S&P 500 Marks 5th Week of Gains, as Wall Street Hits New Records

S&P 500 Marks 5th Week of Gains, as Wall Street Hits New Records

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Friday, the 3 major US stock market indexes posted record closing highs and the S&P 500 registered a 5th straight week of gainers as investors brushed aside worries over the progress of US-China trade talks and as Walt Disney shares rose. The Cboe volatility index .VIX posted its lowest closing […]

Americans Buy ‘Made in the USA’, Stocks Surge

Americans Buy ‘Made in the USA’, Stocks Surge

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The DJIA and S&P 500 notched record closing highs again Thursday, as President Trump continues to cheer as the market continues to charge higher into record territory. “Stock Markets (all three) hit another ALL TIME & HISTORIC HIGH yesterday! You are sooo lucky to have me as your President (just kidding!). […]

The US Stock Market Finished Flat to Little Changed

The US Stock Market Finished Flat to Little Changed

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The stock market closed flat to little changed Wednesday, marking the 2nd straight day for the Bull’s pause to refresh near record highs. The S&P 500 (+0.1%), DJIA (unch), and NAS Comp (-0.3%) closed within 0.3% of their flat lines, the Russell 2000 (-0.6%) lagged. Wednesday, the DJIA -0.07 at 27492.60, NAS Comp -24.05 at 8410.63, S&P 500 […]

“Trade War Naysayers Must Apologize”

“Trade War Naysayers Must Apologize”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX S&P 500 sets new intraday and closing records DJIA +132.66 at 27090.72, NAS Comp +82.87 at 8325.99, S&P 500 +16.87 at 3039.42 Volume: Trade on the NYSE came at 777-M/shares exchanged The S&P 500 set new record highs Monday, increasing 0.6% as trade sentiment remained upbeat and investors reacted positively to corporate news. The NAS Comp (+1.0%) and […]

Paul Ebeling’s DC Commentary: “Investors Ignoring Trump Impeachment ‘Noise'”

Paul Ebeling’s DC Commentary: “Investors Ignoring Trump Impeachment ‘Noise

$USD, $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The US Dem House’s impeachment focus is not even a distraction to the financial market, as nothing will or can come of it, as in the world of geopolitics something big happened at the weekend. Sunday, President Trump announced that Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, the leader of the so-called Islamic […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street (Risk On Update)

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street (Risk On Update)

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX About 20% of S&P 500 members reported earnings this week, and on balance they have beaten expectations. That has persuaded investors US companies are weathering the trade storm and reminded them slowing global growth is not the same as no global growth, or Risk On! Stay tuned… The Big Qs: […]

The Weekly Wrap Up

The Weekly Wrap Up

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Week in Review: Cyclical sectors lead S&P 500 back to record levels in earnings-driven advance The S&P 500 advanced for the 3rd week running, rising 1.2% and nearly setting new record highs as investors remained pleased with earnings reports.  The DJIA rose 0.7%, the NAS Comp rose 1.9%, and the […]

China Keeps Open Door Policy to FDI Despite Trade Dispute

China Keeps Open Door Policy to FDI Despite Trade Dispute

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 lost 0.4% Tuesday in a newsy session. Company-specific news contributed to outsized stock moves, but overall gainers in broader market had been nominal until a hiccup on the BREXIT issue dragged the major indices into the Red. The benchmark index closed at session lows below the 3000 […]

President Trump has China “Where He Wants Them on Trade” + Closing Market Summary

President Trump has China “Where He Wants Them on Trade” + Closing Market Summary

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Stock market guru, Jim Cramer said President Trump has the upper hand in the China trade distpute because tariffs are hurting the Chinese economy way more than the US economy. “Hate him or like him, he has them where he wants them,”  Mr. Cramer said on TV Friday. “I always […]

