bring $1.1118 into view. Since September, substantial rallies have met with trendline resistance, and any push back towards $1.143 could well meet the same fate. So far, no change […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) fast approaching major support zone

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) fast approaching major support zone

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) fast approaching major support zone EUR/USD is at 1.1320 at the start of the new week after falling 1.20% in the previous week’s trading. The outlook for EUR/USD is marginally bearish with our studies seeing a continuation of the recent decline. However, the pair is reaching a key support zone where further […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Bounce looks likely, a break would be reason to turn more aggressively short

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Bounce looks likely, a break would be reason to turn more aggressively short

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Bounce looks likely, a break would be reason to turn more aggressively short Last week, the Euro furthered weakness off confluent trend-line resistance. The move from resistance already has big support in view as the trading range remains quite narrow in historical terms. Only a small handful of times has the 6-month […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) heading towards key support

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) heading towards key support

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) heading towards key support EUR/USD continues to fall, with a relentless move lower over the past four days. The price is now below the 50-day simple moving average (SMA), and further declines target the $1.13 level, previously support in late January. Aside from the mid-November spike lower. This has held as strong support […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) breaks below key support levels

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) breaks below key support levels

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) breaks below key support levels EUR/USD has been continuing its descent as we move through the week, with a break below $1.1434 and $1.1406 negating the previous creation of higher lows. That points towards further downside, even if we are in retracement mode. Watch out for the 61.8% or 76.4% Fibonacci levels to […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) consolidating after recent gains

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) consolidating after recent gains

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) consolidating after recent gains EUR/USD failed to really push on at the end of last week, with Friday’s rebound failing to gain enough traction to push the pair through the $1.1514 peak.That means we could be looking at a retracement, with the recent rally having moved into and reversed around the 76.4% Fibonacci […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) bounce has plenty of resistance to contend with

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) bounce has plenty of resistance to contend with

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) bounce has plenty of resistance to contend with The Euro continues to be a difficult handle with volatility extremely low. The 3-month percentage range is the smallest it’s been since the doldrums of 2014. We may not be in for a massive move like the one that began then, but we are […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) surges after FOMC

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) surges after FOMC

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) surges after FOMC The weaker dollar lit a rocket underneath the euro yesterday, and we have seen the EUR/USD price push back above $1.15. Further gains target $1.1554 and then $1.16 and the top end of the upward channel. The $1.14 area is key for possible support. Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways. […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) consolidating after recent ascent

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) consolidating after recent ascent

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) consolidating after recent ascent EUR/USD has been consolidating after Friday’s gains, with the pair in rebound mode from the critical $1.1301 support level. As mentioned yesterday, the 76.4% retracement level at $1.1299 points towards a potential that we are not rolling over after failing to create a new higher high. Instead, that could […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) pushing higher after key support holds up

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) pushing higher after key support holds up

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) pushing higher after key support holds up EUR/USD managed to rebound from the $1.1301 support level on Thursday, with the pair driving higher since. While the wider creation of higher lows has been negated, last week’s drop took us into the 76.4% retracement of the $1.1215-$1.157 rally. Thus, there are arguments on both […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) looks to build on Friday gains

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) looks to build on Friday gains

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) looks to build on Friday gains Having rallied sharply on Friday, bouncing off the $1.13 level, the EUR/USD price is back inside the rising trend channel, and also back above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of $1.139. Further gains target $1.1453, the 100-day SMA, and then on to $1.1554. Overall, the bias in […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) still in trend channel

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) still in trend channel

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) still in trend channel EUR/USD continues to cleave to the rising channel, although we have yet to see a significant bounce. Yesterday saw the index hold the $1.134 area. If this remains the case, the bullish view suggesting a bounce back towards $1.15 remains in place. A close below $1.134 brings horizontal support […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) back to channel support

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) back to channel support

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) back to channel support EUR/USD’s fall has continued, but it is now nearing the bottom-end of the rising channel. If a bounce from around these levels takes place, a higher low in the uptrend from November lows has been created. This might suggest a move back towards the top-end of the channel, […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) falls into Fibonacci support

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) falls into Fibonacci support

