Fed’s Balance Sheet is in the Trillions, Rate Cut Signals No Further Shrinking

Fed’s Balance Sheet is in the Trillions, Rate Cut Signals No Further Shrinking

The Fed is widely expected to reduce interest rates late this month. That probably means its campaign to shrink its balance sheet is over, leaving the central bank with trillions of dollars more than before the Y 2008 financial crisis. Beginning a decade ago in a bid to fight the Great Recession, the Fed by […]

S&P 500 Flat to Little Changed Ahead of FOMC’s Policy Decision

S&P 500 Flat to Little Changed Ahead of FOMC’s Policy Decision

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The latest fund manager survey from Bank of America showed the allocation to equities is at its lowest since September 2016 indicating that managed money missed the 2019 rally and will have to play catch up soon. The S&P 500 advanced 0.7% Tuesday, on Dovish expectations ahead of the […]

Expect Fed to Signal No Rate Hikes Anytime Soon

Expect Fed to Signal No Rate Hikes Anytime Soon

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Cyclical sectors outperformed, follow-through buying interest came in on no new catalysts. Boeing (NYSE:BA) and Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) extend losses on familiar story lines Patience is the FOMC’s focus now, signaling that it went too far last year with its 4 rate hikes, so no interest rate hikes likely soon. […]

The FOMC Minutes, What They Mean

The FOMC Minutes, What They Mean

FLASH: The Trump Policy at Work for Americans The Key takeaways from the FOMC Minutes from the 29-30 January meeting, as follows: There was widespread agreement for the FOMC to end shrinkage of the $4-T balance sheet by the end of the year. The timetable ends uncertainty over whether shedding assets would further tighten financial conditions. The […]

Fed Policymakers Voice Patience on Future Rate Hikes, Rally Extends

Fed Policymakers Voice Patience on Future Rate Hikes, Rally Extends

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Chicago Fed President Charles Evans (FOMC voter) expects rate hikes to continue, adding that the Fed can show some patience before resuming rate hikes. Boston Fed President (FOMC voter) Eric Rosengren does not rule out changes to the pace of balance sheet reduction on a slowdown. Fed policymakers said last […]

FOMC Schedules Asset “Normalization” as Expected

FOMC Schedules Asset “Normalization” as Expected

FOMC Schedules Asset “Normalization” as Expected Federal Reserve officials set an October start for shrinking their $4.5-T of assets, moving to unwind a pillar of their crisis-era support for the economy. FOMC forecasts 1 more interest-rate hike later this year, saying storm damage will have a temporary impact on the economy. “Hurricanes Harvey, Irma and […]

Rebuilding After Hurricanes Will Boost US Economy

Rebuilding After Hurricanes Will Boost US Economy

Rebuilding After Hurricanes Will Boost US Economy $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Federal Reserve Bank of New York President William Dudley said back-to-back hurricanes in Q-3 will  lead to increased economic activity over the long run despite any tragic consequences. The storms could (will) influence the timing of the next interest-rate increase, although above-trend growth does […]

Aggressive Fed Could Upset Markets, Gold is the Hedge

Aggressive Fed Could Upset Markets, Gold is the Hedge

Aggressive Fed Could Upset Markets, Gold is the Hedge $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX, $GLD, $SLV The mins from this month’s FOMC meeting outline an aggressive agenda that may upset financial markets in the months ahead. Fed officials said the plan is cautious, and stocks rallied on the news. The Big Q: How safe should participants […]

Fed Minutes: FOMC Eyes Change to Debt Holdings Policy Ahead

Fed Minutes: FOMC Eyes Change to Debt Holdings Policy Ahead

Fed Minutes: FOMC Eyes Change to Debt Holdings Policy Ahead $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Most FOMC policymakers think the Fed should take steps to begin trimming its $4.5-T balance sheet later this year as long as the economic data holds up, minutes from their March meeting revealed. Uncertainty is substantial, the Fed said, comment on […]