Signs Point to Weak NFPs Report, We Wait, We See…

Signs Point to Weak NFPs Report, We Wait, We See…

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US stocks recover from oversold condition, soft data boosts rate-cut expectations. The recent ADP job numbers suggest that employers are either having difficulty filling positions, are hiring fewer people due to weaker demand, or both. The lowest manufacturing jobs gauge since Y 2016. Slower private hiring. A sharp drop in […]

US Stocks Decline for a 2nd Day Running, EU Tariffs Loom

US Stocks Decline for a 2nd Day Running, EU Tariffs Loom

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $ESDAY, $VXX Wednesday’s US economic data included the ADP Employment Change report for September and the weekly MBA Mortgage Applications Index. The takeaways are as follows: Private-sector payrolls were estimated to have increased by 135,000 in September (consensus 150-K) while the prior month’s print was revised down to 157-K from 195,000. Private-sector […]

US Stocks Advanced for 3rd Quarter Running

US Stocks Advanced for 3rd Quarter Running

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USD, $USO, $GLD, $XAU, $VXX US stocks advanced for the 3rd Quarter running, as investors weighed the latest turns in the trade dispute between the world’s 2 largest economies. The USD rose and Treasuries moved higher. Tech drove the rise after The Trump Administration partially refuted a report it would target […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $GLD, $VXX Investing in this market successfully requires the creation of an investing strategy that outperforms the broader market. Consider, Factor Investing, it is not new, dating to the mid-1970’s, and has been boosted over the past few years from the acceptance of ETFs. Now, there is over $900-B invested in […]

President Trump Could Delist Chinese Companies From US Markets

President Trump Could Delist Chinese Companies From US Markets

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Friday, US financial markets suffered a trade-related happening on concern The Trump Administration may move to limit US investment in China, a move sure to raise tensions. The S&P 500 turned lower after it was reported that officials are discussing ways to restrict portfolio flows into the world’s 2nd-largest economy. […]

Understanding This Market Into the Q’s End

Understanding This Market Into the Q’s End

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX At the close: DJIA -142.22 at 26807.77, NAS Comp -118.84 at 7993.62, S&P 500 -25.18 at 2966.64 US stocks fell Tuesday, as investors shunned risk following a decline in consumer confidence, and a hard-lined speech from President Trump. The S&P 500 (-0.8%) and DJIA (-0.5%) declined less than 1%, while the NAS Composite (-1.5%) and Russell […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $GLD, $VXX SPECIAL REPORT: The Future of this Rally, what is Next? Thee DJIA futures are up a bit Sunday night, along with S&P 500 futures and NAS Comp futures. This stock market rally has stood negative headlines, but is not yet making a final push to record highs. Arguably, this […]

President Trump Has “Muscled” the Stock Market Away from the Fed

President Trump Has “Muscled” the Stock Market Away from the Fed

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USD, $VXX This week the Fed cut interest rates for the 2nd time since the Great Recession, and found its hands full with another event with potentially catastrophic implications for the economy. In short, liquidity in the repo markets, a critical cog in the financial system machine seized Tuesday. In response, […]

President Trump Hammers Fed’s Powell, “No Guts, No Sense, No Vision!”

President Trump Hammers Fed’s Powell, “No Guts, No Sense, No Vision!”

$DIA, $QQQ, $SPY, RUTX, $VXX President Trump Tweeted: “Fed, Powell ‘Fail Again’”After FOMC Rate Cut The Fed cut interest rates for the 2nd time since July, and it was not enough for President Trump. President Trump assailed policy makers just mins after their decision Wednesday to cut the benchmark interest rate by 25 bts. “Jay […]

Wall Street Nears Record Highs Ahead of FOMC Policy Announcement

Wall Street Nears Record Highs Ahead of FOMC Policy Announcement

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $$USO, $XAU, $GLD, $VXX S&P 500 closed higher in front of FOMC interest rate decision Wednesday 9 of the 11 S&P 500 sectors finished higher, led by the real estate (+1.4%), utilities (+0.9%), and materials (+0.7%) sectors. The energy (-1.5%) and industrials (-0.04%) sectors were the sectors to finish in the […]

What Will the Attack on Saudi Crude Oil Facilities Mean for Consumers?

