$RUTX $RUT $SML $SPY $SPX Small cap stocks had best month in about 10 yrs and if history is a guide it may signal a broader market rally. Small-cap stocks are the focus in Q-2 as a Key indicator of the health of the broader stock market rally, after marking their best monthly performance in […]
Shayne and I expect to see an increase in risk-on exposures as money managers are now positioning for a slowing rate of coronavirus contagion growth. Despite the buying by some aggressively Bullish hedge funds, macro hedge funds, which place bets on macroeconomic trends using index, currency and interest rate strategies, are still sellers. So, now […]
$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX We see lots of Sell-side research and analysis (taking a contrarian POV) daily, and over the years certain equity strategists have made some very good calls. On 19 March in the midst of what was some of the most brutal, high-velocity machine selling ever, Barry Bannister and his team at […]
$DIA $SPY As Wall Street extended its deep sell-off Wednesday over fears about the coronavirus, the DJIA effectively erased the last of the sizeable gains it made under President Trump, 3 years to build, 1 month to tear down. At Wednesday’s close, the DJIA was up just 0.4% from where it was on 20 January […]
$SPY The S&P 500 has seen the best June performance since Y 1955, and now into the 2nd week of July investors are anxious to see whether earnings can justify further gains as the largest US companies open their books in the coming weeks, as Q-2 earnings season is on us. The profit picture for […]
$SPY, $BLK In a report, the majority of BlackRock Inc.’s (NYSE:BLK) Top decision-makers had a simple conclusion after gathering in London last week: A supportive backdrop for risk assets probably has “room to run” for at least 12 more months. Senior leadership at the world’s largest asset manager cited easy monetary policies and few signs […]
The S&P 500 & DJIA Hit Record Highs, Then Faded a Bit $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Tuesday, the DJIA and the S&P posted small losses after posting new records as support from technology stocks offset weakness in the healthcare and materials sectors. Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) pared gains after rising as much as 1.91% to an all-time […]
Shiller, “Don’t Sell Stocks Because of High Valuations” $SPY Yale Economist Robert Shiller advises savvy investors not to give into temptation to dump your stocks just because valuations are high. “If I was giving you advice: Do nothing. Don’t pull out. Don’t go in,” the Nobel laureate economist said on TV. Investors are dialing back […]
Some of the Best Plays for Risk Adverse Investors Now $VFIAX, $FUSEX, $SPY Many investors do not want to take any non-market risk in specific stocks or even in specific sectors. That leads them into the S&P 500 mutual funds or ETFs. The Big Q: What S&P 500 Index fund is the best? Below is […]
Trump Rally Extends, ‘Sidelined’ Money Coming Back In $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX All 3 indexes posted all-time highs, and all 11 major S&P sectors finished higher on the day US stocks rose to new record highs Tuesday, boosted by strong earnings reports from Wal-Mart and other retailers and continued optimism about the economic agenda of President […]
Evaluating the Long Term Value of Gold $GLD An oft cited negative about Gold is the inability for investors to value it, unlike stocks and bonds. A company’s revenues and earnings can be forecast to arrive at a valuation multiple. A bond’s cash flows can be discounted to come up with a present value. Gold […]
US Long Dated Treasuries Up Signaling Rising Inflation $SPY Donald Trump’s victory in the US Presidential race is driving mutual fund managers out of dividend stocks and into the shares of financial, industrial and materials companies that benefit from rising inflation. Although inflation remains subdued by most measures, US longer-dated Treasury yields rose Thursday to […]
S&P 500 Losing Streak Longest in Over 30 yrs Augurs Trump Win $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The S&P 500 Index extended its longest losing streak in more than 30 years, as data bolstered speculation interest rates will rise before year-end and investors cautious ahead of US Presidential election. Stocks faded in afternoon trading as an […]
October Stock Market Events: The Panic of 1907, Crash of 1929, Black Monday 1987 $SPY October is also notable for this Key reason: the performance of Standard & Poor’s 500-stock index from 31 July to 31 October has a way of predicting the Winner of the Presidential election. Tte pattern is solid, as shown in […]
