DJIA Marks Best Weekly Gainer Since 1938

DJIA Marks Best Weekly Gainer Since 1938

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Friday, investors took some profits after the American Aid bill was passed and sent to President Trump for signing. By the end of the session, the DJIA was off 4.1%, S&P 500 and NAS 3.8 shed 3.4% and 3.8% respectively. The strong gains made on the week drove the DJIA […]

“My work shows that the ‘machine’ selling over the past 4 wks to Monday has peaked”

“My work shows that the ‘machine’ selling over the past 4 wks to Monday has peaked”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $BLK $CS $JPM Stocks extended their rally after the Senate and Fed took unprecedented measures to protect the US economy from the coronavirus shock, with Black Rock (NYSE:BLK), Credit Swiss (NYSE:CS) and other big Wall Street banks said Thursday night that the major US stock market indexes marked at an inflection […]

US Virus Aid Bill is Wartime Funding

US Virus Aid Bill is Wartime Funding

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Stocks rose for 2nd day running with stimulus in sight. Wall Street trimmed strong gains late in the session after reports raised doubts about how quickly the bill might pass, but the S&P 500 and DJIA still ended up more than 1% and 2%, respectively Wednesday, Senator Shelley Moore Capito […]

President Trump Meets with Wall Street Investors on Reopening Economy

President Trump Meets with Wall Street Investors on Reopening Economy

$DIA, $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday morning, President Trump spoke to several billionaire hedge fund and private equity managers about reopening the US economy that over the past 4 wks ground to a halt due to the coronavirus outbreak. President Trump is re-evaluating whether or not to call for people to return to work as […]

If You Can Manage the Risk, the Coronavirus Has Presented Opportunity in this Market

If You Can Manage the Risk, the Coronavirus Has Presented Opportunity in this Market

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Economist Mohamed El-Erian sees opportunities for investors who can manage risk during this coronavirus induced stock market dive. “Those people who entered this defensively and have a massive appetite for volatility, there is starting to be real pockets of value,” Mr. El-Erian told reporters.   “For most investors, I think you […]

President Trump Vows Federal Aid Until Economy Recovers From Coronavirus Attack

President Trump Vows Federal Aid Until Economy Recovers From Coronavirus Attack

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “Once we get the economy back, it is gonna all come back to us very quickly.” Friday, President Trump vowed to keep pushing for more federal spending until the economy recovers from the coronavirus outbreak, and said Americans can expect “much more” than $1,000 checks from the government. At a […]

Investors Optimistic, Small Caps Post Large Gains

Investors Optimistic, Small Caps Post Large Gains

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Thursday the S&P 500 advanced 0.5% in a session that saw it fall as much as 3.3% early and gain as much as 2.9% in the afternoon. The DJIA rose 1.0%, while the NAS Comp (+2.3%) and Russell 2000 (+6.8%) were the big movers today on strong gains in technology […]

Selling Widespread, Losses Were Pared into the Close

Selling Widespread, Losses Were Pared into the Close

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX, $USO, $XAU, $USD, $VXX Despite the coordinated stimulus packages announced by central banks and the massive stimulus plans laid out by Washington, confidence was lacking due to the growing outbreak of COVID-19 and the continued shutdown of the economy. Shortly before the close, the Senate passed the House bill that provides […]

“Stocks Will Surge from ‘Pent-Up Demand’ After Coronavirus Outbreak Ends”

“Stocks Will Surge from ‘Pent-Up Demand’ After Coronavirus Outbreak Ends”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin told Jim Cramer Monday that “there will be a huge amount of pent-up demand” for stocks when the threat of the coronavirus is contained. “There will be a huge amount of pent-up demand when this is done. And it will be done,” he said. “Look for companies that […]

The 1st Test of Our Economic Strength is a Man Made Virus

The 1st Test of Our Economic Strength is a Man Made Virus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX This health emergency was dismissed at 1st as a fleeting risk to the US economy has turned into a full test of whether 20 yrs of planning, regulation and research has left the financial system resilient to a major shock and the Fed able to mount a rescue. Preparations for an […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, The Bulls Vs The Bears

