Huge Cash Pile on Sidelines Set to Buy US Treasuries on Any Price Dip

Huge Cash Pile on Sidelines Set to Buy US Treasuries on Any Price Dip

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Money managers overseeing trillions of dollars are putting money into US government debt like never before, in a wave that is gaining strength as the spreading coronavirus casts doubt on the global growth outlook. Evidence of the demand can be found across the fixed-income universe. Pensions, which have been ramping […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last Friday’s Action Stocks recovered but struggled late in the day as the Fed, after a big repurchase operation in the am, said it will reduce the amount of the repos. The overnight repo saw $45.85-B in demand pasting the Fed’s offer. The 2-wk repo saw $59.02-B Vs the $30-B […]

President Trump Seeks 10% Middle-Class Tax Cut

President Trump Seeks 10% Middle-Class Tax Cut

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX The US financial markets will be closed Monday for Washington’s Birthday. President Trump is pushing to unveil his administration’s “Tax Cuts 2.0” plan, which calls for cuts for the middle class, by September, 2 months before the 2020 Presidential election, National Economic Council Director Larry Kudlow has confirmed.  “We’d love […]

Wall Street Bulls ‘Paused to Refresh’

Wall Street Bulls ‘Paused to Refresh’

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX DJIA -128.11 at 29423.22, NAS Comp -13.99 at 9711.99, S&P 500 -5.51 at 3373.94 The stock market paused Thursday following a strong 8 day run, closing off session lows. The S&P 500 lost 0.2%, the DJIA lost 0.4%, and the NAS Comp lost 0.1%. The Russell 2000 lead at + 0.3%.  The S&P 500 + 4.8% in February, […]

Fed Chairman Powell, “There is no reason why the expansion cannot continue”

Fed Chairman Powell,  “There is no reason why the expansion cannot continue”

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Tuesday, the Fed Chairman Powell told Congress that the US economy is in a good place. With risks like trade policy uncertainty receding and global growth stabilizing, “we find the US economy in a very good place, performing well,” Chairman Powell told the House of Representatives Financial Services Committee. The US economic expansion, now […]

S&P 500, NAS Comp Mark Record Closing Highs as Investors Buy Growth

S&P 500, NAS Comp Mark Record Closing Highs as Investors Buy Growth

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Monday, the S&P 500 and the NAS Comp closed at record highs as Chinese workers and factories slowly returned to business following a Lunar New Year holiday that was protracted by the deadly coronavirus outbreak. All 3 major US stock indexes advanced in a broad-based rally, boosted by index leaders […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX DJIA futures are little changed Sunday night, along with S&P 500 futures and NAS Comp futures. The stock market rally showed surprising strength last week, but it is not unprecedented.  The stock market rally’s instant recovery from the coronavirus sell-off was surprising. Normally, when the stock market sells off fast, […]

“Blowout” Jobs Growth Reflects Very Strong Economy

“Blowout” Jobs Growth Reflects Very Strong Economy

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Friday, White House adviser Larry Kudlow said the “blowout” jobs report was just the cherry on top of a very strong economic start to this New Year. Manufacturing, job growth and the stock market all boosted the economy in January, he said. “I think we’re in very strong territory right […]

Wall Street Indexes Climb to New Highs for 4th Day Running

Wall Street Indexes Climb to New Highs for 4th Day Running

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Thursday, US stocks gained for a 4th session running, and Wall Street’s major indexes hit record highs as concerns faded over the economic fallout from the coronavirus outbreak in China. China said it would pare by 50% additional tariffs levied against some US goods, seen as a move to boost confidence […]

“Smooth Sailing” on Blockbuster Economy

“Smooth Sailing” on Blockbuster Economy

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX S&P 500 and NAS Comp finish on new highs, virus concerns fade. Stephen Moore, the Heritage Foundation’s chief economist, said Wednesday that there is nothing negative to say about the US economy. The US economy has hit record-highs across the board, Mr. Moore told Wednesday’s “National Report.” “You got the lowest unemployment […]

