2020: Wall Street Extends Rally Ahead of a Long Holiday Weekend

2020: Wall Street Extends Rally Ahead of a Long Holiday Weekend

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX As a reminder, the market will be closed on Monday for Martin Luther King Jr. Day. Friday: Overall, it was a relatively subdued session that had the potential for even more gainers, as housing starts rose to their highest level in 13 years in December, China’s industrial production rose more […]

President Trump Inks P-1 of China Trade Deal: DJIA, S&P 500 Close at Record Highs

President Trump Inks P-1 of China Trade Deal: DJIA, S&P 500 Close at Record Highs

$DIA $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wednesday, the DJIA closed above 29,000 for the 1st time plus the S&P 500 closed at a record high after the United States and China signed the Phase 1 trade agreement and pledged to resolve the 2 yr tariff dispute. The centerpiece of the agreement is a pledge by China […]

DJIA 40,000 Just a Few Years Away

DJIA 40,000 Just a Few Years Away

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX S&P 500 and NAS Comp closed at record highs ahead of earnings season Monday’s advance is attributed to these factors: The positive price action buoying sentiment Expectations that the upcoming earnings season will include reassuring guidance News the Us will remove China from its currency manipulator list, thereby improving trade […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Y 2020 extended Y 2019 action as the big tech names led and the smaller-caps lagged. While the S&P 500’s valuation chart may be giving some investors flashbacks to the Y 2018 market meltdown, the Bulls are resolute. Corporate earnings are expected to fall for a 2nd Q running, as […]

America’s Greatest Bull Market Powers Through the Mideast Storm

America’s Greatest Bull Market Powers Through the Mideast Storm

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Late Friday US stocks came off from record-high marks as investors took profit and data showed slower-than-expected December US jobs growth, but the major indexes posted gainers on the week. Domestic jobs increased by 145,000 last month, below the forecast for a 164,000 rise, the US government data showed, as the pace […]

President Trump Elated as the Financial Markets Post Fresh Record Highs

President Trump Elated as the Financial Markets Post Fresh Record Highs

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $AAPL, $AMD President Trump cheered as US stocks posted record high closes on Thursday as optimism about a US-China trade deal firmed and as Apple and other market heavyweights posted strong gains. “STOCK MARKET AT ALL-TIME HIGH! HOW ARE YOUR 401K’S DOING? 70%, 80%, 90% up? Only 50% up! What are you […]

2020: USA, No Recession, Steady Economy, Low Inflation

2020: USA, No Recession, Steady Economy, Low Inflation

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX US stocks will continue to rise this year on very little chance of a recession, and low inflation driving steady economic growth, with real GDP growing around 2.0%, and inflation remains below 2.0%. That is our outlook for Y 2020. We do not see a recession in this year’s US […]

2020: The Fed and Q-4’s Initiation

2020: The Fed and Q-4’s Initiation

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $VXX Last September something happened in the “repo” short-term financing market. Liquidity dried up, interest rates spiked, and the Fed stepped in to save the day. On 12 December a New York Fed statement said its trading desk would increase its repo operations around year end “to ensure that the supply of reserves remains […]

2020: What to Watch For in Commodities

2020: What to Watch For in Commodities

$DIA $SPY $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $SOY, $CORN, $XAU, $CU, $USO This is our 1st What to Watch in the commodities sector, it is an overview of what to expect. The picture mixed, complex picture that emerges. The list covers oil, gold, copper, iron ore, pork and more. The year’s 1st full week of trading could […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, as it Goes Back to Work in 2020

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street, as it Goes Back to Work in 2020

$DIA $SPY $QQQ $RUTX $APPL $VXX The Y 2020 started off with a Y 2019 flavor as the big names led and the smaller-caps lagged. Chinese stimulus got some credit for the gains, but there is no doubt that new money was put to work as the volume rose to solid marks. Buyers want stocks, […]

2020: Fed Last Month Saw a Declining Risk of Recession

2020: Fed Last Month Saw a Declining Risk of Recession

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The Trump policies are working to Make and Keep America Great! The Fed’s FOMC policy making committee saw much less risk of recession at its most recent meeting last month, when it kept interest rates steady after 3 straight cuts and signaled that it expected to keep low rates unchanged […]

