$USD Friday, President Trump said he will not devalue the USD in the US trade dispute with China. “No, we do not have to,” President Trump said when asked whether he plans to devalue the Greenback, though he added that if the Fed were to cut interest rates it “would automatically bring down the dollar […]
The US Treasury Department declared Monday it had determined for the 1st time since Y 1994 that Beijing was manipulating its RMB Yuan. Then early Tuesday, President Trump dismissed fears of a protracted trade dispute with China, ignoring a bluster warning in the Beijing press that labeling it a currency manipulator would have severe consequences […]
The currency that was at the center of the 1997 Asian financial crisis is emerging as the region’s safest bet. The Thai baht has remained little changed during this month’s trade dispute turbulence, while peers such as the Rupee and the Won have weakened almost 3%. Strategists say the currency is not likely to lose […]
$CNH, $CNY, $USD FLASH: China will not use its currency as a tool in its dispute with the US China took steps to slow it RMB Yuan’s dive, as the effects of Monday’s plunge weighed on financial markets. The People’s Bank of China (PBoE) set the daily currency fixing stronger than analysts expected and announced […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FlASH: The implied likelihood for a 50-bpts rate cut at the September FOMC meeting climbed to 23.5% Vs 1.5%. Friday, according to the CME FedWatch Tool. Expectations for the Fed to step up its easing efforts amid increased risks to the economic outlook expounded the flight-to-safety in gold and US […]
$CNY China’s stock market investors are not quite ready to see Beijing scale back its efforts to support the economy. Stocks started the week lower after improving data prompted traders to pare back their bets for additional stimulus. The Shanghai Composite Index rallied Tuesday after the PBoC injected cash into the financial system, alleviating concerns […]
$CNY, $USD, $GS FLASH: The RMB Yuan’s rally has more room to run as China’s economic recovery picks up The currency will advance about 1.5% to 6.6 a USD in the next 12 months, says the Chief China economist at Goldman Sachs in Hong Kong. That is more Bullish than Goldman’s 6.7 forecast in January. […]
China Has Not Responded Positively to US on Trade Beijing’s trade practices make them an unreliable negotiating partner. White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow hammered China’s lack of cooperation in the US attempt to forge a trade deal. “They are unfair traders. They are illegal traders. They have stolen our intellectual property,” Mr. Kudlow said […]
US Tariffs Driving RMB Yuan South to 10 yr Lows Vs USD $USDCNY (onshore): -0.29% to 6.868 $USDCNH (offshore): -0.09% to 6.879 Golden Week begins on 1 October With little prospect of a restart for US-China trade talks, we expect an escalation in tensions that will see higher American tariffs on all Chinese imports, sending […]
China Disappears A-List Actress Fan Bingbing Fan Bingbing, 36 anni, an A-list Chinese movie star who has appeared in the “X-Men” and “Iron Man” film franchises, has more than 62-M followers online in China and fronted campaigns for Montblanc watches and De Beers diamonds, has disappeared. The star dropped out of sight in June when […]
Forex: Optimism Ahead of US-China Trade Talks Cap USD, Support RMB Yuan $USD/CNY In New York Wednesday US Dollar (.DXY) Index finished down 0.5% at 94.75, approaching its August low (94.43). The Buck saw some slight strength in overnight trade, but a slide to lows took place after the release of a cooler than expected […]
The Chinese Economy “looks terrible, it is collapsing” $USDCNY President Trump’s economic adviser Larry Kudlow says the Chinese economy “looks terrible.” Asked by President Donald Trump to assess China’s prospects this week at a cabinet meeting,Mr. Kudlow declared that “their economy is just heading South,” citing “the latest batch of numbers” from China’s markets. “I’m not a […]
The recent fall of the yuan has been a boon to Chinese exporters facing a trade war with the United States, but it poses financial risks that could prompt Beijing to prop up its currency. While markets are spooked by the standoff between the world’s two biggest economies, a weaker currency makes exporters’ goods cheaper, […]
The Trump Administration Pushes Chinese Officials Back to the Negotiating Table $CNY Wednesday, China cautioned the US against “blackmailing and pressuring” it over trade as The Trump Administration pushes officials back to the negotiating table through threats of even higher tariffs. President Donald Trump’s officials are considering more than 2X’ing planned tariffs on $200-B in […]
