Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rates stabilized near previous support in the 0.7050 area AUD/USD is one of the best pairs to watch to gauge sentiment toward global trade. After a swooning on dovish RBA comments earlier this month, rates stabilized near previous support in the 0.7050 area. The pair has rallied 100 pips since then, and […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) fresh risk appetite on optimistic tone from trade talks The Aussie extends recovery off 0.7054 base, boosted by fresh risk appetite on optimistic tone from trade talks. Fresh extension higher cracked 0.7146 (Fibo 38.2% of 0.7295/0.7054) the lower boundary of strong resistance zone between 0.7146 and 0.7162 (consisting of Fibo barrier […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) investors will be keeping a close eye on the RBA minutes and employment data The Australian dollar made considerable gains last week, after suffering sharp losses a week earlier. In the upcoming week, investors will be keeping a close eye on the RBA minutes and employment data. Here is an outlook for the highlights […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) lifted by fresh hopes of U.S.-China breakthrough The Australian Dollar rose Thursday as markets cheered fresh signs the White House could be willing to extend trade negotiations with China past a March 01 deadline, although new forecasts from UBS and Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) suggest things are already about as good as they’ll get […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) market sentiment has been boosted over the past 24 hours by some more encouraging news on US-China trade negotiations The Australian dollar rebounded from six-week lows on Tuesday as the rally in the greenback fizzled. Optimism towards a potential trade deal between the US and China, so often seen whenever high-level […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rises after U.S. shutdown averted, White House talks Xi meeting The Australian Dollar rose Tuesday as investors cheered an agreement struck overnight in Washington that will avert a second 2019 government shutdown, which has buoyed so-called risk assets including the Antipodean currency. President Donald Trump has secured partial funding for his proposed […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) remains pressured following a dovish shift from the RBA last week The Australian dollar remains pressured following the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) dovish shift last week. After starting the week at .7250, the AUD/USD ended it at .7088, representing a decline of 2.2%. It was the largest weekly decline in […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) retail sales dip The Australian dollar had its worst week since October, falling 2.2 percent. The Aussie has declined 2.5% in February, erasing most of the gains seen in January. We’ll get a look at business and consumer confidence, both of which are struggling. Here is an outlook for the highlights of this week […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA adopted a neutral bias on the outlook for Australia’s cash rate The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) delivered a sledgehammer to the Australian dollar on Wednesday, leaving it on track to log its largest percentage decline in over two years. The damage can be seen in the scoreboard below as […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Australian central bank governor says future rate cut is possible Philip Lowe told the National Press Club in Sydney on Wednesday, that the chance of the rate cut is more likely than it used to be, changing the RBA’s tone slightly. ‘Looking forward there are scenario where the outlook in the […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) helped by a lift in US bond yields The main them of Monday’s session was broad based US dollar strength, helped by a lift in US bond yields despite another weak reading on US factory orders in November. “AUD/USD eased modestly in line with the stronger USD,” said Joseph Capurso, Senior […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Jobs and Housing Markets Falter Ahead of Key RBA Interest Rate Decision The Australian Dollar fell into the new week Monday after surveys showed the jobs and housing markets struggling early in the New Year, just hours before the latest interest rate guidance is due from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). Fresh […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA might well be forced to step in soon and actually cut official interest rates The AUD/USD might have seen a bit of a resurgence in the last week or so, but there are rumblings that the RBA might well be forced to step in soon and actually cut official interest […]
Federal Reserve keeps rates steady, Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) shoots up The US Federal Reserve’s January monetary policy statement was dovish and this provided further impetus to the Aussie dollar after release of the CPI data. The key words are as follows: ‘In light of global economic and financial developments and muted inflation pressures, the […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) at key resistance breakout zone AUD/USD has been pushing upwards, with the pair rising into trendline resistance. The creation of a higher low this week provides half the bullish story, with a break through the $0.7204 resistance level providing confirmation of that bullish outlook. Look at the $0.7204-$0.7235 zone of resistance, where […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) showing little reaction to the NAB Business Confidence report The Australian Dollar is trading slightly higher early Tuesday, recovering from earlier weakness. Traders are showing little reaction to the NAB Business Confidence report which came in unchanged from the previous month at 3. There has also been little reaction to renewed […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) fails to hang onto gains The Australian dollar initially tried to rally for the Monday session, but we have turned around near the 0.72 level, which of course is a major round figure as of late and is the beginning of significant resistance extending to the 0.7250 level. Beyond that, the 200 […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) showing signs of further weakness The Australian dollar initially tried to rally during the trading session on Thursday, and even pierced the 50 day EMA. By doing so, we rolled over and broke down below the 0.71 level during the day, showing signs of further weakness. However we have bounced just a […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) keeps on declining AUD/USD continued its downward move yesterday, providing further evidence that global risk appetite is waning. A rally off the lows yesterday is faltering at $0.714, creating a lower high. Further declines target $0.712 and then $0.709. Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways. The projected upper bound is: 0.72. […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Weak Global Economic Forecasts Weighing on Aussie The Australian and New Zealand Dollars are trading lower on Tuesday in reaction to concerns over data showing China’s economy slowed sharply in 2018 and weakening global growth. The lack of fresh developments over U.S.-China trade relations could also be weighing on the Aussie […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) at risk of another break lower AUD/USD has been on the rise throughout the beginning of 2019, although the past week has seen the pair drift lower in what could be a topping pattern. The wider trend in AUD/USD is bearish, and thus until we break through the $7393 level, there is […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) tone changed from short-term bullish to short-term bearish The tone changed from short-term bullish to short-term bearish last week when U.S. Treasury yields started to rise. This helped make the U.S. Dollar a more attractive investment. Yields are being boosted by increased demand for risky assets tied to the optimism over […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) finds support The Australian dollar initially pulled back a bit during the trading session on Thursday, dipping slightly below the 50 day EMA. However, we bounced slightly, and I think this is indicative of what we are going to see, a slow and gentle grind lower. This isn’t necessarily an indictment on […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Westpac Consumer Sentiment shows deterioration in sentiment The Australian Dollar took a steep fall in the Westpac Consumer Sentiment index in its stride Wednesday but selling the Antipodean currency is still a “top ten” investment idea for the 2019 year, according to analysts at DBS Bank who see the Reserve Bank of Australia having to delay any […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) stalls ahead of resistance below 0.73 The Australian Dollar mounted a spirited recovery after briefly spiking to a ten-year low against its US counterpart. The advance has paused to consolidate below minor resistance at 0.7247. A daily close above this barrier opens the door for a test of the December swing […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) fresh concerns about the global economy The Australian dollar eased on Monday as fresh concerns about the global economy resurfaced. The main theme of the session was a weak Chinese trade report for December with imports and exports suffering the largest year-ended decline since the second half of 2016, raising renewed concern about […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) main trend is down The main trend is down according to the daily swing chart. However, momentum is trending higher. The main trend will change to up on a trade through .7247. The minor trend is up. This move triggered the shift in momentum to up. The main range is .7394 […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) advances on rivals after China notes trade war “progress” The Australian Dollar was rose broadly Thursday in response to claims the U.S. and China are moving close toward a deal that will end the “trade war” between the two, which came ahead of retail sales figures for November. Chinese officials said […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rises broadly even after disappointing November trade data The Australian Dollar advanced against most rivals Tuesday even after official data revealed a steep fall in the nation’s trade surplus for November, and is likely to remain on its front foot over the coming weeks according to Westpac. Australia’s goods trade surplus fell from […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) records lower than expected November trade surplus of $1.9 billion The Australian Bureau of Statistics figures reveal Australia’s November trade surplus of $1.9 billion was lower than expected.Australia exported $1.9 billion more than last month, down from a $2 billion surplus in October. According to ABS figures, in trend terms, the […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) recovery seen in the Aussie dollar After plunging to as low as .6730 on Thursday, the lowest level since early 2009, the AUD/USD surged on Friday, helped by a raft of positive headlines that sparked short-covering from traders. “If ever there was a case of a currency going from zero to […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) short term bottom is in place AUD/USD spiked lower to 0.6722 last week but recovered strongly since then. The strength of the rebound suggests a short term bottom is in place. Intraday bias remains on the upside this week for further rebound. On the downside, break of 0.7015 minor support will […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) 2019 Australia is about to feel the bite from decades of socialism. Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards. The projected upper bound is: 0.76. The projected lower bound is: 0.59. The projected closing price is: 0.70. Candlesticks A big black candle occurred. This is bearish, as prices closed significantly lower […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) waiting for next breakdown AUD/USD has been trading within a relatively flat range over the past two trading days, in what looks like a very similar pattern to those seen in recent weeks. On prior occasions these sideways consolidation patterns provide a precursor to another downside sell-off. Thus, the expectation is that […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) sensitive to the US/China trade relations Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards. By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 0.72. The projected upper bound is: 0.72. The projected lower bound is: 0.69. The projected closing price is: 0.71. Candlesticks A black body occurred (because prices closed lower […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) solid jobs growth in November, higher unemployment rate The Australian Dollar was a notable underperformer Thursday after solid labour market statistics proved unable to arrest a decline sparked by the ongoing concerns about the housing and global financial markets. The Aussie is a proxy for global investor sentiment so when markets […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) remains under pressure The Australian dollar fell against most of the major crosses again on Tuesday, weighed down by another plunge in crude oil prices. The US Federal Reserve will announce its December interest rate decision today. Markets are 70% priced for a 25 basis point hike. China’s three-day Central Economic […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) expected to show a more modest increase in jobs in November Australia publishes its jobs report for November on Thursday, 00:30 GMT. The Land Down Under enjoyed a robust rate of jobs growth in October: no less then 32.8K positions were added to the economy, exceeding what had been expected and […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) investors will be interested in how the Fed views future rate hikes The Australian and New Zealand Dollars finished lower last week on renewed concerns about China’s economy. For much of the week, investors were in consolidation mode as positive news emanated from the on-going trade talks between the United States […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) global trade war continues to weigh on risk appetite The Australian dollar sagged late in the week, as it fell to an 8-week low on Friday. Australia releases key employment indicators. In the U.S, the Fed is expected to raise rates, and we’ll get a look at U.S Final GDP for the third […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) still under pressure but a break of 0.7130 would come as a surprise AUD traded within a relatively narrow range between 0.7185 and 0.7225 yesterday and registered an ‘inside day’. The price action offers no fresh clue and we continue to hold the view the recent sharp decline in AUD is […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) higher on Wednesday in response to Trump’s comments on Huawei Huawei CFO has been granted bail by Justice William Ehrcke on Tuesday. Meng Wanzhou will be subject to monitoring, a curfew and other strict conditions to adhere to bail conditions. President Donald Trump said he would intervene in the Huawei case […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rallied towards the top of the shooting star The Australian dollar rallied towards the top of the shooting star from the Monday session, which of course is a sign of strength. However, there is a certain amount of resistance above there that should continue to cause issues, so I would not […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) RBA extended its record-breaking run The Australian and New Zealand Dollars are trading higher on Tuesday, following the release of the RBA Rate Statement. At 0349 GMT, the AUD/USD is trading .7369, up 0.0011 or +0.15% and the NZD/USD is at .6961, up 0.0032 or +0.45%. The Reserve Bank of Australia […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) expected to move higher to 0.7410 We have held the same view since last Thursday (29 Nov, spot at 0.7305) wherein the “the prospect of 0.7199 as a short-term bottom is quite high). We added, “confirmation of a short-term bottom is only upon a clear break above 0.7335/40”. AUD blast past […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) has entered a period of tighter credit Australia has entered a period of tighter credit, as regulators look to bring down reliance on the housing market. The Royal Commission has made this scenario worse, as banks under intense spotlight retreat from the public eye. Australians have considerable wealth stored in housing […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) strong gains against most major currencies The Australian dollar surged on Wednesday as doubts about the pace of rate hikes from the US Federal Reserve resurfaced. After doing very little for the majority of the session, the AUD/USD jackknifed higher in North American trade, fueled by remarks from US Federal Reserve […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Claws Back Losses as Iron Ore Prices Rise The Australian Dollar US Dollar (AUD/USD) exchange rate has been volatile over the past twenty-four hours, and is currently trading at a rate of $0.7234 with the ‘Aussie’ making an attempt to push back against the ‘Greenback’. Tuesday saw iron ore spot markets […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Short-term top in place AUD traded in a quiet manner over the past couple of days and there is no change to our view as highlighted last Wednesday (21 Nov, spot at 0.7215). As indicated, the 0.7338 high on 16 Nov is deemed as a short-term top and AUD is expected […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) struggled to stay above the 0.7250 level The Australian dollar kicked off the week very positively, breaking towards the 0.73 level. However, by the time the Americans came on board it was already rolling over and showing signs of exhaustion above the 0.7250 level. Because of this, I think it’s only […]