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, The Bulls Vs The Bears

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX The Bulls Vs The Bears Note: “Big Bear markets end in despair and hopelessness, which many current Bulls will discover at considerable cost to themselves” — Mark Lundeen Be very wary of any advance from here, as it may prove to be what we once called a Dead-Cat Bounce.  A Dead-Cat […]

Unprecedented Stresses in US Financial Markets Has Investor Sidelining Trillions in Cash

Unprecedented Stresses in US Financial Markets Has Investor Sidelining Trillions in Cash

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USD $JPY $VXX Friday, Ultra Long-term US T-Bond futures moved about 1.3 pts a day on average in January, were down more than 7 pts on the day and off 36 pts from Monday’s high. Italian sovereign debt had imploded. An index of costs to insure corporate debt with credit-default swaps […]

People are Asking, “What is going on in this Stock Market?”

People are Asking, “What is going on in this Stock Market?”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX The Big Q: What is going on in this Stock Market? The Big A: A confluence of confusion aka lots of unknowns. I have been in the stock market since Y 1981, and like everyone else I know in this game, have not see this kind of action ever. What we […]

US Stocks Spike 9%+ on President Trump’s Plan to Bring the Country Together to Fight the Virus

US Stocks Spike 9%+ on President Trump’s Plan to Bring the Country Together to Fight the Virus

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX US stocks spiked 9%+ as President Trump joined reassured investors that he is stepping up efforts to protect the economy from the coronavirus fallout. All 3 major US stock market indexes rose 9%+, as President Trump declared a national emergency to help combat the virus and said the private sector […]

If You are Worried About Your Portfolio – Slow and Steady Always Wins

If You are Worried About Your Portfolio – Slow and Steady Always Wins

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $GLD Monday, the DJIA saw its worst decliner since Y 2008 in response to news of COVID-19 and the Saudi/Russia Crude Oil price war, and the ride the stock market/s have taken in the last 2 wks has left lot of investors with stomach aches. If you have a 401(k) […]

Time to Step Back, Focus on Investing Not Day to Day Speculation, Do Not Sell American Markets Short

Time to Step Back, Focus on Investing Not Day to Day Speculation, Do Not Sell American Markets Short

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Investing like a savvy investor during a Bear market often yields better returns, but it means avoiding emotional-driven decisions. The benchmark that Wall Street uses to determine a Bear market is when the stock market takes a 20 – 22% decline. But following the strategies of millionaires or successful hedge funds […]

US Stock Bulls Up and Running

US Stock Bulls Up and Running

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday, Wall Street’s Bulls came back to life rising from the edge of Bear market confirmation as bargain-hunters and notions of government stimulus calmed investors’ fears surrounding the coronavirus and prospects of a recession. All 3 major US stock market indexes spiked nearly 5% the day after they suffered their […]

The Collapse in Crude Oil Prices Adds to the Market’s Uncertainty, Equities Dive in Concert

The Collapse in Crude Oil Prices Adds to the Market’s Uncertainty, Equities Dive in Concert

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $USO $VXX WTI Crude Oil settled off 10.23 (-24.8%) to 31.09 bbl for its worst decliner since Y 1991. The last time Crude Oil traded at this mark was in Y 2016. Last Tuesday, the world’s Top financial officials pledged to use “all appropriate policy tools” to protect their economies from […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $GLD $XAU $USO $VXX Wow, what a week it was, it really was! Technical Analysis: The move Thursday was not encouraging for a continued relief move, much less anything else. The Big Qs: Was it the end of the relief move? Would the jobs report help spring the move higher, given that […]

Navigating Extreme Stock Market Volatility

Navigating Extreme Stock Market Volatility

$DIA, $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Forget that the major US stock indices posted a gainer last week. All that most investors will remember is a wild week that took their portfolios on a harrowing roller coaster ride. These market fluctuations are not 1 month, 1 week, but 1 day moves The weekend’s news about the […]

Atlanta Fed Raises GDP Estimate to 3.1% + The World Markets and Commodities Wrap

Atlanta Fed Raises GDP Estimate to 3.1% + The World Markets and Commodities Wrap

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $XAU, $XAG, $CU, $OIL, $USO, $VXX FLASH: The S&P 500 staged a 70-pt rally during the final hr of trade, which led to a significant improvement in final sector standings, though all 11 sectors finished in the Red. The US economy is likely growing at a 3.1% annualized rate in Q-1, […]