What Will the Attack on Saudi Crude Oil Facilities Mean for Consumers?

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $OIL, $USO, $VXX Wall Street closed lower, Crude Oil prices spiked after attack in Saudi Arabia The attack knocked about 5.7-M BPD out of production, leading to the biggest 1-day gainer in WTI Crude Oil ($62.88/bbl, +$8.00, +14.6%) since Y 2008. Saudi Arabia expected to restore about 33% of lost production […]

The Market is Asking, “How low can the Fed go”?

The Market is Asking, “How low can the Fed go”?

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX With US-China trade tensions having roiled financial markets, investors are counting on support for stocks coming from a Fed willing to keep cutting interest rates to help the US economy avoid a severe downturn. A 1/4th pt rate reduction is expected when the FOMC issues its next policy statement this […]

Wall Street Finished Higher on Trade, ECB Stimulus for the 7th Session Running

Wall Street Finished Higher on Trade, ECB Stimulus for the 7th Session Running

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $SOY, $VXX US stocks extend rally on trade developments, ECB stimulus measures Tech gains led the S&P 500 and the NAS Comp higher, while financials gave the biggest boost to the blue-chip DJIA, which closed up for the 7th session running, its longest winning streak since May. Stocks rose worldwide as […]

Goldie’s Simple Answer to Clients: “Buy US Stocks 1st”

Goldie’s Simple Answer to Clients: “Buy US Stocks 1st”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX S&P 500 finishes higher as value stocks outperform Goldman Sach’s Private Wealth Management team has a simple firm message for its wealthy clients: stick with US equities. “As we have gone through various crises, we have still told clients to stay invested and not get out of US equities, it’s […]

US Consumer Inflation Expectations Mark New Low

US Consumer Inflation Expectations Mark New Low

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Monday, the S&P 500 closed unchanged, as energy, financials outperformed US consumers’ inflation expectations declined in August and workers grew more pessimistic about their job situation, data from the New York Federal Reserve showed Monday, supporting the case for further interest rate cuts. The New York Fed’s monthly survey of consumer […]

Fed Chairman Powell Does Not See Recession: Mission “Sustain Expansion”

Fed Chairman Powell Does Not See Recession: Mission “Sustain Expansion”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The stock market finished mixed Friday; the S&P 500 (+0.1%) and DJIA (+0.3%) closed just above unchanged, while the NAS Comp (-0.2%) and Russell 2000 (-0.4%) closed slightly lower. On Friday, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said the most likely outlook for the US and world economy is continued moderate growth, […]

Wall Street Bulls Are Back in Rally Mode

Wall Street Bulls Are Back in Rally Mode

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Thursday, US stocks spiked on expectations of a de-escalation in trade tensions after Washington and Beijing agreed to hold high-level talks in early October, while at the same time strong US economic data eased fears of a domestic slowdown. The ADP National Employment Report, considered a precursor to the Labor […]

US-China Agree to Hold Trade Talks in October, Stock Futures Spike

US-China Agree to Hold Trade Talks in October, Stock Futures Spike

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ China and the United States agreed to hold high-level trade talks in early October in Washington, China’s commerce ministry said Thursday. The announcement followed a call earlier in the day between China’s Vice Premier Liu He and US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and U Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, the Ministry of Commerce […]

Wall Street Liked China Data, Hong Kong and BREXIT News

Wall Street Liked China Data, Hong Kong and BREXIT News

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wall Street’s Key stock indexes bounced Wednesday, after robust economic data from China, easing tensions in Hong Kong and British lawmakers’ approval of a law to delay BREXIT provided some optimism to investors worried about global growth. The Fed’s September Beige Book described overall economic activity as expanding at a […]

Corporate Executives Are Buying Stocks…Are You?