China Back at the US Trade Negotiations Table $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The US and China are working restart talks to avert trade war between the world’s 2 largest economies. Representatives of US Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and Chinese Vice Premier Liu He are having private conversations as they look for ways to reengage […]
China’s Ban on Cryptocurrency ‘Killed’ Bitcoin Trading $BTCUSD China’s central bank has hailed it’s cryptocurrency crackdown a complete success. Declared by the People’s Bank of China (PBoC) and reported by state media, data apparently shows that the Chinese currency is now involved in less than 1% of all Bitcoin trades worldwide. The Big A: How did this happen? […]
China Has Launched Its Gold-backed ‘Petroyuan’ $CNY, $USD, $USO, $OIL, $GLD For the last few years, I have been writing about China’s coming Gold-backed ‘petroyuan’ and that it was imminent, few thought is possible. On 26 March China launch an RMB Yuan-dominated Crude Oil futures contract, it had tried before, but, now the contract has gotten […]
China Plays a Role in the Gold Market, How Important? $GLD, $USDCNY China has been accumulating Gold over the past 10 years, and it is also the largest producer of Gold in the world and perhaps the world’s biggest consumers of the precious Yellow metal. The World Gold Council’s (WGC) data for Q-2 Y 2017, says […]
What is the Link Between RMB Yuan and Gold? $USDCNY, $GLD, $OIL People are asking, Paul, what is the link between the RMB Yuan and the precious Yellow metal? The Big A, as follows: Chart 1: The USD/CNY exchange rate (red line, right axis) and the price of Gold (yellow line, left axis, London P.M. […]
China Begins Resetting The World’s Reserve Currency System $GLD, $OIL, $CNY It is a strategic move swapping Crude Oil for Gold, rather than for US Treasuries, which can be printed at will. A report released by the Nikkei Asian Review indicates that China is prepared to release a RMB Yuan denominated Crude Oil futures contract […]
Russia and China Setting Up to Transact Energy Business in Gold $GLD, $OIL, $USD, $CNY Russia’s largest bank, state-owned Sberbank, announced that its Swiss subsidiary had begun trading in Gold on the Shanghai Gold Exchange. Russian officials have signaled that they plan to conduct transactions with China using Gold as a means of marginalizing the […]
Chinese Yuan (CN¥) ⇨ US Dollar ($) (CNYUSD) Boosting Economy Highlights *Internationalization of Chinese yuan to boost Kenya’s economy *Beijing is now one of Kenya’s top trading partners and this has raised the significance of the renminbi (RMB) *The number of banks that can provide Chinese yuan over the counter is increasing *Chinese yuan weakens […]
President Trump Not Likely to Label China a Currency Manipulator $BX President Donald Trump is unlikely to designate China a currency manipulator this month, breaking a campaign promise, and may “circle back” on healthcare legislation that failed in the House, one of his top economic advisers said Tuesday. The Trump administration is expected to issue […]
The Trump Effect: Trade Deficit Falls as Exports Hit 2-year Highs $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The US trade deficit fell more than expected in February as exports increased to a 2 year high and slowing domestic demand weighed on imports. The narrowing in the trade gap comes as The Trump Administration is pushing ahead with […]
FLASH Update: China “Grand Champions” of Currency Manipulation $CNY, $USD, $USDCNY FLASH: US President Donald Trump declared China the “Grand Champions” of currency manipulation Thursday, just a few hours after his new Treasury Secretary, Steven Mnuchin, pledged a more methodical approach to analyzing Beijing’s Fx (foreign exchange) practices. In an exclusive interview with Reuters, President Trump […]
US Attracting Chinese Capital Outflow $USDCNY Last Thursday, China took another step to degrade the USD in defining the value of its currency, in an effort that cuts against its rival’s strong hold on the global financial system. An arm of the People’s Bank of China (PBOC), which last year started setting the RMB Yuan […]
China: News Guidelines for Market-oriented & Mixed-ownership Reforms Mixed-ownership reform is expected to help China make breakthroughs in SOE (state-owned enterprise) reform, despite some current challenges. The state-owned China National Petroleum Corp. (CH:CNPZ) announced Wednesday it has passed guidelines to promote market-oriented and mixed-ownership reforms. China said it will take substantial steps in mixed-ownership reform […]
