The Christine Lagarde-era at the European Central Bank (ECB) is underway and the new President gets her 1st chance to frame her outlook for the economy and monetary policy publicly Monday. Ms. Lagarde, who took the mantle on 1 November from Mario Draghi, will speak in Berlin at a time when policy makers at the […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Stock market guru, Jim Cramer said President Trump has the upper hand in the China trade distpute because tariffs are hurting the Chinese economy way more than the US economy. “Hate him or like him, he has them where he wants them,” Mr. Cramer said on TV Friday. “I always […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX Tuesday, President Trump continued his attack on the Fed, and this time saying Chairman Powell and central bankers were “their own worst enemies” after a US manufacturing index posted the weakest monthly reading since the end of the last recession in Y 2009. “As I predicted, Jay Powell and the […]
$SPY, $SPX The Fed is set to cut interest rates this week and may still not be done delivering monetary stimulus to the economy yet this year. Having already reduced their benchmark in July to 2.0%-2.25%, Chairman Powell and colleagues will pare another 25 bpts Wednesday to support the slowing economy, according to a survey […]
Again Friday, President Trump hammered the Fed in 3 Tweets; declaring in 1 that the US economy does not “have a tariff problem, we have a Fed problem.” “The Euro is dropping against the dollar ‘like crazy,’ giving them a big export and manufacturing advantage … and the Fed does NOTHING!” President Trump said in 1 […]
Tuesday, the Fed rejected a call from a former policymaker to counter President Trump’s trade agenda by refusing to “play along” and denying the President the interest rate cuts he demands. “The Federal Reserve’s policy decisions are guided solely by its congressional mandate to maintain price stability and maximum employment,” a Fed spokeswoman said. “Political […]
Tuesday, President Trump continued his attack on the Fed, saying it “loves watching our manufacturers struggle with their exports to the benefit of other parts of the world.” “Has anyone looked at what almost all other countries are doing to take advantage of the good old USA?” the President asked on Twitter. “Our Fed has been calling […]
There is now the “threat of deflation” in the US according to economic adviser Stephen Moore, who says that President Trump needs a catalyst in the trade dispute with China and the Fed can cut interest rates to provide it. “I am calling for the feds to have an emergency meeting next week to announce a […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Last week the market was in consolidation mode and tested the 50-Day MA’s and bounced and… Employment report showed solid jobs growth in July Major averages found buying support at 50-Day MAs INDUSTRY WATCH Strong: Real Estate, Utilities, Consumer Staples Weak: Information Technology, Energy, Materials The CBOE Volatility Index has […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Positive finish to a positive week. Again, the longest Bull market in history has relied on low interest rates, and weakness in jobs. So, if everyone else is worried about stocks, capitalize on the fear and make a a lot of money as the market climes the wall of worry, fear […]
Investment thoughts FLASH: President Trump continues to hammer the Fed, and the market smells the cheap money coming. Pundits are calling for the Fed to stick to its mandate and ignore the usual election cycle games. A broadside about the ineffective trade policies and the damage that is doing to growth, employment and price stability […]
$DIS Friday, ESPN reminded employees of the network’s policy to avoid talking about politics after radio talk show host Dan Le Batard criticized President Donald Trump and his recent racist comments and ESPN itself on the air this week. The reminder went out to all employees, including Mr. Le Batard. ESPN has not spoken publicly […]
$SPY, $DIA, $QQQ The US stock market has that consolidation feel in here, not surprising given the Bull run it had in June and knowing that some notable trading catalysts are lurking just under the surface now. The S&P 500 and the DJIA drifted lower Tuesday, as investors worried over warnings of a hit to […]
$XAU, $GLD, $USD The once-fringe fantasy of a return to the gold standard is creeping back into the mainstream. It has long been dismissed as a fool’s errand, on par with abandoning the Federal Reserve and other trappings of the modern economy. Mainstream economists deride it almost without exception. Reintroducing the gold standard would “be a disaster […]
$GS Goldman Sachs (NYSE:GS) economists are skeptical that trade policy uncertainty is a major drag on business investment now. Instead, they are pointing to other economic indicators, which they say are still okay. “The link between economic policy uncertainty and Capex weakens sharply when taking into account financial conditions and company investment spending expectations, which […]