Corporate Executives Are Buying Stocks…Are You?

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX When stock markets declined in August, 1 group of investors showed unshakable confidence, Company insiders. So much that the buy-to-sell ratio of corporate executives in Europe reached its highest mark since December, according to data compiled by 2iQ Research. Such spike in the ratio, 3.3 in August is usually seen […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $VXX FlASH: Global Market Uncertainty Means Precious Metals Will Continue To Rise This level of uncertainty in the global markets will prompt a massive move in the precious metals markets as traders and investors continue to put money into precious metals as a means to hedge against fear […]

Wall Street Finished Mixed with a Bullish Bias Ahead of this Long Weekend

Wall Street Finished Mixed with a Bullish Bias Ahead of this Long Weekend

$DIA, #SPY,, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wall Street posted mixed results on Friday on month end re-balancing ahead of a holiday weekend in which a fresh round of US tariffs on Chinese imports were set for levy. The DJIA .DJI rose 37.4 pts, or 0.14%, to 26,399.65, the S&P 500 .SPX gained 1.45 pts, or 0.05%, to 2,926.03 and the […]

Wall Street Shares Dipped Tuesday, Gold Rallies on Recession Fear

Wall Street Shares Dipped Tuesday, Gold Rallies on Recession Fear

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wall Street dipped Tuesday, weighed down by financial stocks as a deepening of the Treasury yield curve inversion raised recession worries again, and uncertainty over the progress in trade negotiations between the United States and China. A deepening of the inversion in the yield curve between the 2-year and 10-year […]

President Trump Notes Positive Movement in China Trade Dispute, Market Responds

President Trump Notes Positive Movement in China Trade Dispute, Market Responds

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wall Street began this week on higher note following President Trump’s trade comments Monday, President Trump scaled back a US-China trade dispute declared that the 2 sides will begin serious negotiations soon. President Trump said his trade negotiators had received 2 “very good calls” from China Sunday. “I think we’re […]

A Divided FOMC Walking ‘The Trump Tightrope’

A Divided FOMC Walking ‘The Trump Tightrope’

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 increased 0.8% on Wednesday in a broad-based advance. Upbeat results and reassuring guidance from Target and Lowe’s reinforced the notion that the US consumer is in good shape, while investors parsed the FOMC mins from the July meeting.  The Dow Jones Industrial Average increased 0.9%, the Nasdaq Composite increased 0.9%, […]

The Huge Managed Money Has More Faith in Stocks Than Bonds

The Huge Managed Money Has More Faith in Stocks Than Bonds

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) investment management unit oversees about $1.7-T. and while it is still waiting for better entry levels to buy the dip, it continues to favor equities and credit over government bonds in a rejection of growing fears of an imminent recession. Goldie expects the Fed to lower rates […]

Stocks Rallied in Broad-based Advance

Stocks Rallied in Broad-based Advance

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX This week’s trade has been headlined by the yield-curve inversion theory, where the yield of shorter-dated debt rises above its longer-term counterpart. On Wednesday, the yield 10-yr T-Note rate briefly fell below the 2-year T-Note a condition that has sometimes been a recession indicator. The degree to which investors have crowded […]

Gold Headed to $2,300 oz, Stocks Seen Much Higher Too

Gold Headed to $2,300 oz, Stocks Seen Much Higher Too

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $XAU, $GLD The US stock market finished mixed Thursday, as investors weighed the resiliency of the US consumer Vs growth concerns. The S&P 500 (+0.3%) and DJIA(+0.4%) finished higher, while the NAS Comp (-0.1%) and Russell 2000 (-0.4%) finished lower. The overall uncertainty from the US-China trade dispute is high […]

President Trump, “Fed Behind Market Turmoil, Not Trade War”