President Trump to Focus SOTU on Economic Achievements

President Trump to Focus SOTU on Economic Achievements

$DIA $SPY $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Tuesday, President Trump will focus much of his State of the Union address on the administration’s economic achievements. “The President is very proud,” National Economic Council Director Larry Kudlow said Tuesday.  “I think his policies, such as tax cuts, business deregulation across the board, opening up the energy sector to […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX We are deep in earnings season. Stay tuned daily. What happened last week Facebook (NASDAQ:FB) struggled as caught a bid and rallied The DJIA and the S&P 400 tested the 50-Day MA, but the NAS Comp and S&P 500 did not, but rebounded.Q-4 GDP came in at 2.1% the slowest […]

Fed Leaves Key Interest Rate Unchanged

Fed Leaves Key Interest Rate Unchanged

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX , $VXX The Fed held interest rates steady Wednesday at its first policy meeting of the year, the head of the central bank pointed to continued moderate economic growth and a “strong” job market, and giving no sign of any imminent changes in borrowing costs. “We believe the current stance of […]

“US Would Refinance, Pay Off Debt if Fed Lowered Rates”–President Trump

“US Would Refinance, Pay Off Debt if Fed Lowered Rates”–President Trump

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Less than 1 hr after Fed officials begin a two-day policy meeting, President Trump calls for a cut in rates. “The Fed should get smart & lower the Rate to make our interest competitive with other Countries which pay much lower even though we are, by far, the high standard,” […]

Investors Must Avoid Undue Reactions to Virus Story

Investors Must Avoid Undue Reactions to Virus Story

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX I herewith urge all investors to avoid making hasty decisions after China announced a rise in cases of a deadly new virus that the media says threatens to crimp global economic growth. Stocks markets pulled back worldwide Monday on the supposition that investors are worried about the potential economic impact of […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $GLD, $XAU, $USO Last Week Stock action has improved with low to high gains and the stocks that stumbled Wednesday have showed stronger action. There has been excellent action in response to good earnings both during the trading session and after-hours. Bonds rallied, gold has risen and Crude Oil has […]

States That Backed Donald Trump Growing Faster Than Hillary Clinton Supporters

States That Backed Donald Trump Growing Faster Than Hillary Clinton Supporters

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The States that backed Republican President Trump in Y 2016 have enjoyed faster growth last year than states that supported Democrat Hillary Clinton, a Yelp index shows. Five of the 7 fastest-growing states in the US during Y 2019 went Red in the last Presidential election, according to a trend tracked […]

Goldie Says Stocks Can Go Higher

Goldie Says Stocks Can Go Higher

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Some on Wall Street see a sharp reversal hitting this year’s stock market rally now that fast-money quants have ramped up their speculative bets. But the real money has the potential to come in and lead even if these systematic players slow down. Tepid inflows into mutual funds and exchange-traded […]

President Trump Planning a “Very Big” Tax Cut for Middle Class

President Trump Planning a “Very Big” Tax Cut for Middle Class

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Donald Trump speaks during the Global Chief Executive Officers dinner at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland A “very big” tax cut for middle-class Americans will be announced over the next 90 days, President Donald Trump said in an interview Wednesday.  “We will make that permanent for the middle […]

2020: US Economic Growth to Top 3% This Year

2020: US Economic Growth to Top 3% This Year

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Tuesday, White House Top economic advisor Larry Kudlow predicts that economic growth will surpass at least 3% this year. “I am looking for faster growth: I think we’re going to get 3% this year,” Mr. Kudlow said on TV. “The trade deals will help, the Fed changed policy — that was very, […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Market Summary: This long Bull Run still looks look strong, and here is why: Stocks bypassed a soft open Thursday and gapped North. Small and mid-caps joined the large-caps in achieving strong breaks higher. The economic data showed renewed promise. Options expiration Friday came and went. A long weekend came […]

2020: Wall Street Extends Rally Ahead of a Long Holiday Weekend

2020: Wall Street Extends Rally Ahead of a Long Holiday Weekend

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX As a reminder, the market will be closed on Monday for Martin Luther King Jr. Day. Friday: Overall, it was a relatively subdued session that had the potential for even more gainers, as housing starts rose to their highest level in 13 years in December, China’s industrial production rose more […]

President Trump Inks P-1 of China Trade Deal: DJIA, S&P 500 Close at Record Highs

President Trump Inks P-1 of China Trade Deal: DJIA, S&P 500 Close at Record Highs