China Trying to Halt Capital Outflows, Market Bears “Smell Blood” $USDCNY China’s increasingly aggressive measures to clampdown on capital outflows has not gone unnoticed by US hedge-fund manager Kyle Bass. Mr. Bass is famed for his successful bet against the US housing market in the global financial crisis of Y’s 2007-2008, so markets monitor his […]
RMB Yuan Weakens, China Purchasing Gold Overseas $GLD, $SLV, $USDCNY As the RMB Yuan retreats, China is buying Gold. The world’s biggest consumer of the precious Yellow metal raised bullion imports from Hong Kong in September for the 1st time in 4 months as investors sought to diversify their assets on prospects for further currency […]
Economic Watch Shows China’s Economy is Stable China’s rising M-M inflation and narrower decline in producer prices in August have provided fresh evidence of a steadying economy, experts said. China’s consumer price index (CPI), a main gauge of inflation, rose 0.1% in August on a M-M basis, the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) announced last […]
World Bank to Issue SDR Bonds in China China’s central bank (PBOC) said Friday that it allowed a division of the World Bank (WB) to issue bonds denominated in special drawing rights (SDR) in the country’s interbank bond market. The International Bank for Reconstruction and Development was approved to issue bonds worth 2 billion SDR […]
China’s Forex Reserves Fell in July, Gold Reserves Up $CNY, $USD, $GLD China’s Forex (foreign exchange) reserves fell to $3.20-T in July, central bank data showed Sunday. Economists polled predicted Forex reserves would fall to $3.20-T from $3.21-T at the end of June. China’s reserves, the largest in the world, fell by $4.10-B in July. […]
IMF Prepares for Inclusion of China’s RMB in its SDR Basket $CNY, $USD, $GBP, $EUR, $JPY The International Monetary Fund (IMF) Monday announced its board decision to amend the rounding methodology for determining currency accounts in the Special Drawing Right (SDR) basket, in order to make technical preparations for the inclusion of the Chinese currency, […]
HEFFX Chinese Yuan (CN¥) Trading Outlook FOREX CNY= closed up 0.002 at 6.678. Volume was 21% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 21% narrower than normal. Open High Low Close Volume___ 6.682 6.683 6.676 6.678 2,338 Technical Outlook Short Term: Neutral Intermediate Term: Bullish Long Term: Bullish Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period Close: 6.68 […]
China News: CNY Headed Towards 7 FOREX CNY= closed up 0.006 at 6.687. Volume was 2% below average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 90% wider than normal. Open High Low Close Volume___ 6.680 6.687 6.679 6.687 2,771 Technical Outlook Short Term: Overbought Intermediate Term: Bullish Long Term: Bullish Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period 200-period Close: 6.68 […]
Momentum is a general term used to describe the speed at which prices move over a given time period. Generally, changes in momentum tend to lead to changes in prices. This expert shows the current values of four popular momentum indicators. Stochastic Oscillator One method of interpreting the Stochastic Oscillator is looking for overbought areas […]
Bitcoin at 2 Yr High on Shrinking Supply Bitcoin runs to a 2-year high on speculation that the supply of the digital currency will shrink. The crypto-currency rallied to $696.5 Monday in Hong Kong, the highest since February 2014. It was trading at $689.23 as of 3:50p in Hong Kong, + 19% from Friday. Profits […]
Beijing Promotes International Use of RMB Yuan Sunday, China’s state-owned currency marketplace said it is preparing to open branches in London and New York as part of efforts to promote the RMB Yuan’s global status. The China Foreign Exchange Trade System (CFETS), a subsidiary of China’s central bank (PBOC), said in a statement that by […]
Chinese Yuan (CN¥) ⇨ US Dollar ($) (CNYUSD) Outlook FOREX CNY= closed up 0.019 at 6.581. Volume was 11% above average (neutral) and Bollinger Bands were 39% wider than normal. Open High Low Close Volume___ 6.578 6.582 6.574 6.581 2,418 Technical Outlook Short Term: Overbought Intermediate Term: Bullish Long Term: Bullish Moving Averages: 10-period 50-period […]
China: Asia’s Most Attractive Consumer Market China was the most promising consumer market in Asia in Y 2015, and will probably remain so in the next 4 years, according to a report released Thursday. “Even as China’s economy slows and its population ages, it appears set to remain the most attractive Asian market for retailers […]
US RMB Yuan Trading, Clearing Advocates Rally the Need The US market’s USD-centric approach is changing with the RMB Yuan becoming more internationalized. The heads of a US working group formed to push use of the Chinese currency in the United States claim that expanding RMB trading and clearing there will help both the Chinese […]