President Trump, “Fed Behind Market Turmoil, Not Trade War”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wednesday, President Trump targeted Fed policy as the reason for this recent market turmoil. In raising interest rates 4X last year “the Federal Reserve acted far too quickly, and now is very, very late,” in reversing itself and cutting borrowing costs, President Trump tweeted. “Too bad, so much to gain on […]

President Trump Drops Some Tariffs on Chinese Goods, Stocks Rally

President Trump Drops Some Tariffs on Chinese Goods, Stocks Rally

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US stocks rallied Tuesday after the White House announced that it will delay the 10% tariff rate for some items imported from China until 15 December. President Trump told reporters he wanted to delay the tariffs so consumers would not be hurt during the Christmas shopping season and said he […]

US Economic Growth Short of President Trump’s Goals

US Economic Growth Short of President Trump’s Goals

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX President Trump blames the Fed for putting the US economy at risk while data shows an economy in “reasonably good” shape, as the Chairman of the central bank recently said. But,”reasonably good” is not what President Trump promised to deliver during his Y 2016 campaign, and at this point he […]

President Trump: “US, China Still Talking on Trade, but Not Ready for Deal”

President Trump: “US, China Still Talking on Trade, but Not Ready for Deal”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The US stock market wrapped up a volatile week on a lower note, with the S&P 500 down 0.7% Friday. Every time in the past year that President Trump weighed in on the trade dispute the market reacted negatively then responded positively, and the rally extended, I do not expect […]

President Trump Demands Strong Rate Cut, Market Turns a Solid Green, Wall Street Loves ‘Cheap Money’

President Trump Demands Strong Rate Cut, Market Turns a Solid Green, Wall Street Loves ‘Cheap Money’

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USD, $VXX The US stock market finished solidly in the Green Thursday, as trade anxiety subsided and investors embraced a risk-on mindset. The S&P 500 advanced 1.9%, which extended its 2-day bounce to 112 pts, or 4.0%, from its session low Wednesday.  Thursday, President Trump again expressed dissatisfaction with USD’s strength, […]

US Stock Market Stages Key Reversal, Treasury Yields Stabilize

US Stock Market Stages Key Reversal, Treasury Yields Stabilize

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX President Trump said Wednesday the Fed must cut rates “bigger and faster” for the United States to be competitive against other countries. “Our problem is a Federal Reserve that is too proud to admit their mistake of acting too fast and tightening too much (and that I was right!). They […]

Investment Strategy: Buy US Stocks on the Dip

Investment Strategy: Buy US Stocks on the Dip

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FlASH: The implied likelihood for a 50-bpts rate cut at the September FOMC meeting climbed to 23.5% Vs 1.5%. Friday, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Expectations for the Fed to step up its easing efforts amid increased risks to the economic outlook expounded the flight-to-safety in gold and US […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Last week the market was in consolidation mode and tested the 50-Day MA’s and bounced and… Employment report showed solid jobs growth in July Major averages found buying support at 50-Day MAs INDUSTRY WATCH Strong: Real Estate, Utilities, Consumer Staples Weak: Information Technology, Energy, Materials The CBOE Volatility Index has […]

Fed Rate Cut is a Step in the Right Direction

Fed Rate Cut is a Step in the Right Direction

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Employment report showed solid jobs growth in July Major averages found buying support at 50-Day MAs INDUSTRY WATCH Strong: Real Estate, Utilities, Consumer Staples Weak: Information Technology, Energy, Materials The CBOE Volatility Index has come down from prior levels. Currently, the VIX is up 0.7 pts, or 4.4%, to 18.61. […]

President Trump to Inflict Economic Pain on China Until a Suitable Trade Deal is Made

President Trump to Inflict Economic Pain on China Until a Suitable Trade Deal is Made

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Thursday, President Trump said he may raise US tariffs on Chinese goods beyond 25% if trade negotiations with Beijing remain stalled. President Trump told reporters that the new 10% tariff he announced Thursday for $300-B in Chinese imports beginning 1 September will be imposed for a short term and could […]

Fed Cuts Rates, Signals It “May” Not Need to Do More

Fed Cuts Rates, Signals It “May” Not Need to Do More

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The FOMC cut interest rates as widely expected Wednesday, but Chairman Powell said he did not view the move as the start of a lengthy series of rate cuts. Fed Chairman Powell cited global weakness, trade tensions and a desire to boost too-low inflation in explaining the central bank’s decision […]

S&P 500 & NAS Comp Finished at Record Highs Again!