$DIA $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wednesday, the DJIA closed above 29,000 for the 1st time plus the S&P 500 closed at a record high after the United States and China signed the Phase 1 trade agreement and pledged to resolve the 2 yr tariff dispute. The centerpiece of the agreement is a pledge by China […]

DJIA 40,000 Just a Few Years Away

DJIA 40,000 Just a Few Years Away

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX S&P 500 and NAS Comp closed at record highs ahead of earnings season Monday’s advance is attributed to these factors: The positive price action buoying sentiment Expectations that the upcoming earnings season will include reassuring guidance News the Us will remove China from its currency manipulator list, thereby improving trade […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Y 2020 extended Y 2019 action as the big tech names led and the smaller-caps lagged. While the S&P 500’s valuation chart may be giving some investors flashbacks to the Y 2018 market meltdown, the Bulls are resolute. Corporate earnings are expected to fall for a 2nd Q running, as […]

America’s Greatest Bull Market Powers Through the Mideast Storm

America’s Greatest Bull Market Powers Through the Mideast Storm

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Late Friday US stocks came off from record-high marks as investors took profit and data showed slower-than-expected December US jobs growth, but the major indexes posted gainers on the week. Domestic jobs increased by 145,000 last month, below the forecast for a 164,000 rise, the US government data showed, as the pace […]

President Trump Elated as the Financial Markets Post Fresh Record Highs

President Trump Elated as the Financial Markets Post Fresh Record Highs

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $AAPL, $AMD President Trump cheered as US stocks posted record high closes on Thursday as optimism about a US-China trade deal firmed and as Apple and other market heavyweights posted strong gains. “STOCK MARKET AT ALL-TIME HIGH! HOW ARE YOUR 401K’S DOING? 70%, 80%, 90% up? Only 50% up! What are you […]

2020: USA, No Recession, Steady Economy, Low Inflation

2020: USA, No Recession, Steady Economy, Low Inflation

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX US stocks will continue to rise this year on very little chance of a recession, and low inflation driving steady economic growth, with real GDP growing around 2.0%, and inflation remains below 2.0%. That is our outlook for Y 2020. We do not see a recession in this year’s US […]

2020: The Fed and Q-4’s Initiation

2020: The Fed and Q-4’s Initiation

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last September something happened in the “repo” short-term financing market. Liquidity dried up, interest rates spiked, and the Fed stepped in to save the day. On 12 December a New York Fed statement said its trading desk would increase its repo operations around year end “to ensure that the supply of reserves remains […]

2020: What to Watch For in Commodities

2020: What to Watch For in Commodities

$DIA $SPY $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $SOY, $CORN, $XAU, $CU, $USO This is our 1st What to Watch in the commodities sector, it is an overview of what to expect. The picture mixed, complex picture that emerges. The list covers oil, gold, copper, iron ore, pork and more. The year’s 1st full week of trading could […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, as it Goes Back to Work in 2020

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, as it Goes Back to Work in 2020

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $APPL $VXX The Y 2020 started off with a Y 2019 flavor as the big names led and the smaller-caps lagged. Chinese stimulus got some credit for the gains, but there is no doubt that new money was put to work as the volume rose to solid marks. Buyers want stocks, […]

2020: Fed Last Month Saw a Declining Risk of Recession

2020: Fed Last Month Saw a Declining Risk of Recession

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The Trump policies are working to Make and Keep America Great! The Fed’s FOMC policy making committee saw much less risk of recession at its most recent meeting last month, when it kept interest rates steady after 3 straight cuts and signaled that it expected to keep low rates unchanged […]

2020: Day 1 on Wall Street, Stocks Extend the Bull Run to New Record Highs

2020: Day 1 on Wall Street, Stocks Extend the Bull Run to New Record Highs

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $AAPL Thursday, Wall Street’s major stock market indexes market record highs to open Y 2020,as fresh economic stimulus from China added to optimism fueled by easing trade tensions and an improving global outlook. China’s central bank said Wednesday it would cut the amount of cash that all banks must hold […]

The Financial Markets in Year of the Rat 2020

The Financial Markets in Year of the Rat 2020

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XRT, $IWM Our New Year is here and we are just a few weeks away from the Chinese New Year, so not too early to share some of my favorite Chinese Astrologer’s thoughts on the coming Year of the Rat, he is famous for his predictions, but not perfect. The background: […]