2020: Day 1 on Wall Street, Stocks Extend the Bull Run to New Record Highs

2020: Day 1 on Wall Street, Stocks Extend the Bull Run to New Record Highs

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $AAPL Thursday, Wall Street’s major stock market indexes market record highs to open Y 2020,as fresh economic stimulus from China added to optimism fueled by easing trade tensions and an improving global outlook. China’s central bank said Wednesday it would cut the amount of cash that all banks must hold […]

The Financial Markets in Year of the Rat 2020

The Financial Markets in Year of the Rat 2020

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XRT, $IWM Our New Year is here and we are just a few weeks away from the Chinese New Year, so not too early to share some of my favorite Chinese Astrologer’s thoughts on the coming Year of the Rat, he is famous for his predictions, but not perfect. The background: […]

‘Trump Power’ Economy to Be Strong in 2020, Become Even More Powerful

‘Trump Power’ Economy to Be Strong in 2020, Become Even More Powerful

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX By almost every measure the US economy did well in Y 2019 though growth was slower than Y 2018. For next year, contrary to the consensus view from most economists, economic growth will accelerate. And growth could increase even more after Y 2020. President Trump has set the stage for […]

S&P 500 Marks Another Record High as Santa Claus Continues the Rally

S&P 500 Marks Another Record High as Santa Claus Continues the Rally

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 finished little changed Friday and the NAS Comp ended an 11-day streak of gainers after some late-session weakness, the DJIA another record as investors play the Santa Claus rally. The DJIA rose 23.53 points, or 0.08%, to 28,644.92, the S&P 500 gained 0.07 points, or 0.00%, to […]

Global Stocks Rise $17-T YTD

Global Stocks Rise $17-T YTD

$SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $DIA, $DE Global stock markets gained $17-T in total value in 2019 according to the information based on Deutsche Bank calculations. The chart from Deutsche Bank (NYSE:DE), the value of global equities began the year just under $70-T but now exceeds $85-T. Political developments and an easier monetary policy have helped spark […]

President Trump is the Key to US Stock Market’s Growth

President Trump is the Key to US Stock Market’s Growth

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wall Street’s indexes set new records again, The Trump Policies are working President Trump is the main reason for the recent strength in the stock market, more so than the impartial evaluations of how the economy is performing, Nobel-prize winning economist Robert Shiller said during a appearance Sunday. Dr. Shiller […]

The DJIA & SP 500 Marked Record Highs After US House Voted Articles of Impeachment Vs President Trump

The DJIA & SP 500 Marked Record Highs After US House Voted Articles of Impeachment Vs President Trump

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Last week Though the House of Representatives voted to impeach President Trump Wednesday night, the stock market rose to new record highs in their 1st session after the news, boosted by trade progress and a US economy that continues to hold steady. Large-cap indices renewed the Northside with more vim […]

Wall Street Marks Another Record High on Consumer and Trade Optimism

Wall Street Marks Another Record High on Consumer and Trade Optimism

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wall Street stocks hit record closing highs again Friday and the S&P 500 registered its biggest weekly percentage gain since early September after data showed a rise in consumer spending and investors continued to be optimistic over progress in the US-China trade dispute. President Trump declared progress on issues from […]

Trump Policies Working: US Economy in Longest Expansion Ever

Trump Policies Working: US Economy in Longest Expansion Ever

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX For the 1st time ever, the US economy started and ended an entire decade without a recession, the longest expansion in our history, researchers say. The National Bureau of Economic Research found, as of December, the economy has expanded for a record 126 consecutive months. “It is unusual that this […]

History Suggests Wall Street Need Not Worry About President Trump’s Impeachment

History Suggests Wall Street Need Not Worry About President Trump’s Impeachment

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wednesday, President Trump appeared on the cusp of becoming only the 3rd US President to be impeached, history suggests investors need not worry, even though it adds uncertainty on Wall Street. Strong partisan divisions were on display as members of the House of Representatives engaged in a debate ahead of historic […]

Seeing This Bull Market Extending into 2020, Not ‘Melting-up’

Seeing This Bull Market Extending into 2020, Not ‘Melting-up’

$SPY, $DIA, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $BAC, $UBS, Analysts at Bank of America Merrill Lynch, described this Bull market as “primed for Q-1 2020 risk asset melt-up,” with the Fed and the ECB still providing ample support to portions of the market and economy that have shown some signs of softness aka printing money. UBS Global […]