S&P 500 & NAS Comp Finished at Record Highs Again!

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: US Q-2 GDP higher than estimates on strong consumer spending as the ‘Tight’ Fed, China trade dispute lowed growth Friday, economist Stephen Moore said he is “relieved” that the economy is at 2.1% growth, but said the numbers are not where they should be because of several factors, including […]

US Stock Indexes Pull Back from Record Highs

US Stock Indexes Pull Back from Record Highs

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The US stock market indexes ended Thursday near session lows after spending the day in the Red. The DJIA (-0.5%) and S&P 500 (-0.5%) posted comparable losses while the NAS Comp(-1.0%) under-performed during the session. The top-weighted technology sector (-0.8%) was among Thursday’s weakest, while most of the remaining cyclical […]

S&P 500, NAS Comp Drive Due North to All-time Highs

S&P 500, NAS Comp Drive Due North to All-time Highs

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 (+0.5%) and NAS Comp (+0.9%) set new records highs on Wednesday, driven by big gainers in semiconductor stocks and by shares of companies that beat earnings estimates, the Russell 2000 rose 1.6%. The DJIA lost 0.3% on losses in Boeing (BA 361.43, -11.54, -3.1%) and Caterpillar (CAT 131.91, -6.19, -4.5%) following disappointing earnings […]

Good News and Earnings are Driving This Market

Good News and Earnings are Driving This Market

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Wall Street Liked the Trade News and Earnings Reports Moving this Market S&P 500 closes above 3000, boosted by encouraging trade news and positive earnings, guidance from widely-held companies High-level trade talks will reportedly continue in China next week from Monday to Wednesday 10 of 11 S&P 500 sectors […]

Tech Stocks Drive Market Higher

Tech Stocks Drive Market Higher

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 Information Technology sector (+1.2%) was Monday’s leader, led by shares of Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) and semiconductor companies. The other 10 S&P 500 sectors hung near their unchanged marks. Apple outperformed after Morgan Stanley raised its price target to 247 from 231. The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose 2.0% following […]

US Stock Market’s Direction is Based on Fed

US Stock Market’s Direction is Based on Fed

$SPY The US stock market finished lower last week on relatively low volume and volatility. Perhaps it was the pre-conceived negative earnings expectations due to reports released before the results season started that fueled the lackluster price action. Perhaps it was options expiration. Uncertainty over the size of the expected Fed rate cut at the […]

Wall Street Fades into the Close, Options Expire with a Whimper

Wall Street Fades into the Close, Options Expire with a Whimper

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Fed’s Bullard: Rate Cut Will ‘Ratify’ What People Already Expect An interest rate cut may be necessary now, but that does not mean the Fed is on a path to dramatically lower rates, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said Friday. Mr. Bullard, who argued unsuccessfully for such an […]

DJIA Could Top 30,000 with USMCA, Interest Rate Cuts

DJIA Could Top 30,000 with USMCA, Interest Rate Cuts

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Stocks push to session highs following Dovish comments from NY Fed President Williams The DJIA could go over 30,000 sooner than many financial experts anticipate, if the Fed cuts interest rates at the end of this month and if House Speaker Nancy Pelosi (D-CA) puts the United States-Mexico-Canada trade […]