Market Strategists say: “Drop Cautious Stance, Buy Dip in Stocks”

Market Strategists say: “Drop Cautious Stance, Buy Dip in Stocks”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Investors should ‘buy the dip’ in stocks because government and central bank policies will counter the economic blow of the spreading coronavirus, according to JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) strategists who had previously told clients to trim risky bets. The outbreak and its economic implications are “the main source of […]

Companies and Executives are Buying Their Own Stocks in Here

Companies and Executives are Buying Their Own Stocks in Here

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Follow the insiders in this market Company executives see their own businesses daily, and through their actions are telling us that fears about the hit to economic growth because of COVID-19 are overdone. With that in mind, they are stepping up buying their own companies’ shares, and in all the […]

Atlanta Fed Lifts Q-1 GDP Estimate to 2.7%

Atlanta Fed Lifts Q-1 GDP Estimate to 2.7%

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX DJIA +1293.96 at 26703.29, NAS Comp +384.80 at 8952.17, S&P 500 +136.01 at 3090.23 The major averages spiked Monday with the S&P 500 recording its 1st gainer since 19 February. The US economy is likely growing at a 2.7% annualized rate in Q-1, based on the latest economic data, the Atlanta Federal Reserve’s GDPNow forecast model showed Monday. […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last week Late Friday, the stock market put up a fight, on the close it was the worst week for equities since late Y 2008, as the S&P 500 (-0.8%) gave back 11.5% since the prior Friday, recording its 7th day running of losses, falling to its lowest level since […]

Investors Started “Scooping Up” Shares Friday

Investors Started “Scooping Up” Shares Friday

$QQQ, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow urged investors to stay calm and said the stock-market selloff is overblown. The veteran financial guru and former Ronald Reagan adviser suggested Americans take the opportunity to “scoop up” shares which he hinted are at bargain prices. The white candle on the tech chart Friday, may […]

Fed’s Powell: “Economy Is Fine but Fed Ready to Act as Needed”

Fed’s Powell: “Economy Is Fine but Fed Ready to Act as Needed”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Friday, Fed Chairman Powell said he will “act as appropriate” to support the economy in the face of risks posed by the coronavirus outbreak, though he said the economy remains in solid condition. “The fundamentals of the US economy remain strong,” Chairman Powell said in a statement released amid an ongoing […]

Market Looks Like it is Trading with a Recession in Mind, Though the Economy is Strong

Market Looks Like it is Trading with a Recession in Mind, Though the Economy is Strong

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The US economy grew moderately in Q-4, the government confirmed, and may be facing a rocky road in early Y 2020 on the notion that coronavirus will hobble it, and bring on a recession. The economy grew by an unrevised 2.3% in Y 2019, the slowest annual growth in 3 […]

Communist Bernie Sanders and the “Dark Side of Momentum Investing”

Communist Bernie Sanders and the “Dark Side of Momentum Investing”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX FLASH: President Trump: “Coronavirus Risk in America Remains ‘Very Low’” Bond King, Jeffrey Gundlach blames Presidential hopeful Senator Bernie Sanders (I-VT) for the market recent volatility. “If this stock market reversal is due exclusively to the virus, then why is United Healthcare down far more than SPX? Why is healthcare […]

President Trump: “Stocks Looking Very Good to Me as Virus Very Much Under Control”

President Trump: “Stocks Looking Very Good to Me as Virus Very Much Under Control”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX FLASH: On Christmas Day 2018, President Trump called the bottom of a 3-month sell-off in US stocks “Stock Market starting to look very good to me!” President Trump Tweeted after the Monday close on Wall Street, echoing his sentiments 14 months ago when he told reporters at the White House there was […]

“Fed Will Not Make Panic Move and Cut Rates Over Virus”

“Fed Will Not Make Panic Move and Cut Rates Over Virus”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX FLASH: Conservative radio host Rush Limbaugh said the coronavirus is being weaponized to bring down President Trump. US economy will be able to ride out any disruption from the global spread of coronavirus, plus not anticipating the Fed to cut interest rates to blunt the virus’ economic impact, that according […]