FLASH: China issues report blaming US for trade dispute, asserts desire for further talks. China’s struggling to save face. The latest US tariffs on Chinese imports will not resolve the 2 countries’ trade issues, and the United States bears responsibility for setbacks in the talks process, a policy paper published by the Chinese government said […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: 2 prominent Fed watchers said they now expect the central bank to cut interest rates this year as policy makers react to a darkening economic outlook. JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) chief US economist Michael Feroli and former Fed Governor Laurence Meyer both said the Fed will act […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: The S&P 500 reclaimed its 200-Day MA (2776) after falling below the Key technical mark during the day and bouncing Wednesday US stocks declined Wednesday, with the S&P 500 and NAS Comp closing just above Key support marks, as worries that a lengthy US-China trade war would crimp […]
$DIA, $SPY, $SOX, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: This economic expansion is set to become longest in US history, according to the latest leading-indicators data. The Conference Board Leading Economic Index (LEI) for the US increased 0.2% in April to 112.1, following a 0.3% increase in March, and a 0.2% increase in February. “The US LEI rose […]
$XAU, $GLD, $USD President Trump’s plans to nominate Stephen Moore and Herman Cain to the Fed board, and that move points back to The Gold Standard, a policy option once advocated by both men and President Trump himself. The Big Q: What is the case for returning to The Gold Standard? The Big A: Is […]
FLASH: Top White House officials Sunday defended President Trump’s plan to name 2 political loyalists to the Fed’s board of governors, brushing aside controversies over their personal lives and qualifications to help run the world’s most powerful central bank. White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow and acting White House Chief of Staff Mick Mulvaney used […]
FLASH: The Y 2020 Election’s Key May Be America First! Thataccording to Defense One. Next year, all announced Dems in the White House race, except 1, possible contender Joe Biden have little experience in shaping America’s place in the world. But President Trump’s ‘America First’ non-interventionist foreign policy will likely make the issue a Hot […]
Club for Growth founder and former-Trump campaign adviser Stephen Moore says his harsh criticism of the Fed for raising interest rates was ‘spot-on’. In an in interview Monday with The Wall Street Journal, Mr. Moore, President Trump’s pick for a Federal Reserve Board seat, said the central banks’ recent policy pivot proves he was right. Mr. Moore had […]
$TSLA FLASH: Tesla’s Elon Musk says it is up to him when to submit Tweets for company approval. The US Securities and Exchange Commission is 2Xing down on the government’s demand to find the Tesla (NASDAQ:TSLA) CEO in contempt of a previous fraud settlement that required him to have the company pre-approve any tweets that […]
$USD White House economic adviser Larry Kudlow rejects criticism that the US economy is only growing because of a “sugar high” from The Trump Administration’s tax reform. He predicted that President Trump’s “pro-growth policies on taxes and regulation” will continue to stoke growth far into the future. Some economists contended that the economy is losing […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX FLASH: Next Fed rate hike several FMOC meetings ahead With inflation muted, but other risks to the US economy on the rise, the Fed’s patience on policy is nowhere close to running out, with 1 previously Kawkish central banker Tuesday signaling he could wait until at least June before touching […]
FLASH: Harvard/Harris Poll: 3-in-4 Voters Favor ‘America First’ on Immigration, Trade, and Trump Foreign Policy About 3-in-4 American voters favor a populist-nationalist “America First” legal immigration, trade, and foreign policy platform from candidates running for office that prioritizes protecting the way of life and economic security of United States citizens above all else. The latest Harvard/Harris Poll finds […]
When the Fed’s FOMC policymakers met last month and put it 3-year rate-hike campaign on hold and backed ending a yearlong push to shrink their $4-T balance sheet, that was draining the liquidity out of the system and shrinking the wealth of American house holds by the trillions of dollars, they cited increased risks to […]