‘Trump Power’ Economy to Be Strong in 2020, Become Even More Powerful

‘Trump Power’ Economy to Be Strong in 2020, Become Even More Powerful

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX By almost every measure the US economy did well in Y 2019 though growth was slower than Y 2018. For next year, contrary to the consensus view from most economists, economic growth will accelerate. And growth could increase even more after Y 2020. President Trump has set the stage for […]

S&P 500 Marks Another Record High as Santa Claus Continues the Rally

S&P 500 Marks Another Record High as Santa Claus Continues the Rally

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 finished little changed Friday and the NAS Comp ended an 11-day streak of gainers after some late-session weakness, the DJIA another record as investors play the Santa Claus rally. The DJIA rose 23.53 points, or 0.08%, to 28,644.92, the S&P 500 gained 0.07 points, or 0.00%, to […]

Global Stocks Rise $17-T YTD

Global Stocks Rise $17-T YTD

$SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $DIA, $DE Global stock markets gained $17-T in total value in 2019 according to the information based on Deutsche Bank calculations. The chart from Deutsche Bank (NYSE:DE), the value of global equities began the year just under $70-T but now exceeds $85-T. Political developments and an easier monetary policy have helped spark […]

President Trump is the Key to US Stock Market’s Growth

President Trump is the Key to US Stock Market’s Growth

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wall Street’s indexes set new records again, The Trump Policies are working President Trump is the main reason for the recent strength in the stock market, more so than the impartial evaluations of how the economy is performing, Nobel-prize winning economist Robert Shiller said during a appearance Sunday. Dr. Shiller […]

The DJIA & SP 500 Marked Record Highs After US House Voted Articles of Impeachment Vs President Trump

The DJIA & SP 500 Marked Record Highs After US House Voted Articles of Impeachment Vs President Trump

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Last week Though the House of Representatives voted to impeach President Trump Wednesday night, the stock market rose to new record highs in their 1st session after the news, boosted by trade progress and a US economy that continues to hold steady. Large-cap indices renewed the Northside with more vim […]

Wall Street Marks Another Record High on Consumer and Trade Optimism

Wall Street Marks Another Record High on Consumer and Trade Optimism

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wall Street stocks hit record closing highs again Friday and the S&P 500 registered its biggest weekly percentage gain since early September after data showed a rise in consumer spending and investors continued to be optimistic over progress in the US-China trade dispute. President Trump declared progress on issues from […]

Trump Policies Working: US Economy in Longest Expansion Ever

Trump Policies Working: US Economy in Longest Expansion Ever

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX For the 1st time ever, the US economy started and ended an entire decade without a recession, the longest expansion in our history, researchers say. The National Bureau of Economic Research found, as of December, the economy has expanded for a record 126 consecutive months. “It is unusual that this […]

History Suggests Wall Street Need Not Worry About President Trump’s Impeachment

History Suggests Wall Street Need Not Worry About President Trump’s Impeachment

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wednesday, President Trump appeared on the cusp of becoming only the 3rd US President to be impeached, history suggests investors need not worry, even though it adds uncertainty on Wall Street. Strong partisan divisions were on display as members of the House of Representatives engaged in a debate ahead of historic […]

Seeing This Bull Market Extending into 2020, Not ‘Melting-up’

Seeing This Bull Market Extending into 2020, Not ‘Melting-up’

$SPY, $DIA, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $BAC, $UBS, Analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, described this Bull market as “primed for Q-1 2020 risk asset melt-up,” with the Fed and the ECB still providing ample support to portions of the market and economy that have shown some signs of softness aka printing money. UBS Global […]

DJIA Plus 10,000 Pts Since President Trump’s Election

DJIA Plus 10,000 Pts Since President Trump’s Election

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $AAPL, $VXX Wall Street stocks marked another record closing high Monday, as the DJIA gained 10,000 points since Donald Trump was elected President. The Dow’s high point on Monday was 28,337.49, it closed at 18,332.74 on 8 November 2016 The index has rallied more than 54% since President Trump’s election victory, while the benchmark S&P […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Am seeing earnings revival boosting stock rally in Y 2020 But 1st, this is what happened last week: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has held steady and is not going to raise rates in Y 2020. Chairman Powell is also open to bond purchases. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) […]