DJIA Dove 1,000 Pts as Investors Sought Safe-havens in Light of Rise in Virus Cases

DJIA Dove 1,000 Pts as Investors Sought Safe-havens in Light of Rise in Virus Cases

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $MCSI $XAU $VXX Monday, Wall Street’s 3 major stock market indexes fell as investors moved to safe-havens after a rise in coronavirus cases outside China caused worries about the global economic impact of a potential pandemic. Note: WHO removed pandemic from the virus’ and downgraded to emergency Sunday. Wall Street’s 3 […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Technical Analysis at the weekended 21 February  NAS Comp: It sold to the 10-Day EMA and then rebounded and filled the gap from Wednesday. It is still using the 10-day EMA as it trends higher. S&P 500: It tapped at the 20-Day EMA on the low, rebounded to a modest […]

“Deficit Not a Concern if Market Does Not React”

“Deficit Not a Concern if Market Does Not React”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX “The growing national deficit is a ‘legitimate issue’, but our main focus now is in creating jobs,” White House trade adviser Peter Navarro said Friday.  “Until the bond market starts reacting negatively to that and we start seeing inflation, the deficit is not going to be a concern,” Mr, Navarro […]

US Economy Roars Because President Trump Shredded Hussein Obama Stagnation Policies

US Economy Roars Because President Trump Shredded  Hussein Obama Stagnation Policies

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX FLASH: The notion that Mr. Hussein Obama is responsible for today’s good economy is Bunk!. The US robust economy is the best it has been in more than 10 years, it is due entirely to President Trump’s policies which include shedding the former president’s policies. Fact: Had Mr. Hussein Obama […]

S&P 500 & NAS Comp Mark Fresh Record Highs

S&P 500 & NAS Comp Mark Fresh Record Highs

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX DJIA +115.84 at 29347.94, NAS Comp +84.44 at 9817.21, S&P 500+15.86 at 3386.15 Wednesday, the S&P 500 (+0.5%) and NAS Comp (+0.9%) closed at fresh record highs, as investors remained optimistic about the global economic outlook despite the coronavirus. The DJIA increased 0.4%, and the RUTX increased 0.5%.  Stocks held gains following the release of minutes from the FOMC’s […]

Huge Cash Pile on Sidelines Set to Buy US Treasuries on Any Price Dip

Huge Cash Pile on Sidelines Set to Buy US Treasuries on Any Price Dip

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Money managers overseeing trillions of dollars are putting money into US government debt like never before, in a wave that is gaining strength as the spreading coronavirus casts doubt on the global growth outlook. Evidence of the demand can be found across the fixed-income universe. Pensions, which have been ramping […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last Friday’s Action Stocks recovered but struggled late in the day as the Fed, after a big repurchase operation in the am, said it will reduce the amount of the repos. The overnight repo saw $45.85-B in demand pasting the Fed’s offer. The 2-wk repo saw $59.02-B Vs the $30-B […]

President Trump Seeks 10% Middle-Class Tax Cut

President Trump Seeks 10% Middle-Class Tax Cut

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The US financial markets will be closed Monday for Washington’s Birthday. President Trump is pushing to unveil his administration’s “Tax Cuts 2.0” plan, which calls for cuts for the middle class, by September, 2 months before the 2020 Presidential election, National Economic Council Director Larry Kudlow has confirmed.  “We’d love […]

Wall Street Bulls ‘Paused to Refresh’

Wall Street Bulls ‘Paused to Refresh’

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX DJIA -128.11 at 29423.22, NAS Comp -13.99 at 9711.99, S&P 500 -5.51 at 3373.94 The stock market paused Thursday following a strong 8 day run, closing off session lows. The S&P 500 lost 0.2%, the DJIA lost 0.4%, and the NAS Comp lost 0.1%. The Russell 2000 lead at + 0.3%.  The S&P 500 + 4.8% in February, […]

Fed Chairman Powell, “There is no reason why the expansion cannot continue”

Fed Chairman Powell,  “There is no reason why the expansion cannot continue”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday, the Fed Chairman Powell told Congress that the US economy is in a good place. With risks like trade policy uncertainty receding and global growth stabilizing, “we find the US economy in a very good place, performing well,” Chairman Powell told the House of Representatives Financial Services Committee. The US economic expansion, now […]

