Trillions on the Sidelines Will Come Back Chasing Returns

Trillions on the Sidelines Will Come Back Chasing Returns

$SPY Investors understand the current market chaos was not presaged by fundamental economic issues, like the US mortgage crisis in the recession of Y 2008. But the uncertainty that is being cast about what turns the coronavirus might take, and the implications that could have for the economy and markets, have left the moneyed class […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street (Risk On Update)

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street (Risk On Update)

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX About 20% of S&P 500 members reported earnings this week, and on balance they have beaten expectations. That has persuaded investors US companies are weathering the trade storm and reminded them slowing global growth is not the same as no global growth, or Risk On! Stay tuned… The Big Qs: […]

Cash is King, Retail Investors Nervous Ahead of Summer

Cash is King, Retail Investors Nervous Ahead of Summer

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Cash is King for investors heading into Summer Increasing a cash buffer is typical during times of economic and geopolitical uncertainty. But data from global wealth managers show that stashing cash has continued at unusually high rates even as global stocks have rallied this year on conflicting signals […]

Investors Rotate to Cyclical Stocks to Extend this Bull Market

Investors Rotate to Cyclical Stocks to Extend this Bull Market

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: This Bull market has more room to Run, retail investors still on the sidelines. As investors bet on strong returns in cyclical sectors, they are also confident that US stocks at large will continue their historic Bull run. That run could be extended, we believe, as investors who remain […]

Hedge Fund Money Not Chasing This Stock Rally

Hedge Fund Money Not Chasing This Stock Rally

$SPY The data reveals that hedge fund money has not been chasing the January late December – January rally in US stocks. It is on the sidelines. According to Macro Risk Advisors, these big-money managers are acting much more like it is the aftermath of the Y 2008 financial crisis than the relatively low-volatility environment […]

This Market Could Be Saying ‘Buy in May’

This Market Could Be Saying ‘Buy in May’

This Market Could Be Saying ‘Buy in May’ $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX An “upside-down” market may bode well for U.S. stocks, according to JPMorgan (NYSE:JPM). Established patterns look to be off in here, as bonds and equities move in tandem, stock prices climb along with volatility, shares fall despite strong earnings, and money flowed out […]

A Stock Market History Lesson

A Stock Market History Lesson

A Stock Market History Lesson $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ Going back to Y 1929, the S&P 500, excluding dividends, has been unchanged on the year just 5 times; Y’s 1947, 1948, 1970, 2011, and 2015.  Meaning, the success rate of hold a Neutral stance on the market in the 86 years between Y’s 1929 and 2015 […]