Australia: USD/AUD (AUD=X) retreated from the highs as global stock markets were on the back foot The Australian dollar retreated from the highs as global stock markets were on the back foot once again. Capital expenditure, Chinese PMI’s, and the G-20 meetings stand out. Here are the highlights of the week and an updated technical […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) quiet day expected The Australian dollar rebounded on Wednesday after a shellacking a session earlier, helped by an improvement in investor risk appetite. Light volumes and position squaring ahead of Thanksgiving in the States largely explain the move given an absence of major news during the session. After beginning trade at […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) retraces into Fibonacci support after recent breakout AUD/USD is turning higher from the 76.4% retracement, following a recent breakout through $0.7315 resistance. That break negates the wider bearish outlook, pointing towards a potential period of upside. With that in mind, the respect of the 76.4% retracement level at $0.7205 points towards a […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) concerns over the economy The Australian Dollar retreated from three-month highs Tuesday after a sell-off in international stocks that sent a frosty wind through currency markets. Stock markets in the U.S. and Asia slumped late in the Monday session after the National Association of Home Builders (NAHB) Housing Market index posted […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) breaks through key resistance level AUD/USD has managed to break through a crucial area of resistance, with the rally above $0.7315 pointing towards an end to the downtrend in play throughout 2018 so far. With that in mind, further upside looks likely, with a bullish short-term outlook in play unless we see […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) enjoying an upbeat jobs report and a focus on others’ troubles The Australian dollar stabilized on higher ground, enjoying an upbeat jobs report and a focus on others’ troubles. The Reserve Bank of Australia stands out in the upcoming week. Here are the highlights of the week and an updated technical analysis for AUD/USD. […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) sweeps higher after solid labour market report draws bid The Australian Dollar swept higher against all rivals Thursday after official data showed the Antipodean labour market going from strength-to-strength in October, but some analysts are warning that things might already be about as good as they are likely to get for […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) downside likely after overnight retracement AUD/USD managed to regain some ground following a fall below the $0.7182 swing low. That break below $0.7182 means that the upside we have been seeing is likely to be a retracement of the $0.73-$0.7164 sell-off, before we turn lower once more. However, with price the heading […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) trade tensions ease again The Australian dollar is rocketing higher in Asian trade, boosted by signs of a continued thawing in trade tensions between the United States and China. According to the South China Morning Post, Chinese vice-premier Liu He will travel to the United States ahead of the G20 leaders […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) further strength to 0.7315 Despite overall positive indications, AUD has not been able to make much headway on the upside. It touched a high of 0.7303 last Thursday (08 Nov) but has since eased off. For now, we continue to see a chance for AUD to test the strong 0.7315 resistance. […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) Australia’s jobs report and wage data stand out The Australian dollar enjoyed a second consecutive week, but the rally met its limits. What’s next? Australia’s jobs report and wage data stand out. Here are the highlights of the week and an updated technical analysis for AUD/USD. The Reserve Bank of Australia […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) positive outlook to come the SoMP The AUD/USD is trading just below the major level at 0.7300, after a sharp run-up from where we’ve been recently. We traded nearly at the 0.7000 level, but since that point, the buyers have come thick and fast. The channel that we have been in […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) continues to regain ground AUD/USD has turned higher once more, despite the initial respect of the 76.4% Fibonacci resistance. The long-term downtrend remains intact unless we see a break through the $0.7315 swing high. However, with the price having broken through both trendline and now Fibonacci resistance, we are increasingly seeing a wider […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) struggling as fears of an escalation in the trade war continue The Australian dollar has rallied over the last several days, reaching towards a major downtrend line and coinciding with the 0.7250 level, an area that I think will be rather stringent and difficult to break above. If we do, that’s […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) weakens from Fibonacci resistance AUD/USD rallied into the 76.4% retracement last week, with the pair moving lower since. The trendline breakout seen recently points towards a possible bullish reversal for this pair, yet we would need to see a move above $0.7315 to provide greater credence to that idea. Until then, it […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) out of the downtrend The news saw the AUD/USD break convincingly out of the downtrend it had been stuck in since late January this year, extending its rally over the past week to 3.4%. However, that move quickly reversed in the second half of the session as a combination of a […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) trade surplus surges, lifts fundamental value The Australian Dollar rose broadly Thursday after official data revealed a sharp increase in the nation’s trade surplus during September, providing a tailwind to a currrency that is also being boosted by a series of positive developments in China. Australia’s trade surplus rose to $3.02 […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) weakens after eighth consecutive inflation disappointment The Australian Dollar stumbled Wednesday after an eighth consecutive inflation disappointment vindicated the market for its pessimism about the outlook for interest rates down under, and as data suggested the Chinese economy is beginning to creak under the pressure of U.S. tariffs. Australian inflation rose […]