FLASH: The Trump Policy at Work for Americans The Key takeaways from the FOMC Minutes from the 29-30 January meeting, as follows: There was widespread agreement for the FOMC to end shrinkage of the $4-T balance sheet by the end of the year. The timetable ends uncertainty over whether shedding assets would further tighten financial conditions. The […]
US President Trump’s declaration of a national emergency to circumvent Congress and spend billions of dollars for a border wall is the latest example of him relishing using the power of the Presidency to do whatever he can without Congress. This was made even clearer by a revelation from a senior White House official that shortly […]
FLASH: French police fired tear gas to disperse protesters who threw projectiles and set bins on fire in Paris, Lyon and Bordeaux on Saturday, as the 14th straight weekend of “yellow vest” protests took a violent turn Saturday afternoon. The failed socialist EU experiment under siege French far-right leader Marine Le Pen feels she is […]
The Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell said again Wednesday the US economy remains in a “good place” and has proved resilient so far to shocks like the British decision to leave the European Union. “The US economy is now in a good place,” with low unemployment and inflation near the Fed’s 2% target, Chairman Powell […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX President Trump will enjoy the backdrop of a solid economy as he delivers his 2nd State of the Union address Tuesday evening. The President will point to the latest signs of US economic strength: Friday’s jobs report showed that employers added the most jobs in January in nearly a year. […]
Monday, President Trump summoned Fed Chairman Jerome Powell to the White House for dinner to discuss recent economic developments and the overall outlook. The Fed is being tight lipped about the ongoing monetary policy discussions with President Trump. Chairman Powell’s comments were “consistent with his remarks at his press conference of last week,” the Fed […]
President Trump is set to deliver his State of the Union speech. His topic is “choosing greatness.” White House officials say President Trump is not expected to dwell on the 15 February deadline for a budget deal for The Wall. Instead, President Trump is expected to strike a unifying tone and focus on areas of […]
US treasury traders are bracing for heightened volatility next week as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell ushers in a new era of press conferences after every meeting, while the US and China meet again for trade talks. The FOMC is expected to keep interest rates unchanged following the 9 hikes since Y 2015. But investors see […]
UK PM Theresa May unveiled her BREXIT Plan Monday, and it looks a lot like Plan A. Mr.s May launched a mission to resuscitate her rejected EU divorce deal, setting out plans to get it approved by Parliament after securing changes from the EU to a contentious Irish border measure. Mrs. May’s opponents expressed incredulity. […]
Friday, White House senior economic adviser Larry Kudlow said that the United States and China were making progress on trade negotiations but reaching a deal would take time. “We have made some progress with China in the deputy’s meeting in Beijing,” he said in a TV interview. “We are making progress in negotiating on the grandest […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX INDUSTRY WATCH Strong: Industrials, Materials, Financials, Consumer Discretionary Weak: Utilities, Real Estate China’s willingness to eliminate the US trade imbalance. According to a report Friday, China made an offer during trade negotiations earlier this month to boost the amount of US imports, such that the trade balance with the US would be […]
The US financial markets have had the time conger the very strong US jobs report, as well as signs of progress in the China-US trade talks. But, despite the positive news, investors and traders believe the Fed will stop hiking interest rates this year and will cut them in both Ys 2020 and 2021. The difference […]
$DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The S&P 500 gained 3.4% Friday, as Fed Chairman Powell signaled patience and flexibility on rates in light of stronger-than-expected jobs data. The DJIA (+3.3%), the NAS Comp (+4.3%), and the Russell 2000 (+3.8%) also marked strong gains to finish the week + 1.6%, 2.3%, and 3.2%, respectively. All 11 […]
2019 Will Bring Volatility, But No Recession, UBS Said in its year end report The year will bring increased volatility but no recession, UBS predicts in its “2019 Year Ahead” outlook report. Because of that, investors should stay invested and look for opportunities that the uncertain market will provide, the financial firm advised. On balance, […]
Fed Chairman Powell not listening, he is being reprieved a the enemy of the US economy and the equity markets. President Donald Trump expressed confidence in the Fed, and its Chairman, Jerome Powell, following reports that he has discussed firing his central bank chief, though the President complained again that interest rates have been rising […]