US Technology Companies Outperformed Since June $AAPL, $GOOG, $MSFT, $DB US technology companies have outperformed since June, beating the S&P 500 Index by the biggest margin since the Bull Market began on 9 March 2009. Their influence lifted the broad market to the 4h straight Quarterly gainer and its biggest of Y 2016, with the […]
US Fed “Mastering the Art of Market Manipulation” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Ace bond investor Bill Gross ramped up his criticism of the US Fed Wednesday, characterizing its Chairwoman Janet Yellen and her predecessors and contemporaries at other central banks of mastering “the Art of Market Manipulation.” Mr. Gross writes: “All have mastered the Art […]
The Week Ahead on Wall Street $BF.B, $CRM, $AVGO, $CPB, $HRB There are only 5 members of the S&P 500 scheduled to report earnings this week, they are: Brown-Forman Corp. (NYSE:BF.B) and Salesforce.com (NYSE:CRM) Wednesday, and Broadcom (NASDAQ:AVGO), Campbell Soup Co. (NYSE:CPB) and H&R Block (NYSE:HRB) Thursday. Economic reports The week’s 1st notable economic report […]
The Week Ahead on Wall Street $DIS Just 25 members of the S&P 500 will report this week. The only DJIA component will be The Walt Disney Co. (NYSE:DIS), which will report Tuesday. Commentary Walt Disney Co. (NYSE:DIS) will share its most recent Quarterly results Tuesday. The consensus EPS of 1.61 and $14.15-B in revenue. […]
The S&P 500 (SPX) Chart Analysis (Daily) $SPX Unitl Thursday, the consolidation pattern remained inside of the uptrend channel from Y 1992, but then it started to trade outside of the lower channel line (dashed line). Friday made a new high, a new trend line has been drawn. If this is a break-out, there should […]
In an Uncertain World S&P 500 Post Record Highs $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Friday the S&P 500 Index marked a new record, as investors showed confidence corporate earnings will not derail a rally that finished its 4th week running. The S&P 500 rose 0.5 percent to 2,175.03 at 4:30p in New York, its 7th all-time […]
The US “Earnings Recession” is Not Registering with Investors $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The US earnings recession should be dampening the 7-year-old Bull Market, but it is not registering with investors. Quarterly profits in the S&P 500 Index are about to fall yet again, extending a streak of declines poised to match the longest earnings […]
Hollywood’s Big Media Stocks Took a Beating YTD $LGF, $TWTR, $NFLX, $IMAX More than 50% of the 50 stocks tracked fell short of the S&P 500 in the year’s 1-H. Hollywood’s big media stocks took a beating during the 1-H of the year, but the declines could have been much worse if some major companies […]
The S&P 500 Closed Out its 3rd Straight Quarter in the Green $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX, $HSY, $MDLZ Wall Street marked a 3rd straight day of gainers Thursday as the BOE raised the prospect of a Summer stimulus and consumer staples shares rose on news of Mondelez International’s (NASDAQ:MDLZ) $23-B bid for Hershey (NYSE:HSY). The […]
30 More Company Stocks Join S&P’s 52 Wk Low Club $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Wall Street stock indexes extended the fall for their worst 2-day decliner in about 10 months. The 3 major market indexes fell at least 1.5% in the wake of Thursday’s UK referendum that has roiled global markets and led investors to […]
Wedesday’s Technical Outlook for DJIA (.DJI) $DIA, $DJI Wall Street finished lower to mixed Tuesday, as the DJIA fell 86 pts, or 0.48%, to close at 17,787.13, the S&P 500 Index lost 2 pts, or 0.10%, to end at 2,096.96, and the NAS Comp finished up 14 pts to 4,948.05. All 3 of the US […]
A Stock Market History Lesson $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ Going back to Y 1929, the S&P 500, excluding dividends, has been unchanged on the year just 5 times; Y’s 1947, 1948, 1970, 2011, and 2015. Meaning, the success rate of hold a Neutral stance on the market in the 86 years between Y’s 1929 and 2015 […]
The AAII Sentiment Survey for the Frame Ended 25 May 2016 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The AAII Investor Sentiment Survey measures the percentage of individual investors who are Bullish, Bearish, and Neutral on the US stock market for the next 6 months, Individual members are polled from the ranks of the AAII membership weekly. Just […]
Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, Bulls Vs Bears, Support & Resistance $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The bulk of earnings are finished, The Walt Disney Company (NYSE:DIS) is the only DJIA component that reports this week. It is May, and the time when may Wall Street traders are getting ready to head for vacations, lot […]