S&P 500, NAS Comp Mark Record Closing Highs as Investors Buy Growth

S&P 500, NAS Comp Mark Record Closing Highs as Investors Buy Growth

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Monday, the S&P 500 and the NAS Comp closed at record highs as Chinese workers and factories slowly returned to business following a Lunar New Year holiday that was protracted by the deadly coronavirus outbreak. All 3 major US stock indexes advanced in a broad-based rally, boosted by index leaders […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX DJIA futures are little changed Sunday night, along with S&P 500 futures and NAS Comp futures. The stock market rally showed surprising strength last week, but it is not unprecedented.  The stock market rally’s instant recovery from the coronavirus sell-off was surprising. Normally, when the stock market sells off fast, […]

“Blowout” Jobs Growth Reflects Very Strong Economy

“Blowout” Jobs Growth Reflects Very Strong Economy

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Friday, White House adviser Larry Kudlow said the “blowout” jobs report was just the cherry on top of a very strong economic start to this New Year. Manufacturing, job growth and the stock market all boosted the economy in January, he said. “I think we’re in very strong territory right […]

Wall Street Indexes Climb to New Highs for 4th Day Running

Wall Street Indexes Climb to New Highs for 4th Day Running

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Thursday, US stocks gained for a 4th session running, and Wall Street’s major indexes hit record highs as concerns faded over the economic fallout from the coronavirus outbreak in China. China said it would pare by 50% additional tariffs levied against some US goods, seen as a move to boost confidence […]

“Smooth Sailing” on Blockbuster Economy

“Smooth Sailing” on Blockbuster Economy

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX S&P 500 and NAS Comp finish on new highs, virus concerns fade. Stephen Moore, the Heritage Foundation’s chief economist, said Wednesday that there is nothing negative to say about the US economy. The US economy has hit record-highs across the board, Mr. Moore told Wednesday’s “National Report.” “You got the lowest unemployment […]

President Trump to Focus SOTU on Economic Achievements

President Trump to Focus SOTU on Economic Achievements

$DIA $SPY $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Tuesday, President Trump will focus much of his State of the Union address on the administration’s economic achievements. “The President is very proud,” National Economic Council Director Larry Kudlow said Tuesday.  “I think his policies, such as tax cuts, business deregulation across the board, opening up the energy sector to […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX We are deep in earnings season. Stay tuned daily. What happened last week Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) struggled as caught a bid and rallied The DJIA and the S&P 400 tested the 50-Day MA, but the NAS Comp and S&P 500 did not, but rebounded.Q-4 GDP came in at 2.1% the slowest […]

Fed Leaves Key Interest Rate Unchanged

Fed Leaves Key Interest Rate Unchanged

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX , $VXX The Fed held interest rates steady Wednesday at its first policy meeting of the year, the head of the central bank pointed to continued moderate economic growth and a “strong” job market, and giving no sign of any imminent changes in borrowing costs. “We believe the current stance of […]

“US Would Refinance, Pay Off Debt if Fed Lowered Rates”–President Trump

“US Would Refinance, Pay Off Debt if Fed Lowered Rates”–President Trump

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Less than 1 hr after Fed officials begin a two-day policy meeting, President Trump calls for a cut in rates. “The Fed should get smart & lower the Rate to make our interest competitive with other Countries which pay much lower even though we are, by far, the high standard,” […]

Investors Must Avoid Undue Reactions to Virus Story

Investors Must Avoid Undue Reactions to Virus Story

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX I herewith urge all investors to avoid making hasty decisions after China announced a rise in cases of a deadly new virus that the media says threatens to crimp global economic growth. Stocks markets pulled back worldwide Monday on the supposition that investors are worried about the potential economic impact of […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $GLD, $XAU, $USO Last Week Stock action has improved with low to high gains and the stocks that stumbled Wednesday have showed stronger action. There has been excellent action in response to good earnings both during the trading session and after-hours. Bonds rallied, gold has risen and Crude Oil has […]