$SPY, $WFC, $CS Wells Fargo (NYSE:WFC) cut estimates for stocks next year on concern the Fed is making policy mistakes that will dampen US economic growth. Chris Harvey, head of equity strategy at the bank, cut his year-end target for the S&P 500 Index to 2,665 from 3,079. While the new forecast represents a 10% […]
Expect a Rise in Gold’s Price on Fed’s Dovish Stance on Rate Hikes $XAU, $GLD Gold may be set up to rally as speculation mounts that the Fed will hit the pause button on interest rate hikes in Y 2019. After lift-off in late Y 2015 followed by a rise a year later, the Fed […]
“Growth ‘Cracks’ Will Shape Fed Funds Rate Debate” $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX For the past 2 years we have seen the Fed move ahead with steady rate increases in an economy that has done better than many had expected, boosted by government spending, tax cuts, and global growth. The easy part may be over, […]
The US is ‘Years away from a recession” Many economists, pundits, and talking heads are forecasting that the US is close to entering a recession. The recession could come inY 2020, but some argue it could start as early as next year. While there are a number of signs that point to that conclusion, a […]
Diving Crude Oil Prices Will Dampen Inflation $USO, $OIL, $UGA Crude Oil prices dove 7% Tuesday, and we can expect a reaction from OPEC when they meet on 6 December Shayne and I see more Southside risk for Crude Oil prices, at least until the OPEC meeting where fundamentals supply/demand issues will be on Top of […]
Looking for a Major Bottom in Gold $GLD, $USD Shayne and I do not believe that the weakness in Gold and gold mining stocks is over, the outlook is that another Southside leg getting underway. Should that happen, we are positioned to profit from it. Long-term investors, traders, and speculators should be aware of the […]
President Trump’s Economic Policy Makes Sense “It is Winning!” Larry Kudlow, The Trump Economy’s Strength Is Not a ‘Sugar High’“The economy is booming. We’re in a boom”, the head of the National Economic Council that advises President Donald Trump. The Democrats’ move further left to oppose President Donald Trump and the “booming economy” will be […]
More Tariffs in Store for China if President Trump’s Meeting with President Xi Fails in November $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $RUTX, $VXX The United States is preparing to announce tariffs on all remaining Chinese imports by early December if talks next month between presidents Donald Trump and Xi Jinping fail to ease the trade dispute. The […]
Philly Fed Survey: Trump Trade Disputes Barely Slows Manufacturers’ Investment Plans US Manufacturers in the northeast are largely shrugging off global trade disputes and plan to boost investments next year thanks to tax cuts, according to a Federal Reserve survey. More than 64% of business respondents in the Philadelphia Fed district said tariff and trade […]
Fed’s Current Monetary Policy Raise the Risks of Recession President Trump has criticized recent Fed rate increases, arguing that they threatened economic growth. The Fed’s current monetary policy path would raise the risks of recession in an economy where recent, unexpectedly strong growth may start to taper anyway, St. Louis Fed President James Bullard said […]
President Trump is Not Demanding a Monetary Policy Change at the Fed Wednesday, White House economic advisor Larry Kudlow said that US President Trump was not demanding a policy change at the Fed. President Trump heaped more criticism on the Fed Tuesday, calling rising US interest rates his “biggest threat.” The Trump Administration official said […]
China’s Q-3 GDP Growth Lowest Since the ‘Great Recession’ An official survey confirmed that manufacturers were coming under stress. At this week’s end, global investors and policy makers will likely be given a cold hard reminder of the costs of the US-China trade dispute, with a Reuters poll predicting that China’s Q-3 growth will slow […]
US Economy Experiencing “Extraordinary Times”, Outlook Strong Tuesday, US Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said Tuesday that he sees no need to drop the central bank’s current gradual approach to raising interest rates. Chairman Powell said the combination of steady, low inflation and very low unemployment shows the country is going through “extraordinary times.” The Fed […]
Expect the Fed to Predict Slower Growth, No Recession Ahead Investors have been worried about the potential for a US recession by Y 2020, this week the Fed policy makers are likely to project this 9-year-old expansion will last for a few more years. Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) participants at the close of a […]