DJIA Plus 10,000 Pts Since President Trump’s Election

DJIA Plus 10,000 Pts Since President Trump’s Election

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $AAPL, $VXX Wall Street stocks marked another record closing high Monday, as the DJIA gained 10,000 points since Donald Trump was elected President. The Dow’s high point on Monday was 28,337.49, it closed at 18,332.74 on 8 November 2016 The index has rallied more than 54% since President Trump’s election victory, while the benchmark S&P […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Am seeing earnings revival boosting stock rally in Y 2020 But 1st, this is what happened last week: The Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) has held steady and is not going to raise rates in Y 2020. Chairman Powell is also open to bond purchases. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) […]

US-China Reached a Trade Deal, Sunday Tariffs Off

US-China Reached a Trade Deal, Sunday Tariffs Off

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wall Street closed little changed after P-1 China trade deal reached President Trump said Friday that the US has canceled plans to impose new tariffs on $160-B in worth of Chinese imports Sunday as part of a modest interim agreement that de-escalates a 17-month trade dispute between the world’s 2 […]

President Trump Signs Off on Trade Deal With China, Wall Street Marks Fresh Record Highs

President Trump Signs Off on Trade Deal With China, Wall Street Marks Fresh Record Highs

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX An HeffX-LTN Key indicator for extending this Bull Market: The last vestige of the financial crisis ended Thursday as financial stocks in the S&P 500 passed their prior closing high eclipsing the record marked in Feb 2007 before losing more than 80% of their value in less than 2 yrs. […]

Fed May Launch QE-4 Before Year-End to Ease Market Stress

Fed May Launch QE-4 Before Year-End to Ease Market Stress

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX, $CS Credit Suisse (NYSE:CS) analyst now predicts that a 4th round of QE (quantitative easing) will be needed before year’s end to ease mounting pressure in the short-term lending markets. He said QE-4 would help rebuild bank reserves, which have dropped as the Fed has shrunk its balance sheet. QE, […]

“Proper US-China Trade Deal More Important Than Timing”

“Proper US-China Trade Deal More Important Than Timing”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The Commerce Secretary said the world’s 2 largest economies still needed to work out details about China’s purchases of farm products, some structural issues and an enforcement mechanism in order to ink an interim trade agreement that President Trump hoped to complete last month. President Trump, speaking in Europe Tuesday, […]

Data on Your Spending Habits a Gold Mine for Big Banks

Data on Your Spending Habits a Gold Mine for Big Banks

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX There are powerful new players watching what you buy so it can tailor product offerings for you, they are the banks behind your credit or debit card. The banks want to turn data they already have on your spending habits into extra revenue by identifying likely customers for retailers. Banks […]

US Consumer Spending on the Rise

US Consumer Spending on the Rise

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Americans increased their spending in October at the fastest rate in 3 months even though income growth was essentially flat, its weakest showing in 13 months. The Commerce Department said Wednesday that consumer spending rose 0.3% last month, the best gainer since a 0.5% rise in July. An inflation gauge that is […]

DJIA Marks 100th Record Close Under President Trump

DJIA Marks 100th Record Close Under President Trump

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Tuesday, US stocks edged higher, and all 3 major Wall Street indexes marked record levels, as upbeat comments by President Trump on trade talks eclipsed some softer-than-anticipated economic data, as the DJIA posted its 100th record close since Trump took office. President Trump said the United States and China were […]

Wall Street Marks Fresh Record Highs on Optimistic Trade Resolution

Wall Street Marks Fresh Record Highs on Optimistic Trade Resolution

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wall Street’s 3 major averages kicked off the trading week by closing at records Monday as signs pointed to progress between the United States and China on a trade truce, while a round of merger deals also helped buoy investor sentiment. President Donald Trump applauded the achievement. “Another new Stock […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $XAU, $GLD, $VXX Conditions setting up for the Santa Claus Rally A year after the US stock market plunged on the Fed’s acts, many investors believe conditions are set for a rally to finish off Y 2019. A more accommodative Fed compared with a year ago is an important argument for […]