A Case for the Extension of This Bull Market

A Case for the Extension of This Bull Market

$SPY, $RUTX, $USD Last Christmas, the longest Bull market in our lifetime came within points of dying as the Fed raised interest rates. Some pundits say that every 3 years or so something pushes the Bull market to the brink of extinction, before a last-minute escape, that there is a record of support that underpins […]

US-China Reached a Trade Deal, Sunday Tariffs Off

US-China Reached a Trade Deal, Sunday Tariffs Off

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wall Street closed little changed after P-1 China trade deal reached President Trump said Friday that the US has canceled plans to impose new tariffs on $160-B in worth of Chinese imports Sunday as part of a modest interim agreement that de-escalates a 17-month trade dispute between the world’s 2 […]

President Trump Signs Off on Trade Deal With China, Wall Street Marks Fresh Record Highs

President Trump Signs Off on Trade Deal With China, Wall Street Marks Fresh Record Highs

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX An HeffX-LTN Key indicator for extending this Bull Market: The last vestige of the financial crisis ended Thursday as financial stocks in the S&P 500 passed their prior closing high eclipsing the record marked in Feb 2007 before losing more than 80% of their value in less than 2 yrs. […]

Fed May Launch QE-4 Before Year-End to Ease Market Stress

Fed May Launch QE-4 Before Year-End to Ease Market Stress

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $CS Credit Suisse (NYSE:CS) analyst now predicts that a 4th round of QE (quantitative easing) will be needed before year’s end to ease mounting pressure in the short-term lending markets. He said QE-4 would help rebuild bank reserves, which have dropped as the Fed has shrunk its balance sheet. QE, […]

“Proper US-China Trade Deal More Important Than Timing”

“Proper US-China Trade Deal More Important Than Timing”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The Commerce Secretary said the world’s 2 largest economies still needed to work out details about China’s purchases of farm products, some structural issues and an enforcement mechanism in order to ink an interim trade agreement that President Trump hoped to complete last month. President Trump, speaking in Europe Tuesday, […]

US Consumer Spending on the Rise

US Consumer Spending on the Rise

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Americans increased their spending in October at the fastest rate in 3 months even though income growth was essentially flat, its weakest showing in 13 months. The Commerce Department said Wednesday that consumer spending rose 0.3% last month, the best gainer since a 0.5% rise in July. An inflation gauge that is […]

DJIA Marks 100th Record Close Under President Trump

DJIA Marks 100th Record Close Under President Trump

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Tuesday, US stocks edged higher, and all 3 major Wall Street indexes marked record levels, as upbeat comments by President Trump on trade talks eclipsed some softer-than-anticipated economic data, as the DJIA posted its 100th record close since Trump took office. President Trump said the United States and China were […]

Wall Street Marks Fresh Record Highs on Optimistic Trade Resolution

Wall Street Marks Fresh Record Highs on Optimistic Trade Resolution

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wall Street’s 3 major averages kicked off the trading week by closing at records Monday as signs pointed to progress between the United States and China on a trade truce, while a round of merger deals also helped buoy investor sentiment. President Donald Trump applauded the achievement. “Another new Stock […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XAU, $GLD, $VXX Conditions setting up for the Santa Claus Rally A year after the US stock market plunged on the Fed’s acts, many investors believe conditions are set for a rally to finish off Y 2019. A more accommodative Fed compared with a year ago is an important argument for […]

Facts Do Not Square With Sensational Headlines…Tune Out the Noise

Facts Do Not Square With Sensational Headlines…Tune Out the Noise

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Billionaire Ray Dalio said his macro hedge fund firm Bridgewater Associates does not have a net bet that the stock market will fall. A Wall Street Journal article published earlier Friday is “wrong,” Mr. Dalio wrote in a LinkedIn post. “I want to make clear that we don’t have any such […]

Manufacturing, Labor Market Data Signal Slowing Economy

Manufacturing, Labor Market Data Signal Slowing Economy

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Initial claims for the week ending 16 November were unchanged at 227,000 (consensus 216,000). Continuing claims for the week ending 9 November were up 3,000 to 1.695-M. The Key takeaway from the report is that initial claims have been more elevated than usual in recent weeks, suggesting perhaps that they have […]