“Iran’s Government Will Be Overthrown” Saturday, US President Donald Trump’s personal lawyer Rudy Giuliani said that US sanctions on Iran are leading to economic pain that could lead to a “successful revolution,” contrasting with administration comments that regime change in Tehran is not US policy. “I don’t know when we’re going to overthrow them,” said […]
Secretary Pompeo: “US Iran Policy ‘Straightforward’” Stop being a world sponsor of Terror. US President Donald Trump’s policy on Iran is and has been ‘straightforward’ all along, Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said Friday: Stop being a world sponsor of terror. “We have made it clear that regime change is not President Trump’s policy,” Secretary […]
President Trump’s Tariff Policy to Have Little Inflation Effects $BAC US Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross said that President Donald Trump’s new China tariffs will increase prices but “nobody is going to actually notice.” Secretary Ross said in a TV interview that the tariffs will be “spread across thousands and thousands of products” and “nobody is […]
John Kerry ‘Actively Undermining’ US Policy on Iran Secretary of State Mike Pompeo is unloading on his Obama-era predecessor John Kerry for “actively undermining” US policy on Iran by meeting several times recently with the Iranian foreign minister, who was his main interlocutor in the Iran nuclear deal negotiations. Friday, in blunt and caustic language, […]
Fed Moving to Avert a Recession Due to Falling Unemployment Fed officials tout 10 yrs of falling unemployment as among their major victories in fighting the economic crisis of Y’s 2007 to 2009. Now they are starting to worry they have been too successful. When unemployment falls as low as it is currently, Boston Fed […]
Trade Disputes Poses Little Danger to the Thriving US Economy $GS Goldman Sachs declares President Donald Trump’s economy is growing at a pace of 3.5%, or 2X its estimated potential. Goldman chief economist said the trade war poses little danger to the thriving economy He predicts the Fed will hike interest rates 6 more times […]
Robust Economy All Because of President Trump, Not Mr. Obama It was recently reported that in Q-2 of this year, the economy grew at more than a 4% rate. And it appears the growth rate is accelerating this Quarter as well. At the end of October, the Commerce Department will likely report that the economy […]
US Weekly Jobless Claims Fall Unexpectedly The number of Americans filing for unemployment benefits unexpectedly fell last week, suggesting that a strong economy is helping the labor market weather ongoing trade tensions between the United States along with a host of other countries. Initial claims for state unemployment benefits slipped 6,000 to a seasonally adjusted […]
US Trade Dust-up Causes Rift in Chinese Leadership A growing trade dispute with the US is reported to be causing rifts within China’s Communist Party, with some critics saying that an overly nationalistic Chinese stance may have hardened the US position. President Xi Jinping still has a firm grip on power, but an unusual surge […]
WS-J: California Democrats Prioritize Green Policies Over Fire Prevention The huge wildfires in California are a reckoning for the state’s Democratic lawmakers who have repeatedly chosen to please the green lobby over fire prevention, the WS-J wrote in an editorial. Instead of being outraged at President Donald Trump for calling them out on it, California lawmakers should instead […]
Saudi Arabia’s King Pushes for Peace in the Middle East Saudi Arabia has reassured Arab allies it will not endorse any Middle East peace plan that fails to address Jerusalem’s status or refugees’ right of return, easing their concerns that the Kingdom might back a nascent US deal which aligns with Israel on Key issues. […]
President Trump’s Foreign Policy, “So Far, So Good” Thursday, Senator Tim Scott (R:SC) characterized President Donald Trump’s foreign policy chops as “so far, so good.” In an afternoon TV interview the South Carolina Republican insisted that “we have to have confidence in the President of the United States when he says what he says.” “The […]
The Market is Content with Long-term Treasury Yields The 2-year US Treasury yield rose Tuesday to its highest level in almost 10 years, with the yield curve at its flattest in nearly 11 years, as Fed Chairman Jerome Powell’s upbeat remarks on the economy supported traders’ view of more rate hikes. Chairman Powell, in testimony […]
The Humanitarian Hoax of Illegal Immigrant Family Separation at the US Border $GOOG, $FB, $TWTR Opening Comment: “If the humanitarian hoax of illegal immigrant family separation at the border is successful then leftist Democrats will have duped America into blaming President Trump for the abusive policies of Bill Clinton and Barack Hussein Obama.” The Humanitarian […]