Australia: USD/AUD (AUD=X) could break down rather drastically I believe that the 0.70 level underneath is going to continue to be a crucial level to pay attention to. The large come around, psychologically significant figure giving way to selling pressure could open the door to the 0.68 handle, which is a longer-term level of importance […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) focus will be on US employment data The AUD/USD is tested the important 0.7040 level late in the week, and price certainly rejected the lows. The major level at 0.7000 went untouched as price quickly pulled back into the range. The weakness in the USD was clearly the driver for the […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) busy week includes inflation and retail sales The Australian dollar suffered from the global sell-off in stocks and the accompanying risk-off sentiment. What’s next? A busy week includes inflation and retail sales among other figures. Here are the highlights of the week and an updated technical analysis for AUD/USD. RBA officials did not rock […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) trade with downward bias There is not much to add to yesterday’s (23 Oct, spot at 0.7080) update. As highlighted, “the prospect for a break of the year-to-date low of 0.7041 has increased, albeit not by much”. AUD subsequently dipped to a 2-week low of 0.7056 before rebounding quickly to end […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) looking set for further downside AUD/USD has been rebounding overnight, following on from another intraday fall. With the current candle looking to complete a bearish and engulfing candlestick formation, there is a good chance we will see the pair turn lower from here. Whether or not this marks the top for this […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) weakens following Wentworth election result The Australian Dollar has endured a soft start to the week after the government lost a one-seat majority in parliament and as the U.S. criticised China’s response to efforts at de-escalating the so called trade war between the world’s two largest economies. Australia’s ruling coalition lost […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rebound looks unlikely to last AUD/USD came close to breaking from the recent trend of lower highs and lower lows on Friday, with the rally back into the $0.7151 level greeted with a strong move into the $0.7088 swing low. As such, this current rally is expected to fail once again, with […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) trader reaction to the short-term Fibonacci level at .7101 A strong short-covering rally on Friday helped the Australian Dollar eke out a small gain ahead of the week-end. The rebound was fueled by a recovery in China. Greater China markets posted a strong comeback on Friday, following a series of measures […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) wedge breakdown points to further downside AUD/USD looks to have broken down from its recent rising wedge pattern, with the break below $0.7112 providing a signal of potential impending downside from here. An impressive fall in unemployment helped the pair rebound overnight, yet this has simply found resistance on the ascending trendline. […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) upside unlikely to last AUD/USD has been gaining ground over the past week, with a rising wedge coming into play. That is a bearish pattern, pointing towards a possible breakdown before long. Given the wider downtrend in play, such a breakdown would be consistent with the primary long-term trend. Thus, watch for […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) support at 0.7100 ASX Downside: To be fair, there are some considerable headwinds for Australian investors that may preclude them from behaving in the same fashion as their US or even European counterparts. The banks look ugly now – less so the hard numbers, but more from the superficial perspective that their […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rebound could provide selling opportunity AUD/USD is regaining ground, following the failure to create a new low below $0.7044. The peak of $0.7131 remains a key level to overcome if the pair is going to regain further ground. However, such upside would look likely to provide yet another selling opportunity from either […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) tiptoes higher AUD/USD’s march lower seen over the past few months has stalled over the previous week, but the recovery has been modest at best. The first upside level to watch is $0.716, followed by the still-intact downtrend line from January, which suggests resistance around $0.72. Overall, the bias in prices is: […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) risk aversion realized The trade is so far doing ok as risk aversion realized. But we’ve overestimated the strength in Dollar. Still, the price actions from 0.7040 to 0.7130 are corrective looking, which reinforces our bearish view. For now, we’ll keep the stop at 0.7185, slightly above 50% retracement of 0.7314 […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) starts to reverse lower yet again AUD/USD has been attempting to regain some ground following on from the consistent decline of recent weeks. However, the recovery is looking like it could come under pressure should this bearish engulfing pattern complete. Such a bearish closed candle would provide greater confidence that we are […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) growing dissent within the Federal Reserve AUD/USD extends the rebound from earlier this week as there appears to be a growing