Target (NYSE:TGT) at Record Highs on Sales Beat, Raised Forecast

Target (NYSE:TGT) at Record Highs on Sales Beat, Raised Forecast

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $TGT, $VXX Target Corp. (NYSE:TGT) reached a record high after raising its F-Y (full-year) outlook again on strong sales and profitability, providing a safe haven after several retailers unnerved investors. The stock, the best performer in the S&P 500 Index Wednesday, had already soared 68% this year through Tuesday. Target raised […]

Markets Wrap with Tech Lifting NAS to Record

Markets Wrap with Tech Lifting NAS to Record

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 declined 0.1% Tuesday in a mixed session. The retail industry was under pressure following disappointing quarterly results and guidance from Home Depot (HD 225.86, -12.99, -5.4%) and Kohl’s (KSS 47.02, -11.38, -19.5%) The NAS Comp climbed to a fresh record on the back of gains in mega cap tech companies even as the […]

President Trump Will Continue to Defend the US Economy (Video)

President Trump Will Continue to Defend the US Economy (Video)

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 (+0.1%), DJIA (+0.1%), and NAS Comp (+0.1%) eked out incremental gains to close at record highs Monday. The Russell 2000 (-0.3%) closed in negative territory.  Before President Trump, China has intended to take over the world. White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow proclaimed that President Trump will […]

President Trump Talks Economy and Trade, Market Responds Positively

President Trump Talks Economy and Trade, Market Responds Positively

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RTUX, $VXX The benchmark S&P 500 stock index posted a slim gainer Tuesday as President Trump said the United States is close to signing an initial trade deal with China and lauded the economy. The S&P 500 and NAS marked all-time highs during trading but stocks ended off session highs with investors […]

S&P 500 Marks 5th Week of Gains, as Wall Street Hits New Records

S&P 500 Marks 5th Week of Gains, as Wall Street Hits New Records

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Friday, the 3 major US stock market indexes posted record closing highs and the S&P 500 registered a 5th straight week of gainers as investors brushed aside worries over the progress of US-China trade talks and as Walt Disney shares rose. The Cboe volatility index .VIX posted its lowest closing […]

Americans Buy ‘Made in the USA’, Stocks Surge

Americans Buy ‘Made in the USA’, Stocks Surge

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The DJIA and S&P 500 notched record closing highs again Thursday, as President Trump continues to cheer as the market continues to charge higher into record territory. “Stock Markets (all three) hit another ALL TIME & HISTORIC HIGH yesterday! You are sooo lucky to have me as your President (just kidding!). […]

The US Stock Market Finished Flat to Little Changed

The US Stock Market Finished Flat to Little Changed

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The stock market closed flat to little changed Wednesday, marking the 2nd straight day for the Bull’s pause to refresh near record highs. The S&P 500 (+0.1%), DJIA (unch), and NAS Comp (-0.3%) closed within 0.3% of their flat lines, the Russell 2000 (-0.6%) lagged. Wednesday, the DJIA -0.07 at 27492.60, NAS Comp -24.05 at 8410.63, S&P 500 […]

“Trade War Naysayers Must Apologize”

“Trade War Naysayers Must Apologize”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX S&P 500 sets new intraday and closing records DJIA +132.66 at 27090.72, NAS Comp +82.87 at 8325.99, S&P 500 +16.87 at 3039.42 Volume: Trade on the NYSE came at 777-M/shares exchanged The S&P 500 set new record highs Monday, increasing 0.6% as trade sentiment remained upbeat and investors reacted positively to corporate news. The NAS Comp (+1.0%) and […]

Paul Ebeling’s DC Commentary: “Investors Ignoring Trump Impeachment ‘Noise'”

Paul Ebeling’s DC Commentary: “Investors Ignoring Trump Impeachment ‘Noise

$USD, $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The US Dem House’s impeachment focus is not even a distraction to the financial market, as nothing will or can come of it, as in the world of geopolitics something big happened at the weekend. Sunday, President Trump announced that Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, the leader of the so-called Islamic […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street (Risk On Update)

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street (Risk On Update)

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX About 20% of S&P 500 members reported earnings this week, and on balance they have beaten expectations. That has persuaded investors US companies are weathering the trade storm and reminded them slowing global growth is not the same as no global growth, or Risk On! Stay tuned… The Big Qs: […]