President Trump: “We Will Not Rest Until Our Border Is Secure” Friday, US President Donald Trump hammered the nation’s “weak” immigration laws, telling families of people who died at the hands of illegal immigrants that “our 1st duty, and our highest loyalty, is to the citizens of the United States.” “We will not rest until […]
President Trump “Halted America’s Downward Spiral” It is distasteful to return to my exchange with my esteemed NRO colleague Jonah Goldberg about the column he wrote several weeks ago likening President Trump’s reference to the implantation of FBI informers in his campaign as “Spygate” to McCarthyism. He replied on June 6, citing some of what I had written, […]
Trump Vs Trudeau: Strong USD = Pain for All Canadians $USDCAD The Canadian Dollar (CAD) aka ‘Loonie’ slumped Monday on continuing trade issues between Canada and the US, and there is noting to keep the Loonie from extending its fall. USDCAD, +0.0539% was among the worst performers Monday following the G-7 Summit that saw US President Donald […]
The Next 5 Years Dow Jones Industrial Average or the Barron’s Gold Mining Index? $DIA, $GLD, $SLV The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DIA) closed the week with its BEV plot under -5% for the 1st time since early March. No small thing for the Bulls, seeing the Dow’s BEV plot rising towards its BEV Zero […]
This US Economic Recovery is “Far from over” $JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co. (NYSE:JPM) CEO Jamie Dimon does not see any reason the 9-year economic recovery will end any time soon. “We’re probably in the 6th inning,” Mr. Dimon said Friday at an investor conference in New York. “It’s very possible you’re going to see […]
Some Summer Fun Activities can Invalidate Your Life Insurance Whether your children are out of school or you just want a break from work, the Summer is a popular time for vacations in sunny destinations, such as Hawaii and Florida. But if you are the type of person who regularly likes to spice up travel […]
German Firms Aligning With US on Iran Nuclear Exit, Macron in the Cold $VLKAY, $SIEGY, $BASFY, $EADSY Just a bit ago US Ambassador to Germany Richard Grenell faced backlash for a tweet calling on German companies to cut ties with Iran, a new report says the nation’s countries are starting to cut ties after President Trump announced […]
US Senate to say No to Legal Marijuana US Senator Majority Leader Mitch McConnell (R;KY) just says No A House committee advances a VA medical marijuana bill Pennsylvania’s Governor and Attorney General are not ok with a Philadelphia safe injection site US Marijuana Policy Senator Mitch McConnell (R-KY) is ‘down’ with Hemp, not with MaryJane […]
US Economy: Not to Hot, Not to Cold, Just Right The US with steady growth, low unemployment and tame inflation, the nation is experiencing a “Goldilocks” economy: Not too hot. Not too cold. But just right. That from a Top Fed official Friday, who suggested that the unemployment rate could fall further to 3.5% with […]
Moody’s Rates US Credit “Top Notch” at Aaa $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX This week Moody’s said that it has maintained the United States’ top-notch “Aaa” credit rating, saying the country’s “exceptional” economic strength would counterbalance lower fiscal strength. The ratings agency also kept its stable outlook on the United States and said it expects Washington to resolve […]
President Trump Turns On ‘The War on Weed’ President Trump goes all states’ rights on Jeff Sessions when it comes to marijuana policy The US Attorney General now finds himself out of step with our President President Trump last week signaled a dramatic turnaround in administration marijuana policy, telling Colorado Republican Sen. Cory Gardner that […]
Larry Kudlow Does Not See Major WH Economic Staff Changes US President Donald Trump’s incoming National Economic Council Director Larry Kudlow has asked the staff assembled by outgoing chief Gary Cohn to stay with him. “It’s a terrific staff, and I’ve asked everyone to stay on,” Mr, Kudlow told reporters Trusday. “I’ve met with all […]
People are asking: “Has this market topped.” $DIA, $GLD, $SLV Since February 8th when the Dow Jones broke below its -10% BEV line in the chart below, it’s been building a pennant formation. I don’t know how significant it will be when the BEV plot breaks above or below the pennant, as technical analysis in today’s […]
Rex Tillerson Undercut President Trump, Got Sacked President Trump sacked Rex Tillerson on Twitter Rex Tillerson got Fired as Secretary of State because he undercut US President Donald Trump on his dealing with NKorea, the national spokesperson for the Republican National Committee (RNC) said. “Rex Tillerson, as much as we thank him for his service, […]
Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Barron’s Gold Mining Index $DIA, $GLD A 98 Year Examination Looking at the market at the close last week, apparently the “policy makers” have once again gotten a handle on the financial markets. In the Dow Jones BEV chart below it did correct 10%; but only for one day, […]