dissent within the Federal Reserve, and recent price action raises the risk for a large recovery as the exchange rate initiates a series of higher highs & lows. Even though […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) downturn continues following key breakdown AUD/USD has been gradually slowing in its decline, following on from a break below the key $0.7085 support level. That slowdown highlights the possibility of a rebound to begin retracing this recent decline from $0.7315. However, for now it looks likely we will see further downside, with […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) down to new 2018 lows ANZ Job Advertisements: Monday, 00:30. This gauge of Australian employment precedes the official jobs report released by the government. The number of job advertisements dropped by 0.6% in August and we may see a bounce in September. NAB Business Confidence: Tuesday, 00:30. The National Australia Bank’s […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) lurches lower The downtrend continues here for AUD/USD, a lower high at $0.73 having worked out beautifully for the bears. The price is currently testing the $0.7484 low from mid-September, and further declines below this bring $0.6973 and then $0.6828 into play. Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards. The projected upper […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) big miss in building approvals For those that don’t follow the Australian economy closely, we’ve seen a big housing boom. That is now well and truly over and there are many calling for a crash. Real estate is a big part of the Australian economy and wealth in general. Tighter lending […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) reversing lower off SMA resistance AUD/USD is declining yet again, with the price having respected the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) on the four-hour chart time and time again. This latest move adds greater credence to the sell-off that started at the 76.4% retracement of $0.7312. The wider downtrend remains intact, and […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) drifting lower after recent retracement AUD/USD has been turning lower from the 76.4% retracement, with the pair looking likely to continue towards the downside. The Friday rally into the $0.7236 swing low, alongside the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) on the four-hour chart, provided another turn lower. As such, watch out for […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) retreats from recent highs The Australian Dollar outlook remains “mildly bearish” amid a deteriorated environment for so-called risk assets, according to analysts at Australia & New Zealand Banking Group (ANZ), who say the Antipodean will remain at the mercy of global market sentiment during the weeks ahead. With the Reserve Bank of Australia sitting […]
Australian: USD/AUD (AUD=X) turning lower from trendline resistance AUD/USD is turning lower once more this morning, following yet another rebound into trendline resistance. There is a strong chance that we will see another move lower from here to continue the wider bearish trend. However, a break below $0.7236 would provide us with a greater degree of confidence […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) global relief rally saw traders pour back into riskier assets The Australian Dollar lived up to its reputation as the risk-proxy of choice for traders during this trade war, selling off to as low as 0.7150 in the lead-up to US President Trump’s announcement of the latest round of US tariffs […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) gaps lower from trendline resistance AUD/USD has started the week in bearish fashion, with the price gapping lower after hitting trendline resistance on Friday morning. With the price having moved into the four-hour simple moving average (SMA), alongside the swing low from Thursday, a break below that $0.7254 level will dictate the […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) risks to its outlook from U.S.-China trade tensions The Australian Dollar, a proxy of China-related trades as well as gauge of risk sentiment, climbed to a three-week high last week. It also produced its biggest weekly advance in 14 months. Additionally, S&P Global Ratings revised its outlook on triple-A rated Australia […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) breaking through some relatively difficult resistance The Australian dollar has rallied again during the day on Wednesday, breaking through some relatively difficult resistance at the 0.7250 line. Perhaps it is the idea that the Chinese are starting to soften their stance a bit, or maybe it’s just a simple reflexive bounce […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) received a boost from an increase in risk appetite The Australian Dollar received a boost from an increase in risk appetite last week, on the back of what were at the time easing trade war tensions and better than expected employment figures. While the global growth outlooked has soured with the […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) rallies despite macro backdrop AUD/USD continues to demonstrate notable strength despite getting no help from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the fresh round of trade wars that broke out last night. It is still in a firm downtrend, but a rebound towards $0.73 now looks possible. A close back below […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) re-testing recent lows Rising US bond yields looks likely to underpin US Dollar strength in the medium to long term. The greenback fell over the course of last week’s trade, primarily due to rallies in the Pound and Euro on the back of easing Brexit fears, along with upbeat assessments from […]
Australian Dollar: USD/AUD (AUD=X) trade truce is probably temporary Australia enjoyed a gain of 44K jobs in August, nearly triple the expectations. Another boost to the Aussie came from the trade war front. The US has not imposed new tariffs on China and negotiations have resumed. Do the talks have a fair chance? This is […]