Facts Do Not Square With Sensational Headlines…Tune Out the Noise

Facts Do Not Square With Sensational Headlines…Tune Out the Noise

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Billionaire Ray Dalio said his macro hedge fund firm Bridgewater Associates does not have a net bet that the stock market will fall. A Wall Street Journal article published earlier Friday is “wrong,” Mr. Dalio wrote in a LinkedIn post. “I want to make clear that we don’t have any such […]

Manufacturing, Labor Market Data Signal Slowing Economy

Manufacturing, Labor Market Data Signal Slowing Economy

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Initial claims for the week ending 16 November were unchanged at 227,000 (consensus 216,000). Continuing claims for the week ending 9 November were up 3,000 to 1.695-M. The Key takeaway from the report is that initial claims have been more elevated than usual in recent weeks, suggesting perhaps that they have […]

Target (NYSE:TGT) at Record Highs on Sales Beat, Raised Forecast

Target (NYSE:TGT) at Record Highs on Sales Beat, Raised Forecast

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $TGT, $VXX Target Corp. (NYSE:TGT) reached a record high after raising its F-Y (full-year) outlook again on strong sales and profitability, providing a safe haven after several retailers unnerved investors. The stock, the best performer in the S&P 500 Index Wednesday, had already soared 68% this year through Tuesday. Target raised […]

Markets Wrap with Tech Lifting NAS to Record

Markets Wrap with Tech Lifting NAS to Record

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 declined 0.1% Tuesday in a mixed session. The retail industry was under pressure following disappointing quarterly results and guidance from Home Depot (HD 225.86, -12.99, -5.4%) and Kohl’s (KSS 47.02, -11.38, -19.5%) The NAS Comp climbed to a fresh record on the back of gains in mega cap tech companies even as the […]

President Trump Will Continue to Defend the US Economy (Video)

President Trump Will Continue to Defend the US Economy (Video)

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 (+0.1%), DJIA (+0.1%), and NAS Comp (+0.1%) eked out incremental gains to close at record highs Monday. The Russell 2000 (-0.3%) closed in negative territory.  Before President Trump, China has intended to take over the world. White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow proclaimed that President Trump will […]

Impeachment Probe Does Not Bother President Trump or the Stock Market

Impeachment Probe Does Not Bother President Trump or the Stock Market

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX S&P 500, DJIA closed at record highs, again! Public impeachment hearings in Congress about President Trump’s attempts to pressure Ukraine to have scant influence on markets, some analysts said Wednesday. These hearings will be the height of drama inside the beltway, but our sense is that the market impact will […]

President Trump Talks Economy and Trade, Market Responds Positively

President Trump Talks Economy and Trade, Market Responds Positively

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RTUX, $VXX The benchmark S&P 500 stock index posted a slim gainer Tuesday as President Trump said the United States is close to signing an initial trade deal with China and lauded the economy. The S&P 500 and NAS marked all-time highs during trading but stocks ended off session highs with investors […]

Mutual Funds Vs ETFs

Mutual Funds Vs ETFs

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ An Overview Mutual funds and exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have a lot in common. Both types of funds consist of a mix of many different assets and represent a common way for investors to diversify. There are Key differences in the way they are managed. ETFs can be traded like stocks, while mutual […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Risk is on, sidelined money coming back in and the market is posting record highs almost on a daily basis. The earnings news is providing its share of trading catalysts, but the macro news is mattering more as a market driver because the macro connection with the employment report, earnings […]

S&P 500 Marks 5th Week of Gains, as Wall Street Hits New Records

S&P 500 Marks 5th Week of Gains, as Wall Street Hits New Records

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Friday, the 3 major US stock market indexes posted record closing highs and the S&P 500 registered a 5th straight week of gainers as investors brushed aside worries over the progress of US-China trade talks and as Walt Disney shares rose. The Cboe volatility index .VIX posted its lowest closing […]

Americans Buy ‘Made in the USA’, Stocks Surge

Americans Buy ‘Made in the USA’, Stocks Surge

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The DJIA and S&P 500 notched record closing highs again Thursday, as President Trump continues to cheer as the market continues to charge higher into record territory. “Stock Markets (all three) hit another ALL TIME & HISTORIC HIGH yesterday! You are sooo lucky to have me as your President (just kidding!). […]