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) falls into Fibonacci support EUR/USD has dropped into the 76.4% retracement amid a sell-off that has brought us back into a crucial area of support. The wider trend highlights the creation of higher highs and higher lows, thus pointing towards a possible bullish reversal in the near future. With an ascending trendline further […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) tumbles into potential wider retracement

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) tumbles into potential wider retracement

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) tumbles into potential wider retracement EUR/USD fell below the $1.1422 mark, seemingly paving the way for a wider retracement for the pair. The break through $1.15 last week sparked a rise in the likeliness of an upside surge after this pullback. Despite us currently having broken into a lower low, we saw something […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) back on a downward path

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) back on a downward path

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) back on a downward path Having rallied to $1.155, the price of EUR/USD has weakened again, and so far this morning further downward pressure is developing. The previous two sessions saw the pair find support around $1.145, but if this is lost then the lows from a week ago at $1.143 come into play. […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) consolidating at Fibonacci support

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) consolidating at Fibonacci support

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) consolidating at Fibonacci support EUR/USD pulled back into the 76.4% retracement last week, with the price continuing to consolidate around that key support level. The ability to remain above that level is going to be crucial in determining where we go from here, for if we break below this $1.1456 support, it would […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) busy week ahead

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) busy week ahead

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) busy week ahead For the Dollar, it’s a busy week ahead, with key stats including wholesale inflation and NY State PMI numbers on Tuesday, December retail sales figures on Wednesday and the Philly FED Manufacturing PMI and housing sector figures on Thursday. Following a choppy few weeks in the markets and with […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) steady after sharp bounce

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) steady after sharp bounce

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) steady after sharp bounce The sharp rally yesterday has seen the EUR/USD pair move solidly above $1.15. Further gains target the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at $1.1639, just above the mid-October peak at $1.162. If this current move higher marks the end of the $1.13-$1.15 trading range, then we look to the $1.1852 […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rising towards resistance zone

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rising towards resistance zone

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rising towards resistance zone EUR/USD is pushing upwards once more, as the pair seeks to continue creating higher highs. The wider picture for the pair looks like a gradual bottoming out process, with lower highs in October to December reversing to post higher highs since. This points towards a potential bullish breakout for […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) returns to top end of range

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) returns to top end of range

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) returns to top end of range Yesterday’s rally saw EUR/USD head towards the $1.15 level once again, but this is still providing resistance, as it has since early November. A close above $1.15 would spark significant upside, targeting $1.1554 and then $1.1623. If the current range holds then the first target is the $1.13 […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) pushing higher after recent decline

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) pushing higher after recent decline

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) pushing higher after recent decline EUR/USD has been falling back over the turn of the year, with the price dropping below the key $1.1305 level. To some extent, that fall into a new lower low could signal the start of a more bearish phase coming into play. However, with the price having […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Remains In A Prolonged Consolidation Phase

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Remains In A Prolonged Consolidation Phase

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Remains In A Prolonged Consolidation Phase Until we see this market fundamentally change, rates are likely to continue trading sideways. The intermediate-term top appears to be the 1.1500 handle, with the Swing Low at 1.1215 set up as support. These will be two important technical areas moving forward. If rates break from […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) 2019 Targets Parity

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) 2019 Targets Parity

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) 2019 No Upside as Europe Fails Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards. The projected upper bound is: 1.22. The projected lower bound is: 1.00. The projected closing price is: 1.14. Candlesticks A white body occurred (because prices closed higher than they opened). During the past 10 bars, there have been 5 […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rebound provides selling opportunity

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rebound provides selling opportunity

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rebound provides selling opportunity EUR/USD as managed to rebound substantially following a sharp deterioration yesterday. That sell-off follows on from the inability to continue creating higher lows, after Friday’s drop below $1.1364. Given this recent trend of lower highs and lower lows, the rebound seen overnight looks like a good selling opportunity. A […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rebounds in early trading

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rebounds in early trading

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rebounds in early trading Having dropped sharply in the wake of the Fed decision, EUR/USD has promptly recovered all its losses and is making another attempt to clear $1.14 and hold above the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) of $1.1389. Near-term targets to the upside are $1.1470, $1.15 and then $1.1554. The pair has built […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rallies through notable swing high