Stocks Finished Flat on Mixed Economic Data

Stocks Finished Flat on Mixed Economic Data

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The gauge of equities finished flat to unchanged Tuesday, as US Treasury yields moved higher on a stronger-than-anticipated report on US retail sales raised the possibility the Fed might adopt a less Dovish stance. The S&P 500 lost 0.3% Tuesday, led lower by shares of energy and technology companies, while […]

Wall Street Finishes at Record Highs, Powell’s Remarks Boost Rate Cut Probability to 100%

Wall Street Finishes at Record Highs, Powell’s Remarks Boost Rate Cut Probability to 100%

$DIA, $QQQ, $SPY, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Stocks gained as investors interpret Fed Chairman Powell’s testimony before the House indicated a rate cut soon. Wednesday, US stocks finished higher on hopes of an interest rate cut later this month were signaled by Fed Chairman Powell’s commen to Congress that the central bank would “act as appropriate” […]

Fed Needs More Information to Support Rate

Fed Needs More Information to Support Rate

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Tuesday, a Fed policymaker expressed skepticism that an interest rate cut is the right move until there are more signs the economy is moving to a truly weaker path. “I prefer to gather more information before considering a change in our monetary policy stance,” Cleveland Fed President Loretta Mester said in […]

President Trump, “Trade Deal Possible With China’s Xi, Tariffs Could Be Lowered”

President Trump, “Trade Deal Possible With China’s Xi, Tariffs Could Be Lowered”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Investors and Traders in a Wait & See mode for the G-20 Summit this weekend Wednesday, President Trump said that a trade deal with Chinese President Xi is possible this weekend, but he is prepared to impose US tariffs on virtually all remaining Chinese imports if the 2 countries […]

Wall Street: “Sanders Student Debt Plan Could Bring More Pain”

Wall Street: “Sanders Student Debt Plan Could Bring More Pain”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Every time a significant transaction tax has been tried, it has either been gutted or eliminated due to its failure to collect anything close to projected revenue and its impact on capital markets. Got that Bernie? American Communist Presidential hopeful, Senator Bernie Sancers (I-VT) proposed a plan Monday to […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XAU, $GLD, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Last week we saw Wall Street stocks and Gold rally hard finishing solid on Quad Witching on the Fed’s Dovish policy position declared Wednesday afternoon. We are in the 2nd longest Bull Market in history that began precisely at 1:00p ET on 9 March 2009, and according […]

S&P Marks Record Closing High, Wall Street Bets on Fed Rate Cut

S&P Marks Record Closing High, Wall Street Bets on Fed Rate Cut

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: This Bull Market in stock is the longest on record. The S&P 500 Index marked a record closing high Thursday, buoyed by Wall Street’s expectations that the Fed will cut interest rates as soon as July to keep the US-China trade dispute from stalling economic growth. The Fed left […]

Fed Fueling a Recession, Chairman Powell On The Way Out

Fed Fueling a Recession, Chairman Powell On The Way Out

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX President Trump will not renominate Jerome Powell for another term as Fed Chairman if re-elected. “That will lead to very different monetary policy, so the Fed is not fully independent of politics,” former Fed VC Fischer, an Hussein Obama appointee, said Sunday at a talk in Israel. By criticizing […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XAU, $GLD, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Last week we saw Wall Street stocks consolidate on light volume and the Fed signaled ‘Got Gold’ Mr. Market started seriously pricing in the possibility of interest rate cuts. To be fair, the signal came from the Top of the economic politburo that matters that being […]

President Trump on Fed Chairman Powell, “I disagree with him ‘entirely'”

President Trump on Fed Chairman Powell, “I disagree with him ‘entirely

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Friday, President Trump sharply criticized Fed Chairman Powell in an interview aired Friday, blaming him for raising interest rates and damaging the US economy. “He is my pick, and I disagree with him entirely,” he said in an interview with ABC News that was filmed in the back of a […]

Energy Stocks Fuel Stock Market Rally, as Oil Tankers are Attacked, US Blames Iran