States That Backed Donald Trump Growing Faster Than Hillary Clinton Supporters

States That Backed Donald Trump Growing Faster Than Hillary Clinton Supporters

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The States that backed Republican President Trump in Y 2016 have enjoyed faster growth last year than states that supported Democrat Hillary Clinton, a Yelp index shows. Five of the 7 fastest-growing states in the US during Y 2019 went Red in the last Presidential election, according to a trend tracked […]

Goldie Says Stocks Can Go Higher

Goldie Says Stocks Can Go Higher

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Some on Wall Street see a sharp reversal hitting this year’s stock market rally now that fast-money quants have ramped up their speculative bets. But the real money has the potential to come in and lead even if these systematic players slow down. Tepid inflows into mutual funds and exchange-traded […]

President Trump Planning a “Very Big” Tax Cut for Middle Class

President Trump Planning a “Very Big” Tax Cut for Middle Class

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Donald Trump speaks during the Global Chief Executive Officers dinner at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland A “very big” tax cut for middle-class Americans will be announced over the next 90 days, President Donald Trump said in an interview Wednesday.  “We will make that permanent for the middle […]

2020: US Economic Growth to Top 3% This Year

2020: US Economic Growth to Top 3% This Year

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Tuesday, White House Top economic advisor Larry Kudlow predicts that economic growth will surpass at least 3% this year. “I am looking for faster growth: I think we’re going to get 3% this year,” Mr. Kudlow said on TV. “The trade deals will help, the Fed changed policy — that was very, […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Market Summary: This long Bull Run still looks look strong, and here is why: Stocks bypassed a soft open Thursday and gapped North. Small and mid-caps joined the large-caps in achieving strong breaks higher. The economic data showed renewed promise. Options expiration Friday came and went. A long weekend came […]

2020: Wall Street Extends Rally Ahead of a Long Holiday Weekend

2020: Wall Street Extends Rally Ahead of a Long Holiday Weekend

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX As a reminder, the market will be closed on Monday for Martin Luther King Jr. Day. Friday: Overall, it was a relatively subdued session that had the potential for even more gainers, as housing starts rose to their highest level in 13 years in December, China’s industrial production rose more […]

President Trump Inks P-1 of China Trade Deal: DJIA, S&P 500 Close at Record Highs

President Trump Inks P-1 of China Trade Deal: DJIA, S&P 500 Close at Record Highs

$DIA $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wednesday, the DJIA closed above 29,000 for the 1st time plus the S&P 500 closed at a record high after the United States and China signed the Phase 1 trade agreement and pledged to resolve the 2 yr tariff dispute. The centerpiece of the agreement is a pledge by China […]

DJIA 40,000 Just a Few Years Away

DJIA 40,000 Just a Few Years Away

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX S&P 500 and NAS Comp closed at record highs ahead of earnings season Monday’s advance is attributed to these factors: The positive price action buoying sentiment Expectations that the upcoming earnings season will include reassuring guidance News the Us will remove China from its currency manipulator list, thereby improving trade […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Y 2020 extended Y 2019 action as the big tech names led and the smaller-caps lagged. While the S&P 500’s valuation chart may be giving some investors flashbacks to the Y 2018 market meltdown, the Bulls are resolute. Corporate earnings are expected to fall for a 2nd Q running, as […]

America’s Greatest Bull Market Powers Through the Mideast Storm

America’s Greatest Bull Market Powers Through the Mideast Storm

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Late Friday US stocks came off from record-high marks as investors took profit and data showed slower-than-expected December US jobs growth, but the major indexes posted gainers on the week. Domestic jobs increased by 145,000 last month, below the forecast for a 164,000 rise, the US government data showed, as the pace […]

President Trump Elated as the Financial Markets Post Fresh Record Highs

President Trump Elated as the Financial Markets Post Fresh Record Highs

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $AAPL, $AMD President Trump cheered as US stocks posted record high closes on Thursday as optimism about a US-China trade deal firmed and as Apple and other market heavyweights posted strong gains. “STOCK MARKET AT ALL-TIME HIGH! HOW ARE YOUR 401K’S DOING? 70%, 80%, 90% up? Only 50% up! What are you […]