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rallies through notable swing high

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rallies through notable swing high EUR/USD has once again muddied the water, with the rally through $1.1393 providing a new higher high to negate the lower low formed with the break below $1.1305. That provides a potential bullish phase coming into play, which will likely be determined by affairs at the Federal Open […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rallies into possible selling zone

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rallies into possible selling zone

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rallies into possible selling zone The EUR/USD is making another attempt to break higher, spiking towards $1.137. But such surges have not turned out well over the past month. We would need to see a close above $1.14 to provide more evidence that this breakout has some strength behind it. Otherwise it will merely […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rallies back into trendline resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rallies back into trendline resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rallies back into trendline resistance EUR/USD has started strengthening after last week’s declines, with the price having rallied into trendline resistance. The break below the $1.1305 mark last week provides a bearish signal and allows greater confidence that this rally will fall short of the $1.1393 swing before breaking lower once again. Whether […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) trapped within the 1.12-to-1.14 range

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) trapped within the 1.12-to-1.14 range

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) trapped within the 1.12-to-1.14 range The daily chart is showing what could be the beginnings of another move lower, but there is just to much current congestion on the chart. The open of the day was very near where the Tenken-Sen and Kijun-sen have been at, and they have not deviated much […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) challenges trendline resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) challenges trendline resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) challenges trendline resistance Rallies for EUR/USD continue to be capped by trendline resistance from the October highs, with yesterday’s bounce faltering below this level. However, the pair is challenging this level this morning, so this is one to watch. Above $1.14 we may see a rapid break higher towards $1.1554. Meanwhile the sellers will […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) tumbles from key trendline resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) tumbles from key trendline resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) tumbles from key trendline resistance EUR/USD managed to fall sharply yesterday, amid a burgeoning fiscal crisis in France. Interestingly, we saw the price respect the descending trendline that seemed to be negated on Friday. This has taken us into trendline and horizontal support, with the price currently consolidating marginally above the notable $1.1305 […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) will fall to new lows in 2019

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) will fall to new lows in 2019

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) will fall to new lows in 2019 The Euro-to-Dollar exchange rate will fall to new lows next year, according to the latest forecasts from Barclays, as the European Central Bank (ECB) outlook darkens, political risks linger and the greenback remains top-dog in currency markets. The Dollar will remain dominant next year, Barclays says in its […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) turning lower from Fibonacci resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) turning lower from Fibonacci resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) turning lower from Fibonacci resistance EUR/USD has managed to rally into the 76.4% retracement this morning, following on from a wider downturn from the 61.8% resistance at $1.1394. With a bearish, engulfing pattern looking likely from this resistance level, coupled with a wider bearish trend over recent months, another bearish period looks likely […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Expectations are tempered with volatility low

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Expectations are tempered with volatility low

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) Expectations are tempered with volatility low CHOPPY EURO PRICE ACTION BUILDING A TRIANGLE The bad news is that price action of late has been choppy and uninspiring, unless of course you favor mean reversion or range trading, in which case this has been your market. The good news for those looking for […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) given a boost by falling US dollar

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) given a boost by falling US dollar

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) given a boost by falling US dollar The weakening of the US dollar has prompted a sharp rebound in EUR/USD, and the price is now testing the area above the Monday high of $1.138. Further gains target the $1.147 area that was strong resistance earlier in the month. Some retracement of the sharp […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) continues to break lower

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) continues to break lower

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) continues to break lower EUR/USD has been ramping up the selling in the wake of the reversal from trendline resistance. This continues the wider trend of lower highs, with a break below the $1.1216 level required to bring about a new lower low. With a long-term descending trendline down below, a break below […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) back down as dollar recovers

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) back down as dollar recovers

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) back down as dollar recovers The sellers have reasserted their control over the last few days, with the EUR/USD’s rally towards $1.15 providing a selling opportunity. Below $1.13 the price heads towards to the $1.1215 lows of earlier in the month. In the short term, the price may bounce, but any move back towards […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rebounding amid recent breakdown

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rebounding amid recent breakdown