Energy Stocks Fuel Stock Market Rally, as Oil Tankers are Attacked, US Blames Iran

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USO, $OIL, $VXX FLASH: Crude Oil prices rose after 2 Crude Oil tankers were attacked off the coast of Iran, the US blamed Iran for the attack fueling energy stocks to lead the advance. Crude Oil tankers came under attack Thursday near the strategic Strait of Hormuz, with 1 of […]

US Stocks “Paused to Refresh”, Gold Finished Higher

US Stocks “Paused to Refresh”, Gold Finished Higher

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USD, $XAU, $GLD, $VXX Total CPI increased 0.1%, as expected, as did core CPI, which excludes food and energy prices. The monthly changes left the Y-Y readings at 1.8% and 2.0%, respectively, versus 2.0% and 2.1% for the 12 months ending in April. The Key takeaway from the report is […]

US Household Wealth Tops $108-T in Q-1

US Household Wealth Tops $108-T in Q-1

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US household wealth marked a record in Q-1 as the stock market rallied, supporting consumers after Fed interest-rate hikes and trade dispute shocked investors late last year. Net worth for households and non-profit groups increased by $4.69-T, or 4.5%, to $108.6-T after a 3.7% drop in the prior frame, Federal […]

Rate Cut Looms, Wall Street Rallies

Rate Cut Looms, Wall Street Rallies

$DIA,$SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The technology sector was the biggest boost to the S&P with a 3.3% advance, led by gains in Apple (NASDAQ:AAPL) and Microsoft (NASDAQ:MSFT) Wall Street’s 3 major indexes rallied Tuesday to clock their biggest one-day gains in five months after Fed Chairman Powell left the door open for a […]

Trade, Other Risks, Signal Rate Cut May Be “Warranted Soon”

Trade, Other Risks, Signal Rate Cut May Be “Warranted Soon”

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Growing expectations for the Fed to cut rates to address slower growth and muted inflation; 2-yr yield drops 12 bpts to 1.83% . St. Louis Fed President James Bullard (FOMC Voter) said that slower economic growth could be sharper-than-expected due to the trade uncertainty. Mr. Bullard added that […]

Cash is King, Retail Investors Nervous Ahead of Summer

Cash is King, Retail Investors Nervous Ahead of Summer

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Cash is King for investors heading into Summer Increasing a cash buffer is typical during times of economic and geopolitical uncertainty. But data from global wealth managers show that stashing cash has continued at unusually high rates even as global stocks have rallied this year on conflicting signals […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: World stock markets were subdued as the US and UK exchanges were shuttered for national holidays. DJIA futures rose Monday night, along with S&P 500 futures and NAS futures. President Trump said Monday that Beijing “would like to make a deal,” but “we’re not ready” for a China trade […]

There are Lots of Growth Stocks in President Trump’s America First Policy

There are Lots of Growth Stocks in President Trump’s America First Policy

$DIA, $SOX, $QQQ, $SPY, $RUTX, $VXX The US Financial Markets are Closed Monday to Celebrate Memorial Day Note: The US economy is so diverse that there are always areas that are insulated from whatever you may be concerned about. The US-China trade dispute has driven dividend-rich sectors like utilities higher, but investors do not need […]

China Struggling to Grasp President Trump’s End Game

China Struggling to Grasp President Trump’s End Game

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Note: The Mins from the May FOMC meeting showed that policymakers are comfortable with the current fed funds rate range while “a number of participants” saw a moderation in risk and uncertainties surrounding their outlooks for the year. The Key takeaway is that the stock market has a reasonable […]

Managed Money Holding Long Bets on the Leadership

Managed Money Holding Long Bets on the Leadership

$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Managed money’s lack of conviction in the Y 2019 stock rally has become notorious, but managers retained faith in the Leadership. Hedge funds kept equity exposures light in this year’s advance, the relative size of their biggest Long positions remained “extremely elevated,” according to the latest research from […]

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