The US Stock Market Finished Flat to Little Changed

The US Stock Market Finished Flat to Little Changed

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The stock market closed flat to little changed Wednesday, marking the 2nd straight day for the Bull’s pause to refresh near record highs. The S&P 500 (+0.1%), DJIA (unch), and NAS Comp (-0.3%) closed within 0.3% of their flat lines, the Russell 2000 (-0.6%) lagged. Wednesday, the DJIA -0.07 at 27492.60, NAS Comp -24.05 at 8410.63, S&P 500 […]

“Low interest rates and budget deficit spending will be a boon for the market”

“Low interest rates and budget deficit spending will be a boon for the market”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX “Efforts to stimulate global economies are boosting equities in a way I have never seen before.”– Paul Tudor Jones Mr. Jones also said Tuesday that next year’s Presidential election “will be more meaningful than any in my lifetime.” Governments and central bankers from Japan to the US are taking steps […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Risk is on, sidelined money coming back in. The earnings news is providing its share of trading catalysts, but the macro news is mattering more as a market driver because the macro connection with the employment report is that it suggests future earnings news may be better than expected. The […]

US Bull Market Heating Up Again, as YTD Gainer Hits 22%

US Bull Market Heating Up Again, as YTD Gainer Hits 22%

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX NAS Comp +26.4% YTD S&P 500 +22.3% YTD Russell 2000 +17.9% YTD DJIA +17.2% YTD This Bull may be old but it is not tired. A Bull market that traces its lineage to the depths of the financial crisis has marked its 4th straight weekly gainer and pushing its gain […]

“Trade War Naysayers Must Apologize”

“Trade War Naysayers Must Apologize”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX S&P 500 sets new intraday and closing records DJIA +132.66 at 27090.72, NAS Comp +82.87 at 8325.99, S&P 500 +16.87 at 3039.42 Volume: Trade on the NYSE came at 777-M/shares exchanged The S&P 500 set new record highs Monday, increasing 0.6% as trade sentiment remained upbeat and investors reacted positively to corporate news. The NAS Comp (+1.0%) and […]

Paul Ebeling’s DC Commentary: “Investors Ignoring Trump Impeachment ‘Noise'”

Paul Ebeling’s DC Commentary: “Investors Ignoring Trump Impeachment ‘Noise

$USD, $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The US Dem House’s impeachment focus is not even a distraction to the financial market, as nothing will or can come of it, as in the world of geopolitics something big happened at the weekend. Sunday, President Trump announced that Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi, the leader of the so-called Islamic […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street (Risk On Update)

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street (Risk On Update)

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX About 20% of S&P 500 members reported earnings this week, and on balance they have beaten expectations. That has persuaded investors US companies are weathering the trade storm and reminded them slowing global growth is not the same as no global growth, or Risk On! Stay tuned… The Big Qs: […]

The Weekly Wrap Up

The Weekly Wrap Up

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Week in Review: Cyclical sectors lead S&P 500 back to record levels in earnings-driven advance The S&P 500 advanced for the 3rd week running, rising 1.2% and nearly setting new record highs as investors remained pleased with earnings reports.  The DJIA rose 0.7%, the NAS Comp rose 1.9%, and the […]

China Keeps Open Door Policy to FDI Despite Trade Dispute

China Keeps Open Door Policy to FDI Despite Trade Dispute

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 lost 0.4% Tuesday in a newsy session. Company-specific news contributed to outsized stock moves, but overall gainers in broader market had been nominal until a hiccup on the BREXIT issue dragged the major indices into the Red. The benchmark index closed at session lows below the 3000 […]

US Q-3 Earnings, Here They Come

US Q-3 Earnings, Here They Come

$SPY, $SPX, $SPLRCT, $USD, $EUR, US companies are preparing to report Q-3 earnings following a few months grappling with a US-China trade conflict undermining the business environment and an overall economy that has been showing signs of slowing. Among S&P 500 (SPX) earnings for the July-September frame look set to mark the weakest performance in […]

President Trump has China “Where He Wants Them on Trade” + Closing Market Summary

President Trump has China “Where He Wants Them on Trade” + Closing Market Summary

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Stock market guru, Jim Cramer said President Trump has the upper hand in the China trade distpute because tariffs are hurting the Chinese economy way more than the US economy. “Hate him or like him, he has them where he wants them,”  Mr. Cramer said on TV Friday. “I always […]