President Trump Wants Just One Voice on Foreign Policy US President Donald Trump gave Secretary of State Rex Tillerson the gate because he wants the United States speaking with “a singular voice” in its foreign policy, Marc Lotter, a national spokesperson for the Commander-in-Chief, Tuesday. “He’s moving forward,” Mr. Lotter said. “We are at a very […]
China Can ‘Open Up’ More, We Expect it Will People’s Bank of China (PBoC) Governor Zhou Xiaochuan, 70 anni, said market access reforms should be accelerated and that the world’s 2nd-largest economy “ can be bolder in opening up.” Policy makers are now focused on achieving “quality” growth, rather than the pace of expansion, which […]
US Drug Policy Update US President Donald Trump and Jeff Sessions, the US Attorney General announced a new front in the war on opioids Attorney General Sessions announces a task force that will target opioid manufacturers and distributors. And this week, President Trump convened a White House summit on opioid epidemic in the US Marijuana […]
Americans’ Economic Expectations Soar Americans’ outlook for the US economy improved in February to the 2nd-highest mark since March 2002, indicating lower taxes are resonating, the Consumer Comfort Index showed Wednesday. Highlights of Consumer Comfort for the Week Ended 18 February Monthly gauge of economic expectations climbed to 54.5 from 52.5 in January Weekly comfort index was little changed […]
Marijuana Friendly US Senator from Colorado Eases Up On DOJ Colorado Republican US Senator will stop blocking nominees for some Justice Department jobs over concerns about the marijuana industry, saying Thursday that federal officials have shown good faith in recent conversations on the department’s marijuana policy. Last month, Senator Cory Gardner used his power to […]
Monetary Policy is the Engine-of-Inflation $DIA, $GLD, $SLV Just 2 Friday’s ago, on January 26th The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) made its latest BEV Zero, new all-time high. Then 9 trading days later on Thursday February 8th it broke below its BEV -10% line in a dramatic fashion. The BEV plot seen below begins at […]
President Trump’s DOJ, FBI Purge Is Now Policy Recent events in Washington, DC have signaled that the GOP’s policy is purge the DOJ and FBI of all of it Hussein Obama-era left over bad actors. President Trump like it or not has the Constitutional authority to replace the FBI Director for any reason. But, the […]
The US is Winning Currency War to Weaken Dollar $DXY, $USD, $EUR, $GBP, $CHF, $JPY, $CNY The US is winning a “cold currency war” as it seeks to weaken the USD The Buck’s nearly 12% dive since the start of Y 2017 is being fueled by fiscal and monetary policies as well as rhetoric intended […]
Dick Durbin is Intentionally Trying to Scuttle DACA Talks “DACA is probably dead because the Democrats don’t really want it, they just want to talk and take desperately needed money away from our Military,” President Trump Tweeted Sunday. “I, as President, want people coming into our Country who are going to help us become strong […]
President Trump’s Tough Immigration Talk Targeted Corrupt Countries Last Thursday, US President Donald Trump was not talking about race when he talked tough and strong on immigration, he was referring to corruption, mass starvation and human rights abuses in the designated countries. And everyone in that closed session WH meeting knows that. “It had nothing […]
The Trump Bull Market Charges Into 2018, DJIA Breaks 25,000 $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX The macro indicators are telling investors that world economies are doing really well under President Trump’s MAGA policies. Thursday, the DJIA broke above the 25,000 for the 1st time, and other major US indexes posted new records, driven by strong US […]
FOMC Sees Future Interest Rate Hikes Guided by Inflation December FOMC Minutes suggest more rate hikes coming Fed policymakers showed worry over the fate of currently low inflation and saw recent tax changes as providing a boost to consumer spending, according to the minutes of the FOMC’s last policy meeting on 12-13 December released Wednesday. […]
US Growth is Expected to Stay Above the Forecast Rate $DIA, $SPY, $QQQ, $VXX Econ 101: no inflation no growth. Investors have been underestimating the importance of US economic growth for Fed policy, and giving too much relative emphasis to inflation and wage data that have tended to disappoint expectations, If it starts looking more […]
China says, “We are rising, accept it.” Tuesday, the Chinese government criticized US President Donald Trump’s decision to label Beijing a strategic rival and called on Washington to “abandon a Cold War mentality” and accept China’s rise. President Trump’s decision reflects a “victory of hardliners” in his administration, the official news agency said. It warned […]