2020: USA, No Recession, Steady Economy, Low Inflation

2020: USA, No Recession, Steady Economy, Low Inflation

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX US stocks will continue to rise this year on very little chance of a recession, and low inflation driving steady economic growth, with real GDP growing around 2.0%, and inflation remains below 2.0%. That is our outlook for Y 2020. We do not see a recession in this year’s US […]

2020: The Fed and Q-4’s Initiation

2020: The Fed and Q-4’s Initiation

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last September something happened in the “repo” short-term financing market. Liquidity dried up, interest rates spiked, and the Fed stepped in to save the day. On 12 December a New York Fed statement said its trading desk would increase its repo operations around year end “to ensure that the supply of reserves remains […]

2020: What to Watch For in Commodities

2020: What to Watch For in Commodities

$DIA $SPY $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $SOY, $CORN, $XAU, $CU, $USO This is our 1st What to Watch in the commodities sector, it is an overview of what to expect. The picture mixed, complex picture that emerges. The list covers oil, gold, copper, iron ore, pork and more. The year’s 1st full week of trading could […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, as it Goes Back to Work in 2020

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, as it Goes Back to Work in 2020

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $APPL $VXX The Y 2020 started off with a Y 2019 flavor as the big names led and the smaller-caps lagged. Chinese stimulus got some credit for the gains, but there is no doubt that new money was put to work as the volume rose to solid marks. Buyers want stocks, […]

2020: Fed Last Month Saw a Declining Risk of Recession

2020: Fed Last Month Saw a Declining Risk of Recession

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The Trump policies are working to Make and Keep America Great! The Fed’s FOMC policy making committee saw much less risk of recession at its most recent meeting last month, when it kept interest rates steady after 3 straight cuts and signaled that it expected to keep low rates unchanged […]

2020: Day 1 on Wall Street, Stocks Extend the Bull Run to New Record Highs

2020: Day 1 on Wall Street, Stocks Extend the Bull Run to New Record Highs

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $AAPL Thursday, Wall Street’s major stock market indexes market record highs to open Y 2020,as fresh economic stimulus from China added to optimism fueled by easing trade tensions and an improving global outlook. China’s central bank said Wednesday it would cut the amount of cash that all banks must hold […]

The Financial Markets in Year of the Rat 2020

The Financial Markets in Year of the Rat 2020

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XRT, $IWM Our New Year is here and we are just a few weeks away from the Chinese New Year, so not too early to share some of my favorite Chinese Astrologer’s thoughts on the coming Year of the Rat, he is famous for his predictions, but not perfect. The background: […]

‘Trump Power’ Economy to Be Strong in 2020, Become Even More Powerful

‘Trump Power’ Economy to Be Strong in 2020, Become Even More Powerful

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX By almost every measure the US economy did well in Y 2019 though growth was slower than Y 2018. For next year, contrary to the consensus view from most economists, economic growth will accelerate. And growth could increase even more after Y 2020. President Trump has set the stage for […]

S&P 500 Marks Another Record High as Santa Claus Continues the Rally

S&P 500 Marks Another Record High as Santa Claus Continues the Rally

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 finished little changed Friday and the NAS Comp ended an 11-day streak of gainers after some late-session weakness, the DJIA another record as investors play the Santa Claus rally. The DJIA rose 23.53 points, or 0.08%, to 28,644.92, the S&P 500 gained 0.07 points, or 0.00%, to […]

Global Stocks Rise $17-T YTD

Global Stocks Rise $17-T YTD

$SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $DIA, $DE Global stock markets gained $17-T in total value in 2019 according to the information based on Deutsche Bank calculations. The chart from Deutsche Bank (NYSE:DE), the value of global equities began the year just under $70-T but now exceeds $85-T. Political developments and an easier monetary policy have helped spark […]

President Trump is the Key to US Stock Market’s Growth

President Trump is the Key to US Stock Market’s Growth

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wall Street’s indexes set new records again, The Trump Policies are working President Trump is the main reason for the recent strength in the stock market, more so than the impartial evaluations of how the economy is performing, Nobel-prize winning economist Robert Shiller said during a appearance Sunday. Dr. Shiller […]

The DJIA & SP 500 Marked Record Highs After US House Voted Articles of Impeachment Vs President Trump