Signs Point to Weak NFPs Report, We Wait, We See…

Signs Point to Weak NFPs Report, We Wait, We See…

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX US stocks recover from oversold condition, soft data boosts rate-cut expectations. The recent ADP job numbers suggest that employers are either having difficulty filling positions, are hiring fewer people due to weaker demand, or both. The lowest manufacturing jobs gauge since Y 2016. Slower private hiring. A sharp drop in […]

US Stocks Decline for a 2nd Day Running, EU Tariffs Loom

US Stocks Decline for a 2nd Day Running, EU Tariffs Loom

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $ESDAY, $VXX Wednesday’s US economic data included the ADP Employment Change report for September and the weekly MBA Mortgage Applications Index. The takeaways are as follows: Private-sector payrolls were estimated to have increased by 135,000 in September (consensus 150-K) while the prior month’s print was revised down to 157-K from 195,000. Private-sector […]

US Stocks Advanced for 3rd Quarter Running

US Stocks Advanced for 3rd Quarter Running

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USD, $USO, $GLD, $XAU, $VXX US stocks advanced for the 3rd Quarter running, as investors weighed the latest turns in the trade dispute between the world’s 2 largest economies. The USD rose and Treasuries moved higher. Tech drove the rise after The Trump Administration partially refuted a report it would target […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $GLD, $VXX Investing in this market successfully requires the creation of an investing strategy that outperforms the broader market. Consider, Factor Investing, it is not new, dating to the mid-1970’s, and has been boosted over the past few years from the acceptance of ETFs. Now, there is over $900-B invested in […]

President Trump Could Delist Chinese Companies From US Markets

President Trump Could Delist Chinese Companies From US Markets

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Friday, US financial markets suffered a trade-related happening on concern The Trump Administration may move to limit US investment in China, a move sure to raise tensions. The S&P 500 turned lower after it was reported that officials are discussing ways to restrict portfolio flows into the world’s 2nd-largest economy. […]

Understanding This Market Into the Q’s End

Understanding This Market Into the Q’s End

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX At the close: DJIA -142.22 at 26807.77, NAS Comp -118.84 at 7993.62, S&P 500 -25.18 at 2966.64 US stocks fell Tuesday, as investors shunned risk following a decline in consumer confidence, and a hard-lined speech from President Trump. The S&P 500 (-0.8%) and DJIA (-0.5%) declined less than 1%, while the NAS Composite (-1.5%) and Russell […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $GLD, $VXX SPECIAL REPORT: The Future of this Rally, what is Next? Thee DJIA futures are up a bit Sunday night, along with S&P 500 futures and NAS Comp futures. This stock market rally has stood negative headlines, but is not yet making a final push to record highs. Arguably, this […]

President Trump Has “Muscled” the Stock Market Away from the Fed

President Trump Has “Muscled” the Stock Market Away from the Fed

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $USD, $VXX This week the Fed cut interest rates for the 2nd time since the Great Recession, and found its hands full with another event with potentially catastrophic implications for the economy. In short, liquidity in the repo markets, a critical cog in the financial system machine seized Tuesday. In response, […]

President Trump Hammers Fed’s Powell, “No Guts, No Sense, No Vision!”

President Trump Hammers Fed’s Powell, “No Guts, No Sense, No Vision!”

$DIA, $QQQ, $SPY, RUTX, $VXX President Trump Tweeted: “Fed, Powell ‘Fail Again’”After FOMC Rate Cut The Fed cut interest rates for the 2nd time since July, and it was not enough for President Trump. President Trump assailed policy makers just mins after their decision Wednesday to cut the benchmark interest rate by 25 bts. “Jay […]

Wall Street Nears Record Highs Ahead of FOMC Policy Announcement

Wall Street Nears Record Highs Ahead of FOMC Policy Announcement

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $$USO, $XAU, $GLD, $VXX S&P 500 closed higher in front of FOMC interest rate decision Wednesday 9 of the 11 S&P 500 sectors finished higher, led by the real estate (+1.4%), utilities (+0.9%), and materials (+0.7%) sectors. The energy (-1.5%) and industrials (-0.04%) sectors were the sectors to finish in the […]

What Will the Attack on Saudi Crude Oil Facilities Mean for Consumers?

What Will the Attack on Saudi Crude Oil Facilities Mean for Consumers?