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rebounding amid recent breakdown EUR/USD has been breaking lower since hitting trendline resistance last week. The fall below trendline support led us to further declines, with the short term creation of lower highs and lower lows providing us with the potential of further downside from here. Given this recent period of weakness, there […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) PMIs Point to Slowing Eurozone Economy

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) PMIs Point to Slowing Eurozone Economy

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) PMIs Point to Slowing Eurozone Economy The Euro avoided major losses against the US Dollar for most of the week, as investors sold the US Dollar from its highs amid profit-taking and speculation of a more dovish Federal Reserve. Multiple comments from Federal Reserve officials predicting that global growth would slow in […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) uptrend intact for now

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) uptrend intact for now

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) uptrend intact for now The price for EUR/USD has recovered from the steep losses seen on Tuesday, leaving the uptrend from the November lows intact. Further gains above $1.1420 would target $1.1460, and then on to $1.1554. A move back below $1.1360 would invalidate the bullish view and give the sellers the upper hand. […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) turns lower from trendline resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) turns lower from trendline resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) turns lower from trendline resistance EUR/USD has been selling off from trendline resistance this week, with a particularly deep rally coming close to the bullish breakout threshold of $1.15. However, for now we are caught between two trendlines, with the price rallying back towards the resistance once more. A break through $1.15 would […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) pushes higher for now

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) pushes higher for now

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) pushes higher for now EUR/USD has continued to climb, breaking through trendline resistance and targeting the $1.15 level, the high from early November. From here $1.1554 and then $1.162 come into play. The steep rally over the past few days could begin to moderate, but dips to $1.138 could find buyers. Overall, the […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rallies into deep retracement level

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rallies into deep retracement level

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rallies into deep retracement level EUR/USD has been regaining ground, with the pair moving into the crucial 76.4% retracement at $1.1433. There is a high likeliness that we are seeing a retracement in play here, with a break above $1.15 required to negate the premise that this a short-term pullback before we see […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) still stuck in downtrend

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) still stuck in downtrend

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) still stuck in downtrend EUR/USD has rallied off the lows but remains in a broader downtrend from the highs of September. A failure to push on above $1.135 would signal that we have more declines ahead, while a rally above this level would head towards $1.1554. Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards. […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) still stuck in downtrend

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) still stuck in downtrend

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) still stuck in downtrend EUR/USD has rallied off the lows but remains in a broader downtrend from the highs of September. A failure to push on above $1.135 would signal that we have more declines ahead, while a rally above this level would head towards $1.1554. Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards. […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rebound unlikely to last

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rebound unlikely to last

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rebound unlikely to last EUR/USD has been gaining ground following last week’s sell-off, with the selling pressure easing somewhat. However, the wider bearish trend remains intact, and there is a strong chance that this rebound is going to falter before long. With that in mind, watch for a potential bearish reversal in the […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) bounce falters

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) bounce falters

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) bounce falters EUR/USD has plumbed to a new low, continuing its extended downtrend and heading towards possible support at $1.111. A rally will target $1.13, previous key support, while above this the November high at $1.15 comes into play. Having rallied from oversold intraday conditions, it will be important to watch the $1.126 […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) could weaken further to the next support at 1.1220

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) could weaken further to the next support at 1.1220

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) could weaken further to the next support at 1.1220 There is not much to add to last Friday’s (09 Nov, spot at 1.1365) update. As highlighted, the sharp and rapid drop from last Wednesday (07 Nov) peak of 1.1500 indicates there is scope for EUR to retest the major 1.1300 support. The […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rallies through resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rallies through resistance

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) rallies through resistance The EUR/USD pair mounted an impressive bounce above trendline resistance, and while it then retraced to the line, it posted a classic bounce. Dip buyers came in around $1.14, suggesting that we have seen a bullish move develop. Further gains target $1.15 and then $1.1554. Higher lows have been put in […]

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) pushing upwards amid dollar weakness

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) pushing upwards amid dollar weakness

Euro: USD/EUR (EUR=X) pushing upwards amid dollar weakness EUR/USD has been pushing higher, in a continuation of the strength seen throughout November thus far. With the price rising through the 50% retracement, there is a strong chance we will see the pair continue to gain ground over the near term. A break through the $1.1622 mark […]

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