The Weekly Wrap Up

The Weekly Wrap Up

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Week in Review: Cyclical sectors lead S&P 500 back to record levels in earnings-driven advance The S&P 500 advanced for the 3rd week running, rising 1.2% and nearly setting new record highs as investors remained pleased with earnings reports.  The DJIA rose 0.7%, the NAS Comp rose 1.9%, and the […]

China Keeps Open Door Policy to FDI Despite Trade Dispute

China Keeps Open Door Policy to FDI Despite Trade Dispute

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 lost 0.4% Tuesday in a newsy session. Company-specific news contributed to outsized stock moves, but overall gainers in broader market had been nominal until a hiccup on the BREXIT issue dragged the major indices into the Red. The benchmark index closed at session lows below the 3000 […]

President Trump has China “Where He Wants Them on Trade” + Closing Market Summary

President Trump has China “Where He Wants Them on Trade” + Closing Market Summary

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Stock market guru, Jim Cramer said President Trump has the upper hand in the China trade distpute because tariffs are hurting the Chinese economy way more than the US economy. “Hate him or like him, he has them where he wants them,”  Mr. Cramer said on TV Friday. “I always […]

Signs Point to Weak NFPs Report, We Wait, We See…

Signs Point to Weak NFPs Report, We Wait, We See…

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US stocks recover from oversold condition, soft data boosts rate-cut expectations. The recent ADP job numbers suggest that employers are either having difficulty filling positions, are hiring fewer people due to weaker demand, or both. The lowest manufacturing jobs gauge since Y 2016. Slower private hiring. A sharp drop in […]

US Stocks Decline for a 2nd Day Running, EU Tariffs Loom

US Stocks Decline for a 2nd Day Running, EU Tariffs Loom

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $ESDAY, $VXX Wednesday’s US economic data included the ADP Employment Change report for September and the weekly MBA Mortgage Applications Index. The takeaways are as follows: Private-sector payrolls were estimated to have increased by 135,000 in September (consensus 150-K) while the prior month’s print was revised down to 157-K from 195,000. Private-sector […]

US Stocks Advanced for 3rd Quarter Running

US Stocks Advanced for 3rd Quarter Running

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USD, $USO, $GLD, $XAU, $VXX US stocks advanced for the 3rd Quarter running, as investors weighed the latest turns in the trade dispute between the world’s 2 largest economies. The USD rose and Treasuries moved higher. Tech drove the rise after The Trump Administration partially refuted a report it would target […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $GLD, $VXX Investing in this market successfully requires the creation of an investing strategy that outperforms the broader market. Consider, Factor Investing, it is not new, dating to the mid-1970’s, and has been boosted over the past few years from the acceptance of ETFs. Now, there is over $900-B invested in […]

President Trump Could Delist Chinese Companies From US Markets

President Trump Could Delist Chinese Companies From US Markets

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Friday, US financial markets suffered a trade-related happening on concern The Trump Administration may move to limit US investment in China, a move sure to raise tensions. The S&P 500 turned lower after it was reported that officials are discussing ways to restrict portfolio flows into the world’s 2nd-largest economy. […]

Understanding This Market Into the Q’s End

Understanding This Market Into the Q’s End

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX At the close: DJIA -142.22 at 26807.77, NAS Comp -118.84 at 7993.62, S&P 500 -25.18 at 2966.64 US stocks fell Tuesday, as investors shunned risk following a decline in consumer confidence, and a hard-lined speech from President Trump. The S&P 500 (-0.8%) and DJIA (-0.5%) declined less than 1%, while the NAS Composite (-1.5%) and Russell […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $GLD, $VXX SPECIAL REPORT: The Future of this Rally, what is Next? Thee DJIA futures are up a bit Sunday night, along with S&P 500 futures and NAS Comp futures. This stock market rally has stood negative headlines, but is not yet making a final push to record highs. Arguably, this […]

President Trump Has “Muscled” the Stock Market Away from the Fed

President Trump Has “Muscled” the Stock Market Away from the Fed

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USD, $VXX This week the Fed cut interest rates for the 2nd time since the Great Recession, and found its hands full with another event with potentially catastrophic implications for the economy. In short, liquidity in the repo markets, a critical cog in the financial system machine seized Tuesday. In response, […]

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