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $OIL, $USO, $VXX Wall Street closed lower, Crude Oil prices spiked after attack in Saudi Arabia The attack knocked about 5.7-M BPD out of production, leading to the biggest 1-day gainer in WTI Crude Oil ($62.88/bbl, +$8.00, +14.6%) since Y 2008. Saudi Arabia expected to restore about 33% of lost production […]

The Market is Asking, “How low can the Fed go”?

The Market is Asking, “How low can the Fed go”?

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX With US-China trade tensions having roiled financial markets, investors are counting on support for stocks coming from a Fed willing to keep cutting interest rates to help the US economy avoid a severe downturn. A 1/4th pt rate reduction is expected when the FOMC issues its next policy statement this […]

Wall Street Finished Higher on Trade, ECB Stimulus for the 7th Session Running

Wall Street Finished Higher on Trade, ECB Stimulus for the 7th Session Running

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $SOY, $VXX US stocks extend rally on trade developments, ECB stimulus measures Tech gains led the S&P 500 and the NAS Comp higher, while financials gave the biggest boost to the blue-chip DJIA, which closed up for the 7th session running, its longest winning streak since May. Stocks rose worldwide as […]

Goldie’s Simple Answer to Clients: “Buy US Stocks 1st”

Goldie’s Simple Answer to Clients: “Buy US Stocks 1st”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX S&P 500 finishes higher as value stocks outperform Goldman Sach’s Private Wealth Management team has a simple firm message for its wealthy clients: stick with US equities. “As we have gone through various crises, we have still told clients to stay invested and not get out of US equities, it’s […]

US Consumer Inflation Expectations Mark New Low

US Consumer Inflation Expectations Mark New Low

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Monday, the S&P 500 closed unchanged, as energy, financials outperformed US consumers’ inflation expectations declined in August and workers grew more pessimistic about their job situation, data from the New York Federal Reserve showed Monday, supporting the case for further interest rate cuts. The New York Fed’s monthly survey of consumer […]

Fed Chairman Powell Does Not See Recession: Mission “Sustain Expansion”

Fed Chairman Powell Does Not See Recession: Mission “Sustain Expansion”

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The stock market finished mixed Friday; the S&P 500 (+0.1%) and DJIA (+0.3%) closed just above unchanged, while the NAS Comp (-0.2%) and Russell 2000 (-0.4%) closed slightly lower. On Friday, Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said the most likely outlook for the US and world economy is continued moderate growth, […]

Wall Street Bulls Are Back in Rally Mode

Wall Street Bulls Are Back in Rally Mode

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Thursday, US stocks spiked on expectations of a de-escalation in trade tensions after Washington and Beijing agreed to hold high-level talks in early October, while at the same time strong US economic data eased fears of a domestic slowdown. The ADP National Employment Report, considered a precursor to the Labor […]

US-China Agree to Hold Trade Talks in October, Stock Futures Spike

US-China Agree to Hold Trade Talks in October, Stock Futures Spike

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ China and the United States agreed to hold high-level trade talks in early October in Washington, China’s commerce ministry said Thursday. The announcement followed a call earlier in the day between China’s Vice Premier Liu He and US Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and U Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin, the Ministry of Commerce […]

Wall Street Liked China Data, Hong Kong and BREXIT News

Wall Street Liked China Data, Hong Kong and BREXIT News

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Wall Street’s Key stock indexes bounced Wednesday, after robust economic data from China, easing tensions in Hong Kong and British lawmakers’ approval of a law to delay BREXIT provided some optimism to investors worried about global growth. The Fed’s September Beige Book described overall economic activity as expanding at a […]

Corporate Executives Are Buying Stocks…Are You?

Corporate Executives Are Buying Stocks…Are You?

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX When stock markets declined in August, 1 group of investors showed unshakable confidence, Company insiders. So much that the buy-to-sell ratio of corporate executives in Europe reached its highest mark since December, according to data compiled by 2iQ Research. Such spike in the ratio, 3.3 in August is usually seen […]

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

Commentary: Paul Ebeling on Wall Street

$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $GLD, $SLV, $USD, $VXX FlASH: Global Market Uncertainty Means Precious Metals Will Continue To Rise This level of uncertainty in the global markets will prompt a massive move in the precious metals markets as traders and investors continue to put money into precious metals as a means to hedge against fear […]

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