The DJIA & SP 500 Marked Record Highs After US House Voted Articles of Impeachment Vs President Trump

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Last week Though the House of Representatives voted to impeach President Trump Wednesday night, the stock market rose to new record highs in their 1st session after the news, boosted by trade progress and a US economy that continues to hold steady. Large-cap indices renewed the Northside with more vim […]

Wall Street Marks Another Record High on Consumer and Trade Optimism

Wall Street Marks Another Record High on Consumer and Trade Optimism

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wall Street stocks hit record closing highs again Friday and the S&P 500 registered its biggest weekly percentage gain since early September after data showed a rise in consumer spending and investors continued to be optimistic over progress in the US-China trade dispute. President Trump declared progress on issues from […]

Trump Policies Working: US Economy in Longest Expansion Ever

Trump Policies Working: US Economy in Longest Expansion Ever

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX For the 1st time ever, the US economy started and ended an entire decade without a recession, the longest expansion in our history, researchers say. The National Bureau of Economic Research found, as of December, the economy has expanded for a record 126 consecutive months. “It is unusual that this […]

History Suggests Wall Street Need Not Worry About President Trump’s Impeachment

History Suggests Wall Street Need Not Worry About President Trump’s Impeachment

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wednesday, President Trump appeared on the cusp of becoming only the 3rd US President to be impeached, history suggests investors need not worry, even though it adds uncertainty on Wall Street. Strong partisan divisions were on display as members of the House of Representatives engaged in a debate ahead of historic […]

Seeing This Bull Market Extending into 2020, Not ‘Melting-up’

Seeing This Bull Market Extending into 2020, Not ‘Melting-up’

$SPY, $DIA, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $BAC, $UBS, Analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, described this Bull market as “primed for Q-1 2020 risk asset melt-up,” with the Fed and the ECB still providing ample support to portions of the market and economy that have shown some signs of softness aka printing money. UBS Global […]

DJIA Plus 10,000 Pts Since President Trump’s Election

DJIA Plus 10,000 Pts Since President Trump’s Election

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $AAPL, $VXX Wall Street stocks marked another record closing high Monday, as the DJIA gained 10,000 points since Donald Trump was elected President. The Dow’s high point on Monday was 28,337.49, it closed at 18,332.74 on 8 November 2016 The index has rallied more than 54% since President Trump’s election victory, while the benchmark S&P […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Am seeing earnings revival boosting stock rally in Y 2020 But 1st, this is what happened last week: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has held steady and is not going to raise rates in Y 2020. Chairman Powell is also open to bond purchases. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) […]

A Case for the Extension of This Bull Market

A Case for the Extension of This Bull Market

$SPY, $RUTX, $USD Last Christmas, the longest Bull market in our lifetime came within points of dying as the Fed raised interest rates. Some pundits say that every 3 years or so something pushes the Bull market to the brink of extinction, before a last-minute escape, that there is a record of support that underpins […]

US-China Reached a Trade Deal, Sunday Tariffs Off

US-China Reached a Trade Deal, Sunday Tariffs Off

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wall Street closed little changed after P-1 China trade deal reached President Trump said Friday that the US has canceled plans to impose new tariffs on $160-B in worth of Chinese imports Sunday as part of a modest interim agreement that de-escalates a 17-month trade dispute between the world’s 2 […]

President Trump Signs Off on Trade Deal With China, Wall Street Marks Fresh Record Highs

President Trump Signs Off on Trade Deal With China, Wall Street Marks Fresh Record Highs

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX An HeffX-LTN Key indicator for extending this Bull Market: The last vestige of the financial crisis ended Thursday as financial stocks in the S&P 500 passed their prior closing high eclipsing the record marked in Feb 2007 before losing more than 80% of their value in less than 2 yrs. […]

Fed May Launch QE-4 Before Year-End to Ease Market Stress

Fed May Launch QE-4 Before Year-End to Ease Market Stress

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $CS Credit Suisse (NYSE:CS) analyst now predicts that a 4th round of QE (quantitative easing) will be needed before year’s end to ease mounting pressure in the short-term lending markets. He said QE-4 would help rebuild bank reserves, which have dropped as the Fed has shrunk its balance sheet. QE, […]

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